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2022-08-18 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0296
186 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.2%
in alpha space · 80.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.1961.2156+1.64%1.178-1.51%0.1090✓1.933.6M2022-08-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2493.2816+1.00%3.021-7.02%0.0319✓1.575.2M2022-08-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023490.023724+1.00%0.02391+1.79%0.0774✓0.9613.9M2022-08-25
UNIUniswapEthereum7.5747.5908+0.22%7.023-7.27%0.0176✓1.3110.3M2022-08-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.41990.420029+0.03%0.3801-9.48%0.0016✓1.39203k2022-08-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.11461.1139-0.06%1.18+5.87%0.1706✗1.555.0M2022-08-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash129.12128.804-0.24%130.69+1.22%0.0950✗1.115.1M2022-08-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7711.7654-0.32%1.81+2.20%0.1167✗1.26142k2022-08-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0240.023916-0.35%0.02303-4.04%0.0271✗0.89369k2022-08-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.29496-0.35%0.296+0.00%0.0554✗0.71972k2022-08-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8810.877451-0.40%0.923+4.77%0.0835✗0.454.4M2022-08-25
DODODODOEthereum0.14560.144958-0.44%0.1408-3.30%0.0415✗0.972.0M2022-08-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52950.526867-0.50%0.4961-6.31%0.0218✗1.13376k2022-08-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.076860.076449-0.53%0.06979-9.20%0.0065✓1.162.3M2022-08-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8696.8307-0.56%6.352-7.53%0.0024✓0.975.3M2022-08-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53970.536655-0.56%0.5098-5.54%0.0083✗0.82750k2022-08-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00661.0008-0.57%1.008+0.14%0.0514✗0.613.9M2022-08-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.3483.3273-0.62%3.004-10.27%0.0590✓0.59853k2022-08-25
XVSVenusEthereum6.286.2411-0.62%5.69-9.39%0.0300✓0.861.6M2022-08-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin6059.6237-0.63%56.62-5.63%0.0209✗1.0013.1M2022-08-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01470.014605-0.65%0.014482-1.48%0.0353✗0.602.1M2022-08-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007820.007769-0.65%0.00801+2.43%0.1123✗1.12420k2022-08-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.007640.007586-0.70%0.00704-7.85%0.0284✓0.641.4M2022-08-25
AAVEAaveEthereum94.8694.1869-0.71%93.35-1.59%0.1033✗1.546.4M2022-08-25
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7715.7295-0.72%5.379-6.79%0.0360✗1.3611.8M2022-08-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042392-0.72%0.0407-4.68%0.0270✗0.9311k2022-08-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.53e-7-0.76%9.10e-7-5.21%0.0102✗0.7720k2022-08-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062880.006239-0.77%0.005856-6.86%0.0123✓0.703,0362022-08-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40860.405368-0.79%0.3754-8.13%0.0151✗1.26223k2022-08-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7410.734904-0.82%0.734-0.94%0.1018✗1.424.6M2022-08-25
GTGateEthereum4.84824.8079-0.83%4.567-5.80%0.0026✓0.74847k2022-08-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90020.892708-0.83%0.8658-3.82%0.0551✗1.182.2M2022-08-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30550.302941-0.84%0.3056+0.03%0.0802✗0.983.6M2022-08-25
KCSKuCoinnative10.1110.0251-0.84%9.763-3.43%0.0451✗0.981.9M2022-08-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8171.8017-0.84%1.541-15.19%0.0733✓1.14150k2022-08-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07380.07316-0.87%0.0691-6.37%0.0036✓0.83130k2022-08-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6660.660162-0.88%0.58-12.91%0.0415✓1.212,9182022-08-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.18951.1787-0.91%1.1342-4.65%0.0254✗0.8855k2022-08-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39930.395567-0.93%0.395-1.08%0.0799✗1.12176k2022-08-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43750.433333-0.95%0.4247-2.93%0.0633✗1.1564k2022-08-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09440.093496-0.96%0.0909-3.71%0.0427✗0.9712k2022-08-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05440.053867-0.98%0.0529-2.76%0.0564✗1.02877k2022-08-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1511.1397-0.98%1.0485-8.91%0.0068✓1.241.1M2022-08-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06290.062282-0.98%0.0603-4.13%0.0346✗0.92112k2022-08-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11950.118295-1.01%0.1098-8.12%0.0244✓0.694,2082022-08-25
