STX

Stacks · native · gru_s4

token id: #65
symbol: STX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-01-20
predictions: 5,169

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1925

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0455

actual +0.0275

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3669	0.33704	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-21	oos	0.3652	0.339357	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.35575	0.330042	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.3583	0.332343	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-18	oos	0.35505	0.328707	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.3681	0.339661	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.3924	0.360809	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.43015	0.393184	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.4238	0.385984	-8.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.4344	0.394192	-9.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.4101	0.371539	-9.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-11	oos	0.3984	0.36069	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.40105	0.363279	-9.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.39515	0.357264	-9.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.38165	0.344616	-9.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.37065	0.332787	-10.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-06	oos	0.3845	0.343984	-10.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.37935	0.339683	-10.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.38935	0.348721	-10.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	0.3843	0.344124	-10.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-02	oos	0.3678	0.328876	-10.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.37365	0.332874	-10.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-30	oos	0.37085	0.328026	-11.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-09-29	oos	0.3168	0.280627	-11.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-09-28	oos	0.3139	0.278602	-11.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-27	oos	0.3385	0.300912	-11.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.3427	0.305197	-10.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.32625	0.291321	-10.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.3134	0.280401	-10.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.3081	0.276614	-10.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-09-22	oos	0.33585	0.302239	-10.01%	0.3669	+9.25%	0.2273	✗	1.44
2026-09-21	oos	0.3414	0.308301	-9.70%	0.3652	+6.97%	0.2125	✗	1.43
2026-09-20	oos	0.33615	0.302825	-9.91%	0.35575	+5.83%	0.1272	✗	1.56
2026-09-19	oos	0.3152	0.285415	-9.45%	0.3583	+13.67%	0.2158	✗	1.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.2841	0.260205	-8.41%	0.35505	+24.97%	0.2890	✗	1.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.2511	0.231725	-7.72%	0.3681	+46.59%	0.3662	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.24255	0.224911	-7.27%	0.3924	+61.78%	0.4543	✗	1.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.2348	0.218502	-6.94%	0.43015	+83.20%	0.5532	✗	1.50
2026-09-14	oos	0.2637	0.243432	-7.69%	0.4238	+60.71%	0.4942	✗	1.42
2026-09-13	oos	0.26525	0.244441	-7.84%	0.4344	+63.77%	0.4623	✗	1.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.26815	0.247031	-7.88%	0.4101	+52.94%	0.4266	✗	1.42
2026-09-11	oos	0.25275	0.234579	-7.19%	0.3984	+57.63%	0.4138	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.25315	0.234604	-7.33%	0.40105	+58.42%	0.4204	✗	1.45
2026-09-09	oos	0.27385	0.253599	-7.39%	0.39515	+44.29%	0.3686	✗	1.41
2026-09-08	oos	0.2715	0.252105	-7.14%	0.38165	+40.57%	0.3575	✗	1.41
2026-09-07	oos	0.2772	0.258462	-6.76%	0.37065	+33.71%	0.2876	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.2692	0.252931	-6.04%	0.3845	+42.83%	0.3289	✗	1.43
