METRONOME

METRONOME · · gru_s4

token id: #733
symbol: METRONOME
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 4,302

Track record at +30d

assessed

340

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

48.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2022

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0323

actual -0.0079

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.35966	0.32936	-8.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-21	oos	0.35826	0.330243	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-10-20	oos	0.338725	0.31339	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.33786	0.312846	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.33508	0.31075	-7.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.348475	0.321256	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-16	oos	0.37041	0.339559	-8.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.376245	0.342962	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.381055	0.343981	-9.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-13	oos	0.386015	0.347406	-10.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.384375	0.345434	-10.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.42445	0.381391	-10.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-10	oos	0.42258	0.379261	-10.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.408225	0.367964	-9.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.442135	0.392947	-11.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-07	oos	0.445645	0.393022	-11.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-06	oos	0.32764	0.298434	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-05	oos	0.296605	0.270367	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.302195	0.275623	-8.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.304885	0.276157	-9.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-02	oos	0.29436	0.266029	-9.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-01	oos	0.30098	0.270673	-10.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-30	oos	0.316625	0.283797	-10.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.32638	0.291936	-10.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.330185	0.295419	-10.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.38139	0.341164	-10.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.350575	0.316269	-9.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.359145	0.324709	-9.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.3288	0.300307	-8.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-09-23	oos	0.34299	0.313497	-8.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.331615	0.306501	-7.57%	0.35966	+8.46%	0.1923	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.284465	0.269481	-5.27%	0.35826	+25.94%	0.3284	✗	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.2558	0.242137	-5.34%	0.338725	+32.42%	0.3056	✗	1.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.258475	0.245176	-5.15%	0.33786	+30.71%	0.3105	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.260795	0.246406	-5.52%	0.33508	+28.48%	0.2885	✗	1.36
2026-09-17	oos	0.22627	0.214741	-5.10%	0.348475	+54.01%	0.4012	✗	1.30
2026-09-16	oos	0.20022	0.193282	-3.47%	0.37041	+85.00%	0.5588	✗	1.35
2026-09-15	oos	0.196575	0.189991	-3.35%	0.376245	+91.40%	0.5696	✗	1.37
2026-09-14	oos	0.220695	0.212175	-3.86%	0.381055	+72.66%	0.5310	✗	1.28
2026-09-13	oos	0.220065	0.210291	-4.44%	0.386015	+75.41%	0.5043	✗	1.31
2026-09-12	oos	0.226265	0.216323	-4.39%	0.384375	+69.88%	0.5007	✗	1.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.231085	0.220134	-4.74%	0.42445	+83.68%	0.5505	✗	1.32
2026-09-10	oos	0.21234	0.203561	-4.13%	0.42258	+99.01%	0.6263	✗	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.21066	0.20334	-3.47%	0.408225	+93.78%	0.6266	✗	1.33
2026-09-08	oos	0.19427	0.189637	-2.38%	0.442135	+127.59%	0.7916	✗	1.35
2026-09-07	oos	0.19936	0.19475	-2.31%	0.445645	+123.54%	0.7580	✗	1.35
2026-09-06	oos	0.212595	0.206358	-2.93%	0.32764	+54.11%	0.3798	✗	1.32
