OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s4

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,773

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0726

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0134

actual -0.0150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.129435	0.126168	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.12882	0.125871	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.126779	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.121702	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.122785	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.126435	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.134912	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.134374	-2.17%	0.129435	-5.76%	0.0780	✓	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.137467	-2.34%	0.12882	-8.48%	0.1129	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.153517	-3.09%	0.12975	-18.09%	0.1651	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.128415	-1.71%	0.124265	-4.88%	0.0346	✓	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.140443	-2.22%	0.125295	-12.77%	0.0855	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.136164	-2.15%	0.129015	-7.28%	0.0277	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.129987	-1.77%	0.13792	+4.22%	0.0771	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.117507	-1.21%	0.13735	+15.47%	0.1487	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.121077	-1.56%	0.14076	+14.44%	0.1793	✗	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.127845	-1.90%	0.158405	+21.55%	0.2540	✗	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.135593	-2.12%	0.130645	-5.69%	0.0280	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.131438	-2.08%	0.14363	+7.01%	0.1349	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.133159	-2.35%	0.13915	+2.04%	0.0748	✗	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.124146	-2.40%	0.13233	+4.03%	0.0969	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.124753	-2.59%	0.11895	-7.12%	0.0057	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.126027	-2.73%	0.123	-5.07%	0.0195	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.125087	-2.85%	0.130325	+1.22%	0.0085	✓	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.130415	-2.82%	0.138525	+3.22%	0.0221	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.144897	-2.98%	0.134225	-10.13%	0.1093	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.139676	-2.90%	0.136365	-5.20%	0.0293	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.142046	-3.00%	0.1272	-13.14%	0.1171	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.128166	-2.46%	0.12807	-2.53%	0.0084	✓	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.120263	-2.11%	0.129565	+5.47%	0.0883	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.132042	-2.40%	0.128755	-4.83%	0.0150	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.124568	-2.26%	0.1342	+5.30%	0.1222	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.121461	-2.94%	0.14935	+19.35%	0.1516	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.118233	-2.80%	0.14384	+18.26%	0.1429	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.117376	-2.64%	0.146435	+21.46%	0.1669	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.099733	-1.16%	0.1314	+30.23%	0.1540	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.095427	-0.35%	0.12285	+28.28%	0.1293	✗	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.093651	+0.04%	0.135295	+44.52%	0.2145	✓	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.10149	-0.70%	0.12745	+24.69%	0.1152	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.094959	+0.26%	0.12514	+32.12%	0.2172	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.096067	+0.39%	0.121635	+27.11%	0.1826	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.096281	+0.79%	0.120565	+26.21%	0.1756	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.09478	+1.06%	0.1009	+7.58%	0.0652	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.100385	+0.94%	0.095765	-3.70%	0.0179	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.105741	+0.42%	0.093615	-11.10%	0.0820	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.110597	+0.13%	0.10221	-7.46%	0.0664	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.110919	+0.65%	0.094715	-14.05%	0.1103	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.108622	+0.97%	0.095695	-11.05%	0.0921	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.100131	+2.03%	0.095525	-2.66%	0.0141	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.103609	+2.39%	0.09379	-7.31%	0.0365	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.099877	+0.65%	0.099445	+0.22%	0.0195	✗	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.095855	+0.71%	0.1053	+10.63%	0.0774	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.0947	+1.23%	0.11045	+18.07%	0.1464	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.087138	+0.84%	0.1102	+27.53%	0.1983	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.089434	+0.84%	0.10758	+21.30%	0.1643	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.090522	+0.50%	0.09814	+8.96%	0.0572	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.097947	+0.75%	0.10119	+4.08%	0.0205	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.099111	+0.11%	0.09923	+0.23%	0.0230	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.101157	-0.33%	0.09518	-6.22%	0.0463	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.106969	-0.72%	0.09355	-13.18%	0.1287	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.110508	-1.49%	0.08641	-22.97%	0.2451	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.10694	-1.83%	0.08869	-18.58%	0.2026	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.10516	-1.86%	0.09007	-15.94%	0.1485	✓	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.095795	-2.25%	0.09722	-0.80%	0.0800	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.087848	-2.35%	0.099	+10.05%	0.0063	✓	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.080147	-2.25%	0.10149	+23.78%	0.0641	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.082389	-2.12%	0.10775	+28.01%	0.0858	