8=======>

2022-08-07 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2857
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.4%
in alpha space · 37.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.92%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.037804-6.82%0.02573-36.58%0.4338✓1.02159k2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.4846-5.04%6.354-6.96%0.0411✓0.432.7M2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.102055-4.86%0.09281-13.48%0.1660✓1.481.2M2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.8236-4.62%1.44-24.69%0.3297✓1.953.1M2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.451031-3.89%0.4118-12.25%0.1454✓1.1380k2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1921.3724-3.68%21.24-4.28%0.0425✓0.762.6M2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.6686-3.60%10.26+2.29%0.0051✓1.34385k2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.105173-3.51%0.1275+16.97%0.1557✗0.77163k2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum126.46122.2297-3.35%118.61-6.21%0.0742✓0.924.5M2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4831.4407-3.20%39.27+20.91%0.1518✗1.471.1M2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.247022-3.17%0.2284-10.47%0.1391✓1.271,5612022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297317.7349-3.07%16.2019-11.45%0.1434✓1.1053k2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5411,090.93-3.04%11,226.83-1.85%0.0554✓1.415.2M2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum44.2242.8875-3.01%43.26-2.17%0.0812✓1.87293k2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.077023-2.99%0.0809+1.89%0.0053✓1.131.3M2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.033334-2.99%0.02926-14.84%0.1934✓1.3113.9M2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.534775-2.94%0.534-3.09%0.0549✓1.1114k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative2.6242.5495-2.84%2.832+7.93%0.0442✗1.27505k2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.170867-2.81%0.1842+4.78%0.0194✓1.16529k2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.0815-2.78%1.207+8.50%0.0568✗1.1013k2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04391.0158-2.69%1.4588+39.75%0.3097✗1.09933k2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.1247-2.67%2.039-6.60%0.0949✓1.12225k2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.789356-2.67%0.753-7.15%0.1142✓1.402,7022022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9787-2.66%3.06+0.00%0.0417✓1.43234k2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.3075-2.64%2.187-7.72%0.1160✓1.30160k2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.190883-2.60%0.1917-2.18%0.1055✓2.291,0642022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05572.9773-2.56%3.077+0.70%0.0380✓1.4813k2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7136.7458-2.56%41.57+10.24%0.0547✗1.4313.0M2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.90736-2.54%0.981+5.37%0.0007✓1.61462k2022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.022911-2.47%0.025582+8.90%0.0647✗0.9512k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.959-2.44%4.154+2.37%0.0203✓0.581.6M2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.7222-2.44%8.97+0.34%0.0114✓0.351.8M2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.840.819541-2.44%0.81-3.57%0.0395✓0.5878k2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.468905-2.43%0.4837+0.65%0.0311✓1.30155k2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1377-2.40%1.2058+3.45%0.0063✓1.0812k2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.052493-2.39%0.05538+2.98%0.0120✓0.8616k2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.3907-2.39%3.6932+6.32%0.0500✗0.741.7M2022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000097209-2.36%0.00010014+0.58%0.0561✓1.79466k2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.417213-2.34%0.40475-5.25%0.0917✓1.28507k2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.1434-2.33%3.5378+9.93%0.0876✗0.641.2M2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.464283-2.31%0.49265+3.66%0.0271✗0.6770k2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.966384-2.24%1.0019+1.36%0.0469✓1.73296k2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.5956-2.23%8.235-6.34%0.0902✓0.994.0M2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.838889-2.23%0.887+3.38%0.0005✓1.17246k2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.071876-2.21%0.0721-1.90%0.0419✓0.94158k2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2087.0489-2.21%6.368-11.65%0.1782✓1.6011.9M2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.177907-2.20%0.171-5.99%0.0970✓1.203.3M2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.0518-2.19%2.98-4.49%0.0479✓0.50116k2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.05043-2.18%0.053806+4.37%0.0127✓1.0937k2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.5273-2.17%5.42-4.07%0.0449✓0.532.1M2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.3009-2.15%28.19+1.04%0.0426✓1.5529.2M2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8562.4809-2.14%63.04-1.27%0.0569✓1.3738k2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.148107-2.11%0.1811+19.70%0.1525✗1.011.1M2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.5882-2.07%5.932+26.62%0.2362✗0.431.2M2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.301679-2.05%0.2996-2.73%0.0595✓1.10300k2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3737-2.05%1.3892-0.94%0.0615✓1.526.4M2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8816.535-2.04%14.53-13.92%0.1948✓1.372.6M2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2498.0805-2.04%8.001-3.01%0.0674✓1.206.8M2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.078072-2.03%0.08115+1.83%0.0036✓0.738502022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.9971-2.03%3.821-6.35%0.1262✓1.695.2M2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.053303-2.02%0.0541