GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s4

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +1d

assessed

396

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0365

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0023

actual +0.0010

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.301601	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.313158	-2.05%	0.305135	-4.56%	0.0252	✓	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.329556	-3.81%	0.3197	-6.69%	0.0344	✓	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.256311	-2.51%	0.34262	+30.32%	0.2909	✗	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.229148	-3.02%	0.262905	+11.27%	0.1350	✗	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.192568	-0.89%	0.236285	+21.61%	0.2051	✗	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.197525	-1.03%	0.194295	-2.65%	0.0140	✓	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.217781	-1.32%	0.19959	-9.56%	0.0895	✓	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.220636	-1.87%	0.22069	-1.84%	0.0066	✓	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.26626	-5.49%	0.22483	-20.20%	0.1764	✓	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.179573	-1.06%	0.28174	+55.23%	0.4686	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.182301	-1.75%	0.181495	-2.19%	0.0117	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.187629	-1.93%	0.18555	-3.02%	0.0147	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.203903	-3.72%	0.191325	-9.66%	0.0722	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.183429	-3.63%	0.21178	+11.27%	0.1608	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.146525	-1.51%	0.190335	+27.94%	0.2912	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.180402	-3.70%	0.14877	-20.59%	0.1902	✓	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.167342	-4.28%	0.187335	+7.16%	0.1227	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.11349	-1.10%	0.17482	+52.35%	0.4131	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.131419	-2.10%	0.11475	-14.52%	0.1382	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.138743	-3.58%	0.13424	-6.71%	0.0294	✓	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.093489	-0.78%	0.143895	+52.72%	0.4193	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085958	-0.38%	0.09422	+9.19%	0.0925	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.085245	-0.35%	0.08629	+0.87%	0.0104	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.090718	-0.20%	0.085545	-5.89%	0.0490	✓	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090714	-0.31%	0.0909	-0.11%	0.0016	✓	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.091795	-1.04%	0.091	-1.89%	0.0118	✓	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.086277	-0.18%	0.092755	+7.31%	0.0753	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082861	-0.17%	0.086435	+4.14%	0.0422	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087849	-0.39%	0.083	-5.89%	0.0397	✓	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.086369	-0.97%	0.088195	+1.12%	0.0246	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.083504	-0.51%	0.087215	+3.91%	0.0123	✓	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.085118	-0.69%	0.083935	-2.07%	0.0132	✓	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.080905	-1.20%	0.08571	+4.67%	0.0538	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.076357	-0.94%	0.081885	+6.23%	0.0205	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.0752	-0.79%	0.07708	+1.69%	0.0224	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.074517	-0.68%	0.0758	+1.03%	0.0106	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.077058	-0.40%	0.07503	-3.02%	0.0030	✓	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.077428	-0.58%	0.077365	-0.66%	0.0165	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.077677	-0.29%	0.07788	-0.03%	0.0079	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075947	-0.16%	0.077905	+2.41%	0.0248	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075441	-0.10%	0.07607	+0.73%	0.0005	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.078335	-0.11%	0.075515	-3.71%	0.0167	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082566	-0.16%	0.078425	-5.16%	0.0495	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.080029	-0.17%	0.082695	+3.16%	0.0406	✗	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082381	-0.12%	0.080165	-2.81%	0.0125	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.082054	-0.20%	0.08248	+0.32%	0.0008	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.07916	-0.21%	0.08222	+3.65%	0.0361	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.081093	-0.22%	0.079325	-2.39%	0.0039	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.078478	-0.34%	0.08127	+3.21%	0.0124	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.079142	-0.53%	0.078745	-1.02%	0.0039	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080536	-0.90%	0.07956	-2.10%	0.0016	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.079458	-0.79%	0.08127	+1.47%	0.0113	✗	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.08295	-0.28%	0.08009	-3.72%	0.0285	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084623	