PROPropyEthereum0.770.762083-1.03%0.73-5.19%0.0135✓0.4186k2022-08-25
XECeCashnative0.000042850.000042399-1.05%0.00003947-7.89%0.0083✓0.871.9M2022-08-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23410.231629-1.06%0.2384+1.84%0.1296✗1.38110k2022-08-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04940.048878-1.06%0.0469-5.06%0.0290✗0.97207k2022-08-25
BANDBandEthereum1.4711.4554-1.06%1.383-5.98%0.0420✗1.28518k2022-08-25
KSMKusamaHydration51.6951.1419-1.06%48.54-6.09%0.0212✗1.01543k2022-08-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1413.989-1.07%13.6-3.82%0.0528✗1.112.6M2022-08-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39280.388598-1.07%0.37415-4.75%0.0345✗1.0090k2022-08-25
TRXTRONTron0.0674180.06669-1.08%0.065499-2.85%0.0264✗0.61179k2022-08-25
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.50e-7-1.08%9.20e-7-4.17%0.0259✗0.794.6M2022-08-25
ZECZcashZcash70.0969.3307-1.08%67.75-3.34%0.0588✗1.122.0M2022-08-25
STXStacksnative0.44530.44047-1.08%0.3998-10.22%0.0161✓1.11628k2022-08-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,215.9110,104.17-1.09%9,795.51-4.12%0.0662✗1.346.8M2022-08-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11490.113636-1.10%0.1159+0.87%0.1000✗1.103.7M2022-08-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.16680.16494-1.11%0.1575-5.58%0.0287✗1.03140k2022-08-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4082.3807-1.13%2.19-9.05%0.0444✗1.76132k2022-08-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32685.2662-1.14%5.1741-2.87%0.0078✓0.14204k2022-08-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.1315.9464-1.14%14.72-8.74%0.0094✓1.231.5M2022-08-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.10360.102411-1.15%0.0989-4.54%0.0366✗0.98430k2022-08-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02860.028271-1.15%0.02732-4.48%0.0603✗1.302,9402022-08-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,845.901,824.63-1.15%1,695.27-8.16%0.0234✗1.33528.6M2022-08-25
XVGVergenative0.003660.003618-1.16%0.00328-10.38%0.0235✓1.02508k2022-08-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158490.156643-1.17%0.14326-9.61%0.0001✓1.23250k2022-08-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087920.086892-1.17%0.07588-13.69%0.0529✓1.1429k2022-08-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074940.074056-1.18%0.07031-6.18%0.0046✓0.788802022-08-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13610.134483-1.19%0.1309-3.82%0.0487✗1.0441k2022-08-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.31.2844-1.20%1.2006-7.65%0.0239✗1.261.1M2022-08-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0746320.073728-1.21%0.069172-7.32%0.0112✓1.031.9M2022-08-25
ZENHorizenBase17.8917.6731-1.21%17.19-3.91%0.0539✗1.12130k2022-08-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050350.049736-1.22%0.04792-4.83%0.0154✗0.7216k2022-08-25
NANOnanopayBase0.9901460.977918-1.23%0.958891-3.16%0.0351✗0.7577k2022-08-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7310.721825-1.26%0.744+1.78%0.0994✗0.95333k2022-08-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4787.3838-1.26%6.356-15.00%0.0907✓0.819.9M2022-08-25
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001920.001896-1.26%0.001762-8.23%0.0004✓1.00901k2022-08-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24860.245408-1.28%0.2289-7.92%0.0040✓1.0177k2022-08-25
XTZTezosTezos1.78951.7665-1.28%1.669-6.73%0.0250✗1.12470k2022-08-25
MOVRMoonriverBase14.497614.3102-1.29%13.4615-7.15%0.0080✓0.9551k2022-08-25
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0555.3242-1.29%51.48-8.15%0.0186✗1.2517k2022-08-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4213-1.30%1.44+0.00%0.0074✓-0.08115k2022-08-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.13232.1046-1.30%1.991-6.63%0.0211✗1.0533k2022-08-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3892.3579-1.30%2.289-4.19%0.0559✗1.1862k2022-08-25
DIADIAEthereum0.452120.446134-1.32%0.41101-9.09%0.0171✓0.8970k2022-08-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,189.4622,879.89-1.33%21,561.86-7.02%0.0134✓1.00472.7M2022-08-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9220.909657-1.34%0.998+8.24%0.1819✗1.231.0M2022-08-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.451.4302-1.37%1.43-1.38%0.0710✗0.98182k2022-08-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.923220.910549-1.37%0.84018-8.99%0.0123✓0.94574k2022-08-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0310.8783-1.38%11.38+3.17%0.1307✗1.18305k2022-08-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0837.9709-1.39%7.583-6.19%0.0249✗1.0314.0M2022-08-