XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s4

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0523

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0123

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.308371	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.306654	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.294658	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.29512	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.295593	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.309578	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.306742	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.302872	-2.05%	0.31526	+1.95%	0.0243	✗	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.315581	-2.19%	0.3131	-2.96%	0.0056	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.296384	-2.13%	0.30059	-0.74%	0.0128	✓	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.315465	-2.35%	0.30068	-6.93%	0.0258	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.293465	-2.31%	0.30109	+0.23%	0.0460	✗	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.291319	-2.37%	0.315885	+5.86%	0.0949	✗	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.282311	-2.28%	0.31269	+8.24%	0.0964	✗	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.304079	-2.65%	0.30922	-1.00%	0.0386	✗	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.324247	-2.67%	0.32266	-3.14%	0.0243	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.327895	-2.59%	0.302825	-10.04%	0.0303	✓	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.321595	-2.57%	0.32306	-2.13%	0.0387	✗	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.312861	-2.90%	0.30039	-6.77%	0.0183	✓	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.306511	-2.98%	0.298385	-5.55%	0.0027	✓	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.315937	-3.08%	0.28889	-11.38%	0.0508	✓	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.306219	-3.23%	0.312355	-1.30%	0.0234	✓	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.301454	-3.35%	0.333125	+6.80%	0.0761	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.30247	-3.41%	0.336605	+7.50%	0.0781	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.310058	-3.50%	0.330075	+2.72%	0.0369	✗	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.31739	-3.46%	0.32219	-2.00%	0.0109	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.320648	-3.47%	0.31591	-4.90%	0.0201	✓	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.320307	-3.24%	0.32599	-1.52%	0.0117	✓	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.315194	-2.91%	0.316455	-2.52%	0.0145	✓	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.337547	-2.88%	0.311915	-10.26%	0.0477	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.331059	-2.55%	0.313135	-7.83%	0.0172	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.338602	-3.17%	0.32132	-8.12%	0.1012	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.351026	-4.34%	0.32877	-10.41%	0.1121	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.287911	-2.57%	0.332185	+12.41%	0.0958	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.250162	-1.77%	0.33102	+29.97%	0.1737	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.249413	-1.66%	0.32465	+28.00%	0.1534	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.245973	-1.40%	0.34756	+39.33%	0.2016	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.268049	-1.76%	0.33972	+24.51%	0.1320	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.277182	-2.30%	0.3497	+23.26%	0.1747	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.261932	-1.44%	0.36697	+38.08%	0.2840	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.248958	-0.74%	0.29552	+17.83%	0.1224	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.251296	-0.76%	0.25468	+0.58%	0.0160	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.261132	-0.96%	0.25363	-3.81%	0.0001	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.249634	-0.00%	0.249455	-0.07%	0.0385	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.238233	+1.30%	0.272845	+16.02%	0.1483	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.245025	+1.72%	0.283705	+17.78%	0.1956	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.24358	+1.99%	0.265765	+11.28%	0.1227	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.235787	+2.39%	0.25081	+8.91%	0.0948	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.235182	+2.86%	0.25322	+10.75%	0.1380	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.220659	+1.30%	0.26367	+21.05%	0.1632	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.217078	+1.26%	0.249635	+16.45%	0.1237	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.216118	+1.54%	0.235175	+10.49%	0.0769	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.213041	+1.01%	0.24088	+14.21%	0.0847	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.221277	+0.74%	0.23882	+8.73%	0.0538	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.221576	+0.40%	0.23029	+4.35%	0.0126	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.232404	+0.68%	0.228645	-0.95%	0.0300	✗	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.228537	+0.26%	0.217825	