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2022-08-17 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0055
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.4%
in alpha space · 85.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.3244+0.25%1.226-7.19%0.0931✓1.933.6M2022-08-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.025754+0.01%0.02382-7.50%0.0001✓0.8814.3M2022-08-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.5025-0.07%3.034-13.44%0.0045✓1.575.2M2022-08-24
XVSVenusEthereum65.9847-0.26%5.72-4.67%0.0352✗0.911.5M2022-08-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.435785-0.30%0.4098-6.25%0.0611✗1.39209k2022-08-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83133.2575-0.43%130.34-2.61%0.0753✗1.105.1M2022-08-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.301641-0.45%0.285-5.94%0.0068✗0.721.0M2022-08-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.9205-0.51%7.045-11.51%0.0022✓1.3010.3M2022-08-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.53726-0.53%0.4861-10.00%0.0010✓1.12388k2022-08-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.024725-0.54%0.02359-5.11%0.0319✗0.89310k2022-08-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.903938-0.56%0.886-2.53%0.0204✗0.464.4M2022-08-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5260.1548-0.60%56.46-6.71%0.0251✗1.0013.5M2022-08-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.63e-7-0.71%9.20e-7-5.15%0.0223✗0.7721k2022-08-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042394-0.72%0.0402-5.85%0.0295✗0.9411k2022-08-24
GTGateEthereum4.84494.8084-0.75%4.4922-7.28%0.0034✓0.73882k2022-08-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.3864-0.78%3-12.10%0.0654✓0.63853k2022-08-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007878-0.78%0.00698-12.09%0.0644✓0.641.6M2022-08-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1721-0.84%1.1766-0.47%0.1384✗1.525.6M2022-08-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.015055-0.85%0.014302-5.81%0.0016✓0.602.1M2022-08-24
KCSKuCoinnative10.25610.1672-0.87%9.631-6.09%0.0315✗0.971.9M2022-08-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.006463-0.87%0.005761-11.63%0.0530✓0.703,0362022-08-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.5649-0.91%6.816+21.37%0.2099✗0.083.4M2022-08-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.560142-0.91%0.5089-9.98%0.0235✓0.82755k2022-08-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.796653-0.91%0.727-9.58%0.0332✗1.414.6M2022-08-24
PROPropyEthereum0.780.772752-0.93%0.74-5.13%0.0058✓0.42105k2022-08-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.2005-0.94%1.1172-7.81%0.0056✓0.8855k2022-08-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.0815-0.96%1.0301-5.67%0.0063✓0.623.9M2022-08-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.64763-0.97%0.588-10.09%0.0087✓1.192,9182022-08-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.465472-0.98%0.4107-12.64%0.0241✓1.1464k2022-08-24
AAVEAaveEthereum100.1499.1487-0.99%88.41-11.71%0.0206✗1.536.4M2022-08-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.41463-1.00%0.3738-10.74%0.0079✓1.26239k2022-08-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.119679-1.01%0.1118-7.53%0.0055✓0.714,2082022-08-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.2467-1.03%5.386+1.60%0.0381✗0.14217k2022-08-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.008056-1.03%0.0082+0.74%0.1159✗1.11456k2022-08-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.078479-1.04%0.0676-14.75%0.0794✓0.79130k2022-08-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.31642-1.06%0.2983-6.72%0.0284✗0.993.6M2022-08-24
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.50e-7-1.06%9.10e-7-5.21%0.0268✗0.795.3M2022-08-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.157043-1.06%0.14186-10.63%0.0076✓1.24250k2022-08-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.8342-1.07%1.548-16.50%0.0707✓1.12170k2022-08-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.23842-1.07%0.2239-7.10%0.0592✗1.38117k2022-08-24
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000042862-1.08%0.00003875-10.57%0.0239✓0.871.9M2022-08-24
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.067367-1.11%0.06482-4.85%0.0156✗0.61182k2022-08-24
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.967238-1.12%0.935146-4.40%0.0322✗0.7577k2022-08-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.387.297-1.12%6.406-13.20%0.0447✓0.975.4M2022-08-24