-0.55%0.0429✓1.20256k2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37411.146-2.00%11.588+1.88%0.0238✓1.3113.7M2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9687-2.00%5.06-0.20%0.0110✓0.611.3M2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.6555-1.98%6.12+6.07%0.0544✗0.51964k2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.59910.587319-1.97%0.6213+3.71%0.0024✓1.122.1M2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.7744-1.97%1.75-3.31%0.0742✓1.26132k2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.351154-1.95%0.36752+2.62%0.0144✓1.2513k2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.6125-1.95%8.882+1.12%0.0353✓1.389.9M2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4316-1.95%2.55+2.82%0.0041✓1.08507k2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.04324-1.95%0.0428-2.95%0.0656✓1.1577k2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.063058-1.93%0.067+4.20%0.0009✓1.24799k2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.348.1794-1.93%8.77+5.16%0.0114✓1.2116.7M2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1474.0673-1.92%4.102-1.09%0.0142✓0.471.9M2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum2.0892.0492-1.91%2.387+14.27%0.0987✗1.12606k2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.45722-1.88%0.4793+2.85%0.0261✓1.53207k2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.010263-1.88%0.01037-0.86%0.0339✓0.925.1M2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.7754-1.85%1.732-4.26%0.0918✓1.40371k2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.577792-1.85%0.5344-9.22%0.1321✓1.1346k2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.669552-1.83%0.699+2.49%0.0216✓1.3590k2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.675893-1.82%0.71015+3.16%0.0211✓1.4769k2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.03242-1.82%0.04879+47.76%0.3524✗1.1814k2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.553399-1.81%0.5199-7.75%0.1256✓1.32232k2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001171-1.81%0.001432+20.01%0.1440✗1.181.3M2022-08-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.044987-1.80%0.04942+7.88%0.0497✗0.922,3482022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.134935-1.79%0.1477+7.50%0.0327✗1.2061k2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3996-1.78%1.445+1.40%0.0266✓1.222.5M2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4736-1.76%1.48-1.33%0.0622✓1.391.2M2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003363-1.75%0.00419+22.41%0.1740✗0.961.0M2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.792912-1.75%0.839+3.97%0.0124✓0.92380k2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.1188-1.74%1.0962-3.73%0.0858✓1.361.7M2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.210858-1.74%0.2112-1.58%0.0662✓1.411,1742022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.5364-1.73%11.81+0.60%0.0345✓1.21263k2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,713.96-1.72%24,209.70+4.76%0.0167✓0.9812k2022-08-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002246-1.71%0.002102-8.01%0.1142✓1.001.2M2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.054113-1.71%0.056453+2.54%0.0139✓0.5926k2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.255065-1.71%0.2723+4.93%0.0131✓1.09766k2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.126121-1.70%0.1393+8.57%0.0342✗1.362.9M2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.652649-1.69%0.6094-8.21%0.1202✓1.08726k2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.9641-1.69%1.939-2.95%0.0789✓1.38234k2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.518875-1.67%0.5701+8.03%0.0388✗1.1539.5M2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.174419-1.65%0.1773-0.03%0.0568✓1.53207k2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.255229-1.65%0.2693+3.78%0.0018✓1.1698k2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.117241-1.64%0.1166-2.18%0.0630✓1.20529k2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.752-1.64%2.773-0.89%0.0587✓1.3848k2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87860.862-1.64%62.391+0.83%0.0132✓0.79306k2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.9461-1.64%3.865-3.66%0.0613✓0.85976k2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.2944-1.64%2.3122-0.87%0.0482✓1.1738k2022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.384136-1.60%0.4905+25.64%0.1994✗0.941492022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.37e-7-1.60%4.26e-7+24.32%0.1914✗0.88150k2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004635-1.60%0.00499+5.94%0.0136✓1.26102k2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.083966-1.59%0.08572+0.47%0.0077✓0.271.1M2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.019559-1.58%0.019846-0.14%0.0003✓0.30173k2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.082536-1.58%0.0883+5.29%0.0049✓1.3129k2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.008919-1.55%0.00865-4.53%0.0890✓1.22421k2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.349004-1.54%0.374117+5.54%0.0116✓1.211.0M2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.49070.483151-1.54%0.4917+0.20%0.0406✓1.21808k2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.124456-1.54%0.1284+1.58%0.0169✓1.00398k2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4918.206-1.54%18.56+0.38%0.0432✓1.301.4M2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.9479-1.52%6.17+2.15%0.0085✓0.59887k2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.257435-1.52%0.2611-0.11%0.0135✓0.0131k2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.427232-1.51%0.44475+2.52%0.0144✓1.14124k2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.221642-1.49%0.225+0.00%0.0530✓1.42703k2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.087982-1.48%0.0854-4.37%0.0833✓1.12124k2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.5516-1.47%1.6481+4.65%0.0067✓1.40619k2