METRONOME

METRONOME · · gru_s4

token id: #733
symbol: METRONOME
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 4,302

Track record at +7d

assessed

375

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1086

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0229

actual -0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.35966	0.348155	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-21	oos	0.35826	0.347183	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-10-20	oos	0.338725	0.329205	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.33786	0.328652	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.33508	0.325987	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.348475	0.338723	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-16	oos	0.37041	0.359287	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.376245	0.364516	-3.12%	0.35966	-4.41%	0.0409	✓	1.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.381055	0.368852	-3.20%	0.35826	-5.98%	0.0617	✓	1.10
2026-10-13	oos	0.386015	0.372941	-3.39%	0.338725	-12.25%	0.0940	✓	1.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.384375	0.371048	-3.47%	0.33786	-12.10%	0.0950	✓	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.42445	0.406619	-4.20%	0.33508	-21.06%	0.1727	✓	1.03
2026-10-10	oos	0.42258	0.400366	-5.26%	0.348475	-17.54%	0.1197	✓	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.408225	0.386365	-5.35%	0.37041	-9.26%	0.0291	✓	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.442135	0.41221	-6.77%	0.376245	-14.90%	0.0968	✓	1.05
2026-10-07	oos	0.445645	0.414828	-6.92%	0.381055	-14.49%	0.0634	✓	1.04
2026-10-06	oos	0.32764	0.315315	-3.76%	0.386015	+17.82%	0.2402	✗	1.31
2026-10-05	oos	0.296605	0.28595	-3.59%	0.384375	+29.59%	0.3583	✗	1.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.302195	0.290993	-3.71%	0.42445	+40.46%	0.4217	✗	1.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.304885	0.293776	-3.64%	0.42258	+38.60%	0.3929	✗	1.34
2026-10-02	oos	0.29436	0.283055	-3.84%	0.408225	+38.68%	0.3977	✗	1.34
2026-10-01	oos	0.30098	0.28931	-3.88%	0.442135	+46.90%	0.4743	✗	1.32
2026-09-30	oos	0.316625	0.305108	-3.64%	0.445645	+40.75%	0.3835	✗	1.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.32638	0.314436	-3.66%	0.32764	+0.39%	0.0111	✓	1.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.330185	0.317984	-3.70%	0.296605	-10.17%	0.1067	✓	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.38139	0.366495	-3.91%	0.302195	-20.76%	0.2244	✓	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.350575	0.337441	-3.75%	0.304885	-13.03%	0.1066	✓	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.359145	0.343924	-4.24%	0.29436	-18.04%	0.1622	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.3288	0.315656	-4.00%	0.30098	-8.46%	0.0551	✓	1.36
2026-09-23	oos	0.34299	0.324808	-5.30%	0.316625	-7.69%	0.0122	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.331615	0.316555	-4.54%	0.32638	-1.58%	0.0726	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.284465	0.273144	-3.98%	0.330185	+16.07%	0.2431	✗	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.2558	0.246833	-3.51%	0.38139	+49.10%	0.3797	✗	1.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.258475	0.248439	-3.88%	0.350575	+35.63%	0.2915	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.260795	0.249991	-4.14%	0.359145	+37.71%	0.3092	✗	1.36
2026-09-17	oos	0.22627	0.218985	-3.22%	0.3288	+45.31%	0.2764	✗	1.30
2026-09-16	oos	0.20022	0.196256	-1.98%	0.34299	+71.31%	0.4198	✗	1.35
2026-09-15	oos	0.196575	0.193183	-1.73%	0.331615	+68.70%	0.3604	✗	1.37
2026-09-14	oos	0.220695	0.215172	-2.50%	0.284465	+28.90%	0.1478	✗	1.28
2026-09-13	oos	0.220065	0.214492	-2.53%	0.2558	+16.24%	0.1039	✗	1.31
2026-09-12	oos	0.226265	0.220336	-2.62%	0.258475	+14.24%	0.0937	✗	1.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.231085	0.223313	-3.36%	0.260795	+12.86%	0.0940	✗	1.32
2026-09-10	oos	0.21234	0.209483	-1.35%	0.22627	+6.56%	0.0803	✗	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.21066	0.209091	-0.74%	0.20022	-4.96%	0.0066	✓	1.33