-0.33%	0.083185	-2.02%	0.0217	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087767	-0.77%	0.0849	-4.01%	0.0055	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.08498	-0.39%	0.08845	+3.67%	0.0260	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.08216	-0.34%	0.085315	+3.49%	0.0320	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.085488	-0.10%	0.08244	-3.66%	0.0313	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.088454	-0.21%	0.08557	-3.46%	0.0475	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.086677	-0.28%	0.08864	+1.98%	0.0146	✗	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.091247	-0.37%	0.08692	-5.10%	0.0344	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.085896	-0.10%	0.09159	+6.52%	0.0042	✗	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.083871	-0.20%	0.085985	+2.32%	0.0197	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.081192	-0.27%	0.084035	+3.22%	0.0292	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.083158	-0.30%	0.08141	-2.40%	0.0242	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.08481	-0.37%	0.08341	-2.01%	0.0417	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.085617	-0.40%	0.085125	-0.97%	0.0029	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.084239	-0.81%	0.08596	+1.22%	0.0195	✗	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.080373	-0.32%	0.084925	+5.33%	0.0622	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.081419	-0.31%	0.08063	-1.28%	0.0100	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.082846	-0.30%	0.081675	-1.71%	0.0123	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.085875	-0.28%	0.083095	-3.51%	0.0266	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.088299	-0.39%	0.086115	-2.85%	0.0081	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.088128	-0.36%	0.088645	+0.23%	0.0069	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.084141	-0.31%	0.088445	+4.79%	0.0496	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.081469	-0.38%	0.084405	+3.21%	0.0250	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.078985	-0.25%	0.08178	+3.28%	0.0404	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.074598	-0.22%	0.079185	+5.92%	0.0508	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.077432	-0.29%	0.07476	-3.73%	0.0449	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.077067	-0.25%	0.077655	+0.51%	0.0081	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.076077	-0.24%	0.07726	+1.31%	0.0035	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.074026	-0.25%	0.07626	+2.76%	0.0307	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.073322	-0.19%	0.07421	+1.01%	0.0436	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.072943	-0.17%	0.073465	+0.55%	0.0065	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.076717	-0.22%	0.073065	-4.97%	0.0496	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.071005	-0.19%	0.07689	+8.08%	0.0771	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.068864	-0.16%	0.07114	+3.14%	0.0607	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.068687	-0.16%	0.068975	+0.25%	0.0131	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.065562	-0.14%	0.0688	+4.79%	0.0448	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.067054	-0.11%	0.065655	-2.20%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.067901	-0.09%	0.06713	-1.22%	0.0041	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.068365	-0.12%	0.06796	-0.72%	0.0005	✓	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.067244	-0.11%	0.06845	+1.68%	0.0007	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.066339	-0.11%	0.06732	+1.37%	0.0072	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.066264	-0.14%	0.06641	+0.08%	0.0039	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.066281	-0.19%	0.06636	-0.07%	0.0103	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.067058	-0.16%	0.066405	-1.13%	0.0113	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.069183	-0.15%	0.067165	-3.07%	0.0184	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.070222	-0.26%	0.06929	-1.58%	0.0101	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.067304	-0.14%	0.070405	+4.46%	0.0121	✗	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.069085	-0.15%	0.0674	-2.59%	0.0067	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.068388	-0.13%	0.06919	+1.04%	0.0121	✗	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.069315	-0.14%	0.068475	-1.35%	0.0073	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.068344	-0.13%	0.069415	+1.44%	0.0024	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.069076	-0.13%	0.06843	-1.06%	0.0226	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.070419	-0.16%	0.069165	-1.94%	0.0029	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.074244	-0.26%	0.070535	-5.24%	0.0421	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.075021	-0.34%	0.074435	-1.12%	0.0133	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.075149	-0.31%	0.07528	-0.13%	0.0047	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.079625	-0.92%	0.07538	-6.20%	0.0621	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.073417	-0.44%	0.08036	+8.98%	0.0773	✗	