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2022-08-08 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3286
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.1%
in alpha space · 61.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.84.8122+0.25%5.3846+12.18%0.1104✓0.17300k2022-08-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.54143.4676-0.05%137.34-4.32%0.0574✓1.174.8M2022-08-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.6162.5665-0.07%60.69-3.07%0.0434✓1.1013.6M2022-08-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.23041.2259-0.37%1.2755+3.67%0.0275✗1.0447k2022-08-15
GTGateEthereum4.90554.8821-0.48%4.9822+1.56%0.0113✗0.76887k2022-08-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0700560.069696-0.51%0.076696+9.48%0.0825✗1.121.6M2022-08-15
XVGVergenative0.003770.003748-0.58%0.00403+6.90%0.0576✗1.26517k2022-08-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60880.605155-0.60%0.5804-4.66%0.0554✓1.16303k2022-08-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.227045-0.64%0.2573+12.60%0.1075✗1.5089k2022-08-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.93e-7-0.67%0.000001+0.00%0.0018✓0.7224k2022-08-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060234-0.77%0.0707+16.47%0.1437✗1.40331k2022-08-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.1630.161702-0.80%0.1994+22.33%0.1958✗1.17104k2022-08-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008298-0.86%0.00821-1.91%0.0196✓0.761.6M2022-08-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067160.006658-0.86%0.006763+0.70%0.0064✓0.784,5222022-08-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5365-0.87%1.47-5.16%0.0473✓0.26186k2022-08-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.76710.6723-0.88%10.526-2.24%0.0266✓1.081.9M2022-08-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,777.361,761.63-0.89%1,899.39+6.87%0.0598✗1.32427.7M2022-08-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.331070.327895-0.96%0.35764+8.03%0.0751✗0.99383k2022-08-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017640.001747-0.97%0.001789+1.42%0.0125✗0.968,8902022-08-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.335586-1.01%0.324-4.42%0.0470✓1.011.1M2022-08-15
TRXTRONTron0.0700470.069326-1.03%0.068965-1.54%0.0123✓0.60279k2022-08-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.27330.270457-1.04%0.2853+4.39%0.0409✗1.0765k2022-08-15
AAVEAaveEthereum102.58101.5066-1.05%107.14+4.45%0.0349✗1.629.1M2022-08-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0161310.01596-1.06%0.016006-0.77%0.0068✓0.822.1M2022-08-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017630.01744-1.08%0.01742-1.19%0.0101✓0.76172k2022-08-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7740.765545-1.09%0.99+27.91%0.2422✗1.26963k2022-08-15
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.79e-7-1.10%9.90e-7+0.00%0.0013✓0.836.0M2022-08-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6262.597-1.11%3.896+48.36%0.3950✗0.9092k2022-08-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,815.6523,551.58-1.11%24,097.82+1.18%0.0112✗1.00427.9M2022-08-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.00001215-1.14%0.00001525+24.08%0.2143✗1.10898k2022-08-15
FTTFTXEthereum31.4931.1271-1.15%30.85-2.03%0.0200✓0.949.1M2022-08-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34740.343288-1.18%0.3448-0.75%0.0090✓1.143.6M2022-08-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7670.757874-1.19%0.72-6.13%0.0683✓1.44135k2022-08-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0841.071-1.20%0.947-12.64%0.1299✓0.582.7M2022-08-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.0523.0153-1.20%3.305+8.29%0.0797✗1.02587k2022-08-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429960.42476-1.21%0.44286+3.00%0.0285✗1.12124k2022-08-15
XTZTezosTezos1.8941.871-1.22%1.8279-3.49%0.0373✓1.19536k2022-08-15
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045331-1.22%0.00004601+0.26%0.0024✓1.061.8M2022-08-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0189740.018742-1.22%0.020413+7.58%0.0821✗0.28194k2022-08-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99752.9594-1.27%3.0966+3.31%0.0353✗0.851.2M2022-08-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16621.1513-1.28%1.1419-2.08%0.0176✓0.804.1M2022-08-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13170.130017-1.28%0.129-2.05%0.0203✓1.064,2082022-08-15
SOLSolanaSolana42.241.6607-1.28%43.72+3.60%0.0325✗1.3479.4M2022-08-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08960.088437-1.30%0.0835-6.81%0.0705✓1.11126k2022-08-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.257992-1.30%0.2613-0.04%0.0126✓0.0132k2022-08-15
