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2022-08-03 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3038
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.6%
in alpha space · 16.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.8366-7.85%1.569-21.27%0.2533✓1.972.4M2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.739.9456-7.31%10.61-1.12%0.0026✓1.38334k2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.1047-3.98%21.15-3.78%0.0391✓0.852.2M2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022263-3.44%0.024212+5.01%0.0371✗0.9611k2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0032-3.28%1.1836+14.12%0.1143✗1.0513k2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.03637-2.99%0.03296-12.08%0.1684✓1.4413.9M2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,412.27-2.92%11,510.60+7.32%0.0310✗1.424.4M2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.044-2.82%38.83+7.68%0.0343✗1.409.4M2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.154344-2.81%0.1861+17.19%0.1267✗1.24508k2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.0747-2.80%1.145+3.56%0.0096✓1.1111k2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.758237-2.79%0.79+1.28%0.0297✓1.453,6872022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.2547-2.73%5.43-15.55%0.1711✓0.611.4M2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.880598-2.70%0.98+8.29%0.0210✓1.77513k2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.976435-2.62%0.9791-2.35%0.0807✓1.72211k2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6426.9165-2.62%38.68+39.94%0.2966✗1.36773k2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.18312-2.62%0.19756+5.06%0.0366✓2.311,1512022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.1812-2.58%3.2108-1.67%0.0278✓0.761.1M2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4068-2.56%2.59+4.86%0.0209✓1.08398k2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.503803-2.55%0.532+2.90%0.0014✓1.1513k2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.00009749-2.48%0.00009856-1.41%0.0881✓2.04536k2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.5960.581325-2.46%0.6261+5.05%0.0167✓1.181.5M2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.2751-2.46%3.3964+1.15%0.0068✓0.891.3M2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.3175-2.43%8.75-8.38%0.0865✓0.491.7M2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.6726-2.39%3.0285+10.61%0.0490✗1.5612k2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.1933-2.35%2.452+9.17%0.0442✗1.38177k2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.341119-2.32%0.36767+5.28%0.0114✓1.3113k2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.047221-2.32%0.05257+8.75%0.0642✗0.8915k2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.994487-2.29%1.4709+44.52%0.3356✗1.151.1M2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.048202-2.21%0.052134+5.77%0.0202✓1.2035k2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1003-2.19%1.046-7.02%0.0824✓0.651.8M2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.455472-2.18%0.48951+5.13%0.0349✗0.7668k2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.8914-2.18%4.046+1.71%0.0052✓0.691.5M2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.31138-2.17%0.3078-3.30%0.0656✓1.11294k2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.075629-2.16%0.0827+6.99%0.0356✗1.11952k2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.6948-2.15%5.68-2.41%0.0313✓0.59873k2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.0878-2.14%16.17-1.64%0.0632✓1.412.3M2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040419-2.13%0.0441+6.78%0.0276✗1.2376k2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.18102.9483-2.12%126.64+20.40%0.1590✗0.994.2M2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.9733-2.10%4.92-3.15%0.0449✓0.701.3M2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7516-2.08%3.04+8.19%0.0259✗1.52198k2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.202747-2.05%0.2472+19.42%0.1348✗1.311,6972022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.079556-2.04%0.10427+28.40%0.1982✗1.49786k2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1687.0227-2.03%7.116-0.73%0.0711✓1.7312.2M2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum35.334.5872-2.02%47.24+33.82%0.2184✗1.92251k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.9245-2.01%8.306+2.71%0.0037✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.397973-1.96%0.41642+2.59%0.0218✓1.38583k2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.167482-1.94%0.1819+6.50%0.0232✗1.223.5M2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.053539-1.94%0.0548+0.37%0.0389✓1.28284k2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.7377-1.90%9.22+3.51%0.0138✓1.399.8M2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.086048-1.89%0.08743-0.32%0.0504✓1.3629k2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.3938-1.88%4.752+6.12%0.0509✗0.561.3M2022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.042646-1.85%0.04665+7.36%0.0440✗0.942,3002022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.196211-1.85%0.2383+19.21%0.1264✗1.401,1742022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019583-1.83%0.020275+1.63%0.0142✓0.42165k2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4922-1.83%1.52+0.00%0.0037✓0.30221k2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1132-1.79%3.02-4.73%0.0544✓0.49102k2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.53146-1.78%0.537-0.76%0.0578✓1.40222k2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7672-1.77%2.108+17.18%0.1455✗0.64189k2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.245137-1.75%0.266+6.61%0.0250✗1.17768k2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002216-1.73%0.002157-4.35%0.0756✓1.001.5M2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.8951-1.