HIVE

Hive · native · gru_s4

token id: #559
symbol: HIVE
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0506

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0009

actual -0.0147

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.05105	0.050503	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-21	oos	0.05085	0.050431	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.05045	0.05005	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04885	0.048551	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.04855	0.048344	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.04985	0.049564	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.05155	0.051176	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-15	oos	0.05165	0.051306	-0.67%	0.05105	-1.16%	0.0261	✓	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	0.05155	0.051146	-0.78%	0.05085	-1.36%	0.0307	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.05265	0.052229	-0.80%	0.05045	-4.18%	0.0330	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05215	0.051658	-0.94%	0.04885	-6.33%	0.0569	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.05615	0.05538	-1.37%	0.04855	-13.54%	0.1157	✓	0.79
2026-10-10	oos	0.05585	0.055038	-1.45%	0.04985	-10.74%	0.0844	✓	0.78
2026-10-09	oos	0.05535	0.054534	-1.47%	0.05155	-6.87%	0.0463	✓	0.78
2026-10-08	oos	0.0534	0.052701	-1.31%	0.05165	-3.28%	0.0242	✓	0.78
2026-10-07	oos	0.05495	0.054119	-1.51%	0.05155	-6.19%	0.0327	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.05755	0.056585	-1.68%	0.05265	-8.51%	0.0506	✓	0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.05785	0.05676	-1.88%	0.05215	-9.85%	0.0494	✓	0.74
2026-10-04	oos	0.05795	0.056909	-1.80%	0.05615	-3.11%	0.0115	✓	0.75
2026-10-03	oos	0.05655	0.055467	-1.92%	0.05585	-1.24%	0.0231	✗	0.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0562	0.05513	-1.90%	0.05535	-1.51%	0.0213	✗	0.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.05675	0.055613	-2.00%	0.0534	-5.90%	0.0126	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.05675	0.055554	-2.11%	0.05495	-3.17%	0.0084	✓	0.75
2026-09-29	oos	0.05585	0.054679	-2.10%	0.05755	+3.04%	0.0346	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	0.05595	0.054836	-1.99%	0.05785	+3.40%	0.0330	✗	0.76
2026-09-27	oos	0.0596	0.058357	-2.09%	0.05795	-2.77%	0.0251	✓	0.76
2026-09-26	oos	0.05995	0.058846	-1.84%	0.05655	-5.67%	0.0427	✓	0.75
2026-09-25	oos	0.05785	0.056971	-1.52%	0.0562	-2.85%	0.0173	✓	0.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.0576	0.056858	-1.29%	0.05675	-1.48%	0.0060	✓	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	0.0541	0.053595	-0.93%	0.05675	+4.90%	0.0646	✗	0.75
2026-09-22	oos	0.05615	0.055713	-0.78%	0.05585	-0.53%	0.0238	✗	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.05555	0.055229	-0.58%	0.05595	+0.72%	0.0389	✗	0.70
2026-09-20	oos	0.05375	0.053262	-0.91%	0.0596	+10.88%	0.0833	✗	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.05505	0.054463	-1.07%	0.05995	+8.90%	0.0679	✗	0.73
2026-09-18	oos	0.05345	0.05303	-0.79%	0.05785	+8.23%	0.0586	✗	0.73
2026-09-17	oos	0.0513	0.05115	-0.29%	0.0576	+12.28%	0.0456	✗	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.0523	0.052119	-0.35%	0.0541	+3.44%	0.0368	✓	0.72
2026-09-15	oos	0.0544	0.05392	-0.88%	0.05615	+3.22%	0.0568	✓	0.74
2026-09-14	oos	0.0524	0.052452	+0.10%	0.05555	+6.01%	0.0240	✗	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.05105	0.05121	+0.31%	0.05375	+5.29%	0.0050	✓	0.79
2026-09-12	oos	0.04885	0.049512	+1.36%	0.05505	+12.69%	0.0659	✓	0.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04565	0.046716	+2.34%	0.05345	+17.09%	0.0976	✓	0.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.04375	0.044985	+2.82%	0.0513	+17.26%	0.1333	✓	0.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.0456	0.046953	+2.97%	0.0523	+14.69%	0.1292	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.04565	0.047091	+3.16%	0.0544	+19.17%	0.1748	✓	0.82
