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2022-08-14 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1295
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-14.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.4%
in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000016022-5.08%0.00001348-20.14%0.0553✓0.96679k2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.391532-4.92%0.3366-18.26%0.0161✓1.10100k2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.468221-4.54%0.3715-24.26%0.1271✓0.851382022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.046599-4.49%0.03818-21.75%0.0748✓1.0220k2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.6939-4.01%12.738+114.73%0.8312✗0.211.1M2022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2737.7071-3.98%44.36+12.96%0.2982✗1.111.7M2022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-74.09e-7-3.81%7.12e-7+67.40%0.6376✗0.68150k2022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.4045-3.72%1.3019-10.76%0.0464✗1.001.0M2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.269.9143-3.37%8.2-20.08%0.0537✓1.11638k2022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2420.5326-3.33%18.97-10.69%0.0058✓0.702.2M2022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.175069-3.33%0.1872+3.37%0.1717✗0.861.1M2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.8179-3.20%5.094+29.16%0.3940✗0.86124k2022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum118.61114.9104-3.12%110.77-6.61%0.0695✗0.873.8M2022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5740.2881-3.08%33.76-18.79%0.0077✓1.3816.5M2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum43.2641.9692-2.98%34.76-19.65%0.0501✗1.95385k2022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.5907-2.78%5.9198+60.29%0.5554✗0.451.9M2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.4425-2.69%4.9686+40.44%0.4072✗0.331.6M2022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.1289-2.66%1.724-21.17%0.0713✓1.14169k2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.863489-2.65%0.728-17.93%0.0533✓0.96280k2022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8310,933.34-2.61%8,749.39-22.07%0.0600✓1.336.5M2022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1927.4641-2.58%22.97-18.52%0.0104✓1.3830.5M2022-08-21
FLOWFlownative2.8322.7593-2.57%2.163-23.62%0.0876✓1.27754k2022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1783-2.38%1.0512-12.91%0.0208✓1.1013k2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.3563-2.37%1.0248-26.23%0.1056✓1.436.4M2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.090625-2.35%0.06849-26.20%0.1313✓1.222.2M2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.7604-2.34%8.93-0.45%0.0331✗0.111.8M2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9894-2.31%2.48-18.95%0.0310✓1.27244k2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.065487-2.26%0.0514-23.28%0.1087✓1.09877k2022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.004096-2.25%0.003742-10.69%0.0079✓0.801.0M2022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.0901-2.24%3.6812+16.46%0.2370✗0.511.3M2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.068729-2.23%0.054-23.19%0.1102✓1.07225k2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.136218-2.21%0.108-22.47%0.0958✓1.123.9M2022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.0014-2.19%0.001518+6.05%0.1858✗0.861.5M2022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.5798-2.17%7.08-19.27%0.0567✓1.1119.3M2022-08-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.279302-2.14%0.2119-25.75%0.1539✓1.00108k2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.124785-2.13%0.1006-21.10%0.1077✓0.88220k2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0773.0119-2.12%2.478-19.47%0.0316✓1.3413k2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58811.3431-2.11%10.644-8.15%0.0793✗1.1713.2M2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.522777-2.10%0.47-11.99%0.0164✓1.0014k2022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.079206-2.09%0.0675-16.56%0.0199✓1.151.4M2022-08-21
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.980947-2.09%0.8569-14.47%0.0585✗1.58296k2022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.960639-2.08%0.804-18.04%0.0003✓1.46407k2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.482437-2.07%0.41334-16.10%0.0972✓0.4770k2022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2358.0681-2.03%6.413-22.13%0.1242✓0.868.3M2022-08-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.7439-2.02%3.111-18.58%0.0091✓1.595.3M2022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.9979-1.99%6.35+3.76%0.0989✗0.341.4M2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.160842-1.99%0.1381-15.84%0.0705✓0.674.4M2022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.025075-1.98%0.02191-14.35%0.0317✓0.8413k2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1544.072-1.97%4.479+7.82%0.1354✗0.331.7M2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.052755-1.95%0.046233-14.07%0.0178✓0.9343k2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.1826-1.93%0.96387-20.07%0.0861✓0.9712k2022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.685537-1.93%0.572-18.17%0.0339✓1.20115k2022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3546.2317-1.92%6.594+3.78%0.0691✗0.103.5M2022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.3416-1.90%1.914-19.82%0.0826✓0.97607k2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.188061-1.90%0.16409-14.40%0.1368✗2.236712022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.3809-1.89%2.914-15.44%0.0428✓0.87640k2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000098249-1.89%0.00009038-9.75%0.0411✗1.02336k2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.738829-1.88%0.611-18.86%0.0392✓1.232,7912022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.048491-1.88%0.0402-18.66%0.0881✓0.812,5822022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana44.8944.0469-1.88%36.48-18.73%0.0403✓1.2178.8M2022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum4.19064.1128-1.86%3.4692-17.22%0.