NANOnanopayBase1.08431.0701-1.31%1.0171-6.20%0.0613✓0.8956k2022-08-15
KSMKusamaHydration64.663.7472-1.32%57.71-10.67%0.1129✓1.14462k2022-08-15
DASHDashDash56.2255.4765-1.32%53.17-5.43%0.0552✓1.08552k2022-08-15
ZENHorizenBase19.1518.8965-1.32%20.11+5.01%0.0470✗1.29118k2022-08-15
PROPropyEthereum0.790.779421-1.34%0.82+3.80%0.0439✗0.5983k2022-08-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36290.357999-1.35%0.3578-1.41%0.0132✓1.078.3M2022-08-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.08551.0707-1.36%1.0534-2.96%0.0310✓1.24543k2022-08-15
XMRMoneroMonero167.1164.8233-1.36%163.5-2.15%0.0206✓1.061.1M2022-08-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.3852.3524-1.37%2.3338-2.15%0.0215✓1.1638k2022-08-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.31761.4542-1.38%61.418-1.44%0.0098✓0.78321k2022-08-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.230.226788-1.40%0.226-1.74%0.0200✓1.40703k2022-08-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05170.050976-1.40%0.045-12.96%0.1393✓1.2410k2022-08-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.32e-7-1.40%7.43e-7+120.53%0.7953✗0.82146k2022-08-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.9553-1.40%6.12+1.32%0.0204✗0.59887k2022-08-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00630.006211-1.41%0.006721+6.68%0.0724✗0.5549k2022-08-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8980.885219-1.42%0.87-3.12%0.0373✓1.704.3M2022-08-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.16564.1062-1.43%4.042-2.97%0.0283✓1.0757k2022-08-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11990.118162-1.45%0.1148-4.25%0.0428✓1.18566k2022-08-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10380.102287-1.46%0.1007-2.99%0.0291✓1.146,7662022-08-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3511.3312-1.47%1.311-2.96%0.0298✓1.241.1M2022-08-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12670.124835-1.47%0.1261-0.47%0.0016✓0.99370k2022-08-15
STEEMSteemnative0.26240.258532-1.47%0.2752+4.88%0.0495✗1.10701k2022-08-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002240.002207-1.48%0.002105-6.03%0.0590✓1.001.3M2022-08-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.175850.173237-1.49%0.1756-0.14%0.0042✓1.51217k2022-08-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8892.846-1.49%2.725-5.68%0.0646✓1.80131k2022-08-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.0620.061076-1.49%0.067+8.06%0.0769✗1.33185k2022-08-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004740.004669-1.50%0.00488+2.95%0.0295✗1.25102k2022-08-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60871.5844-1.51%1.6772+4.26%0.0403✗1.41619k2022-08-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.698950.688157-1.54%0.71526+2.33%0.0214✗1.4669k2022-08-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3631040.357487-1.55%0.371538+2.32%0.0243✗1.21987k2022-08-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085570.084246-1.55%0.0886+3.54%0.0354✗1.2829k2022-08-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2769.1312-1.56%8.787-5.27%0.0523✓1.1711.6M2022-08-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6718.378-1.56%18.18-2.62%0.0263✓1.311.4M2022-08-15
XVSVenusEthereum6.926.8118-1.56%6.3-8.96%0.0930✓1.261.4M2022-08-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66570.655251-1.57%0.5965-10.40%0.1066✓1.07726k2022-08-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009110.008967-1.57%0.0085-6.70%0.0676✓1.20450k2022-08-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011920.001173-1.58%0.001637+37.31%0.3190✗1.191.3M2022-08-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.164756-1.58%0.1569-6.27%0.0588✓0.843.6M2022-08-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,846.6023,468.31-1.59%23,840.30-0.03%0.0042✓0.9812k2022-08-15
ZECZcashZcash77.5376.293-1.60%73.84-4.76%0.0474✓1.251.9M2022-08-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03320.03267-1.60%0.04885+47.14%0.3886✗1.1614k2022-08-15
STXStacksnative0.50850.500373-1.60%0.4859-4.44%0.0436✓1.21892k2022-08-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.993.9262-1.60%3.69-7.52%0.0719✓0.83976k2022-08-15
ADACardanoCardano0.53720.528566-1.61%0.5501+2.40%0.0264✗1.1540.5M2022-08-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086290.084901-1.61%0.08417-2.46%0.0119✓0.271.1M2022-08-15
