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2022-08-04 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2733
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.6%
in alpha space · 18.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.7969-6.31%1.558-18.77%0.2545✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum46.0143.3182-5.85%44.8-2.63%0.0697✓1.82266k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative2.62.4621-5.30%2.971+14.27%0.1163✗1.26448k2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.8126-4.21%10.3+11.96%0.0773✗1.39334k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6220.8152-3.72%21.14-2.22%0.0324✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.546728-3.69%0.5522-2.73%0.0533✓1.1146k2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0158-3.30%1.2255+16.66%0.1282✗1.0513k2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.021776-2.99%0.024997+11.36%0.0832✗0.9611k2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.54165-2.93%0.551-1.25%0.0478✓1.1414k2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.0943-2.86%3.1366-1.53%0.0751✓1.5612k2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,349.88-2.79%11,294.44+6.08%0.0065✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.033996-2.79%0.03161-9.61%0.1546✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.159648-2.77%0.1949+18.70%0.1291✗1.24518k2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0821-2.77%1.1706+5.18%0.0159✓1.1111k2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.035-2.72%3.13+0.32%0.0553✓1.52211k2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.183799-2.68%0.1952+3.35%0.0711✓2.311,1512022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.764962-2.68%0.769-2.16%0.0773✓1.463,1392022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.88574-2.56%0.967+6.38%0.0123✓1.76496k2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.2741-2.56%36.12+29.05%0.2039✗1.36946k2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0621-2.53%3.2004+1.87%0.0008✓0.761.1M2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.008-2.51%1.4845+43.58%0.3220✗1.151.0M2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.288-2.49%3.3972+0.74%0.0178✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.1977-2.41%2.326+3.29%0.0220✓1.39172k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000096859-2.41%0.00009727-1.99%0.1115✓2.04516k2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.99475-2.40%1.0027-1.62%0.0893✓1.71241k2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1849-2.39%0.993-18.20%0.2136✓0.651.9M2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.354129-2.39%0.36776+1.36%0.0362✓1.3013k2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.833.9683-2.39%42.06+20.86%0.1340✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5433-2.36%8.57-2.06%0.0245✓0.491.8M2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1717-2.31%2.184-1.75%0.0664✓1.27626k2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.4613-2.30%5.28-5.55%0.0685✓0.611.4M2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.047987-2.27%0.05344+8.84%0.0574✗0.8915k2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.212617-2.25%0.2554+17.43%0.1092✗1.311,5612022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1589-2.23%1.127-4.92%0.0773✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.049092-2.23%0.053086+5.73%0.0103✓1.2035k2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.446899-2.23%0.47814+4.61%0.0243✗0.7668k2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.141506-2.21%0.1497+3.46%0.0052✓1.08907k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.2752-2.18%6.929-6.83%0.1470✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4261-2.17%2.58+4.03%0.0004✓1.08507k2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.7478-2.15%4.044+5.59%0.0367✗0.691.5M2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.295602-2.12%0.3078+1.92%0.0228✓1.11300k2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.565458-2.10%0.5389-6.70%0.1261✓1.38234k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5192-2.10%4.683+1.45%0.0037✓0.561.4M2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.169297-2.08%0.1775+2.66%0.0220✓1.223.5M2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.410904-2.06%0.40616-3.19%0.0899✓1.38583k2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.74101.6149-2.05%124.47+19.98%0.1467✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.25576-2.05%0.2613+0.08%0.0208✗0.0129k2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041242-2.04%0.0439+4.28%0.0071✓1.2376k2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.569454-2.04%0.6302+8.41%0.0341✗1.181.8M2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.734-1.99%4.8-0.62%0.0259✓0.701.3M2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.431-1.97%5.8+4.69%0.0322✗0.59873k2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.052656-1.94%0.0549+2.23%0.0309✓1.28284k2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.02013-1.93%0.019255-6.19%0.0683✓0.42167k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7797-1.89%2.089+15.16%0.1244✗0.63206k2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.0591-1.88%6.256+21.33%0.1825✗0.532.4M2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.07938-1.88%0.09833+21.55%0.1298✗1.49871k2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.5625-1.88%15.6-1.64%0.0773✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.673211-1.86%0.691+0.73%0.0532✓1.4088k2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.031708-1.86%0.05195+60.79%0.4238✗1.2314k2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.65357-1.85%0.7242+8.75%0.0169✓1.5188k2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.9423-1.85%8.347+3.15%0.0096✓1.042.5M2