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2022-08-05 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2422
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.4%
in alpha space · 23.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.69%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ELAElastosEthereum3.0732.8531-7.16%2.075-32.48%0.3636✓0.99206k2022-08-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6310.0061-5.87%10.7+0.66%0.0025✓1.41338k2022-08-12
OPTIMOptimism1.9461.8395-5.47%1.651-15.16%0.1976✓1.952.9M2022-08-12
FLOWFlownative2.7322.601-4.79%2.945+7.80%0.0663✗1.26456k2022-08-12
METISMetisEthereum47.6545.6687-4.16%49.07+2.98%0.0104✓1.79277k2022-08-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43790.420376-4.00%0.4449+1.60%0.0022✓1.1979k2022-08-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,281.3011,803.10-3.89%11,508.57-6.29%0.0916✓1.454.7M2022-08-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3520.5559-3.72%21.15-0.94%0.0098✓0.832.4M2022-08-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.5931.3988-3.66%39.38+20.83%0.1634✗1.381.1M2022-08-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.59660.575334-3.56%0.5574-6.57%0.0830✓1.1246k2022-08-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.570.55072-3.38%0.554-2.81%0.0464✓1.1416k2022-08-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05691.0243-3.09%1.2293+16.31%0.1346✗1.0413k2022-08-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.036280.035188-3.01%0.03262-10.09%0.1416✓1.4313.9M2022-08-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2737.1294-2.98%43.41+13.43%0.0915✗1.4112.8M2022-08-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196020.190255-2.94%0.19851+1.27%0.0629✓2.301,1512022-08-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.07481.044-2.87%1.4259+32.67%0.2593✗1.141.0M2022-08-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17870.173637-2.83%0.196+9.68%0.0638✗1.25529k2022-08-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230380.022389-2.82%0.025466+10.54%0.0846✗0.9612k2022-08-12
GITCOINGITCOIN3.14253.0567-2.73%3.2354+2.96%0.0141✓1.5513k2022-08-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.15321.1218-2.73%1.2318+6.81%0.0430✗1.1012k2022-08-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8240.801845-2.69%0.792-3.88%0.0789✓1.452,9182022-08-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.9390.914426-2.62%0.983+4.69%0.0085✓1.76476k2022-08-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3332.2723-2.60%2.341+0.34%0.0338✓1.39169k2022-08-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.173.088-2.59%3.25+2.52%0.0180✓1.51234k2022-08-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100970.000098453-2.49%0.00009809-2.85%0.0984✓2.07498k2022-08-12
DIADIAEthereum0.478650.4671-2.41%0.48246+0.80%0.0028✓0.7770k2022-08-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.3769-2.41%3.4443-0.46%0.0206✓0.881.5M2022-08-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.23060.22506-2.40%0.2434+5.55%0.0183✓1.311,5612022-08-12
QNTQuantEthereum107.26104.6841-2.40%128.24+19.56%0.1577✗0.994.2M2022-08-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23793.1623-2.34%3.3109+2.25%0.0111✓0.761.2M2022-08-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.98.6947-2.31%8.86-0.45%0.0035✓0.491.8M2022-08-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051010.049843-2.29%0.05396+5.78%0.0387✗0.8915k2022-08-12
XEMNEMnative0.0528150.051608-2.29%0.055699+5.46%0.0213✓1.2035k2022-08-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98690.964632-2.26%1.0248+3.84%0.0169✓1.69281k2022-08-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9463.8573-2.25%4.151+5.20%0.0414✗0.701.5M2022-08-12
DODODODOEthereum0.18440.180283-2.23%0.1809-1.90%0.0528✓1.233.4M2022-08-12
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5737.4049-2.22%7.035-7.10%0.1301✓1.7211.9M2022-08-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.36770.359714-2.17%0.37096+0.89%0.0285✓1.2913k2022-08-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04510.044131-2.15%0.0445-1.33%0.0480✓1.2377k2022-08-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427950.418767-2.15%0.42697-0.23%0.0436✓1.37545k2022-08-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2216.8566-2.11%16.03-6.91%0.1151✓1.412.6M2022-08-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.695.5703-2.10%5.53-2.81%0.0352✓0.611.5M2022-08-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.724.622-2.08%4.875+3.28%0.0276✗0.561.4M2022-08-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0311.7807-2.07%12.4+3.08%0.0044✓1.21290k2022-08-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22