8=======>

2022-08-09 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2831
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 41.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3537.3418-5.10%40.61+3.20%0.0477✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001413-4.49%0.001587+7.27%0.0899✗0.881.3M2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.319.8842-4.13%10.19-1.16%0.0034✓1.14482k2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.5564-3.81%1.454-10.14%0.1262✓1.953.1M2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.42879-3.71%0.3985-10.51%0.1059✓1.1080k2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.9972.8894-3.59%2.685-10.41%0.1118✓1.29587k2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5719.8483-3.51%20.32-1.22%0.0021✓0.722.6M2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.129056-3.40%0.1024-23.35%0.2568✓0.85203k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.923227-3.23%0.84-11.95%0.1244✓1.01263k2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum125.81121.9174-3.09%116.11-7.71%0.0751✓0.884.2M2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.09979-2.98%0.08996-12.53%0.1421✓1.291.6M2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.2708-2.94%6.018-6.86%0.0466✓0.183.4M2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum42.6541.4401-2.84%38.9-8.79%0.1191✓1.88328k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.078832-2.80%0.0784-3.33%0.0392✓1.131.4M2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,879.06-2.76%11,010.19-1.59%0.0278✓1.345.4M2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.1148-2.65%1.1875+3.71%0.0305✗1.1013k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.505374-2.63%0.545+5.01%0.0454✗1.0113k2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.743079-2.61%0.71-6.95%0.0830✓1.262,7022022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.165293-2.60%0.1798+5.95%0.0512✗1.11548k2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.2765-2.52%3.62-17.48%0.1896✓0.771.1M2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.031347-2.50%0.02789-13.25%0.1474✓1.0313.9M2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.925588-2.47%1.072+12.96%0.1022✗1.50469k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.2794-2.47%2.016-13.74%0.1573✓1.16172k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.230182-2.47%0.207-12.29%0.1396✓1.121,5612022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.435.5068-2.45%39.88+9.56%0.0752✗1.3813.5M2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03821.0128-2.45%1.4706+41.65%0.3447✗0.95907k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.8203-2.41%3.26+12.80%0.1067✗1.28227k2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5669-2.40%2.36-10.27%0.1127✓0.96726k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.136292-2.37%0.1301-6.81%0.0822✓1.203.1M2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.080547-2.37%0.08258+0.10%0.0019✓0.779072022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.395467-2.36%0.40858+0.87%0.0013✓1.05481k2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.186421-2.36%0.1883-1.37%0.0572✓2.261,0642022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.83-2.26%3.3012+14.01%0.1143✗1.3313k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022313-2.26%0.024604+7.78%0.0723✗0.8512k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.5523-2.26%8.453-3.39%0.0454✓1.1318.6M2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.8404-2.20%4.19+6.70%0.0761✗0.371.6M2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.3224-2.20%8.89+4.47%0.0609✗0.171.8M2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.2098-2.19%3.7239+13.48%0.1335✗0.501.8M2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.932279-2.18%0.967+1.46%0.0113✓1.61296k2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000094692-2.16%0.0000971+0.33%0.0066✓0.62421k2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.8734-2.14%6.197-11.77%0.1451✓1.3911.9M2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.049684-2.14%0.05205+2.52%0.0237✗0.7717k2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4326.8434-2.14%27.11-1.17%0.0319✓1.4030.7M2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.6746-2.14%15.0779-11.51%0.1313✓1.0358k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.29731-2.14%0.3019-0.63%0.0171✓1.09294k2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06593.0006-2.13%3.514+14.62%0.1467✗0.381.4M2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.213711-2.10%0.2113-3.21%0.0536✓1.421,2802022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.471571-2.07%0.47192-2.00%0.0146✓0.5268k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.172854-2.07%0.1546-12.41%0.1329✓0.713.9M2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.0827-2.05%1.1561+4.59%0.0364✗0.9812k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.062899-2.03%0.0642+0.00%0.0130✓1.13827k2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0584-2.03%2.061-1.90%0.0293✓1.03261k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.048311-2.02%0.051969+5.40%0.0428✗1.0137k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.8122-2.01%2.94+2.44%0.0295✗0.50110k2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.4737-1.98%5.889+29.03%0.2675✗0.251.1M2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2458.0837-1.95%61.09+3.12%0.0124✓1.2835k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38911.1683-1.94%11.396+0.06%0.0162✓1.2214.4M2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.34824-1.93%0.35527+0.05%0.0139✓1.1413k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.1681-1.93%0.1676-2.22%0.0341✓1.042.8M2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.142896-1.92%0.2097+43.93%0.3569✗0.891.1M2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.052776-1.90%0.0539+0.19%0.0100✓1.04248k2