-4.44%	0.0233	✗	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.22428	+0.29%	0.21437	-4.14%	0.0290	✗	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.230589	+0.20%	0.21285	-7.51%	0.0741	✗	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.234591	-0.21%	0.210915	-10.28%	0.1055	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.231702	-0.31%	0.219655	-5.49%	0.0706	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.240223	-0.41%	0.22069	-8.50%	0.0778	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.219782	-0.81%	0.23084	+4.18%	0.0560	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.211766	-1.37%	0.227945	+6.16%	0.0775	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.196345	-1.88%	0.223625	+11.75%	0.0961	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.195604	-1.90%	0.230135	+15.42%	0.0750	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.191228	-1.83%	0.23508	+20.68%	0.0433	✓	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.194222	-1.88%	0.232425	+17.42%	0.0561	✓	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.192821	-1.90%	0.2412	+22.71%	0.0334	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.192896	-1.95%	0.22158	+12.63%	0.0278	✓	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.190591	-1.90%	0.21471	+10.51%	0.0142	✓	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.190917	-1.85%	0.20011	+2.87%	0.0261	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.194755	-1.91%	0.199385	+0.42%	0.0132	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.198276	-1.97%	0.19479	-3.69%	0.0193	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.203865	-2.00%	0.197945	-4.85%	0.0053	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.197522	-1.95%	0.196555	-2.43%	0.0306	✗	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.19677	-1.98%	0.19673	-2.00%	0.0154	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.192745	-2.00%	0.194285	-1.22%	0.0301	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.194189	-1.95%	0.194525	-1.78%	0.0114	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.199215	-2.06%	0.198545	-2.39%	0.0118	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.195959	-2.11%	0.202255	+1.03%	0.0059	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.194596	-2.08%	0.208035	+4.68%	0.0260	✗	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.196724	-2.17%	0.20144	+0.17%	0.0156	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.200767	-2.29%	0.200745	-2.30%	0.0086	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.199573	-2.20%	0.19668	-3.62%	0.0279	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.202387	-2.19%	0.19806	-4.28%	0.0254	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.203006	-2.12%	0.2034	-1.93%	0.0063	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.218188	-2.25%	0.200185	-10.32%	0.0529	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.218948	-2.16%	0.198725	-11.20%	0.0691	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.223593	-2.05%	0.201095	-11.91%	0.0832	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.230435	-2.03%	0.20547	-12.65%	0.1088	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.223404	-1.74%	0.20406	-10.25%	0.0511	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.225114	-1.54%	0.206925	-9.49%	0.0363	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.224701	-1.53%	0.2074	-9.11%	0.0524	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.22004	-1.48%	0.22322	-0.05%	0.0025	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.222137	-1.41%	0.22378	-0.68%	0.0165	✗	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.219435	-1.28%	0.22828	+2.70%	0.0360	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.217728	-1.24%	0.235215	+6.69%	0.0538	✗	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.224804	-1.21%	0.22736	-0.08%	0.0130	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.229013	-1.24%	0.22863	-1.41%	0.0288	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.217685	-1.33%	0.22819	+3.43%	0.0072	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.223897	-1.31%	0.223335	-1.56%	0.0198	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.227838	-1.31%	0.225305	-2.40%	0.0294	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.232903	-1.22%	0.22228	-5.73%	0.0425	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.23271	-1.14%	0.220465	-6.35%	0.0648	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.238892	-1.11%	0.22755	-5.81%	0.0941	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.251374	-1.10%	0.23189	-8.77%	0.1105	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.248181	-0.96%	0.220625	-11.96%	0.0858	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.251151	-1.01%	0.22688	-10.58%	0.1045	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.237624	-0.63%	0.230855	-3.46%	0.0415	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.243726	-0.66%	0.23579	-3.89%	0.0621	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.21402	-0.18%	0.235405	+9.80%	0.0659	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.20976	+0.01%	0.241585	+15.18%	0.1009	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.203002	