GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s4

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +30d

assessed

367

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1766

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0356

actual +0.0070

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.257645	0.226727	-12.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.26309	0.229358	-12.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.271447	-15.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.284304	-17.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.22178	-15.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.199125	-15.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.172482	-11.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.17506	-12.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.190394	-13.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.191685	-14.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.23205	-17.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.162573	-10.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.163213	-12.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.167281	-12.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.180231	-14.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.164718	-13.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.135244	-9.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.162508	-13.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.152571	-12.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.1071	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.121268	-9.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.12786	-11.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.089923	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.083543	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.082582	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.087116	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.08724	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.088277	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.083701	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.080807	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.085801	-2.71%	0.257645	+192.13%	1.1182	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.08494	-2.61%	0.26309	+201.66%	1.1549	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.080715	-3.84%	0.3197	+280.89%	1.3578	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.082225	-4.07%	0.34262	+299.74%	1.4208	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.078723	-3.86%	0.262905	+221.07%	1.1937	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.073718	-4.36%	0.236285	+206.55%	1.1101	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.072641	-4.17%	0.194295	+156.33%	0.9257	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.071933	-4.13%	0.19959	+166.01%	0.9478	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.074342	-3.91%	0.22069	+185.26%	1.0506	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.075024	-3.67%	0.22483	+188.69%	1.0280	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.075246	-3.41%	0.28174	+261.65%	1.2705	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.073982	-2.75%	0.181495	+138.59%	0.8258	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.073782	-2.30%	0.18555	+145.71%	0.8506	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.076818	-2.05%	0.191325	+143.96%	0.8656	✗	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.080111	-3.13%	0.21178	+156.10%	0.9345	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.07839	-2.21%	0.190335	+137.43%	0.8380	✗	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.080497	-2.40%	0.14877	+80.37%	0.5549	✗	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.08019	-2.47%	0.187335	+127.85%	0.7809	✗	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.077644	-2.12%	0.17482	+120.38%	0.7365	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.080675	-0.73%	0.11475	+41.20%	0.3139	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.077556	-1.51%	0.13424	+70.47%	0.4642	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.078439	-1.41%	0.143895	+80.86%	0.5184	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080442	-1.02%	0.09422	+15.93%	0.1013	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.07907	-1.27%	0.08629	+7.74%	0.0151	✗	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.081826	-1.63%	0.085545	+2.84%	0.0142	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.083792	-1.30%	0.0909	+7.07%	0.0072	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087779	-0.76%	0.091	+2.88%	0.0093	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.084433	-1.03%	0.092755	+8.72%	0.0385	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.081643	-0.97%	0.086435	+4.85%	0.0073	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.08417	-1.64%	0.083	-3.00%	0.0709	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.086742	-2.14%	0.088195	-0.50%	0.0761	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.085357	-1.80%	0.087215	+0.34%	0.0824	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.089428	-2.36%	0.083935	-8.36%	0.0943	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.082535	-4.01%	0.08571	-0.32%	0.0533	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.080023	-4.77%	0.081885	-2.56%	0.1091	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.07699	-5.43%	0.07708	-5.32%	0.1517	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.078752	-5.58%	0.0758	-9.12%	0.1930	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.079878	-6.16%	0.07503	-11.86%	0.2424	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.080573	-6.27%	0.077365	-10.00%	0.2510	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.079187	-6.76%	0.07788	-8.30%	0.2119	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.076213	-5.48%	0.077905	-3.38%	0.1748	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.076926	