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.072828	-0.81%	0.07374	+0.43%	0.0074	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.065821	-0.49%	0.073425	+11.01%	0.0913	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.067805	-0.50%	0.066145	-2.93%	0.0045	✓	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.068244	-0.32%	0.068145	-0.46%	0.0100	✓	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.06788	-0.56%	0.06846	+0.29%	0.0142	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.068263	-0.51%	0.068265	-0.50%	0.0009	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.067916	-0.41%	0.06861	+0.61%	0.0064	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.069615	-0.35%	0.068195	-2.38%	0.0059	✓	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.07137	-0.34%	0.06986	-2.44%	0.0015	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.076099	-0.17%	0.07161	-6.06%	0.0463	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.075123	-0.16%	0.07623	+1.31%	0.0068	✗	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.078198	-0.19%	0.075245	-3.96%	0.0280	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.075679	-0.36%	0.07835	+3.15%	0.0269	✗	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.076037	-0.22%	0.075955	-0.33%	0.0075	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.079948	-0.29%	0.076205	-4.96%	0.0321	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.081908	-0.40%	0.080185	-2.49%	0.0097	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.0804	-0.64%	0.082235	+1.63%	0.0290	✗	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.080821	-0.61%	0.08092	-0.49%	0.0044	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.078553	-0.49%	0.081315	+3.01%	0.0223	✗	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.076654	-0.41%	0.07894	+2.56%	0.0209	✗	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.078599	-0.13%	0.07697	-2.20%	0.0207	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.072423	-0.09%	0.0787	+8.57%	0.0657	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.076416	-0.12%	0.072485	-5.26%	0.0507	✓	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.074231	-0.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.074037	-0.08%	0.07432	+0.30%	0.0201	✓	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.077275	-0.12%	0.0741	-4.23%	0.0402	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.081548	-0.20%	0.07737	-5.31%	0.0273	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.088506	-0.25%	0.08171	-7.91%	0.0777	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.089388	-0.25%	0.08873	-0.98%	0.0171	✗	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.098575	-0.32%	0.08961	-9.38%	0.0658	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.094257	-0.30%	0.09889	+4.60%	0.0631	✗	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.093196	-0.29%	0.094545	+1.15%	0.0156	✗	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.092192	-0.31%	0.09347	+1.08%	0.0111	✗	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.09321	-0.29%	0.092475	-1.08%	0.0070	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.096193	-0.28%	0.09348	-3.09%	0.0234	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.093183	-0.27%	0.09646	+3.24%	0.0446	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.098193	-0.28%	0.093435	-5.11%	0.0400	✓	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.101245	-0.27%	0.09847	-3.00%	0.0296	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.10909	-0.32%	0.10152	-7.24%	0.0742	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.108957	-0.47%	0.109445	-0.02%	0.0043	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.108168	-0.36%	0.10947	+0.84%	0.0276	✗	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.103946	-0.39%	0.108555	+4.02%	0.0429	✗	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.102001	-0.50%	0.104355	+1.80%	0.0177	✗	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.095109	-0.40%	0.10251	+7.35%	0.0763	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.097522	-0.46%	0.095495	-2.53%	0.0175	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.101652	-0.67%	0.09797	-4.27%	0.0317	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.103629	-0.75%	0.10234	-1.98%	0.0054	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.114482	-0.84%	0.10441	-9.56%	0.0787	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.118772	-0.55%	0.11545	-3.33%	0.0415	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.135085	-1.04%	0.11943	-12.51%	0.1153	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.171702	-3.40%	0.1365	-23.20%	0.2230	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.101246	-0.23%	0.177745	+75.15%	0.5658	✗	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.100579	-0.28%	0.10148	+0.61%	0.0010	✓	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.09264	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.091155	-0.13%	0.092805	+1.68%	0.0293	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.088303	-0.07%	0.09127	+3.29%	0.0283	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.093364	-0.17%	0.088365	-5.51%	0.0648	✓	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.092719	-0.22%	