2026-09-08	oos	0.19427	0.195325	+0.54%	0.196575	+1.19%	0.0567	✓	1.35
2026-09-07	oos	0.19936	0.200288	+0.47%	0.220695	+10.70%	0.1128	✓	1.35
2026-09-06	oos	0.212595	0.212512	-0.04%	0.220065	+3.51%	0.0942	✗	1.32
2026-09-05	oos	0.19052	0.192705	+1.15%	0.226265	+18.76%	0.2030	✓	1.30
2026-09-04	oos	0.18475	0.187184	+1.32%	0.231085	+25.08%	0.2500	✓	1.25
2026-09-03	oos	0.19852	0.200749	+1.12%	0.21234	+6.96%	0.1297	✓	1.23
2026-09-02	oos	0.1945	0.194511	+0.01%	0.21066	+8.31%	0.0618	✓	1.43
2026-09-01	oos	0.19183	0.191532	-0.16%	0.19427	+1.27%	0.0053	✓	1.45
2026-08-31	oos	0.19649	0.195943	-0.28%	0.19936	+1.46%	0.0082	✗	1.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.187005	0.185601	-0.75%	0.212595	+13.68%	0.0944	✗	1.22
2026-08-29	oos	0.202865	0.200775	-1.03%	0.19052	-6.09%	0.0759	✓	1.16
2026-08-28	oos	0.20862	0.206139	-1.19%	0.18475	-11.44%	0.1367	✓	1.16
2026-08-27	oos	0.222835	0.2203	-1.14%	0.19852	-10.91%	0.1180	✓	1.14
2026-08-26	oos	0.2163	0.213648	-1.23%	0.1945	-10.08%	0.0689	✓	1.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.21093	0.208406	-1.20%	0.19183	-9.06%	0.0663	✓	1.14
2026-08-24	oos	0.226415	0.223255	-1.40%	0.19649	-13.22%	0.1217	✓	1.14
2026-08-23	oos	0.245235	0.240115	-2.09%	0.187005	-23.74%	0.2490	✓	1.16
2026-08-22	oos	0.220335	0.216068	-1.94%	0.202865	-7.93%	0.0803	✓	1.14
2026-08-21	oos	0.217115	0.213358	-1.73%	0.20862	-3.91%	0.0153	✓	1.14
2026-08-20	oos	0.210285	0.204998	-2.51%	0.222835	+5.97%	0.0344	✓	1.24
2026-08-19	oos	0.200015	0.194487	-2.76%	0.2163	+8.14%	0.0662	✓	1.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.17428	0.169667	-2.65%	0.21093	+21.03%	0.0169	✓	1.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.16274	0.158705	-2.48%	0.226415	+39.13%	0.1106	✗	1.21
2026-08-16	oos	0.161375	0.157255	-2.55%	0.245235	+51.97%	0.1821	✗	1.23
2026-08-15	oos	0.16419	0.159908	-2.61%	0.220335	+34.20%	0.0729	✗	1.23
2026-08-14	oos	0.163555	0.159258	-2.63%	0.217115	+32.75%	0.0403	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.16973	0.165135	-2.71%	0.210285	+23.89%	0.0670	✗	1.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.15757	0.153513	-2.57%	0.200015	+26.94%	0.1538	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.158535	0.154438	-2.58%	0.17428	+9.93%	0.0983	✗	1.26
2026-08-10	oos	0.157425	0.15337	-2.58%	0.16274	+3.38%	0.0479	✗	1.30
2026-08-09	oos	0.162275	0.158092	-2.58%	0.161375	-0.55%	0.0616	✗	1.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.168105	0.163455	-2.77%	0.16419	-2.33%	0.0430	✗	1.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.16172	0.157182	-2.81%	0.163555	+1.13%	0.0780	✗	1.28
2026-08-06	oos	0.162615	0.158018	-2.83%	0.16973	+4.38%	0.0884	✗	1.28
2026-08-05	oos	0.16908	0.164037	-2.98%	0.15757	-6.81%	0.0163	✓	1.28
2026-08-04	oos	0.16407	0.15914	-3.00%	0.158535	-3.37%	0.0064	✓	1.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.16092	0.156095	-3.00%	0.157425	-2.17%	0.0002	✓	1.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.163095	0.158133	-3.04%	0.162275	-0.50%	0.0001	✓	1.24
2026-08-01	oos	0.16794	0.162614	-3.17%	0.168105	+0.10%	0.0093	✓	1.26
2026-07-31	oos	0.178355	0.172291	-3.40%	0.16172	-9.33%	0.1043	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.173235	0.167691	-3.20%	0.162615	-6.13%	0.0214	✓	1.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.173	0.167413	-3.23%	0.16908	-2.27%	0.0048	✓	1.33
2026-07-28	oos	0.16936	0.16409	-3.11%	0.16407	-3.12%	0.0044	✓	1.33
2026-07-27	oos	0.161515	0.156743	-2.95%	0.16092	-0.37%	0.0311	✗	1.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.17849	0.172716	-3.23%	0.163095	-8.63%	0.0210	✓	1.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.1624	0.157662	-2.92%	0.16794	+3.41%	0.0931	✗	1.24
2026-07-24	oos	0.162015	0.157212	-2.96%	0.178355	+10.09%	0.1510	✗	1.25
2026-07-23	oos	0.162055	0.157466	-2.83%	0.173235	+6.90%	0.1018	✗	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.160925	0.156615	-2.68%	0.173	+7.50%	0.1427	✗	1.28
2026-07-21	oos	0.162495	0.158061	-2.73%	0.16936	+4.22%	0.1213	✗	1.28
