8=======>

2022-07-30 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0424
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
17.3%
in alpha space · 29.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.91%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47146.1627+0.48%141.34-2.84%0.0016✓1.193.9M2022-08-06
GTGateEthereum4.44444.4655+0.47%4.7775+7.49%0.0891✓0.73947k2022-08-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.087734+0.38%0.1014+16.02%0.1807✓1.216,3652022-08-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.572095+0.37%0.5729+0.51%0.0351✓1.14350k2022-08-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.322461+0.30%0.31626-1.63%0.0151✓1.17400k2022-08-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4760.618+0.24%60.84+0.61%0.0378✓1.1613.5M2022-08-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1323,693.89+0.19%22,960.93-2.91%0.0018✓1.00427.9M2022-08-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.067213+0.17%0.0744+10.88%0.1334✓1.08351k2022-08-06
STXStacksnative0.43030.430731+0.10%0.4845+12.60%0.1545✓1.25613k2022-08-06
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2695.3228+0.07%99.08+4.01%0.0879✓1.6610.0M2022-08-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.064095-0.01%0.0604-5.77%0.0180✓1.40339k2022-08-06
XVGVergenative0.003630.003629-0.03%0.0037+1.93%0.0580✗1.31566k2022-08-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.2092-0.03%8.524+3.80%0.0744✗1.249.4M2022-08-06
PROPropyEthereum0.750.749344-0.09%0.92+22.67%0.2231✗0.6179k2022-08-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.235056-0.23%0.2353-0.13%0.0449✗1.4892k2022-08-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.147452-0.24%0.1626+10.01%0.1345✗1.2488k2022-08-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.015576-0.24%0.015891+1.78%0.0462✗0.881.2M2022-08-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.1095-0.27%0.1141+3.92%0.0795✗1.30491k2022-08-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.006132-0.28%0.006324+2.85%0.0574✗0.909,1592022-08-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,692.62-0.32%1,690.81-0.42%0.0361✗1.26387.0M2022-08-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.149-0.33%10.501+3.12%0.0661✗1.082.6M2022-08-06
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.37e-7-0.35%9.70e-7+3.19%0.0595✗0.836.0M2022-08-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.0324-0.38%4.95-2.01%0.0102✓0.21210k2022-08-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.721158-0.39%0.749+3.45%0.0739✗1.22776k2022-08-06
DASHDashDash50.7150.5048-0.40%52.57+3.67%0.0728✗1.11574k2022-08-06
ZECZcashZcash65.1364.8491-0.43%67.65+3.87%0.0794✗1.251.5M2022-08-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.4562-0.44%2.45-0.69%0.0247✗0.92105k2022-08-06
XMRMoneroMonero155.85155.1432-0.45%160.51+2.99%0.0666✗1.101.3M2022-08-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.1364-0.49%1.1937+4.53%0.0807✗1.0643k2022-08-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.336344-0.49%0.3492+3.31%0.0709✗1.137.7M2022-08-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.069212-0.52%0.068641-1.34%0.0256✗1.151.7M2022-08-06
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.8072-0.55%1.8777+3.33%0.0755✗1.26492k2022-08-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.00896-0.56%0.00834-7.44%0.0446✓0.921.6M2022-08-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.044936-0.58%0.0505+11.73%0.1564✗1.347,5232022-08-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.797084-0.61%0.769-4.11%0.0083✗1.4980k2022-08-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.021366-0.62%0.02302+7.07%0.1051✗1.03149k2022-08-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.6104-0.63%2.698+2.70%0.0849✗1.7692k2022-08-06
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.068595-0.64%0.06951+0.69%0.0360✗0.77376k2022-08-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001633-0.68%0.001709+3.95%0.0759✗1.0216k2022-08-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.314288-0.70%0.3411+7.77%0.1169✗1.192.9M2022-08-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.306838-0.70%0.339+9.71%0.1304✗1.04766k2022-08-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.144677-0.70%0.1584+8.72%0.1197✗0.983.5M2022-08-06
KSMKusamaHydration63.162.6388-0.73%66.41+5.25%0.0935✗1.19257k2022-08-06