2026-09-05	oos	0.2693	0.253447	-5.89%	0.37935	+40.87%	0.3006	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.2646	0.250846	-5.20%	0.38935	+47.15%	0.3229	✗	1.42
2026-09-03	oos	0.2749	0.262247	-4.60%	0.3843	+39.80%	0.3232	✗	1.41
2026-09-02	oos	0.2611	0.246333	-5.66%	0.3678	+40.87%	0.2706	✗	1.46
2026-09-01	oos	0.2553	0.242631	-4.96%	0.37365	+46.36%	0.2957	✗	1.48
2026-08-31	oos	0.2511	0.241074	-3.99%	0.37085	+47.69%	0.3420	✗	1.44
2026-08-30	oos	0.2343	0.226833	-3.19%	0.3168	+35.21%	0.2286	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.2434	0.235756	-3.14%	0.3139	+28.96%	0.1957	✗	1.40
2026-08-28	oos	0.2603	0.24864	-4.48%	0.3385	+30.04%	0.1936	✗	1.41
2026-08-27	oos	0.2572	0.249272	-3.08%	0.3427	+33.24%	0.2453	✗	1.45
2026-08-26	oos	0.2688	0.254357	-5.37%	0.32625	+21.37%	0.1573	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.2634	0.247184	-6.16%	0.3134	+18.98%	0.1317	✗	1.47
2026-08-24	oos	0.231	0.223795	-3.12%	0.3081	+33.38%	0.2209	✗	1.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.234	0.223071	-4.67%	0.33585	+43.53%	0.2535	✗	1.51
2026-08-22	oos	0.2193	0.210083	-4.20%	0.3414	+55.68%	0.3111	✗	1.49
2026-08-21	oos	0.1898	0.189041	-0.40%	0.33615	+77.11%	0.5200	✗	1.56
2026-08-20	oos	0.1461	0.146431	+0.23%	0.3152	+115.74%	0.6323	✓	1.26
2026-08-19	oos	0.1284	0.126289	-1.64%	0.2841	+121.26%	0.6329	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.11995	0.115984	-3.31%	0.2511	+109.34%	0.5785	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.1209	0.116366	-3.75%	0.24255	+100.62%	0.5379	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.1222	0.117226	-4.07%	0.2348	+92.14%	0.4696	✗	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.12165	0.11644	-4.28%	0.2637	+116.77%	0.5557	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.1222	0.116948	-4.30%	0.26525	+117.06%	0.5778	✗	1.22
2026-08-13	oos	0.1245	0.118946	-4.46%	0.26815	+115.38%	0.5713	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.1229	0.117429	-4.45%	0.25275	+105.66%	0.5204	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.1276	0.121652	-4.66%	0.25315	+98.39%	0.5023	✗	1.24
2026-08-10	oos	0.1309	0.124417	-4.95%	0.27385	+109.21%	0.5390	✗	1.23
2026-08-09	oos	0.1298	0.122947	-5.28%	0.2715	+109.17%	0.5568	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.1326	0.125532	-5.33%	0.2772	+109.05%	0.5481	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.1292	0.122324	-5.32%	0.2692	+108.36%	0.5263	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.1301	0.123066	-5.41%	0.2693	+106.99%	0.5157	✗	1.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.1338	0.126233	-5.66%	0.2646	+97.76%	0.4801	✗	1.24
2026-08-04	oos	0.1347	0.12698	-5.73%	0.2749	+104.08%	0.4794	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.1386	0.130138	-6.11%	0.2611	+88.38%	0.4513	✗	1.24
2026-08-02	oos	0.1391	0.130219	-6.38%	0.2553	+83.54%	0.4158	✗	1.30
2026-08-01	oos	0.1393	0.130586	-6.26%	0.2511	+80.26%	0.3633	✗	1.29
2026-07-31	oos	0.1375	0.129096	-6.11%	0.2343	+70.40%	0.3219	✗	1.29
2026-07-30	oos	0.14015	0.131196	-6.39%	0.2434	+73.67%	0.3684	✗	1.32
2026-07-29	oos	0.1348	0.127178	-5.65%	0.2603	+93.10%	0.4625	✗	1.29
2026-07-28	oos	0.13795	0.130737	-5.23%	0.2572	+86.44%	0.3827	✗	1.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.1342	0.127304	-5.14%	0.2688	+100.30%	0.4714	✗	1.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.1469	0.139823	-4.82%	0.2634	+79.31%	0.4068	✗	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.1368	0.130748	-4.42%	0.231	+68.86%	0.3228	✗	1.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.1449	0.139571	-3.68%	0.234	+61.49%	0.2829	✗	1.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.16445	0.15851	-3.61%	0.2193	+33.35%	0.1276	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1693	0.164213	-3.00%	0.1898	+12.11%	0.0513	✓	1.15
2026-07-21	oos	0.1674	0.162457	-2.95%	0.1461	-12.72%	0.2140	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1655	0.160453	-3.05%	0.1284	-22.42%	0.2927	✓	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1637	0.158777	-3.01%	0.11995	-26.73%	0.2804	✓	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.16525	0.16074	-2.73%	0.1209	-26.84%	0.2792	✓	1.14