-5.81%	0.07607	-6.86%	0.2195	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.078172	-5.92%	0.075515	-9.12%	0.2228	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.080847	-6.12%	0.078425	-8.93%	0.2450	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.082751	-6.65%	0.082695	-6.71%	0.2222	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.082636	-6.57%	0.080165	-9.36%	0.2470	✓	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.079239	-6.12%	0.08248	-2.28%	0.1908	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.076819	-6.07%	0.08222	+0.54%	0.1647	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.074748	-5.60%	0.079325	+0.18%	0.1663	✓	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.07092	-5.14%	0.08127	+8.71%	0.1111	✓	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.073277	-5.64%	0.078745	+1.40%	0.1383	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.072908	-5.63%	0.07956	+2.98%	0.1162	✓	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.072097	-5.46%	0.08127	+6.57%	0.1095	✓	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.07019	-5.42%	0.08009	+7.92%	0.0843	✓	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.069733	-5.08%	0.083185	+13.23%	0.0246	✓	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.069518	-4.86%	0.0849	+16.20%	0.0100	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.072593	-5.59%	0.08845	+15.03%	0.0466	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.067769	-4.74%	0.085315	+19.93%	0.0024	✓	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.066018	-4.29%	0.08244	+19.52%	0.0189	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.065828	-4.32%	0.08557	+24.38%	0.0415	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.062923	-4.16%	0.08864	+35.01%	0.1421	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.064597	-3.77%	0.08692	+29.48%	0.1269	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.065516	-3.60%	0.09159	+34.77%	0.1677	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.065818	-3.84%	0.085985	+25.62%	0.1748	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.064514	-4.17%	0.084035	+24.83%	0.2076	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.06361	-4.22%	0.08141	+22.59%	0.2467	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.063225	-4.72%	0.08341	+25.69%	0.2817	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.063072	-5.02%	0.085125	+28.19%	0.3135	✗	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.06402	-4.68%	0.08596	+27.98%	0.3038	✗	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.065924	-4.86%	0.084925	+22.56%	0.2741	✗	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.066185	-5.99%	0.08063	+14.52%	0.2163	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.063741	-5.43%	0.081675	+21.18%	0.2339	✗	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.065109	-5.90%	0.083095	+20.10%	0.2464	✗	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.064426	-5.91%	0.086115	+25.76%	0.2883	✗	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.065058	-6.28%	0.088645	+27.70%	0.2996	✗	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.064313	-6.02%	0.088445	+29.25%	0.2949	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.066071	-4.47%	0.084405	+22.03%	0.2081	✗	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.066927	-5.11%	0.08178	+15.94%	0.1876	✗	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.070368	-5.46%	0.079185	+6.38%	0.1100	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.071304	-5.28%	0.07476	-0.69%	0.0413	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.071858	-4.67%	0.077655	+3.02%	0.0726	✗	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.075838	-5.63%	0.07726	-3.86%	0.0060	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.07069	-4.14%	0.07626	+3.42%	0.0598	✗	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.070274	-4.29%	0.07421	+1.07%	0.0176	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.064331	-2.74%	0.073465	+11.07%	0.0582	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.065991	-3.16%	0.073065	+7.22%	0.0576	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.066352	-3.08%	0.07689	+12.31%	0.0950	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.066152	-3.10%	0.07114	+4.21%	0.0276	✓	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.066437	-3.17%	0.068975	+0.53%	0.0261	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.066083	-3.10%	0.0688	+0.89%	0.0149	✓	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.067444	-3.46%	0.065655	-6.02%	0.0614	✓	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.068922	-3.75%	0.06713	-6.26%	0.0542	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.072914	-4.35%	0.06796	-10.85%	0.0935	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.072088	-4.20%	0.06845	-9.03%	0.0870	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.074777	-4.56%	0.06732	-14.08%	0.1155	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.07265	-4.35%	0.06641	-12.57%	0.1023	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.072917	-4.31%	0.06636	-12.92%	0.1148	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.076342	-4.79%	0.066405	-17.19%	0.1339	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.078174	-4.94%	0.067165	-18.33%	0.1335	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.077112	-4.71%	0.06929	-14.37%	0.0915	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.077371	-4.85%	0.070405	-13.42%	0.0872	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.075367	-4.53%	0.0674	-14.62%	0.0904	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.073781	-4.14%	0.06919	-10.11%	0.0662	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.075267	-4.36%	0.068475	-12.99%	0.0966	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.069846	-3.64%	0.069415	-4.24%	0.0282	✓	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.073508	-3.92%	0.06843	-10.56%	0.0845	✓	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.07149	