8=======>

2022-08-11 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2429
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.0%
in alpha space · 84.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051950.048292-7.04%0.04449-14.36%0.0482✓1.0519k2022-08-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.48451.3983-5.81%1.396-5.96%0.0313✓1.03907k2022-08-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6113.4314-4.97%3.641+0.83%0.0867✗0.8698k2022-08-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0049510.004725-4.57%0.003748-24.30%0.2028✓0.90994k2022-08-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.42850.412014-3.85%0.3673-14.28%0.0794✓1.1190k2022-08-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.1234.8167-3.61%41.14+13.90%0.2050✗1.191.4M2022-08-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.39.9358-3.54%8.78-14.76%0.0874✓1.13592k2022-08-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1420.4202-3.40%19.39-8.28%0.0290✓0.712.4M2022-08-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative42.0640.6417-3.37%39.6-5.85%0.0181✓1.3815.1M2022-08-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.0780.075385-3.35%0.0683-12.44%0.0588✓1.25350k2022-08-18
OPTIMOptimism1.5581.5077-3.23%1.196-23.23%0.1702✓1.923.4M2022-08-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.30410.29481-3.06%0.2892-4.90%0.0120✓0.9867k2022-08-18
FLOWFlownative2.9712.8805-3.05%2.528-14.91%0.0895✓1.28686k2022-08-18
QNTQuantEthereum124.47120.6817-3.04%108.5-12.83%0.0782✓0.884.1M2022-08-18
METISMetisEthereum44.843.4627-2.99%38-15.18%0.0732✓1.91385k2022-08-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.133.0392-2.90%2.7-13.74%0.0773✓1.28269k2022-08-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.25540.248107-2.86%0.1857-27.29%0.2538✓1.121,7402022-08-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001478-2.83%0.001535+0.95%0.0661✗0.871.4M2022-08-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,294.4410,990.67-2.69%10,215.91-9.55%0.0304✓1.336.2M2022-08-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07490.0729-2.67%0.0544-27.37%0.2565✓1.13877k2022-08-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22551.1934-2.62%1.21-1.27%0.0488✗1.0913k2022-08-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.536619-2.61%0.478-13.25%0.0837✓1.0014k2022-08-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.127184-2.47%0.1138-12.73%0.0839✓0.85209k2022-08-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19490.190202-2.41%0.1565-19.70%0.1592✓1.12570k2022-08-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9240.902147-2.37%0.743-19.59%0.1622✓0.99274k2022-08-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.911.8653-2.34%1.45-24.08%0.2176✓1.07182k2022-08-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.098330.09603-2.34%0.07686-21.83%0.1818✓1.282.0M2022-08-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.5427.8749-2.33%24.19-15.24%0.0968✓1.4030.8M2022-08-18
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.979666-2.30%0.9372-6.53%0.0068✓1.59296k2022-08-18
GITCOINGITCOIN3.13663.0654-2.27%2.6889-14.27%0.0884✓1.3313k2022-08-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3262.2734-2.26%1.771-23.86%0.2129✓1.15177k2022-08-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39723.3206-2.26%4.5519+33.99%0.3307✗0.481.9M2022-08-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0249970.02444-2.23%0.023478-6.08%0.0127✓0.8512k2022-08-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.386890.378286-2.22%0.33395-13.68%0.0955✓0.91439k2022-08-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14250.139338-2.22%0.1149-19.37%0.1546✓1.193.7M2022-08-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.578.3816-2.20%9.82+14.59%0.1636✗0.161.8M2022-08-18
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.005058-2.17%0.00465-10.06%0.0482✓1.12112k2022-08-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.20043.1311-2.17%4.0274+25.84%0.2628✗0.351.5M2022-08-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7690.752407-2.16%0.666-13.39%0.0822✓1.242,7912022-08-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.946267-2.14%0.914-5.48%0.0126✓1.47462k2022-08-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.29290.286641-2.14%0.2303-21.37%0.1868✓1.00138k2022-08-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0443.959-2.10%4.646+14.89%0.1712✗0.351.6M2022-08-18