2026-07-20	oos	0.16915	0.163669	-3.24%	0.161515	-4.51%	0.0178	✓	1.32
2026-07-19	oos	0.144955	0.141511	-2.38%	0.17849	+23.13%	0.2187	✗	1.32
2026-07-18	oos	0.13779	0.134735	-2.22%	0.1624	+17.86%	0.1971	✗	1.33
2026-07-17	oos	0.129155	0.126566	-2.00%	0.162015	+25.44%	0.2430	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.14296	0.13963	-2.33%	0.162055	+13.36%	0.1224	✗	1.33
2026-07-15	oos	0.15883	0.15447	-2.74%	0.160925	+1.32%	0.0144	✓	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.149005	0.145276	-2.50%	0.162495	+9.05%	0.0822	✗	1.28
2026-07-13	oos	0.14746	0.143854	-2.45%	0.16915	+14.71%	0.0988	✗	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.147985	0.144316	-2.48%	0.144955	-2.05%	0.0159	✓	1.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.15215	0.148218	-2.58%	0.13779	-9.44%	0.0947	✓	1.37
2026-07-10	oos	0.155895	0.151733	-2.67%	0.129155	-17.15%	0.1560	✓	1.41
2026-07-09	oos	0.16099	0.156629	-2.71%	0.14296	-11.20%	0.1048	✓	1.44
2026-07-08	oos	0.160795	0.156423	-2.72%	0.15883	-1.22%	0.0413	✓	1.45
2026-07-07	oos	0.15845	0.154158	-2.71%	0.149005	-5.96%	0.0719	✓	1.46
2026-07-06	oos	0.170965	0.165537	-3.17%	0.14746	-13.75%	0.0754	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.174945	0.169443	-3.15%	0.147985	-15.41%	0.1390	✓	1.46
2026-07-04	oos	0.177015	0.171084	-3.35%	0.15215	-14.05%	0.1331	✓	1.46
2026-07-03	oos	0.19151	0.183267	-4.30%	0.155895	-18.60%	0.1991	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.175245	0.16875	-3.71%	0.16099	-8.13%	0.0861	✓	1.44
2026-07-01	oos	0.17795	0.170317	-4.29%	0.160795	-9.64%	0.1126	✓	1.48
2026-06-30	oos	0.16175	0.156056	-3.52%	0.15845	-2.04%	0.0990	✓	1.45
2026-06-29	oos	0.1678	0.161143	-3.97%	0.170965	+1.89%	0.0304	✓	1.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.157895	0.152809	-3.22%	0.174945	+10.80%	0.0415	✗	1.40
2026-06-27	oos	0.16549	0.159018	-3.91%	0.177015	+6.96%	0.0356	✓	1.40
2026-06-26	oos	0.1664	0.158937	-4.49%	0.19151	+15.09%	0.1287	✗	1.40
2026-06-25	oos	0.149765	0.144489	-3.52%	0.175245	+17.01%	0.1523	✗	1.39
2026-06-24	oos	0.1521	0.146539	-3.66%	0.17795	+17.00%	0.2153	✗	1.25
2026-06-23	oos	0.16124	0.154929	-3.91%	0.16175	+0.32%	0.1273	✗	1.24
2026-06-22	oos	0.156905	0.150554	-4.05%	0.1678	+6.94%	0.1866	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.162165	0.154464	-4.75%	0.157895	-2.63%	0.1017	✗	1.30
2026-06-20	oos	0.1601	0.152219	-4.92%	0.16549	+3.37%	0.1684	✗	1.23
2026-06-19	oos	0.1357	0.129959	-4.23%	0.1664	+22.62%	0.3141	✗	1.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.10642	0.104984	-1.35%	0.149765	+40.73%	0.4133	✗	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.112555	0.110758	-1.60%	0.1521	+35.13%	0.3780	✗	1.10
2026-06-16	oos	0.114125	0.112121	-1.76%	0.16124	+41.28%	0.4142	✗	1.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.11853	0.116232	-1.94%	0.156905	+32.38%	0.3395	✗	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.109245	0.107586	-1.52%	0.162165	+48.44%	0.4521	✗	1.09
2026-06-13	oos	0.105045	0.10358	-1.40%	0.1601	+52.41%	0.4390	✗	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.103575	0.102179	-1.35%	0.1357	+31.02%	0.2848	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.10421	0.102852	-1.30%	0.10642	+2.12%	0.0457	✗	1.07
2026-06-10	oos	0.0975	0.096713	-0.81%	0.112555	+15.44%	0.1015	✗	1.05
2026-06-09	oos	0.101115	0.100181	-0.92%	0.114125	+12.87%	0.0655	✗	1.05
2026-06-08	oos	0.1019	0.100892	-0.99%	0.11853	+16.32%	0.1083	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.0992	0.098435	-0.77%	0.109245	+10.13%	0.0648	✗	1.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.0983	0.098039	-0.27%	0.105045	+6.86%	0.0078	✗	1.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.1041	0.103501	-0.58%	0.103575	-0.50%	0.0425	✓	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.1215	0.119326	-1.79%	0.10421	-14.23%	0.1318	✓	0.96
2026-06-03	oos	0.1327	0.129947	-2.07%	0.0975	-26.53%	0.2492	✓	0.92
2026-06-02	oos	0.13	0.12726	-2.11%	0.101115	-22.22%	0.1534	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.1322	0.129478	-2.06%	0.1019	-22.92%	0.1130	✓	1.03