2026-09-05	oos	0.19052	0.186565	-2.08%	0.296605	+55.68%	0.3707	✗	1.30
2026-09-04	oos	0.18475	0.181927	-1.53%	0.302195	+63.57%	0.4045	✗	1.25
2026-09-03	oos	0.19852	0.196318	-1.11%	0.304885	+53.58%	0.3887	✗	1.23
2026-09-02	oos	0.1945	0.187897	-3.39%	0.29436	+51.34%	0.3216	✗	1.43
2026-09-01	oos	0.19183	0.186397	-2.83%	0.30098	+56.90%	0.3463	✗	1.45
2026-08-31	oos	0.19649	0.192954	-1.80%	0.316625	+61.14%	0.4119	✗	1.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.187005	0.184167	-1.52%	0.32638	+74.53%	0.4817	✗	1.22
2026-08-29	oos	0.202865	0.198944	-1.93%	0.330185	+62.76%	0.4316	✗	1.16
2026-08-28	oos	0.20862	0.204709	-1.87%	0.38139	+82.82%	0.5271	✗	1.16
2026-08-27	oos	0.222835	0.220778	-0.92%	0.350575	+57.32%	0.4052	✗	1.14
2026-08-26	oos	0.2163	0.214872	-0.66%	0.359145	+66.04%	0.4431	✗	1.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.21093	0.210957	+0.01%	0.3288	+55.88%	0.3615	✓	1.14
2026-08-24	oos	0.226415	0.227523	+0.49%	0.34299	+51.49%	0.3353	✓	1.14
2026-08-23	oos	0.245235	0.243726	-0.62%	0.331615	+35.22%	0.1883	✗	1.16
2026-08-22	oos	0.220335	0.223042	+1.23%	0.284465	+29.11%	0.1106	✓	1.14
2026-08-21	oos	0.217115	0.22352	+2.95%	0.2558	+17.82%	0.0943	✓	1.14
2026-08-20	oos	0.210285	0.210095	-0.09%	0.258475	+22.92%	0.0746	✗	1.24
2026-08-19	oos	0.200015	0.195958	-2.03%	0.260795	+30.39%	0.0830	✗	1.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.17428	0.166668	-4.37%	0.22627	+29.83%	0.1052	✗	1.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.16274	0.155762	-4.29%	0.20022	+23.03%	0.0505	✗	1.21
2026-08-16	oos	0.161375	0.152651	-5.41%	0.196575	+21.81%	0.0252	✓	1.23
2026-08-15	oos	0.16419	0.155098	-5.54%	0.220695	+34.41%	0.0873	✗	1.23
2026-08-14	oos	0.163555	0.154138	-5.76%	0.220065	+34.55%	0.1108	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.16973	0.159701	-5.91%	0.226265	+33.31%	0.1035	✗	1.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.15757	0.148468	-5.78%	0.231085	+46.66%	0.1968	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.158535	0.149207	-5.88%	0.21234	+33.94%	0.1187	✗	1.26
2026-08-10	oos	0.157425	0.148445	-5.70%	0.21066	+33.82%	0.0869	✗	1.30
2026-08-09	oos	0.162275	0.153706	-5.28%	0.19427	+19.72%	0.0139	✓	1.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.168105	0.15902	-5.40%	0.19936	+18.59%	0.0318	✓	1.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.16172	0.152892	-5.46%	0.212595	+31.46%	0.0569	✗	1.28
2026-08-06	oos	0.162615	0.152579	-6.17%	0.19052	+17.16%	0.0556	✓	1.28
2026-08-05	oos	0.16908	0.158209	-6.43%	0.18475	+9.27%	0.1140	✓	1.28
2026-08-04	oos	0.16407	0.153053	-6.72%	0.19852	+21.00%	0.0377	✓	1.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.16092	0.149829	-6.89%	0.1945	+20.87%	0.0147	✓	1.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.163095	0.151869	-6.88%	0.19183	+17.62%	0.0109	✓	1.24
2026-08-01	oos	0.16794	0.155855	-7.20%	0.19649	+17.00%	0.0521	✓	1.26
2026-07-31	oos	0.178355	0.165068	-7.45%	0.187005	+4.85%	0.1438	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.173235	0.162026	-6.47%	0.202865	+17.10%	0.0275	✓	1.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.173	0.161042	-6.91%	0.20862	+20.59%	0.0043	✓	1.33
2026-07-28	oos	0.16936	0.15784	-6.80%	0.222835	+31.57%	0.0396	✓	1.33
2026-07-27	oos	0.161515	0.150973	-6.53%	0.2163	+33.92%	0.0733	✗	1.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.17849	0.166576	-6.67%	0.21093	+18.17%	0.0027	✓	1.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.1624	0.151911	-6.46%	0.226415	+39.42%	0.1437	✗	1.24
2026-07-24	oos	0.162015	0.151514	-6.48%	0.245235	+51.37%	0.2400	✗	1.25
2026-07-23	oos	0.162055	0.152605	-5.83%	0.220335	+35.96%	0.1555	✗	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.160925	0.152869	-5.01%	0.217115	+34.92%	0.1331	✗	1.28
2026-07-21	oos	0.162495	0.155061	-4.58%	0.210285	+29.41%	0.1857	✗	1.28
2026-07-20	oos	0.16915	0.159268	-5.84%	0.200015	+18.25%	0.1476	✗	1.32
2026-07-19	oos	0.144955	0.137853	-4.90%	0.17428	+20.23%	0.2345	✗	1.32
2026-07-18	oos	0.13779	0.132031	-4.18%	0.16274	+18.11%	0.2157	✗	1.33