+0.31%	0.25418	+25.60%	0.1402	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.211914	+0.09%	0.250595	+18.36%	0.1018	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.210845	+0.22%	0.25371	+20.59%	0.1140	✓	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.213002	+0.17%	0.239125	+12.46%	0.0609	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.21634	+0.16%	0.245335	+13.59%	0.0818	✓	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.213338	+0.28%	0.2144	+0.78%	0.0264	✗	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.215417	+0.17%	0.209745	-2.47%	0.0083	✗	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.221184	+0.09%	0.202365	-8.43%	0.0140	✗	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.228203	-0.04%	0.211725	-7.26%	0.0086	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.229055	+0.03%	0.21039	-8.12%	0.0183	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.237143	+0.02%	0.212635	-10.31%	0.0347	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.244501	-0.01%	0.215985	-11.67%	0.0626	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.231582	+0.23%	0.21275	-7.92%	0.0288	✗	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.245287	+0.07%	0.21506	-12.26%	0.0723	✗	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.245055	+0.10%	0.22099	-9.73%	0.0535	✗	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.241676	+0.15%	0.22829	-5.40%	0.0195	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.239911	+0.15%	0.22898	-4.41%	0.0065	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.238756	+0.21%	0.23709	-0.48%	0.0036	✗	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.23489	+0.37%	0.24452	+4.48%	0.0412	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.235353	+0.40%	0.23106	-1.43%	0.0069	✗	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.22926	+0.85%	0.245115	+7.83%	0.0161	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.23924	+0.61%	0.244805	+2.95%	0.0427	✗	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.246381	+0.29%	0.24131	-1.78%	0.0735	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.246297	+0.33%	0.23954	-2.42%	0.0669	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.24672	+0.92%	0.238245	-2.55%	0.0956	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.246241	+1.23%	0.234035	-3.79%	0.0933	✗	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.277576	-0.16%	0.234405	-15.69%	0.1654	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.294902	-0.51%	0.22732	-23.31%	0.2212	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.292331	-0.67%	0.23779	-19.20%	0.1298	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.313513	-1.41%	0.24568	-22.74%	0.1286	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.32256	-1.64%	0.24549	-25.14%	0.1324	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.326213	-1.77%	0.24447	-26.39%	0.1150	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.300742	-1.28%	0.24326	-20.15%	0.0466	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.305782	-1.30%	0.27802	-10.26%	0.0315	✗	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.314078	-1.42%	0.2964	-6.97%	0.0742	✗	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.326534	-1.57%	0.2943	-11.29%	0.0091	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.328859	-1.49%	0.318	-4.75%	0.0404	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.330101	-1.52%	0.32795	-2.16%	0.0353	✗	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.339505	-1.65%	0.3321	-3.79%	0.0127	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.32913	-1.62%	0.30465	-8.94%	0.0521	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.343847	-1.66%	0.3098	-11.40%	0.0566	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.335717	-1.55%	0.3186	-6.57%	0.0150	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.329203	-1.42%	0.33175	-0.66%	0.0187	✗	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.33676	-1.52%	0.33385	-2.37%	0.0122	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.335452	-1.38%	0.3352	-1.46%	0.0042	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.352405	-1.40%	0.3452	-3.41%	0.0041	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.360297	-1.28%	0.33455	-8.33%	0.0322	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.373732	-1.10%	0.34965	-7.48%	0.0265	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.370033	-1.30%	0.341	-9.04%	0.0611	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.38078	-1.08%	0.33395	-13.25%	0.0898	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.393701	-0.92%	0.34195	-13.94%	0.0886	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.397292	-0.81%	0.34015	-15.08%	0.1031	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.383423	-0.87%	0.3574	-7.60%	0.0426	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.390434	-1.03%	0.36495	-7.49%	0.0554	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.37235	-0.83%	0.3779	+0.65%	0.0034	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.380885	-0.57%	0.3749	-2.13%	0.0065	✗	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.372815	-0.58%	0.38495	+2.65%	0.0368	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.359653	