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2022-08-10 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2596
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.3%
in alpha space · 79.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.59%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.74.7104+0.22%5.3011+12.79%0.1214✓0.13367k2022-08-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.6161.5576-0.09%60.52-1.77%0.0106✗1.0513.7M2022-08-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.18141.982-0.14%133.83-5.87%0.0294✓1.135.0M2022-08-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.22511.2202-0.40%1.2119-1.08%0.0182✗0.9552k2022-08-17
GTGateEthereum4.93774.9114-0.53%4.8449-1.88%0.0051✓0.71894k2022-08-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001024-0.58%9.70e-7-5.83%0.0340✓0.7722k2022-08-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066340.006594-0.60%0.00652-1.73%0.0077✗0.733,9632022-08-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008317-0.63%0.00794-5.14%0.0291✓0.661.6M2022-08-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0712440.070791-0.64%0.080115+12.45%0.1509✗1.041.6M2022-08-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23260.231033-0.67%0.241+3.61%0.0786✗1.39107k2022-08-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61340.609218-0.68%0.5401-11.95%0.0908✓1.13318k2022-08-17
PROPropyEthereum0.770.764639-0.70%0.78+1.30%0.0320✗0.4686k2022-08-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060276-0.70%0.0708+16.64%0.1937✗1.25339k2022-08-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5085-0.76%1.4-7.89%0.0727✓0.07159k2022-08-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16520.163909-0.78%0.1769+7.08%0.1046✗1.08115k2022-08-17
XVGVergenative0.003830.0038-0.78%0.00378-1.31%0.0242✗1.12517k2022-08-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.27160.269384-0.82%0.2913+7.25%0.1040✗0.9865k2022-08-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.77910.6896-0.83%10.256-4.85%0.0147✓1.022.0M2022-08-17
TRXTRONTron0.0703070.069656-0.93%0.068126-3.10%0.0063✓0.61192k2022-08-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157660.01562-0.93%0.015184-3.69%0.0098✓0.712.1M2022-08-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.336798-0.94%0.303-10.88%0.0836✓0.851.1M2022-08-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10080.099834-0.96%0.1018+0.99%0.0458✗1.008,4352022-08-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0461.0358-0.97%0.909-13.10%0.1163✓0.554.2M2022-08-17
XVSVenusEthereum6.716.6446-0.97%6-10.58%0.0728✓1.111.5M2022-08-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017570.00174-0.99%0.00168-4.38%0.0135✓0.819,0932022-08-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,962.1823,694.47-1.12%23,341.17-2.59%0.0112✗1.00472.7M2022-08-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,854.121,833.37-1.12%1,834.61-1.05%0.0352✗1.31480.7M2022-08-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001240.000012261-1.12%0.00001476+19.03%0.2114✗0.98864k2022-08-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.048939-1.13%0.0427-13.74%0.1107✓0.9810k2022-08-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13240.13089-1.14%0.1209-8.69%0.0568✓0.864,7012022-08-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032490.032119-1.14%0.0299-7.97%0.0377✓1.291,7322022-08-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54710.540848-1.14%0.4701-14.07%0.1104✓1.1454k2022-08-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.30e-7-1.15%6.87e-7+105.84%0.7514✗0.68150k2022-08-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026610.026302-1.16%0.02486-6.58%0.0347✓0.83159k2022-08-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7342.7021-1.17%3.682+34.67%0.3319✗0.8592k2022-08-17
XTZTezosTezos1.87331.851-1.19%1.8847+0.61%0.0481✗1.15513k2022-08-17
DASHDashDash54.653.9484-1.19%52.87-3.17%0.0062✓1.00552k2022-08-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0060780.006005-1.20%0.00675+11.06%0.1297✗0.4951k2022-08-17
XECeCashnative0.000046430.00004587-1.21%0.00004333-6.68%0.0341✓0.871.9M2022-08-17
FTTFTXEthereum31.3730.9905-1.21%30.11-4.02%0.0045✓0.9310.0M2022-08-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34790.343682-1.21%0.3198-8.08%0.0446✓1.053.5M2022-08-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.25841-1.22%0.2613-0.11%0.0115✓0.0135k2022-08-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.98e-7-1.22%9.60e-7-4.95%0.0181✓0.786.0M2022-08-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.869198-1.23%0.804-8.64%0.0391✓1.484.4M2022-08-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16151.1471-1.24%1.092-5.98%0.0304✓0.714.4M2022-08-17