2026-07-17	oos	0.129155	0.124351	-3.72%	0.161375	+24.95%	0.2826	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.14296	0.137003	-4.17%	0.16419	+14.85%	0.1968	✗	1.33
2026-07-15	oos	0.15883	0.151666	-4.51%	0.163555	+2.97%	0.1100	✗	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.149005	0.142649	-4.27%	0.16973	+13.91%	0.2051	✗	1.28
2026-07-13	oos	0.14746	0.140468	-4.74%	0.15757	+6.86%	0.0900	✗	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.147985	0.141668	-4.27%	0.158535	+7.13%	0.1170	✗	1.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.15215	0.145402	-4.44%	0.157425	+3.47%	0.0765	✗	1.37
2026-07-10	oos	0.155895	0.149002	-4.42%	0.162275	+4.09%	0.0696	✗	1.41
2026-07-09	oos	0.16099	0.153753	-4.50%	0.168105	+4.42%	0.0503	✗	1.44
2026-07-08	oos	0.160795	0.153336	-4.64%	0.16172	+0.58%	0.0073	✓	1.45
2026-07-07	oos	0.15845	0.151797	-4.20%	0.162615	+2.63%	0.0472	✗	1.46
2026-07-06	oos	0.170965	0.163106	-4.60%	0.16908	-1.10%	0.0223	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.174945	0.166122	-5.04%	0.16407	-6.22%	0.0231	✓	1.46
2026-07-04	oos	0.177015	0.167799	-5.21%	0.16092	-9.09%	0.0507	✓	1.46
2026-07-03	oos	0.19151	0.179533	-6.25%	0.163095	-14.84%	0.1189	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.175245	0.16558	-5.51%	0.16794	-4.17%	0.0155	✓	1.44
2026-07-01	oos	0.17795	0.166792	-6.27%	0.178355	+0.23%	0.0020	✓	1.48
2026-06-30	oos	0.16175	0.153306	-5.22%	0.173235	+7.10%	0.0237	✓	1.45
2026-06-29	oos	0.1678	0.158589	-5.49%	0.173	+3.10%	0.0002	✓	1.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.157895	0.149981	-5.01%	0.16936	+7.26%	0.0220	✓	1.40
2026-06-27	oos	0.16549	0.156053	-5.70%	0.161515	-2.40%	0.0506	✓	1.40
2026-06-26	oos	0.1664	0.156476	-5.96%	0.17849	+7.27%	0.0119	✓	1.40
2026-06-25	oos	0.149765	0.143007	-4.51%	0.1624	+8.44%	0.0245	✓	1.39
2026-06-24	oos	0.1521	0.145548	-4.31%	0.162015	+6.52%	0.0454	✗	1.25
2026-06-23	oos	0.16124	0.153685	-4.69%	0.162055	+0.51%	0.0064	✓	1.24
2026-06-22	oos	0.156905	0.150925	-3.81%	0.160925	+2.56%	0.0221	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.162165	0.155181	-4.31%	0.162495	+0.20%	0.0197	✓	1.30
2026-06-20	oos	0.1601	0.154391	-3.57%	0.16915	+5.65%	0.0725	✗	1.23
2026-06-19	oos	0.1357	0.134126	-1.16%	0.144955	+6.82%	0.0552	✗	1.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.10642	0.107345	+0.87%	0.13779	+29.48%	0.2160	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.112555	0.113598	+0.93%	0.129155	+14.75%	0.1378	✓	1.10
2026-06-16	oos	0.114125	0.115773	+1.44%	0.14296	+25.27%	0.2423	✓	1.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.11853	0.120267	+1.47%	0.15883	+34.00%	0.3044	✓	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.109245	0.111289	+1.87%	0.149005	+36.40%	0.3038	✓	1.09
2026-06-13	oos	0.105045	0.10699	+1.85%	0.14746	+40.38%	0.3585	✓	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.103575	0.105423	+1.78%	0.147985	+42.88%	0.3357	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.10421	0.105787	+1.51%	0.15215	+46.00%	0.3599	✓	1.07
2026-06-10	oos	0.0975	0.099012	+1.55%	0.155895	+59.89%	0.4089	✓	1.05
2026-06-09	oos	0.101115	0.101945	+0.82%	0.16099	+59.21%	0.4319	✓	1.05
2026-06-08	oos	0.1019	0.102361	+0.45%	0.160795	+57.80%	0.4656	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.0992	0.099719	+0.52%	0.15845	+59.73%	0.4627	✓	1.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.0983	0.09884	+0.55%	0.170965	+73.92%	0.4938	✓	1.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.1041	0.104164	+0.06%	0.174945	+68.05%	0.4745	✓	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.1215	0.119406	-1.72%	0.177015	+45.69%	0.4046	✗	0.96
2026-06-03	oos	0.1327	0.128809	-2.93%	0.19151	+44.32%	0.4187	✗	0.92
2026-06-02	oos	0.13	0.126541	-2.66%	0.175245	+34.80%	0.4054	✗	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.1322	0.12823	-3.00%	0.17795	+34.61%	0.5060	✗	1.03
2026-05-31	oos	0.1291	0.125159	-3.05%	0.16175	+25.29%	0.5052	✗	1.09
2026-05-30	oos	0.127	0.122773	-3.33%	0.1678	+32.13%	0.5213	✗	1.02
2026-05-29	oos	0.12515	0.12088	-3.41%	0.157895	+26.16%	0.4822	✗	1.02