0.09352	+0.65%	0.0036	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.092714	-0.22%	0.09292	+0.00%	0.0034	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.093102	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.093101	-0.36%	0.093425	-0.01%	0.0023	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.095321	-0.34%	0.093435	-2.31%	0.0139	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.096892	-0.29%	0.095645	-1.57%	0.0018	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.091401	-0.14%	0.09717	+6.16%	0.0752	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.09445	-0.22%	0.09153	-3.30%	0.0425	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.115779	-0.48%	0.094655	-18.64%	0.2036	✓	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.108986	-0.40%	0.116335	+6.31%	0.0745	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.102093	-0.31%	0.109425	+6.84%	0.0685	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.10662	-0.40%	0.102415	-4.33%	0.0619	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.113853	-0.41%	0.10705	-6.36%	0.0674	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.109123	-0.42%	0.11432	+4.32%	0.0213	✗	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.097323	-0.23%	0.109585	+12.34%	0.1433	✗	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.089835	-0.07%	0.097545	+8.50%	0.0999	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.088288	-0.14%	0.0899	+1.69%	0.0070	✓	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.082334	-0.10%	0.08841	+7.27%	0.0669	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.079504	-0.11%	0.08242	+3.56%	0.0274	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.083311	-0.13%	0.07959	-4.59%	0.0422	✓	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.075481	-0.14%	0.08342	+10.36%	0.0510	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.078429	-0.11%	0.07559	-3.73%	0.0058	✓	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.07791	-0.09%	0.078515	+0.69%	0.0066	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.078141	-0.09%	0.07798	-0.29%	0.0180	✓	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.07935	-0.09%	0.07821	-1.52%	0.0241	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.080311	-0.10%	0.07942	-1.21%	0.0000	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.079462	-0.12%	0.08039	+1.04%	0.0311	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.074512	-0.08%	0.07956	+6.69%	0.0677	✗	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.076532	-0.09%	0.07457	-2.65%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.073222	-0.04%	0.0766	+4.57%	0.0402	✗	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.074367	-0.04%	0.07325	-1.55%	0.0161	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.078351	-0.10%	0.0744	-5.14%	0.0338	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.077423	-0.09%	0.07843	+1.21%	0.0145	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.076306	-0.04%	0.07749	+1.51%	0.0069	✓	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.07581	-0.01%	0.07634	+0.69%	0.0049	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.079211	-0.05%	0.07582	-4.33%	0.0382	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.078933	-0.03%	0.07925	+0.37%	0.0045	✗	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.077677	-0.00%	0.07896	+1.65%	0.0535	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.083576	-0.03%	0.07768	-7.08%	0.0361	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.085404	-0.05%	0.0836	-2.17%	0.0325	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.08245	-0.01%	0.08545	+3.63%	0.0407	✗	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.080394	+0.00%	0.08246	+2.57%	0.0200	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.079628	+0.05%	0.08039	+1.01%	0.0258	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.083515	+0.07%	0.07959	-4.63%	0.0245	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.089037	+0.04%	0.083455	-6.23%	0.0734	✗	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.090717	+0.07%	0.089	-1.82%	0.0008	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.093224	+0.11%	0.09065	-2.65%	0.0116	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.094266	+0.13%	0.09312	-1.08%	0.0015	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.094515	+0.13%	0.09414	-0.26%	0.0339	✗	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.094772	+0.14%	0.09439	-0.26%	0.0280	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.095649	+0.16%	0.09464	-0.90%	0.0150	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.108123	-0.07%	0.0955	-11.73%	0.1306	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.092031	+0.16%	0.108195	+17.76%	0.1568	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083643	+0.24%	0.09188	+10.12%	0.0901	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.082357	+0.24%	0.08344	+1.56%	0.0108	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.07884	+0.26%	0.08216	+4.48%	0.0015	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078784	+0.28%	0.078635	+0.10%	0.0193	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.081315	+0.29%	0.07856	-3.11%	0.0209	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084969	