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.157211-1.13%0.1408-11.45%0.0236✓0.982.1M2022-08-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.029563-1.13%0.02692-9.97%0.0211✗1.302,9912022-08-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.065449-1.13%0.0606-8.46%0.0080✓0.78116k2022-08-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,813.47-1.15%1,656.74-9.70%0.0269✗1.33534.1M2022-08-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.405083-1.17%0.36794-10.23%0.0085✓0.9995k2022-08-24
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1076.0353-1.17%5.312-13.02%0.0077✓1.3611.8M2022-08-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.086066-1.19%0.07428-14.72%0.0459✓1.1529k2022-08-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.415516-1.21%0.3871-7.96%0.0270✗1.11190k2022-08-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3829-1.22%1.38-1.43%0.0076✓-0.06124k2022-08-24
XVGVergenative0.003780.003734-1.22%0.00321-15.08%0.0611✓1.02528k2022-08-24
KSMKusamaHydration54.7754.0931-1.24%48.99-10.55%0.0094✓1.01595k2022-08-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.445-1.25%2.176-12.12%0.0387✗1.76134k2022-08-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.100518-1.26%0.091-10.61%0.0116✓0.9912k2022-08-24
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.5432-1.27%1.364-12.73%0.0104✓1.28529k2022-08-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.952807-1.27%0.8581-11.09%0.0008✓1.182.2M2022-08-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.136341-1.27%0.1249-9.56%0.0041✓1.0441k2022-08-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.2025-1.28%1.0444-14.25%0.0315✓1.241.1M2022-08-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.050081-1.28%0.04656-8.22%0.0093✓0.7216k2022-08-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.050247-1.28%0.0464-8.84%0.0066✓0.98212k2022-08-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.076551-1.29%0.07009-9.62%0.0196✓0.789142022-08-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.8744-1.30%1.766-7.00%0.0505✗1.25142k2022-08-24
STXStacksnative0.45670.450702-1.31%0.3867-15.33%0.0547✓1.11808k2022-08-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1723,032.86-1.32%21,367.12-8.46%0.0133✓1.00482.6M2022-08-24
ZECZcashZcash74.2273.2372-1.32%67.69-8.80%0.0187✗1.102.0M2022-08-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.4915-1.33%2.264-10.34%0.0085✓1.1864k2022-08-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.915588-1.34%0.956+3.02%0.1514✗1.221.1M2022-08-24
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.6254-1.36%13.8671-6.48%0.0310✗0.9553k2022-08-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.250037-1.37%0.2197-13.33%0.0399✓1.0183k2022-08-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.8368-1.37%4.9+25.96%0.2614✗0.191.9M2022-08-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.8724-1.37%5.19+5.06%0.0978✗0.391.1M2022-08-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8816.6481-1.37%14.55-13.80%0.0260✓1.231.6M2022-08-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.107584-1.39%0.099-9.26%0.0043✓0.99456k2022-08-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.8793-1.39%2.77-5.14%0.0073✓0.5296k2022-08-24
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3157.4915-1.40%51.17-12.24%0.0073✓1.2420k2022-08-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.052763-1.41%0.048259-9.83%0.0453✓0.5033k2022-08-24
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.8578-1.43%1.6006-15.07%0.0506✓1.11488k2022-08-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001927-1.43%0.001729-11.56%0.0201✓1.00950k2022-08-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.953864-1.44%0.8327-13.96%0.0528✓0.94623k2022-08-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.1697-1.45%1.9654-10.73%0.0060✓1.0536k2022-08-24
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.45383-1.45%0.40312-12.46%0.0385✓0.9170k2022-08-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.257509-1.45%0.2599-0.54%0.0104✓0.0165k2022-08-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.287055-1.46%0.2557-12.22%0.0336✓0.9381k2022-08-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.084709-1.48%0.07101-17.41%0.0734✓1.172.4M2022-08-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.119591-1.49%0.1104-9.06%0.0035✓0.87311k2022-08-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.289599-1.50%0.27-8.16%0.0245✗1.07160k2022-08-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.3495-1.50%1.1971-12.62%0.0088✓1.261.1M2022-08-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.1882-1.51%11.09-2.38%0.0918✗1.14313k2022-08-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.078899-1.52%0.067837-15.33%0.0602✓1.031.9M2022-08-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.3339-1.52%2.34-1.27%0.0818✗0.90636k2022-08-24