2026-05-28	oos	0.1275	0.122907	-3.60%	0.16549	+29.80%	0.5061	✗	1.02
2026-05-27	oos	0.13255	0.12733	-3.94%	0.1664	+25.54%	0.4821	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.136	0.130532	-4.02%	0.149765	+10.12%	0.3766	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.1323	0.127334	-3.75%	0.1521	+14.97%	0.4110	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.1323	0.127313	-3.77%	0.16124	+21.87%	0.4394	✗	0.99
2026-05-23	oos	0.1383	0.132777	-3.99%	0.156905	+13.45%	0.3533	✗	1.03
2026-05-22	oos	0.13665	0.131014	-4.12%	0.162165	+18.67%	0.3958	✗	1.03
2026-05-21	oos	0.1478	0.141624	-4.18%	0.1601	+8.32%	0.3118	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.14585	0.139708	-4.21%	0.1357	-6.96%	0.1699	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.1409	0.13481	-4.32%	0.10642	-24.47%	0.0374	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1438	0.137631	-4.29%	0.112555	-21.73%	0.0205	✓	1.02
2026-05-17	oos	0.1436	0.137833	-4.02%	0.114125	-20.53%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.1471	0.141281	-3.96%	0.11853	-19.42%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1533	0.146941	-4.15%	0.109245	-28.74%	0.1103	✓	1.01
2026-05-14	oos	0.16025	0.15422	-3.76%	0.105045	-34.45%	0.1530	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1536	0.147911	-3.70%	0.103575	-32.57%	0.1333	✓	1.01
2026-05-12	oos	0.17095	0.163833	-4.16%	0.10421	-39.04%	0.2251	✓	0.96
2026-05-11	oos	0.1787	0.171284	-4.15%	0.0975	-45.44%	0.2972	✓	0.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.1787	0.17192	-3.79%	0.101115	-43.42%	0.2628	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.1799	0.172127	-4.32%	0.1019	-43.36%	0.2928	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.1814	0.172986	-4.64%	0.0992	-45.31%	0.3367	✓	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.1734	0.165696	-4.44%	0.0983	-43.31%	0.2722	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.16795	0.161787	-3.67%	0.1041	-38.02%	0.1740	✓	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.1666	0.160055	-3.93%	0.1215	-27.07%	0.0561	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.1678	0.160563	-4.31%	0.1327	-20.92%	0.0134	✓	0.92
2026-05-03	oos	0.1622	0.154622	-4.67%	0.13	-19.85%	0.0238	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.1645	0.155939	-5.20%	0.1322	-19.64%	0.0747	✓	0.92
2026-05-01	oos	0.1595	0.151235	-5.18%	0.1291	-19.06%	0.1020	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.1549	0.145985	-5.76%	0.127	-18.01%	0.1080	✓	0.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.1522	0.143102	-5.98%	0.12515	-17.77%	0.1044	✓	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.1531	0.143705	-6.14%	0.1275	-16.72%	0.0856	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.1546	0.146186	-5.44%	0.13255	-14.26%	0.0614	✓	0.91
2026-04-26	oos	0.1622	0.154536	-4.73%	0.136	-16.15%	0.0939	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.1564	0.148327	-5.16%	0.1323	-15.41%	0.1096	✓	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.163	0.15502	-4.90%	0.1323	-18.83%	0.1526	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.1759	0.16894	-3.96%	0.1383	-21.38%	0.1807	✓	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.18475	0.177819	-3.75%	0.13665	-26.04%	0.2301	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.1801	0.171218	-4.93%	0.1478	-17.93%	0.1615	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.14705	0.13969	-5.01%	0.14585	-0.82%	0.0239	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.1406	0.134291	-4.49%	0.1409	+0.21%	0.0113	✓	0.94
2026-04-18	oos	0.14645	0.143401	-2.08%	0.1438	-1.81%	0.0120	✓	0.94
2026-04-17	oos	0.1514	0.151037	-0.24%	0.1436	-5.15%	0.0542	✓	0.93
2026-04-16	oos	0.1517	0.150167	-1.01%	0.1471	-3.03%	0.0565	✓	0.94
2026-04-15	oos	0.141	0.139804	-0.85%	0.1533	+8.72%	0.0409	✗	0.93
2026-04-14	oos	0.1345	0.133832	-0.50%	0.16025	+19.14%	0.0971	✗	0.93
2026-04-13	oos	0.1398	0.139667	-0.10%	0.1536	+9.87%	0.0366	✗	0.93
2026-04-12	oos	0.1314	0.130791	-0.46%	0.17095	+30.10%	0.1484	✗	0.93