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0338-1.82%2.93-5.18%0.0628✓0.49109k2022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043066-1.81%0.04793+9.28%0.0537✗0.942,0262022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.837-1.79%8.186+2.58%0.0257✓1.227.0M2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.247683-1.79%0.2695+6.86%0.0185✗1.16768k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.13229-1.79%0.1474+9.43%0.0361✗1.2761k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.084611-1.79%0.08708+1.08%0.0486✓1.3629k2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3741-1.78%1.456+4.07%0.0144✓1.282.6M2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1072-1.78%1.1274+0.01%0.0597✓1.371.4M2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.195975-1.77%0.2226+11.58%0.0481✗1.401,2762022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7241-1.76%1.767+0.68%0.0565✓1.43341k2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.061891-1.76%0.0749+18.89%0.1180✗1.28802k2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.6642-1.76%8.964+1.64%0.0450✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5523-1.75%1.52-3.80%0.0380✓0.30242k2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8671-1.73%2.9337+0.56%0.0327✓0.981.2M2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.431233-1.72%0.4591+4.63%0.0213✓1.48278k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.409023-1.72%0.458+10.04%0.0385✗1.31127k2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.785414-1.70%0.864+8.14%0.0375✗1.02377k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.884-1.68%11.8+6.59%0.0127✓1.20263k2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6715-1.68%1.91+12.35%0.0586✗1.32122k2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.50e-7-1.67%3.27e-7-8.29%0.1257✓0.99164k2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.9162-1.65%4.091+2.74%0.0049✓0.86922k2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002153-1.64%0.002212+1.05%0.0298✓1.001.4M2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.769209-1.64%0.924+18.16%0.1150✗1.20225k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.053382-1.62%0.057169+5.35%0.0356✗0.5825k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.075681-1.62%0.08332+8.31%0.0546✗0.739772022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.782-1.61%4.034+4.94%0.0314✗0.581.9M2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.323779-1.59%0.4285+30.24%0.2163✗1.1377k2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.084051-1.58%0.0916+7.26%0.0208✗1.15126k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.718-1.56%4.038+6.91%0.0163✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26959.339-1.54%61.928+2.75%0.0046✓0.83321k2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.084094-1.54%0.08746+2.40%0.0239✗0.271.1M2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009641-1.52%0.01006+2.76%0.0074✓0.885.1M2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.6875-1.48%2.849+4.44%0.0228✓1.4349k2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004473-1.48%0.00517+13.88%0.0707✗1.31112k2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.206-1.48%11.749+13.42%0.0639✗1.3513.7M2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.1766-1.47%63.11+12.70%0.0554✗1.3935k2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.06572-1.47%0.0718+7.65%0.0352✗0.94183k2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9384-1.45%2.005+1.93%0.0463✓1.41266k2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4487-1.45%1.54+4.76%0.0188✓1.411.2M2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.2582-1.44%8.96+21.67%0.1397✗1.2516.9M2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.214869-1.44%0.228+4.59%0.0265✓1.51782k2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008871-1.43%0.00871-3.22%0.0909✓1.28387k2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.492659-1.41%0.5306+6.18%0.0059✓1.2040.5M2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.398659-1.40%0.4605+13.89%0.0766✗1.19107k2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.834258-1.39%0.889+5.08%0.0352✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7405-1.37%5.91+1.55%0.0093✓0.68746k2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.125168-1.36%0.134+5.59%0.0116✓1.004,7012022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003027-1.36%0.004951+61.32%0.4357✗0.991.0M2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072105-1.36%0.1304+78.39%0.5511✗0.73159k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.245168-1.34%0.2705+8.85%0.0290✗1.22101k2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042365-1.34%0.00004644+8.15%0.0262✗1.161.9M2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.058516-1.32%0.0621+4.72%0.0197✓1.39172k2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006612-1.32%0.006698-0.03%0.0162✓0.5140k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.28-1.31%1.324+2.08%0.0366✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017349-1.31%0.01787+1.65%0.0170✓0.82193k2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.118624-1.31%0.1425+18.55%0.1056✗1.372.9M2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.257239-1.29%0.3041+16.69%0.1042✗1.1165k2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3846-1.26%3.611+49.52%0.3644✗0.89110k2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9447-1.25%3.021+1.31%0.0379✓1.12591k2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1629-1.23%2.3938+9.31%0.0333✗1.2032k2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.11537-1.22%0.1263+8.13%0.0295✗1.08370k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.4572-1.22%17.0874+16.75%0.1020✗1.1558k2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.589265-1.21%0.6487+8.75%0.0313✗1.14690k2