2026-07-17	oos	0.1646	0.160599	-2.43%	0.1222	-25.76%	0.2539	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.1671	0.162956	-2.48%	0.12165	-27.20%	0.2784	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.1684	0.164566	-2.28%	0.1222	-27.43%	0.2663	✓	1.15
2026-07-14	oos	0.16875	0.165002	-2.22%	0.1245	-26.22%	0.2536	✓	1.15
2026-07-13	oos	0.166	0.162068	-2.37%	0.1229	-25.96%	0.2989	✓	1.22
2026-07-12	oos	0.16895	0.165062	-2.30%	0.1276	-24.47%	0.2534	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.1718	0.167297	-2.62%	0.1309	-23.81%	0.2481	✓	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.1717	0.166856	-2.82%	0.1298	-24.40%	0.2650	✓	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.169	0.164373	-2.74%	0.1326	-21.54%	0.2484	✓	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.162359	-2.72%	0.1292	-22.59%	0.2801	✓	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.1647	0.160278	-2.69%	0.1301	-21.01%	0.2271	✓	1.25
2026-07-06	oos	0.171	0.166242	-2.78%	0.1338	-21.75%	0.2288	✓	1.25
2026-07-05	oos	0.1726	0.167585	-2.91%	0.1347	-21.96%	0.2275	✓	1.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.1731	0.16865	-2.57%	0.1386	-19.93%	0.2037	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.1736	0.168789	-2.77%	0.1391	-19.87%	0.2125	✓	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.1664	0.162311	-2.46%	0.1393	-16.29%	0.1778	✓	1.21
2026-07-01	oos	0.1652	0.16109	-2.49%	0.1375	-16.77%	0.2156	✓	1.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.1608	0.156893	-2.43%	0.14015	-12.84%	0.2375	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.1666	0.161977	-2.77%	0.1348	-19.09%	0.2583	✓	1.24
2026-06-28	oos	0.1651	0.161022	-2.47%	0.13795	-16.44%	0.2426	✓	1.24
2026-06-27	oos	0.1675	0.163785	-2.22%	0.1342	-19.88%	0.2748	✓	1.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.1696	0.166418	-1.88%	0.1469	-13.38%	0.2309	✓	1.25
2026-06-25	oos	0.1643	0.161719	-1.57%	0.1368	-16.74%	0.2592	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.1719	0.168325	-2.08%	0.1449	-15.71%	0.2104	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.1774	0.172703	-2.65%	0.16445	-7.30%	0.0946	✓	1.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.1796	0.173858	-3.20%	0.1693	-5.73%	0.0665	✓	1.21
2026-06-21	oos	0.1771	0.171355	-3.24%	0.1674	-5.48%	0.0847	✓	1.21
2026-06-20	oos	0.1835	0.17693	-3.58%	0.1655	-9.81%	0.0853	✓	1.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.1808	0.174555	-3.45%	0.1637	-9.46%	0.0870	✓	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1843	0.177807	-3.52%	0.16525	-10.34%	0.1099	✓	1.22
2026-06-17	oos	0.1901	0.182411	-4.04%	0.1646	-13.41%	0.0923	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.193	0.184553	-4.38%	0.1671	-13.42%	0.0645	✓	1.22
2026-06-15	oos	0.1936	0.184778	-4.56%	0.1684	-13.02%	0.0635	✓	1.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.1951	0.186043	-4.64%	0.16875	-13.51%	0.0840	✓	1.23
2026-06-13	oos	0.1847	0.177363	-3.97%	0.166	-10.12%	0.0243	✓	1.23
2026-06-12	oos	0.17915	0.173102	-3.38%	0.16895	-5.69%	0.0282	✓	1.22
2026-06-11	oos	0.1834	0.177067	-3.45%	0.1718	-6.32%	0.0342	✓	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.1751	0.170827	-2.44%	0.1717	-1.94%	0.0466	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.18185	0.176879	-2.73%	0.169	-7.07%	0.0744	✓	1.21
2026-06-08	oos	0.1853	0.179338	-3.22%	0.1669	-9.93%	0.0559	✓	1.21
2026-06-07	oos	0.1875	0.181355	-3.28%	0.1647	-12.16%	0.0967	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.1802	0.176281	-2.17%	0.171	-5.11%	0.0903	✓	1.19
2026-06-05	oos	0.1759	0.172566	-1.90%	0.1726	-1.88%	0.0484	✓	1.19
2026-06-04	oos	0.1913	0.184713	-3.44%	0.1731	-9.51%	0.0519	✓	1.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.2105	0.201339	-4.35%	0.1736	-17.53%	0.1216	✓	1.11
2026-06-02	oos	0.2124	0.202293	-4.76%	0.1664	-21.66%	0.1030	✓	1.14
2026-06-01	oos	0.234	0.219724	-6.10%	0.1652	-29.40%	0.0988	✓	1.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.2396	0.224022	-6.50%	0.1608	-32.89%	0.0835	✓	1.08