010.215557-2.06%0.2224+1.04%0.0337✓1.421,2802022-08-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.9174-2.04%5.08+1.20%0.0003✓0.701.3M2022-08-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.30540.299173-2.04%0.3094+1.31%0.0174✓1.11300k2022-08-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4588-2.04%2.59+3.19%0.0029✓1.07507k2022-08-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05590.054767-2.03%0.0569+1.79%0.0204✓1.28284k2022-08-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.44171.4128-2.00%1.4231-1.29%0.0616✓1.506.4M2022-08-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3828.2156-1.98%8.394+0.14%0.0345✓1.227.0M2022-08-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.083360.081717-1.97%0.10047+20.53%0.1387✗1.481.0M2022-08-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4380.429425-1.96%0.476+8.68%0.0426✗1.32147k2022-08-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0613.9817-1.95%4.15+2.19%0.0385✓1.745.1M2022-08-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8480.831501-1.95%0.938+10.61%0.0649✗1.21233k2022-08-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1083-1.95%3-5.36%0.0584✓0.50116k2022-08-12
API3Api3Ethereum2.1952.1523-1.94%2.426+10.52%0.0621✗1.26619k2022-08-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06740.066106-1.92%0.0733+8.75%0.0442✗1.29803k2022-08-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.14590.143104-1.92%0.164+12.41%0.0870✗1.08986k2022-08-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.5925-1.89%6.32+10.88%0.0951✗0.59878k2022-08-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045330.044478-1.88%0.04953+9.27%0.0645✗0.942,0262022-08-12
HIVEHivenative0.59080.579779-1.87%0.6348+7.45%0.0367✗1.182.1M2022-08-12
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9728.805-1.86%9.21+2.65%0.0184✓1.389.9M2022-08-12
COMPCompoundEthereum61.3160.1693-1.86%65.12+6.21%0.0149✓1.4035k2022-08-12
IMXImmutableEthereum1.18641.1643-1.86%1.1467-3.35%0.0780✓1.371.4M2022-08-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033580.032959-1.85%0.04843+44.22%0.3284✗1.2314k2022-08-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3418.1868-1.85%8.751+4.92%0.0189✗1.042.9M2022-08-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56940.559072-1.81%0.5531-2.86%0.0715✓1.33245k2022-08-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8330.817901-1.81%0.88+5.64%0.0264✗1.02389k2022-08-12
BANDBandEthereum1.8311.7978-1.81%1.801-1.64%0.0637✓1.43354k2022-08-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.450399-1.81%0.4764+3.86%0.0117✓1.48263k2022-08-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7080.695319-1.79%0.7-1.13%0.0571✓1.3990k2022-08-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1544.08-1.78%4.17+0.39%0.0174✓0.85976k2022-08-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.771.7385-1.78%1.9+7.34%0.0284✗1.32127k2022-08-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3415.2461-1.78%6.594+23.46%0.2046✗0.532.4M2022-08-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177770.174637-1.76%0.18299+2.94%0.0242✓1.55222k2022-08-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13830.13587-1.76%0.1535+10.99%0.0640✗1.2761k2022-08-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1591.1388-1.75%1.013-12.60%0.1459✓0.631.9M2022-08-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.695140.683086-1.73%0.72656+4.52%0.0074✓1.5188k2022-08-12
STEEMSteemnative0.26230.257799-1.72%0.2777+5.87%0.0209✗1.16768k2022-08-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4321.4075-1.71%1.496+4.47%0.0028✓1.272.6M2022-08-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.96610.7792-1.70%12.061+9.99%0.0502✗1.3513.0M2022-08-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08660.085129-1.70%0.0916+5.77%0.0112✓1.3530k2022-08-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.257074-1.69%0.2614-0.04%0.0161✓0.0130k2022-08-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01030.010126-1.69%0.01039+0.87%0.0148✓0.885.2M2022-08-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202880.019955-1.64%0.020089-0.98%0.0121✓0.41172k2022-08-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.67180.660823-1.63%0.644-4.14%0.0789✓1.16690k2022-08-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1310.128861-1.63%0.1472+12.37%0.0696✗1.382.9M2022-08-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.48e-73.42e-7-1.63%3.20e-7-7.98%0.1114✓0.97157k2022-08-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18951.1703-1.61%1.1564-2.78%0.0514✓0.864.4M2022-08-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022270.002191-1.60%0.002191-1.62%0.0460✓1.001.2M2022-08-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078140.07689-1.60%0.08331+6.62%0.0468✗0.739072022-08-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09070.089252-1.60%0.0919+1.32%0.0239✓1.16126k2022-08-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0251.9929-1.59%2.034+0.44%0.0441✓1.41266k2022-08-12