-3.81%	0.070535	-5.09%	0.0136	✓	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.071407	-3.63%	0.074435	+0.45%	0.0110	✓	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.074179	-4.12%	0.07528	-2.70%	0.0097	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.07777	-4.82%	0.07538	-7.75%	0.0248	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.083782	-5.58%	0.08036	-9.43%	0.0276	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.084558	-5.64%	0.07374	-17.71%	0.0874	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.092661	-6.30%	0.073425	-25.75%	0.1568	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.088982	-5.88%	0.066145	-30.04%	0.1857	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.088104	-5.74%	0.068145	-27.09%	0.1600	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.087063	-5.85%	0.06846	-25.97%	0.1367	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.087962	-5.90%	0.068265	-26.97%	0.1555	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.090634	-6.04%	0.06861	-28.87%	0.1764	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.087959	-5.86%	0.068195	-27.01%	0.1348	✓	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.092384	-6.18%	0.06986	-29.05%	0.1565	✓	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.095021	-6.40%	0.07161	-29.46%	0.1753	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.101666	-7.11%	0.07623	-30.35%	0.1894	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.101229	-7.53%	0.075245	-31.26%	0.1992	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.101189	-6.79%	0.07835	-27.82%	0.1487	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.097484	-6.58%	0.075955	-27.21%	0.1368	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.095745	-6.60%	0.076205	-25.66%	0.1168	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.089909	-5.85%	0.080185	-16.03%	0.0109	✓	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.092102	-5.99%	0.082235	-16.06%	0.0159	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.095684	-6.50%	0.08092	-20.93%	0.0722	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.097344	-6.77%	0.081315	-22.12%	0.0721	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.106945	-7.37%	0.07894	-31.62%	0.1818	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.11033	-7.62%	0.07697	-35.55%	0.2300	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.123417	-9.58%	0.0787	-42.34%	0.3255	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.152675	-14.10%	0.072485	-59.22%	0.6257	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.096287	-5.12%	0.07651	-24.61%	0.0797	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.095744	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.087612	-5.60%	0.0741	-20.16%	0.0278	✓	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.086459	-5.27%	0.07737	-15.23%	0.0735	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.084129	-4.79%	0.08171	-7.53%	0.1451	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.088551	-5.31%	0.08873	-5.12%	0.1663	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.087824	-5.48%	0.08961	-3.56%	0.1429	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.087936	-5.36%	0.09889	+6.42%	0.1922	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.087413	-6.44%	0.09347	+0.05%	0.0940	✗	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.087535	-6.31%	0.092475	-1.03%	0.0805	✗	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.08994	-5.96%	0.09348	-2.26%	0.0694	✗	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.091837	-5.49%	0.09646	-0.73%	0.0821	✗	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.087402	-4.51%	0.093435	+2.08%	0.0975	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.090345	-4.55%	0.09847	+4.03%	0.0905	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.108728	-6.54%	0.10152	-12.73%	0.0631	✓	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.102858	-6.00%	0.109445	+0.02%	0.0807	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.096845	-5.44%	0.10947	+6.89%	0.1543	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.100438	-6.18%	0.108555	+1.41%	0.0637	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.107032	-6.37%	0.104355	-8.72%	0.0444	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.102636	-6.34%	0.10251	-6.46%	0.0374	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.092858	-4.80%	0.095495	-2.10%	0.0128	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.08728	-2.91%	0.09797	+8.98%	0.1116	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.085504	-3.29%	0.10234	+15.76%	0.1419	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.079792	-3.19%	0.10441	+26.68%	0.2151	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.076872	-3.42%	0.11545	+45.06%	0.3195	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.080609	-3.37%	0.11943	+43.17%	0.3321	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.072036	-4.70%	0.1365	+80.58%	0.5151	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.075547	-3.78%	0.177745	+126.38%	0.7484	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.075121	-3.67%	0.10148	+30.14%	0.1870	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.075168	-3.89%	0.10086	+28.96%	0.1822	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.076315	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.077375	-3.75%	0.092805	+15.44%	0.0790	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.075916	-4.58%	0.09127	+14.72%	0.0193	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.071215	-4.50%	0.088365	+18.50%	0.0597	✗	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.073186	-4.46%	0.09352	+22.09%	0.0742	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.070178	-4.19%	0.09292	+26.85%	0.1215	✗	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.071241	-4.25%	0.09292	+24.89%	0.1035	✗	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.074919	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.074115	-4.35%	0.093425	+20.56%	0.1185	