8=======>

2022-07-31 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0593
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
19.9%
in alpha space · 20.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37140.4978+0.81%140.98+1.16%0.0101✓1.194.2M2022-08-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.565704+0.53%0.5927+5.33%0.0530✓1.14350k2022-08-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.314189+0.48%0.31695+1.36%0.0153✓1.17398k2022-08-07
GTGateEthereum4.45154.4716+0.45%4.7602+6.93%0.0666✓0.73920k2022-08-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7659.9434+0.31%61.12+2.28%0.0259✓1.1613.5M2022-08-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.067939+0.21%0.0794+17.11%0.1619✓1.07432k2022-08-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4423,337.48+0.13%23,177.39-0.56%0.0013✓1.00414.2M2022-08-07
STXStacksnative0.43890.438758-0.03%0.4907+11.80%0.1188✗1.24643k2022-08-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062831-0.11%0.0605-3.82%0.0300✓1.40339k2022-08-07
AAVEAaveEthereum97.6397.5089-0.12%101.31+3.77%0.0475✗1.6610.2M2022-08-07
XVGVergenative0.003710.003704-0.16%0.00374+0.81%0.0169✗1.31570k2022-08-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.233378-0.22%0.2392+2.27%0.0329✗1.4897k2022-08-07
PROPropyEthereum0.760.757917-0.27%0.84+10.53%0.1062✗0.6079k2022-08-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,674.54-0.28%1,700.42+1.26%0.0224✗1.26387.0M2022-08-07
KCSKuCoinnative10.0510.0178-0.32%10.602+5.49%0.0627✗1.082.4M2022-08-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.150305-0.33%0.1618+7.29%0.0806✗1.2490k2022-08-07
ZECZcashZcash64.3964.1757-0.33%70.26+9.12%0.0976✗1.251.5M2022-08-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01034.9934-0.34%4.899-2.22%0.0179✓0.21210k2022-08-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.6005-0.38%8.657+0.28%0.0135✗1.249.4M2022-08-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109186-0.38%0.1192+8.76%0.0950✗1.30472k2022-08-07
DASHDashDash51.1750.9705-0.39%53.35+4.26%0.0518✗1.11574k2022-08-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.70722-0.39%0.751+5.77%0.0669✗1.22776k2022-08-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006258-0.40%0.006475+3.04%0.0390✗0.909,1592022-08-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.01589-0.40%0.015952-0.01%0.0088✗0.881.2M2022-08-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.067854-0.42%0.06896+1.20%0.0226✗1.151.7M2022-08-07
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.76e-7-0.43%9.70e-7-1.02%0.0013✓0.836.1M2022-08-07
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.7332-0.43%1.888+8.46%0.0926✗1.26492k2022-08-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.096255-0.46%0.1047+8.27%0.0908✗1.216,7862022-08-07
XMRMoneroMonero155.01154.283-0.47%164.87+6.36%0.0726✗1.101.3M2022-08-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.334388-0.51%0.3559+5.89%0.0687✗1.137.7M2022-08-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.353-0.55%2.458+3.89%0.0488✗0.92105k2022-08-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.172-0.56%1.2162+3.20%0.0430✗1.0643k2022-08-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.795538-0.56%0.759-5.13%0.0387✓1.4980k2022-08-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.009047-0.58%0.00837-8.02%0.0727✓0.921.6M2022-08-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.1833-0.58%2.3326+6.21%0.0731✗1.2326k2022-08-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.142842-0.60%0.1588+10.51%0.1114✗0.993.5M2022-08-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.021081-0.61%0.04057+91.28%0.6605✗1.03159k2022-08-07
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.06851-0.61%0.069658+1.05%0.0209✗0.77373k2022-08-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.5801-0.65%2.792+7.51%0.0887✗1.7592k2022-08-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.315289-0.70%0.3431+8.06%0.0912✗1.193.0M2022-08-07
NANOnanopayBase1.01361.0064-0.71%1.0549+4.07%0.0524✗0.9658k2022-08-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0023,223.45-0.75%23,110.70-1.24%0.0006✓0.9814k2022-08-07
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.1545-0.78%30.67+0.92%0.0223✗0.9510.2M2022-08-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7523.5639-0.78%27.9+17.47%0.1778✗1.5927.5M2022-08-07
KSMKusamaHydration63.863.2754-0.82%65.42+2.54%0.0400✗1.18303k2022-08-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.001736-0.83%0.001729-1.26%0.0014✓1.0216k2022-08-07