FISStafiEthereum0.37330.367291-1.61%0.4936+32.23%0.2849✗0.911602022-08-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7211.531-1.61%11.94+1.88%0.0206✗1.21279k2022-08-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1301560.128038-1.63%0.123528-5.09%0.0473✓0.977.0M2022-08-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26240.258122-1.63%0.2726+3.89%0.0410✗1.1597k2022-08-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1254.0574-1.64%3.991-3.25%0.0222✓0.481.9M2022-08-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034330.003376-1.66%0.004238+23.45%0.2158✗0.98994k2022-08-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.57960.569943-1.67%0.5236-9.66%0.0979✓1.1148k2022-08-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.045868-1.68%0.04763+2.10%0.0268✗0.922,4562022-08-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4381.4139-1.68%1.47+2.23%0.0246✗1.222.5M2022-08-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5610.551383-1.71%0.4992-11.02%0.1146✓1.29232k2022-08-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8175-1.76%1.72-7.03%0.0700✓1.26130k2022-08-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14470.142158-1.76%0.1474+1.87%0.0221✗1.2059k2022-08-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.1412.1028-1.78%2.455+14.67%0.1416✗1.12595k2022-08-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.715.6081-1.78%6.38+11.73%0.1229✗0.511.1M2022-08-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46590.457586-1.78%0.4503-3.35%0.0340✓1.53207k2022-08-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.92.8482-1.79%2.73-5.86%0.0586✓1.3850k2022-08-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010440.010253-1.79%0.01073+2.78%0.0346✗0.925.3M2022-08-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07370.072375-1.80%0.0692-6.11%0.0561✓0.95158k2022-08-15
XYMSymbolnative0.057250.056218-1.80%0.055866-2.42%0.0131✓0.5827k2022-08-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0582.0209-1.80%1.893-8.02%0.0817✓1.38234k2022-08-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8350.819904-1.81%0.819-1.92%0.0120✓0.92377k2022-08-15
HIVEHivenative0.60640.595434-1.81%0.6251+3.08%0.0355✗1.122.1M2022-08-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033330.032711-1.86%0.03112-6.63%0.0651✓1.301,3552022-08-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.683995-1.87%0.681-2.30%0.0202✓1.3491k2022-08-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05430.053283-1.87%0.0544+0.18%0.0064✓1.22254k2022-08-15
BANDBandEthereum1.8751.8398-1.88%1.711-8.75%0.0891✓1.40371k2022-08-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.062.0211-1.89%2.01-2.43%0.0180✓1.06238k2022-08-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.924-1.91%4.97-1.00%0.0023✓0.601.3M2022-08-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.21331.19-1.92%1.0393-14.34%0.1515✓1.371.8M2022-08-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.369410.362238-1.94%0.36134-2.18%0.0172✓1.2513k2022-08-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5297-1.94%1.44-7.69%0.0768✓1.391.2M2022-08-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22820.223756-1.95%0.2114-7.36%0.0735✓1.421,2762022-08-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6078.4385-1.96%8.649+0.49%0.0104✓1.2117.7M2022-08-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7918.6188-1.96%8.475-3.59%0.0330✓1.379.9M2022-08-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47040.461147-1.97%0.4715+0.23%0.0071✓1.28165k2022-08-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.31260.306438-1.97%0.2975-4.83%0.0425✓1.10300k2022-08-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04540.044504-1.97%0.0425-6.39%0.0596✓1.1477k2022-08-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.625.508-1.99%5.44-3.20%0.0187✓0.532.1M2022-08-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7074.6119-2.02%5.456+15.91%0.1628✗0.451.2M2022-08-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2598.0915-2.03%7.794-5.63%0.0514✓1.186.5M2022-08-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.15260.149505-2.03%0.1968+28.96%0.2631✗1.001.1M2022-08-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.738.5527-2.03%8.417-3.59%0.0275✓0.985.1M2022-08-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.81711.5763-2.04%11.408-3.46%0.0299✓1.3014.4M2022-08-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.7416.3934-2.07%15.12-9.68%0.0969✓1.362.6M2022-08-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0680.066592-2.07%0.0659-3.09%0.0250✓1.24803k2022-08-15
DODODODOEthereum0.18040.176649-2.08%0.168-6.87%0.0641✓1.183.1M2022-08-15
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0160.7156-2.09%62.03+0.03%0.0056✓1.3435k2022-08-15
DIADIAEthereum0.482930.472754-2.11%0.47474-1.70%0.0039✓0.6968k2022-08-15