2026-05-30	oos	0.2355	0.220775	-6.25%	0.1666	-29.26%	0.0681	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.2345	0.220427	-6.00%	0.1651	-29.59%	0.0677	✓	1.05
2026-05-28	oos	0.2335	0.219392	-6.04%	0.1675	-28.27%	0.0552	✓	1.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.233	0.218655	-6.16%	0.1696	-27.21%	0.0312	✓	1.04
2026-05-26	oos	0.2425	0.226992	-6.40%	0.1643	-32.25%	0.0763	✓	1.03
2026-05-25	oos	0.2476	0.23156	-6.48%	0.1719	-30.57%	0.0357	✓	1.11
2026-05-24	oos	0.244	0.228297	-6.44%	0.1774	-27.30%	0.0246	✓	1.10
2026-05-23	oos	0.2479	0.231943	-6.44%	0.1796	-27.55%	0.0591	✓	1.09
2026-05-22	oos	0.2406	0.225695	-6.19%	0.1771	-26.39%	0.0508	✓	1.09
2026-05-21	oos	0.2509	0.234931	-6.36%	0.1835	-26.86%	0.0437	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	0.2419	0.227226	-6.07%	0.1808	-25.26%	0.0128	✓	1.08
2026-05-19	oos	0.2334	0.220158	-5.67%	0.1843	-21.04%	0.0366	✓	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.2381	0.224829	-5.57%	0.1901	-20.16%	0.0233	✓	1.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.2338	0.221119	-5.42%	0.193	-17.45%	0.0429	✓	1.08
2026-05-16	oos	0.238	0.225472	-5.26%	0.1936	-18.66%	0.0252	✓	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.2496	0.236348	-5.31%	0.1951	-21.83%	0.0078	✓	1.08
2026-05-14	oos	0.2681	0.254246	-5.17%	0.1847	-31.11%	0.0768	✓	1.06
2026-05-13	oos	0.2663	0.251289	-5.64%	0.17915	-32.73%	0.1047	✓	1.06
2026-05-12	oos	0.2703	0.255872	-5.34%	0.1834	-32.15%	0.0870	✓	1.04
2026-05-11	oos	0.2713	0.258175	-4.84%	0.1751	-35.46%	0.0963	✓	1.02
2026-05-10	oos	0.2684	0.256687	-4.36%	0.18185	-32.25%	0.0472	✓	1.04
2026-05-09	oos	0.2645	0.25217	-4.66%	0.1853	-29.94%	0.0524	✓	1.04
2026-05-08	oos	0.2656	0.253034	-4.73%	0.1875	-29.41%	0.0545	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.25205	0.241434	-4.21%	0.1802	-28.51%	0.0070	✓	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.2516	0.242716	-3.53%	0.1759	-30.09%	0.0233	✓	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.2531	0.242648	-4.13%	0.1913	-24.42%	0.0137	✓	0.94
2026-05-04	oos	0.2234	0.214032	-4.19%	0.2105	-5.77%	0.1943	✗	0.96
2026-05-03	oos	0.2239	0.21287	-4.93%	0.2124	-5.14%	0.1472	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.2266	0.216065	-4.65%	0.234	+3.27%	0.1721	✗	0.94
2026-05-01	oos	0.2227	0.211452	-5.05%	0.2396	+7.59%	0.1826	✗	0.94
2026-04-30	oos	0.22055	0.207154	-6.07%	0.2355	+6.78%	0.1610	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.22185	0.208634	-5.96%	0.2345	+5.70%	0.1479	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.22455	0.211851	-5.66%	0.2335	+3.99%	0.1335	✗	0.97
2026-04-27	oos	0.2268	0.216148	-4.70%	0.233	+2.73%	0.1139	✗	0.97
2026-04-26	oos	0.2317	0.222734	-3.87%	0.2425	+4.66%	0.1206	✗	0.97
2026-04-25	oos	0.2275	0.216795	-4.71%	0.2476	+8.84%	0.1379	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.2285	0.218082	-4.56%	0.244	+6.78%	0.1185	✗	0.99
2026-04-23	oos	0.2275	0.218118	-4.12%	0.2479	+8.97%	0.1488	✗	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.2262	0.216427	-4.32%	0.2406	+6.37%	0.1414	✗	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.2244	0.212494	-5.31%	0.2509	+11.81%	0.1507	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.2239	0.211636	-5.48%	0.2419	+8.04%	0.1127	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.2195	0.206388	-5.97%	0.2334	+6.33%	0.0835	✗	1.01
2026-04-18	oos	0.2308	0.219975	-4.69%	0.2381	+3.16%	0.0632	✗	1.01
2026-04-17	oos	0.2416	0.232916	-3.59%	0.2338	-3.23%	0.0003	✓	1.01
2026-04-16	oos	0.24285	0.231711	-4.59%	0.238	-2.00%	0.0124	✓	1.02
2026-04-15	oos	0.2351	0.224234	-4.62%	0.2496	+6.17%	0.0513	✗	1.02
2026-04-14	oos	0.2199	0.209475	-4.74%	0.2681	+21.92%	0.1566	✗	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.2279	0.216598	-4.96%	0.2663	+16.85%	0.1433	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.212	0.199883	-5.72%	0.2703	+27.50%	0.1740	✗	0.99
2026-04-11	oos	0.2186	0.207075	-5.27%	0.2713	+24.11%	0.1592	✗	0.99
