8=======>

2022-08-09 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3835
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 40.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.591993+0.03%0.5677-4.07%0.0754✗1.13318k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.77384.7647-0.19%4.8932+2.50%0.0054✗0.71887k2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.0106-0.22%5.2507+4.56%0.0425✗0.14367k2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.068872-0.23%0.087041+26.09%0.2033✗1.041.6M2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1648-0.34%1.2535+7.24%0.0452✗0.9552k2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.087764-0.38%0.0811-7.95%0.1053✓0.89127k2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1858.9368-0.41%61.33+3.63%0.0085✗1.0513.7M2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008205-0.54%0.00828+0.36%0.0106✓0.661.6M2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001648-0.55%0.001761+6.28%0.0426✗0.808,9342022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6023,075.04-0.58%23,861.50+2.81%0.0047✓0.9712k2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006446-0.61%0.006767+4.35%0.0270✗0.734,4282022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero158.78157.7632-0.64%169.61+6.82%0.0418✗1.031.2M2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.432345-0.67%0.42922-1.39%0.0382✓1.04124k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.428807-0.67%0.4464+3.41%0.0001✓1.35207k2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.097032-0.68%0.1069+9.42%0.0669✗1.017,6272022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.12605-0.75%0.123-3.15%0.0500✓0.864,5002022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.06791-0.81%0.069764+1.90%0.0090✗0.60216k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7133.5614-0.85%136.34+1.22%0.0129✓1.135.0M2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.216389-0.88%0.2113-3.21%0.0661✓1.421,2802022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.153344-0.94%0.1861+20.22%0.1617✗1.07110k2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9697.0289-0.95%109.79+12.08%0.0774✗1.558.2M2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.9167-0.96%3.334+13.21%0.1080✗0.87585k2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.257587-0.97%0.3001+15.38%0.1235✗0.9865k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003680.003644-0.97%0.00401+8.97%0.0623✗1.12517k2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000011932-0.98%0.00001581+31.20%0.2520✗0.99864k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022601-1.00%0.024604+7.78%0.0595✗0.8512k2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.017323-1.01%0.01753+0.17%0.0087✓0.69167k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.24854-1.06%0.2645+5.29%0.0314✗1.0491k2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.135044-1.07%0.1437+5.27%0.0292✗1.1155k2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.3539.9168-1.07%43.09+6.79%0.0393✗1.2579.4M2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.00004340.00004292-1.11%0.00004498+3.64%0.0213✗0.861.9M2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.59e-7-1.11%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0118✓0.776.0M2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03821.0266-1.11%1.4706+41.65%0.3311✗0.95907k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.054669-1.13%0.054802-0.89%0.0129✓0.5229k2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.044132-1.14%0.04681+4.86%0.0340✗0.842,3482022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.351034-1.14%0.35527+0.05%0.0218✓1.1413k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.5356-1.15%30.67+2.64%0.0102✓0.929.4M2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.798631-1.16%0.818+1.24%0.0038✓0.93377k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.8036-1.17%3.1212+10.03%0.0900✗0.581.2M2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003316-1.20%0.004101+22.20%0.1866✗0.87988k2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.5085-1.20%3.876+52.66%0.4101✗0.8486k2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71958.9746-1.25%61.168+2.43%0.0150✗0.72321k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004454-1.25%0.00476+5.54%0.0332✗1.1299k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.050121-1.28%0.05205+2.52%0.0149✗0.7717k2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0243-1.28%1.0226-1.45%0.0255✓0.8056k2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009742-1.30%0.01154+16.92%0.1475✗0.745.3M2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.058127-1.31%0.0734+24.62%0.1960✗1.25339k2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006099-1.32%0.006937+12.23%0.1139✗0.5050k2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5097-1.33%1.47-3.92%0.0289✓0.07173k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.048647-1.34%0.051969+5.40%0.0359✗1.0137k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.3948-1.34%10.39-1.39%0.0308✓1.021.9M2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.8568-1.34%3.3012+14.01%0.1049✗1.3313k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.247422-1.35%0.27+7.66%0.0594✗0.94681k2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.046859-1.35%0.0445-6.32%0.0807✓0.9810k2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.171421-1.38%0.16955-2.46%0.0504✓1.32216k2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.070217-1.38%0.0688-3.37%0.0444✓0.81151k2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0181.0037-1.41%0.967-5.01%0.0534✓0.543.7M2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.215877-1.43%0.244+11.42%0.0853✗1.25716k2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.798408-1.43%0.959+18.40%0.1480✗1.18968k2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.120295-1.43%0.12178-0.22%0.0154✓0.937.1M2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059038-1.44%0.0696+16.19%0.1312✗1.12185k2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.323228-1.45%0.316-3.66%0.0477✓0.841.1M2022-08-16