-0.62%	0.39735	+9.80%	0.0787	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.359043	-1.04%	0.40055	+10.41%	0.0690	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.362133	-1.14%	0.3868	+5.60%	0.0437	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.361379	-1.29%	0.3945	+7.76%	0.0656	✗	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.359031	-1.72%	0.37545	+2.78%	0.0015	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.36444	-1.78%	0.38305	+3.23%	0.0164	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.378239	-1.73%	0.375	-2.57%	0.0620	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.373167	-1.38%	0.3619	-4.36%	0.0597	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.36729	-0.92%	0.3628	-2.13%	0.0109	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.365145	-1.17%	0.3663	-0.85%	0.0090	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.367831	-1.21%	0.3661	-1.68%	0.0139	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.370918	-0.94%	0.3653	-2.44%	0.0084	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.368887	-0.93%	0.37105	-0.35%	0.0354	✗	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.36191	-1.29%	0.3849	+4.98%	0.0620	✗	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.361409	-1.36%	0.3784	+3.28%	0.0276	✗	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.348554	-1.57%	0.3707	+4.69%	0.0005	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.360607	-1.23%	0.36945	+1.19%	0.0004	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.375952	-1.03%	0.37235	-1.97%	0.0141	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.371679	-1.32%	0.37445	-0.58%	0.0314	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.35675	-1.15%	0.37235	+3.17%	0.0008	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.342323	-1.12%	0.36665	+5.91%	0.0414	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.35116	-1.08%	0.3664	+3.21%	0.0248	✗	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.337562	-1.27%	0.3541	+3.57%	0.0072	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.349628	-1.18%	0.3651	+3.19%	0.0093	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.354476	-1.18%	0.37985	+5.90%	0.0171	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.348924	-1.25%	0.37665	+6.59%	0.0328	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.347463	-1.26%	0.3609	+2.56%	0.0110	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.356651	-1.26%	0.3462	-4.15%	0.0593	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.337202	-1.30%	0.355	+3.91%	0.0227	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.339884	-1.43%	0.3419	-0.84%	0.0179	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.343616	-1.49%	0.3538	+1.43%	0.0504	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.344136	-1.61%	0.3587	+2.56%	0.0420	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.337118	-1.57%	0.35335	+3.17%	0.0213	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.346193	-1.59%	0.3519	+0.03%	0.0251	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.346884	-1.57%	0.3612	+2.50%	0.0108	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.341827	-1.43%	0.34165	-1.49%	0.0310	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.335526	-1.26%	0.3448	+1.47%	0.0171	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.341802	-1.24%	0.3488	+0.78%	0.0060	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.345632	-1.16%	0.34975	+0.01%	0.0029	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.365134	-1.32%	0.3425	-7.43%	0.0370	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.383485	-1.39%	0.3518	-9.54%	0.0416	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.394375	-1.43%	0.3524	-11.92%	0.0798	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.387795	-1.46%	0.3468	-11.88%	0.0527	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.373423	-1.37%	0.3398	-10.25%	0.0666	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.382983	-1.42%	0.3461	-10.91%	0.0636	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.39769	-1.40%	0.3497	-13.30%	0.0695	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.384616	-1.23%	0.37	-4.98%	0.0226	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.388777	-1.18%	0.3889	-1.14%	0.0005	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.392695	-1.03%	0.4001	+0.83%	0.0651	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.396736	-0.99%	0.39355	-1.78%	0.0466	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.383357	-0.92%	0.3786	-2.15%	0.0574	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.374621	-0.92%	0.3885	+2.75%	0.0691	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.370339	-0.79%	0.40335	+8.05%	0.0917	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.365394	-0.74%	0.3894	+5.79%	0.0723	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.362476	-0.69%	0.3934	+7.78%	0.0673	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.360988	-0.61%	0.3968	+9.25%	0.0396	✗	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.360954	-0.65%	0.4007	+10.29%	0.0141	✗	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.356946	-0.60%	0.3869	+7.74%	0.0195	