2026-04-10	oos	0.2231	0.211731	-5.10%	0.2684	+20.30%	0.1193	✗	0.99
2026-04-09	oos	0.2216	0.209981	-5.24%	0.2645	+19.36%	0.1151	✗	0.99
2026-04-08	oos	0.2208	0.209192	-5.26%	0.2656	+20.29%	0.1191	✗	0.99
2026-04-07	oos	0.2272	0.215632	-5.09%	0.25205	+10.94%	0.0503	✓	0.99
2026-04-06	oos	0.2173	0.205398	-5.48%	0.2516	+15.78%	0.0350	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.2136	0.201554	-5.64%	0.2531	+18.49%	0.0687	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.214	0.202209	-5.51%	0.2234	+4.39%	0.0746	✓	1.02
2026-04-03	oos	0.2141	0.202223	-5.55%	0.2239	+4.58%	0.0647	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.21415	0.202093	-5.63%	0.2266	+5.81%	0.0563	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.2239	0.210699	-5.90%	0.2227	-0.54%	0.0906	✓	1.05
2026-03-31	oos	0.2245	0.211547	-5.77%	0.22055	-1.76%	0.0777	✓	1.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.219	0.207832	-5.10%	0.22185	+1.30%	0.0701	✓	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.214	0.20428	-4.54%	0.22455	+4.93%	0.0604	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.2204	0.211315	-4.12%	0.2268	+2.90%	0.0931	✓	1.06
2026-03-27	oos	0.22555	0.217319	-3.65%	0.2317	+2.73%	0.1172	✓	1.06
2026-03-26	oos	0.23395	0.226037	-3.38%	0.2275	-2.76%	0.1234	✓	1.07
2026-03-25	oos	0.2421	0.235184	-2.86%	0.2285	-5.62%	0.1176	✓	1.07
2026-03-24	oos	0.2427	0.236564	-2.53%	0.2275	-6.26%	0.1510	✓	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.2437	0.23783	-2.41%	0.2262	-7.18%	0.1560	✓	1.07
2026-03-22	oos	0.2314	0.224883	-2.82%	0.2244	-3.03%	0.1290	✓	1.07
2026-03-21	oos	0.2392	0.231797	-3.09%	0.2239	-6.40%	0.1376	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.246	0.238645	-2.99%	0.2195	-10.77%	0.1328	✓	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.2461	0.238975	-2.90%	0.2308	-6.22%	0.1202	✓	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.2516	0.244302	-2.90%	0.2416	-3.97%	0.0960	✓	1.08
2026-03-17	oos	0.2653	0.257568	-2.91%	0.24285	-8.46%	0.0765	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.2696	0.261196	-3.12%	0.2351	-12.80%	0.1045	✓	1.08
2026-03-15	oos	0.2569	0.248709	-3.19%	0.2199	-14.40%	0.1427	✓	1.07
2026-03-14	oos	0.2504	0.242951	-2.97%	0.2279	-8.99%	0.1114	✓	1.07
2026-03-13	oos	0.25565	0.247789	-3.08%	0.212	-17.07%	0.1531	✓	1.08
2026-03-12	oos	0.2558	0.24739	-3.29%	0.2186	-14.54%	0.1622	✓	1.08
2026-03-11	oos	0.2556	0.247217	-3.28%	0.2231	-12.72%	0.1449	✓	1.08
2026-03-10	oos	0.2589	0.249907	-3.47%	0.2216	-14.41%	0.1482	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.2531	0.244357	-3.45%	0.2208	-12.76%	0.1426	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.2503	0.241684	-3.44%	0.2272	-9.23%	0.1571	✓	1.11
2026-03-07	oos	0.2566	0.247142	-3.69%	0.2173	-15.32%	0.1546	✓	1.11
2026-03-06	oos	0.2605	0.250939	-3.67%	0.2136	-18.00%	0.1755	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2645	0.254254	-3.87%	0.214	-19.09%	0.1144	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.2692	0.258017	-4.15%	0.2141	-20.47%	0.0944	✓	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.256	0.246727	-3.62%	0.21415	-16.35%	0.1172	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.2564	0.246886	-3.71%	0.2239	-12.68%	0.0856	✓	1.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.2525	0.243866	-3.42%	0.2245	-11.09%	0.1263	✓	1.19
2026-02-28	oos	0.2615	0.251372	-3.87%	0.219	-16.25%	0.1337	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.2596	0.249823	-3.77%	0.214	-17.57%	0.1566	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.2612	0.25065	-4.04%	0.2204	-15.62%	0.1074	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.265	0.253627	-4.29%	0.22555	-14.89%	0.0877	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.2369	0.229741	-3.02%	0.23395	-1.25%	0.0654	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.2363	0.228878	-3.14%	0.2421	+2.45%	0.0582	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.2443	0.234674	-3.94%	0.2427	-0.65%	0.0159	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.254	0.242791	-4.41%	0.2437	-4.06%	0.0458	✓	1.18