2026-04-11	oos	0.1431	0.143818	+0.50%	0.1787	+24.88%	0.1157	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.1364	0.137266	+0.63%	0.1787	+31.01%	0.1557	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.13315	0.133831	+0.51%	0.1799	+35.11%	0.1904	✓	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.1326	0.133449	+0.64%	0.1814	+36.80%	0.1977	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.1428	0.143268	+0.33%	0.1734	+21.43%	0.0947	✓	0.90
2026-04-06	oos	0.1347	0.134432	-0.20%	0.16795	+24.68%	0.0725	✗	0.89
2026-04-05	oos	0.1287	0.128265	-0.34%	0.1666	+29.45%	0.1194	✗	0.89
2026-04-04	oos	0.1271	0.126066	-0.81%	0.1678	+32.02%	0.1311	✗	0.90
2026-04-03	oos	0.1282	0.127049	-0.90%	0.1622	+26.52%	0.1002	✗	0.90
2026-04-02	oos	0.1287	0.127568	-0.88%	0.1645	+27.82%	0.1078	✗	0.90
2026-04-01	oos	0.1348	0.133304	-1.11%	0.1595	+18.32%	0.0533	✗	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.1343	0.132995	-0.97%	0.1549	+15.34%	0.0497	✗	0.92
2026-03-30	oos	0.1353	0.134064	-0.91%	0.1522	+12.49%	0.0097	✗	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.132	0.131122	-0.67%	0.1531	+15.98%	0.0206	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.1404	0.139024	-0.98%	0.1546	+10.11%	0.0353	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.15035	0.148193	-1.43%	0.1622	+7.88%	0.0665	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.1362	0.135651	-0.40%	0.1564	+14.83%	0.0239	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.1438	0.14329	-0.35%	0.163	+13.35%	0.0484	✗	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.1359	0.136091	+0.14%	0.1759	+29.43%	0.1562	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.14015	0.140517	+0.26%	0.18475	+31.82%	0.1788	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.1415	0.141382	-0.08%	0.1801	+27.28%	0.1249	✗	0.99
2026-03-21	oos	0.149	0.14851	-0.33%	0.14705	-1.31%	0.1048	✓	0.99
2026-03-20	oos	0.1528	0.152656	-0.09%	0.1406	-7.98%	0.1279	✓	0.99
2026-03-19	oos	0.1542	0.15441	+0.14%	0.14645	-5.03%	0.1325	✗	1.00
2026-03-18	oos	0.156	0.156697	+0.45%	0.1514	-2.95%	0.1139	✗	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.1648	0.165789	+0.60%	0.1517	-7.95%	0.1054	✗	1.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.1716	0.172847	+0.73%	0.141	-17.83%	0.2030	✗	1.02
2026-03-15	oos	0.1623	0.163646	+0.83%	0.1345	-17.13%	0.2146	✗	1.01
2026-03-14	oos	0.1645	0.165624	+0.68%	0.1398	-15.02%	0.2141	✗	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.1699	0.171159	+0.74%	0.1314	-22.66%	0.2616	✗	1.03
2026-03-12	oos	0.1603	0.161618	+0.82%	0.1431	-10.73%	0.1581	✗	1.02
2026-03-11	oos	0.1621	0.163405	+0.81%	0.1364	-15.85%	0.2205	✗	1.02
2026-03-10	oos	0.1587	0.160453	+1.10%	0.13315	-16.10%	0.2127	✗	1.01
2026-03-09	oos	0.158	0.159718	+1.09%	0.1326	-16.08%	0.2249	✗	1.02
2026-03-08	oos	0.155	0.156988	+1.28%	0.1428	-7.87%	0.1825	✗	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.1602	0.162748	+1.59%	0.1347	-15.92%	0.2130	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.1708	0.173522	+1.59%	0.1287	-24.65%	0.3120	✗	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.17205	0.175601	+2.06%	0.1271	-26.13%	0.2698	✗	1.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.1771	0.181048	+2.23%	0.1282	-27.61%	0.2609	✗	1.03
2026-03-03	oos	0.1729	0.176116	+1.86%	0.1287	-25.56%	0.2912	✗	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.1774	0.180347	+1.66%	0.1348	-24.01%	0.2801	✗	1.05
2026-03-01	oos	0.1789	0.18098	+1.16%	0.1343	-24.93%	0.3385	✗	1.10
2026-02-28	oos	0.1838	0.185716	+1.04%	0.1353	-26.39%	0.3129	✗	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.1825	0.184072	+0.86%	0.132	-27.67%	0.3342	✗	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.1848	0.186959	+1.17%	0.1404	-24.03%	0.2668	✗	1.12
2026-02-25	oos	0.1859	0.188141	+1.21%	0.15035	-19.12%	0.1968	✗	1.12
2026-02-24	oos	0.181	0.182708	+0.94%	0.1362	-24.75%	0.3758	✗	1.16
2026-02-23	oos	0.1834	0.184952	+0.85%	0.1438	-21.59%	0.3624	✗	1.13
2026-02-22	oos	0.1999	0.200822	+0.46%	0.1359	-32.02%	0.4367	✗	1.09