XEMNEMnative0.0530860.051978-2.09%0.04862-8.41%0.0350✓0.9939k2022-08-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.17061.1462-2.08%1.1-6.03%0.0099✓0.9712k2022-08-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0383.9539-2.08%3.249-19.54%0.1444✓1.625.3M2022-08-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031610.030954-2.07%0.02349-25.69%0.2432✓1.0213.8M2022-08-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.301423-2.07%0.2898-5.85%0.0046✓1.08232k2022-08-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.968.7757-2.06%7.645-14.68%0.1019✓1.1219.3M2022-08-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35951.3318-2.03%1.1146-18.01%0.1317✓1.456.8M2022-08-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08190.080234-2.03%0.0761-7.08%0.0168✓1.131.4M2022-08-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406160.397901-2.03%0.37197-8.42%0.0342✓1.04507k2022-08-18
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9296.7895-2.01%5.771-16.71%0.1185✓1.3712.8M2022-08-18
COMPCompoundEthereum63.1161.841-2.01%56.05-11.19%0.0572✓1.2835k2022-08-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.5285-1.99%2.4-6.98%0.0220✓0.94636k2022-08-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8640.846949-1.97%0.731-15.39%0.1171✓0.94377k2022-08-18
STEEMSteemnative0.26950.264201-1.97%0.2646-1.82%0.0312✗0.93629k2022-08-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.1023,680.89-1.96%23,152.40-4.14%0.0085✓0.9711k2022-08-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.74911.5195-1.95%11.446-2.58%0.0327✗1.2214.7M2022-08-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19520.191395-1.95%0.18133-7.11%0.0178✓2.249582022-08-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.14970.146804-1.93%0.2086+39.35%0.3798✗0.891.1M2022-08-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047930.04701-1.92%0.0449-6.32%0.0192✓0.832,5642022-08-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.5107-1.91%1.3-15.58%0.1089✓1.291.3M2022-08-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2566.1375-1.89%7.441+18.94%0.1980✗0.173.4M2022-08-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000097270.000095434-1.89%0.00009318-4.20%0.0107✓1.08369k2022-08-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6910.677981-1.88%0.621-10.13%0.0483✓1.23100k2022-08-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3478.1914-1.86%7.478-10.41%0.0630✓0.886.0M2022-08-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.615.3097-1.86%14.14-9.36%0.0411✓1.202.6M2022-08-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.85.6924-1.85%6.95+19.83%0.2106✗0.341.2M2022-08-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.367760.360942-1.85%0.34084-7.32%0.0214✓1.1213k2022-08-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1868.0348-1.85%6.869-16.09%0.1235✓1.045.5M2022-08-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6834.5967-1.84%13.257+183.09%1.0666✗0.231.1M2022-08-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053440.052465-1.83%0.05035-5.78%0.0168✓0.7617k2022-08-18
DODODODOEthereum0.17750.174276-1.82%0.1456-17.97%0.1464✓1.042.7M2022-08-18
HIVEHivenative0.63020.618786-1.81%0.5858-7.05%0.0219✓1.032.4M2022-08-18
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9648.8021-1.81%7.574-15.51%0.1082✓1.3110.0M2022-08-18
MOVRMoonriverBase17.087416.7849-1.77%14.4976-15.16%0.1136✓1.0359k2022-08-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3761180.369502-1.76%0.334316-11.11%0.0641✓1.12916k2022-08-18
ELAElastosEthereum2.0892.0526-1.74%2.043-2.20%0.0274✗1.00261k2022-08-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.285.1881-1.74%6.1+15.53%0.1721✗0.322.1M2022-08-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22260.218735-1.74%0.1833-17.65%0.1308✓1.431,3132022-08-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05490.053948-1.73%0.0494-10.02%0.0552✓1.02254k2022-08-18
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7364-1.73%1.471-16.75%0.1231✓1.34416k2022-08-18
API3Api3Ethereum2.1842.1464-1.72%2.113-3.25%0.0159✓0.99588k2022-08-18
ZENHorizenBase21.6321.2603-1.71%17.89-17.29%0.1341✓1.20124k2022-08-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.043158-1.69%0.0388-11.62%0.0730✓1.0476k2022-08-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66431.6363-1.68%1.7628+5.92%0.1159✗1.29619k2022-08-18
DIADIAEthereum0.478140.470124-1.68%0.45212-5.44%0.0230✓0.5070k2022-08-18
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12741.1086-1.67%0.9002-20.15%0.1683✓1.252.3M2022-08-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4518.1439-1.66%16.13-12.57%0.0779✓1.241.4M2022-08-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0914.0234-1.65%3.348-18.16%0.1597✓0.751.3M2022-08-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0051.9719-1.65%1.817-9.38%0.0440✓1.18234k2022-08-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27050.266052-1.64%0.2486-8.10%0.0349✓1.0391k2022-08-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.7212-1.64%5.62+17.08%0.1872✗0.401.3M2022-08-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087460.086029-1.64%0.08299-5.11%0.0285✓0.231.1M2022-08-18
