XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s4

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

66.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1143

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0285

actual -0.0283

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.296179	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.29586	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.282523	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.283461	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.283517	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.297122	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.295115	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.289897	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.304006	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.283742	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.3039	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.281564	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.279251	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.270381	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.292135	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.31295	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.317331	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.311953	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.301374	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.295009	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.304016	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.293637	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.28863	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.289451	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.29667	-7.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.304177	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.307692	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.309039	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.306013	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.330807	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.328236	-3.38%	0.31526	-7.20%	0.0077	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.32798	-6.21%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0729	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.341974	-6.81%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.1380	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.283546	-4.05%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0418	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.243183	-4.51%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1458	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.242129	-4.53%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1930	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.238698	-4.31%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1790	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.262148	-3.92%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.1216	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.269897	-4.87%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.0961	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.255321	-3.93%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.1108	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.244052	-2.69%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1954	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.246277	-2.74%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1137	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.258388	-2.00%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.0883	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.245932	-1.48%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1182	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.236875	+0.72%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2206	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.24418	+1.37%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2424	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.242028	+1.34%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2522	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.234916	+2.01%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2537	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.234837	+2.71%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2715	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.219122	+0.60%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2606	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.216392	+0.94%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.3001	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.217019	+1.96%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.3072	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.215667	+2.25%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2855	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.226086	+2.93%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2537	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.226868	+2.80%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2570	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.24165	+4.68%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2515	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.237036	+3.99%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2678	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.234765	+4.98%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2628	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.243001	+5.59%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.2152	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.245822	+4.57%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.2293	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.243385	+4.72%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.2016	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.256244	+6.24%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2711	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.226606	+2.27%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3638	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.21085	-1.80%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1598	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.190977	-4.56%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0944	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.190127	-4.64%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0934	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.185404	-4.82%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0798	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.188218	-4.91%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1187	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.186721	-5.00%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1843	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.186737	-5.08%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.1196	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.184456	-5.06%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0747	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.185093	-4.85%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0957	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.188959	-4.83%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0958	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.192158	-4.99%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0379	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.197762	-4.94%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0592	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.191683	-4.84%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0246	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.190597	-5.06%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0304	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.186463	-5.19%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0387	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.18799	-5.08%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.0883	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.192497	-5.36%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1156	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.188867	-5.65%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1154	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.187423	-5.69%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1451	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.189088	-5.97%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1480	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.193472	-5.84%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1062	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.19232	-5.75%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1012	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.195039	-5.74%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1073	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.195943	-5.52%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1095	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.210848	-5.54%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1550	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.211634	-5.43%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1533	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.216689	-5.08%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1409	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.223985	-4.77%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1572	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.218568	-3.87%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1002	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.221452	-3.14%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1086	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.220818	-3.23%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.0995	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.216295	-3.15%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0778	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.218702	-2.93%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.0867	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.216407	-2.64%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.0857	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.214823	-2.56%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0678	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.222459	-2.24%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.0922	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.226843	-2.18%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1140	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.214041	-2.98%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1183	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.220802	-2.68%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1228	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.224762	-2.64%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1265	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.230597	-2.20%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1439	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.230233	-2.20%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1324	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.236553	-2.08%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2093	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.250208	-1.56%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2373	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.248088	-1.00%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2431	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.252713	-0.39%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2523	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.239763	+0.27%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1714	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.246968	+0.67%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.2278	✗	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.215021	+0.29%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.1011	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.210435	+0.33%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0959	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.203263	+0.44%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.0973	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.212499	+0.37%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.1047	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.211284	+0.42%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0963	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.213375	+0.35%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0934	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.216587	+0.28%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0610	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.213515	+0.36%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0321	✗	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.215946	+0.41%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0015	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.222712	+0.78%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0131	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.229979	+0.74%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0471	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.230583	+0.70%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0635	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.239513	+1.02%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0649	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.246671	+0.88%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.1199	✗	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.233681	+1.13%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0690	✗	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.248066	+1.20%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.1005	✗	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.248559	+1.53%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0892	✗	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.245561	+1.76%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0512	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.243169	+1.52%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0360	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.241	+1.16%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0521	✗	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.236786	+1.18%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0461	✗	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.236706	+0.98%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0285	✗	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.229295	+0.87%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0175	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.238307	+0.22%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0376	✗	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.244927	-0.31%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0002	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.244431	-0.43%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0388	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.243358	-0.45%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0243	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.242865	-0.16%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0005	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.272983	-1.81%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1216	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.288363	-2.71%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1389	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.285799	