2026-09-07	oos	0.0456	0.047223	+3.56%	0.0524	+14.91%	0.1135	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.04685	0.04859	+3.71%	0.05105	+8.96%	0.0867	✓	0.83
2026-09-05	oos	0.04675	0.048426	+3.58%	0.04885	+4.49%	0.0359	✓	0.83
2026-09-04	oos	0.04645	0.048096	+3.54%	0.04565	-1.72%	0.0274	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.04615	0.048063	+4.15%	0.04375	-5.20%	0.0458	✗	0.80
2026-09-02	oos	0.0442	0.045315	+2.52%	0.0456	+3.17%	0.0046	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	0.04375	0.044731	+2.24%	0.04565	+4.34%	0.0085	✓	0.88
2026-08-31	oos	0.04335	0.04443	+2.49%	0.0456	+5.19%	0.0201	✓	0.88
2026-08-30	oos	0.042	0.042808	+1.92%	0.04685	+11.55%	0.0643	✓	0.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.04285	0.043614	+1.78%	0.04675	+9.10%	0.0525	✓	0.84
2026-08-28	oos	0.04325	0.043908	+1.52%	0.04645	+7.40%	0.0371	✓	0.82
2026-08-27	oos	0.04395	0.044927	+2.22%	0.04615	+5.01%	0.0166	✓	0.83
2026-08-26	oos	0.0436	0.044441	+1.93%	0.0442	+1.38%	0.0129	✓	0.83
2026-08-25	oos	0.0419	0.042647	+1.78%	0.04375	+4.42%	0.0376	✓	0.83
2026-08-24	oos	0.04285	0.043545	+1.62%	0.04335	+1.17%	0.0001	✓	0.83
2026-08-23	oos	0.04395	0.044463	+1.17%	0.042	-4.44%	0.0563	✗	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.0438	0.044265	+1.06%	0.04285	-2.17%	0.0455	✗	0.85
2026-08-21	oos	0.04515	0.045708	+1.24%	0.04325	-4.21%	0.0500	✗	0.85
2026-08-20	oos	0.0421	0.042232	+0.31%	0.04395	+4.39%	0.0389	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.04015	0.039923	-0.57%	0.0436	+8.59%	0.0189	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	0.03805	0.03785	-0.52%	0.0419	+10.12%	0.0561	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.03865	0.03848	-0.44%	0.04285	+10.87%	0.0595	✓	0.82
2026-08-16	oos	0.03885	0.038696	-0.40%	0.04395	+13.13%	0.0529	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	0.03935	0.039203	-0.37%	0.0438	+11.31%	0.0586	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.0392	0.03905	-0.38%	0.04515	+15.18%	0.0400	✓	0.85
2026-08-13	oos	0.0396	0.039471	-0.33%	0.0421	+6.31%	0.0550	✓	0.85
2026-08-12	oos	0.03955	0.039437	-0.29%	0.04015	+1.52%	0.0591	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.04015	0.040013	-0.34%	0.03805	-5.23%	0.0661	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.04095	0.04076	-0.46%	0.03865	-5.62%	0.0611	✓	0.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.0416	0.041328	-0.65%	0.03885	-6.61%	0.0335	✓	0.90
2026-08-08	oos	0.04185	0.041516	-0.80%	0.03935	-5.97%	0.0271	✓	0.90
2026-08-07	oos	0.04145	0.041158	-0.70%	0.0392	-5.43%	0.0220	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.0414	0.041132	-0.65%	0.0396	-4.35%	0.0263	✓	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.04165	0.041359	-0.70%	0.03955	-5.04%	0.0282	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.04135	0.041098	-0.61%	0.04015	-2.90%	0.0161	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.04185	0.041581	-0.64%	0.04095	-2.15%	0.0214	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.04245	0.042139	-0.73%	0.0416	-2.00%	0.0334	✓	0.98
2026-08-01	oos	0.04175	0.041489	-0.63%	0.04185	+0.24%	0.0237	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.04245	0.042133	-0.75%	0.04145	-2.36%	0.0476	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0425	0.042113	-0.91%	0.0414	-2.59%	0.0101	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.04215	0.041809	-0.81%	0.04165	-1.19%	0.0146	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	0.04395	0.043576	-0.85%	0.04135	-5.92%	0.0555	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	0.0439	0.043562	-0.77%	0.04185	-4.67%	0.0366	✓	0.98
2026-07-26	oos	0.0473	0.046859	-0.93%	0.04245	-10.25%	0.0720	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.04705	0.046681	-0.78%	0.04175	-11.26%	0.0887	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.04615	0.045864	-0.62%	0.04245	-8.02%	0.0587	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.0469	0.046591	-0.66%	0.0425	-9.38%	0.0871	✓	0.94