STXStacksnative0.50320.494984-1.63%0.4453-11.51%0.0681✓1.18892k2022-08-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16460.161919-1.63%0.1341-18.53%0.1663✓0.694.4M2022-08-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9110.896352-1.61%0.922+1.21%0.0665✗1.201.0M2022-08-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.811.6107-1.60%11.03-6.53%0.0147✓1.14313k2022-08-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45910.451786-1.59%0.4086-11.00%0.0578✓1.33207k2022-08-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.932.884-1.57%2.85-2.73%0.0047✓0.52102k2022-08-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2019.0569-1.57%8.083-12.15%0.0787✓1.0912.9M2022-08-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.06210.061131-1.56%0.058-6.60%0.0173✓1.10197k2022-08-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.53890.530518-1.56%0.4199-22.08%0.1914✓1.32245k2022-08-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022120.002178-1.56%0.00192-13.20%0.0938✓1.001.1M2022-08-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4580.450886-1.55%0.3993-12.82%0.0845✓1.16174k2022-08-18
SOLSolanaSolana42.842.1439-1.53%39.51-7.69%0.0246✓1.2581.8M2022-08-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.12150.119642-1.53%0.1036-14.73%0.1095✓1.07566k2022-08-18
QTUMQtumQtum4.21494.1508-1.52%3.7671-10.62%0.0644✓1.0253k2022-08-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8492.8058-1.52%2.389-16.15%0.1222✓1.2059k2022-08-18
ADACardanoCardano0.53060.522647-1.50%0.5121-3.49%0.0144✓1.0943.6M2022-08-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.72420.713408-1.49%0.63604-12.17%0.0707✓1.3769k2022-08-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006599-1.49%0.007064+5.46%0.0841✗0.5053k2022-08-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009911-1.48%0.01017+1.09%0.0493✗0.735.6M2022-08-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.178090.175465-1.47%0.15849-11.01%0.0597✓1.31236k2022-08-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.915.8229-1.47%6.85+15.91%0.1739✗0.36894k2022-08-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083320.082095-1.47%0.07494-10.06%0.0664✓0.779772022-08-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8752.8328-1.47%2.408-16.24%0.1064✓1.75143k2022-08-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.145242-1.46%0.1361-7.67%0.0298✓1.1050k2022-08-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1252830.123463-1.45%0.115928-7.47%0.0334✓0.927.2M2022-08-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4561.435-1.44%1.318-9.48%0.0500✓1.092.6M2022-08-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.64870.639395-1.43%0.5397-16.80%0.1412✓0.88755k2022-08-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0343.9762-1.43%4.414+9.42%0.1128✗0.262.3M2022-08-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3241.3051-1.43%1.151-13.07%0.0860✓1.241.1M2022-08-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39382.3596-1.43%2.1323-10.93%0.0664✓1.0938k2022-08-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0571690.056357-1.42%0.053014-7.27%0.0446✓0.5230k2022-08-18
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05271.0377-1.42%0.92322-12.30%0.0826✓1.07558k2022-08-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07180.070785-1.41%0.0629-12.40%0.0924✓0.80137k2022-08-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12630.124516-1.41%0.1192-5.62%0.0157✓0.87370k2022-08-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192550.018987-1.39%0.023053+19.72%0.1987✗0.15223k2022-08-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36130.356283-1.39%0.3336-7.67%0.0342✓0.988.4M2022-08-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.740.729825-1.37%0.642-13.24%0.0855✓1.33137k2022-08-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.93372.8934-1.37%3.88+32.26%0.3102✗0.521.3M2022-08-18
DASHDashDash55.6154.8629-1.34%50.36-9.44%0.0536✓1.00552k2022-08-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.224946-1.34%0.203-10.96%0.0629✓1.24696k2022-08-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.46050.45446-1.31%0.3928-14.70%0.1124✓1.04118k2022-08-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.090403-1.31%0.0738-19.43%0.1751✓0.87130k2022-08-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087080.085943-1.31%0.08792+0.96%0.0586✗1.1229k2022-08-18