2026-02-21	oos	0.2101	0.210413	+0.15%	0.14015	-33.29%	0.4531	✗	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.2132	0.213905	+0.33%	0.1415	-33.63%	0.4110	✗	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.2146	0.214538	-0.03%	0.149	-30.57%	0.3957	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.2079	0.208597	+0.34%	0.1528	-26.50%	0.3762	✗	1.09
2026-02-17	oos	0.2246	0.224705	+0.05%	0.1542	-31.34%	0.4165	✗	1.12
2026-02-16	oos	0.22215	0.222418	+0.12%	0.156	-29.78%	0.3937	✗	1.15
2026-02-15	oos	0.2167	0.217701	+0.46%	0.1648	-23.95%	0.3612	✗	1.15
2026-02-14	oos	0.2296	0.229349	-0.11%	0.1716	-25.26%	0.3715	✓	1.15
2026-02-13	oos	0.2222	0.222291	+0.04%	0.1623	-26.96%	0.3796	✗	1.15
2026-02-12	oos	0.2114	0.211793	+0.19%	0.1645	-22.19%	0.3351	✗	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.2095	0.209896	+0.19%	0.1699	-18.90%	0.2702	✗	1.04
2026-02-10	oos	0.2094	0.209412	+0.01%	0.1603	-23.45%	0.2935	✗	1.06
2026-02-09	oos	0.213	0.212028	-0.46%	0.1621	-23.90%	0.2701	✓	1.05
2026-02-08	oos	0.2119	0.210332	-0.74%	0.1587	-25.11%	0.2771	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.2196	0.216414	-1.45%	0.158	-28.05%	0.3023	✓	1.04
2026-02-06	oos	0.2177	0.213533	-1.91%	0.155	-28.80%	0.2520	✓	1.02
2026-02-05	oos	0.1972	0.195601	-0.81%	0.1602	-18.76%	0.2727	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.22765	0.220212	-3.27%	0.1708	-24.97%	0.1739	✓	1.16
2026-02-03	oos	0.23515	0.225871	-3.95%	0.17205	-26.83%	0.1961	✓	1.17
2026-02-02	oos	0.2402	0.229426	-4.49%	0.1771	-26.27%	0.1641	✓	1.20
2026-02-01	oos	0.2286	0.219143	-4.14%	0.1729	-24.37%	0.1024	✓	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.2326	0.222893	-4.17%	0.1774	-23.73%	0.0681	✓	1.20
2026-01-30	oos	0.2533	0.240851	-4.91%	0.1789	-29.37%	0.0072	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.2629	0.249633	-5.05%	0.1838	-30.09%	0.0325	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.2686	0.254899	-5.10%	0.1825	-32.06%	0.0320	✓	1.21
2026-01-27	oos	0.2708	0.256751	-5.19%	0.1848	-31.76%	0.0024	✓	1.19
2026-01-26	oos	0.2391	0.227637	-4.79%	0.1859	-22.25%	0.0980	✗	1.15
2026-01-25	oos	0.24365	0.2318	-4.86%	0.181	-25.71%	0.1002	✗	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.2692	0.253429	-5.86%	0.1834	-31.87%	0.0349	✓	1.12
2026-01-23	oos	0.2704	0.253634	-6.20%	0.1999	-26.07%	0.0723	✗	1.11
2026-01-22	oos	0.2684	0.251226	-6.40%	0.2101	-21.72%	0.1236	✗	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.276	0.257066	-6.86%	0.2132	-22.75%	0.1135	✗	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.2557	0.240091	-6.10%	0.2146	-16.07%	0.1845	✗	1.07
2026-01-19	oos	0.286	0.265594	-7.14%	0.2079	-27.31%	0.0876	✗	1.00
2026-01-18	oos	0.2962	0.274828	-7.22%	0.2246	-24.17%	0.1250	✗	1.00
2026-01-17	oos	0.2857	0.26585	-6.95%	0.22215	-22.24%	0.1498	✗	1.02
2026-01-16	oos	0.315	0.289338	-8.15%	0.2167	-31.21%	0.0435	✓	1.01
2026-01-15	oos	0.2512	0.234819	-6.52%	0.2296	-8.60%	0.2947	✗	1.01
2026-01-14	oos	0.2669	0.248835	-6.77%	0.2222	-16.75%	0.2277	✗	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.27	0.251572	-6.83%	0.2114	-21.70%	0.1929	✗	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.2555	0.239674	-6.19%	0.2095	-18.00%	0.1672	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.2624	0.245436	-6.46%	0.2094	-20.20%	0.1150	✗	0.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.2505	0.235192	-6.11%	0.213	-14.97%	0.1479	✗	0.97
2026-01-09	oos	0.2652	0.248298	-6.37%	0.2119	-20.10%	0.0879	✗	0.97
2026-01-08	oos	0.2732	0.255647	-6.43%	0.2196	-19.62%	0.1139	✗	0.97
2026-01-07	oos	0.2711	0.25493	-5.96%	0.2177	-19.70%	0.0929	✗	0.97
2026-01-06	oos	0.2852	0.267784	-6.11%	0.1972	-30.86%	0.0779	✗	0.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.292	0.274459	-6.01%	0.22765	-22.04%	0.0541	✓	0.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.2783	0.263152	-5.44%	0.23515	-15.50%	0.0644	✗	0.93
2026-01-03	oos	0.2846	0.269229	-5.40%	0.2402	-15.60%	0.0188	✓	0.94
2026-01-02	oos	0.2823	0.267663	-5.18%	0.2286	-19.02%	0.0105	✓	0.94
2026-01-01	oos	0.2637	0.251125	-4.77%	0.2326	-11.79%	0.0325	✓	0.90
2025-12-31	oos	0.2514	0.240965	-4.15%	0.2533	+0.76%	0.0846	✗	0.88
2025-12-30	oos	0.2556	0.244901	-4.19%	0.2629	+2.86%	0.1104	✗	0.88