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.081665	-2.02%	0.11218	+34.59%	0.1238	✗	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.083002	-2.14%	0.10893	+28.42%	0.0892	✗	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.084393	-2.27%	0.10715	+24.09%	0.0392	✗	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.08649	-2.46%	0.098	+10.52%	0.0042	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.083921	-2.33%	0.08996	+4.70%	0.0139	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.089119	-2.60%	0.08199	-10.39%	0.0997	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.089006	-2.73%	0.08417	-8.01%	0.0640	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.085745	-2.56%	0.08335	-5.28%	0.0017	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.086175	-2.63%	0.08482	-4.16%	0.0124	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.084189	-2.67%	0.08635	-0.17%	0.0535	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.084253	-2.60%	0.08867	+2.51%	0.0633	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.085172	-2.66%	0.085925	-1.80%	0.0265	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.086132	-2.68%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0680	✗	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.086223	-2.57%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0527	✗	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.084015	-2.31%	0.088	+2.33%	0.0259	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.080814	-2.04%	0.0885	+7.27%	0.0588	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.083278	-2.03%	0.0865	+1.76%	0.0071	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.085881	-1.85%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0140	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.087863	-1.83%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0148	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.087992	-1.68%	0.0885	-1.12%	0.0027	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.08622	-1.46%	0.0885	+1.14%	0.0296	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.094158	-1.41%	0.086	-9.95%	0.0645	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.091357	-1.24%	0.0825	-10.81%	0.0801	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.091494	-1.09%	0.085	-8.11%	0.0558	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.091691	-0.88%	0.0875	-5.41%	0.0422	✓	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.095657	-0.87%	0.0895	-7.25%	0.0368	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.097102	-0.92%	0.0895	-8.67%	0.0454	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.093619	-0.93%	0.0875	-7.41%	0.0480	✓	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.093536	-1.02%	0.0955	+1.06%	0.0123	✗	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.094484	-1.06%	0.0925	-3.14%	0.0147	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.095472	-1.07%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0342	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.09739	-1.13%	0.0925	-6.09%	0.0693	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.101302	-1.17%	0.0965	-5.85%	0.0670	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.100347	-1.14%	0.098	-3.45%	0.0446	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.097327	-1.19%	0.0945	-4.06%	0.0728	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.099288	-1.21%	0.0945	-5.97%	0.0632	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.10027	-1.21%	0.0955	-5.91%	0.0648	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.102209	-1.25%	0.0965	-6.76%	0.0537	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.100695	-1.28%	0.0985	-3.43%	0.0318	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.098231	-1.28%	0.1025	+3.02%	0.0020	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.100593	-1.38%	0.1015	-0.49%	0.0177	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.10533	-1.56%	0.0985	-7.94%	0.0388	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.106705	-1.65%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0626	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.10571	-1.67%	0.1015	-5.58%	0.0523	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.10518	-1.70%	0.1035	-3.27%	0.0429	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.097493	-1.52%	0.102	+3.03%	0.0174	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.093672	-1.40%	0.0995	+4.74%	0.0226	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.095597	-1.45%	0.102	+5.15%	0.0185	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.098843	-1.65%	0.107	+6.47%	0.0142	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.097882	-1.63%	0.1085	+9.05%	0.0316	✗	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.098799	-1.69%	0.1075	+6.97%	0.0291	✗	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.103083	-1.83%	0.107	+1.90%	0.0070	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.103976	-1.91%	0.099	-6.60%	0.0808	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.102425	-1.99%	0.095	-9.09%	0.0565	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.099469	-2.00%	0.097	-4.43%	0.0535	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.098376	-2.11%	0.1005	+0.00%	0.0928	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.097458	-2.05%	0.0995	+0.00%	0.0925	✗	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.101117	-2.30%	0.1005	-2.90%	0.0691	✗	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.101175	-2.25%	0.105	+1.45%	0.0988	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.106811	-2.46%	0.106	-3.20%	0.0509	✗	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.106133	-2.63%	0.1045	-4.13%	0.0482	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.10545	-2.81%	0.1015	-6.45%	0.0162	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.105183	-3.06%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0024	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.104827	-2.94%	0.0995	-7.87%	0.0059	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.103485	-2.83%	0.1035	-2.82%	0.0041	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.097419	-2.09%	0.1035	+4.02%	0.0618	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.094385	