+0.31%	0.08108	-4.29%	0.0034	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087585	+0.32%	0.08471	-2.98%	0.0060	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.087324	+0.28%	0.08731	+0.26%	0.0709	✗	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.084859	+0.32%	0.08708	+2.94%	0.0341	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083725	+0.33%	0.08459	+1.37%	0.0414	✗	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087749	+0.31%	0.08345	-4.61%	0.0295	✗	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.0897	+0.29%	0.08748	-2.19%	0.0444	✗	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.091478	+0.29%	0.08944	-1.94%	0.0059	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.091769	+0.29%	0.09121	-0.32%	0.0025	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.08672	+0.32%	0.0915	+5.85%	0.0161	✗	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.087294	+0.33%	0.08644	-0.66%	0.0002	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.090634	+0.31%	0.08701	-3.70%	0.0121	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.093838	+0.30%	0.09035	-3.43%	0.0321	✗	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.093741	+0.31%	0.093555	+0.11%	0.0015	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.09365	+0.32%	0.09345	+0.11%	0.0196	✗	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.095946	+0.32%	0.09335	-2.39%	0.0372	✗	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.10169	+0.30%	0.09564	-5.67%	0.0442	✗	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.104925	+0.29%	0.10139	-3.09%	0.0119	✗	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.103046	+0.31%	0.104625	+1.84%	0.0141	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.105708	+0.29%	0.10273	-2.53%	0.0129	✗	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.104422	+0.30%	0.1054	+1.24%	0.0061	✗	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.098426	+0.37%	0.10411	+6.17%	0.0143	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.09601	+0.40%	0.09806	+2.54%	0.0343	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.096169	+0.40%	0.09563	-0.17%	0.0227	✓	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.098764	+0.36%	0.09579	-2.66%	0.0104	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.097771	+0.38%	0.09841	+1.04%	0.0093	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.100588	+0.38%	0.0974	-2.80%	0.0485	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.10136	+0.36%	0.10021	-0.78%	0.0088	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.090642	+0.83%	0.101	+12.35%	0.0214	✗	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.104561	+0.30%	0.0899	-13.76%	0.0352	✓	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.107527	+0.21%	0.10425	-2.84%	0.0136	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.111314	+0.10%	0.1073	-3.51%	0.0127	✓	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.104876	+0.26%	0.1112	+6.31%	0.0321	✓	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.106045	+0.23%	0.1046	-1.13%	0.0137	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.117583	-0.01%	0.1058	-10.03%	0.0265	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.119564	-0.03%	0.1176	-1.67%	0.0109	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.129874	-0.17%	0.1196	-8.07%	0.0207	✓	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.13115	-0.19%	0.1301	-0.99%	0.0086	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.130455	-0.19%	0.1314	+0.54%	0.0042	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.124415	-0.11%	0.1307	+4.94%	0.0268	✗	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.135465	-0.25%	0.12455	-8.28%	0.0517	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.131118	-0.21%	0.1358	+3.35%	0.0401	✗	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.126293	-0.16%	0.1314	+3.87%	0.0395	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.129468	-0.18%	0.1265	-2.47%	0.0245	✓	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.126136	-0.13%	0.1297	+2.69%	0.0145	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.137948	-0.18%	0.1263	-8.61%	0.0369	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.138478	-0.16%	0.1382	-0.36%	0.0107	✗	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.146934	-0.18%	0.1387	-5.77%	0.0409	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.140611	-0.13%	0.1472	+4.55%	0.0503	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.136666	-0.10%	0.1408	+2.92%	0.0307	✗	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.142779	-0.08%	0.1368	-4.27%	0.0276	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.148461	-0.16%	0.1429	-3.90%	0.0562	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.135912	-0.14%	0.1487	+9.26%	0.0424	✗	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.141193	-0.15%	0.1361	-3.75%	0.0405	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.142509	-0.13%	0.1414	-0.91%	0.0138	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.144425	-0.12%	0.1427	-1.31%	0.0102	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.144963	-0.09%	0.1446	-0.34%	0.0037	✗	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.145569	-0.09%	0.1451	-0.41%	0.0010	✗	