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.073329	-3.94%	0.093435	+22.39%	0.1141	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.07311	-3.57%	0.095645	+26.15%	0.1209	✗	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.076493	-3.48%	0.09717	+22.61%	0.0834	✗	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.076418	-3.22%	0.09153	+15.92%	0.0082	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.075364	-2.98%	0.094655	+21.85%	0.1019	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.081258	-2.80%	0.116335	+39.16%	0.2739	✗	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.083093	-2.76%	0.109425	+28.06%	0.1679	✗	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.08042	-2.47%	0.102415	+24.20%	0.1402	✗	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.078591	-2.24%	0.10705	+33.16%	0.1863	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.078044	-1.94%	0.11432	+43.64%	0.2814	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.082093	-1.63%	0.109585	+31.31%	0.2410	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.087264	-1.95%	0.097545	+9.60%	0.0277	✗	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.089177	-1.62%	0.0899	-0.83%	0.0757	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.091871	-1.34%	0.08841	-5.06%	0.0560	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093156	-1.05%	0.08242	-12.45%	0.1217	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093538	-0.90%	0.07959	-15.68%	0.1812	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.09397	-0.71%	0.08342	-11.86%	0.1667	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.095044	-0.48%	0.07559	-20.85%	0.2261	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.106136	-1.90%	0.078515	-27.43%	0.3407	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.091494	-0.42%	0.07798	-15.13%	0.2021	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083564	+0.15%	0.07821	-6.27%	0.0941	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.082255	+0.12%	0.07942	-3.33%	0.0762	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.07873	+0.12%	0.08039	+2.23%	0.0727	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078793	+0.30%	0.07956	+1.27%	0.0159	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.081359	+0.34%	0.07457	-8.03%	0.1013	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084997	+0.34%	0.0766	-9.57%	0.0474	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087589	+0.32%	0.07325	-16.10%	0.0891	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.087215	+0.15%	0.0744	-14.56%	0.1345	✗	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.084921	+0.39%	0.07843	-7.28%	0.0675	✗	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083878	+0.51%	0.07749	-7.14%	0.1208	✗	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087586	+0.12%	0.07634	-12.73%	0.1335	✗	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.089437	-0.00%	0.07582	-15.23%	0.1669	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.091143	-0.07%	0.07925	-13.11%	0.1195	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.091412	-0.10%	0.07896	-13.70%	0.1181	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.086667	+0.26%	0.07768	-10.13%	0.1925	✗	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.087229	+0.25%	0.0836	-3.92%	0.1564	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.09032	-0.03%	0.08545	-5.42%	0.1048	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.093298	-0.28%	0.08246	-11.86%	0.1723	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.093144	-0.33%	0.08039	-13.98%	0.1449	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.09307	-0.30%	0.07959	-14.74%	0.1897	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.095209	-0.45%	0.083455	-12.74%	0.2017	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.100389	-0.99%	0.089	-12.22%	0.1596	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.103171	-1.39%	0.09065	-13.36%	0.1668	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.101434	-1.26%	0.09312	-9.35%	0.1646	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.103711	-1.60%	0.09414	-10.68%	0.1740	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.10259	-1.46%	0.09439	-9.34%	0.1455	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.097387	-0.69%	0.09464	-3.49%	0.1079	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.094988	-0.67%	0.0955	-0.14%	0.0554	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.094961	-0.87%	0.108195	+12.95%	0.1037	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.097161	-1.27%	0.09188	-6.64%	0.0575	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.096312	-1.12%	0.08344	-14.33%	0.1385	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.099051	-1.16%	0.08216	-18.01%	0.1740	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.099352	-1.63%	0.078635	-22.14%	0.1605	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.090337	+0.49%	0.07856	-12.61%	0.2164	✗	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.101637	-2.51%	0.08108	-22.23%	0.1402	✓	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.103907	-3.16%	0.08471	-21.05%	0.1232	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.106831	-3.93%	0.08731	-21.48%	0.1014	✓	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.101135	-3.31%	0.08708	-16.75%	0.0128	✓	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.101983	-3.61%	0.08459	-20.05%	0.0247	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.111754	-4.97%	0.08345	-29.04%	0.0023	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.113586	-5.03%	0.08748	-26.86%	0.0135	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.123212	-5.29%	0.08944	-31.25%	0.0285	✓	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.124535	-5.22%	0.09121	-30.59%	0.0122	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.123935	-5.18%	0.0915	-29.99%	0.0021	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.11831	-5.01%	0.08644	-30.60%	0.0358	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.128992	