2026-07-22	oos	0.04805	0.047726	-0.67%	0.04215	-12.28%	0.0928	✓	0.93
2026-07-21	oos	0.04875	0.048405	-0.71%	0.04395	-9.85%	0.0583	✓	0.93
2026-07-20	oos	0.0482	0.047866	-0.69%	0.0439	-8.92%	0.0650	✓	0.91
2026-07-19	oos	0.04795	0.047642	-0.64%	0.0473	-1.36%	0.0164	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.04795	0.047695	-0.53%	0.04705	-1.88%	0.0065	✓	0.91
2026-07-17	oos	0.04845	0.048205	-0.50%	0.04615	-4.75%	0.0464	✓	0.96
2026-07-16	oos	0.0484	0.0482	-0.41%	0.0469	-3.10%	0.0461	✓	0.94
2026-07-15	oos	0.04945	0.049248	-0.41%	0.04805	-2.83%	0.0446	✓	0.95
2026-07-14	oos	0.0493	0.049136	-0.33%	0.04875	-1.12%	0.0302	✓	0.96
2026-07-13	oos	0.0482	0.048047	-0.32%	0.0482	+0.00%	0.0427	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.04885	0.048708	-0.29%	0.04795	-1.84%	0.0303	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.04945	0.049261	-0.38%	0.04795	-3.03%	0.0424	✓	0.97
2026-07-10	oos	0.0493	0.049103	-0.40%	0.04845	-1.72%	0.0099	✓	0.96
2026-07-09	oos	0.0488	0.048619	-0.37%	0.0484	-0.82%	0.0135	✓	0.96
2026-07-08	oos	0.0487	0.048532	-0.35%	0.04945	+1.54%	0.0187	✓	0.96
2026-07-07	oos	0.04885	0.048691	-0.33%	0.0493	+0.92%	0.0127	✓	0.97
2026-07-06	oos	0.0504	0.050207	-0.38%	0.0482	-4.37%	0.0142	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.0507	0.050507	-0.38%	0.04885	-3.65%	0.0357	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.05185	0.051625	-0.43%	0.04945	-4.63%	0.0535	✓	0.96
2026-07-03	oos	0.0516	0.051358	-0.47%	0.0493	-4.46%	0.0648	✓	0.94
2026-07-02	oos	0.0504	0.050235	-0.33%	0.0488	-3.17%	0.0543	✓	0.93
2026-07-01	oos	0.0504	0.050283	-0.23%	0.0487	-3.37%	0.0675	✓	0.95
2026-06-30	oos	0.0481	0.048147	+0.10%	0.04885	+1.56%	0.0590	✗	0.93
2026-06-29	oos	0.0506	0.050556	-0.09%	0.0504	-0.40%	0.0596	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.0514	0.051377	-0.05%	0.0507	-1.36%	0.0742	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.0501	0.050152	+0.10%	0.05185	+3.49%	0.0137	✗	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0503	0.050334	+0.07%	0.0516	+2.58%	0.0130	✗	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.0491	0.049186	+0.17%	0.0504	+2.65%	0.0026	✗	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.0479	0.048014	+0.24%	0.0504	+5.22%	0.0646	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.04835	0.048453	+0.21%	0.0481	-0.52%	0.0581	✓	0.96
2026-06-22	oos	0.0496	0.049635	+0.07%	0.0506	+2.02%	0.0776	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.049	0.049086	+0.18%	0.0514	+4.90%	0.1044	✓	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.04945	0.049487	+0.07%	0.0501	+1.31%	0.0775	✓	0.94
2026-06-19	oos	0.04845	0.04856	+0.23%	0.0503	+3.82%	0.0881	✓	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.05005	0.050165	+0.23%	0.0491	-1.90%	0.0288	✓	0.97
2026-06-17	oos	0.0517	0.051749	+0.09%	0.0479	-7.35%	0.0237	✗	0.97
2026-06-16	oos	0.05125	0.051303	+0.10%	0.04835	-5.66%	0.0136	✗	0.99
2026-06-15	oos	0.0514	0.051379	-0.04%	0.0496	-3.50%	0.0002	✓	0.99
2026-06-14	oos	0.05065	0.050634	-0.03%	0.049	-3.26%	0.0047	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0504	0.050404	+0.01%	0.04945	-1.88%	0.0159	✗	0.99
2026-06-12	oos	0.05075	0.050784	+0.07%	0.04845	-4.53%	0.0461	✗	0.99
2026-06-11	oos	0.0521	0.052088	-0.02%	0.05005	-3.93%	0.0292	✓	0.99
2026-06-10	oos	0.0484	0.048736	+0.69%	0.0517	+6.82%	0.0138	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	0.04705	0.047483	+0.92%	0.05125	+8.93%	0.0176	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.0492	0.049486	+0.58%	0.0514	+4.47%	0.0088	✗	0.94
2026-06-07	oos	0.0502	0.050433	+0.46%	0.05065	+0.90%	0.0303	✗	0.93
