XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s4

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0204

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0016

actual -0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.314177	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.31198	-0.36%	0.31526	+0.69%	0.0139	✗	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.299697	-0.30%	0.3131	+4.16%	0.0283	✗	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.29988	-0.27%	0.30059	-0.03%	0.0047	✗	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.300345	-0.25%	0.30068	-0.14%	0.0077	✓	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.314907	-0.31%	0.30109	-4.68%	0.0432	✓	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.311741	-0.30%	0.315885	+1.02%	0.0220	✗	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.308222	-0.32%	0.31269	+1.12%	0.0066	✗	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.321336	-0.41%	0.30922	-4.17%	0.0171	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.301697	-0.37%	0.32266	+6.55%	0.0486	✗	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.321549	-0.47%	0.302825	-6.26%	0.0342	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.299101	-0.43%	0.32306	+7.55%	0.0670	✗	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.29714	-0.42%	0.30039	+0.67%	0.0060	✗	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.287839	-0.36%	0.298385	+3.29%	0.0246	✗	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.31099	-0.44%	0.28889	-7.51%	0.0535	✓	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.331674	-0.44%	0.312355	-6.23%	0.0329	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.335208	-0.42%	0.333125	-1.03%	0.0037	✓	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.328692	-0.42%	0.336605	+1.98%	0.0328	✗	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.320631	-0.48%	0.330075	+2.45%	0.0079	✗	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.314342	-0.50%	0.32219	+1.99%	0.0218	✗	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.324248	-0.53%	0.31591	-3.09%	0.0219	✓	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.314661	-0.57%	0.32599	+3.01%	0.0191	✗	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.310097	-0.58%	0.316455	+1.46%	0.0213	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.311303	-0.58%	0.311915	-0.39%	0.0003	✓	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.319353	-0.61%	0.313135	-2.55%	0.0068	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.326714	-0.63%	0.32132	-2.27%	0.0172	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.329936	-0.68%	0.32877	-1.03%	0.0076	✓	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.328848	-0.66%	0.332185	+0.35%	0.0138	✗	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.322752	-0.58%	0.33102	+1.96%	0.0252	✗	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.344994	-0.74%	0.32465	-6.59%	0.0387	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.337293	-0.71%	0.34756	+2.31%	0.0348	✗	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.346953	-0.79%	0.33972	-2.85%	0.1003	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.360566	-1.75%	0.3497	-4.71%	0.0295	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.293429	-0.71%	0.36697	+24.18%	0.2183	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.253961	-0.28%	0.29552	+16.04%	0.0904	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.252993	-0.25%	0.25468	+0.41%	0.0038	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.249021	-0.17%	0.25363	+1.67%	0.0102	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.271955	-0.33%	0.249455	-8.57%	0.0518	✓	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.281946	-0.62%	0.272845	-3.83%	0.0514	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.265057	-0.27%	0.283705	+6.75%	0.0744	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.250575	-0.09%	0.265765	+5.96%	0.0581	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.252909	-0.12%	0.25081	-0.95%	0.0176	✓	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.262876	-0.30%	0.25322	-3.96%	0.0137	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.249735	+0.04%	0.26367	+5.62%	0.0565	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.235867	+0.29%	0.249635	+6.15%	0.0656	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.241704	+0.34%	0.235175	-2.37%	0.0104	✗	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.239708	+0.37%	0.24088	+0.86%	0.0020	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.231263	+0.42%	0.23882	+3.70%	0.0301	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.229741	+0.48%	0.23029	+0.72%	0.0235	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.218248	+0.19%	0.228645	+4.97%	0.0125	✗	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.214746	+0.18%	0.217825	+1.61%	0.0156	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.213318	+0.22%	0.21437	+0.71%	0.0219	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.211226	+0.15%	0.21285	+0.92%	0.0053	✗	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.219833	+0.08%	0.210915	-3.98%	0.0333	✗	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.220736	+0.02%	0.219655	-0.47%	0.0106	