-2.89%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2075	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.305396	-3.96%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2133	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.31454	-4.09%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2270	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.318256	-4.17%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2239	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.292647	-3.94%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1412	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.297624	-3.93%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1535	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.30524	-4.19%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1559	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.317579	-4.27%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.1909	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.321214	-3.78%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.1823	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.321545	-4.07%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.1844	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.330281	-4.32%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2049	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.318618	-4.76%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.1708	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.334676	-4.28%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.1765	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.326595	-4.22%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1106	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.319649	-4.28%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1463	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.326771	-4.44%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1289	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.325949	-4.17%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1389	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.343615	-3.86%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2085	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.352775	-3.34%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2211	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.368439	-2.50%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2291	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.362296	-3.36%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2398	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.375335	-2.50%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2639	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.390709	-1.67%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.2942	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.396003	-1.14%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2608	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.380018	-1.75%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2246	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.386191	-2.11%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2516	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.368894	-1.75%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1784	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.38038	-0.70%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.2062	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.371376	-0.97%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0716	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.357586	-1.19%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0115	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.354739	-2.22%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0402	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.357297	-2.46%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0283	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.355822	-2.81%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0267	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.350435	-4.07%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0229	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.355265	-4.25%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1244	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.370354	-3.78%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1443	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.367885	-2.78%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1070	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.36524	-1.47%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0621	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.361888	-2.05%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0759	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.364603	-2.08%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.0783	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.371326	-0.83%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0534	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.368059	-1.15%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0621	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.357835	-2.40%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0376	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.356928	-2.59%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0653	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.34171	-3.50%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0605	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.357301	-2.14%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0590	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.375414	-1.17%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.1025	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.3679	-2.32%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0657	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.354922	-1.66%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0245	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.339636	-1.90%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0226	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.34925	-1.62%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0118	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.332241	-2.83%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0240	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.346132	-2.17%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0313	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.351176	-2.10%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0184	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.34458	-2.48%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0048	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.34277	-2.59%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0257	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.352766	-2.34%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0392	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.331372	-3.01%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0145	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.333144	-3.38%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0330	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.335827	-3.72%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.0903	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.335465	-4.08%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0761	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.328508	-4.09%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0479	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.337953	-3.94%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0545	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.339209	-3.74%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0348	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.334058	-3.67%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0188	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.328498	-3.33%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0150	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.334935	-3.23%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0294	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.339614	-2.88%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0802	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.358248	-3.18%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.0880	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.37679	-3.11%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.0927	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.387328	-3.19%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1361	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.380739	-3.26%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1190	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.366193	-3.28%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1149	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.3755	-3.35%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1189	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.391004	-3.06%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1441	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.378752	-2.73%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1144	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.383431	-2.53%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.0862	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.389511	-1.84%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0498	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.394277	-1.60%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.0878	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.381284	-1.45%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.1146	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.371784	-1.67%	0.355	-6.11%	0.0898	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.368673	-1.24%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0727	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.363916	-1.14%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0635	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.36115	-1.05%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0455	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.3603	-0.80%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.359165	-1.14%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0586	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.354131	-1.38%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0675	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.3577	-1.11%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0697	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.366888	-1.08%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0753	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.380979	-0.89%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0355	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.387268	-0.85%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0185	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.372182	-1.07%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0610	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.372435	-0.90%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0460	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.368705	-0.65%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0835	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.37978	-1.23%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0873	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.377627	-1.48%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.1071	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.385766	-1.59%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0904	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.389711	-1.59%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0831	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.361776	-1.18%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0497	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.363805	-1.39%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.37295	-1.61%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0276	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.381829	-1.76%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0124	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.386364	-1.54%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0182	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.377729	-1.31%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0006	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.379854	-1.29%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0000	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.389076	-1.50%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0350	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.393268	-1.50%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0339	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.391848	-1.55%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0602	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.413886	-2.20%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.1034	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.398905	-1.84%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0875	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.393692	-1.61%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.1151	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.388664	-1.39%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0973	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.394398	-2.00%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0940	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.400642	-2.45%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0947	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.400514	-2.86%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.0932	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.407818	-3.30%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.1035	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.413798	-3.73%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0750	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.385606	-2.01%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1366	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.4455	-4.74%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.1082	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.449486	-4.99%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.0892	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.45314	-5.36%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0649	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.438802	-4.98%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0327	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.44412	-4.74%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0244	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.48	-5.06%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0013	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.482298	-5.17%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0175	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.511166	-4.63%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0323	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.541415	-5.13%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0250	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.535741	-5.25%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0261	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.530527	-5.63%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0488	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.549581	-6.02%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0572	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.552665	