0479✓1.0053k2022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.180785-1.85%0.1556-15.53%0.0153✓1.10586k2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.7176-1.85%7.211-18.81%0.0291✓1.3110.0M2022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.5029-1.85%2.38-6.67%0.0634✗0.93636k2022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.397279-1.85%0.37078-8.39%0.0489✗0.96479k2022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.470467-1.84%0.3918-18.26%0.0211✓1.32242k2022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.224201-1.84%0.1768-22.59%0.1040✓1.091,7402022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.369634-1.84%0.32001-15.02%0.0367✓0.88439k2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5618.2197-1.83%14.47-22.04%0.0850✓1.191.6M2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.823667-1.83%0.7-16.57%0.0487✓0.93370k2022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.321-1.83%5.94+9.59%0.1430✗0.272.0M2022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.360808-1.83%0.30199-17.83%0.0447✓1.0913k2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.857-1.80%6.459-19.27%0.0709✓1.025.5M2022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.080232-1.80%0.069279-15.20%0.0211✓1.031.8M2022-08-21
OPTIMOptimism1.441.4143-1.79%1.176-18.33%0.0499✗1.923.7M2022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.2718-1.78%13.18-9.29%0.0707✗1.232.6M2022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4538-1.77%1.21-18.24%0.0251✓1.301.2M2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.475296-1.74%0.3848-20.45%0.0731✓1.13190k2022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.560221-1.73%0.4624-18.89%0.0624✓1.0642.0M2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0774-1.72%0.8737-20.30%0.0607✓1.222.3M2022-08-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.002066-1.70%0.001778-15.41%0.0280✓1.001.0M2022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3686.2604-1.69%5.19-18.50%0.0218✓1.3612.8M2022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.62130.610835-1.68%0.5638-9.25%0.0408✗0.992.4M2022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0461.9832-1.68%50.91-19.24%0.0408✓1.2835k2022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.028771-1.67%0.02263-22.66%0.1177✓1.0014.3M2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.51131-1.65%0.3841-26.12%0.1238✓1.33213k2022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.7619-1.64%2.17-22.72%0.0273✓1.75144k2022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.3191-1.64%1.072-20.06%0.0566✓1.231.1M2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.6171-1.63%10.41-11.85%0.0297✗1.14305k2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.8097-1.62%7.434-16.98%0.0396✓1.0713.7M2022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1024.0356-1.62%5.101+24.35%0.2634✗0.242.2M2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.368068-1.62%0.308829-17.45%0.0436✓1.08916k2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.991809-1.61%0.919-8.83%0.0724✗1.221.3M2022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.6217-1.60%1.7908+8.66%0.2541✗1.27540k2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.9795-1.59%5.04-0.40%0.0608✗0.401.3M2022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.004911-1.59%0.00421-15.63%0.0242✓1.06145k2022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum2.0392.0068-1.58%1.876-7.99%0.0545✗1.00189k2022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0567-1.57%0.85255-20.58%0.0928✓1.00574k2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7226-1.57%1.39-20.57%0.0871✓1.04190k2022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.176.0735-1.56%6.56+6.32%0.1184✗0.341.0M2022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero168.04165.422-1.56%154.56-8.02%0.0537✗0.991.2M2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum30.8430.3606-1.55%27.72-10.12%0.0232✗0.939.8M2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.053262-1.55%0.0473-12.57%0.0025✓0.99237k2022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.294973-1.54%0.2705-9.71%0.0459✗1.08189k2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.8054-1.54%3.174-17.88%0.0954✓0.701.1M2022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.7056-1.52%1.352-21.94%0.0702✓1.33460k2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.49170.484215-1.52%0.395-19.67%0.0654✓1.13808k2022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.268159-1.52%0.2375-12.78%0.0080✓0.93551k2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.019544-1.52%0.023427+18.04%0.2024✗0.17230k2022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.126465-1.51%0.1115-13.16%0.0146✓0.91328k2022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.168424-1.51%0.1393-18.54%0.0667✓1.012.6M2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042156-1.50%0.0377-11.92%0.0123✓1.0176k2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.123763-1.50%0.110977-11.67%0.0017✓0.917.2M2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.075357-1.49%0.0654-14.51%0.0074✓1.22350k2022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.358766-1.49%0.3062-15.93%0.0401✓0.978.3M2022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.084447-1.48%0.09106+6.23%0.1043✗0.241.1M2022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.114874-1.48%0.1011-13.29%0.0002✓1.04499k2022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase20.1419.8429-1.48%16.73-16.93%0.0260✓1.18124k2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.965-1.46%14.1071-12.93%0.0028✓0.9959k2022-08-21