XECeCashnative0.000043840.000043475-0.83%0.00004532+3.38%0.0480✗1.161.9M2022-08-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.00001162-0.85%0.00001202+2.56%0.0407✗1.23951k2022-08-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.047586-0.86%0.0512+6.67%0.0807✗1.337,5232022-08-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.056503-0.87%0.0606+6.32%0.0780✗1.43152k2022-08-07
SOLSolanaSolana42.3842.0066-0.88%40.62-4.15%0.0260✓1.3681.1M2022-08-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.116567-0.90%0.123873+5.31%0.0664✗0.996.8M2022-08-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.247625-0.91%0.2595+3.84%0.0537✗1.2399k2022-08-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.61e-7-0.91%9.80e-7+1.03%0.0250✗1.0024k2022-08-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.967561-0.91%1.0596+8.51%0.0982✗1.32487k2022-08-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.8434-0.93%3.033+5.68%0.0708✗1.11619k2022-08-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.5278-0.93%1.5748+2.11%0.0384✗1.45589k2022-08-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001077-0.94%0.001193+9.74%0.1096✗1.281.5M2022-08-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.303008-0.95%0.4693+53.42%0.4438✗1.1375k2022-08-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.006705-0.95%0.006331-6.48%0.0544✓0.5439k2022-08-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119517-0.98%0.1264+4.72%0.0619✗1.06352k2022-08-07
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.511436-0.98%0.5277+2.17%0.0383✗1.2541.9M2022-08-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.414544-0.99%0.4806+14.78%0.1553✗1.33112k2022-08-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.295-0.99%1.319+0.84%0.0253✗1.241.2M2022-08-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.070888-0.99%0.109+52.23%0.4349✗0.82148k2022-08-07
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.3153-1.01%6.84+7.21%0.0876✗1.401.0M2022-08-07
FLOWFlownative1.9241.9044-1.02%2.624+36.38%0.3277✗1.27415k2022-08-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.058098-1.03%0.0643+9.54%0.1087✗1.30787k2022-08-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.030246-1.03%0.03172+3.80%0.0549✗1.311,3342022-08-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4252-1.03%1.5+4.17%0.0592✗1.441.1M2022-08-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.6954-1.04%2.9884+9.72%0.1087✗0.981.0M2022-08-07
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833514.6772-1.05%18.2973+23.35%0.2270✗1.1870k2022-08-07
ZENHorizenBase18.9518.748-1.07%19.17+1.16%0.0299✗1.37116k2022-08-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.120552-1.11%0.1513+24.12%0.2333✗1.10685k2022-08-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.764445-1.11%0.858+11.00%0.1223✗1.23212k2022-08-07
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.662-1.13%1.809+7.61%0.0929✗1.45327k2022-08-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.018192-1.18%0.01788-2.88%0.0131✓0.76248k2022-08-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.029931-1.18%0.03302+9.01%0.1051✗1.2414k2022-08-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.095103-1.19%0.08532-11.36%0.1072✓0.241.1M2022-08-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.133951-1.22%0.1374+1.33%0.0326✗1.2855k2022-08-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.90994-1.22%1.1663+26.61%0.2532✗0.893.2M2022-08-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.6104-1.23%6.04+6.34%0.0775✗0.66588k2022-08-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.395682-1.24%0.4338+8.27%0.0987✗1.21113k2022-08-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.498123-1.24%0.5887+16.71%0.1733✗1.1245k2022-08-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17960.4156-1.25%61.878+1.14%0.0287✗0.85369k2022-08-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.5639-1.25%8.34+8.88%0.1047✗1.2616.2M2022-08-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.6062-1.27%0.682+11.07%0.1257✗1.4086k2022-08-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3622-1.29%1.425+3.26%0.0522✗1.282.4M2022-08-07
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.252962-1.30%0.2595+1.25%0.0319✗1.13701k2022-08-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0617.8224-1.32%18.49+2.38%0.0443✗1.351.3M2022-08-07
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.0045-1.32%0.00471+3.29%0.0530✗1.31112k2022-08-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.616495-1.33%0.6639+6.26%0.0805✗1.15624k2022-08-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35710.2181-1.34%11.374+9.82%0.1148✗1.3714.4M2022-08-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.211128-1.34%0.225+5.14%0.0721✗1.51803k2022-08-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.257692-1.34%0.2614+0.08%0.0143✗0.0128k2022-08-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.126673-1.35%0.1294+0.78%0.0268✗0.995,2722022-08-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.163776-1.37%0.17735+6.81%0.0883✗1.54207k2022-08-07