72%6.395+28.39%0.2416✗0.532.2M2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9895-1.70%2.049+1.24%0.0391✓1.41255k2022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.084635-1.70%0.0919+6.74%0.0264✗1.15128k2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6483-1.66%4.199+13.18%0.0560✗1.745.0M2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.7303-1.66%8.348+6.20%0.0175✗1.227.0M2022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3367-1.64%1.444+6.25%0.0151✓1.282.5M2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9643-1.64%2.075+3.91%0.0070✓1.27626k2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.432715-1.63%0.4553+3.50%0.0209✓1.48278k2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8412-1.63%4.198+7.50%0.0472✗0.86922k2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.077008-1.63%0.08525+8.90%0.0661✗0.731,0202022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.7642-1.61%4.079+6.61%0.0518✗0.591.9M2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.43e-7-1.61%3.34e-7-4.32%0.0759✓0.99170k2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.131656-1.60%0.1532+14.50%0.0988✗1.09779k2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.054842-1.59%0.057508+3.19%0.0192✗0.5824k2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.638643-1.59%0.71796+10.63%0.0436✗1.5188k2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.1328-1.56%0.1428+5.86%0.0109✓1.2761k2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0666-1.55%1.133+4.58%0.0064✓1.371.4M2022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030788-1.54%0.03518+12.50%0.0734✗1.2314k2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.06716-1.52%0.0739+8.36%0.0500✗0.94229k2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6634-1.52%1.849+9.47%0.0363✗1.43341k2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7654.9463-1.46%65.2+16.93%0.1035✗1.3934k2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.126923-1.46%0.1324+2.80%0.0062✓1.004,9522022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.9034-1.45%5.97-0.33%0.0218✓0.68725k2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.778602-1.44%0.976+23.54%0.1676✗1.20225k2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.755985-1.44%0.883+15.12%0.1059✗1.02377k2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.086752-1.43%0.08979+2.02%0.0217✗0.261.1M2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004495-1.43%0.00485+6.36%0.0125✓1.31112k2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006603-1.42%0.006078-9.26%0.1079✓0.5239k2022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31159.4632-1.41%62.292+3.28%0.0059✓0.83330k2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.257529-1.41%0.2616+0.15%0.0151✗0.0129k2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.804706-1.38%0.88+7.84%0.0049✓1.744.8M2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0201-1.37%1.1615+12.30%0.0872✗0.883.9M2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009627-1.36%0.01031+5.64%0.0257✗0.885.0M2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.6731-1.36%12.16+12.38%0.0721✗1.20259k2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003098-1.36%0.003961+26.11%0.1976✗0.991.0M2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4415-1.35%2.734+10.46%0.0698✗0.89110k2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5784-1.35%1.82+13.75%0.0782✗1.32122k2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017442-1.34%0.01893+7.07%0.0417✗0.82207k2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.0303-1.33%11.986+17.91%0.1123✗1.3514.4M2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6596-1.31%2.856+5.97%0.0018✓1.4349k2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.1896-1.31%9.062+24.39%0.1706✗1.2518.3M2022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.061192-1.30%0.1362+119.68%0.7643✗0.74159k2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.21027-1.28%0.229+7.51%0.0118✓1.51786k2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.256523-1.26%0.2716+4.54%0.0028✓1.1265k2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.4946-1.26%0.5376+7.33%0.0249✗1.2041.9M2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3173-1.26%1.3894+4.15%0.0194✓1.506.4M2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.468478-1.25%0.5471+15.32%0.1006✗1.1246k2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.6251-1.25%0.697+10.11%0.0408✗1.4088k2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.243045-1.24%0.2649+7.64%0.0267✗1.22110k2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative1.841.8172-1.24%3.057+66.14%0.4581✗1.28430k2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.389357-1.23%0.46429+17.77%0.1181✗1.19118k2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.314297-1.23%0.4951+55.59%0.3995✗1.1377k2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.057785-1.22%0.0686+17.26%0.1091✗1.28799k2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.596257-1.22%0.6574+8.91%0.0422✗1.14690k2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.16111-1.18%0.17975+10.25%0.0348✗1.53212k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.328111-1.17%0.34+2.41%0.0148✓1.041.1M2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.397496-1.17%0.4648+15.56%0.0924✗1.32127k2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4135-1.16%1.58+10.49%0.0428✗1.411.1M2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.116664-1.13%0.1462+23.90%0.1590✗1.372.9M2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030452-1.13%0.03249+5.49%0.0015✓1.301,3502022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9306-1.13%3.098+4.52%0.0014✓1.11597k2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,587.99-1.12%23,919.30+4.71%0.0096✓0.9814k2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.4585-1.12%17.7+21.05%0.1464✗1.1563k2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