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.5349-1.21%18.45+3.94%0.0233✓1.311.3M2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3127-1.20%1.3595+2.33%0.0497✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.336157-1.19%0.376118+10.55%0.0403✗1.271.0M2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4843-1.18%1.6643+10.81%0.0351✗1.40594k2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.329135-1.16%0.321-3.60%0.0839✓1.041.1M2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001076-1.15%0.001521+39.72%0.2756✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.047646-1.15%0.0488+1.24%0.0499✓1.307,5232022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.072464-1.14%0.0819+11.73%0.0596✗1.111.1M2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.108359-1.13%0.1215+10.86%0.0433✗1.25505k2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.15823-1.11%0.17809+11.31%0.0312✗1.53212k2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8052-1.08%1.9022+4.24%0.0196✓1.27530k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030063-1.04%0.03187+4.90%0.0155✓1.301,4012022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.096502-1.02%0.0988+1.33%0.0448✓1.207,1482022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.40e-7-1.01%0.00000102+7.37%0.0245✗1.0025k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.00001173-1.01%0.00001233+4.05%0.0209✓1.25951k2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.1464-1.00%21.63+24.88%0.1538✗1.38116k2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,270.68-1.00%24,153.10+7.37%0.0255✗0.9813k2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.112788-0.99%0.125283+9.97%0.0488✗0.996.9M2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9208-0.97%4.2149+6.46%0.0108✗1.0945k2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.982839-0.97%1.0527+6.07%0.0050✓1.30532k2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001642-0.92%0.001703+2.78%0.0220✓1.039,0682022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0058-0.92%1.0862+7.00%0.0234✗0.9460k2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.327579-0.91%0.3493+5.66%0.0019✓1.173.5M2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.731335-0.90%0.911+23.44%0.1508✗1.21968k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006091-0.89%0.006618+7.67%0.0348✗0.857,1222022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.1639-0.88%28.54+22.12%0.1190✗1.5826.1M2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.333173-0.87%0.3613+7.50%0.0168✗1.138.2M2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.061064-0.87%0.078+26.62%0.1637✗1.43350k2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5735-0.87%2.875+10.75%0.0113✗1.75109k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.733768-0.84%0.85+14.86%0.1131✗0.6079k2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.469743-0.84%0.5032+6.23%0.0015✓1.24808k2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068424-0.81%0.070371+2.02%0.0114✓0.69345k2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.020962-0.80%0.02718+28.63%0.2022✗1.02159k2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3834-0.72%6.61+2.80%0.0440✓1.391.2M2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.7047-0.68%60.91-0.34%0.0632✓1.17379k2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.13829-0.65%0.1646+18.25%0.1204✗0.953.6M2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25158.2191-0.65%160.49+0.78%0.0486✓1.111.2M2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003747-0.62%0.00393+4.24%0.0258✓1.30551k2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3863.9985-0.59%79.26+23.11%0.1430✗1.251.6M2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.5929-0.58%42.8+10.25%0.0260✗1.3781.1M2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.54e-7-0.58%0.00000101+5.21%0.0091✗0.846.4M2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.225032-0.56%0.2297+1.50%0.0627✓1.4787k2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.047-0.56%9.201+13.70%0.0648✗1.2211.0M2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.0359.9792-0.56%10.512+4.75%0.0106✓1.102.0M2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1428.9834-0.54%30.52+4.74%0.0022✓0.9510.0M2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.00818-0.48%0.00834+1.46%0.0319✓0.901.6M2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015521-0.48%0.015949+2.27%0.0235✓0.892.1M2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.155375-0.46%0.1701+8.97%0.0208✗1.23107k2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.449.2053-0.39%55.61+12.57%0.0601✗1.10574k2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum54.984-0.32%4.7078-5.84%0.0669✓0.17219k2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3496.0351-0.32%107.55+11.64%0.0193✗1.6610.2M2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1466-0.31%1.2591+9.48%0.0340✗1.0543k2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.725027-0.27%0.74+1.79%0.0631✓1.47121k2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,585.94-0.17%23,944.86+5.84%0.0017✓1.00427.9M2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067266-0.13%0.070882+5.24%0.0141✓1.171.7M2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,606.61-0.10%1,881.04+16.97%0.0853✗1.28407.7M2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.5592+0.20%4.9372+8.51%0.0373✓0.75920k2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.7833+0.22%61.89+3.76%0.0309✗1.1513.6M2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.31422+0.27%0.38689+23.46%0.1443✓1.12396k2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.547074+0.31%0.5937+8.86%0.0173✓1.14333k2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34135.8877+1.15%142.98+6.43%0.0171✗1.204.6M2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.