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.151482	-0.08%	0.1457	-3.89%	0.0010	✗	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.153984	-0.08%	0.1516	-1.62%	0.0132	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.149608	-0.06%	0.1541	+2.94%	0.0096	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.147242	-0.04%	0.1497	+1.63%	0.0015	✗	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.144474	-0.02%	0.1473	+1.94%	0.0086	✗	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.140708	+0.01%	0.1445	+2.70%	0.0059	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.130406	+0.08%	0.1407	+7.98%	0.0551	✓	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.133814	+0.09%	0.1303	-2.54%	0.0114	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.131832	+0.10%	0.1337	+1.52%	0.0082	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.133434	+0.10%	0.1317	-1.20%	0.0002	✓	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.134819	+0.09%	0.1333	-1.04%	0.0125	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.128852	+0.12%	0.1347	+4.66%	0.0358	✓	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.125379	+0.14%	0.1287	+2.80%	0.0241	✓	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.128859	+0.12%	0.1252	-2.72%	0.0215	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.129256	+0.12%	0.1287	-0.31%	0.0074	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.128767	+0.13%	0.1291	+0.39%	0.0217	✓	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.126192	+0.15%	0.1286	+2.06%	0.0203	✓	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.128281	+0.14%	0.126	-1.64%	0.0233	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.127288	+0.15%	0.1281	+0.79%	0.0024	✓	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119551	+0.21%	0.1271	+6.54%	0.0158	✓	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.122248	+0.20%	0.1193	-2.21%	0.0112	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.126238	+0.19%	0.122	-3.17%	0.0056	✗	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.12769	+0.19%	0.126	-1.14%	0.0385	✗	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.128604	+0.20%	0.12745	-0.70%	0.0218	✓	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.137029	+0.17%	0.12835	-6.18%	0.0298	✗	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.138935	+0.17%	0.1368	-1.37%	0.0151	✗	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.140951	+0.18%	0.1387	-1.42%	0.0221	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.142956	+0.18%	0.1407	-1.40%	0.0244	✗	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.151893	+0.13%	0.1427	-5.93%	0.0516	✗	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.14469	+0.17%	0.1517	+5.02%	0.0137	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.141168	+0.19%	0.14445	+2.52%	0.0188	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.143744	+0.17%	0.1409	-1.81%	0.0392	✗	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.136518	+0.23%	0.1435	+5.36%	0.0512	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.143799	+0.21%	0.1362	-5.09%	0.0082	✗	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.145113	+0.22%	0.1435	-0.90%	0.0112	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.143339	+0.24%	0.1448	+1.26%	0.0257	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.140387	+0.28%	0.143	+2.14%	0.0743	✗	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.153436	+0.22%	0.14	-8.56%	0.0169	✗	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.154264	+0.24%	0.1531	-0.52%	0.0006	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.158166	+0.23%	0.1539	-2.47%	0.0260	✗	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.161563	+0.22%	0.1578	-2.11%	0.0162	✗	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.158192	+0.25%	0.1612	+2.15%	0.0036	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.156595	+0.25%	0.1578	+1.02%	0.0525	✗	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.159684	+0.24%	0.1562	-1.95%	0.0038	✗	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.160685	+0.24%	0.1593	-0.62%	0.0374	✗	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.156443	+0.28%	0.1603	+2.76%	0.0192	✗	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.154465	+0.30%	0.156	+1.30%	0.0178	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.161083	+0.24%	0.154	-4.17%	0.0150	✗	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.155378	+0.24%	0.1607	+3.68%	0.1411	✓	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.160322	+0.20%	0.155	-3.12%	0.0035	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.159347	+0.22%	0.16	+0.63%	0.0129	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.163099	+0.18%	0.159	-2.33%	0.0167	✓	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.166069	+0.16%	0.1628	-1.81%	0.0074	✓	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.165111	+0.19%	0.1658	+0.61%	0.0167	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.170129	+0.13%	0.1648	-3.00%	0.0745	✓	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.175599	+0.11%	0.1699	-3.14%	0.0079	✓	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.178013	+0.12%	0.1754	-1.35%	0.0130	✓	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.190917	+0.06%	0.1778	-6.81%	