2026-05-31	oos	0.1291	0.126623	-1.92%	0.0992	-23.16%	0.0806	✓	1.09
2026-05-30	oos	0.127	0.124769	-1.76%	0.0983	-22.60%	0.0412	✓	1.02
2026-05-29	oos	0.12515	0.123088	-1.65%	0.1041	-16.82%	0.0210	✗	1.02
2026-05-28	oos	0.1275	0.125346	-1.69%	0.1215	-4.71%	0.1135	✗	1.02
2026-05-27	oos	0.13255	0.130208	-1.77%	0.1327	+0.11%	0.1681	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.136	0.1335	-1.84%	0.13	-4.41%	0.1024	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.1323	0.13045	-1.40%	0.1322	-0.08%	0.0922	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.1323	0.130607	-1.28%	0.1291	-2.42%	0.0330	✗	0.99
2026-05-23	oos	0.1383	0.136293	-1.45%	0.127	-8.17%	0.0312	✓	1.03
2026-05-22	oos	0.13665	0.134827	-1.33%	0.12515	-8.42%	0.0456	✓	1.03
2026-05-21	oos	0.1478	0.145407	-1.62%	0.1275	-13.73%	0.0778	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.14585	0.143698	-1.48%	0.13255	-9.12%	0.0392	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.1409	0.139294	-1.14%	0.136	-3.48%	0.0116	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1438	0.142085	-1.19%	0.1323	-8.00%	0.0754	✓	1.02
2026-05-17	oos	0.1436	0.142002	-1.11%	0.1323	-7.87%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.1471	0.14526	-1.25%	0.1383	-5.98%	0.0303	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1533	0.151039	-1.48%	0.13665	-10.86%	0.0530	✓	1.01
2026-05-14	oos	0.16025	0.15763	-1.63%	0.1478	-7.77%	0.0196	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1536	0.151298	-1.50%	0.14585	-5.05%	0.0134	✓	1.01
2026-05-12	oos	0.17095	0.167597	-1.96%	0.1409	-17.58%	0.1280	✓	0.96
2026-05-11	oos	0.1787	0.175011	-2.06%	0.1438	-19.53%	0.1401	✓	0.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.1787	0.175139	-1.99%	0.1436	-19.64%	0.1425	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.1799	0.176098	-2.11%	0.1471	-18.23%	0.1497	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.1814	0.1774	-2.21%	0.1533	-15.49%	0.1328	✓	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.1734	0.169838	-2.05%	0.16025	-7.58%	0.0703	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.16795	0.164881	-1.83%	0.1536	-8.54%	0.0461	✓	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.1666	0.163511	-1.85%	0.17095	+2.61%	0.0493	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.1678	0.164441	-2.00%	0.1787	+6.50%	0.0617	✗	0.92
2026-05-03	oos	0.1622	0.158815	-2.09%	0.1787	+10.17%	0.0767	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.1645	0.161008	-2.12%	0.1799	+9.36%	0.0882	✗	0.92
2026-05-01	oos	0.1595	0.156208	-2.06%	0.1814	+13.73%	0.1269	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.1549	0.151566	-2.15%	0.1734	+11.94%	0.0907	✗	0.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.1522	0.148835	-2.21%	0.16795	+10.35%	0.0537	✗	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.1531	0.149617	-2.27%	0.1666	+8.82%	0.0545	✗	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.1546	0.151272	-2.15%	0.1678	+8.54%	0.0749	✗	0.91
2026-04-26	oos	0.1622	0.158812	-2.09%	0.1622	+0.00%	0.0224	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.1564	0.152975	-2.19%	0.1645	+5.18%	0.0607	✗	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.163	0.15933	-2.25%	0.1595	-2.15%	0.0082	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.1759	0.17171	-2.38%	0.1549	-11.94%	0.0794	✓	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.18475	0.179227	-2.99%	0.1522	-17.62%	0.1339	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.1801	0.175054	-2.80%	0.1531	-14.99%	0.1336	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.14705	0.143257	-2.58%	0.1546	+5.13%	0.0583	✗	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.1406	0.136916	-2.62%	0.1622	+15.36%	0.1097	✗	0.94
2026-04-18	oos	0.14645	0.143346	-2.12%	0.1564	+6.79%	0.0638	✗	0.94
2026-04-17	oos	0.1514	0.14856	-1.88%	0.163	+7.66%	0.0884	✗	0.93
2026-04-16	oos	0.1517	0.148501	-2.11%	0.1759	+15.95%	0.1313	✗	0.94
2026-04-15	oos	0.141	0.138443	-1.81%	0.18475	+31.03%	0.2474	✗	0.93
2026-04-14	oos	0.1345	0.132261	-1.66%	0.1801	+33.90%	0.2818	✗	0.93