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.183114-1.39%0.1725-7.11%0.0178✗1.061,7402022-08-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343160.32964-1.40%0.321644-3.79%0.0555✗1.10884k2022-08-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11920.11751-1.42%0.1116-6.38%0.0107✓0.86300k2022-08-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.28920.285041-1.44%0.2626-9.20%0.0151✓0.9281k2022-08-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.06830.067318-1.44%0.0636-6.88%0.0277✗1.16329k2022-08-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.28980.285612-1.45%0.2692-7.11%0.0187✗1.07151k2022-08-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0530140.052244-1.45%0.047386-10.62%0.0613✓0.5030k2022-08-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13410.132122-1.47%0.1378+2.76%0.0858✗0.604.1M2022-08-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33360.328648-1.48%0.3074-7.85%0.0007✓0.938.2M2022-08-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.199975-1.49%0.191-5.91%0.0333✗1.09657k2022-08-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.257303-1.49%0.2608-0.15%0.0144✓0.0174k2022-08-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.50256.6311-1.51%55.615-3.28%0.0330✗0.70354k2022-08-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.76713.7097-1.52%3.4771-7.70%0.0062✓0.9848k2022-08-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.42.3631-1.54%2.32-3.33%0.0460✗0.89726k2022-08-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3181.2977-1.54%1.262-4.25%0.0449✗1.002.4M2022-08-25
ADACardanoCardano0.51210.504207-1.54%0.4642-9.35%0.0076✓1.0342.0M2022-08-25
HIVEHivenative0.58580.576765-1.54%0.5691-2.85%0.0555✗0.951.9M2022-08-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36730.361597-1.55%0.3717+1.20%0.1088✗1.12105k2022-08-25
DASHDashDash50.3649.5775-1.55%49.18-2.34%0.0626✗0.97521k2022-08-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1159280.114114-1.56%0.110401-4.77%0.0318✗0.897.5M2022-08-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6457.5253-1.57%7.13-6.74%0.0247✗1.0820.0M2022-08-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18330.180414-1.57%0.1837+0.22%0.1224✗1.431,3972022-08-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010170.01001-1.58%0.00914-10.13%0.0385✓0.725.8M2022-08-25
CBKCobakEthereum1.11.0825-1.58%0.95141-13.51%0.0603✓0.9512k2022-08-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.038183-1.59%0.0389+0.26%0.0873✗0.9476k2022-08-25
SOLSolanaSolana39.5138.8802-1.59%35.25-10.78%0.0114✓1.1975.2M2022-08-25
STEEMSteemnative0.26460.260378-1.60%0.2418-8.62%0.0103✓0.88550k2022-08-25
METISMetisEthereum3837.3929-1.60%35.23-7.29%0.0832✗1.96391k2022-08-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6210.611044-1.60%0.571-8.05%0.0165✗1.1695k2022-08-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082990.081658-1.61%0.08405+1.28%0.0469✗0.25959k2022-08-25
API3Api3Ethereum2.1132.0791-1.61%1.943-8.05%0.0009✓0.92680k2022-08-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04490.044172-1.62%0.03993-11.07%0.0423✓0.812,5822022-08-25
SCSiacoinnative0.004650.004574-1.63%0.0042-9.68%0.0124✓1.00152k2022-08-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1923.7963-1.63%22.98-5.00%0.0647✗1.3725.9M2022-08-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.340840.335206-1.65%0.30411-10.78%0.0211✓1.0513k2022-08-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15650.153907-1.66%0.155-0.96%0.0845✗1.06586k2022-08-25
UMAUMAEthereum3.1373.0848-1.66%2.946-6.09%0.0140✓0.83719k2022-08-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.636040.625423-1.67%0.60846-4.34%0.0684✗1.3246k2022-08-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017432-1.68%0.01666-6.03%0.0007✓0.63153k2022-08-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4780.469918-1.69%0.458-4.18%0.0464✗0.999,5622022-08-25
ELAElastosEthereum2.0432.0083-1.70%1.856-9.15%0.0067✓0.99170k2022-08-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000093180.000091582-1.72%0.00013132+40.93%0.4330✗1.00336k2022-08-25
XEMNEMnative0.048620.047782-1.72%0.047816-1.65%0.0655✗0.8937k2022-08-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93720.920938-1.74%0.8197-12.54%0.0034✓1.55244k2022-08-25
XMRMoneroMonero160.98158.1141-1.78%153.94-4.37%0.0445✗0.981.2M2022-08-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7430.729699-1.79%0.724-2.56%0.0595✗0.92274k2022-08-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6420.630453-1.80%0.6-6.54%0.0373✗1.19114k2022-08-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.333950.327938-1.80%0.37447+12.13%0.1968✗0.88383k2022-08-25