2026-06-06	oos	0.0508	0.051165	+0.72%	0.0504	-0.79%	0.0703	✗	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0511	0.051468	+0.72%	0.05075	-0.68%	0.0526	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.0561	0.055965	-0.24%	0.0521	-7.13%	0.0681	✓	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.0585	0.058194	-0.52%	0.0484	-17.26%	0.1477	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0604	0.059826	-0.95%	0.04705	-22.10%	0.1718	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	0.0605	0.059825	-1.12%	0.0492	-18.68%	0.0822	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.0684	0.066531	-2.73%	0.0502	-26.61%	0.1555	✓	0.84
2026-05-30	oos	0.0583	0.057637	-1.14%	0.0508	-12.86%	0.0350	✗	0.84
2026-05-29	oos	0.05795	0.057309	-1.11%	0.0511	-11.82%	0.0403	✗	0.84
2026-05-28	oos	0.05815	0.057465	-1.18%	0.0561	-3.53%	0.0947	✗	0.84
2026-05-27	oos	0.06	0.059189	-1.35%	0.0585	-2.50%	0.1140	✗	0.84
2026-05-26	oos	0.061	0.060179	-1.35%	0.0604	-0.98%	0.1116	✗	0.84
2026-05-25	oos	0.0631	0.062192	-1.44%	0.0605	-4.12%	0.0380	✗	0.82
2026-05-24	oos	0.06005	0.059405	-1.07%	0.0684	+13.91%	0.1779	✗	0.82
2026-05-23	oos	0.0612	0.060441	-1.24%	0.0583	-4.74%	0.0048	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0591	0.058459	-1.08%	0.05795	-1.95%	0.0139	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.06035	0.059731	-1.02%	0.05815	-3.65%	0.0167	✗	0.81
2026-05-20	oos	0.05955	0.05896	-0.99%	0.06	+0.76%	0.0513	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.0582	0.057652	-0.94%	0.061	+4.81%	0.0664	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.0594	0.05885	-0.93%	0.0631	+6.23%	0.0665	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	0.0581	0.057657	-0.76%	0.06005	+3.36%	0.0452	✗	0.82
2026-05-16	oos	0.0603	0.05976	-0.90%	0.0612	+1.49%	0.0391	✗	0.81
2026-05-15	oos	0.0612	0.06069	-0.83%	0.0591	-3.43%	0.0122	✗	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.0642	0.063681	-0.81%	0.06035	-6.00%	0.0173	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.06215	0.061576	-0.92%	0.05955	-4.18%	0.0148	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.0669	0.066199	-1.05%	0.0582	-13.00%	0.0921	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.0672	0.06659	-0.91%	0.0594	-11.61%	0.0685	✓	0.76
2026-05-10	oos	0.0667	0.06625	-0.68%	0.0581	-12.89%	0.0850	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.0662	0.065602	-0.90%	0.0603	-8.91%	0.0595	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.0676	0.06686	-1.10%	0.0612	-9.47%	0.0778	✓	0.75
2026-05-07	oos	0.0663	0.065716	-0.88%	0.0642	-3.17%	0.0330	✓	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0677	0.067338	-0.53%	0.06215	-8.20%	0.0600	✓	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.0733	0.072216	-1.48%	0.0669	-8.73%	0.0719	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.0595	0.059518	+0.03%	0.0672	+12.94%	0.1021	✓	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.0596	0.059379	-0.37%	0.0667	+11.91%	0.0792	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0603	0.06004	-0.43%	0.0662	+9.78%	0.0774	✗	0.82
2026-05-01	oos	0.0595	0.059217	-0.48%	0.0676	+13.61%	0.1123	✗	0.82
2026-04-30	oos	0.05905	0.058515	-0.91%	0.0663	+12.28%	0.0856	✗	0.83
2026-04-29	oos	0.0595	0.058869	-1.06%	0.0677	+13.78%	0.0797	✗	0.83
2026-04-28	oos	0.0606	0.059969	-1.04%	0.0733	+20.96%	0.1515	✗	0.84
2026-04-27	oos	0.0605	0.060011	-0.81%	0.0595	-1.65%	0.0353	✓	0.85
2026-04-26	oos	0.0624	0.062096	-0.49%	0.0596	-4.49%	0.0398	✓	0.84
2026-04-25	oos	0.06275	0.062225	-0.84%	0.0603	-3.90%	0.0426	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.0615	0.061005	-0.81%	0.0595	-3.25%	0.0334	✓	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.06145	0.06117	-0.46%	0.05905	-3.91%	0.0135	✓	0.85
2026-04-22	oos	0.06095	0.060702	-0.41%	0.0595	-2.38%	0.0072	✗	0.85
2026-04-21	oos	0.0616	0.061042	-0.91%	0.0606	-1.62%	0.0069	✓	0.86
2026-04-20	oos	0.06175	0.061185	-0.92%	0.0605	-2.02%	0.0281	✓	0.86
2026-04-19	oos	0.0602	0.059581	-1.03%	0.0624	+3.65%	0.0092	✓	0.87
2026-04-18	oos	0.0646	0.064102	-0.77%	0.06275	-2.86%	0.0428	✓	0.86