2026-04-13	oos	0.1398	0.137556	-1.60%	0.14705	+5.19%	0.0492	✗	0.93
2026-04-12	oos	0.1314	0.128977	-1.84%	0.1406	+7.00%	0.0469	✗	0.93
2026-04-11	oos	0.1431	0.140086	-2.11%	0.14645	+2.34%	0.0121	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.1364	0.134355	-1.50%	0.1514	+11.00%	0.0697	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.13315	0.131223	-1.45%	0.1517	+13.93%	0.1035	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.1326	0.13069	-1.44%	0.141	+6.33%	0.0293	✗	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.1428	0.140158	-1.85%	0.1345	-5.81%	0.0692	✓	0.90
2026-04-06	oos	0.1347	0.132241	-1.83%	0.1398	+3.79%	0.0142	✓	0.89
2026-04-05	oos	0.1287	0.126657	-1.59%	0.1314	+2.10%	0.0144	✓	0.89
2026-04-04	oos	0.1271	0.125163	-1.52%	0.1431	+12.59%	0.0592	✗	0.90
2026-04-03	oos	0.1282	0.12612	-1.62%	0.1364	+6.40%	0.0005	✓	0.90
2026-04-02	oos	0.1287	0.126645	-1.60%	0.13315	+3.46%	0.0137	✓	0.90
2026-04-01	oos	0.1348	0.132409	-1.77%	0.1326	-1.63%	0.0374	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.1343	0.13204	-1.68%	0.1428	+6.33%	0.0300	✗	0.92
2026-03-30	oos	0.1353	0.133045	-1.67%	0.1347	-0.44%	0.0165	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.132	0.129965	-1.54%	0.1287	-2.50%	0.0514	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.1404	0.137887	-1.79%	0.1271	-9.47%	0.0948	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.15035	0.14707	-2.18%	0.1282	-14.73%	0.1457	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.1362	0.134074	-1.56%	0.1287	-5.51%	0.0140	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.1438	0.141336	-1.71%	0.1348	-6.26%	0.0029	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.1359	0.133818	-1.53%	0.1343	-1.18%	0.0357	✗	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.14015	0.13792	-1.59%	0.1353	-3.46%	0.0388	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.1415	0.139322	-1.54%	0.132	-6.71%	0.0260	✓	0.99
2026-03-21	oos	0.149	0.146502	-1.68%	0.1404	-5.77%	0.0047	✓	0.99
2026-03-20	oos	0.1528	0.150215	-1.69%	0.15035	-1.60%	0.0609	✗	0.99
2026-03-19	oos	0.1542	0.151644	-1.66%	0.1362	-11.67%	0.0909	✓	1.00
2026-03-18	oos	0.156	0.153392	-1.67%	0.1438	-7.82%	0.0654	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.1648	0.16188	-1.77%	0.1359	-17.54%	0.1276	✓	1.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.1716	0.168361	-1.89%	0.14015	-18.33%	0.1273	✓	1.02
2026-03-15	oos	0.1623	0.159529	-1.71%	0.1415	-12.82%	0.0484	✓	1.01
2026-03-14	oos	0.1645	0.161596	-1.77%	0.149	-9.42%	0.0477	✓	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.1699	0.166563	-1.96%	0.1528	-10.06%	0.0797	✓	1.03
2026-03-12	oos	0.1603	0.15765	-1.65%	0.1542	-3.81%	0.0132	✓	1.02
2026-03-11	oos	0.1621	0.159385	-1.67%	0.156	-3.76%	0.0365	✓	1.02
2026-03-10	oos	0.1587	0.156192	-1.58%	0.1648	+3.84%	0.0022	✓	1.01
2026-03-09	oos	0.158	0.155622	-1.50%	0.1716	+8.61%	0.0058	✓	1.02
2026-03-08	oos	0.155	0.152883	-1.37%	0.1623	+4.71%	0.0409	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.1602	0.15795	-1.40%	0.1645	+2.68%	0.0177	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.1708	0.16823	-1.50%	0.1699	-0.53%	0.0313	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.17205	0.169507	-1.48%	0.1603	-6.83%	0.0507	✓	1.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.1771	0.174439	-1.50%	0.1621	-8.47%	0.0377	✓	1.03
2026-03-03	oos	0.1729	0.170542	-1.36%	0.1587	-8.21%	0.0967	✓	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.1774	0.17485	-1.44%	0.158	-10.94%	0.0952	✓	1.05
2026-03-01	oos	0.1789	0.176493	-1.35%	0.155	-13.36%	0.1332	✓	1.10
2026-02-28	oos	0.1838	0.181227	-1.40%	0.1602	-12.84%	0.1282	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.1825	0.180083	-1.32%	0.1708	-6.41%	0.0903	✓	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.1848	0.182234	-1.39%	0.17205	-6.90%	0.1125	✓	1.12
2026-02-25	oos	0.1859	0.183462	-1.31%	0.1771	-4.73%	0.1101	✓	1.12
2026-02-24	oos	0.181	0.179017	-1.10%	0.1729	-4.48%	0.1095	✓	1.16
2026-02-23	oos	0.1834	0.181571	-1.00%	0.1774	-3.27%	0.0943	✓	1.13