KSMKusamaHydration62.9262.1344-1.25%54.77-12.95%0.0981✓1.07525k2022-08-17
NANOnanopayBase1.07221.0588-1.25%0.97823-8.76%0.0580✓0.8058k2022-08-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.29261.5115-1.25%59.922-3.80%0.0071✓0.73321k2022-08-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,919.3023,616.78-1.26%23,298.30-2.60%0.0118✓0.9711k2022-08-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.0983.0587-1.27%3.263+5.33%0.0875✗0.87587k2022-08-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.090704-1.30%0.0793-13.71%0.1110✓0.89130k2022-08-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2290.22594-1.34%0.217-5.24%0.0076✓1.25703k2022-08-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95922.9194-1.34%3.0983+4.70%0.0749✗0.591.3M2022-08-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38622.3541-1.35%2.2016-7.74%0.0383✓1.0938k2022-08-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7660.755599-1.36%0.672-12.27%0.0822✓1.34137k2022-08-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021570.002127-1.37%0.001955-9.36%0.0582✓1.001.1M2022-08-17
XMRMoneroMonero167.53165.2039-1.39%168.3+0.46%0.0456✗1.031.2M2022-08-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36440.35934-1.39%0.3408-6.48%0.0270✓0.998.4M2022-08-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0721.0571-1.39%0.96777-9.72%0.0592✓1.10558k2022-08-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26490.261196-1.40%0.2535-4.30%0.0026✓1.0491k2022-08-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087430.086205-1.40%0.0871-0.38%0.0399✗1.1229k2022-08-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.12471-1.42%0.1214-4.03%0.0038✓0.88370k2022-08-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14280.140766-1.42%0.1381-3.29%0.0100✓1.1150k2022-08-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.8848-1.43%6.22+4.19%0.0652✗0.37894k2022-08-17
SOLSolanaSolana42.541.8898-1.44%40.55-4.59%0.0004✓1.2581.8M2022-08-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.464290.457601-1.44%0.40986-11.72%0.0827✓1.05127k2022-08-17
ZECZcashZcash78.777.5657-1.44%74.22-5.69%0.0125✓1.202.2M2022-08-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1259820.124156-1.45%0.121305-3.71%0.0012✓0.937.2M2022-08-17
QTUMQtumQtum4.19474.1339-1.45%4.012-4.36%0.0031✓1.0253k2022-08-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3481.3284-1.46%1.218-9.64%0.0542✓1.241.1M2022-08-17
STEEMSteemnative0.2660.262114-1.46%0.2756+3.61%0.0750✗0.94629k2022-08-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0794.0194-1.46%3.89-4.63%0.0256✓0.272.3M2022-08-17
STXStacksnative0.49790.490591-1.47%0.4567-8.27%0.0406✓1.18892k2022-08-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8562.8141-1.47%2.525-11.59%0.0765✓1.2258k2022-08-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008960.008828-1.47%0.00814-9.15%0.0514✓1.13457k2022-08-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.0752.0444-1.47%2.266+9.20%0.1290✗0.99567k2022-08-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.65740.64771-1.47%0.5653-14.01%0.1124✓0.90755k2022-08-17
AAVEAaveEthereum111.17109.5251-1.48%100.14-9.92%0.0484✓1.578.2M2022-08-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.62031.5962-1.49%1.7066+5.33%0.1012✗1.31619k2022-08-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202750.01997-1.50%0.021964+8.33%0.0995✗0.17215k2022-08-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.4223-1.50%1.36-5.82%0.0158✓1.102.6M2022-08-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.717960.707128-1.51%0.65284-9.07%0.0436✓1.3857k2022-08-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.12190.120056-1.51%0.1091-10.50%0.0673✓1.08566k2022-08-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07390.072768-1.53%0.0662-10.42%0.0733✓0.81143k2022-08-17
ADACardanoCardano0.53760.529321-1.54%0.5386+0.19%0.0461✗1.0942.6M2022-08-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.179750.17698-1.54%0.15873-11.69%0.0741✓1.32227k2022-08-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9282.8828-1.55%2.476-15.44%0.1062✓1.75134k2022-08-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5370.528594-1.57%0.4371-18.60%0.1553✓1.32245k2022-08-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0575080.056603-1.57%0.053519-6.94%0.0423✓0.5230k2022-08-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45530.448-1.60%0.4188-8.02%0.0320✓1.35188k2022-08-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010143-1.62%0.01086+5.33%0.0878✗0.745.5M2022-08-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3690050.363013-1.62%0.348082-5.67%0.0124✓1.13855k2022-08-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.06350.062466