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.359671	-0.56%	0.3781	+4.53%	0.0084	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.368714	-0.59%	0.3733	+0.65%	0.0289	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.381952	-0.64%	0.3681	-4.24%	0.0318	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.387927	-0.68%	0.365	-6.55%	0.0257	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.373971	-0.59%	0.3632	-3.46%	0.0536	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.373764	-0.54%	0.3633	-3.33%	0.0223	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.369751	-0.36%	0.3591	-3.23%	0.0324	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.382608	-0.49%	0.3617	-5.93%	0.0607	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.381476	-0.48%	0.3709	-3.24%	0.0629	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.389657	-0.60%	0.3844	-1.94%	0.0644	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.393554	-0.62%	0.3906	-1.36%	0.0766	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.365682	-0.11%	0.3762	+2.76%	0.0374	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.368548	-0.11%	0.3758	+1.86%	0.0437	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.377656	-0.37%	0.3711	-2.10%	0.0105	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.386922	-0.44%	0.3845	-1.07%	0.0086	✗	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.390947	-0.37%	0.3833	-2.32%	0.0122	✗	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.382211	-0.14%	0.392	+2.42%	0.0175	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.384513	-0.07%	0.396	+2.91%	0.0058	✗	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.394251	-0.19%	0.3661	-7.32%	0.0222	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.398458	-0.20%	0.36895	-7.59%	0.0131	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.397495	-0.13%	0.37905	-4.76%	0.0301	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.421302	-0.45%	0.38865	-8.16%	0.0539	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.405876	-0.13%	0.3924	-3.44%	0.0216	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.401048	+0.22%	0.38275	-4.35%	0.0584	✗	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.395959	+0.46%	0.3848	-2.37%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.40367	+0.30%	0.395	-1.85%	0.0020	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.411601	+0.22%	0.39925	-2.79%	0.0125	✗	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.414032	+0.42%	0.398	-3.47%	0.0178	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.423835	+0.49%	0.4232	+0.34%	0.0095	✗	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.43129	+0.33%	0.4064	-5.46%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.405484	+3.05%	0.40015	+1.69%	0.0692	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.466582	-0.23%	0.39415	-15.72%	0.0763	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.470254	-0.60%	0.40245	-14.93%	0.0577	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.47375	-1.05%	0.4107	-14.22%	0.0209	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.459882	-0.42%	0.4123	-10.72%	0.0168	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.462943	-0.70%	0.42175	-9.53%	0.0430	✗	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.497028	-1.70%	0.42985	-14.98%	0.0399	✗	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.499678	-1.75%	0.3935	-22.63%	0.0728	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.525726	-1.92%	0.46765	-12.75%	0.0943	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.558494	-2.14%	0.4731	-17.10%	0.0095	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.553183	-2.16%	0.4788	-15.32%	0.0227	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.54981	-2.20%	0.4618	-17.86%	0.0477	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.570306	-2.48%	0.4662	-20.28%	0.0691	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.573619	-2.64%	0.5056	-14.19%	0.0612	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.564902	-2.57%	0.5086	-12.28%	0.0452	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.578032	-2.74%	0.536	-9.81%	0.0731	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.539034	-2.40%	0.5707	+3.33%	0.0477	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.594441	-2.61%	0.5654	-7.37%	0.0043	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.570809	-2.28%	0.5622	-3.75%	0.0614	✗	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.588825	-2.17%	0.5848	-2.84%	0.0561	✗	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.605488	-2.17%	0.5892	-4.80%	0.0353	✗	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.570448	-2.00%	0.5798	-0.40%	0.0799	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.567193	-1.87%	0.5943	+2.82%	0.1262	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.579627	-2.12%	0.5523	-6.74%	0.0283	✗	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.542095	-2.29%	0.6104	+10.02%	0.1041	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.555668	-2.34%	0.5841	+2.65%	0.0202	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.568205	-2.32%	0.6019	+3.47%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.566958	-2.23%	0.6189	+6.73%	