0.0062	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.189903	+0.08%	0.1908	+0.55%	0.0234	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.187395	+0.10%	0.18975	+1.36%	0.0419	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.189727	+0.07%	0.1872	-1.27%	0.0089	✓	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.171523	+0.19%	0.1896	+10.75%	0.0562	✓	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.174949	+0.14%	0.1712	-2.00%	0.0356	✓	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.166598	+0.24%	0.1747	+5.11%	0.0058	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.163065	+0.22%	0.1662	+2.15%	0.1405	✓	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.181962	+0.09%	0.1627	-10.51%	0.0217	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.183962	+0.09%	0.1818	-1.09%	0.0226	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.180725	+0.12%	0.1838	+1.83%	0.0057	✓	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.179109	+0.17%	0.1805	+0.95%	0.0206	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.188558	+0.14%	0.1788	-5.05%	0.0146	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.196389	+0.10%	0.1883	-4.03%	0.0216	✓	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.205619	+0.06%	0.1962	-4.53%	0.0213	✗	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.214052	+0.02%	0.2055	-3.97%	0.0309	✗	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.207257	+0.08%	0.214	+3.33%	0.0318	✗	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.208108	+0.08%	0.2071	-0.41%	0.0189	✗	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.206691	+0.09%	0.20795	+0.70%	0.0150	✗	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.20072	+0.16%	0.2065	+3.04%	0.0304	✗	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.209745	+0.12%	0.2004	-4.34%	0.0274	✗	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.217726	+0.06%	0.2095	-3.72%	0.0130	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.220477	+0.06%	0.2176	-1.25%	0.0567	✗	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.21481	+0.10%	0.22035	+2.68%	0.0090	✗	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.213942	+0.11%	0.2146	+0.42%	0.0145	✗	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.216568	+0.08%	0.2137	-1.25%	0.0277	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.226492	-0.00%	0.2164	-4.46%	0.0150	✗	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.235437	-0.07%	0.2265	-3.86%	0.0130	✗	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.248142	-0.16%	0.2356	-5.21%	0.0027	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.230402	-0.09%	0.24855	+7.78%	0.0714	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.212333	+0.16%	0.2306	+8.77%	0.0119	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.201302	+0.22%	0.212	+5.55%	0.1023	✓	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.278132	-0.02%	0.20085	-27.80%	0.1712	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.283458	+0.00%	0.2782	-1.85%	0.0087	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.271746	+0.05%	0.28345	+4.36%	0.0092	✓	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.284859	+0.06%	0.2716	-4.60%	0.0088	✓	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.278697	+0.07%	0.2847	+2.23%	0.0011	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.282799	+0.04%	0.2785	-1.49%	0.0334	✗	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.288043	-0.02%	0.2827	-1.87%	0.0211	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.286495	-0.05%	0.2881	+0.51%	0.0238	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.277673	-0.05%	0.28665	+3.19%	0.0032	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.255625	+0.05%	0.2778	+8.73%	0.0007	✗	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.264342	+0.02%	0.2555	-3.33%	0.0284	✗	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.27829	-0.04%	0.2643	-5.06%	0.0951	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.274956	-0.02%	0.2784	+1.24%	0.0399	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.282162	-0.05%	0.275	-2.59%	0.0254	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.271436	+0.01%	0.2823	+4.02%	0.0253	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.298705	-0.10%	0.2714	-9.23%	0.0070	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.301814	-0.09%	0.299	-1.03%	0.0367	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.305914	-0.09%	0.3021	-1.34%	0.0021	✗	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.333554	-0.15%	0.3062	-8.34%	0.0355	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.341152	-0.16%	0.33405	-2.24%	0.0118	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.335924	-0.14%	0.3417	+1.58%	0.0158	✗	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.368123	-0.20%	0.3364	-8.80%	0.0625	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.362982	-0.20%	0.36885	+1.42%	0.0039	✗	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.350439	-0.17%	0.3637	+3.60%	0.0439	✗	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.348138	-0.18%	0.35105	+0.66%	0.0201	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.357728	-0.19%	0.34875	-2.69%	0.0267	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.