-1.63%0.063-0.79%0.0381✗1.13197k2022-08-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5518.2479-1.63%16.88-9.00%0.0452✓1.241.4M2022-08-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.045883-1.64%0.04518-3.15%0.0067✓0.842,4562022-08-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018930.018615-1.66%0.01808-4.49%0.0106✓0.71167k2022-08-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1331.114-1.67%0.9651-14.82%0.1106✓1.252.3M2022-08-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.7893-1.69%1.61-11.54%0.0775✓1.07164k2022-08-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0492.0144-1.69%1.854-9.52%0.0517✓1.19234k2022-08-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089790.088267-1.70%0.0832-7.34%0.0531✓0.231.1M2022-08-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.5299.3671-1.70%8.372-12.14%0.0832✓1.1112.4M2022-08-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.043349-1.70%0.0439-0.45%0.0402✗1.0577k2022-08-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17040.16748-1.71%0.1453-14.73%0.1238✓0.704.2M2022-08-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1611.951-1.72%11.36-6.58%0.0206✓1.15313k2022-08-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.5806-1.75%6.3+10.92%0.1307✗0.361.1M2022-08-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.924.8337-1.75%4.94+0.41%0.0325✗0.411.3M2022-08-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46480.456613-1.76%0.4206-9.51%0.0515✓1.17174k2022-08-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8840.868403-1.76%0.928+4.98%0.0979✗1.20984k2022-08-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052570.051638-1.77%0.05073-3.50%0.0025✓0.7717k2022-08-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.085250.083737-1.78%0.07755-9.03%0.0564✓0.779772022-08-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.053825-1.78%0.0509-7.12%0.0286✓1.04248k2022-08-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.1082.0702-1.79%1.991-5.55%0.0127✓1.00261k2022-08-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3068.1556-1.81%8.193-1.36%0.0278✗0.885.8M2022-08-17
HIVEHivenative0.62610.614658-1.83%0.5961-4.79%0.0035✓1.042.4M2022-08-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.3306-1.83%5.52+1.66%0.0434✗0.322.1M2022-08-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.377990.371067-1.83%0.32972-12.77%0.0941✓0.91405k2022-08-17
DIADIAEthereum0.489510.480507-1.84%0.46051-5.92%0.0290✓0.5170k2022-08-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004850.004761-1.84%0.00468-3.51%0.0125✓1.13102k2022-08-17
BANDBandEthereum1.8491.8149-1.85%1.563-15.47%0.1141✓1.35401k2022-08-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1984.1199-1.86%3.413-18.70%0.1686✓0.751.3M2022-08-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.683786-1.90%0.643-7.75%0.0288✓1.2591k2022-08-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.367670.360623-1.92%0.34491-6.19%0.0147✓1.1413k2022-08-17
ZENHorizenBase21.9321.5072-1.93%19.01-13.32%0.0918✓1.20118k2022-08-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3488.1854-1.95%7.38-11.60%0.0758✓1.065.7M2022-08-17
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.17834-1.96%0.159-12.59%0.0872✓1.052.7M2022-08-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1715.8526-1.96%15.74-2.66%0.0246✗1.212.6M2022-08-17
XEMNEMnative0.0521340.051107-1.97%0.050295-3.53%0.0108✓1.0237k2022-08-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7524.6582-1.97%5.966+25.55%0.2541✗0.251.2M2022-08-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.022.96-1.99%2.92-3.31%0.0000✓0.52110k2022-08-17
MOVRMoonriverBase17.717.3476-1.99%14.8272-16.23%0.1299✓1.0358k2022-08-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.229.0359-2.00%7.961-13.66%0.0920✓1.329.9M2022-08-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5382-2.00%2.37-8.49%0.0437✓0.95636k2022-08-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098560.000096575-2.01%0.0000951-3.51%0.0026✓0.69421k2022-08-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.98611.7439-2.02%11.75-1.97%0.0327✗1.2214.7M2022-08-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.15320.150103-2.02%0.2222+45.04%0.4159✗0.901.1M2022-08-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.1451.1216-2.05%1.1115-2.93%0.0168✓0.9812k2022-08-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.301472-2.06%0.294-4.48%0.0034✓1.08274k2022-08-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.034456-2.06%0.04685+33.17%0.3351✗1.0616k2022-08-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06860.067186-2.06%0.0599-12.68%0.0850✓1.13827k2022-08-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8830.864751-2.07%0.773-12.46%0.0872✓0.95377k2022-08-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197560.193474-2.07%0.1794-9.19%0.0167✓2.241,0642022-08-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.23830.233346-2.08%0.1954-18.00%0.1398✓1.431,3132022-08-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.5471-2.09%1.37-13.29%0.0872✓1.311.2M2022-08-17