-5.01%	0.08701	-35.93%	0.0321	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.125235	-4.69%	0.09035	-31.24%	0.0091	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.120712	-4.58%	0.093555	-26.04%	0.0556	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.123853	-4.51%	0.09345	-27.95%	0.0276	✓	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.120438	-4.64%	0.09335	-26.09%	0.0576	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.132985	-3.77%	0.09564	-30.80%	0.0325	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.13367	-3.63%	0.10139	-26.90%	0.0845	✗	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.142551	-3.16%	0.104625	-28.92%	0.0366	✗	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.136593	-2.99%	0.10273	-27.04%	0.0698	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.132721	-2.98%	0.1054	-22.95%	0.1096	✗	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.139342	-2.49%	0.10411	-27.14%	0.0749	✗	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.143851	-3.26%	0.09806	-34.06%	0.0203	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.130415	-4.18%	0.09563	-29.74%	0.0148	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.135511	-4.16%	0.09579	-32.26%	0.0474	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.136878	-4.08%	0.09841	-31.04%	0.0533	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.138797	-4.01%	0.0974	-32.64%	0.0661	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.139585	-3.80%	0.10021	-30.94%	0.0300	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.13983	-4.03%	0.101	-30.68%	0.0646	✗	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.145621	-3.94%	0.0899	-40.70%	0.1234	✗	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.147933	-4.00%	0.10425	-32.35%	0.0328	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.143771	-3.96%	0.1073	-28.32%	0.0019	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.141747	-3.77%	0.1112	-24.51%	0.0264	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.139405	-3.53%	0.1046	-27.61%	0.0485	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.136196	-3.20%	0.1058	-24.80%	0.0695	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.12713	-2.43%	0.1176	-9.75%	0.0193	✓	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.130776	-2.19%	0.1196	-10.55%	0.0224	✓	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.129202	-1.90%	0.1301	-1.21%	0.0284	✓	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.130833	-1.85%	0.1314	-1.43%	0.0169	✓	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.131969	-2.03%	0.1307	-2.97%	0.0171	✓	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.12636	-1.82%	0.12455	-3.22%	0.0021	✓	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.123232	-1.57%	0.1358	+8.47%	0.0655	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.126405	-1.78%	0.1314	+2.10%	0.0079	✓	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.126699	-1.86%	0.1265	-2.01%	0.0359	✓	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.126185	-1.88%	0.1297	+0.86%	0.0139	✓	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.123782	-1.76%	0.1263	+0.24%	0.0257	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.125822	-1.78%	0.1382	+7.88%	0.0229	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.124954	-1.69%	0.1387	+9.13%	0.0121	✓	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.117834	-1.23%	0.1472	+23.39%	0.0624	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.120411	-1.30%	0.1408	+15.41%	0.0019	✓	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.1242	-1.43%	0.1368	+8.57%	0.0310	✓	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.125735	-1.35%	0.1429	+12.12%	0.0476	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.126673	-1.31%	0.1487	+15.86%	0.0396	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.134643	-1.58%	0.1361	-0.51%	0.0049	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.136541	-1.56%	0.1414	+1.95%	0.0250	✗	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.138389	-1.64%	0.1427	+1.42%	0.0673	✗	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.140453	-1.57%	0.1446	+1.33%	0.0550	✗	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.148856	-1.87%	0.1451	-4.35%	0.0022	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.14208	-1.64%	0.1457	+0.87%	0.0148	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.138995	-1.35%	0.1516	+7.59%	0.0325	✗	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.141615	-1.31%	0.1541	+7.39%	0.0080	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.135156	-0.77%	0.1497	+9.91%	0.0660	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.141833	-1.16%	0.1473	+2.65%	0.0627	✗	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.142885	-1.32%	0.1445	-0.21%	0.0695	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.141405	-1.12%	0.1407	-1.61%	0.0391	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.139089	-0.65%	0.1303	-6.93%	0.0882	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.150942	-1.41%	0.1337	-12.67%	0.0856	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.151856	-1.33%	0.1317	-14.42%	0.0750	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.155437	-1.50%	0.1333	-15.53%	0.0990	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.158453	-1.70%	0.1347	-16.44%	0.0991	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.155317	-1.57%	0.1287	-18.44%	0.1296	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.153927	-1.46%	0.1252	-19.85%	0.2036	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.156865	-1.53%	0.1287	-19.21%	0.1852	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.158008	-1.43%	0.1291	-19.46%	0.2143	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.154286	-1.10%	0.1286	-17.56%	0.2606	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.152386	-1.05%	0.126	-18.18%	0.2623	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.158208	-1.55%	0.1281	-20.29%	0.2469	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.152449	