✗	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.230815	-0.01%	0.22069	-4.40%	0.0103	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.227777	-0.07%	0.23084	+1.27%	0.0042	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.223462	-0.07%	0.227945	+1.93%	0.0127	✗	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.229799	-0.15%	0.223625	-2.83%	0.0207	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.234538	-0.23%	0.230135	-2.10%	0.0370	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.231825	-0.26%	0.23508	+1.14%	0.0041	✗	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.240121	-0.45%	0.232425	-3.64%	0.0142	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.22094	-0.29%	0.2412	+8.85%	0.0099	✗	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.214252	-0.21%	0.22158	+3.20%	0.0264	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.199654	-0.23%	0.21471	+7.30%	0.0077	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.198918	-0.23%	0.20011	+0.36%	0.0023	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.194375	-0.21%	0.199385	+2.36%	0.0048	✓	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.197489	-0.23%	0.19479	-1.59%	0.0104	✓	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.196089	-0.24%	0.197945	+0.71%	0.0086	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.196233	-0.25%	0.196555	-0.09%	0.0101	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.193829	-0.23%	0.19673	+1.26%	0.0146	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.19408	-0.23%	0.194285	-0.12%	0.0033	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.198033	-0.26%	0.194525	-2.02%	0.0109	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.201742	-0.25%	0.198545	-1.83%	0.0011	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.207446	-0.28%	0.202255	-2.78%	0.0243	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.200905	-0.27%	0.208035	+3.27%	0.0346	✗	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.200181	-0.28%	0.20144	+0.35%	0.0051	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.196149	-0.27%	0.200745	+2.07%	0.0294	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.19753	-0.27%	0.19668	-0.70%	0.0146	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.202761	-0.31%	0.19806	-2.63%	0.0346	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.199554	-0.32%	0.2034	+1.61%	0.0197	✗	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.198106	-0.31%	0.200185	+0.73%	0.0037	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.200437	-0.33%	0.198725	-1.18%	0.0074	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.204776	-0.34%	0.201095	-2.13%	0.0184	✗	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.203434	-0.31%	0.20547	+0.69%	0.0056	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.206311	-0.30%	0.20406	-1.38%	0.0119	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.206832	-0.27%	0.206925	-0.23%	0.0024	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.222532	-0.31%	0.2074	-7.09%	0.0407	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.223133	-0.29%	0.22322	-0.25%	0.0182	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.22765	-0.28%	0.22378	-1.97%	0.0210	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.234525	-0.29%	0.22828	-2.95%	0.0098	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.226845	-0.23%	0.235215	+3.45%	0.0547	✗	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.228213	-0.18%	0.22736	-0.56%	0.0038	✗	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.22777	-0.18%	0.22863	+0.19%	0.0195	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.222953	-0.17%	0.22819	+2.17%	0.0136	✗	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.224947	-0.16%	0.223335	-0.87%	0.0051	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.221993	-0.13%	0.225305	+1.36%	0.0016	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.220204	-0.12%	0.22228	+0.82%	0.0071	✗	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.227281	-0.12%	0.220465	-3.11%	0.0134	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.231571	-0.14%	0.22755	-1.87%	0.0126	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.220304	-0.15%	0.23189	+5.11%	0.0010	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.22657	-0.14%	0.220625	-2.76%	0.0010	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.230551	-0.13%	0.22688	-1.72%	0.0155	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.235503	-0.12%	0.230855	-2.09%	0.0136	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.235174	-0.10%	0.23579	+0.16%	0.0145	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.241335	-0.10%	0.235405	-2.56%	0.0423	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.25383	-0.14%	0.241585	-4.96%	0.0296	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.250322	-0.11%	0.25418	+1.43%	0.0277	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.25322	-0.19%	0.250595	-1.23%	0.0181	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.238985	-0.06%	0.25371	+6.10%	0.0507	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.244983	-0.14%	0.239125	-2.53%	0.0345	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.214568	+0.08%	0.245335	+14.43%	0.1159	