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase19.1718.8879-1.47%20.14+5.06%0.0019✓1.30118k2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.050452-1.46%0.0472-7.81%0.1266✓1.2510k2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.0948-1.46%0.932-16.11%0.1898✓0.602.1M2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006239-1.46%0.00672+6.14%0.0499✗0.5148k2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.2998-1.46%1.341+1.67%0.0283✓1.241.1M2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.122096-1.43%0.125646+1.43%0.0181✓0.977.0M2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.059734-1.43%0.0703+16.01%0.0988✗1.34179k2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.85868-1.41%0.874+0.34%0.0640✓1.704.3M2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.156578-1.40%0.1641+3.34%0.0067✓0.843.6M2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0405-1.37%1.0568+0.18%0.0270✓0.8951k2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.9478-1.36%3.1608+5.77%0.0293✗0.841.2M2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.103287-1.35%0.0995-4.97%0.0919✓1.145,6912022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration65.4264.542-1.34%58.87-10.01%0.1467✓1.14419k2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.127667-1.34%0.1308+1.08%0.0261✓1.054,5002022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8627-1.34%1.8226-3.46%0.0794✓1.20530k2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.0332.9926-1.33%3.446+13.62%0.0919✗1.02585k2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0456-1.32%1.0735+1.32%0.0335✓1.25532k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.351216-1.32%0.3642+2.33%0.0150✓1.078.2M2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.031304-1.31%0.03229+1.80%0.0310✓1.291,3502022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.09194.0383-1.31%4.1906+2.41%0.0148✓1.0853k2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.1511-1.31%1.1212-3.87%0.0652✓0.814.1M2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.267594-1.29%0.2868+5.79%0.0179✗1.0765k2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.756-1.29%2.808+0.57%0.0665✓1.78126k2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.5453-1.29%8.955+3.44%0.0094✓1.1711.0M2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000044739-1.28%0.00004614+1.81%0.0207✓1.081.8M2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017655-1.26%0.01762-1.45%0.0392✓0.78175k2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5505-1.24%1.5-4.46%0.0445✓0.24207k2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero164.87162.8619-1.22%168.04+1.92%0.0188✓1.041.1M2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.33503-1.17%0.327-3.54%0.0729✓1.011.1M2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.339107-1.16%0.3467+1.05%0.0322✓1.133.6M2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011881-1.15%0.00001688+40.43%0.2969✗1.13926k2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.4299-1.14%3.944+60.46%0.4417✗0.8992k2022-08-14
DASHDashDash53.3552.7476-1.13%55.08+3.24%0.0085✓1.08552k2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.068876-1.12%0.070349+0.99%0.0083✓0.61279k2022-08-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.00171-1.11%0.001792+3.64%0.0012✓0.958,9342022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.7653-1.09%6.42-6.14%0.1131✓1.271.4M2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash70.2669.4941-1.09%73.71+4.91%0.0001✓1.231.8M2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana40.6240.1859-1.07%44.89+10.51%0.0460✗1.3579.4M2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.743092-1.05%1.008+34.22%0.2443✗1.26963k2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.751089-1.04%0.7-7.77%0.1397✓1.44135k2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.3508-1.04%30.84+0.55%0.0297✓0.959.1M2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015787-1.04%0.015677-1.72%0.0469✓0.832.1M2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.00641-1.00%0.006713+3.68%0.0086✓0.784,5222022-08-14
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.60e-7-0.99%0.00000101+4.12%0.0105✗0.836.0M2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.059933-0.94%0.0765+26.45%0.1761✗1.42339k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum101.31100.3672-0.93%107.44+6.05%0.0101✓1.639.9M2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008293-0.93%0.00825-1.43%0.0415✓0.761.6M2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.71e-7-0.90%0.00000101+3.06%0.0047✓0.7225k2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3922,973.43-0.88%24,316.71+4.92%0.0088✓1.00414.2M2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.5087-0.88%10.646+0.42%0.0391✓1.091.9M2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.237123-0.87%0.2555+6.81%0.0022✓1.5189k2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.160459-0.83%0.1716+6.06%0.0113✗1.16102k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003740.003716-0.65%0.00403+7.75%0.0203✗1.27534k2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,690.27-0.60%1,935.85+13.85%0.0724✗1.32407.7M2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.2101-0.50%1.2606+3.64%0.0083✓1.0243k2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.068617-0.50%0.0817+18.47%0.1202✗1.131.6M2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.315388-0.49%0.37655+18.80%0.1292✗1.00366k2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum4.76024.7436-0.35%5.0549+6.19%0.0269✗0.76887k2022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.590746-0.33%0.5947+0.34%0.0489✓1.16303k2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.8968-0.05%5.1274+4.66%0.0375✗0.18234k2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1261.1108-0.02%63.17+3.35%0.0201✓1.1113.5M2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98141.3155+0.24%139.45-1.09%0.0698✗1.184.7M2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.