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.60670.595279-1.88%0.6115+0.79%0.0040✓1.042.4M2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.65755-1.86%0.672+0.30%0.0154✓1.2591k2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash79.8178.3361-1.85%75.95-4.84%0.0673✓1.222.0M2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.6818-1.83%7.773-0.66%0.0195✓1.055.9M2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.286-1.82%15-3.66%0.0549✓1.212.6M2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.054286-1.82%0.054802-0.89%0.0059✓0.5229k2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.793288-1.82%0.818+1.24%0.0029✓0.93377k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042029-1.80%0.0426-0.47%0.0178✓1.0577k2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.441825-1.79%0.4559+1.33%0.0035✓1.17165k2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.7336-1.79%4.95+2.70%0.0325✗0.411.3M2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7355-1.78%1.675-5.21%0.0755✓1.35383k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.265.1666-1.78%5.44+3.42%0.0420✗0.322.1M2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.087883-1.76%0.08578-4.11%0.0312✓0.231.1M2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009697-1.76%0.01154+16.92%0.1521✗0.745.3M2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.4133-1.76%6.29+14.16%0.1395✗0.361.1M2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.9032-1.75%8.426+4.75%0.0378✗0.885.7M2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.504082-1.74%0.5571+8.60%0.0675✗1.0940.5M2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.058861-1.73%0.0696+16.19%0.1342✗1.12185k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.9968-1.73%1.924-5.31%0.0728✓1.20234k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.65376-1.72%0.69252+4.11%0.0166✓1.3857k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.0884-1.72%1.0221-7.70%0.1003✓1.262.0M2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003298-1.72%0.004101+22.20%0.1918✗0.87988k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.7502-1.71%8.839-0.71%0.0227✓1.1011.8M2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.5836-1.69%20.12+1.00%0.0084✓1.19118k2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.6813-1.68%1.75+2.34%0.0084✓1.06140k2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.12001-1.67%0.12178-0.22%0.0131✓0.937.1M2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.1708-1.67%12.36+8.80%0.0673✗1.14306k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3424-1.66%1.425+4.40%0.0270✗1.102.5M2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019827-1.65%0.025638+27.17%0.2520✗0.17215k2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.025889-1.64%0.02539-3.53%0.0442✓0.83159k2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.00608-1.63%0.006937+12.23%0.1170✗0.5050k2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4067-1.63%1.41-1.40%0.0361✓1.291.2M2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71958.7536-1.62%61.168+2.43%0.0188✗0.72321k2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.7504-1.62%3.68-3.46%0.0670✓1.615.2M2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9285-1.61%2.409+22.91%0.1930✗0.99588k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.424778-1.60%0.4464+3.41%0.0096✓1.35207k2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9487-1.60%4.038+0.62%0.0142✓0.272.2M2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.3042-1.60%8.346-1.10%0.0340✓1.319.9M2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.070066-1.59%0.0688-3.37%0.0423✓0.81151k2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.134327-1.59%0.1437+5.27%0.0345✗1.1155k2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.171064-1.59%0.16955-2.46%0.0483✓1.32216k2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0212-1.58%1.0226-1.45%0.0224✓0.8056k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.215547-1.58%0.244+11.42%0.0868✗1.25716k2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.043942-1.56%0.04681+4.86%0.0383✗0.842,3482022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.7011-1.56%2.752+0.29%0.0175✓1.2254k2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.428486-1.55%0.42922-1.39%0.0292✓1.04124k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.338878-1.54%0.362039+5.19%0.0328✗1.12875k2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.343541-1.54%0.35342+1.30%0.0015✓0.90396k2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2727-1.54%1.2853-0.56%0.0330✓1.446.8M2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.2573-1.53%0.2612-0.04%0.0147✓0.0135k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.247369-1.52%0.2645+5.29%0.0362✗1.0491k2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6022,857.89-1.52%23,861.50+2.81%0.0141✓0.9712k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.111199-1.51%0.1138+0.80%0.0088✓1.07566k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration60.2659.3551-1.50%56.07-6.95%0.0887✓1.07489k2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.084691-1.50%0.09121+6.08%0.0405✗1.1329k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.121372-1.48%0.1265+2.68%0.0152✗0.88370k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.5033-1.48%1.635+7.16%0.0453✗1.30698k2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5817.324-1.46%17.95+2.10%0.0015✓1.241.4M2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031328-1.45%0.03136-1.35%0.0376✓1.301,7322022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.508797-1.45%0.4749-8.02%0.1086✓1.33245k2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.34022-1.44%0.3526+2.14%0.0065✓0.988.4M2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.47780.47091-1.44%0.4762-0.33%0.0239✓1.18892k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.247184-1.44%0.27+7.66