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.209979	+0.11%	0.2144	+2.22%	0.0063	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.202699	+0.16%	0.209745	+3.65%	0.0081	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.211972	+0.12%	0.202365	-4.42%	0.0170	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.210684	+0.14%	0.211725	+0.63%	0.0073	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.212909	+0.13%	0.21039	-1.06%	0.0037	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.216259	+0.13%	0.212635	-1.55%	0.0157	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.213068	+0.15%	0.215985	+1.52%	0.0083	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.215344	+0.13%	0.21275	-1.07%	0.0110	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.221281	+0.13%	0.21506	-2.68%	0.0011	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.228544	+0.11%	0.22099	-3.20%	0.0112	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.229271	+0.13%	0.22829	-0.30%	0.0165	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.237413	+0.14%	0.22898	-3.42%	0.0195	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.24482	+0.12%	0.23709	-3.04%	0.0449	✗	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.23145	+0.17%	0.24452	+5.83%	0.0447	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.245477	+0.15%	0.23106	-5.73%	0.0341	✗	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.245198	+0.16%	0.245115	+0.13%	0.0190	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.241725	+0.17%	0.244805	+1.45%	0.0232	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.239946	+0.17%	0.24131	+0.74%	0.0034	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.238673	+0.18%	0.23954	+0.54%	0.0172	✗	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.234531	+0.21%	0.238245	+1.80%	0.0009	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.234915	+0.22%	0.234035	-0.16%	0.0033	✗	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.22798	+0.29%	0.234405	+3.12%	0.0083	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.238365	+0.24%	0.22732	-4.40%	0.0433	✗	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.246136	+0.19%	0.23779	-3.21%	0.0111	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.245972	+0.20%	0.24568	+0.08%	0.0028	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.245191	+0.29%	0.24549	+0.42%	0.0407	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.244152	+0.37%	0.24447	+0.50%	0.0044	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.278295	+0.10%	0.24326	-12.50%	0.0921	✗	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.296451	+0.02%	0.27802	-6.20%	0.0607	✗	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.294309	+0.00%	0.2964	+0.71%	0.0467	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.317534	-0.15%	0.2943	-7.45%	0.0127	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.32723	-0.22%	0.318	-3.03%	0.0006	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.331093	-0.30%	0.32795	-1.25%	0.0071	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.304344	-0.10%	0.3321	+9.01%	0.0823	✗	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.30947	-0.11%	0.30465	-1.66%	0.0139	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.318183	-0.13%	0.3098	-2.76%	0.0170	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.331185	-0.17%	0.3186	-3.96%	0.0211	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.333288	-0.17%	0.33175	-0.63%	0.0126	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.334631	-0.17%	0.33385	-0.40%	0.0056	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.344447	-0.22%	0.3352	-2.90%	0.0311	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.3339	-0.19%	0.3452	+3.18%	0.0190	✗	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.348796	-0.24%	0.33455	-4.32%	0.0172	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.340259	-0.22%	0.34965	+2.54%	0.0264	✗	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.333365	-0.18%	0.341	+2.11%	0.0144	✗	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.341282	-0.20%	0.33395	-2.34%	0.0197	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.339622	-0.16%	0.34195	+0.53%	0.0122	✗	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.356781	-0.17%	0.34015	-4.83%	0.0398	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.364394	-0.15%	0.3574	-2.07%	0.0085	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.377467	-0.11%	0.36495	-3.43%	0.0110	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.374339	-0.15%	0.3779	+0.80%	0.0104	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.384541	-0.11%	0.3749	-2.61%	0.0123	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.397064	-0.07%	0.38495	-3.12%	0.0177	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.400295	-0.06%	0.39735	-0.80%	0.0024	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.386488	-0.08%	0.40055	+3.55%	0.0194	✗	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.393992	-0.13%	0.3868	-1.95%	0.0234	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.375125	-0.09%	0.3945	+5.07%	0.0484	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.382868	-0.05%	0.37545	-1.98%	0.0047	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.374787	