XECeCashnative0.000044180.00004385-0.75%0.00004474+1.27%0.0543✗1.161.9M2022-08-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.055273-0.77%0.0601+7.90%0.1261✗1.43140k2022-08-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.285888-0.77%0.4323+50.05%0.4471✗1.1475k2022-08-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.241597-0.78%0.2586+6.20%0.1044✗1.23101k2022-08-06
ZENHorizenBase17.7217.5795-0.79%19.27+8.75%0.1324✗1.37108k2022-08-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.52e-7-0.81%9.70e-7+1.04%0.0480✗1.0024k2022-08-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001088-0.81%0.001117+1.78%0.0637✗1.281.5M2022-08-06
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.0061-0.83%1.0463+3.13%0.0676✗0.9658k2022-08-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2524.0485-0.83%26.64+9.86%0.1495✗1.6027.5M2022-08-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.116909-0.84%0.1212+2.80%0.0675✗1.06337k2022-08-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.2355-0.85%2.3396+3.77%0.0820✗1.2324k2022-08-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.077329-0.86%0.0774-0.77%0.0253✗0.82148k2022-08-06
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.522046-0.88%0.5114-2.90%0.0163✗1.2543.2M2022-08-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.029514-0.89%0.03265+9.64%0.1376✗1.2414k2022-08-06
FTTFTXEthereum31.1130.8305-0.90%30.39-2.31%0.0138✗0.9510.8M2022-08-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.118582-0.91%0.121903+1.87%0.0570✗0.996.8M2022-08-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000011821-0.91%0.00001195+0.17%0.0472✗1.23951k2022-08-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2024,380.17-0.93%23,221.90-5.63%0.0197✓0.9817k2022-08-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.029463-0.97%0.03137+5.45%0.1015✗1.311,3342022-08-06
SOLSolanaSolana43.8443.412-0.98%40.07-8.60%0.0400✓1.3681.8M2022-08-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.058024-0.98%0.0647+10.41%0.1474✗1.30787k2022-08-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.009514-1.00%0.01006+4.68%0.0844✗0.974.7M2022-08-06
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700814.5533-1.00%18.5059+25.88%0.2751✗1.1870k2022-08-06
FLOWFlownative1.9231.9037-1.00%2.57+33.65%0.3378✗1.27413k2022-08-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.006901-1.02%0.006459-7.36%0.0502✓0.5439k2022-08-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.3242-1.03%1.32-1.35%0.0335✗1.241.2M2022-08-06
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.248525-1.06%0.2578+2.63%0.0702✗1.13681k2022-08-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.13-1.07%0.1385+5.40%0.1013✗1.2850k2022-08-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004323-1.07%0.00468+7.09%0.1182✗1.32103k2022-08-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.018469-1.08%0.01771-5.14%0.0195✓0.76254k2022-08-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9279-1.08%3.034+2.50%0.0685✗1.11619k2022-08-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.5691-1.10%1.5589-1.75%0.0362✗1.44609k2022-08-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00880.99738-1.13%1.0472+3.81%0.0878✗1.32431k2022-08-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4729-1.15%1.51+1.34%0.0674✗1.441.1M2022-08-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.089505-1.19%0.0864-4.61%0.0272✓0.27985k2022-08-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.344579-1.20%0.353472+1.35%0.0642✗1.311.0M2022-08-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.6803-1.23%2.9758+9.66%0.1335✗0.981.0M2022-08-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6861.9095-1.23%61.424-2.00%0.0171✗0.84386k2022-08-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.938757-1.24%1.1668+22.76%0.2439✗0.893.6M2022-08-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.797-1.27%2.279+25.22%0.2564✗0.64219k2022-08-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.425729-1.27%0.4353+0.95%0.0615✗1.33104k2022-08-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.583892-1.27%0.652+10.25%0.1446✗1.16624k2022-08-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.125478-1.28%0.1298+2.12%0.0632✗0.995,2722022-08-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.3604-1.28%1.43+3.77%0.0876✗1.282.4M2022-08-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.500474-1.29%0.5694+12.31%0.1622✗1.1245k2022-08-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.257793-1.30%0.2613+0.04%0.0139✗0.0129k2022-08-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8237.7204-1.31%7.794-0.37%0.0468✗1.2616.2M2022-08-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