-1.68%	0.1095	+14.06%	0.1618	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.089695	-0.89%	0.109	+20.44%	0.1372	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.09542	-1.12%	0.1085	+12.44%	0.0541	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.095273	-0.76%	0.1085	+13.02%	0.0691	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.096413	-0.60%	0.108	+11.34%	0.0684	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.094584	+0.62%	0.1065	+13.30%	0.0494	✓	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.098496	+0.51%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0384	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.110792	-1.08%	0.096	-14.29%	0.1391	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.121009	-1.62%	0.0905	-26.42%	0.2450	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.113751	-1.09%	0.0965	-16.09%	0.0699	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.121259	-2.21%	0.096	-22.58%	0.0928	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.116406	-1.77%	0.097	-18.14%	0.0006	✓	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.118385	-1.76%	0.094	-21.99%	0.0026	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.116718	-1.50%	0.098	-17.30%	0.0416	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.116797	-1.44%	0.112	-5.49%	0.1247	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.12177	-1.80%	0.123	-0.81%	0.1802	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.124479	-1.99%	0.115	-9.45%	0.0690	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.126809	-2.08%	0.124	-4.25%	0.0676	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.123673	-1.85%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0083	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.127942	-1.96%	0.1205	-7.66%	0.0184	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.123845	-1.71%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0139	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.129787	-2.05%	0.1185	-10.57%	0.0338	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.126503	-1.94%	0.124	-3.88%	0.0233	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.123244	-1.80%	0.127	+1.20%	0.0425	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.127007	-1.93%	0.1295	+0.00%	0.0153	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.125882	-2.04%	0.126	-1.95%	0.0068	✓	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.129758	-2.07%	0.1305	-1.51%	0.0253	✗	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.133493	-2.20%	0.126	-7.69%	0.0088	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.141166	-2.31%	0.1325	-8.30%	0.0170	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.14308	-2.33%	0.129	-11.95%	0.0792	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.148407	-2.36%	0.1255	-17.43%	0.1188	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.153706	-2.10%	0.1295	-17.52%	0.1095	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.160172	-2.04%	0.1285	-21.41%	0.1587	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.160455	-2.16%	0.1325	-19.21%	0.1582	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.167506	-2.61%	0.1365	-20.64%	0.1901	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.145066	-1.98%	0.1445	-2.36%	0.0174	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.139908	-1.82%	0.1465	+2.81%	0.0724	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.126754	-1.36%	0.152	+18.29%	0.1871	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.122221	-1.43%	0.157	+26.61%	0.2272	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.121243	-1.43%	0.1635	+32.93%	0.2530	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.124212	-1.42%	0.164	+30.16%	0.2528	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.119391	-1.33%	0.172	+42.15%	0.3402	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.118491	-1.67%	0.148	+22.82%	0.1729	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.117431	-1.73%	0.1425	+19.25%	0.1179	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.119593	-1.57%	0.1285	+5.76%	0.0092	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.120755	-1.42%	0.124	+1.22%	0.0075	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.123876	-1.29%	0.123	-1.99%	0.0055	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.123608	-1.51%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0049	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.123511	-1.59%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0313	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.119845	-1.36%	0.1205	-0.82%	0.0334	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.119371	-1.35%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0359	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.121453	-1.66%	0.1215	-1.62%	0.0008	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.121368	-1.73%	0.1225	-0.81%	0.0124	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.117752	-1.87%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0067	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.123274	-1.77%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0097	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.131876	-1.95%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0548	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.129608	-2.18%	0.1215	-8.30%	0.1095	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.117566	-1.62%	0.121	+1.26%	0.0195	✓	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.109774	-1.55%	0.1235	+10.76%	0.0865	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.114666	-1.57%	0.1235	+6.01%	0.0539	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.10478	-1.62%	0.12	+12.68%	0.0880	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.112718	-1.56%	0.1255	+9.61%	0.0678	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.113764	-1.50%	0.1345	+16.45%	0.1067	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.112285	-1.50%	0.1325	+16.23%	0.1147	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.11277	-1.51%	0.1195	+4.37%	0.0008	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.116625	-1.58%	0.1115	-5.91%	