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.7202-1.52%17.01-10.52%0.0032✓1.12130k2022-08-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.06972-1.52%0.0641-9.46%0.0181✗1.16331k2022-08-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.213678-1.53%0.186-14.29%0.0412✓1.10696k2022-08-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.335582-1.53%0.3023-11.30%0.0223✓0.938.3M2022-08-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.761028-1.55%0.721-6.73%0.0293✗0.94344k2022-08-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.342687-1.55%0.308844-11.27%0.0114✓1.05916k2022-08-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.194434-1.55%0.1725-12.66%0.0267✓1.051,7922022-08-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.19233-1.57%0.171-12.49%0.0090✓1.431,3972022-08-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.9596-1.58%1.827-8.24%0.0181✗1.00181k2022-08-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.17411-1.58%0.1481-16.28%0.0726✓1.01140k2022-08-24
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004606-1.59%0.00409-12.61%0.0297✓1.01158k2022-08-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.3383-1.59%1.24-8.82%0.0122✓1.002.5M2022-08-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.5842-1.60%1.42-11.80%0.0240✓0.97182k2022-08-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3728.2377-1.60%7.565-9.64%0.0055✓1.0314.4M2022-08-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.081864-1.61%0.08425+1.26%0.0507✗0.251.0M2022-08-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92258.9552-1.61%55.495-7.39%0.0018✓0.71365k2022-08-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.044451-1.61%0.04014-11.16%0.0312✓0.802,6002022-08-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.058925-1.63%0.0518-13.52%0.0376✓1.03877k2022-08-24
HIVEHivenative0.59610.586398-1.63%0.5577-6.44%0.0334✗0.952.0M2022-08-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.120575-1.65%0.1146-6.53%0.0471✗1.113.8M2022-08-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006638-1.66%0.00668-1.04%0.0459✗0.4555k2022-08-24
DASHDashDash52.8751.9857-1.67%49.13-7.07%0.0289✗0.97548k2022-08-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.64187-1.68%0.58763-9.99%0.0277✗1.3147k2022-08-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.119256-1.69%0.109482-9.75%0.0069✓0.897.8M2022-08-24
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.0926-1.70%0.94669-14.83%0.0600✓0.9412k2022-08-24
SOLSolanaSolana40.5539.8584-1.71%34.88-13.98%0.0280✓1.1981.1M2022-08-24
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.529349-1.72%0.4577-15.02%0.0545✓1.0343.6M2022-08-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.338981-1.72%0.2979-13.63%0.0373✓1.0413k2022-08-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.631942-1.72%0.562-12.60%0.0147✓1.16105k2022-08-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.176273-1.74%0.16688-6.98%0.1427✗2.236712022-08-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000093433-1.75%0.00009991+5.06%0.1560✗1.01336k2022-08-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.142724-1.77%0.1328-8.60%0.0186✓0.614.4M2022-08-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09833.0432-1.78%4.3422+40.15%0.3999✗0.501.3M2022-08-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.16667-1.79%0.1509-11.08%0.0050✓1.07616k2022-08-24
FTTFTXEthereum30.1129.5718-1.79%27.55-8.50%0.0113✓0.939.1M2022-08-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.323821-1.79%0.34078+3.35%0.1294✗0.89402k2022-08-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.097898-1.81%0.1052+5.52%0.1430✗0.80215k2022-08-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7415.4543-1.82%13.83-12.13%0.0147✓1.092.6M2022-08-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.659759-1.82%0.6-10.71%0.0108✓1.20130k2022-08-24
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.2032-1.83%2.932-10.14%0.0150✓0.83719k2022-08-24
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.27053-1.84%0.2353-14.62%0.0629✓0.87550k2022-08-24
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.049364-1.85%0.046228-8.09%0.0136✓0.9043k2022-08-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1938.0404-1.86%6.274-23.42%0.1763✓0.819.9M2022-08-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.001648-1.88%0.0016-4.76%0.0311✗0.699,5772022-08-24
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.2233-1.88%1.936-14.56%0.0568✓0.92680k2022-08-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0617.9085-1.89%7.122-11.65%0.0091✓1.0820.0M2022-08-24
