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2022-08-20 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0950
186 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.1%
in alpha space · 78.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.1871+4.96%1.025-9.37%0.0550✗1.723.7M2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31050.320117+3.10%0.3144+1.26%0.0429✓1.14110k2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7462.8153+2.52%2.891+5.28%0.1099✓1.565.1M2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5961.6295+2.10%1.63+2.13%0.0646✓1.20126k2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum32.4533.0282+1.78%30.05-7.40%0.0050✓1.86383k2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021520.021858+1.57%0.02303+7.02%0.1006✓0.9013.9M2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99951.0148+1.53%1.0479+4.84%0.1100✓1.455.0M2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7983.703+1.10%82.11-0.82%0.0620✓1.526.4M2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068290.068896+0.89%0.06428-5.87%0.0095✗1.122.4M2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,539.618,611.71+0.84%8,782.65+2.85%0.0926✓1.367.3M2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6812.7824+0.81%11.9-6.15%0.0120✗1.112.6M2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.132043+0.80%0.1246-4.89%0.0052✓0.992.1M2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5251.5346+0.63%1.404-7.93%0.0244✗1.21156k2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0047.0418+0.54%6.056-13.54%0.0824✗1.2810.7M2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36990.37167+0.48%0.3492-5.60%0.0051✓1.26223k2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10290.103282+0.37%0.1033+0.39%0.0574✓1.073.8M2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8430.845674+0.32%0.84-0.36%0.0172✓0.454.4M2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8332.9129+0.25%33+0.52%0.0788✓1.4216.5M2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0365.048+0.24%4.757-5.54%0.0128✓1.3510.9M2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0573.0641+0.23%2.682-12.27%0.0991✗0.64803k2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12260.122883+0.23%0.1236+0.82%0.0362✓0.574.1M2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.43554.4403+0.11%4.376-1.34%0.0265✓0.77836k2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38380.383903+0.03%0.3532-7.97%0.0145✗1.28190k2022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47420.474168-0.01%0.4567-3.69%0.0217✗1.11386k2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139090.138799-0.21%0.1322-4.95%0.0168✗1.22250k2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative2.1242.1177-0.30%1.823-14.17%0.0798✓1.311.2M2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.78114.4-0.33%115.26+0.42%0.0667✗1.105.0M2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.288923-0.37%0.28-3.45%0.0076✗0.73878k2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana35.2935.1523-0.39%31.54-10.63%0.0463✓1.1675.2M2022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06590.065633-0.41%0.0639-3.03%0.0229✗0.93126k2022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.007130.007101-0.41%0.0066-7.43%0.0383✓0.651.3M2022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4118.3339-0.41%17.54-4.73%0.0065✓0.701.8M2022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045160.044972-0.42%0.04518+0.04%0.0424✗0.7116k2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30030.299012-0.43%0.2889-3.80%0.0151✗0.938.2M2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2496.2222-0.43%5.829-6.72%0.0198✓0.8510.1M2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.38960.387863-0.45%0.3638-6.62%0.0047✓1.11493k2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase15.8415.7671-0.46%15.2-4.04%0.0225✗1.10125k2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22070.219671-0.47%0.2067-6.34%0.0068✓1.0172k2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3056.2744-0.48%6.303-0.03%0.0545✗0.935.3M2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.077040.076635-0.53%0.0675-12.38%0.0633✓1.1929k2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.704219-0.53%0.663-6.36%0.0129✓0.88271k2022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.761,567.30-0.54%1,491.22-5.37%0.0213✗1.33534.1M2022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5690.565909-0.54%0.509-10.54%0.0401✓1.232,9182022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0450830.044834-0.55%0.044708-0.83%0.0425✗0.8534k2022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831830.827185-0.56%0.77842-6.42%0.0111✓0.93560k2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86170.856731-0.58%0.7896-8.37%0.0236✓1.082.2M2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.09560.095046-0.58%0.0908-5.02%0.0042✓0.93430k2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.282529-0.59%0.2796-1.62%0.0405✗0.953.6M2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero149.22148.3388-0.59%145.16-2.72%0.0314✗0.991.2M2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.322.1668-0.60%20.04-10.13%0.0312✓1.3024.7M2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007250.007206-0.61%0.00757+4.41%0.1068✗1.07435k2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.356030.353812-0.62%0.33622-5.56%0.0009✓0.9795k2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05030.049986-0.62%0.0474-5.77%0.0009✓0.97827k2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12230.121534-0.63%0.1186-3.03%0.0303✗1.0239k2022-08-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20230.201019-0.63%0.1957-3.26%0.0267✗1.00146k2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3142.2991-0.64%2.0859-9.86%0.0319✓1.2213k2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04580.045486-0.69%0.0436-4.80%0.0097✗0.97201k2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37130.368717-0.70%0.3569-3.88%0.0248✗1.07175k2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.105659-0.70%0.1035-2.73%0.0176✗0.713,9702022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.153.7205-0.70%53.03-1.98%0.0403✗0.9913.1M2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6760.671239-0.70%0.652-3.55%0.0202✗0.92333k2022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