0.0794	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.107807	-1.55%	0.1165	+6.39%	0.0077	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.108718	-1.61%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0480	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.108703	-1.63%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0391	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.108726	-1.61%	0.1155	+4.52%	0.0351	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.104971	-1.44%	0.114	+7.04%	0.0042	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.108793	-1.55%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0037	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.108779	-1.56%	0.1185	+7.24%	0.0262	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.104053	-1.37%	0.1095	+3.79%	0.0161	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.100283	-1.20%	0.1105	+8.87%	0.0467	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.101221	-1.25%	0.1105	+7.80%	0.0715	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.102672	-1.28%	0.1105	+6.25%	0.0633	✗	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.106927	-1.45%	0.1065	-1.84%	0.0269	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.111757	-1.54%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0401	✗	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.111902	-1.41%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0249	✗	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.111931	-1.38%	0.1055	-7.05%	0.0084	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.112935	-1.37%	0.1015	-11.35%	0.0743	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.115999	-1.28%	0.1025	-12.77%	0.0796	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.122224	-1.03%	0.104	-15.79%	0.0921	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.120444	-0.87%	0.1085	-10.70%	0.0855	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.125562	-0.74%	0.1135	-10.28%	0.1019	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.135592	-0.67%	0.1135	-16.85%	0.1238	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.136543	-0.70%	0.1135	-17.45%	0.1210	✓	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.127668	-0.65%	0.1145	-10.89%	0.0279	✓	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.122632	-0.70%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0052	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.121923	-0.88%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0200	✗	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.118599	-0.75%	0.1215	+1.67%	0.0341	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.120034	-0.80%	0.1265	+4.55%	0.0358	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.117589	-0.77%	0.1365	+15.19%	0.0868	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.117621	-0.74%	0.1375	+16.03%	0.0538	✗	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.114377	-0.54%	0.1285	+11.74%	0.0025	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.116557	-0.38%	0.1235	+5.56%	0.0086	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.120567	-0.36%	0.123	+1.65%	0.0269	✓	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.125099	-0.32%	0.1195	-4.78%	0.0400	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.128619	-0.30%	0.121	-6.20%	0.0206	✓	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.125628	-0.29%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0867	✓	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.124697	-0.24%	0.1185	-5.20%	0.0439	✓	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121439	-0.05%	0.115	-5.35%	0.0583	✓	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122448	-0.04%	0.117	-4.49%	0.0511	✓	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.120236	+0.20%	0.121	+0.83%	0.0364	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.119768	+0.22%	0.1255	+5.02%	0.0163	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.12416	+0.13%	0.129	+4.03%	0.0473	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.119257	+1.07%	0.126	+6.78%	0.0290	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.122632	+0.93%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0618	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.123234	+0.60%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0222	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.129092	+0.46%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0331	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.129741	+0.57%	0.12	-6.98%	0.0365	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.140528	+0.38%	0.1195	-14.64%	0.1724	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.164722	-0.17%	0.124	-24.85%	0.3164	✓	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.186408	-0.58%	0.118	-37.07%	0.3881	✓	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.189296	-0.63%	0.1215	-36.22%	0.3584	✓	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.188435	-0.56%	0.1225	-35.36%	0.4075	✓	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.195604	-0.71%	0.1285	-34.77%	0.3844	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.188186	-0.43%	0.129	-31.75%	0.3614	✓	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.182629	+0.07%	0.14	-23.29%	0.2813	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.178127	+0.35%	0.165	-7.04%	0.0645	✗	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.182917	+0.23%	0.1875	+2.74%	0.0509	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.188777	+0.15%	0.1905	+1.06%	0.0329	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.191191	+0.36%	0.1895	-0.52%	0.0199	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.197722	+0.62%	0.197	+0.25%	0.0143	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.199465	+0.74%	0.189	-4.55%	0.0204	✗	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.189268	+4.28%	0.1825	+0.55%	0.1153	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.219663	+0.53%	0.1775	-18.76%	0.0685	✗	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.214388	+0.89%	0.1825	-14.12%	0.0054	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.229954	+0.20%	0.1885	-17.86%	0.0050	✓	