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0456.2574-1.37%63.85+11.94%0.1344✗1.3932k2022-08-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.37e-7-1.37%3.42e-7+0.30%0.0222✗0.95178k2022-08-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.003086-1.38%0.003423+9.40%0.1094✗1.01999k2022-08-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9811.9527-1.43%1.998+0.86%0.0309✗1.42234k2022-08-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.9195-1.46%2.089+7.24%0.0917✗1.27637k2022-08-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.259438-1.47%0.2711+2.96%0.0500✗1.0865k2022-08-07
QTUMQtumQtum4.06894.0092-1.47%4.0919+0.57%0.0265✗1.0934k2022-08-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.126116-1.47%0.1283+0.23%0.0249✗1.382.6M2022-08-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.2982-1.50%1.4024+6.41%0.0856✗1.505.6M2022-08-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.065892-1.51%0.0735+9.87%0.1146✗0.96229k2022-08-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.7659-1.51%2.183+21.75%0.2156✗0.64206k2022-08-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010151-1.54%0.01046+1.45%0.0354✗0.964.7M2022-08-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.002458-1.55%0.002285-8.49%0.0675✓1.001.9M2022-08-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.674846-1.55%0.68843+0.43%0.0284✗1.5188k2022-08-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.056175-1.57%0.055055-3.53%0.0168✓0.6022k2022-08-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3314.1025-1.59%16.88+17.79%0.1877✗1.421.7M2022-08-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.749805-1.60%0.807+5.91%0.0790✗0.98360k2022-08-07
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3278.1937-1.60%8.784+5.49%0.0774✗1.408.2M2022-08-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.6197-1.61%4.147+12.72%0.1393✗0.591.6M2022-08-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.037977-1.61%0.0441+14.25%0.1563✗1.2268k2022-08-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.7491-1.62%4.012+5.27%0.0727✗0.89754k2022-08-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.079596-1.62%0.07969-1.51%0.0053✓0.731,0512022-08-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.074.9875-1.63%5.77+13.81%0.1492✗0.61668k2022-08-07
METISMetisEthereum34.6134.044-1.64%44.22+27.77%0.2724✗1.94229k2022-08-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.0641-1.67%1.1387+5.22%0.0756✗1.411.4M2022-08-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.846559-1.68%0.871+1.16%0.0381✗1.725.2M2022-08-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5211.3246-1.70%11.74+1.91%0.0428✗1.21241k2022-08-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.6469-1.70%4.058+9.38%0.1109✗0.721.3M2022-08-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.086894-1.70%0.0893+1.02%0.0339✗1.18146k2022-08-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.043435-1.71%0.04581+3.67%0.0586✗0.962,3002022-08-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9860.968908-1.73%1.111+12.68%0.1408✗0.701.3M2022-08-07
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.6149-1.75%7.208+7.05%0.0956✗1.7310.6M2022-08-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.1242-1.76%4.685+11.60%0.1308✗0.581.2M2022-08-07
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.378929-1.78%0.3904+1.19%0.0351✗0.941922022-08-07
HIVEHivenative0.53010.520642-1.78%0.5991+13.02%0.1468✗1.161.4M2022-08-07
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.17008-1.80%0.1819+5.02%0.0742✗1.263.4M2022-08-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.45554-1.82%0.466+0.43%0.0309✗1.47273k2022-08-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.203175-1.85%0.2146+3.67%0.0625✗1.401,1792022-08-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.554505-1.86%0.5636-0.25%0.0241✗1.40234k2022-08-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.7232-1.87%3.2183+15.97%0.1714✗0.77978k2022-08-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.053183-1.88%0.0544+0.37%0.0296✗1.25269k2022-08-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.381104-1.88%0.354473-8.74%0.0652✓1.301.0M2022-08-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.8187-1.89%2.798-2.61%0.0006✓1.4247k2022-08-07