XEMNEMnative0.0524760.051365-2.12%0.053067+1.13%0.0199✓1.0837k2022-08-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.9227.3272-2.12%27.9-0.07%0.0026✓1.5430.5M2022-08-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0235790.023068-2.17%0.025193+6.85%0.0769✗0.9512k2022-08-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0954.0053-2.19%3.694-9.79%0.1008✓1.695.2M2022-08-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.052.9831-2.19%2.96-2.95%0.0136✓0.49110k2022-08-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.16481.1392-2.19%1.184+1.66%0.0259✗1.0712k2022-08-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.043.9506-2.21%4.131+2.25%0.0379✗0.581.6M2022-08-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099290.000097058-2.25%0.00009691-2.40%0.0242✓1.93421k2022-08-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21153.139-2.26%3.4246+6.64%0.0795✗0.641.2M2022-08-15
APEApeCoinEthereum7.3147.1463-2.29%6.215-15.03%0.1581✓1.5711.9M2022-08-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8940.873398-2.30%0.857-4.14%0.0327✓1.17253k2022-08-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42811.3951-2.31%1.3341-6.58%0.0626✓1.516.4M2022-08-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.422030.412211-2.33%0.41114-2.58%0.0175✓1.27488k2022-08-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.6343-2.33%8.78-0.68%0.0127✓0.341.8M2022-08-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98750.964515-2.33%1.0012+1.39%0.0171✓1.72296k2022-08-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0315.8893-2.35%6.023-0.13%0.0176✓0.413.0M2022-08-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00822.937-2.37%3.3016+9.75%0.0997✗1.4713k2022-08-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47733.395-2.37%3.6239+4.22%0.0565✗0.741.7M2022-08-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.022.9471-2.41%3.32+9.93%0.1024✗1.42234k2022-08-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196530.191775-2.42%0.18875-3.96%0.0426✓2.271,0642022-08-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9440.921014-2.43%1.053+11.55%0.1149✗1.61462k2022-08-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.742.6703-2.54%2.46-10.22%0.0952✓1.12636k2022-08-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.06621.0389-2.56%1.4669+37.58%0.3322✗1.08907k2022-08-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17590.171383-2.57%0.1799+2.27%0.0350✗1.15529k2022-08-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0290.028226-2.67%0.02686-7.38%0.0609✓0.96159k2022-08-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.0637.037-2.69%41.97+10.27%0.1083✗1.4213.5M2022-08-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.17391.1418-2.73%1.2127+3.31%0.0470✗1.1313k2022-08-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4982.4289-2.76%2.119-15.17%0.1521✓1.32169k2022-08-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08260.080314-2.77%0.0788-4.60%0.0325✓1.151.4M2022-08-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052690.051208-2.81%0.05379+2.09%0.0391✗0.8617k2022-08-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5530.537112-2.87%0.519-6.15%0.0475✓1.1213k2022-08-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14910.144795-2.89%0.1342-9.99%0.0923✓1.393.0M2022-08-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035130.03409-2.96%0.02883-17.93%0.1830✓1.3013.9M2022-08-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,448.8111,104.08-3.01%11,093.56-3.10%0.0173✓1.395.3M2022-08-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.0429.1322-3.02%40+33.16%0.3003✗1.421.2M2022-08-15
MOVRMoonriverBase19.466618.876-3.03%15.8559-18.55%0.1874✓1.1153k2022-08-15
METISMetisEthereum45.6344.2415-3.04%40.9-10.37%0.1003✓1.85304k2022-08-15
QNTQuantEthereum128.79124.6384-3.22%113.47-11.90%0.1047✓0.924.5M2022-08-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.089650.086618-3.38%0.08413-6.16%0.0381✓0.768502022-08-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.199.8391-3.44%9.92-2.65%0.0077✓1.35436k2022-08-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8410.811701-3.48%0.718-14.63%0.1394✓1.422,7022022-08-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.26770.258289-3.52%0.2205-17.63%0.1731✓1.261,5612022-08-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.8421.0357-3.68%20.58-5.77%0.0308✓0.752.6M2022-08-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.112720.108164-4.04%0.09505-15.68%0.1467✓1.481.4M2022-08-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.51110.488178-4.48%0.4009-21.56%0.2106✓1.1680k2022-08-15
FLOWFlownative3.0232.8871-4.50%2.71-10.35%0.0786✓1.30540k2022-08-15
OPTIMOptimism1.8991.8133-4.51%1.569-17.38%0.1674✓1.933.1M2022-08-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15450.145078-6.10%0.1145-25.89%0.2466✓0.84184k2022-08-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.