2026-02-20	oos	0.2561	0.244715	-4.45%	0.2314	-9.64%	0.0535	✓	1.17
2026-02-19	oos	0.2501	0.239891	-4.08%	0.2392	-4.36%	0.0362	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.25275	0.242542	-4.04%	0.246	-2.67%	0.0559	✓	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.2607	0.249139	-4.43%	0.2461	-5.60%	0.0536	✓	1.16
2026-02-16	oos	0.2673	0.253753	-5.07%	0.2516	-5.87%	0.0480	✓	1.16
2026-02-15	oos	0.2667	0.253041	-5.12%	0.2653	-0.52%	0.0363	✓	1.16
2026-02-14	oos	0.2771	0.260823	-5.87%	0.2696	-2.71%	0.0485	✓	1.16
2026-02-13	oos	0.2697	0.255178	-5.38%	0.2569	-4.75%	0.0590	✓	1.16
2026-02-12	oos	0.2619	0.24996	-4.56%	0.2504	-4.39%	0.0835	✓	1.17
2026-02-11	oos	0.2551	0.243772	-4.44%	0.25565	+0.22%	0.0190	✓	1.17
2026-02-10	oos	0.2531	0.241199	-4.70%	0.2558	+1.07%	0.0293	✓	1.19
2026-02-09	oos	0.2634	0.249015	-5.46%	0.2556	-2.96%	0.0243	✓	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	0.2689	0.253455	-5.74%	0.2589	-3.72%	0.0266	✓	1.19
2026-02-07	oos	0.2678	0.253346	-5.40%	0.2531	-5.49%	0.0131	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.278	0.260333	-6.35%	0.2503	-9.96%	0.0406	✓	1.20
2026-02-05	oos	0.2489	0.241332	-3.04%	0.2566	+3.09%	0.0248	✓	1.25
2026-02-04	oos	0.2779	0.258052	-7.14%	0.2605	-6.26%	0.1197	✗	1.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.3082	0.27979	-9.22%	0.2645	-14.18%	0.0445	✓	1.55
2026-02-02	oos	0.2895	0.263571	-8.96%	0.2692	-7.01%	0.1505	✗	1.64
2026-02-01	oos	0.25485	0.236552	-7.18%	0.256	+0.45%	0.2615	✗	1.55
2026-01-31	oos	0.2615	0.241421	-7.68%	0.2564	-1.95%	0.2748	✗	1.61
2026-01-30	oos	0.2892	0.262476	-9.24%	0.2525	-12.69%	0.3598	✗	1.62
2026-01-29	oos	0.2864	0.260899	-8.90%	0.2615	-8.69%	0.3803	✗	1.62
2026-01-28	oos	0.2999	0.273918	-8.66%	0.2596	-13.44%	0.4550	✗	1.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.3001	0.276087	-8.00%	0.2612	-12.96%	0.4169	✗	1.70
2026-01-26	oos	0.2978	0.275687	-7.43%	0.265	-11.01%	0.3977	✗	1.68
2026-01-25	oos	0.2823	0.263407	-6.69%	0.2369	-16.08%	0.3958	✗	1.67
2026-01-24	oos	0.3024	0.281658	-6.86%	0.2363	-21.86%	0.3551	✗	1.65
2026-01-23	oos	0.3096	0.290003	-6.33%	0.2443	-21.09%	0.2929	✗	1.66
2026-01-22	oos	0.3143	0.293406	-6.65%	0.254	-19.19%	0.3111	✗	1.66
2026-01-21	oos	0.3148	0.292803	-6.99%	0.2561	-18.65%	0.3209	✗	1.66
2026-01-20	oos	0.30075	0.279287	-7.14%	0.2501	-16.84%	0.3444	✗	1.64
2026-01-19	oos	0.3232	0.298044	-7.78%	0.25275	-21.80%	0.3832	✗	1.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.3426	0.31524	-7.99%	0.2607	-23.91%	0.3481	✗	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	0.3621	0.333299	-7.95%	0.2673	-26.18%	0.3033	✗	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.3721	0.343733	-7.62%	0.2667	-28.33%	0.2796	✗	1.63
2026-01-15	oos	0.3664	0.338968	-7.49%	0.2771	-24.37%	0.3089	✗	1.62
2026-01-14	oos	0.38445	0.357209	-7.09%	0.2697	-29.85%	0.2731	✗	1.62
2026-01-13	oos	0.3951	0.365416	-7.51%	0.2619	-33.71%	0.2677	✗	1.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.37705	0.347739	-7.77%	0.2551	-32.34%	0.2087	✗	1.68
2026-01-11	oos	0.3827	0.353146	-7.72%	0.2531	-33.86%	0.1377	✗	1.69
2026-01-10	oos	0.3862	0.3558	-7.87%	0.2634	-31.80%	0.1321	✗	1.70
2026-01-09	oos	0.3733	0.345149	-7.54%	0.2689	-27.97%	0.1869	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.354	0.329614	-6.89%	0.2678	-24.35%	0.2637	✗	1.72
2026-01-07	oos	0.3476	0.324404	-6.67%	0.278	-20.02%	0.3765	✗	2.06
2026-01-06	oos	0.3722	0.34658	-6.88%	0.2489	-33.13%	0.4904	✗	2.05
2026-01-05	oos	0.3755	0.347091	-7.57%	0.2779	-25.99%	0.2927	✗	2.05
2026-01-04	oos	0.3558	0.329286	-7.45%	0.3082	-13.38%	0.3228	✗	2.05
2026-01-03	oos	0.3022	0.285353	-5.57%	0.2895	-4.20%	0.2985	✗	2.01
2026-01-02	oos	0.276	0.263253	-4.62%	0.25485	-7.66%	0.2790	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.2632	0.253103	-3.84%	0.2615	-0.65%	0.2708	✗	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.24385	0.236987	-2.81%	0.2892	+18.60%	0.2756	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.2535	0.246305	-2.84%	0.2864	+12.98%	0.2378	✗	1.94