DASHDashDash55.0854.2772-1.46%46.8-15.03%0.0283✓0.98574k2022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.054575-1.45%0.04674-15.60%0.0659✓0.7316k2022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001766-1.44%0.001501-16.24%0.0700✓0.769,0932022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010221-1.44%0.00945-8.87%0.0238✗0.845.6M2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.9112-1.44%1.562-19.44%0.0614✓1.15203k2022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.20819-1.43%0.1759-16.71%0.0056✓1.421,3132022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.145597-1.42%0.1243-15.84%0.0247✓1.0946k2022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.00853-1.39%0.00947+9.48%0.2416✗1.12463k2022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.087077-1.39%0.07522-14.81%0.0082✓1.1329k2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.080032-1.38%0.07057-13.04%0.0317✓0.778802022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.174863-1.37%0.14385-18.87%0.0387✓1.28243k2022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4253-1.36%1.243-13.98%0.0127✓1.022.6M2022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.265652-1.35%0.224-16.82%0.0480✓1.0091k2022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.2812-1.34%1.9484-15.73%0.0261✓1.0838k2022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.736-1.34%2.229-19.62%0.0611✓1.1862k2022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39161.5663-1.32%54.958-11.91%0.0245✓0.73354k2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44106.0387-1.30%85.89-20.06%0.0197✓1.567.1M2022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.07117-1.29%0.0597-17.20%0.0737✓0.83119k2022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7023,900.75-1.28%21,631.30-10.65%0.0186✗0.977,5932022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.342306-1.27%0.2949-14.94%0.0243✓1.023.6M2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,911.52-1.26%1,617.84-16.43%0.0049✓1.32522.8M2022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.0437-1.24%0.927762-12.21%0.0236✓0.7777k2022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.05576-1.23%0.051048-9.57%0.0265✓0.5136k2022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.004030.003981-1.21%0.00326-19.11%0.0682✓1.08517k2022-08-21
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.98e-7-1.21%9.00e-7-10.89%0.0083✓0.785.7M2022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.70168-1.19%0.58884-17.08%0.0123✓1.3349k2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7124,027.07-1.19%21,518.62-11.51%0.0120✓1.00472.7M2022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash73.7172.8424-1.18%64.62-12.33%0.0210✗1.152.3M2022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.222355-1.18%0.187-16.89%0.0246✓1.22657k2022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.9455-1.16%2.76-7.38%0.0010✓0.52102k2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006643-1.15%0.006771+0.76%0.0739✗0.4555k2022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.8017-1.15%1.6327-10.42%0.0400✗1.13467k2022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.252575-1.14%0.2298-10.06%0.0704✗1.35132k2022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.60246-1.14%0.5133-15.77%0.0670✓0.76784k2022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration58.8758.2086-1.12%50.64-13.98%0.0124✓1.04524k2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.439775-1.12%0.37086-16.61%0.0468✓1.01109k2022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.1088-1.11%1.0779-3.86%0.0552✗0.683.9M2022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000045632-1.10%0.00003955-14.28%0.0327✓0.902.1M2022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.692427-1.08%0.636-9.14%0.0729✗1.29137k2022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.258304-1.07%0.2611+0.00%0.0124✗0.0155k2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.169786-1.06%0.1499-12.65%0.0012✓1.03131k2022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.283774-1.06%0.2628-8.37%0.0365✗0.9370k2022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.12945-1.03%0.109-16.67%0.0748✓0.793,9702022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.015519-1.01%0.014659-6.49%0.0221✗0.652.1M2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.031965-1.01%0.0271-16.07%0.0069✓1.292,9912022-08-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.865682-0.95%0.722-17.39%0.0025✓1.464.4M2022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.529353-0.94%0.4286-19.80%0.0725✓1.1359k2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.084631-0.90%0.0696-18.50%0.0866✓0.89130k2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.017465-0.88%0.01736-1.48%0.0807✗0.71155k2022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4869-0.87%1.38-8.00%0.0736✓0.01132k2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.069744-0.86%0.065924-6.29%0.0179✗0.61192k2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.3661-0.84%5.91-7.94%0.0549✗1.061.4M2022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.5634-0.78%9.628-9.56%0.0267✗0.982.0M2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.098729-0.78%0.0898-9.75%0.0317✗1.039,7202022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.046839-0.76%0.0412-12.71%0.0101✓0.9711k2022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2517-0.70%1.0912-13.43%0.0253✓0.9256k2022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.025556-0.68%0.02257-12.28%0.0200✓0.85209k2022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.590768-0.66%0.4896-17.67%0.0505✓1.12365k2022-08-21
GTGateEthereum5.05495.0255-0.58%4.5693-9.61%0.0059✓0.73882k2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.006676-0.56%0.005915-11.89%0.0330✓0.723,2222022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001005-0.47%9.30e-7-7.92%0.0163✗0.7721k2022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1762.8725-0.47%55.68-11.86%0.0066✗1.0513.6M2022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.325494-0.46%0.288-11.93%0.0234✓0.811.1M2022-08-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.928039-0.42%0.876-6.01%0.0064✗0.524.4M2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45138.8867-0.40%119.67-14.18%0.0120✓1.125.1M2022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.810.806798-0.40%0.73-9.88%0.0494✓0.41105k2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.1088-0.36%5.1185-0.17%0.0183✗0.13233k2022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008224-0.32%0.00718-12.97%0.0570✓0.641.6M2022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.