FLOWFlownative2.5282.4823-1.81%2.137-15.47%0.0570✓1.281.0M2022-08-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.371970.365164-1.83%0.36511-1.84%0.0803✗1.11426k2022-08-25
FTTFTXEthereum29.9529.3981-1.84%27.94-6.71%0.0166✓0.938.9M2022-08-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.9140.897024-1.86%0.791-13.46%0.0228✓1.42433k2022-08-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000013223-1.90%0.00001393+3.34%0.1225✗0.97827k2022-08-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68892.6376-1.91%2.4764-7.90%0.0241✗1.2013k2022-08-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.0580.056893-1.91%0.0548-5.52%0.0369✗1.02253k2022-08-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.44611.2252-1.93%12.847+12.24%0.2187✗1.1511.4M2022-08-25
RARESuperRareEthereum0.23030.22578-1.96%0.2179-5.38%0.0372✗1.00111k2022-08-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6468-1.97%2.48-8.15%0.0215✗1.19259k2022-08-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037480.003674-1.98%0.003495-6.75%0.0081✓0.801.0M2022-08-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.111534-1.99%0.1124-1.23%0.0638✗0.77215k2022-08-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07610.074581-2.00%0.0676-11.17%0.0120✓1.191.4M2022-08-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234780.023008-2.00%0.022511-4.12%0.0372✗0.8112k2022-08-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.788.6033-2.01%8.06-8.20%0.0136✓1.08523k2022-08-25
FISStafiEthereum0.3990.390934-2.02%–pending––0.911922022-08-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.852.7923-2.02%2.67-6.32%0.0068✓0.5296k2022-08-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.181330.177642-2.03%0.16533-8.82%0.0907✗2.236712022-08-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00170.001665-2.05%0.001597-6.06%0.0072✓0.679,7092022-08-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,152.4022,664.34-2.11%21,605.60-6.68%0.0230✗0.977,5932022-08-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070640.006909-2.20%0.0068-3.74%0.0179✓0.4655k2022-08-25
QNTQuantEthereum108.5105.9477-2.35%106.79-1.58%0.0679✗0.823.4M2022-08-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.211.1805-2.44%–pending––1.1512k2022-08-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.76281.7197-2.44%1.8105+2.71%0.1395✗1.21598k2022-08-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230530.02248-2.49%0.023343+1.26%0.0548✗0.24232k2022-08-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.638.605-2.51%37.14-6.21%0.0621✗1.3916.0M2022-08-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.044490.043368-2.52%0.04111-7.60%0.0177✓0.9821k2022-08-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.3918.9003-2.53%18.42-5.00%0.0230✓0.672.2M2022-08-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001496-2.58%0.001525-0.66%0.0773✗0.791.6M2022-08-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6413.5441-2.66%4.721+29.66%0.3484✗0.85127k2022-08-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4144.2864-2.89%4.711+6.73%0.1080✗0.192.1M2022-08-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.20860.202137-3.10%0.2245+7.62%0.1667✗0.851.2M2022-08-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3961.3526-3.11%1.3894-0.47%0.0956✗0.951.0M2022-08-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.856.6245-3.29%6.84-0.15%0.0604✗0.391.1M2022-08-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.4323-3.34%5.05-10.14%0.0442✓0.401.1M2022-08-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.7127-3.41%6.8-2.16%0.0418✗0.401.8M2022-08-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1439.6655-3.58%37.89-7.90%0.0287✓1.021.8M2022-08-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6464.4738-3.71%4.682+0.77%0.0696✗0.331.5M2022-08-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.8661-3.84%5.86-3.93%0.0273✓0.392.6M2022-08-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.55194.3498-4.44%5.7197+25.66%0.3110✗0.512.0M2022-08-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.02743.8458-4.51%5.5766+38.47%0.3973✗0.352.0M2022-08-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.829.3719-4.56%9.11-7.23%0.0032✓0.431.9M2022-08-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.6853-5.02%4.2527+9.61%0.1821✗0.531.3M2022-08-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.4417.0366-5.43%6.549-11.99%0.0662✓0.083.9M2022-08-25
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.49495.1705-5.90%4.3077-21.61%0.1098✓1.00169k2022-08-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.18e-76.69e-7-6.76%8.04e-7+11.98%0.2300✗0.64164k2022-08-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.25711.8897-10.31%13.862+4.56%0.1873✗0.461.3M2022-08-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.