ZECZcashZcash79.2678.2381-1.29%70.09-11.57%0.0716✓1.202.4M2022-08-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.257977-1.27%0.2612-0.04%0.0128✗0.0144k2022-08-18
XVGVergenative0.003930.00388-1.27%0.00366-6.87%0.0228✓1.11534k2022-08-18
AAVEAaveEthereum107.55106.1968-1.26%94.86-11.80%0.0627✓1.578.2M2022-08-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017870.017647-1.25%0.01773-0.78%0.0272✗0.70167k2022-08-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.92861.1619-1.24%57.502-7.15%0.0385✓0.72330k2022-08-18
NANOnanopayBase1.08621.0728-1.24%0.990146-8.84%0.0546✓0.8060k2022-08-18
XTZTezosTezos1.90221.8787-1.23%1.7895-5.92%0.0120✓1.14488k2022-08-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.34504-1.22%0.3055-12.54%0.0883✓1.043.6M2022-08-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027180.026849-1.22%0.024-11.70%0.0860✓0.82169k2022-08-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008604-1.21%0.00782-10.22%0.0597✓1.12463k2022-08-18
XECeCashnative0.000046440.00004588-1.21%0.00004285-7.73%0.0412✓0.851.9M2022-08-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.98e-7-1.19%9.60e-7-4.95%0.0141✓0.776.0M2022-08-18
KSMKusamaHydration60.9160.1886-1.18%51.69-15.14%0.1182✓1.06551k2022-08-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1340.132415-1.18%0.1195-10.82%0.0753✓0.854,5542022-08-18
XMRMoneroMonero160.49158.5919-1.18%160.98+0.31%0.0479✗1.031.1M2022-08-18
UMAUMAEthereum3.0212.9857-1.17%3.137+3.84%0.0769✗0.86587k2022-08-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55220.545769-1.16%0.4375-20.77%0.1847✓1.1458k2022-08-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8890.878776-1.15%0.741-16.65%0.1234✓1.474.4M2022-08-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,881.041,859.44-1.15%1,845.90-1.87%0.0348✗1.31509.7M2022-08-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.1271.1142-1.13%1.0066-10.68%0.0790✓0.704.1M2022-08-18
FTTFTXEthereum30.5230.1779-1.12%29.95-1.87%0.0221✗0.9210.8M2022-08-18
PROPropyEthereum0.850.840478-1.12%0.77-9.41%0.0736✓0.4491k2022-08-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04880.048257-1.11%0.0427-12.50%0.0913✓0.9711k2022-08-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012330.000012196-1.08%0.00001348+9.33%0.1312✗0.97827k2022-08-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,944.8623,690.13-1.06%23,189.46-3.15%0.0107✗1.00482.6M2022-08-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031870.031537-1.04%0.0286-10.26%0.0565✓1.291,9722022-08-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159490.015795-0.97%0.0147-7.83%0.0491✓0.712.1M2022-08-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.27e-73.23e-7-0.94%7.18e-7+119.91%0.8184✗0.66153k2022-08-18
XVSVenusEthereum6.616.5491-0.92%6.28-4.99%0.0067✓1.101.5M2022-08-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.17010.168539-0.92%0.1668-1.94%0.0239✗1.07124k2022-08-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017030.001687-0.91%0.0017-0.18%0.0332✗0.819,2532022-08-18
TRXTRONTron0.0703710.069753-0.88%0.067418-4.20%0.0149✓0.60186k2022-08-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09880.097935-0.88%0.0944-4.45%0.0040✓1.029,1182022-08-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5076-0.82%1.44-5.26%0.0439✓0.06150k2022-08-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9930.986232-0.68%0.881-11.28%0.0954✓0.544.2M2022-08-18
KCSKuCoinnative10.51210.4418-0.67%10.11-3.82%0.0001✓1.002.0M2022-08-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0708820.070414-0.66%0.074632+5.29%0.0912✗1.031.7M2022-08-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22970.228218-0.65%0.2341+1.92%0.0695✗1.37110k2022-08-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.25911.2513-0.63%1.1895-5.53%0.0205✓0.9452k2022-08-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3210.319309-0.53%0.296-7.79%0.0490✓0.841.2M2022-08-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001020.000001015-0.52%9.60e-7-5.88%0.0306✓0.7722k2022-08-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066180.006583-0.52%0.006288-4.98%0.0231✓0.713,4592022-08-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59370.590739-0.50%0.5295-10.81%0.0733✓1.13332k2022-08-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008301-0.47%0.00764-8.39%0.0622✓0.651.6M2022-08-18
GTGateEthereum4.93724.9148-0.45%4.8482-1.80%0.0091✗0.71911k2022-08-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.98142.6194-0.25%129.12-9.69%0.0633✓1.135.1M2022-08-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.8961.7643-0.20%60-3.05%0.0046✗1.0513.7M2022-08-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.70784.7093+0.03%5.3268+13.15%0.1273✓0.13367k2022-08-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.