.782576-1.31%0.835+5.30%0.1013✗1.23210k2022-08-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.400175-1.32%0.43078+6.23%0.1094✗1.21118k2022-08-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.667371-1.34%0.69175+2.26%0.0806✗1.5181k2022-08-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.618-1.34%1.83+11.59%0.1637✗1.37114k2022-08-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.55e-7-1.37%3.37e-7-6.43%0.0246✓0.95188k2022-08-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.213017-1.38%0.223+3.24%0.0905✗1.51786k2022-08-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003128-1.38%0.003241+2.18%0.0654✗1.01999k2022-08-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.5601-1.40%10.632-0.73%0.0473✗1.3715.0M2022-08-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.076745-1.42%0.07779-0.08%0.0353✗0.741,1722022-08-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.5585-1.44%6.11+8.33%0.1142✗0.66554k2022-08-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.252753-1.46%0.2708+5.58%0.1008✗1.0863k2022-08-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.124811-1.49%0.1462+15.39%0.1906✗1.10617k2022-08-06
METISMetisEthereum34.4933.971-1.50%41.23+19.54%0.2514✗1.95213k2022-08-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.617518-1.51%0.678+8.13%0.1348✗1.4086k2022-08-06
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.7678-1.52%1.828+1.84%0.0762✗1.45316k2022-08-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.936-1.53%1.993+1.37%0.0712✗1.42234k2022-08-06
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2357.3316-1.54%65.05+11.71%0.1674✗1.3932k2022-08-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.9008-1.56%2.119+9.74%0.1462✗1.27637k2022-08-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.163532-1.57%0.16929+1.90%0.0803✗1.55207k2022-08-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.7599-1.57%2.76-1.57%0.0422✗1.4243k2022-08-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.73-1.61%3.966+4.62%0.0876✗0.89754k2022-08-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.042316-1.64%0.04651+8.11%0.1230✗0.961,9372022-08-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7614.516-1.65%16.93+14.70%0.1960✗1.421.7M2022-08-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.056872-1.66%0.05463-5.54%0.0225✓0.6022k2022-08-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8116-1.69%3.03+5.94%0.1199✗1.52192k2022-08-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.070776-1.70%0.071-1.39%0.0314✗0.96183k2022-08-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.037844-1.70%0.0444+15.32%0.1958✗1.2268k2022-08-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.087778-1.70%0.0869-2.69%0.0247✗1.18155k2022-08-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.034.9435-1.72%5.75+14.31%0.1692✗0.61605k2022-08-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.752805-1.72%0.808+5.48%0.0999✗0.99360k2022-08-06
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.5812-1.73%7.264+8.47%0.1500✗1.7311.0M2022-08-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.1346-1.74%3.1-2.82%0.0037✓0.5077k2022-08-06
HIVEHivenative0.52750.518321-1.74%0.5841+10.73%0.1537✗1.161.4M2022-08-06
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.16801-1.75%0.1805+5.56%0.1088✗1.263.1M2022-08-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.3348-1.76%1.3733+1.08%0.0728✗1.506.4M2022-08-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.6821-1.78%4.041+7.79%0.1105✗0.591.5M2022-08-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1218.7783-1.79%17.94-6.17%0.0059✓1.341.3M2022-08-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.164-1.79%4.656+9.81%0.1290✗0.591.3M2022-08-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.4829-1.80%1.53+1.32%0.0377✗0.22268k2022-08-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.002299-1.82%0.00221-5.64%0.0101✓1.001.8M2022-08-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6169-1.82%3.961+7.52%0.1122✗0.721.1M2022-08-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.129498-1.82%0.1278-3.11%0.0274✗1.372.5M2022-08-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.450344-1.82%0.4528-1.29%0.0490✗1.47242k2022-08-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.96194-1.84%1.0945+11.68%0.1636✗1.171.2M2022-08-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.6352-1.85%6.62-2.07%0.0389✗1.391.0M2022-08-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.616-1.87%8.78+0.00%0.0602