2025-12-29	oos	0.2547	0.248029	-2.62%	0.2999	+17.75%	0.1449	✗	1.93
2025-12-28	oos	0.2646	0.257378	-2.73%	0.3001	+13.42%	0.1265	✗	1.93
2025-12-27	oos	0.2656	0.258892	-2.53%	0.2978	+12.12%	0.1304	✗	1.91
2025-12-26	oos	0.25095	0.24595	-1.99%	0.2823	+12.49%	0.1538	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.2443	0.240115	-1.71%	0.3024	+23.78%	0.1897	✗	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.2488	0.244423	-1.76%	0.3096	+24.44%	0.1965	✗	1.89
2025-12-23	oos	0.2436	0.239667	-1.61%	0.3143	+29.02%	0.2281	✗	1.87
2025-12-22	oos	0.2477	0.243046	-1.88%	0.3148	+27.09%	0.2418	✗	1.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.24925	0.244242	-2.01%	0.30075	+20.66%	0.2151	✗	1.86
2025-12-20	oos	0.2561	0.250718	-2.10%	0.3232	+26.20%	0.1660	✗	1.88
2025-12-19	oos	0.2542	0.249583	-1.82%	0.3426	+34.78%	0.2023	✗	1.88
2025-12-18	oos	0.24065	0.236903	-1.56%	0.3621	+50.47%	0.2237	✗	1.87
2025-12-17	oos	0.2509	0.245964	-1.97%	0.3721	+48.31%	0.2218	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.2637	0.257744	-2.26%	0.3664	+38.95%	0.1934	✗	1.88
2025-12-15	oos	0.2638	0.25763	-2.34%	0.38445	+45.74%	0.1829	✗	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.2785	0.270337	-2.93%	0.3951	+41.87%	0.2313	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.2891	0.280003	-3.15%	0.37705	+30.42%	0.2782	✗	1.89
2025-12-12	oos	0.2881	0.280188	-2.75%	0.3827	+32.84%	0.2994	✗	1.89
2025-12-11	oos	0.2974	0.288883	-2.86%	0.3862	+29.86%	0.3354	✗	1.90
2025-12-10	oos	0.30685	0.297908	-2.91%	0.3733	+21.66%	0.2574	✗	1.91
2025-12-09	oos	0.3159	0.306141	-3.09%	0.354	+12.06%	0.1799	✗	1.91
2025-12-08	oos	0.3006	0.292087	-2.83%	0.3476	+15.64%	0.1609	✗	1.90
2025-12-07	oos	0.2932	0.284937	-2.82%	0.3722	+26.94%	0.1988	✗	1.89
2025-12-06	oos	0.2967	0.288661	-2.71%	0.3755	+26.56%	0.1671	✗	1.91
2025-12-05	oos	0.2922	0.284703	-2.57%	0.3558	+21.77%	0.1776	✗	1.91
2025-12-04	oos	0.3079	0.298722	-2.98%	0.3022	-1.85%	0.0429	✗	1.91
2025-12-03	oos	0.3205	0.309874	-3.32%	0.276	-13.88%	0.0429	✓	1.91
2025-12-02	oos	0.308	0.299135	-2.88%	0.2632	-14.55%	0.0733	✓	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.2824	0.27633	-2.15%	0.24385	-13.65%	0.1522	✓	1.94
2025-11-30	oos	0.30755	0.298186	-3.04%	0.2535	-17.57%	0.1193	✓	1.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.3129	0.303876	-2.88%	0.2547	-18.60%	0.0954	✓	1.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.3171	0.308771	-2.63%	0.2646	-16.56%	0.0887	✓	1.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.32335	0.31534	-2.48%	0.2656	-17.86%	0.0956	✓	1.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.3224	0.315195	-2.23%	0.25095	-22.16%	0.1593	✓	1.92
2025-11-25	oos	0.3193	0.313534	-1.81%	0.2443	-23.49%	0.2460	✓	1.98
2025-11-24	oos	0.321	0.315375	-1.75%	0.2488	-22.49%	0.2223	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.3078	0.303547	-1.38%	0.2436	-20.86%	0.2342	✓	1.98
2025-11-22	oos	0.3075	0.30443	-1.00%	0.2477	-19.45%	0.2972	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.3121	0.309119	-0.95%	0.24925	-20.14%	0.2988	✓	2.03
2025-11-20	oos	0.3277	0.322937	-1.45%	0.2561	-21.85%	0.2732	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.342	0.335284	-1.96%	0.2542	-25.67%	0.1969	✓	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.3463	0.338732	-2.19%	0.24065	-30.51%	0.1631	✓	2.14
2025-11-17	oos	0.3375	0.330649	-2.03%	0.2509	-25.66%	0.1344	✓	2.14
2025-11-16	oos	0.3473	0.339374	-2.28%	0.2637	-24.07%	0.1028	✓	2.15
2025-11-15	oos	0.3604	0.351502	-2.47%	0.2638	-26.80%	0.0711	✓	2.15
2025-11-14	oos	0.3595	0.351156	-2.32%	0.2785	-22.53%	0.0822	✓	2.16
2025-11-13	oos	0.38295	0.372231	-2.80%	0.2891	-24.51%	0.0320	✓	2.24
2025-11-12	oos	0.40275	0.390535	-3.03%	0.2881	-28.47%	0.0393	✓	2.23
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.399055	-3.05%	0.2974	-27.75%	0.0531	✓	2.25
2025-11-10	oos	0.4293	0.414259	-3.50%	0.30685	-28.52%	0.0195	✓	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.422	0.407311	-3.48%	0.3159	-25.14%	0.0233	✓	2.28
