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2022-08-01 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2395
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.5%
in alpha space · 24.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87139.2884+1.03%143.54+4.11%0.0026✓1.194.3M2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.311225+0.68%0.33107+7.10%0.0349✓1.17398k2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.561168+0.68%0.6088+9.22%0.0552✓1.14341k2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4416+0.57%4.9055+11.07%0.0826✓0.73916k2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.7123+0.41%62.61+5.28%0.0208✓1.1613.6M2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.732106+0.15%0.767+4.92%0.0123✓1.4980k2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,304.35+0.13%23,815.65+2.33%0.0013✗1.00414.2M2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.1796-0.00%9.276+13.40%0.0972✗1.2410.0M2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.5638-0.02%102.58+6.21%0.0222✗1.6610.2M2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015005-0.08%0.016131+7.42%0.0521✗0.881.6M2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,629.32-0.09%1,777.36+8.99%0.0581✗1.26387.0M2022-08-08
DASHDashDash49.7549.6922-0.12%56.22+13.01%0.0980✗1.11574k2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.06011-0.15%0.0607+0.83%0.0225✓1.40339k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.7525-0.19%77.53+23.32%0.1827✗1.251.5M2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.46130.460282-0.22%0.5085+10.23%0.0710✗1.25778k2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003750.003741-0.25%0.00377+0.53%0.0223✓1.31559k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.23009-0.26%0.2285-0.95%0.0411✓1.4897k2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.094843-0.27%0.1038+9.15%0.0625✗1.216,7862022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.936-0.27%10.767+8.07%0.0554✗1.082.1M2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068494-0.33%0.070056+1.94%0.0039✓1.151.7M2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008391-0.35%0.00837-0.59%0.0235✓0.911.6M2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070255-0.35%0.0826+17.16%0.1371✗1.08567k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.66e-7-0.38%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0051✗0.836.4M2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1686-0.41%4.8-7.51%0.0788✓0.21210k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.776523-0.45%0.79+1.28%0.0033✓0.6179k2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.723692-0.46%0.774+6.46%0.0393✗1.21806k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.00629-0.49%0.006716+6.25%0.0448✗0.909,1592022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001688-0.55%0.001764+3.95%0.0207✗1.0211k2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.340484-0.56%0.3629+5.99%0.0375✗1.147.7M2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5497-0.60%2.889+12.63%0.0846✗1.7595k2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0124-0.60%1.0843+6.46%0.0466✗0.9660k2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero160.69159.7036-0.61%167.1+3.99%0.0197✗1.111.3M2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069516-0.65%0.070047+0.11%0.0103✓0.78373k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.808-0.65%1.894+4.07%0.0174✗1.26492k2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021419-0.66%0.029+34.51%0.2793✗1.03159k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.163549-0.70%0.163-1.03%0.0320✓1.2494k2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.4173-0.73%27.92+18.36%0.1391✗1.6027.5M2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.7542-0.74%64.6+0.58%0.0141✓1.18354k2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.115295-0.78%0.1199+3.18%0.0093✗1.30472k2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.5094-0.78%31.49+2.41%0.0097✗0.9510.2M2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4157-0.79%2.626+7.84%0.0623✗0.92105k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.339-0.79%42.2+1.27%0.0107✓1.3681.1M2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029768-0.81%0.03333+11.06%0.0830✗1.311,2932022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,981.44-0.83%23,846.60+2.91%0.0144✗0.9814k2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.0043-0.86%19.15+5.45%0.0302✗1.37116k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2487-0.86%2.385+5.15%0.0305✗1.2329k2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.453-0.88%6.92+6.30%0.0377✗1.401.1M2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006591-0.89%0.0063-5.26%0.0576✓0.5438k2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.51e-7-0.89%0.000001+4.17%0.0267✗1.0025k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.117253-0.89%0.130156+10.02%0.0815✗0.996.8M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.152724-0.89%0.1674+8.63%0.0690✗0.993.5M2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.332995-0.89%0.3474+3.39%0.0151✗1.183.1M2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.047863-0.90%0.0517+7.04%0.0462✗1.347,6872022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.00001186-0.92%0.00001229+2.67%0.0073✓1.23986k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0066-0.95%1.0855+6.81%0.0450✗1.32525k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119548-0.95%0.1267+4.97%0.0335✗1.07352k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4063-0.97%1.56+9.86%0.0706✗1.441.1M2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5593-0.98%1.6087+2.16%0.0019✓1.44589k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9305-1.00%3.052+3.11%0.0149✗1.12619k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000044682-1.01%0.00004589+1.66%0.0000✓1