FISStafiEthereum0.39030.38415-1.58%–pending––0.941722022-08-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00962.9625-1.57%3.0168+0.24%0.0270✓0.981.2M2022-08-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0552560.054393-1.56%0.056411+2.09%0.0099✓0.5825k2022-08-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086430.085085-1.56%0.08726+0.96%0.0126✓0.281.1M2022-08-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9113.8502-1.55%4.176+6.78%0.0546✗0.581.9M2022-08-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06890.067834-1.55%0.0727+5.52%0.0260✗0.94170k2022-08-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4869-1.53%1.56+3.31%0.0163✓1.401.2M2022-08-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8787.7579-1.52%9.333+18.47%0.1273✗1.2517.9M2022-08-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8452.8022-1.51%2.947+3.59%0.0150✓1.4349k2022-08-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00470.00463-1.49%0.00511+8.72%0.0389✗1.30126k2022-08-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07390.072799-1.49%0.127+71.85%0.5232✗0.73155k2022-08-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.426760.420467-1.47%0.46635+9.28%0.0489✗1.19118k2022-08-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.35132.3168-1.47%2.3981+1.99%0.0209✓1.2134k2022-08-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.065.9723-1.45%6.13+1.16%0.0055✓0.69746k2022-08-12
MOVRMoonriverBase15.316615.0981-1.43%17.1241+11.80%0.0733✗1.1553k2022-08-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26120.25751-1.41%0.2787+6.70%0.0230✗1.2299k2022-08-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.351.3309-1.41%1.334-1.19%0.0546✓1.241.1M2022-08-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.0561.1768-1.41%63.536+2.39%0.0003✓0.83321k2022-08-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.862806-1.39%0.944+7.89%0.0106✓1.734.6M2022-08-12
ADACardanoCardano0.51760.510425-1.39%0.5407+4.46%0.0025✓1.2040.5M2022-08-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.224848-1.38%0.236+3.51%0.0208✓1.51755k2022-08-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009040.008915-1.38%0.00892-1.33%0.0577✓1.27390k2022-08-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12550.123773-1.38%0.1304+3.90%0.0024✓1.08380k2022-08-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006657-1.37%0.006832+1.23%0.0026✓0.5140k2022-08-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032130.003169-1.36%0.004523+40.77%0.3102✗0.991.0M2022-08-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12960.127847-1.35%0.139+7.25%0.0380✗1.004,9522022-08-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61.5786-1.34%1.6851+5.32%0.0013✓1.39619k2022-08-12
XECeCashnative0.000045530.000044923-1.33%0.00004784+5.07%0.0097✓1.161.9M2022-08-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3588590.35414-1.32%0.388363+8.22%0.0340✗1.271.0M2022-08-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.9724.6425-1.31%29.35+17.54%0.1022✗1.5826.1M2022-08-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.017954-1.30%0.01781-2.09%0.0459✓0.82182k2022-08-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11390.112437-1.28%0.1237+8.60%0.0381✗1.25505k2022-08-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4318.1936-1.28%18.66+1.25%0.0346✓1.311.3M2022-08-12
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07561.062-1.27%1.0686-0.65%0.0536✓1.30532k2022-08-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.27130.267948-1.24%0.2956+8.96%0.0473✗1.1165k2022-08-12
UMAUMAEthereum3.0473.0102-1.21%3.223+5.78%0.0172✗1.11587k2022-08-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011250.001112-1.20%0.001509+34.12%0.2488✗1.241.3M2022-08-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.048906-1.20%0.0502+1.41%0.0334✓1.309,0132022-08-12
ZENHorizenBase18.4318.2172-1.15%21.35+15.84%0.0950✗1.39118k2022-08-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0610.060303-1.14%0.066+8.20%0.0266✗1.39179k2022-08-12
XTZTezosTezos1.86651.8452-1.14%1.9249+3.13%0.0157✓1.26530k2022-08-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7522.7212-1.12%2.964+7.70%0.0052✓1.75118k2022-08-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.07944.0352-1.08%4.2925+5.22%0.0122✗1.0851k2022-08-12