-0.06%	0.38305	+2.15%	0.0158	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.361685	-0.06%	0.375	+3.62%	0.0243	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.362289	-0.14%	0.3619	-0.25%	0.0156	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.365683	-0.17%	0.3628	-0.96%	0.0065	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.365383	-0.20%	0.3663	+0.05%	0.0026	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.364355	-0.26%	0.3661	+0.22%	0.0180	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.370062	-0.27%	0.3653	-1.55%	0.0196	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.383777	-0.29%	0.37105	-3.60%	0.0269	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.377561	-0.22%	0.3849	+1.72%	0.0317	✗	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.370201	-0.13%	0.3784	+2.08%	0.0374	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.36882	-0.17%	0.3707	+0.34%	0.0070	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.371682	-0.18%	0.36945	-0.78%	0.0083	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.373876	-0.15%	0.37235	-0.56%	0.0057	✗	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.371924	-0.11%	0.37445	+0.56%	0.0059	✗	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.366057	-0.16%	0.37235	+1.55%	0.0053	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.365785	-0.17%	0.36665	+0.07%	0.0036	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.35346	-0.18%	0.3664	+3.47%	0.0098	✗	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.364635	-0.13%	0.3541	-3.01%	0.0049	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.379415	-0.11%	0.3651	-3.88%	0.0215	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.376052	-0.16%	0.37985	+0.85%	0.0142	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.360436	-0.13%	0.37665	+4.36%	0.0398	✗	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.345877	-0.09%	0.3609	+4.25%	0.0342	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.354676	-0.09%	0.3462	-2.48%	0.0208	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.341502	-0.12%	0.355	+3.83%	0.0099	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.353455	-0.10%	0.3419	-3.36%	0.0023	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.358325	-0.10%	0.3538	-1.37%	0.0139	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.352927	-0.12%	0.3587	+1.51%	0.0004	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.351474	-0.12%	0.35335	+0.41%	0.0042	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.360723	-0.13%	0.3519	-2.57%	0.0138	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.341195	-0.13%	0.3612	+5.72%	0.0157	✗	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.344261	-0.16%	0.34165	-0.91%	0.0055	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.348193	-0.17%	0.3448	-1.15%	0.0340	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.349032	-0.21%	0.3488	-0.27%	0.0054	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.341828	-0.20%	0.34975	+2.12%	0.0220	✗	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.35109	-0.20%	0.3425	-2.64%	0.0073	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.351664	-0.21%	0.3518	-0.17%	0.0019	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.346155	-0.19%	0.3524	+1.61%	0.0036	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.339302	-0.15%	0.3468	+2.06%	0.0103	✗	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.345618	-0.14%	0.3398	-1.82%	0.0116	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.349276	-0.12%	0.3461	-1.03%	0.0086	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.369473	-0.14%	0.3497	-5.49%	0.0200	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.388312	-0.15%	0.37	-4.86%	0.0130	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.39941	-0.17%	0.3889	-2.80%	0.0373	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.392841	-0.18%	0.4001	+1.66%	0.0230	✗	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.37797	-0.17%	0.39355	+3.95%	0.0026	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.387835	-0.17%	0.3786	-2.55%	0.0088	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.402695	-0.16%	0.3885	-3.68%	0.0137	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.388948	-0.12%	0.40335	+3.58%	0.0283	✗	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.393014	-0.10%	0.3894	-1.02%	0.0091	✗	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.396548	-0.06%	0.3934	-0.86%	0.0286	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.400477	-0.06%	0.3968	-0.97%	0.0035	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.386724	-0.05%	0.4007	+3.57%	0.0081	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.377909	-0.05%	0.3869	+2.33%	0.0016	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.373221	-0.02%	0.3781	+1.29%	0.0090	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.368049	-0.01%	0.3733	+1.41%	0.0084	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.364972	-0.01%	0.3681	+0.85%	0.0040	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.363248	+0.01%	0.365	+0.50%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.363288	-0.00%	0.3632	-0.03%	0.0224	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.359094	