DASHDashDash52.9752.1994-1.45%52.46-0.96%0.0249✓1.00552k2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.705559-1.46%0.7-2.23%0.0475✓1.33137k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2722,820.06-1.46%23,857.93+3.02%0.0147✓1.00455.4M2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.340138-1.47%0.3526+2.14%0.0068✓0.988.4M2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.222776-1.47%0.2556+13.05%0.0960✗1.3997k2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.6251-1.48%20.12+1.00%0.0105✓1.19118k2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.47442-1.48%0.47192-2.00%0.0206✓0.5268k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.323705-1.49%0.3392+3.23%0.0158✗1.043.5M2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.443098-1.51%0.4559+1.33%0.0064✓1.17165k2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.47780.470506-1.53%0.4762-0.33%0.0230✓1.18892k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.9531-1.53%4.0127-0.04%0.0154✓1.0257k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.24e-7-1.53%7.44e-7+125.94%0.8103✗0.68150k2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.0884-1.53%1.1561+4.59%0.0311✗0.9812k2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.343546-1.53%0.35342+1.30%0.0015✓0.90396k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.654942-1.54%0.69252+4.11%0.0148✓1.3857k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.015104-1.55%0.015966+4.07%0.0345✗0.712.1M2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.127-1.57%1.1875+3.71%0.0196✗1.1013k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.55e-7-1.59%0.000001+3.09%0.0248✗0.7322k2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.084609-1.60%0.09121+6.08%0.0415✗1.1329k2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2589-1.60%2.2701-1.11%0.0276✓1.0938k2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.025898-1.60%0.02539-3.53%0.0445✓0.83159k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.111062-1.63%0.1138+0.80%0.0075✓1.07566k2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.7547-1.63%6.14+4.96%0.0538✗0.37894k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.5008-1.64%1.635+7.16%0.0469✗1.30698k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042097-1.64%0.0426-0.47%0.0194✓1.0577k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.2978-1.68%2.016-13.74%0.1653✓1.16172k2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.367-1.68%8.89+4.47%0.0556✗0.171.8M2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.737-1.70%1.675-5.21%0.0764✓1.35383k2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.052886-1.70%0.0539+0.19%0.0121✓1.04248k2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.031023-1.70%0.05113+62.01%0.4687✗1.0414k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.121104-1.70%0.1265+2.68%0.0174✗0.88370k2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019811-1.74%0.025638+27.17%0.2529✗0.17215k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration60.2659.2098-1.74%56.07-6.95%0.0862✓1.07489k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.8582-1.75%4.19+6.70%0.0715✗0.371.6M2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.166707-1.76%0.1798+5.95%0.0427✗1.11548k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.079654-1.78%0.0784-3.33%0.0495✓1.131.4M2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,672.68-1.80%1,876.57+10.17%0.0762✗1.30453.9M2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.337941-1.81%0.362039+5.19%0.0356✗1.12875k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3402-1.82%1.425+4.40%0.0287✗1.102.5M2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.507641-1.83%0.5047-2.40%0.0394✓1.1350k2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.6787-1.83%1.75+2.34%0.0099✓1.06140k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.137038-1.84%0.1301-6.81%0.0876✓1.203.1M2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9238-1.85%2.409+22.91%0.1955✗0.99588k2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.7224-1.86%15.0779-11.51%0.1342✓1.0358k2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash79.8178.3217-1.86%75.95-4.84%0.0671✓1.222.0M2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.6921-1.89%2.752+0.29%0.0142✓1.2254k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2694-1.90%1.271-1.78%0.0356✓1.241.1M2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.7711-1.92%1.8887+4.60%0.0302✗1.15530k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.256271-1.92%0.2612-0.04%0.0187✓0.0135k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38911.1682-1.94%11.396+0.06%0.0162✓1.2214.4M2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.0857-1.96%1.0221-7.70%0.0978✓1.262.0M2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.502928-1.96%0.5571+8.60%0.0698✗1.0940.5M2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.5763-1.98%8.453-3.39%0.0482✓1.1318.6M2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.764397-2.00%0.81+3.85%0.0440✗0.4783k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.06291-2.01%0.0642+0.00%0.0132✓1.13827k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.167947-2.01%0.1676-2.22%0.0331✓1.042.8M2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.656437-2.02%0.672+0.30%0.0137✓1.2591k2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01980.998883-2.05%1.0299+0.99%0.0022✓1.10543k2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5720.1488-2.05%20.32-1.22%0.0129✓0.722.6M2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0801-2.05%1.1489+4.19%0.0407✗0.714.4M2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.1225-2.09%12.36+8.80%0.0716✗1.14