2026-02-22	oos	0.1999	0.19735	-1.28%	0.1789	-10.51%	0.0678	✓	1.09
2026-02-21	oos	0.2101	0.207133	-1.41%	0.1838	-12.52%	0.1033	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.2132	0.21002	-1.49%	0.1825	-14.40%	0.1060	✓	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.2146	0.211491	-1.45%	0.1848	-13.89%	0.1433	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.2079	0.205164	-1.32%	0.1859	-10.58%	0.1241	✓	1.09
2026-02-17	oos	0.2246	0.220975	-1.61%	0.181	-19.41%	0.1416	✓	1.12
2026-02-16	oos	0.22215	0.218771	-1.52%	0.1834	-17.44%	0.1037	✓	1.15
2026-02-15	oos	0.2167	0.213633	-1.42%	0.1999	-7.75%	0.0467	✓	1.15
2026-02-14	oos	0.2296	0.225882	-1.62%	0.2101	-8.49%	0.0417	✓	1.15
2026-02-13	oos	0.2222	0.218937	-1.47%	0.2132	-4.05%	0.0127	✓	1.15
2026-02-12	oos	0.2114	0.209048	-1.11%	0.2146	+1.51%	0.0133	✗	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.2095	0.20733	-1.04%	0.2079	-0.76%	0.0121	✗	1.04
2026-02-10	oos	0.2094	0.207235	-1.03%	0.2246	+7.26%	0.1012	✗	1.06
2026-02-09	oos	0.213	0.210614	-1.12%	0.22215	+4.30%	0.0721	✗	1.05
2026-02-08	oos	0.2119	0.209699	-1.04%	0.2167	+2.27%	0.0544	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.2196	0.21698	-1.19%	0.2296	+4.55%	0.0484	✗	1.04
2026-02-06	oos	0.2177	0.215081	-1.20%	0.2222	+2.07%	0.0578	✗	1.02
2026-02-05	oos	0.1972	0.200113	+1.48%	0.2114	+7.20%	0.0014	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.22765	0.22427	-1.48%	0.2095	-7.97%	0.0307	✗	1.16
2026-02-03	oos	0.23515	0.230886	-1.81%	0.2094	-10.95%	0.0132	✓	1.17
2026-02-02	oos	0.2402	0.235215	-2.08%	0.213	-11.32%	0.0389	✗	1.20
2026-02-01	oos	0.2286	0.224631	-1.74%	0.2119	-7.31%	0.0442	✗	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.2326	0.228117	-1.93%	0.2196	-5.59%	0.1149	✗	1.20
2026-01-30	oos	0.2533	0.247045	-2.47%	0.2177	-14.05%	0.0813	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.2629	0.256009	-2.62%	0.1972	-24.99%	0.0884	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.2686	0.261062	-2.81%	0.22765	-15.25%	0.1048	✗	1.21
2026-01-27	oos	0.2708	0.263197	-2.81%	0.23515	-13.16%	0.0824	✗	1.19
2026-01-26	oos	0.2391	0.233284	-2.43%	0.2402	+0.46%	0.1617	✗	1.15
2026-01-25	oos	0.24365	0.237723	-2.43%	0.2286	-6.18%	0.0976	✗	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.2692	0.261751	-2.77%	0.2326	-13.60%	0.0210	✓	1.12
2026-01-23	oos	0.2704	0.26248	-2.93%	0.2533	-6.32%	0.0329	✗	1.11
2026-01-22	oos	0.2684	0.260086	-3.10%	0.2629	-2.05%	0.0734	✗	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.276	0.267134	-3.21%	0.2686	-2.68%	0.0080	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.2557	0.248496	-2.82%	0.2708	+5.91%	0.0762	✗	1.07
2026-01-19	oos	0.286	0.276185	-3.43%	0.2391	-16.40%	0.0964	✓	1.00
2026-01-18	oos	0.2962	0.285302	-3.68%	0.24365	-17.74%	0.0795	✓	1.00
2026-01-17	oos	0.2857	0.275179	-3.68%	0.2692	-5.78%	0.0448	✗	1.02
2026-01-16	oos	0.315	0.299716	-4.85%	0.2704	-14.16%	0.0368	✓	1.01
2026-01-15	oos	0.2512	0.242511	-3.46%	0.2684	+6.85%	0.1682	✗	1.01
2026-01-14	oos	0.2669	0.257255	-3.61%	0.276	+3.41%	0.1514	✗	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.27	0.26031	-3.59%	0.2557	-5.30%	0.0596	✗	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.2555	0.24696	-3.34%	0.286	+11.94%	0.1321	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.2624	0.253627	-3.34%	0.2962	+12.88%	0.1257	✗	0.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.2505	0.242679	-3.12%	0.2857	+14.05%	0.1135	✗	0.97
2026-01-09	oos	0.2652	0.256465	-3.29%	0.315	+18.78%	0.1533	✗	0.97
2026-01-08	oos	0.2732	0.263992	-3.37%	0.2512	-8.05%	0.0972	✓	0.97
2026-01-07	oos	0.2711	0.262475	-3.18%	0.2669	-1.55%	0.0419	✓	0.97
2026-01-06	oos	0.2852	0.275637	-3.35%	0.27	-5.33%	0.0375	✓	0.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.292	0.281973	-3.43%	0.2555	-12.50%	0.0708	✓	0.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.2783	0.269608	-3.12%	0.2624	-5.71%	0.0207	✓	0.93
2026-01-03	oos	0.2846	0.275768	-3.10%	0.2505	-11.98%	0.0938	✓	0.94
2026-01-02	oos	0.2823	0.273436	-3.14%	0.2652	-6.06%	0.0364	✓	0.94
