GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s4

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0952

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0095

actual +0.0062

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.292696	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.304172	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.317982	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.248491	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.221301	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.187198	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.192067	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.211735	-4.06%	0.305135	+38.26%	0.3608	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.214588	-4.56%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.3993	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.254858	-9.54%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2954	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.175267	-3.43%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4211	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.17764	-4.26%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.3001	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.182733	-4.49%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0715	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.197036	-6.96%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0085	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.177596	-6.69%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2357	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.143658	-3.44%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4798	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.174954	-6.61%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.5276	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.162001	-7.33%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1506	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.11185	-2.53%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5262	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.128734	-4.10%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4177	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.135015	-6.17%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4839	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.092506	-1.82%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7241	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085446	-0.98%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5370	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084829	-0.84%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7698	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.090055	-0.93%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6439	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090064	-1.03%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2391	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.091042	-1.85%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3844	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.085721	-0.83%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5135	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.08242	-0.70%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1419	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087375	-0.93%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0117	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.085919	-1.49%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0255	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.082564	-1.63%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0618	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.084004	-1.99%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0469	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.079862	-2.47%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.1157	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.07528	-2.33%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0524	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.074261	-2.03%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0235	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.073685	-1.79%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0646	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076336	-1.33%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0430	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.076655	-1.57%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0420	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.076944	-1.23%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0637	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075334	-0.97%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0421	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.07495	-0.75%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0302	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.078076	-0.44%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0051	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082092	-0.73%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0554	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.0798	-0.45%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0199	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082054	-0.52%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0096	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.081592	-0.76%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0153	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.078713	-0.77%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0055	✓	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.080883	-0.48%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0137	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.077816	-1.18%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0041	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.078438	-1.41%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0399	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080021	-1.54%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0044	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.079024	-1.33%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0098	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.082335	-1.02%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0197	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084011	-1.05%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0786	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087325	-1.27%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.0829	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.084657	-0.77%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0528	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.082099	-0.41%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0185	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.085336	-0.27%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0442	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.088195	-0.50%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.0957	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.086548	-0.43%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0532	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.091194	-0.43%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0661	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.085257	-0.85%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0442	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.082978	-1.26%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0846	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.080126	-1.58%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1504	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.082064	-1.61%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1470	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.083547	-1.85%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1479	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.084366	-1.85%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1665	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.083035	-2.23%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.1165	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.079359	-1.58%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0602	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.080288	-1.70%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0484	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.081712	-1.66%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0218	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.084752	-1.58%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0253	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.087253	-1.57%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0120	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.087085	-1.54%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0194	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.083172	-1.46%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0533	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.080555	-1.50%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0151	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.078094	-1.38%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0649	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.073843	-1.23%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1265	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.076587	-1.37%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1098	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.076098	-1.50%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1310	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.075161	-1.44%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1284	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.073099	-1.50%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1108	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.072477	-1.35%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1282	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.072166	-1.23%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0811	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.075831	-1.38%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0176	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.0703	-1.18%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1033	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.0682	-1.12%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1563	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.068028	-1.12%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1401	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.064971	-1.04%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1535	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.066517	-0.91%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1044	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.06741	-0.81%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1138	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.067794	-0.96%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1666	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.066675	-0.96%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0868	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.065779	-0.95%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0382	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.065669	-1.04%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0538	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.065585	-1.23%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0014	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.066368	-1.19%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0039	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.068495	-1.15%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0238	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.069542	-1.23%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0339	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.066655	-1.11%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0257	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.068444	-1.08%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0414	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.067742	-1.07%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0345	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.068688	-1.05%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0306	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.067728	-1.03%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0166	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.06847	-1.01%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0225	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.069781	-1.07%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0137	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.073508	-1.25%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0631	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.07431	-1.29%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0734	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.074372	-1.34%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0916	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.078524	-2.28%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1439	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.072462	-1.73%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0784	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.07183	-2.17%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0673	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.065094	-1.59%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0219	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.067033	-1.63%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0593	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.067389	-1.56%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0613	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.067057	-1.77%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0790	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.067475	-1.65%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1441	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.067214	-1.44%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0708	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.068997	-1.23%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0739	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.07083	-1.09%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0181	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.075333	-1.18%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0573	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.074386	-1.14%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0403	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.077427	-1.18%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0789	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.074983	-1.28%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0516	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.075215	-1.30%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0626	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.079008	-1.47%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0875	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.080883	-1.64%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0921	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.079366	-1.92%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0172	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.079857	-1.79%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0346	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.077774	-1.48%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0094	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.076065	-1.18%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0008	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.077893	-1.03%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0153	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.071854	-0.87%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0852	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.075755	