-6.20%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.0825	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.543101	-6.33%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0459	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.554576	-6.68%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0578	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.518423	-6.13%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0194	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.574228	-5.93%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0818	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.553834	-5.18%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0182	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.572789	-4.84%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0505	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.588695	-4.88%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0765	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.556631	-4.38%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0283	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.555674	-3.86%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0215	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.565013	-4.59%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0178	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.52439	-5.48%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0147	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.536465	-5.72%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0111	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.548268	-5.75%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0337	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.548415	-5.43%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0188	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.555478	-5.37%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0063	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.53764	-5.23%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0900	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.567621	-5.21%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.1153	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.530665	-5.17%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1742	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.513842	-5.51%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1474	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.501879	-5.68%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.1230	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.498135	-5.73%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.1142	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.478603	-5.47%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.1181	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.471336	-4.74%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.1172	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.495268	-4.30%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0797	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.47089	-4.13%	0.536	+9.12%	0.1023	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.478312	-4.30%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1602	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.46733	-3.60%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1847	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.461711	-2.88%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2065	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.433497	-2.37%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2748	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.433629	-2.25%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2826	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.43501	-2.05%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2609	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.433949	-2.02%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.3040	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.42944	-2.13%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2559	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.440161	-2.53%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2721	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.433028	-2.34%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2280	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.421093	-2.23%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2318	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.431311	-2.22%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2406	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.449583	-2.46%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1596	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.449474	-2.69%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1158	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.464428	-2.82%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1504	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.486433	-3.02%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1195	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.478151	-2.85%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1663	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.494064	-2.40%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.1910	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.481973	-2.38%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2045	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.486495	-2.41%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2091	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.480479	-2.48%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1580	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.462244	-2.36%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2164	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.469396	-2.25%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1159	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.467819	-2.09%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1222	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.486915	-1.77%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1082	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.493287	-1.89%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1142	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.477954	-1.59%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.0916	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.462568	-1.56%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0500	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.475269	-1.75%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1133	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.484631	-1.64%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0665	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.496161	-1.70%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0503	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.5013	-1.80%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0163	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.500776	-1.79%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0061	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.49817	-1.99%	0.444	-12.65%	0.1128	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.493252	-2.18%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0962	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.478808	-2.02%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0847	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.476438	-2.03%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1336	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.487347	-2.15%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1607	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.494199	-2.69%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1179	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.516709	-3.33%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.0994	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.526125	-3.56%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0806	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.511629	-3.38%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0535	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.529764	-3.92%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0395	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.547217	-4.47%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0254	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.530962	-4.49%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0061	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.540212	-4.78%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0753	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.555993	-4.73%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0577	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.563835	-4.94%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0544	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.593053	-5.40%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0273	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.592741	-5.54%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0114	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.612672	-5.86%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0280	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.653907	-6.14%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.1212	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.571546	-4.54%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0078	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.517832	-3.25%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1514	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.5036	-2.90%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1339	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.519694	-2.42%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1800	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.565844	-2.45%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1526	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.563116	-2.63%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2093	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.56565	-2.52%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1534	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.551043	-2.50%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1709	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.572815	-2.88%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1779	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.576202	-2.59%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2287	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.585426	-2.48%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2446	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.595837	-3.03%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2884	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.58427	-3.55%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2474	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.581888	-3.57%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2372	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.572842	-3.60%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2751	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.56247	-3.48%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2722	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.565175	-3.59%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2706	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.575219	-3.86%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2517	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.572875	-4.02%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2148	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.562868	-4.05%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.1938	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.554466	-4.03%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.1989	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.57118	-4.22%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.2105	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.58264	-4.23%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.2182	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.600419	-4.53%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1547	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.625626	-4.92%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1392	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.599168	-5.07%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1699	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.552986	-4.69%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1957	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.538623	-4.45%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2777	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.639955	-5.59%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2630	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.648623	-5.44%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.3227	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.639788	-5.84%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1903	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.682389	-4.85%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0151	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.682405	-4.51%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0044	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.664168	-4.24%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0244	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.689486	-4.14%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0302	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.683385	-4.07%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0373	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.673686	-4.18%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0345	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.639643	-4.34%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0486	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.641412	-4.22%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0268	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.644242	-4.38%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0950	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.639555	-4.62%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1249	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.64712	-4.88%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1196	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.626575	-4.69%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0709	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.659892	-5.48%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0575	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.66046	-5.59%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0787	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.660287	-5.55%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0523	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.703656	-6.23%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.0895	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.710593	-6.61%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1024	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.706679	-6.51%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.0737	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.738189	-6.78%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.0968	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.735251	-6.79%	0.57775	-26.76%	0.1046	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.