-1.65%	0.1271	-18.00%	0.1090	✓	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.156752	-2.03%	0.1193	-25.44%	0.1124	✓	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.155935	-1.93%	0.122	-23.27%	0.1181	✓	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.159113	-2.26%	0.126	-22.60%	0.1024	✓	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.161654	-2.50%	0.12745	-23.13%	0.0466	✓	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.160897	-2.37%	0.12835	-22.12%	0.0936	✓	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.164809	-3.00%	0.1368	-19.48%	0.0129	✓	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.169538	-3.34%	0.1387	-20.92%	0.0403	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.171566	-3.51%	0.1407	-20.87%	0.0239	✓	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.18266	-4.27%	0.1427	-25.21%	0.0754	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.182162	-4.00%	0.1517	-20.05%	0.0981	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.180414	-3.62%	0.14445	-22.84%	0.0599	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.182261	-3.87%	0.1409	-25.69%	0.0481	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.166251	-2.89%	0.1435	-16.18%	0.1380	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.169013	-3.26%	0.1362	-22.04%	0.1271	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.161953	-2.56%	0.1435	-13.66%	0.0997	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.157867	-2.97%	0.1448	-11.00%	0.2392	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.174427	-4.06%	0.143	-21.34%	0.2718	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.17661	-3.91%	0.14	-23.83%	0.3673	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.174145	-3.52%	0.1531	-15.18%	0.3459	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.173393	-3.02%	0.1539	-13.93%	0.3161	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.182035	-3.33%	0.1578	-16.20%	0.3234	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.188551	-3.90%	0.1612	-17.84%	0.3675	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.196945	-4.16%	0.1578	-23.21%	0.3501	✗	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.205097	-4.16%	0.1562	-27.01%	0.3953	✗	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.199608	-3.62%	0.1593	-23.08%	0.3636	✗	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.200583	-3.54%	0.1603	-22.91%	0.3945	✗	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.199475	-3.40%	0.156	-24.46%	0.4149	✗	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.194499	-2.94%	0.154	-23.15%	0.3604	✗	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.202664	-3.26%	0.1607	-23.29%	0.3360	✗	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.209632	-3.66%	0.155	-28.77%	0.1827	✗	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.211608	-3.97%	0.16	-27.39%	0.1166	✗	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.206432	-3.81%	0.159	-25.91%	0.1235	✗	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.205726	-3.73%	0.1628	-23.82%	0.0752	✗	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.20788	-3.94%	0.1658	-23.38%	0.0895	✗	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.216352	-4.48%	0.1648	-27.24%	0.1330	✗	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.224683	-4.63%	0.1699	-27.89%	0.0445	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.236939	-4.67%	0.1754	-29.43%	0.0195	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.218795	-5.12%	0.1778	-22.90%	0.0661	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.202465	-4.50%	0.1908	-10.00%	0.0503	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.192726	-4.04%	0.18975	-5.53%	0.1788	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.269849	-3.00%	0.1872	-32.71%	0.0051	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.277532	-2.09%	0.1896	-33.11%	0.0144	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.265951	-2.08%	0.1712	-36.97%	0.0655	✓	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.281467	-1.14%	0.1747	-38.64%	0.0947	✓	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.27534	-1.13%	0.1662	-40.32%	0.0930	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.278683	-1.42%	0.1627	-42.45%	0.2477	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.283125	-1.73%	0.1818	-36.90%	0.2316	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.280164	-2.26%	0.1838	-35.88%	0.2289	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.270425	-2.65%	0.1805	-35.03%	0.2338	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.248124	-2.89%	0.1788	-30.02%	0.2175	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.255845	-3.20%	0.1883	-28.76%	0.2226	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.268584	-3.53%	0.1962	-29.53%	0.3283	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.264673	-3.76%	0.2055	-25.27%	0.3440	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.270904	-4.04%	0.214	-24.19%	0.3360	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.260263	-4.10%	0.2071	-23.69%	0.2835	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.285584	-4.49%	0.20795	-30.45%	0.2702	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.28836	-4.55%	0.2065	-31.65%	0.2943	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.292031	-4.63%	0.2004	-34.55%	0.2693	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.318323	-4.71%	0.2095	-37.28%	0.2795	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.325225	-4.82%	0.2176	-36.32%	0.2983	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.320382	-4.76%	0.22035	-34.50%	0.2315	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.350338	-5.02%	0.2146	-41.82%	0.2910	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.345215	-5.08%	0.2137	-41.24%	0.2776	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.333716	-4.94%	0.2164	-38.36%	0.2596	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.33123	-5.02%	0.2265	-35.05%	0.2880	✓	2.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.