-0.99%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0486	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.073554	-1.03%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0795	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.073452	-0.88%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0375	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.076589	-1.01%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0190	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.080685	-1.25%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0227	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.087374	-1.53%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1626	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.088206	-1.57%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0948	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.097129	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.092842	-1.80%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1497	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.091818	-1.77%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1230	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.090769	-1.84%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0688	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.091778	-1.82%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0482	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.09473	-1.79%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0055	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.091809	-1.74%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0403	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.096622	-1.88%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0648	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.099636	-1.86%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0288	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.107323	-1.94%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.1174	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.107158	-2.11%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1320	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.10638	-2.00%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.0989	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.102229	-2.04%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0345	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.100223	-2.23%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0632	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.093475	-2.12%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0498	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.09579	-2.23%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0614	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.099807	-2.48%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1031	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.10188	-2.42%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.0991	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.112624	-2.45%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0132	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.116874	-2.14%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0997	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.13297	-2.59%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.2352	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.167245	-5.91%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.5352	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.100247	-1.22%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0085	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.099591	-1.26%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0440	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.091751	-1.14%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2230	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.090417	-0.93%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.2954	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.087729	-0.72%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4459	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.092504	-1.09%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6358	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.091724	-1.29%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0672	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.091758	-1.25%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0757	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.091603	-1.95%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0248	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.091527	-2.04%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0607	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.093766	-1.96%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1073	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.095464	-1.76%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0466	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.090442	-1.19%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0282	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.093106	-1.64%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0132	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.113207	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.106807	-2.39%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1113	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.100281	-2.08%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0426	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.104393	-2.48%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.0872	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.111521	-2.45%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1555	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.107068	-2.30%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.2157	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.09603	-1.55%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0384	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.089175	-0.81%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2612	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.087438	-1.10%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1842	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.081531	-1.08%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1848	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.078659	-1.17%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2799	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.082483	-1.12%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3081	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.074491	-1.45%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3451	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.07757	-1.20%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.1949	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.077104	-1.12%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.1012	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.077318	-1.14%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.0900	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.07854	-1.11%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0013	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.07954	-1.06%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0293	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.078616	-1.19%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0174	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.073757	-1.09%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0000	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.075779	-1.07%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.072584	-0.91%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0143	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.073712	-0.92%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.077564	-1.10%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.076683	-1.04%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0060	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.075689	-0.85%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0183	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.07528	-0.71%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0552	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078597	-0.82%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0405	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.078355	-0.77%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0766	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.077141	-0.69%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0075	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.082981	-0.74%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0095	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.084761	-0.81%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0553	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.081904	-0.67%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0083	✓	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.079889	-0.62%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0230	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.07921	-0.48%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0405	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.08314	-0.38%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0113	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.088571	-0.48%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1138	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.090342	-0.34%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0784	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092993	-0.14%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0343	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.094131	-0.01%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0734	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.094351	-0.04%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0839	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.094623	-0.02%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1373	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.095588	+0.09%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1288	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.107801	-0.36%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1820	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.092033	+0.17%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0311	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083793	+0.42%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0461	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.0825	+0.41%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0346	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.079053	+0.53%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0699	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.079047	+0.62%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1174	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.081591	+0.63%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1131	✓	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.085285	+0.68%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2434	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087943	+0.73%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.0817	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.087604	+0.60%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0756	✗	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.085232	+0.76%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0300	✗	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.084177	+0.87%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0716	✗	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.088149	+0.76%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1202	✗	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.090083	+0.72%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1442	✗	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.09185	+0.70%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1380	✗	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.092144	+0.70%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1314	✗	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.087269	+0.96%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0778	✗	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.08785	+0.97%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.1109	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.091099	+0.83%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0553	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.094262	+0.76%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0577	✗	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.094203	+0.81%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0150	✗	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.094176	+0.88%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0410	✗	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.096479	+0.88%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0805	✗	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.102112	+0.71%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.1099	✗	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.10528	+0.63%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.1210	✗	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.103474	+0.72%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.1168	✗	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.106057	+0.62%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0963	✗	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.104817	+0.68%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.1015	✗	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.099137	+1.10%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0726	✗	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.096802	+1.23%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0024	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.096912	+1.17%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0664	✓	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.099364	+0.97%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0709	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.098455	+1.08%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0658	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.101333	+1.12%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0308	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.10205	+1.04%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0470	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.093404	+3.90%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0105	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.105027	+0.74%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0119	✓	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.107625	+0.30%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0017	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.110968	-0.21%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0262	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.105165	+0.54%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0276	✓	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.106154	+0.33%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.0974	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.116597	-0.85%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0639	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.118481	-0.94%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0745	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.128149	-1.50%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0240	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.129391	-1.53%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0033	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.128753	-1.49%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0119	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.123041	-1.21%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0248	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.133567	-1.64%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0927	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.129393	