0.0312	✗	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.573838	-2.24%	0.5821	-0.83%	0.0361	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.555186	-2.14%	0.578	+1.89%	0.0331	✓	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.585425	-2.23%	0.5922	-1.10%	0.0096	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.547359	-2.19%	0.5548	-0.86%	0.0481	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.531501	-2.26%	0.569	+4.63%	0.0764	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.519859	-2.30%	0.5817	+9.32%	0.1154	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.516133	-2.32%	0.5799	+9.75%	0.1090	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.495316	-2.17%	0.587	+15.94%	0.1394	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.485058	-1.97%	0.5673	+14.65%	0.1063	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.507526	-1.93%	0.5988	+15.71%	0.0963	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.482951	-1.68%	0.5596	+13.93%	0.0598	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.491028	-1.76%	0.5438	+8.80%	0.0549	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.477265	-1.55%	0.5321	+9.76%	0.0727	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.468347	-1.48%	0.5284	+11.15%	0.0864	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.439393	-1.04%	0.5063	+14.03%	0.1216	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.439305	-0.97%	0.4948	+11.54%	0.1204	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.44008	-0.91%	0.5175	+16.53%	0.1494	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.438835	-0.92%	0.4912	+10.91%	0.1317	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.434718	-0.93%	0.4998	+13.90%	0.1494	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.446832	-1.06%	0.4848	+7.35%	0.0884	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.439078	-0.97%	0.4754	+7.22%	0.0901	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.427279	-0.79%	0.444	+3.09%	0.0151	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.437436	-0.83%	0.4436	+0.57%	0.0050	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.456381	-0.98%	0.4441	-3.65%	0.0216	✓	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.457341	-0.99%	0.4429	-4.11%	0.0609	✓	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.472658	-1.10%	0.4388	-8.18%	0.0806	✓	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.495321	-1.25%	0.4516	-9.97%	0.0672	✓	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.486379	-1.18%	0.4434	-9.91%	0.0639	✓	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.500261	-1.17%	0.4307	-14.92%	0.0565	✓	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.488501	-1.05%	0.4411	-10.65%	0.0255	✓	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.493165	-1.07%	0.4609	-7.54%	0.0048	✓	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.487584	-1.04%	0.4619	-6.25%	0.0024	✓	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.469014	-0.93%	0.4779	+0.95%	0.0482	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.476052	-0.86%	0.5016	+4.46%	0.0392	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.474002	-0.79%	0.4922	+3.01%	0.0253	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.491573	-0.83%	0.5062	+2.12%	0.0235	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.49823	-0.91%	0.4937	-1.81%	0.0091	✓	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.482237	-0.71%	0.4985	+2.64%	0.0153	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.467824	-0.44%	0.4927	+4.85%	0.0094	✓	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.480426	-0.69%	0.4734	-2.14%	0.0152	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.489329	-0.68%	0.4802	-2.54%	0.0031	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.501066	-0.73%	0.4778	-5.34%	0.0256	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.506563	-0.77%	0.4957	-2.90%	0.0324	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.506201	-0.73%	0.5028	-1.39%	0.0485	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.505132	-0.62%	0.4857	-4.45%	0.0982	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.500932	-0.66%	0.4699	-6.81%	0.0338	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.486946	-0.36%	0.48375	-1.01%	0.0597	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.48561	-0.14%	0.4927	+1.32%	0.0804	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.496932	-0.22%	0.50475	+1.35%	0.0744	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.505874	-0.39%	0.5105	+0.52%	0.0638	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.529049	-1.02%	0.5099	-4.60%	0.0213	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.539088	-1.18%	0.5083	-6.83%	0.0298	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.524226	-1.00%	0.50425	-4.77%	0.0222	✗	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.544326	-1.27%	0.4887	-11.36%	0.0092	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.563948	-1.55%	0.4863	-15.10%	0.0250	✗	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.548135	-1.41%	0.49805	-10.41%	0.0546	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.557618	-1.72%	0.50785	-10.49%	0.1198	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.573096	