2026-04-17	oos	0.0641	0.063926	-0.27%	0.0615	-4.06%	0.0428	✓	0.87
2026-04-16	oos	0.06175	0.061339	-0.67%	0.06145	-0.49%	0.0332	✓	0.86
2026-04-15	oos	0.0596	0.059194	-0.68%	0.06095	+2.27%	0.0086	✓	0.86
2026-04-14	oos	0.05845	0.058007	-0.76%	0.0616	+5.39%	0.0353	✗	0.86
2026-04-13	oos	0.0602	0.059758	-0.73%	0.06175	+2.57%	0.0166	✗	0.86
2026-04-12	oos	0.0585	0.057938	-0.96%	0.0602	+2.91%	0.0013	✓	0.87
2026-04-11	oos	0.0597	0.05918	-0.87%	0.0646	+8.21%	0.0565	✗	0.87
2026-04-10	oos	0.0603	0.059863	-0.72%	0.0641	+6.30%	0.0208	✗	0.87
2026-04-09	oos	0.0599	0.059464	-0.73%	0.06175	+3.09%	0.0022	✓	0.87
2026-04-08	oos	0.059	0.058597	-0.68%	0.0596	+1.02%	0.0278	✓	0.87
2026-04-07	oos	0.06045	0.059959	-0.81%	0.05845	-3.31%	0.0525	✓	0.87
2026-04-06	oos	0.0586	0.058152	-0.76%	0.0602	+2.73%	0.0317	✓	0.85
2026-04-05	oos	0.0586	0.058103	-0.85%	0.0585	-0.17%	0.0145	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.05905	0.058621	-0.73%	0.0597	+1.10%	0.0528	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0597	0.05926	-0.74%	0.0603	+1.01%	0.0570	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.056877	-0.56%	0.0599	+4.72%	0.0090	✓	0.86
2026-04-01	oos	0.058	0.057589	-0.71%	0.059	+1.72%	0.0126	✓	0.86
2026-03-31	oos	0.057	0.056623	-0.66%	0.06045	+6.05%	0.0201	✗	0.86
2026-03-30	oos	0.0568	0.056528	-0.48%	0.0586	+3.17%	0.0089	✗	0.87
2026-03-29	oos	0.05625	0.056041	-0.37%	0.0586	+4.18%	0.0059	✗	0.86
2026-03-28	oos	0.0578	0.05755	-0.43%	0.05905	+2.16%	0.0133	✗	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	0.0581	0.057891	-0.36%	0.0597	+2.75%	0.0230	✗	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	0.06065	0.060392	-0.43%	0.0572	-5.69%	0.0307	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.0626	0.062383	-0.35%	0.058	-7.35%	0.0337	✓	0.86
2026-03-24	oos	0.0627	0.062601	-0.16%	0.057	-9.09%	0.0652	✓	0.86
2026-03-23	oos	0.06175	0.061759	+0.01%	0.0568	-8.02%	0.0322	✗	0.86
2026-03-22	oos	0.05985	0.059929	+0.13%	0.05625	-6.02%	0.0391	✗	0.86
2026-03-21	oos	0.0609	0.061028	+0.21%	0.0578	-5.09%	0.0213	✗	0.86
2026-03-20	oos	0.0643	0.064419	+0.19%	0.0581	-9.64%	0.0517	✗	0.85
2026-03-19	oos	0.06275	0.062955	+0.33%	0.06065	-3.35%	0.0232	✗	0.85
2026-03-18	oos	0.06425	0.064555	+0.47%	0.0626	-2.57%	0.0314	✗	0.86
2026-03-17	oos	0.0671	0.067543	+0.66%	0.0627	-6.56%	0.0341	✗	0.86
2026-03-16	oos	0.0654	0.065963	+0.86%	0.06175	-5.58%	0.0182	✗	0.87
2026-03-15	oos	0.0635	0.064048	+0.86%	0.05985	-5.75%	0.0067	✓	0.86
2026-03-14	oos	0.06255	0.063134	+0.93%	0.0609	-2.64%	0.0074	✓	0.87
2026-03-13	oos	0.0627	0.063285	+0.93%	0.0643	+2.55%	0.0214	✓	0.87
2026-03-12	oos	0.0633	0.063873	+0.91%	0.06275	-0.87%	0.0101	✗	0.87
2026-03-11	oos	0.0636	0.064173	+0.90%	0.06425	+1.02%	0.0116	✗	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.0621	0.062688	+0.95%	0.0671	+8.05%	0.0201	✓	0.87
2026-03-09	oos	0.0622	0.062775	+0.92%	0.0654	+5.14%	0.0377	✗	0.87
2026-03-08	oos	0.061	0.061613	+1.01%	0.0635	+4.10%	0.0573	✗	0.88
2026-03-07	oos	0.0613	0.061912	+1.00%	0.06255	+2.04%	0.0407	✗	0.89
2026-03-06	oos	0.0623	0.062926	+1.00%	0.0627	+0.64%	0.0394	✗	0.88
2026-03-05	oos	0.0639	0.06456	+1.03%	0.0633	-0.94%	0.0153	✗	0.89
2026-03-04	oos	0.0649	0.06563	+1.13%	0.0636	-2.00%	0.0007	✓	0.89
2026-03-03	oos	0.0641	0.064825	+1.13%	0.0621	-3.12%	0.0646	✗	0.92
2026-03-02	oos	0.06555	0.066315	+1.17%	0.0622	-5.11%	0.0587	✗	0.92
2026-03-01	oos	0.0641	0.06491	+1.26%	0.061	-4.84%	0.0650	✗	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0658	0.066571	+1.17%	0.0613	-6.84%	0.0866	✗	0.94
2026-02-27	oos	0.06555	0.066331	+1.19%	0.0623	-4.96%	0.0944	✗	0.94
2026-02-26	oos	0.0683	0.069013	+1.04%	0.0639	-6.44%	0.1231	✗	0.94
2026-02-25	oos	0.0663	0.067067	+1.16%	0.0649	-2.11%	0.0956	✗	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.06355	0.06445	+1.42%	0.0641	+0.87%	0.0670	✗	0.95
2026-02-23	oos	0.0636	0.064489	+1.40%	0.06555	+3.07%	0.0430	✗	0.94