-1.53%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0255	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.124736	-1.39%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0222	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.127823	-1.45%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0202	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.124641	-1.31%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0425	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.136205	-1.44%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0108	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.13682	-1.36%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0075	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.145287	-1.30%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0026	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.139188	-1.15%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0129	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.135366	-1.05%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0038	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.141597	-0.91%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0006	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.146903	-1.21%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0660	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.13431	-1.32%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0128	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.139502	-1.34%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0380	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.140837	-1.31%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0114	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.142776	-1.26%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0750	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.143432	-1.15%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.1012	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.144026	-1.15%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.0990	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.149982	-1.07%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0352	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.152528	-1.02%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0698	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.148254	-0.97%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0369	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.146046	-0.85%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0194	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.143433	-0.74%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0013	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.139815	-0.63%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0015	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.129861	-0.34%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0522	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.133297	-0.30%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0415	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.131391	-0.23%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0459	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.132999	-0.23%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0570	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.134354	-0.26%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0457	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.128508	-0.15%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0733	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.125132	-0.05%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.0913	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.128535	-0.13%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0155	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.128929	-0.13%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0199	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.128476	-0.10%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0493	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.125991	-0.01%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0693	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.128058	-0.03%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0594	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.127097	-0.00%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0263	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119646	+0.29%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0157	✓	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.1223	+0.25%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0267	✓	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.126197	+0.16%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0301	✓	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.127672	+0.17%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0301	✗	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.128593	+0.19%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0285	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.13684	+0.03%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0330	✗	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.138754	+0.04%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0503	✗	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.140783	+0.06%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0427	✗	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.142798	+0.07%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0558	✗	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.151567	-0.09%	0.126	-16.94%	0.1026	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.144497	+0.03%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0532	✗	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.14109	+0.13%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0570	✗	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.143595	+0.07%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0652	✗	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.136652	+0.33%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0009	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.143794	+0.20%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0291	✗	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.145134	+0.23%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0065	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.143502	+0.35%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0324	✓	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.14087	+0.62%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0559	✗	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.153561	+0.30%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0866	✗	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.154476	+0.37%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0458	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.158361	+0.36%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.1229	✗	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.161732	+0.33%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1333	✗	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.158509	+0.45%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1435	✗	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.157023	+0.53%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1694	✗	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.160025	+0.45%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0950	✗	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.16107	+0.48%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.1200	✗	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.157162	+0.74%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1440	✗	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.15531	+0.85%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.1005	✗	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.161577	+0.55%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0965	✗	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.155779	+0.50%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0341	✓	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.160465	+0.29%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.0922	✓	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.159623	+0.39%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.0799	✓	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.163122	+0.20%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1361	✓	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.165936	+0.08%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1680	✓	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.165165	+0.22%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1308	✓	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.169716	-0.11%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2295	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.174985	-0.24%	0.155	-11.63%	0.0933	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.177389	-0.23%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1107	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.189873	-0.49%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1432	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.189042	-0.37%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.0948	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.186781	-0.22%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0402	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.188947	-0.34%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0670	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.171484	+0.17%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0284	✓	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.174589	-0.06%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0540	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.166861	+0.40%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0292	✓	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.163054	+0.22%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1707	✓	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.181098	-0.39%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1803	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.183098	-0.38%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2025	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.180052	-0.25%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.1970	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.178721	-0.04%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1227	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.187896	-0.21%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0679	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.195399	-0.41%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.1020	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.204357	-0.56%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0597	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.212628	-0.64%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0689	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.206176	-0.45%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0784	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.207043	-0.44%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.1033	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.205735	-0.37%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.0987	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.200258	-0.07%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1184	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.208959	-0.26%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1668	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.21649	-0.51%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1321	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.219291	-0.48%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1574	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.213934	-0.31%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1356	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.21319	-0.24%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1311	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.215477	-0.43%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0872	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.224721	-0.79%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0395	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.233244	-1.00%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0014	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.245505	-1.23%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0146	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.228099	-1.08%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.1067	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.211715	-0.13%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.0945	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.201038	+0.09%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2127	✓	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.276118	-0.75%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0004	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.282053	-0.49%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0021	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.27052	-0.40%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0089	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.284324	-0.13%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0301	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.27813	-0.13%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0390	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.281948	-0.27%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0756	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.286991	-0.39%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1913	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.285056	-0.56%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0433	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.276004	-0.65%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0560	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.254197	-0.51%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0661	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.262628	-0.63%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.1077	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.27617	-0.80%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.2101	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.273006	-0.73%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2196	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.279899	-0.85%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2232	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.269631	-0.65%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1719	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.295671	-1.11%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1673	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.298717	-1.12%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1983	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.302673	-1.15%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1684	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.329508	-1.36%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.1077	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.336835	-1.42%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0811	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.33175	-1.38%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0400	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.363085	-1.56%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1300	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.357957	-1.58%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1187	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.345693	-1.53%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0397	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.343323	-1.56%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0617	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.352637	-1.61%	0.33405	-6.79%	0.0535	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.