2025-12-29	oos	0.2542	0.244559	-3.79%	0.2686	+5.66%	0.0733	✗	0.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.2559	0.246392	-3.72%	0.2708	+5.82%	0.0821	✗	0.88
2025-12-27	oos	0.2562	0.246912	-3.63%	0.2391	-6.67%	0.0366	✓	0.88
2025-12-26	oos	0.2508	0.242876	-3.16%	0.24365	-2.85%	0.0105	✓	0.87
2025-12-25	oos	0.2399	0.23299	-2.88%	0.2692	+12.21%	0.1258	✗	0.86
2025-12-24	oos	0.2433	0.236093	-2.96%	0.2704	+11.14%	0.1175	✗	0.86
2025-12-23	oos	0.2395	0.233102	-2.67%	0.2684	+12.07%	0.1213	✗	0.86
2025-12-22	oos	0.2455	0.238772	-2.74%	0.276	+12.42%	0.1371	✗	0.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.2415	0.235067	-2.66%	0.2557	+5.88%	0.0873	✗	0.85
2025-12-20	oos	0.2338	0.227325	-2.77%	0.286	+22.33%	0.1901	✗	0.84
2025-12-19	oos	0.2195	0.214372	-2.34%	0.2962	+34.94%	0.2728	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.208	0.204356	-1.75%	0.2857	+37.36%	0.2521	✗	0.78
2025-12-17	oos	0.2219	0.2174	-2.03%	0.315	+41.96%	0.2921	✗	0.77
2025-12-16	oos	0.2455	0.2386	-2.81%	0.2512	+2.32%	0.0101	✓	0.73
2025-12-15	oos	0.2413	0.234891	-2.66%	0.2669	+10.61%	0.0453	✗	0.72
2025-12-14	oos	0.2389	0.23233	-2.75%	0.27	+13.02%	0.0922	✗	0.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.2591	0.250697	-3.24%	0.2555	-1.39%	0.0118	✓	0.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.2586	0.251272	-2.83%	0.2624	+1.47%	0.0387	✗	0.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.265	0.257584	-2.80%	0.2505	-5.47%	0.0112	✓	0.70
2025-12-10	oos	0.2906	0.281971	-2.97%	0.2652	-8.74%	0.0491	✓	0.73
2025-12-09	oos	0.3209	0.310171	-3.34%	0.2732	-14.86%	0.1138	✓	0.72
2025-12-08	oos	0.3238	0.313095	-3.31%	0.2711	-16.28%	0.1491	✓	0.74
2025-12-07	oos	0.3252	0.314643	-3.25%	0.2852	-12.30%	0.1249	✓	0.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.3261	0.315572	-3.23%	0.292	-10.46%	0.1149	✓	0.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.3232	0.31316	-3.11%	0.2783	-13.89%	0.1356	✓	0.74
2025-12-04	oos	0.3359	0.324986	-3.25%	0.2846	-15.27%	0.1207	✓	0.73
2025-12-03	oos	0.326	0.315488	-3.22%	0.2823	-13.40%	0.0825	✓	0.75
2025-12-02	oos	0.3233	0.313412	-3.06%	0.2637	-18.43%	0.1513	✓	0.75
2025-12-01	oos	0.299	0.291369	-2.55%	0.2514	-15.92%	0.1560	✓	0.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.3245	0.314009	-3.23%	0.2556	-21.23%	0.1945	✓	0.51
2025-11-29	oos	0.3338	0.322256	-3.46%	0.2542	-23.85%	0.2159	✓	0.51
2025-11-28	oos	0.3244	0.313943	-3.22%	0.2559	-21.12%	0.1875	✓	0.50
2025-11-27	oos	0.3494	0.336937	-3.57%	0.2562	-26.67%	0.2542	✓	0.50
2025-11-26	oos	0.3366	0.324156	-3.70%	0.2508	-25.49%	0.2399	✓	0.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.3447	0.330424	-4.14%	0.2399	-30.40%	0.3192	✓	0.54
2025-11-24	oos	0.30815	0.29562	-4.07%	0.2433	-21.04%	0.1905	✓	0.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.284	0.274099	-3.49%	0.2395	-15.67%	0.1381	✓	0.44
2025-11-22	oos	0.2968	0.28674	-3.39%	0.2455	-17.28%	0.1787	✓	0.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.3199	0.308694	-3.50%	0.2415	-24.51%	0.2866	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.3305	0.318602	-3.60%	0.2338	-29.26%	0.3299	✓	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.373	0.356548	-4.41%	0.2195	-41.15%	0.4476	✓	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.4208	0.399456	-5.07%	0.208	-50.57%	0.5689	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.4043	0.384413	-4.92%	0.2219	-45.12%	0.4834	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.4342	0.409505	-5.69%	0.2455	-43.46%	0.4421	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.4311	0.405291	-5.99%	0.2413	-44.03%	0.4182	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.4591	0.430522	-6.22%	0.2389	-47.96%	0.5196	✓	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.4211	0.392934	-6.69%	0.2591	-38.47%	0.3178	✓	1.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.4632	0.428517	-7.49%	0.2586	-44.17%	0.3865	✓	1.00
2025-11-11	oos	0.4332	0.399508	-7.78%	0.265	-38.83%	0.3033	✓	1.00
2025-11-10	oos	0.3909	0.357265	-8.60%	0.2906	-25.66%	0.0655	✓	1.00