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.229402	+0.84%	0.1905	-16.26%	0.0312	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.235376	+0.59%	0.1965	-16.03%	0.0499	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.260395	-0.80%	0.198	-24.57%	0.0466	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.266853	-0.98%	0.1815	-32.65%	0.1571	✗	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.296007	-1.66%	0.2185	-27.41%	0.0559	✗	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.296532	-1.65%	0.2125	-29.52%	0.0350	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.292753	-1.60%	0.2295	-22.86%	0.0378	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.28241	-1.43%	0.2275	-20.59%	0.0042	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.298018	-1.81%	0.234	-22.90%	0.0193	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.298514	-1.80%	0.2625	-13.65%	0.0184	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.301261	-1.87%	0.2695	-12.21%	0.0101	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.302426	-1.97%	0.301	-2.43%	0.0007	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.293637	-1.96%	0.3015	+0.67%	0.0103	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.312439	-2.21%	0.2975	-6.89%	0.0370	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.315329	-2.37%	0.2865	-11.30%	0.0457	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.338166	-2.41%	0.3035	-12.41%	0.0085	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.331486	-2.50%	0.304	-10.59%	0.0298	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.332178	-2.59%	0.307	-9.97%	0.0394	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.342549	-2.55%	0.3085	-12.23%	0.0403	✗	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.356156	-2.95%	0.2995	-18.39%	0.0324	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.299776	-2.83%	0.3195	+3.57%	0.0381	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.306915	-2.72%	0.323	+2.38%	0.0005	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.309499	-2.52%	0.3465	+9.13%	0.0245	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.307233	-2.31%	0.34	+8.11%	0.0084	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.306647	-2.19%	0.341	+8.77%	0.0202	✓	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.31055	-2.03%	0.3515	+10.88%	0.0045	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.325337	-2.01%	0.367	+10.54%	0.0829	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.323445	-1.99%	0.3085	-6.52%	0.0145	✓	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.312749	-1.96%	0.3155	-1.10%	0.0234	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.304202	-1.87%	0.3175	+2.42%	0.0481	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.29928	-1.88%	0.3145	+3.11%	0.0363	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.29072	-1.78%	0.3135	+5.91%	0.0209	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.263661	-1.44%	0.317	+18.50%	0.0955	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.267844	-1.35%	0.332	+22.28%	0.0910	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.265405	-1.34%	0.33	+22.68%	0.0614	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.270319	-1.34%	0.319	+16.42%	0.0811	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.274214	-1.36%	0.31	+11.51%	0.0579	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.26437	-1.17%	0.305	+14.02%	0.0814	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.249745	-0.89%	0.296	+17.46%	0.1335	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.260957	-0.97%	0.2675	+1.52%	0.0274	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.267838	-0.98%	0.2715	+0.37%	0.0088	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.268488	-0.93%	0.269	-0.74%	0.0354	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.270084	-0.89%	0.274	+0.55%	0.0320	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.276013	-0.89%	0.278	-0.18%	0.0192	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.27711	-0.86%	0.2675	-4.29%	0.0166	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.258515	-0.57%	0.252	-3.08%	0.0662	✓	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.271034	-0.72%	0.2635	-3.48%	0.0612	✓	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.290835	-0.91%	0.2705	-7.84%	0.0626	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.289767	-0.93%	0.271	-7.35%	0.1173	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.297457	-1.01%	0.2725	-9.32%	0.0986	✓	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.311887	-1.15%	0.2785	-11.73%	0.0684	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.304073	-1.11%	0.2795	-9.11%	0.0335	✓	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.310669	-1.22%	0.26	-17.33%	0.0117	✓	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.319091	-1.36%	0.273	-15.61%	0.0189	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.333267	-1.55%	0.2935	-13.29%	0.0149	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.313945	-1.43%	0.2925	-8.16%	0.0282	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.300912	-1.34%	0.3005	-1.48%	0.0501	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.31009	-1.40%	0.3155	+0.32%	0.0056	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.296652	-1.28%	0.3075	+2.33%	0.0143	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.314266	-1.48%	0.3145	-1.41%	0.0094	✓	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.322293	-1.59%	0.3235	-1.22%	0.0357	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.311888	-1.46%	0.3385	+6.95%	0.0503	✗	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.284608	-1.01%	0.3185	+10.78%	0.0071	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.313971	-1.42%	0.305	-4.24%	0.0298	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.321888	-1.41%	0.3145	-3.68%	0.0137	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.327458	-1.37%	0.3005	-9.49%	0.0491	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.328987	-1.35%	0.319	-4.35%	0.0489	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.321508	-1.23%	0.3275	+0.61%	0.0500	✓	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.321104	-1.05%	0.3165	-2.47%	0.1122	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.315354	