.161.9M2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.419557-1.02%0.4704+10.97%0.0838✗1.33127k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.507538-1.03%0.5372+4.76%0.0280✗1.2541.9M2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2331-1.03%1.2304-1.25%0.0267✓1.0643k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001085-1.05%0.001192+8.77%0.0650✗1.291.4M2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3089-1.06%1.351+2.12%0.0031✓1.241.2M2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7657-1.11%2.9975+7.18%0.0580✗0.981.0M2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8687-1.13%2.058+8.89%0.0637✗1.42234k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.9627-1.13%19.4666+28.63%0.2361✗1.1868k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.124071-1.14%0.1317+4.94%0.0369✗0.994,9522022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.6756-1.14%18.67+4.42%0.0237✗1.351.3M2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.490727-1.18%0.5796+16.71%0.1407✗1.1247k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.319899-1.20%0.5111+57.84%0.4422✗1.1576k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.122111-1.21%0.1491+20.63%0.1679✗1.382.8M2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.06046-1.21%0.068+11.11%0.0875✗1.30799k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.783388-1.21%0.894+12.74%0.1037✗1.23218k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.927405-1.21%1.1662+24.22%0.2085✗0.903.2M2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.358354-1.22%0.363104+0.09%0.0167✓1.301.0M2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67659.9364-1.22%62.317+2.70%0.0195✗0.85345k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.163387-1.22%0.17585+6.31%0.0380✗1.54212k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.4813-1.22%8.607+13.64%0.1111✗1.2616.9M2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.612006-1.23%0.6657+7.44%0.0575✗1.16642k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0001-1.23%3.023+49.28%0.3838✗1.27415k2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.06331-1.23%0.1545+141.03%0.8735✗0.81155k2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017677-1.25%0.01763-1.51%0.0207✓0.78229k2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.259803-1.25%0.2624-0.27%0.0183✓1.23101k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.091192-1.26%0.08629-6.57%0.0609✓0.241.1M2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6962-1.27%1.875+9.14%0.0668✗1.45327k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.0935-1.27%4.1656+0.47%0.0077✓1.0939k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2888-1.33%1.4281+9.33%0.0680✗1.515.6M2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.218038-1.34%0.23+4.07%0.0186✗1.51821k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.637281-1.35%0.697+7.89%0.0573✗1.4088k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.258242-1.36%0.2614-0.15%0.0119✓0.0128k2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.25e-7-1.37%3.37e-7+2.27%0.0141✗0.96178k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4035-1.37%1.438+1.05%0.0049✓1.272.5M2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.2543-1.39%11.817+13.64%0.1102✗1.3714.4M2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010068-1.40%0.01044+2.25%0.0141✗0.974.7M2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6069-1.42%1.85+13.50%0.1094✗1.37114k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.0894-1.43%11.72+4.18%0.0274✗1.21243k2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.41337-1.43%0.42996+2.52%0.0115✓1.21118k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.272985-1.45%0.2733-1.34%0.0236✓1.0867k2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.0455-1.45%62.01+5.28%0.0340✗1.3932k2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.33011-1.46%0.339+1.19%0.0028✓1.03959k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003208-1.46%0.003433+5.44%0.0442✗1.021.0M2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0631-1.47%1.2133+12.46%0.0997✗1.411.4M2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.760593-1.48%0.835+8.16%0.0706✗0.99377k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.077805-1.49%0.08965+13.51%0.1249✗0.731,1722022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.847998-1.51%0.898+4.30%0.0176✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066372-1.53%0.0737+9.35%0.0827✗0.96229k2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031551-1.53%0.0332+3.62%0.0224✗1.2414k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.9572-1.57%16.74+18.05%0.1494✗1.411.9M2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.99-1.58%2.141+5.89%0.0437✗1.28637k2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056326-1.59%0.05725+0.03%0.0025✓0.6022k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7875-1.60%4.125+7.17%0.0717✗0.591.7M2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.815-1.60%3.99+2.91%0.0245✗0.88754k2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.0815-1.60%45.63+35.72%0.2769✗1.94229k2022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.00239-1.61%0.00224-7.78%0.0878✓1.001.8M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.2304-1.61%8.791+5.09%0.0336✗1.408.5M2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009228-1.62%0.00911-2.88%0.0419✓1.26359k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7656-1.64%2.06+14.76%0.1395✗0.64189k2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.5351-1.64%7.314+10.08%0.0728✗1.7311.3M2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004701-1.65%0.00474-0.84%0.0221✓1.32112k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.084379-1.66%0.0896+4.43%0.0329✗1.18137k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.531149-1.66%0.561+3.87%0