2026-02-22	oos	0.066	0.066814	+1.23%	0.0641	-2.88%	0.0153	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.06845	0.06925	+1.17%	0.0658	-3.87%	0.0372	✗	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0684	0.069232	+1.22%	0.06555	-4.17%	0.0247	✗	0.94
2026-02-19	oos	0.0684	0.069287	+1.30%	0.0683	-0.15%	0.0216	✗	0.95
2026-02-18	oos	0.06855	0.069519	+1.41%	0.0663	-3.28%	0.0697	✗	0.95
2026-02-17	oos	0.072	0.072861	+1.20%	0.06355	-11.74%	0.0889	✗	0.93
2026-02-16	oos	0.0724	0.073295	+1.24%	0.0636	-12.15%	0.0830	✗	0.93
2026-02-15	oos	0.0719	0.072852	+1.32%	0.066	-8.21%	0.0828	✗	0.93
2026-02-14	oos	0.0763	0.077125	+1.08%	0.06845	-10.29%	0.0948	✗	0.92
2026-02-13	oos	0.0739	0.074831	+1.26%	0.0684	-7.44%	0.0787	✗	0.92
2026-02-12	oos	0.07205	0.07313	+1.50%	0.0684	-5.07%	0.0775	✗	0.93
2026-02-11	oos	0.0711	0.072204	+1.55%	0.06855	-3.59%	0.0437	✗	0.91
2026-02-10	oos	0.07045	0.071498	+1.49%	0.072	+2.20%	0.0250	✓	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.073	0.073927	+1.27%	0.0724	-0.82%	0.0045	✓	0.92
2026-02-08	oos	0.0716	0.072618	+1.42%	0.0719	+0.42%	0.0098	✓	0.92
2026-02-07	oos	0.0768	0.077662	+1.12%	0.0763	-0.65%	0.0251	✗	0.94
2026-02-06	oos	0.0736	0.074621	+1.39%	0.0739	+0.41%	0.0137	✓	0.95
2026-02-05	oos	0.0666	0.069217	+3.93%	0.07205	+8.18%	0.0112	✓	0.97
2026-02-04	oos	0.0789	0.079663	+0.97%	0.0711	-9.89%	0.0336	✗	0.94
2026-02-03	oos	0.0809	0.081425	+0.65%	0.07045	-12.92%	0.0565	✗	0.93
2026-02-02	oos	0.0816	0.081897	+0.36%	0.073	-10.54%	0.0037	✗	0.97
2026-02-01	oos	0.0801	0.080802	+0.88%	0.0716	-10.61%	0.0334	✗	0.97
2026-01-31	oos	0.0812	0.081889	+0.85%	0.0768	-5.42%	0.0689	✓	1.05
2026-01-30	oos	0.08735	0.087136	-0.25%	0.0736	-15.74%	0.0146	✗	1.04
2026-01-29	oos	0.0871	0.086933	-0.19%	0.0666	-23.54%	0.0448	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.09345	0.092583	-0.93%	0.0789	-15.57%	0.0458	✗	1.03
2026-01-27	oos	0.0946	0.093669	-0.98%	0.0809	-14.48%	0.0249	✗	1.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.0928	0.092026	-0.83%	0.0816	-12.07%	0.0015	✓	1.03
2026-01-25	oos	0.0914	0.090861	-0.59%	0.0801	-12.36%	0.0033	✓	1.04
2026-01-24	oos	0.0953	0.094353	-0.99%	0.0812	-14.80%	0.0218	✓	1.03
2026-01-23	oos	0.0947	0.093789	-0.96%	0.08735	-7.76%	0.0071	✓	1.04
2026-01-22	oos	0.09465	0.093713	-0.99%	0.0871	-7.98%	0.0144	✓	1.03
2026-01-21	oos	0.0968	0.095721	-1.11%	0.09345	-3.46%	0.0217	✓	1.03
2026-01-20	oos	0.094	0.093076	-0.98%	0.0946	+0.64%	0.0069	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.1001	0.098839	-1.26%	0.0928	-7.29%	0.0147	✓	1.01
2026-01-18	oos	0.1021	0.100738	-1.33%	0.0914	-10.48%	0.0174	✓	1.02
2026-01-17	oos	0.1067	0.105256	-1.35%	0.0953	-10.68%	0.0341	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.1066	0.105157	-1.35%	0.0947	-11.16%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.10445	0.103156	-1.24%	0.09465	-9.38%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.1084	0.107197	-1.11%	0.0968	-10.70%	0.0210	✓	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.1093	0.107931	-1.25%	0.094	-14.00%	0.0601	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	0.1039	0.102536	-1.31%	0.1001	-3.66%	0.0392	✓	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.106	0.104594	-1.33%	0.1021	-3.68%	0.0548	✓	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.1103	0.108687	-1.46%	0.1067	-3.26%	0.0716	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	0.1082	0.106663	-1.42%	0.1066	-1.48%	0.0586	✓	1.08
2026-01-08	oos	0.1098	0.108341	-1.33%	0.10445	-4.87%	0.0890	✓	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1084	0.107104	-1.20%	0.1084	+0.00%	0.0726	✓	1.40
2026-01-06	oos	0.1026	0.101629	-0.95%	0.1093	+6.53%	0.0471	✗	1.46
2026-01-05	oos	0.102	0.101049	-0.93%	0.1039	+1.86%	0.0701	✗	1.46
2026-01-04	oos	0.0992	0.098322	-0.88%	0.106	+6.85%	0.0852	✗	1.46