.4679-0.72%61.36-2.48%0.0425✗1.132.0M2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0809-0.72%1.96-6.49%0.0316✗1.71122k2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.399830.396882-0.74%0.36774-8.03%0.0257✓0.9470k2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.2991.2894-0.74%1.221-6.00%0.0119✗1.24518k2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum49.2348.8422-0.79%46.09-6.38%0.0076✓1.2316k2022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9026.8452-0.82%6.531-5.38%0.0102✗1.0719.5M2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,139.2320,961.84-0.84%20,036.69-5.22%0.0084✗1.00469.5M2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0491230.048696-0.87%0.0454-7.58%0.0418✓0.5330k2022-08-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017260.001711-0.88%0.001606-6.95%0.0168✓0.87806k2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0614-0.88%1.0488-2.06%0.0345✗0.8756k2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.54280.537948-0.89%0.5335-1.71%0.0396✗0.891.9M2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000038990.00003864-0.90%0.00003688-5.41%0.0005✓0.881.8M2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.171.1594-0.91%1.0612-9.30%0.0229✓1.221.1M2022-08-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058660.005812-0.92%0.005618-4.23%0.0028✓0.692,6422022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0658570.065231-0.95%0.062935-4.44%0.0042✓0.59179k2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.041.0299-0.97%0.9661-7.11%0.0007✓1.211.1M2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.34613.3136-0.97%3.1269-6.55%0.0056✓0.9848k2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.00915-0.97%0.0087-5.84%0.0102✓0.756.2M2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.0452.5165-0.99%52.374-1.26%0.0367✗0.74349k2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.23310.230767-1.00%0.2211-5.15%0.0056✓0.90550k2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.941440.931767-1.03%0.86406-8.22%0.0235✓0.9712k2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.128.0362-1.03%7.33-9.73%0.0320✓1.12638k2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41040.406154-1.03%0.376-8.38%0.0180✓1.1074k2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative9.3729.2746-1.04%9.134-2.54%0.0354✗0.951.9M2022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum104.84103.7447-1.04%94.38-9.98%0.0497✓0.843.4M2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.326-1.05%1.29-3.73%0.0244✗0.97182k2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.7990.790573-1.05%0.6853-14.23%0.0666✓1.42398k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.147724-1.06%0.1404-5.96%0.0023✓0.99616k2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.550954-1.09%0.51-8.44%0.0165✓1.1390k2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2287.149-1.09%7.044-2.55%0.0398✗1.0214.0M2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.23610.124-1.09%11.173+9.15%0.1574✗1.1010.8M2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.60e-7-1.10%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0539✗0.803.3M2022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.297240.293928-1.11%0.28228-5.03%0.0160✗1.0513k2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033930.003355-1.13%0.003041-10.37%0.0536✓0.831.0M2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039843-1.14%0.0366-9.18%0.0364✓0.9111k2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86461.8433-1.14%1.7879-4.11%0.0260✗1.0636k2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1090190.107776-1.14%0.105594-3.14%0.0260✗0.877.4M2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51720.511231-1.15%0.5753+11.23%0.1625✗0.83713k2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.059499-1.16%0.0569-5.48%0.0068✓0.96112k2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2056-1.18%1.146-6.07%0.0019✓0.982.2M2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.45130.44595-1.19%0.45-0.29%0.0652✗1.0542.0M2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1810.178847-1.19%0.171-5.52%0.0121✗1.06608k2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration48.5447.9597-1.20%45.84-5.56%0.0067✓0.97560k2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1313.9538-1.25%13.8-2.34%0.0544✗1.221.4M2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26760.26426-1.25%0.268+0.15%0.0666✗0.98145k2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06521.0518-1.25%0.963-9.59%0.0586✓0.554.3M2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum26.6926.354-1.26%25.8-3.33%0.0297✗0.958.6M2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16730.165189-1.26%0.1693+1.20%0.0965✗1.341,3642022-08-27
DASHDashDash45.7545.1671-1.27%45.13-1.36%0.0512✗0.97521k2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.25490.251652-1.27%0.2424-4.90%0.0134✗0.9583k2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.69e-7-1.28%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0557✗0.8018k2022-08-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.061.0463-1.29%–pending––1.1112k2022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3295-1.29%2.11-10.59%0.0332✓1.23259k2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06680.065934-1.30%0.0608-8.98%0.0162✓1.211.3M2022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003280.003237-1.31%0.00292-10.98%0.0471✓1.04520k2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.7729-1.32%8.4-5.51%0.0200✓0.442.2M2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.019.878-1.32%10-0.10%0.0754✗1.18318k2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10970.108236-1.33%0.1015-7.47%0.0184✓0.86274k2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.567470.559861-1.34%0.54155-4.57%0.0357✗1.2946k2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.07695.0085-1.35%5.1648+1.73%0.0383✗0.14171k2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.144999-1.36%0.1419-3.47%0.0327✗1.01149k2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.56291.5416-1.36%1.4676-6.10%0.0104✓1.11494k2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4630.456674-1.37%0.412-11.02%0.0490✓1.019,8012022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014460.001426-1.39%0.001454+0.55%0.0574✗0.719,7092022