2025-11-09	oos	0.3523	0.324551	-7.88%	0.3209	-8.91%	0.1105	✗	1.00
2025-11-08	oos	0.3654	0.338614	-7.33%	0.3238	-11.38%	0.0760	✓	1.00
2025-11-07	oos	0.3836	0.352915	-8.00%	0.3252	-15.22%	0.0514	✓	1.00
2025-11-06	oos	0.3544	0.328569	-7.29%	0.3261	-7.99%	0.1188	✗	1.00
2025-11-05	oos	0.3667	0.336922	-8.12%	0.3232	-11.86%	0.1090	✗	1.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.3522	0.326366	-7.33%	0.3359	-4.63%	0.1257	✗	1.00
2025-11-03	oos	0.3589	0.329107	-8.30%	0.326	-9.17%	0.1217	✗	1.00
2025-11-02	oos	0.4039	0.367081	-9.12%	0.3233	-19.96%	0.0641	✓	1.00
2025-11-01	oos	0.4405	0.403072	-8.50%	0.299	-32.12%	0.0553	✓	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.1504	0.14951	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	-1.49
2025-03-13	in	0.1504	0.15096	+0.37%	–	pending	–	–	-1.56
2025-03-12	in	0.2152	0.20998	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	-1.90
2025-03-11	in	0.2021	0.200584	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	-1.92
2025-03-10	in	0.2911	0.277347	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	-1.28
2025-03-09	in	0.539	0.435991	-19.11%	–	pending	–	–	-1.74
2025-03-08	in	0.1749	0.175196	+0.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2025-03-07	in	0.2203	0.216974	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2025-03-06	in	0.2163	0.214129	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2025-03-02	in	0.2357	0.230833	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-02-28	in	0.2236	0.218309	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2025-02-27	in	0.2237	0.218159	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2025-02-26	in	0.2358	0.228457	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-24	in	0.2306	0.224282	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2025-02-20	in	0.269	0.262821	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2025-02-17	in	0.2305	0.227794	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2025-02-16	in	0.2488	0.245362	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2025-02-15	in	0.2178	0.215914	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-14	in	0.2622	0.257003	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-13	in	0.262	0.257719	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-12	in	0.2635	0.259909	-1.36%	0.1504	-42.92%	0.5115	✓	0.23
2025-02-11	in	0.2235	0.22109	-1.08%	0.1504	-32.71%	0.3597	✓	0.15
2025-02-09	in	0.2656	0.260435	-1.94%	0.2021	-23.91%	0.2318	✓	0.14
2025-02-07	in	0.2947	0.285143	-3.24%	0.539	+82.90%	0.6805	✗	0.24
2025-02-06	in	0.2796	0.270357	-3.31%	0.1749	-37.45%	0.4074	✓	0.25
2025-02-05	in	0.2741	0.265685	-3.07%	0.2203	-19.63%	0.1600	✓	0.25
2025-02-03	in	0.3005	0.294566	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-02	in	0.2933	0.283775	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2025-02-01	in	0.3298	0.319895	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2025-01-31	in	0.3449	0.335024	-2.86%	0.2357	-31.66%	0.3325	✓	0.23
2025-01-30	in	0.3276	0.325109	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2025-01-29	in	0.3277	0.326997	-0.21%	0.2236	-31.77%	0.3262	✓	0.26
2025-01-28	in	0.3246	0.319095	-1.70%	0.2237	-31.08%	0.3052	✓	0.28
2025-01-27	in	0.2782	0.276245	-0.70%	0.2358	-15.24%	0.0986	✓	0.31
2025-01-26	in	0.287	0.28415	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-01-24	in	0.2781	0.280453	+0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-01-23	in	0.3231	0.324	+0.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2025-01-22	in	0.3872	0.381812	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-01-21	in	0.3045	0.308411	+1.28%	0.269	-11.66%	0.1004	✗	0.48
2025-01-20	in	0.3486	0.349607	+0.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2025-01-19	in	0.3346	0.337661	+0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2025-01-18	in	0.3351	0.340252	+1.54%	0.2305	-31.21%	0.3439	✗	0.53
2025-01-17	in	0.3974	0.39994	+0.64%	0.2488	-37.39%	0.4333	✗	0.52
2025-01-16	in	0.3835	0.387636	+1.08%	0.2178	-43.21%	0.5644	✗	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.