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.936-1.89%3.4798-13.26%0.0370✓0.9848k2022-08-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.4151-1.90%6.1+10.51%0.1520✗0.372.0M2022-08-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010651-1.92%0.0091-16.21%0.0919✓0.745.8M2022-08-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.375899-1.92%0.36571-4.58%0.0499✗0.88435k2022-08-24
METISMetisEthereum38.7938.028-1.96%35.76-7.81%0.1116✗1.96408k2022-08-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1444.0617-1.99%4.876+17.66%0.2096✗0.301.5M2022-08-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.964632-1.99%0.8151-17.18%0.0312✓1.55244k2022-08-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.6725-2.00%1.8503+8.42%0.2072✗1.20598k2022-08-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.504707-2.00%0.452-12.23%0.0227✓0.999,8012022-08-24
XMRMoneroMonero168.3164.9012-2.02%150.55-10.55%0.0067✓0.951.2M2022-08-24
FLOWFlownative2.5652.5129-2.03%2.147-16.30%0.0443✓1.281.0M2022-08-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5625.0374-2.04%23.01-9.98%0.0364✗1.3728.7M2022-08-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.764767-2.08%0.727-6.91%0.0315✗0.93280k2022-08-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.017704-2.08%0.01734-4.09%0.0336✗0.62153k2022-08-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.023437-2.08%0.022261-6.99%0.0200✓0.8113k2022-08-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.061688-2.08%0.0549-12.86%0.0263✓1.02253k2022-08-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.946734-2.10%0.7861-18.71%0.0596✓1.43469k2022-08-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.5026-2.11%13.019+10.80%0.2236✗1.1312.0M2022-08-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.36.1668-2.11%6.85+8.73%0.1387✗0.381.6M2022-08-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5616-2.15%9.29+6.17%0.1169✗0.401.8M2022-08-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6210,921.87-2.17%9,349.19-16.26%0.0378✓1.336.8M2022-08-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.8622-2.18%2.4403-16.60%0.0526✓1.2113k2022-08-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.00385-2.19%0.003426-12.96%0.0467✓0.791.0M2022-08-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.226.0832-2.20%6.94+11.58%0.1639✗0.361.1M2022-08-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.243011-2.25%0.2201-11.46%0.0107✓1.00111k2022-08-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.3927-2.26%5.6172+61.82%0.5319✗0.311.8M2022-08-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.021467-2.26%0.023439+6.72%0.1054✗0.20233k2022-08-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.8537-2.27%2.41-17.47%0.0636✓1.19269k2022-08-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.076032-2.27%0.0669-14.01%0.0236✓1.181.4M2022-08-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.7217-2.35%5.8769+54.19%0.4976✗0.462.0M2022-08-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.36521-2.38%0.3737-0.11%0.1211✗1.11105k2022-08-24
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.40417-2.42%–pending––0.901922022-08-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.1748-2.44%0.06201-94.85%2.8408✓1.1412k2022-08-24
QNTQuantEthereum109.91107.1361-2.52%108-1.74%0.0810✗0.833.6M2022-08-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000014386-2.53%0.00001305-11.59%0.0125✓0.96827k2022-08-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3022,708.24-2.53%21,418.40-8.07%0.0275✗0.977,5932022-08-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.49.1587-2.57%8.04-14.47%0.0344✓1.08523k2022-08-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4218.9044-2.66%18.34-5.56%0.0296✗0.682.2M2022-08-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001504-2.67%0.001535-0.71%0.0902✗0.791.6M2022-08-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2939.1676-2.79%35.45-12.01%0.0225✓1.3816.5M2022-08-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.042661-2.82%0.0377-14.12%0.0400✓0.9576k2022-08-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.7901-2.95%14.339+140.35%0.9393✗0.371.2M2022-08-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.045444-3.00%0.04016-14.28%0.0373✓0.9821k2022-08-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.5611-3.28%4.724+28.30%0.3583✗0.86124k2022-08-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.3627-3.40%1.5383+9.05%0.2045✗0.941.0M2022-08-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.4842-3.73%4.5679-1.93%0.1069✗1.00140k2022-08-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0938.5676-3.80%37.33-6.88%0.0602✗1.051.8M2022-08-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.213652-3.85%0.2424+9.09%0.2016✗0.851.2M2022-08-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.42e-7-6.53%8.05e-7+17.06%0.2811✗0.63164k2022-08-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.