2026-01-03	oos	0.0988	0.09799	-0.82%	0.1103	+11.64%	0.1220	✗	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.0985	0.097648	-0.87%	0.1082	+9.85%	0.0935	✗	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.0967	0.095941	-0.79%	0.1098	+13.55%	0.0976	✗	1.46
2025-12-31	oos	0.0965	0.095864	-0.66%	0.1084	+12.33%	0.0609	✗	1.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1011	0.100326	-0.77%	0.1026	+1.48%	0.0628	✓	1.46
2025-12-29	oos	0.1048	0.103925	-0.84%	0.102	-2.67%	0.1286	✓	1.47
2025-12-28	oos	0.0991	0.098673	-0.43%	0.0992	+0.10%	0.0544	✓	1.48
2025-12-27	oos	0.095	0.094955	-0.05%	0.0988	+4.00%	0.0060	✓	1.46
2025-12-26	oos	0.09	0.090122	+0.14%	0.0985	+9.44%	0.0456	✓	1.44
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.090939	+0.04%	0.0967	+6.38%	0.0357	✓	1.44
2025-12-24	oos	0.0922	0.092195	-0.01%	0.0965	+4.66%	0.0475	✗	1.45
2025-12-23	oos	0.09415	0.094155	+0.00%	0.1011	+7.38%	0.0552	✓	1.45
2025-12-22	oos	0.0955	0.095533	+0.03%	0.1048	+9.74%	0.1164	✓	1.45
2025-12-21	oos	0.0884	0.088813	+0.47%	0.0991	+12.10%	0.1221	✓	1.44
2025-12-20	oos	0.08965	0.090034	+0.43%	0.095	+5.97%	0.0622	✓	1.46
2025-12-19	oos	0.0899	0.09032	+0.47%	0.09	+0.11%	0.0097	✓	1.46
2025-12-18	oos	0.0854	0.086056	+0.77%	0.0909	+6.44%	0.0260	✓	1.45
2025-12-17	oos	0.08915	0.089618	+0.52%	0.0922	+3.42%	0.0051	✓	1.45
2025-12-16	oos	0.0938	0.094044	+0.26%	0.09415	+0.37%	0.0081	✓	1.44
2025-12-15	oos	0.0947	0.094978	+0.29%	0.0955	+0.84%	0.0301	✗	1.46
2025-12-14	oos	0.09845	0.098527	+0.08%	0.0884	-10.21%	0.1161	✗	1.45
2025-12-13	oos	0.1024	0.102302	-0.10%	0.08965	-12.45%	0.1007	✓	1.45
2025-12-12	oos	0.10175	0.101754	+0.00%	0.0899	-11.65%	0.0884	✗	1.45
2025-12-11	oos	0.1031	0.103104	+0.00%	0.0854	-17.17%	0.0720	✗	1.46
2025-12-10	oos	0.1031	0.103075	-0.02%	0.08915	-13.53%	0.0494	✓	1.46
2025-12-09	oos	0.1059	0.105748	-0.14%	0.0938	-11.43%	0.0418	✓	1.46
2025-12-08	oos	0.1024	0.102406	+0.01%	0.0947	-7.52%	0.0091	✗	1.44
2025-12-07	oos	0.1009	0.101045	+0.14%	0.09845	-2.43%	0.0100	✓	1.44
2025-12-06	oos	0.1047	0.10485	+0.14%	0.1024	-2.20%	0.0397	✗	1.46
2025-12-05	oos	0.1028	0.103084	+0.28%	0.10175	-1.02%	0.0282	✗	1.46
2025-12-04	oos	0.1056	0.105859	+0.25%	0.1031	-2.37%	0.0336	✗	1.47
2025-12-03	oos	0.1081	0.108328	+0.21%	0.1031	-4.63%	0.0269	✗	1.48
2025-12-02	oos	0.1063	0.106675	+0.35%	0.1059	-0.38%	0.0296	✗	1.48
2025-12-01	oos	0.1008	0.101554	+0.75%	0.1024	+1.59%	0.0671	✗	1.53
2025-11-30	oos	0.1069	0.107427	+0.49%	0.1009	-5.61%	0.0632	✗	1.54
2025-11-29	oos	0.1088	0.109422	+0.57%	0.1047	-3.77%	0.0175	✗	1.54
2025-11-28	oos	0.1091	0.109804	+0.65%	0.1028	-5.77%	0.0394	✗	1.54
2025-11-27	oos	0.1102	0.110894	+0.63%	0.1056	-4.17%	0.0619	✗	1.54
2025-11-26	oos	0.107	0.107793	+0.74%	0.1081	+1.03%	0.0462	✗	1.51
2025-11-25	oos	0.10675	0.10768	+0.87%	0.1063	-0.42%	0.0825	✗	1.56
2025-11-24	oos	0.1064	0.107319	+0.86%	0.1008	-5.26%	0.0271	✗	1.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.1023	0.103495	+1.17%	0.1069	+4.50%	0.0306	✗	1.57
2025-11-22	oos	0.102	0.103439	+1.41%	0.1088	+6.67%	0.0613	✗	1.60
2025-11-21	oos	0.1023	0.103827	+1.49%	0.1091	+6.65%	0.0561	✗	1.59
2025-11-20	oos	0.1078	0.108998	+1.11%	0.1102	+2.23%	0.0741	✗	1.58
2025-11-19	oos	0.1102	0.110976	+0.70%	0.107	-2.90%	0.0180	✗	1.69
2025-11-18	oos	0.111	0.11168	+0.61%	0.10675	-3.83%	0.0601	✓	1.70
2025-11-17	oos	0.1078	0.108697	+0.83%	0.1064	-1.30%	0.0509	✓	1.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.1099	0.110624	+0.66%	0.1023	-6.92%	0.0605	✓	1.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.1138	0.114302	+0.44%	0.102	-10.37%	0.0912	✓	1.70
2025-11-14	oos	0.1124	0.113137	+0.66%	0.1023	-8.99%	0.0781	✓	1.70
2025-11-13	oos	0.1136	0.114019	+0.37%	0.1078	-5.11%	0.2005	✓	1.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1187	0.118938	+0.20%	0.1102	-7.16%	0.1156	✓	1.82
2025-11-11	oos	0.1196	0.119919	+0.27%	0.111	-7.19%	0.1098	✓	1.81
2025-11-10	oos	0.1261	0.126114	+0.01%	0.1078	-14.51%	0.0944	✓	1.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.1244	0.12453	+0.10%	0.1099	-11.66%	0.0657	✓	1.80