2026-01-01	oos	0.2637	0.256603	-2.69%	0.2732	+3.60%	0.0397	✗	0.90
2025-12-31	oos	0.2514	0.245155	-2.48%	0.2711	+7.84%	0.0634	✗	0.88
2025-12-30	oos	0.2556	0.24908	-2.55%	0.2852	+11.58%	0.0840	✗	0.88
2025-12-29	oos	0.2542	0.247893	-2.48%	0.292	+14.87%	0.0981	✗	0.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.2559	0.249431	-2.53%	0.2783	+8.75%	0.0740	✗	0.88
2025-12-27	oos	0.2562	0.249822	-2.49%	0.2846	+11.09%	0.1028	✗	0.88
2025-12-26	oos	0.2508	0.244771	-2.40%	0.2823	+12.56%	0.1165	✗	0.87
2025-12-25	oos	0.2399	0.234857	-2.10%	0.2637	+9.92%	0.1005	✗	0.86
2025-12-24	oos	0.2433	0.238204	-2.09%	0.2514	+3.33%	0.0550	✗	0.86
2025-12-23	oos	0.2395	0.234783	-1.97%	0.2556	+6.72%	0.0755	✗	0.86
2025-12-22	oos	0.2455	0.240412	-2.07%	0.2542	+3.54%	0.0699	✗	0.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.2415	0.23692	-1.90%	0.2559	+5.96%	0.0844	✗	0.85
2025-12-20	oos	0.2338	0.229934	-1.65%	0.2562	+9.58%	0.1131	✗	0.84
2025-12-19	oos	0.2195	0.216757	-1.25%	0.2508	+14.26%	0.1534	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.208	0.20674	-0.61%	0.2399	+15.34%	0.1334	✗	0.78
2025-12-17	oos	0.2219	0.219693	-0.99%	0.2433	+9.64%	0.0897	✗	0.77
2025-12-16	oos	0.2455	0.241843	-1.49%	0.2395	-2.44%	0.0062	✓	0.73
2025-12-15	oos	0.2413	0.238113	-1.32%	0.2455	+1.74%	0.0130	✓	0.72
2025-12-14	oos	0.2389	0.235655	-1.36%	0.2415	+1.09%	0.0206	✗	0.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.2591	0.254801	-1.66%	0.2338	-9.76%	0.0708	✓	0.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.2586	0.254439	-1.61%	0.2195	-15.12%	0.1306	✓	0.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.265	0.260354	-1.75%	0.208	-21.51%	0.1685	✓	0.70
2025-12-10	oos	0.2906	0.285176	-1.87%	0.2219	-23.64%	0.2029	✓	0.73
2025-12-09	oos	0.3209	0.314307	-2.05%	0.2455	-23.50%	0.2084	✓	0.72
2025-12-08	oos	0.3238	0.317145	-2.06%	0.2413	-25.48%	0.2380	✓	0.74
2025-12-07	oos	0.3252	0.318451	-2.08%	0.2389	-26.54%	0.2690	✓	0.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.3261	0.319354	-2.07%	0.2591	-20.55%	0.2172	✓	0.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.3232	0.316534	-2.06%	0.2586	-19.99%	0.2098	✓	0.74
2025-12-04	oos	0.3359	0.328375	-2.24%	0.265	-21.11%	0.2180	✓	0.73
2025-12-03	oos	0.326	0.318683	-2.24%	0.2906	-10.86%	0.0808	✓	0.75
2025-12-02	oos	0.3233	0.316228	-2.19%	0.3209	-0.74%	0.0034	✓	0.75
2025-12-01	oos	0.299	0.293684	-1.78%	0.3238	+8.29%	0.0677	✗	0.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.3245	0.317464	-2.17%	0.3252	+0.22%	0.0239	✗	0.51
2025-11-29	oos	0.3338	0.326308	-2.24%	0.3261	-2.31%	0.0082	✓	0.51
2025-11-28	oos	0.3244	0.317367	-2.17%	0.3232	-0.37%	0.0269	✗	0.50
2025-11-27	oos	0.3494	0.340789	-2.46%	0.3359	-3.86%	0.0187	✓	0.50
2025-11-26	oos	0.3366	0.329006	-2.26%	0.326	-3.15%	0.0244	✓	0.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.3447	0.337072	-2.21%	0.3233	-6.21%	0.0659	✓	0.54
2025-11-24	oos	0.30815	0.302782	-1.74%	0.299	-2.97%	0.0004	✓	0.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.284	0.281032	-1.04%	0.3245	+14.26%	0.1262	✗	0.44
2025-11-22	oos	0.2968	0.294211	-0.87%	0.3338	+12.47%	0.0896	✗	0.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.3199	0.315903	-1.25%	0.3244	+1.41%	0.0398	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.3305	0.325701	-1.45%	0.3494	+5.72%	0.0165	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.373	0.364378	-2.31%	0.3366	-9.76%	0.0684	✓	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.4208	0.408833	-2.84%	0.3447	-18.08%	0.1086	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.4043	0.394218	-2.49%	0.30815	-23.78%	0.2038	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.4342	0.421965	-2.82%	0.284	-34.59%	0.3144	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.4311	0.418528	-2.92%	0.2968	-31.15%	0.2230	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.4591	0.443471	-3.40%	0.3199	-30.32%	0.2214	✓	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.4211	0.407478	-3.23%	0.3305	-21.52%	0.0686	✓	1.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.4632	0.444519	-4.03%	0.373	-19.47%	0.0699	✓	1.00