%0.0604✗0.94681k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004446-1.42%0.00476+5.54%0.0350✗1.1299k2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.798473-1.42%0.959+18.40%0.1479✗1.18968k2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.843839-1.42%0.87+1.64%0.0138✓1.494.4M2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2632-1.41%2.2701-1.11%0.0295✓1.0938k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.25e-7-1.40%7.44e-7+125.94%0.8090✗0.68150k2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01981.0055-1.40%1.0299+0.99%0.0088✓1.10543k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.7971-1.40%3.1212+10.03%0.0923✗0.581.2M2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.7683-1.40%6.14+4.96%0.0514✗0.37894k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.614704-1.39%0.5897-5.41%0.0682✓0.90755k2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.706063-1.39%0.7-2.23%0.0482✓1.33137k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2761-1.38%1.271-1.78%0.0409✓1.241.1M2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.046844-1.38%0.0445-6.32%0.0804✓0.9810k2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.086888-1.38%0.0811-7.95%0.0953✓0.89127k2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.031135-1.35%0.05113+62.01%0.4651✗1.0414k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.9607-1.34%4.0127-0.04%0.0173✓1.0257k2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.769615-1.33%0.81+3.85%0.0372✗0.4783k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash52.9752.2659-1.33%52.46-0.96%0.0262✓1.00552k2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002112-1.32%0.00202-5.61%0.0742✓1.001.2M2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.9067-1.30%3.334+13.21%0.1114✗0.87585k2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.5062-1.29%3.876+52.66%0.4110✗0.8486k2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.3539.8312-1.29%43.09+6.79%0.0415✗1.2579.4M2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero158.78156.7419-1.28%169.61+6.82%0.0483✗1.031.2M2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008599-1.28%0.00854-1.95%0.0407✓1.14457k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.668-1.26%2.651-1.89%0.0582✓1.74131k2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.0000119-1.25%0.00001581+31.20%0.2548✗0.99864k2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5111-1.24%1.47-3.92%0.0298✓0.07173k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.7834-1.24%1.8887+4.60%0.0233✗1.15530k2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.58e-7-1.24%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0105✓0.776.0M2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.125478-1.20%0.123-3.15%0.0455✓0.864,5002022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0896-1.19%1.1489+4.19%0.0319✗0.714.4M2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.51096-1.19%0.5047-2.40%0.0460✓1.1350k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2722,884.00-1.18%23,857.93+3.02%0.0119✓1.00455.4M2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.096551-1.18%0.1069+9.42%0.0719✗1.017,6272022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.06766-1.18%0.069764+1.90%0.0126✗0.60216k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000042893-1.17%0.00004498+3.64%0.0219✗0.861.9M2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.324817-1.15%0.3392+3.23%0.0123✗1.043.5M2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.017302-1.13%0.01753+0.17%0.0075✓0.69167k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.5438-1.13%30.67+2.64%0.0099✓0.929.4M2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0181.0071-1.07%0.967-5.01%0.0568✓0.543.7M2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.324654-1.02%0.316-3.66%0.0521✓0.841.1M2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.00164-1.02%0.001761+6.28%0.0473✗0.808,9342022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008167-1.00%0.00828+0.36%0.0060✓0.661.6M2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.058317-0.99%0.0734+24.62%0.1927✗1.25339k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.4338-0.97%10.39-1.39%0.0345✓1.021.9M2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006423-0.96%0.006767+4.35%0.0305✗0.734,4282022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.257689-0.93%0.3001+15.38%0.1232✗0.9865k2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9697.0617-0.92%109.79+12.08%0.0771✗1.558.2M2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.451-0.91%5.96-8.45%0.1125✓1.121.4M2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.015204-0.89%0.015966+4.07%0.0279✗0.712.1M2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.153459-0.87%0.1861+20.22%0.1609✗1.07110k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.62e-7-0.81%0.000001+3.09%0.0169✗0.7322k2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.224405-0.75%0.2556+13.05%0.0887✗1.3997k2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.068525-0.73%0.087041+26.09%0.2083✗1.041.6M2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,691.19-0.71%1,876.57+10.17%0.0652✗1.30453.9M2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.77384.7401-0.71%4.8932+2.50%0.0106✗0.71887k2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.587729-0.69%0.5677-4.07%0.0682✓1.13318k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003680.003655-0.68%0.00401+8.97%0.0593✗1.12517k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1641-0.41%1.2535+7.24%0.0458✗0.9552k2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.0046-0.34%5.2507+4.56%0.0437✗0.14367k2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1859.1612-0.03%61.33+3.63%0.0047✗1.0513.7M2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7134.863+0.12%136.34+1.22%0.0226✗1.135.0M2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.