-0.00%	0.3633	+1.17%	0.0254	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.361757	+0.02%	0.3591	-0.72%	0.0123	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.370963	+0.02%	0.3617	-2.48%	0.0126	✗	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.384476	+0.02%	0.3709	-3.51%	0.0045	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.390657	+0.01%	0.3844	-1.59%	0.0093	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.376262	+0.02%	0.3906	+3.83%	0.0267	✗	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.375922	+0.03%	0.3762	+0.11%	0.0083	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.371307	+0.06%	0.3758	+1.27%	0.0355	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.384627	+0.03%	0.3711	-3.49%	0.0172	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.383424	+0.03%	0.3845	+0.31%	0.0145	✗	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.392057	+0.01%	0.3833	-2.22%	0.0027	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.396041	+0.01%	0.392	-1.01%	0.0026	✗	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.366435	+0.09%	0.396	+8.17%	0.0170	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.369302	+0.10%	0.3661	-0.77%	0.0000	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.379282	+0.06%	0.36895	-2.66%	0.0181	✓	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.38883	+0.05%	0.37905	-2.47%	0.0204	✗	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.392651	+0.06%	0.38865	-0.96%	0.0098	✗	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.383122	+0.10%	0.3924	+2.52%	0.0089	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.385203	+0.10%	0.38275	-0.53%	0.0147	✗	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.395347	+0.09%	0.3848	-2.58%	0.0114	✗	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.399653	+0.10%	0.395	-1.06%	0.0088	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.398464	+0.12%	0.39925	+0.31%	0.0010	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.423446	+0.06%	0.398	-5.95%	0.0475	✗	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.406863	+0.11%	0.4232	+4.13%	0.0252	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.40081	+0.17%	0.4064	+1.56%	0.0255	✗	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.395014	+0.22%	0.40015	+1.52%	0.0252	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.403228	+0.19%	0.39415	-2.06%	0.0036	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.411456	+0.18%	0.40245	-2.01%	0.0033	✗	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.413224	+0.22%	0.4107	-0.39%	0.0036	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.422715	+0.23%	0.4123	-2.24%	0.0401	✗	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.430631	+0.18%	0.42175	-1.88%	0.0025	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.396134	+0.67%	0.42985	+9.24%	0.0411	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.467893	+0.05%	0.3935	-15.86%	0.0100	✗	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.472891	-0.04%	0.46765	-1.15%	0.0258	✗	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.47812	-0.14%	0.4731	-1.19%	0.0306	✗	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.461834	+0.01%	0.4788	+3.68%	0.0127	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.465992	-0.04%	0.4618	-0.94%	0.0151	✗	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.504291	-0.26%	0.4662	-7.79%	0.0079	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.507304	-0.25%	0.5056	-0.59%	0.0016	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.534531	-0.27%	0.5086	-5.11%	0.0069	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.568757	-0.34%	0.536	-6.08%	0.0599	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.563361	-0.36%	0.5707	+0.94%	0.0026	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.560085	-0.38%	0.5654	+0.57%	0.0112	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.582134	-0.46%	0.5622	-3.86%	0.0043	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.586007	-0.54%	0.5848	-0.75%	0.0026	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.577066	-0.47%	0.5892	+1.62%	0.0207	✗	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.59114	-0.53%	0.5798	-2.44%	0.0205	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.550127	-0.39%	0.5943	+7.60%	0.0651	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.607236	-0.52%	0.5523	-9.52%	0.0497	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.581892	-0.38%	0.6104	+4.50%	0.0591	✗	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.599765	-0.35%	0.5841	-2.96%	0.0114	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.616738	-0.35%	0.6019	-2.75%	0.0204	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.580364	-0.30%	0.6189	+6.32%	0.0651	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.57642	-0.27%	0.5821	+0.71%	0.0237	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.590132	-0.35%	0.578	-2.40%	0.0370	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.552853	-0.35%	0.5922	+6.74%	0.0249	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.566976	-0.36%	0.5548	-2.50%	0.0252	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.579733	-0.34%	0.569	-2.18%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.578025	