.0222✗1.41234k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.699426-1.71%0.69895-1.77%0.0355✓1.5188k2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8108-1.72%3.02+5.59%0.0368✗1.52192k2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.203362-1.76%0.2282+10.24%0.0831✗1.401,1792022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8951-1.76%2.9-1.59%0.0311✓1.4349k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.9921-1.77%6.04-0.98%0.0073✓0.66623k2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.063653-1.77%0.062-4.32%0.0594✓1.44154k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.285-1.81%4.707+7.86%0.0805✗0.581.2M2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.8294-1.82%6.031+22.61%0.2095✗0.552.0M2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.052226-1.83%0.0543+2.07%0.0102✓1.25269k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019631-1.83%0.018974-5.12%0.0459✓0.51165k2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.462355-1.84%0.4659-1.08%0.0262✓1.47273k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.186-1.85%8.259-0.97%0.0198✓1.246.8M2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2671-1.89%3.05-8.41%0.0801✓0.4994k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.082599-1.89%0.08557+1.64%0.0044✓1.3429k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.174178-1.93%0.1804+1.58%0.0062✓1.263.5M2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5298-1.94%1.55-0.64%0.0082✓0.22268k2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.140998-1.95%0.1447+0.63%0.0036✓1.2859k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.260513-1.95%0.2624-1.24%0.0187✓1.13768k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum103.46101.4188-1.97%128.79+24.48%0.2156✗1.014.2M2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.404586-1.99%0.42203+2.24%0.0101✓1.39583k2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5316-2.04%4.095+13.59%0.1082✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0576-2.08%1.084+0.37%0.0085✓0.701.5M2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0098-2.10%1.0662+3.36%0.0275✗1.171.1M2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.299396-2.13%0.3126+2.19%0.0173✓1.12300k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8502-2.13%4.04+2.69%0.0316✗0.721.4M2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.206099-2.14%0.2677+27.11%0.2302✗1.361,6972022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3389-2.14%2.74+14.64%0.1337✗1.07301k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040401-2.18%0.0454+9.93%0.0884✗1.2371k2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045161-2.21%0.04665+1.02%0.0103✓0.962,3002022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8794-2.23%3.2115+9.05%0.0913✗0.77978k2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.476109-2.26%0.48293-0.86%0.0038✓0.7863k2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.078634-2.32%0.11272+40.02%0.3256✗1.50773k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.050231-2.36%0.052476+2.00%0.0164✓1.1938k2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9502-2.36%5.02-0.99%0.0023✓0.711.2M2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7914-2.37%3.0082+5.22%0.0388✗1.5612k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.505806-2.54%0.553+6.55%0.0628✗1.1513k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.7937-2.58%10.19+27.37%0.2366✗1.37263k2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.050357-2.58%0.05269+1.93%0.0245✓0.9015k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.5909-2.63%8.84-10.25%0.0936✓0.521.7M2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.167413-2.67%0.1759+2.27%0.0207✓1.25491k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.336112-2.71%0.36941+6.92%0.0642✗1.3112k2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3491-2.77%2.498+3.39%0.0290✗1.41177k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.928288-2.80%0.944-1.15%0.0240✓1.77513k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.187114-2.80%0.19653+2.09%0.0042✓2.311,2222022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000101815-2.84%0.00009929-5.25%0.0698✓1.94592k2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0233.9927-2.93%38.06+8.68%0.0806✗1.416.9M2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4427.5977-2.96%30.04+5.63%0.0527✗1.39641k2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.035624-3.20%0.03513-4.54%0.0490✓1.5212.6M2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.18-3.20%3.4773+5.85%0.0688✗0.891.2M2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6136-3.38%5.71-1.72%0.0030✓0.61732k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.4715-3.47%8.73-0.52%0.0056✓1.062.4M2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.144164-3.50%0.1526+2.14%0.0314✓1.11698k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.2999-3.52%5.62-13.94%0.1284✓0.621.2M2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.022774-3.59%0.023579-0.18%0.0123✓0.989,6292022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1557-3.62%1.1648-2.87%0.0175✓1.1010k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.800725-3.64%0.841+1.20%0.0149✓1.493,6872022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0387-3.65%1.1739+8.90%0.0987✗1.0313k2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.4875-3.71%21.84+13.75%0.1468✗0.862.2M2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,159.63-3.89%11,448.81-1.40%0.0066✓1.404.2M2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0867-4.66%0.9875-13.36%0.1336✓1.65205k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4393-4.81%1.899+25.60%0.2315✗1.981.7M2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.77450.725633-6.31%0.6064-21.70%0.2063✓1.171.4M2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.