8167-1.12%2.9592+3.89%0.0016✓0.981.2M2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001075-1.11%0.001521+39.94%0.2870✗1.241.3M2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008585-1.09%0.00896+3.23%0.0195✓1.28375k2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.000042440.00004198-1.09%0.00004643+9.40%0.0446✗1.161.9M2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2455-1.07%1.348+7.07%0.0186✗1.241.2M2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.332311-1.07%0.369005+9.86%0.0430✗1.271.1M2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.057725-0.99%0.0635+8.92%0.0277✗1.39167k2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001688-0.97%0.001757+3.11%0.0099✓1.039,4962022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.114882-0.96%0.1265+9.05%0.0441✗1.07370k2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.109875-0.92%0.1219+9.92%0.0429✗1.25505k2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011721-0.92%0.0000124+4.82%0.0043✓1.25986k2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1717.0123-0.92%18.55+8.04%0.0230✗1.311.3M2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.71e-7-0.91%0.00000103+5.10%0.0103✗1.0025k2022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.737566-0.86%0.884+18.82%0.1220✗1.22895k2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4463-0.86%1.6203+11.06%0.0456✗1.40675k2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.113204-0.86%0.125982+10.33%0.0588✗0.997.0M2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6492-0.85%2.928+9.58%0.0149✗1.75109k2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1576-0.84%2.3862+9.66%0.0423✗1.2032k2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045428-0.81%0.0495+8.08%0.0226✗1.309,0132022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.0122-0.80%21.93+27.87%0.1872✗1.37116k2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0161-0.80%1.0722+4.67%0.0081✗0.9460k2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.00616-0.78%0.006634+6.87%0.0334✗0.848,9962022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021142-0.74%0.02661+24.93%0.1806✗1.02159k2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.952904-0.74%1.072+11.67%0.0546✗1.30532k2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8705-0.72%4.1947+7.59%0.0277✗1.0945k2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.740.734707-0.72%0.77+4.05%0.0180✗0.5983k2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7082-0.71%1.8733+8.89%0.0306✗1.27530k2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.096516-0.70%0.1008+3.70%0.0151✓1.206,5342022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3849-0.70%6.71+4.35%0.0179✓1.391.2M2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.8798-0.70%29.18+26.65%0.1663✗1.5827.5M2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.143798-0.69%0.1704+17.68%0.1237✗0.953.6M2022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.317795-0.69%0.3479+8.72%0.0338✗1.173.5M2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067384-0.61%0.070307+3.70%0.0092✗0.69364k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.324708-0.61%0.3644+11.54%0.0606✗1.138.1M2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.46630.463565-0.59%0.4979+6.78%0.0111✗1.24892k2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.058365-0.57%0.0607+3.41%0.0302✓1.43350k2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.229822-0.55%0.2326+0.65%0.0595✓1.4789k2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration61.3160.9767-0.54%62.92+2.63%0.0257✓1.17379k2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003730.003711-0.50%0.00383+2.68%0.0315✓1.29551k2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.11156.3762-0.47%167.53+6.63%0.0152✗1.101.2M2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.37-0.47%42.5+10.25%0.0357✗1.3781.8M2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.9728-0.44%31.37+7.80%0.0334✗0.9510.8M2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.0289.9864-0.41%10.779+7.49%0.0227✗1.102.0M2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.01572-0.41%0.015766-0.12%0.0406✓0.892.1M2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.56e-7-0.38%0.00000101+5.21%0.0139✗0.846.4M2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.154611-0.38%0.1652+6.44%0.0064✗1.23102k2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01514.9985-0.33%4.7-6.28%0.0699✓0.17219k2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1347-0.33%1.2251+7.61%0.0255✗1.0547k2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008165-0.31%0.00837+2.20%0.0190✓0.901.6M2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.6971-0.25%78.7+27.24%0.1826✗1.251.5M2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9858-0.21%9.529+19.07%0.1173✗1.2211.0M2022-08-10
DASHDashDash48.7748.7204-0.10%54.6+11.95%0.0607✗1.10574k2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,617.27-0.10%1,854.12+14.54%0.0746✗1.28404.0M2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.066152-0.07%0.071244+7.62%0.0172✗1.171.7M2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9794.9591-0.01%111.17+17.06%0.0771✗1.6610.2M2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,826.49+0.01%23,962.18+4.98%0.0001✓1.00427.9M2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.687839+0.27%0.766+11.66%0.0359✓1.47106k2022-08-10
GTGateEthereum4.50944.5269+0.39%4.9377+9.50%0.0506✓0.75920k2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7858.0526+0.47%61.61+6.63%0.0034✓1.1513.7M2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.548233+0.54%0.6134+12.49%0.0571✓1.14335k2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.311054+0.56%0.37799+22.20%0.1401✓1.13398k2022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7135.4663+1.32%142.18+6.34%0.0099✓1.204.5M2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.