-0.32%	0.5817	+0.31%	0.0080	✗	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.585013	-0.34%	0.5799	-1.21%	0.0030	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.56569	-0.28%	0.587	+3.47%	0.0404	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.596701	-0.35%	0.5673	-5.26%	0.0188	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.557862	-0.31%	0.5988	+7.01%	0.0727	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.542027	-0.33%	0.5596	+2.91%	0.0009	✓	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.530324	-0.33%	0.5438	+2.20%	0.0132	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.526539	-0.35%	0.5321	+0.70%	0.0019	✓	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.504784	-0.30%	0.5284	+4.37%	0.0294	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.493419	-0.28%	0.5063	+2.32%	0.0090	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.515794	-0.33%	0.4948	-4.39%	0.0295	✓	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.490189	-0.21%	0.5175	+5.35%	0.0370	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.498646	-0.23%	0.4912	-1.72%	0.0048	✓	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.483842	-0.20%	0.4998	+3.09%	0.0315	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.474238	-0.24%	0.4848	+1.98%	0.0154	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.44367	-0.07%	0.4754	+7.07%	0.0675	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.443324	-0.06%	0.444	+0.09%	0.0072	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.443857	-0.05%	0.4436	-0.11%	0.0029	✓	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.442651	-0.06%	0.4441	+0.27%	0.0180	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.438543	-0.06%	0.4429	+0.93%	0.0110	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.451211	-0.09%	0.4388	-2.83%	0.0321	✓	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.443109	-0.07%	0.4516	+1.85%	0.0159	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.430555	-0.03%	0.4434	+2.95%	0.0062	✓	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.440917	-0.04%	0.4307	-2.36%	0.0132	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.46056	-0.07%	0.4411	-4.30%	0.0211	✓	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.461535	-0.08%	0.4609	-0.22%	0.0208	✓	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.477444	-0.10%	0.4619	-3.35%	0.0094	✓	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.500958	-0.13%	0.4779	-4.72%	0.0199	✓	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.491655	-0.11%	0.5016	+1.91%	0.0203	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.505583	-0.12%	0.4922	-2.77%	0.0022	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.493297	-0.08%	0.5062	+2.53%	0.0194	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.498064	-0.09%	0.4937	-0.96%	0.0005	✓	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.492249	-0.09%	0.4985	+1.18%	0.0136	✓	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.47306	-0.07%	0.4927	+4.08%	0.0374	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.479908	-0.06%	0.4734	-1.42%	0.0287	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.477578	-0.05%	0.4802	+0.50%	0.0065	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.495458	-0.05%	0.4778	-3.61%	0.0002	✓	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.50246	-0.07%	0.4957	-1.41%	0.0039	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.485568	-0.03%	0.5028	+3.52%	0.0072	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.469963	+0.01%	0.4857	+3.36%	0.0372	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.483612	-0.03%	0.4699	-2.86%	0.0304	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.492595	-0.02%	0.48375	-1.82%	0.0117	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.504587	-0.03%	0.4927	-2.39%	0.0228	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.510306	-0.04%	0.50475	-1.13%	0.0052	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.509756	-0.03%	0.5105	+0.12%	0.0105	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.5082	-0.02%	0.5099	+0.31%	0.0434	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.504109	-0.03%	0.5083	+0.80%	0.0225	✗	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.488877	+0.04%	0.50425	+3.18%	0.0090	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.486642	+0.07%	0.4887	+0.49%	0.0293	✗	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.498304	+0.05%	0.4863	-2.36%	0.0182	✗	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.507942	+0.02%	0.49805	-1.93%	0.0035	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.533949	-0.10%	0.50785	-4.99%	0.0289	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.544812	-0.14%	0.5345	-2.03%	0.0034	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.52901	-0.09%	0.54555	+3.03%	0.0182	✗	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.550536	-0.15%	0.5295	-3.96%	0.0069	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.571609	-0.21%	0.55135	-3.74%	0.0155	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.555002	-0.17%	0.5728	+3.03%	0.0159	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.566129	-0.22%	0.55595	-2.01%	0.0617	