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088070.000086826-1.41%0.0001339+52.04%0.4801✗0.88327k2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3016860.297344-1.44%0.296889-1.59%0.0567✗1.09884k2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156860.154583-1.45%0.15762+0.48%0.1328✗2.126672022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.8242.7829-1.45%2.671-5.42%0.0035✓0.83749k2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8965170.88346-1.46%0.882839-1.53%0.0410✗0.7877k2022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.083658-1.46%0.0845-0.47%0.0621✗0.979,9252022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3696-1.47%1.41+1.44%0.0270✗-0.04105k2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.305140.300661-1.47%0.34004+11.44%0.1715✗0.90366k2022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021560.021231-1.52%0.020673-4.11%0.0173✗0.8213k2022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146880.014459-1.56%0.013178-10.28%0.0606✓0.601.9M2022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06170.060735-1.56%0.0604-2.11%0.0544✗1.12303k2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004085-1.57%0.00389-6.27%0.0048✓1.00152k2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.601138-1.61%0.55-9.98%0.0289✓1.12103k2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,129.2020,787.83-1.62%19,933.00-5.66%0.0089✓0.957,5932022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1522.117-1.62%2.028-5.76%0.0189✗1.1660k2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.05230.051448-1.63%0.0509-2.68%0.0431✗1.00253k2022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022440.022071-1.64%0.02261+0.76%0.0706✗0.87444k2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.986-1.66%4.59-9.47%0.0604✓0.421.1M2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.256942-1.67%0.2612-0.04%0.0170✗0.0181k2022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.861.8278-1.73%1.69-9.14%0.0291✓0.92657k2022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.717183-1.76%0.75+2.74%0.0656✗0.39105k2022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068550.006733-1.77%0.00674-1.68%0.0262✗0.4757k2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.165301-1.78%0.1524-9.45%0.0273✓1.011,7442022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8690.853454-1.79%0.936+7.71%0.1569✗1.211.1M2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.885.7734-1.81%4.87-17.18%0.1244✓0.851.6M2022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012910.000012673-1.83%0.00001216-5.81%0.0072✓0.91827k2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370190.363242-1.88%0.32976-10.92%0.0377✓1.10426k2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86120.845019-1.88%0.79-8.27%0.0125✓1.49224k2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.8571.8218-1.90%1.758-5.33%0.0155✓0.96156k2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694280.068086-1.93%0.063422-8.65%0.0162✓1.021.9M2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039560.038792-1.94%0.03828-3.24%0.0310✗0.832,6252022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.707694-1.98%0.659-8.73%0.0026✓1.384.8M2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01770.017339-2.04%0.01518-14.24%0.0985✓0.64155k2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase13.707113.4267-2.05%12.5391-8.52%0.0174✓0.9544k2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4874.395-2.05%4.212-6.13%0.0235✓0.361.6M2022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.742.6824-2.10%2.47-9.85%0.0559✓0.5093k2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.6969-2.12%5.29-9.11%0.0548✓0.362.9M2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224990.022009-2.18%0.023238+3.28%0.0611✗0.13240k2022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3574-2.18%2.14-11.20%0.0508✓0.86833k2022-08-27
FISStafiEthereum0.36660.358532-2.20%–pending––0.911922022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.526.3752-2.22%6.18-5.21%0.0102✓0.391.3M2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4086.2648-2.23%5.784-9.74%0.0730✓0.134.5M2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78711.7465-2.27%1.7824-0.26%0.0799✗1.11667k2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2390.233504-2.30%0.2201-7.91%0.0139✓1.36110k2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038491-2.31%0.0348-11.68%0.0489✓0.9777k2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48593.4048-2.33%3.7353+7.15%0.1209✗0.531.5M2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026420.0258-2.35%0.02469-6.55%0.0239✗1.273,2032022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068880.0672-2.44%0.06819-1.00%0.0582✗0.819772022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.336.1673-2.57%6.22-1.74%0.0289✗0.381.9M2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10340.100711-2.60%0.1016-1.74%0.0472✗0.72220k2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091570.089062-2.74%0.08547-6.66%0.0365✓0.09959k2022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.18320.178054-2.81%0.22+20.09%0.2556✗0.821.3M2022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.36491.3229-3.08%1.3728+0.58%0.0894✗0.981.2M2022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015070.001455-3.46%0.00137-9.11%0.0187✓0.781.6M2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037450.036151-3.47%0.03599-3.90%0.0489✗1.0023k2022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36064.207-3.52%5.0801+16.50%0.1963✗0.142.1M2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9193.7808-3.53%4.134+5.49%0.1388✗0.92127k2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.0514.8701-3.58%4.23-16.25%0.1379✓0.062.1M2022-08-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana3.81153.6712-3.68%4.2655+11.91%0.2036✗1.00169k2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.6639.9754-4.04%38.17-8.38%0.0036✓0.931.8M2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.69225.4433-4.37%5.259-7.61%0.0260✓0.162.1M2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain10.89410.2582-5.84%13.227+21.42%0.2765✗0.421.4M2022-08-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.06e-76.57e-7-6.95%7.59e-7+7.47%0.1846✗0.76164k2022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.