2025-11-08	oos	0.1233	0.123607	+0.25%	0.1138	-7.70%	0.0417	✓	1.83
2025-11-07	oos	0.124	0.124204	+0.16%	0.1124	-9.35%	0.0593	✓	1.79
2025-11-06	oos	0.1119	0.11288	+0.88%	0.1136	+1.52%	0.0355	✓	1.75
2025-11-05	oos	0.1111	0.111937	+0.75%	0.1187	+6.84%	0.0973	✓	1.78
2025-11-04	oos	0.1068	0.108265	+1.37%	0.1196	+11.99%	0.0727	✓	1.78
2025-11-03	oos	0.1126	0.113506	+0.80%	0.1261	+11.99%	0.1153	✓	1.84
2025-11-02	oos	0.1278	0.128214	+0.32%	0.1244	-2.66%	0.0666	✓	1.78
2025-11-01	oos	0.1281	0.128621	+0.41%	0.1233	-3.75%	0.0886	✓	1.79
2025-10-31	oos	0.1237	0.124403	+0.57%	0.124	+0.24%	0.1018	✓	1.78
2025-10-30	oos	0.1225	0.123378	+0.72%	0.1119	-8.65%	0.0221	✓	1.79
2025-10-29	oos	0.1309	0.131421	+0.40%	0.1111	-15.13%	0.0667	✗	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.1323	0.132592	+0.22%	0.1068	-19.27%	0.0241	✗	1.80
2025-10-27	oos	0.1349	0.134989	+0.07%	0.1126	-16.53%	0.0584	✗	1.80
2025-10-26	oos	0.1407	0.140398	-0.21%	0.1278	-9.17%	0.0299	✓	1.80
2025-10-25	oos	0.1365	0.13642	-0.06%	0.1281	-6.15%	0.0365	✓	1.82
2025-10-24	oos	0.1379	0.137831	-0.05%	0.1237	-10.30%	0.0836	✓	1.82
2025-10-23	oos	0.1371	0.137143	+0.03%	0.1225	-10.65%	0.0827	✗	1.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.1338	0.134267	+0.35%	0.1309	-2.17%	0.0667	✗	1.84
2025-10-21	oos	0.1366	0.136939	+0.25%	0.1323	-3.15%	0.1099	✗	1.84
2025-10-20	oos	0.1413	0.141191	-0.08%	0.1349	-4.53%	0.1035	✓	1.85
2025-10-19	oos	0.1419	0.14187	-0.02%	0.1407	-0.85%	0.1060	✓	1.86
2025-10-18	oos	0.1382	0.138501	+0.22%	0.1365	-1.23%	0.0901	✗	1.86
2025-10-17	oos	0.1367	0.137246	+0.40%	0.1379	+0.88%	0.0731	✗	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.1379	0.138272	+0.27%	0.1371	-0.58%	0.0412	✗	1.86
2025-10-15	oos	0.1435	0.143319	-0.13%	0.1338	-6.76%	0.0140	✓	1.86
2025-10-14	oos	0.1494	0.14872	-0.46%	0.1366	-8.57%	0.0060	✓	1.86
2025-10-13	oos	0.1552	0.154042	-0.75%	0.1413	-8.96%	0.0088	✓	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.1486	0.14787	-0.49%	0.1419	-4.51%	0.0636	✗	1.83
2025-10-11	oos	0.1377	0.138248	+0.40%	0.1382	+0.36%	0.0590	✓	1.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.1381	0.138479	+0.27%	0.1367	-1.01%	0.0957	✓	1.83
2025-10-09	oos	0.182	0.180527	-0.81%	0.1379	-24.23%	0.1111	✓	1.34
2025-10-08	oos	0.1872	0.185809	-0.74%	0.1435	-23.34%	0.1149	✓	1.34
2025-10-07	oos	0.18265	0.181224	-0.78%	0.1494	-18.20%	0.1012	✓	1.29
2025-10-06	oos	0.1907	0.189776	-0.48%	0.1552	-18.62%	0.1009	✓	1.27
2025-10-05	oos	0.1849	0.184057	-0.46%	0.1486	-19.63%	0.1239	✓	1.27
2025-10-04	oos	0.1866	0.185825	-0.42%	0.1377	-26.21%	0.1725	✓	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.1926	0.191867	-0.38%	0.1381	-28.30%	0.2280	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1918	0.191084	-0.37%	0.182	-5.11%	0.0602	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.1894	0.188849	-0.29%	0.1872	-1.16%	0.0586	✓	1.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.1807	0.180328	-0.21%	0.18265	+1.08%	0.0677	✓	1.29
2025-09-29	oos	0.1803	0.179908	-0.22%	0.1907	+5.77%	0.0604	✓	1.37
2025-09-28	oos	0.182	0.181422	-0.32%	0.1849	+1.59%	0.1171	✓	1.42
2025-09-27	oos	0.1793	0.178742	-0.31%	0.1866	+4.07%	0.1142	✓	1.43
2025-09-26	oos	0.1806	0.179813	-0.44%	0.1926	+6.64%	0.0872	✓	1.43
2025-09-25	oos	0.1762	0.175469	-0.41%	0.1918	+8.85%	0.0551	✓	1.43
2025-09-24	oos	0.1869	0.185288	-0.86%	0.1894	+1.34%	0.0432	✓	1.42
2025-09-23	oos	0.1858	0.184277	-0.82%	0.1807	-2.74%	0.0456	✓	1.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.1843	0.182762	-0.83%	0.1803	-2.17%	0.0340	✓	1.42
2025-09-21	oos	0.1974	0.195087	-1.17%	0.182	-7.80%	0.0319	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.1992	0.196637	-1.29%	0.1793	-9.99%	0.0156	✓	1.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.19885	0.196196	-1.33%	0.1806	-9.18%	0.0069	✓	1.43
2025-09-18	oos	0.206	0.202861	-1.52%	0.1762	-14.47%	0.0386	✓	1.43

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.