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.582188	-0.24%	0.56735	-2.78%	0.0047	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.591593	-0.26%	0.5836	-1.61%	0.0067	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.624487	-0.38%	0.59315	-5.38%	0.0090	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.625271	-0.36%	0.6269	-0.10%	0.0159	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.647543	-0.50%	0.6275	-3.58%	0.0681	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.690495	-0.89%	0.6508	-6.59%	0.0445	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.595206	-0.58%	0.6967	+16.37%	0.1294	✗	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.534579	-0.12%	0.5987	+11.86%	0.1520	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.518546	-0.02%	0.5352	+3.19%	0.0045	✓	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.532378	-0.04%	0.51865	-2.62%	0.0533	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.579466	-0.10%	0.5326	-8.18%	0.0258	✓	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.577686	-0.11%	0.58005	+0.30%	0.0029	✓	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.579711	-0.09%	0.5783	-0.34%	0.0097	✓	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.56474	-0.08%	0.58025	+2.66%	0.0087	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.589076	-0.12%	0.5652	-4.17%	0.0162	✓	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.590868	-0.11%	0.5898	-0.29%	0.0407	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.599626	-0.11%	0.5915	-1.47%	0.0035	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.613435	-0.17%	0.6003	-2.30%	0.0150	✓	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.604695	-0.18%	0.61445	+1.43%	0.0268	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.602363	-0.17%	0.6058	+0.40%	0.0037	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.593259	-0.17%	0.6034	+1.54%	0.0030	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.581856	-0.15%	0.59425	+1.97%	0.0179	✓	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.585234	-0.16%	0.58275	-0.59%	0.0078	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.597104	-0.20%	0.5862	-2.02%	0.0161	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.595613	-0.21%	0.5983	+0.24%	0.0245	✓	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.585481	-0.19%	0.59685	+1.75%	0.0036	✓	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.576782	-0.17%	0.5866	+1.53%	0.0052	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.595175	-0.20%	0.57775	-3.12%	0.0027	✓	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.607029	-0.23%	0.59635	-1.98%	0.0219	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.627199	-0.27%	0.6084	-3.26%	0.0033	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.655704	-0.35%	0.6289	-4.42%	0.0097	✓	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.628986	-0.34%	0.658	+4.25%	0.0422	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.578768	-0.25%	0.63115	+8.78%	0.0261	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.562516	-0.21%	0.5802	+2.93%	0.0634	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.675575	-0.34%	0.5637	-16.84%	0.0757	✓	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.683725	-0.32%	0.67785	-1.18%	0.0102	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.677324	-0.31%	0.68595	+0.96%	0.0099	✓	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.715053	-0.30%	0.67945	-5.26%	0.0129	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.712598	-0.29%	0.7172	+0.36%	0.0073	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.692086	-0.22%	0.71465	+3.03%	0.0199	✗	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.717625	-0.23%	0.6936	-3.57%	0.0357	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.710783	-0.23%	0.7193	+0.97%	0.0079	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.701375	-0.25%	0.7124	+1.32%	0.0080	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.667234	-0.21%	0.7031	+5.15%	0.0049	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.668305	-0.21%	0.66865	-0.16%	0.0044	✗	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.672229	-0.23%	0.6697	-0.60%	0.0330	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.668907	-0.24%	0.67375	+0.48%	0.0282	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.678559	-0.26%	0.6705	-1.44%	0.0117	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.655768	-0.25%	0.6803	+3.48%	0.0273	✗	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.696163	-0.28%	0.6574	-5.84%	0.0031	✗	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.697654	-0.27%	0.69815	-0.20%	0.0179	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.697128	-0.27%	0.69955	+0.07%	0.0134	✗	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.747957	-0.33%	0.69905	-6.84%	0.0340	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.758265	-0.34%	0.7504	-1.37%	0.0042	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.753334	-0.33%	0.76085	+0.66%	0.0091	✗	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.788987	-0.36%	0.75585	-4.55%	0.0245	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.785999	-0.36%	0.79185	+0.38%	0.0008	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.