2025-11-08	oos	0.4026	0.39012	-3.10%	0.3006	-25.34%	0.0150	✓	2.28
2025-11-07	oos	0.4112	0.39816	-3.17%	0.2932	-28.70%	0.0061	✓	2.25
2025-11-06	oos	0.3523	0.344676	-2.16%	0.2967	-15.78%	0.1258	✗	2.18
2025-11-05	oos	0.3613	0.353074	-2.28%	0.2922	-19.13%	0.1426	✗	2.20
2025-11-04	oos	0.3551	0.347943	-2.02%	0.3079	-13.29%	0.0950	✗	2.24
2025-11-03	oos	0.3715	0.361666	-2.65%	0.3205	-13.73%	0.1867	✗	2.34
2025-11-02	oos	0.4251	0.409777	-3.60%	0.308	-27.55%	0.1533	✗	2.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.4243	0.409881	-3.40%	0.2824	-33.44%	0.1880	✗	2.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.4127	0.400404	-2.98%	0.30755	-25.48%	0.1787	✗	2.30
2025-10-30	oos	0.4062	0.394956	-2.77%	0.3129	-22.97%	0.1723	✗	2.30
2025-10-29	oos	0.44075	0.427406	-3.03%	0.3171	-28.05%	0.1346	✗	2.27
2025-10-28	oos	0.4417	0.428355	-3.02%	0.32335	-26.79%	0.2130	✗	2.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.458	0.442355	-3.42%	0.3224	-29.61%	0.2234	✗	2.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.4691	0.452123	-3.62%	0.3193	-31.93%	0.2833	✗	2.33
2025-10-25	oos	0.4467	0.431686	-3.36%	0.321	-28.14%	0.2563	✗	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.44955	0.434836	-3.27%	0.3078	-31.53%	0.2381	✗	2.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.4321	0.418693	-3.10%	0.3075	-28.84%	0.3117	✗	2.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.4216	0.409748	-2.81%	0.3121	-25.97%	0.2849	✗	2.37
2025-10-21	oos	0.4273	0.414652	-2.96%	0.3277	-23.31%	0.2988	✗	2.37
2025-10-20	oos	0.4426	0.426694	-3.59%	0.342	-22.73%	0.2372	✗	2.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.4367	0.422397	-3.28%	0.3463	-20.70%	0.1794	✗	2.41
2025-10-18	oos	0.4218	0.408739	-3.10%	0.3375	-19.99%	0.1744	✗	2.41
2025-10-17	oos	0.42245	0.411026	-2.70%	0.3473	-17.79%	0.1264	✗	2.41
2025-10-16	oos	0.4364	0.42204	-3.29%	0.3604	-17.42%	0.1421	✗	2.41
2025-10-15	oos	0.4554	0.438661	-3.68%	0.3595	-21.06%	0.1865	✗	2.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.4704	0.452604	-3.78%	0.38295	-18.59%	0.1426	✗	2.45
2025-10-13	oos	0.48935	0.469304	-4.10%	0.40275	-17.70%	0.1554	✗	2.45
2025-10-12	oos	0.4605	0.441542	-4.12%	0.4116	-10.62%	0.1957	✗	2.40
2025-10-11	oos	0.422	0.408779	-3.13%	0.4293	+1.73%	0.1551	✗	2.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.4292	0.413903	-3.56%	0.422	-1.68%	0.2058	✗	2.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.5939	0.562239	-5.33%	0.4026	-32.21%	0.0059	✓	1.95
2025-10-08	oos	0.61245	0.578783	-5.50%	0.4112	-32.86%	0.0019	✓	1.94
2025-10-07	oos	0.5965	0.562785	-5.65%	0.3523	-40.94%	0.1192	✓	1.93
2025-10-06	oos	0.6297	0.592398	-5.92%	0.3613	-42.62%	0.1393	✓	1.94
2025-10-05	oos	0.5985	0.562426	-6.03%	0.3551	-40.67%	0.0804	✓	1.93
2025-10-04	oos	0.6028	0.567555	-5.85%	0.3715	-38.37%	0.1550	✓	1.93
2025-10-03	oos	0.62005	0.585685	-5.54%	0.4251	-31.44%	0.1244	✓	1.94
2025-10-02	oos	0.6237	0.589278	-5.52%	0.4243	-31.97%	0.1494	✓	1.95
2025-10-01	oos	0.6052	0.573851	-5.18%	0.4127	-31.81%	0.1721	✓	1.97
2025-09-30	oos	0.572	0.543396	-5.00%	0.4062	-28.99%	0.1871	✓	2.01
2025-09-29	oos	0.58455	0.55393	-5.24%	0.44075	-24.60%	0.1500	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.585	0.556033	-4.95%	0.4417	-24.50%	0.2432	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.57445	0.547168	-4.75%	0.458	-20.27%	0.2611	✓	2.11
2025-09-26	oos	0.5796	0.551389	-4.87%	0.4691	-19.06%	0.2534	✓	2.12
2025-09-25	oos	0.5648	0.537766	-4.79%	0.4467	-20.91%	0.2360	✓	2.12
2025-09-24	oos	0.59475	0.559879	-5.86%	0.44955	-24.41%	0.1746	✓	2.18
2025-09-23	oos	0.59685	0.562581	-5.74%	0.4321	-27.60%	0.2262	✓	2.20
2025-09-22	oos	0.60435	0.567408	-6.11%	0.4216	-30.24%	0.1943	✓	2.20
2025-09-21	oos	0.6457	0.600789	-6.96%	0.4273	-33.82%	0.2051	✓	2.19
2025-09-20	oos	0.6585	0.612574	-6.97%	0.4426	-32.79%	0.2226	✓	2.23
2025-09-19	oos	0.65575	0.609889	-6.99%	0.4367	-33.40%	0.1939	✓	2.24
2025-09-18	oos	0.6902	0.639749	-7.31%	0.4218	-38.89%	0.2185	✓	2.24

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.