-0.99%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0424	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.299758	-0.58%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0274	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.301799	-0.23%	0.3265	+7.93%	0.0801	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.307176	-0.27%	0.332	+7.79%	0.0728	✓	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.35662	-1.08%	0.3335	-7.49%	0.1859	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.369356	-1.37%	0.3255	-13.08%	0.1007	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.374977	-1.45%	0.3245	-14.72%	0.0014	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.359994	-1.24%	0.3185	-12.62%	0.0223	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.376643	-1.40%	0.3015	-21.07%	0.0316	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.383762	-1.47%	0.3025	-22.34%	0.0460	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.372903	-1.35%	0.308	-18.52%	0.0562	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.384639	-1.50%	0.3605	-7.68%	0.2861	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.393379	-1.53%	0.3745	-6.26%	0.2160	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.399696	-1.55%	0.3805	-6.28%	0.2155	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.43547	-1.92%	0.3645	-17.91%	0.1853	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.420636	-1.72%	0.382	-10.75%	0.1779	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.416642	-1.74%	0.3895	-8.14%	0.1120	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.41593	-1.90%	0.378	-10.85%	0.1331	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.361541	-0.95%	0.3905	+6.99%	0.1189	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.369083	-1.05%	0.3995	+7.10%	0.1341	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.343396	-0.47%	0.406	+17.68%	0.1294	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.35005	-0.70%	0.444	+25.96%	0.2524	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.415041	-1.30%	0.428	+1.78%	0.1723	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.412093	-1.18%	0.424	+1.68%	0.2203	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.39468	-0.96%	0.424	+6.40%	0.2259	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.397089	-0.85%	0.365	-8.86%	0.0919	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.435645	-1.10%	0.373	-15.32%	0.0065	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.431579	-1.01%	0.345	-20.87%	0.0595	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.446414	-1.13%	0.3525	-21.93%	0.0551	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.45881	-1.22%	0.4205	-9.47%	0.0074	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.441877	-1.04%	0.417	-6.61%	0.0193	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.444081	-0.99%	0.3985	-11.15%	0.0725	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.430176	-0.77%	0.4005	-7.61%	0.0276	✓	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.417536	-0.47%	0.4405	+5.01%	0.0063	✓	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.430898	-0.60%	0.436	+0.58%	0.0974	✓	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.443977	-0.79%	0.4515	+0.89%	0.0681	✓	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.436821	-0.50%	0.4645	+5.81%	0.0794	✓	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.427224	-0.06%	0.4465	+4.44%	0.0651	✓	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.421548	+0.37%	0.4485	+6.79%	0.0506	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.42886	+0.32%	0.4335	+1.40%	0.0365	✗	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.455173	-0.29%	0.4195	-8.11%	0.0030	✓	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.481391	-0.85%	0.4335	-10.71%	0.0085	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.496478	-1.30%	0.4475	-11.03%	0.0075	✓	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.482263	-1.18%	0.439	-10.04%	0.0545	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.454837	-0.26%	0.4275	-6.25%	0.0242	✗	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.491023	-1.40%	0.42	-15.66%	0.0016	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.690621	-2.39%	0.4275	-39.58%	0.2388	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.714492	-2.33%	0.4565	-37.59%	0.2307	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.694874	-2.41%	0.4855	-31.81%	0.2105	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.741136	-2.29%	0.503	-33.68%	0.2225	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.701614	-2.35%	0.488	-32.08%	0.2155	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.707847	-2.37%	0.456	-37.10%	0.2309	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.727405	-2.36%	0.498	-33.15%	0.2137	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.732388	-2.54%	0.7075	-5.85%	0.0536	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.688088	-2.40%	0.7315	+3.76%	0.0208	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.655778	-2.20%	0.712	+6.19%	0.0537	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.658962	-2.23%	0.7585	+12.54%	0.0486	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.668281	-2.16%	0.7185	+5.20%	0.1451	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.660163	-1.98%	0.725	+7.65%	0.1627	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.656598	-2.00%	0.745	+11.19%	0.1306	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.628684	-1.92%	0.7515	+17.24%	0.0592	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.666867	-2.29%	0.705	+3.30%	0.0547	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.667585	-2.19%	0.6705	-1.76%	0.0397	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.687909	-2.29%	0.674	-4.26%	0.0547	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.759744	-2.47%	0.683	-12.32%	0.0434	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.788623	-2.52%	0.6735	-16.75%	0.0308	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.772855	-2.48%	0.67	-15.46%	0.0169	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.809419	-2.60%	0.641	-22.86%	0.0630	✓	2.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.