306k2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.2612-2.11%8.346-1.10%0.0288✓1.319.9M2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.60670.593804-2.13%0.6115+0.79%0.0015✓1.042.4M2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.3921-2.14%6.29+14.16%0.1435✗0.361.1M2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.265.1469-2.15%5.44+3.42%0.0458✗0.322.1M2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.609907-2.16%0.5897-5.41%0.0604✓0.90755k2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.928336-2.18%1.072+12.96%0.0992✗1.50469k2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000094659-2.19%0.0000971+0.33%0.0070✓0.62421k2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.3986-2.20%1.41-1.40%0.0303✓1.291.2M2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031087-2.21%0.03136-1.35%0.0299✓1.301,7322022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06592.9979-2.22%3.514+14.62%0.1476✗0.381.4M2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.230765-2.22%0.207-12.29%0.1421✓1.121,5612022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2457.9257-2.22%61.09+3.12%0.0152✓1.2835k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.031436-2.22%0.02789-13.25%0.1503✓1.0313.9M2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2638-2.23%1.2853-0.56%0.0259✓1.446.8M2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.087437-2.26%0.08578-4.11%0.0261✓0.231.1M2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.172468-2.28%0.1546-12.41%0.1306✓0.713.9M2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.6403-2.29%2.651-1.89%0.0478✓1.74131k2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.2863-2.30%3.62-17.48%0.1919✓0.771.1M2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.395724-2.30%0.40858+0.87%0.0006✓1.05481k2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.00209-2.34%0.00202-5.61%0.0638✓1.001.2M2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008506-2.34%0.00854-1.95%0.0298✓1.14457k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.931576-2.35%0.84-11.95%0.1334✓1.01263k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.984-2.36%1.924-5.31%0.0664✓1.20234k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.6906-2.37%8.839-0.71%0.0158✓1.1011.8M2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.7054-2.38%4.95+2.70%0.0385✗0.411.3M2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.3539-2.40%5.96-8.45%0.0973✓1.121.4M2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.142182-2.41%0.2097+43.93%0.3620✗0.891.1M2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.4535-2.42%5.889+29.03%0.2720✗0.251.1M2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.7995-2.46%2.94+2.44%0.0340✗0.50110k2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.8493-2.49%6.197-11.77%0.1416✓1.3911.9M2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.6293-2.50%7.773-0.66%0.0126✓1.055.9M2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9112-2.54%4.038+0.62%0.0238✓0.272.2M2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4326.7205-2.59%27.11-1.17%0.0273✓1.4030.7M2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.833466-2.63%0.87+1.64%0.0014✓1.494.4M2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.185847-2.66%0.1883-1.37%0.0541✓2.261,0642022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5817.1127-2.66%17.95+2.10%0.0108✓1.241.4M2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.742712-2.66%0.71-6.95%0.0825✓1.262,7022022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum42.6541.5149-2.66%38.9-8.79%0.1209✓1.88328k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.505145-2.67%0.545+5.01%0.0459✗1.0113k2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.1539-2.67%15-3.66%0.0462✓1.212.6M2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.080288-2.68%0.08258+0.10%0.0051✓0.779072022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.8105-2.75%3.26+12.80%0.1101✗1.28227k2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5558-2.82%2.36-10.27%0.1083✓0.96726k2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.704-2.83%3.68-3.46%0.0545✓1.615.2M2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.925809-2.86%0.967+1.46%0.0043✓1.61296k2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.2662-3.02%6.018-6.86%0.0458✓0.183.4M2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum125.81121.9622-3.06%116.11-7.71%0.0755✓0.884.2M2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0353-3.13%2.061-1.90%0.0180✓1.03261k2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.791-3.15%8.426+4.75%0.0521✗0.885.7M2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.294083-3.20%0.3019-0.63%0.0061✓1.09294k2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.319.9791-3.21%10.19-1.16%0.0129✓1.14482k2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.129275-3.24%0.1024-23.35%0.2584✓0.85203k2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.1726-3.32%3.7239+13.48%0.1452✗0.501.8M2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001429-3.39%0.001587+7.27%0.0785✗0.881.3M2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.498715-3.41%0.4749-8.02%0.0886✓1.33245k2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.9972.8892-3.60%2.685-10.41%0.1117✓1.29587k2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,760.79-3.82%11,010.19-1.59%0.0169✓1.345.4M2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.098867-3.87%0.08996-12.53%0.1328✓1.291.6M2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.426656-4.19%0.3985-10.51%0.1009✓1.1080k2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.5501-4.20%1.454-10.14%0.1222✓1.953.1M2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.434.6553-4.79%39.88+9.56%0.0994✗1.3813.5M2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3537.4536-4.82%40.61+3.20%0.0447✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.