COMPCompoundEthereum65.263.8249-2.11%58.31-10.57%0.0564✓1.2935k2022-08-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18610.182173-2.11%0.1697-8.81%0.0415✓1.12553k2022-08-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0463.9603-2.12%4.144+2.42%0.0551✗0.371.6M2022-08-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.416420.407577-2.12%0.38327-7.96%0.0339✓1.05481k2022-08-17
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1166.9637-2.14%6.107-14.18%0.0950✓1.3812.8M2022-08-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02852.9633-2.15%2.9261-3.38%0.0224✗1.3313k2022-08-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38941.3593-2.17%1.1821-14.92%0.1017✓1.456.8M2022-08-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.0628.8635-2.19%8.061-11.05%0.0652✓1.1319.0M2022-08-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21083.1404-2.19%3.4712+8.11%0.1102✗0.381.5M2022-08-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3956.2547-2.19%5.616-12.18%0.1031✓0.173.4M2022-08-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.24720.24175-2.20%0.1975-20.11%0.1726✓1.131,6562022-08-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.080871-2.21%0.0778-5.93%0.0091✓1.131.4M2022-08-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5535-2.25%8.75+0.00%0.0273✗0.171.8M2022-08-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.042.9716-2.25%2.92-3.95%0.0162✓1.28227k2022-08-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39643.3194-2.27%3.8114+12.22%0.1515✗0.511.9M2022-08-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.980.95759-2.29%0.967-1.33%0.0491✗1.50469k2022-08-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97910.956597-2.30%0.9842+0.52%0.0705✗1.60296k2022-08-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032960.032194-2.32%0.02575-21.87%0.1966✓1.0213.8M2022-08-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0242120.023648-2.33%0.023935-1.14%0.0347✗0.8612k2022-08-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1994.1004-2.35%3.505-16.53%0.1143✓1.625.2M2022-08-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.790.771346-2.36%0.654-17.22%0.1321✓1.252,7912022-08-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039610.003867-2.36%0.003936-0.63%0.0415✗0.91994k2022-08-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1828.4801-2.40%25.56-12.41%0.0712✓1.4130.8M2022-08-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14620.142604-2.46%0.1226-16.14%0.1196✓1.203.4M2022-08-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4522.3905-2.51%1.899-22.55%0.1997✓1.16177k2022-08-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18361.1536-2.54%1.2042+1.74%0.0718✗1.1013k2022-08-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5320.518466-2.54%0.515-3.20%0.0197✓1.0113k2022-08-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.104270.101473-2.68%0.08598-17.54%0.1320✓1.281.8M2022-08-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.949569-2.71%0.781-19.98%0.1691✓1.00271k2022-08-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.8337.7148-2.87%40.29+3.76%0.1023✗1.3814.2M2022-08-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,510.6011,173.93-2.92%11,164.62-3.01%0.0341✗1.335.8M2022-08-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13620.1322-2.94%0.0997-26.80%0.2598✓0.85206k2022-08-17
QNTQuantEthereum126.64122.7253-3.09%109.91-13.21%0.0873✓0.874.2M2022-08-17
METISMetisEthereum47.2445.711-3.24%38.79-17.89%0.1143✓1.90362k2022-08-17
FLOWFlownative3.0572.9547-3.35%2.565-16.09%0.1078✓1.28649k2022-08-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.4108-3.50%19.42-8.18%0.0309✓0.722.4M2022-08-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001466-3.59%0.001546+1.66%0.0761✗0.881.4M2022-08-17
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.5123-3.62%1.321-15.81%0.0849✓1.923.3M2022-08-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.6837.1893-3.85%40.09+3.65%0.1066✗1.201.3M2022-08-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49510.474438-4.17%0.3741-24.44%0.2083✓1.1285k2022-08-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6110.1436-4.40%9.4-11.40%0.0464✓1.13562k2022-08-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47091.3751-6.51%1.4107-4.09%0.0528✓1.04907k2022-08-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.