QNTQuantEthereum102.61100.6691-1.89%126.46+23.24%0.2338✗1.014.2M2022-08-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99490.976047-1.89%1.0439+4.93%0.0737✗1.171.2M2022-08-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.009417-1.90%0.00906-5.62%0.0316✓1.26355k2022-08-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5105-1.91%1.57+1.95%0.0398✗0.22268k2022-08-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.081983-1.93%0.08386+0.31%0.0302✗1.3429k2022-08-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.6285-1.94%6.829+44.68%0.3920✗0.552.0M2022-08-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.316895-1.94%0.35815+10.82%0.1297✗1.3111k2022-08-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.418157-1.99%0.42719+0.12%0.0292✗1.39592k2022-08-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.6558-2.03%1.81+7.10%0.0967✗1.37114k2022-08-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.6913-2.06%5.07+5.85%0.0816✗0.711.1M2022-08-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.02094-2.06%0.019873-7.05%0.0494✓0.52167k2022-08-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.18.9085-2.10%8.94-1.76%0.0065✓0.531.4M2022-08-07
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.452084-2.15%0.47524+2.87%0.0543✗0.7863k2022-08-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.486-2.16%4.08+14.51%0.1670✗1.735.0M2022-08-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.3156-2.19%3.12-7.96%0.0581✓0.4981k2022-08-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.287545-2.20%0.308+4.76%0.0750✗1.13303k2022-08-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.33441-2.22%0.339-0.88%0.0194✓1.03794k2022-08-07
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.048247-2.35%0.051551+4.34%0.0729✗1.1938k2022-08-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.7597-2.43%8.249-8.12%0.0531✓1.256.5M2022-08-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.903708-2.47%0.9885+6.68%0.0989✗1.64202k2022-08-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03972.9628-2.53%3.4736+14.27%0.1641✗0.891.2M2022-08-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.047808-2.55%0.05378+9.62%0.1227✗0.9015k2022-08-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.514127-2.63%0.551+4.36%0.0757✗1.1513k2022-08-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.162924-2.67%0.1758+5.02%0.0830✗1.25475k2022-08-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.5602-2.70%10.03+29.09%0.2903✗1.36256k2022-08-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.113-2.72%3.06-4.38%0.0087✓1.52192k2022-08-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000095386-2.74%0.00009956+1.52%0.0536✗1.92592k2022-08-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.5921-2.75%5.65-1.74%0.0137✓0.611.1M2022-08-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.22072-2.77%0.2551+12.38%0.1524✗1.371,6972022-08-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.928337-2.79%0.931-2.51%0.0128✓1.77513k2022-08-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.033264-2.82%0.03436+0.38%0.0409✗1.5311.5M2022-08-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.4317-2.85%2.37-5.31%0.0178✓1.41172k2022-08-07
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16883.0779-2.87%3.0557-3.57%0.0015✓1.5611k2022-08-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.848557-3.02%0.811-7.31%0.0369✓1.493,1392022-08-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3725.5657-3.05%32.48+23.17%0.2472✗1.39585k2022-08-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.188302-3.05%0.19598+0.90%0.0529✗2.311,2222022-08-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5106-3.07%2.48-4.25%0.0063✓1.07258k2022-08-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.021885-3.23%0.023491+3.88%0.0763✗0.989,2332022-08-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.081247-3.30%0.10727+27.67%0.2862✗1.50768k2022-08-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.535.2889-3.32%37.71+3.32%0.0743✗1.415.4M2022-08-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.9010,469.26-3.63%11,438.54+5.29%0.0963✗1.394.1M2022-08-07
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.078-3.78%1.1657+4.05%0.0843✗1.1010k2022-08-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07921.0361-3.99%1.1124+3.08%0.0768✗1.0313k2022-08-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0719.987-5.14%22.19+5.32%0.1094✗0.872.2M2022-08-07
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.5015-5.15%1.912+20.78%0.2528✗1.981.3M2022-08-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7899.2549-5.46%8.792-10.18%0.0454✓1.062.3M2022-08-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.