NANOnanopayBase1.05271.0415-1.07%1.1083+5.28%0.0188✗0.9560k2022-08-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35890.355076-1.07%0.3656+1.87%0.0233✓1.158.3M2022-08-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.073712-1.06%0.0827+11.01%0.0645✗1.101.1M2022-08-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5634-1.05%1.59+0.63%0.0033✓0.30242k2022-08-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3370.333584-1.01%0.329-2.37%0.0613✓1.041.1M2022-08-12
STXStacksnative0.49180.486887-1.00%0.5099+3.68%0.0105✓1.24808k2022-08-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1185410.117375-0.98%0.126413+6.64%0.0287✗0.996.9M2022-08-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012120.000012001-0.98%0.0000127+4.79%0.0003✓1.24951k2022-08-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.472.4458-0.98%4.051+64.01%0.4637✗0.89110k2022-08-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10050.099546-0.95%0.104+3.48%0.0115✓1.216,5342022-08-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,205.3022,988.27-0.94%24,153.80+4.09%0.0045✓0.9813k2022-08-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15070.149291-0.93%0.1745+15.79%0.1122✗0.963.6M2022-08-12
PROPropyEthereum0.740.733178-0.92%0.83+12.16%0.0968✗0.5978k2022-08-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34030.337174-0.92%0.3631+6.70%0.0208✗1.163.6M2022-08-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031110.030825-0.92%0.03363+8.10%0.0277✗1.301,4012022-08-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.818.7321-0.88%9.484+7.65%0.0262✗1.2311.0M2022-08-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7530.746394-0.88%0.942+25.10%0.1772✗1.21968k2022-08-12
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.5929-0.86%6.66+0.15%0.0535✓1.391.4M2022-08-12
ZECZcashZcash69.1568.5639-0.85%77.34+11.84%0.0630✗1.251.7M2022-08-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022410.022222-0.84%0.02664+18.88%0.1343✗1.03159k2022-08-12
KSMKusamaHydration63.562.9678-0.84%61.14-3.72%0.0832✓1.17379k2022-08-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.90e-79.82e-7-0.82%0.00000103+4.04%0.0020✓1.0025k2022-08-12
AAVEAaveEthereum103.27102.4273-0.82%114.79+11.16%0.0380✗1.6610.2M2022-08-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063340.006284-0.79%0.006893+8.83%0.0537✗0.854,9752022-08-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.06240.061917-0.77%0.0739+18.43%0.1118✗1.42350k2022-08-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163240.016199-0.77%0.01628-0.27%0.0362✓0.902.1M2022-08-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24190.240089-0.75%0.2537+4.88%0.0124✓1.4789k2022-08-12
TRXTRONTron0.0698370.069322-0.74%0.070487+0.93%0.0150✓0.69345k2022-08-12
FTTFTXEthereum30.7630.5518-0.68%31.22+1.50%0.0221✓0.9510.0M2022-08-12
XMRMoneroMonero161.87160.7845-0.67%166.92+3.12%0.0130✓1.101.1M2022-08-12
SOLSolanaSolana40.5440.269-0.67%45.5+12.23%0.0595✗1.3780.8M2022-08-12
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.74e-7-0.65%0.00000103+5.10%0.0180✗0.846.4M2022-08-12
DASHDashDash52.452.0778-0.61%56.16+7.18%0.0250✗1.10574k2022-08-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016770.001667-0.61%0.001706+1.73%0.0241✓1.039,0502022-08-12
KCSKuCoinnative10.4410.3763-0.61%10.654+2.05%0.0243✓1.112.0M2022-08-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,736.791,726.21-0.61%1,959.91+12.85%0.0681✗1.28418.9M2022-08-12
XVGVergenative0.003850.003827-0.60%0.00392+1.82%0.0352✓1.29551k2022-08-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.1640.16306-0.57%0.1752+6.83%0.0154✗1.23107k2022-08-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008430.008386-0.52%0.00838-0.59%0.0422✓0.901.6M2022-08-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7580.754574-0.45%0.741-2.24%0.0856✓1.47121k2022-08-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,320.8123,258.86-0.27%24,415.18+4.69%0.0027✗1.00455.4M2022-08-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.1961.1933-0.22%1.2878+7.68%0.0280✗1.0542k2022-08-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697990.069734-0.09%0.072322+3.62%0.0173✓1.171.6M2022-08-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.325660.325425-0.07%0.39278+20.61%0.1366✗1.12383k2022-08-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.95194.9544+0.05%4.7972-3.12%0.0400✗0.17225k2022-08-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58360.584336+0.13%0.6074+4.08%0.0138✗1.15329k2022-08-12
GTGateEthereum4.73754.7437+0.13%5.044+6.47%0.0269✓0.75916k2022-08-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.4962.5899+0.16%62.95+0.74%0.0473✗1.1613.5M2022-08-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.93142.9856+0.74%143.1+0.82%0.0544✗1.204.6M2022-08-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.