-1.80%	0.5345	-8.41%	0.0901	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.581895	-1.90%	0.54555	-8.02%	0.0917	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.612904	-2.23%	0.5295	-15.54%	0.0633	✗	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.613794	-2.18%	0.55135	-12.14%	0.0530	✗	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.635014	-2.43%	0.5728	-11.99%	0.0041	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.676027	-2.97%	0.55595	-20.20%	0.0610	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.585891	-2.14%	0.56735	-5.24%	0.0081	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.529317	-1.10%	0.5836	+9.04%	0.1310	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.515156	-0.67%	0.59315	+14.36%	0.1177	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.528269	-0.81%	0.6269	+17.71%	0.1800	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.573843	-1.07%	0.6275	+8.18%	0.1761	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.571991	-1.09%	0.6508	+12.54%	0.2465	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.574132	-1.05%	0.6967	+20.07%	0.2883	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.559586	-0.99%	0.5987	+5.93%	0.1752	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.582773	-1.19%	0.5352	-9.26%	0.0067	✓	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.584495	-1.18%	0.51865	-12.32%	0.0565	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.593025	-1.21%	0.5326	-11.28%	0.0052	✓	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.60572	-1.42%	0.58005	-5.60%	0.0155	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.596712	-1.50%	0.5783	-4.54%	0.0069	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.594405	-1.49%	0.58025	-3.84%	0.0016	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.585506	-1.47%	0.5652	-4.89%	0.0076	✓	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.574789	-1.37%	0.5898	+1.21%	0.0119	✓	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.577937	-1.41%	0.5915	+0.90%	0.0458	✓	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.588832	-1.58%	0.6003	+0.33%	0.0344	✓	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.587439	-1.58%	0.61445	+2.95%	0.0436	✓	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.577751	-1.51%	0.6058	+3.27%	0.0210	✓	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.569438	-1.44%	0.6034	+4.44%	0.0124	✓	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.586964	-1.57%	0.59425	-0.35%	0.0170	✓	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.598157	-1.68%	0.58275	-4.22%	0.0230	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.617237	-1.85%	0.5862	-6.79%	0.0193	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.644222	-2.09%	0.5983	-9.07%	0.0048	✓	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.617787	-2.12%	0.59685	-5.43%	0.0584	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.569841	-1.79%	0.5866	+1.10%	0.0809	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.553884	-1.74%	0.57775	+2.49%	0.1397	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.662017	-2.34%	0.59635	-12.02%	0.0622	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.670101	-2.31%	0.6084	-11.31%	0.0551	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.663264	-2.38%	0.6289	-7.44%	0.0475	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.701788	-2.15%	0.658	-8.25%	0.0467	✗	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.700015	-2.05%	0.63115	-11.68%	0.0031	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.680572	-1.88%	0.5802	-16.35%	0.0179	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.705823	-1.87%	0.5637	-21.63%	0.1131	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.699345	-1.83%	0.67785	-4.85%	0.0440	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.689971	-1.87%	0.68595	-2.44%	0.0615	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.656751	-1.78%	0.67945	+1.62%	0.0563	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.657878	-1.77%	0.7172	+7.09%	0.0418	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.661718	-1.79%	0.71465	+6.07%	0.0697	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.658427	-1.80%	0.6936	+3.45%	0.1202	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.667447	-1.89%	0.7193	+5.73%	0.0958	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.645333	-1.84%	0.7124	+8.37%	0.0588	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.683307	-2.13%	0.7031	+0.71%	0.0428	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.684735	-2.12%	0.66865	-4.42%	0.0523	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.68409	-2.14%	0.6697	-4.20%	0.0435	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.732357	-2.40%	0.67375	-10.21%	0.0426	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.74169	-2.52%	0.6705	-11.87%	0.0191	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.737049	-2.49%	0.6803	-10.00%	0.0008	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.771232	-2.60%	0.6574	-16.98%	0.0521	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.768417	-2.59%	0.69815	-11.50%	0.0545	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.