2025-11-11	oos	0.4332	0.418603	-3.37%	0.4208	-2.86%	0.1084	✗	1.00
2025-11-10	oos	0.3909	0.379328	-2.96%	0.4043	+3.43%	0.2041	✗	1.00
2025-11-09	oos	0.3523	0.343649	-2.46%	0.4342	+23.25%	0.3397	✗	1.00
2025-11-08	oos	0.3654	0.357138	-2.26%	0.4311	+17.98%	0.2564	✗	1.00
2025-11-07	oos	0.3836	0.373657	-2.59%	0.4591	+19.68%	0.2948	✗	1.00
2025-11-06	oos	0.3544	0.346803	-2.14%	0.4211	+18.82%	0.2108	✗	1.00
2025-11-05	oos	0.3667	0.356488	-2.78%	0.4632	+26.32%	0.2836	✗	1.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.3522	0.342882	-2.65%	0.4332	+23.00%	0.2187	✗	1.00
2025-11-03	oos	0.3589	0.345169	-3.83%	0.3909	+8.92%	0.1299	✗	1.00
2025-11-02	oos	0.4039	0.388312	-3.86%	0.3523	-12.78%	0.0430	✓	1.00
2025-11-01	oos	0.4405	0.425297	-3.45%	0.3654	-17.05%	0.0786	✓	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.1504	0.148205	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	-1.49
2025-03-13	in	0.1504	0.148468	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	-1.56
2025-03-12	in	0.2152	0.209369	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	-1.90
2025-03-11	in	0.2021	0.197375	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	-1.92
2025-03-10	in	0.2911	0.278793	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	-1.28
2025-03-09	in	0.539	0.487639	-9.53%	–	pending	–	–	-1.74
2025-03-08	in	0.1749	0.171729	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2025-03-07	in	0.2203	0.213867	-2.92%	0.1504	-31.73%	0.3393	✓	0.39
2025-03-06	in	0.2163	0.211289	-2.32%	0.1504	-30.47%	0.2940	✓	0.44
2025-03-02	in	0.2357	0.230671	-2.13%	0.539	+128.68%	0.9033	✗	0.35
2025-02-28	in	0.2236	0.219061	-2.03%	0.2203	-1.48%	0.0046	✓	0.36
2025-02-27	in	0.2237	0.219426	-1.91%	0.2163	-3.31%	0.0364	✓	0.36
2025-02-26	in	0.2358	0.230923	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-24	in	0.2306	0.225883	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2025-02-20	in	0.269	0.262412	-2.45%	0.2237	-16.84%	0.1306	✓	0.19
2025-02-17	in	0.2305	0.225076	-2.35%	0.2306	+0.04%	0.0332	✗	0.20
2025-02-16	in	0.2488	0.24157	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2025-02-15	in	0.2178	0.21442	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-14	in	0.2622	0.257056	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-13	in	0.262	0.256934	-1.93%	0.269	+2.67%	0.0416	✗	0.25
2025-02-12	in	0.2635	0.258608	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2025-02-11	in	0.2235	0.220376	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2025-02-09	in	0.2656	0.261057	-1.71%	0.2488	-6.33%	0.0476	✓	0.14
2025-02-07	in	0.2947	0.288284	-2.18%	0.2622	-11.03%	0.0973	✓	0.24
2025-02-06	in	0.2796	0.274127	-1.96%	0.262	-6.29%	0.0454	✓	0.25
2025-02-05	in	0.2741	0.268875	-1.91%	0.2635	-3.87%	0.0234	✓	0.25
2025-02-03	in	0.3005	0.294164	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-02	in	0.2933	0.287929	-1.83%	0.2656	-9.44%	0.0769	✓	0.31
2025-02-01	in	0.3298	0.322635	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2025-01-31	in	0.3449	0.336999	-2.29%	0.2947	-14.55%	0.1205	✓	0.23
2025-01-30	in	0.3276	0.320348	-2.21%	0.2796	-14.65%	0.1147	✓	0.26
2025-01-29	in	0.3277	0.318477	-2.81%	0.2741	-16.36%	0.1316	✓	0.26
2025-01-28	in	0.3246	0.317942	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2025-01-27	in	0.2782	0.273681	-1.62%	0.3005	+8.02%	0.0953	✗	0.31
2025-01-26	in	0.287	0.282883	-1.43%	0.2933	+2.20%	0.0534	✗	0.35
2025-01-24	in	0.2781	0.274758	-1.20%	0.3449	+24.02%	0.2356	✗	0.35
2025-01-23	in	0.3231	0.318234	-1.51%	0.3276	+1.39%	0.0262	✗	0.36
2025-01-22	in	0.3872	0.379846	-1.90%	0.3277	-15.37%	0.1479	✓	0.35
2025-01-21	in	0.3045	0.300279	-1.39%	0.3246	+6.60%	0.1002	✗	0.48
2025-01-20	in	0.3486	0.342654	-1.71%	0.2782	-20.20%	0.2079	✓	0.56
2025-01-19	in	0.3346	0.328353	-1.87%	0.287	-14.23%	0.1419	✓	0.55
2025-01-18	in	0.3351	0.329984	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2025-01-17	in	0.3974	0.389741	-1.93%	0.2781	-30.02%	0.3412	✓	0.52
2025-01-16	in	0.3835	0.37552	-2.08%	0.3231	-15.75%	0.1697	✓	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.