✗1.407.7M2022-08-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.020483-1.88%0.020238-3.06%0.0032✓0.52167k2022-08-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.2397-1.89%4.1275-4.48%0.0054✓1.0933k2022-08-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.052489-1.89%0.0547+2.24%0.0785✗1.26263k2022-08-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.080103-1.90%0.08609+5.44%0.1119✗1.3528k2022-08-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.311511-1.96%0.36027+13.38%0.1842✗1.3111k2022-08-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.423227-2.00%0.41209-4.58%0.0145✓1.39583k2022-08-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.366-2.02%11.63+0.26%0.0588✗1.21241k2022-08-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.865782-2.06%0.871-1.47%0.0569✗1.725.2M2022-08-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2788.106-2.08%8.285+0.08%0.0588✗1.255.9M2022-08-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.4347-2.10%5.03+11.04%0.1470✗0.71912k2022-08-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.213931-2.14%0.2155-1.42%0.0485✗1.391,0652022-08-06
QNTQuantEthereum106.35104.0756-2.14%120.14+12.97%0.1735✗1.014.2M2022-08-06
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.451551-2.14%0.47249+2.40%0.0685✗0.7857k2022-08-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.290494-2.16%0.313+5.42%0.1081✗1.13309k2022-08-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.5669-2.20%4.274+17.19%0.2319✗1.734.3M2022-08-06
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.425609-2.20%–pending––0.902142022-08-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3568-2.21%2.51+4.15%0.0949✗1.08207k2022-08-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.558368-2.21%0.5669-0.72%0.0567✗1.40234k2022-08-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.7663-2.30%3.2103+13.38%0.1717✗0.77978k2022-08-06
XEMNEMnative0.049120.047982-2.32%0.051804+5.46%0.1118✗1.1935k2022-08-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.7507-2.32%3.0029+6.64%0.1342✗1.5711k2022-08-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.493043-2.37%0.549+8.71%0.1415✗1.1513k2022-08-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.158.9256-2.45%8.88-2.95%0.0104✓0.531.2M2022-08-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.2694-2.52%2.366+1.63%0.0835✗1.42169k2022-08-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.046049-2.54%0.05523+16.89%0.2084✗0.9015k2022-08-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.1563-2.59%1.1291-4.88%0.0178✓1.401.4M2022-08-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.948844-2.61%0.9885+1.46%0.0893✗1.64202k2022-08-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.949857-2.68%0.923-5.43%0.0236✓1.77513k2022-08-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.009991-2.72%0.00885-13.83%0.0840✓1.26355k2022-08-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.163803-2.73%0.1743+3.50%0.0990✗1.25446k2022-08-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.0287-2.87%1.178+11.24%0.1561✗0.691.3M2022-08-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000095268-2.91%0.00010002+1.94%0.1060✗1.94635k2022-08-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.032219-2.93%0.03525+6.21%0.1351✗1.5311.5M2022-08-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.0186-2.95%1.1588+10.41%0.1614✗1.109,9742022-08-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.222455-2.98%0.2645+15.35%0.2135✗1.371,5612022-08-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1916.6504-3.14%21.63+25.83%0.2876✗0.882.2M2022-08-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.4139-3.15%5.65+1.07%0.0609✗0.62956k2022-08-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.813121-3.20%0.802-4.52%0.0303✓1.493,1392022-08-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.021477-3.25%0.023204+4.53%0.1063✗0.989,2332022-08-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.186025-3.28%0.19836+3.13%0.1328✗2.321,1512022-08-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3195.1378-3.41%5.583+4.96%0.0992✗0.552.0M2022-08-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.7842-3.42%10.6+31.51%0.3490✗1.36256k2022-08-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08972.9833-3.44%3.4478+11.59%0.1711✗0.891.1M2022-08-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.081715-3.80%0.08585+1.07%0.0937✗1.50768k2022-08-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0347.7277-3.81%9.445+17.56%0.2325✗1.082.3M2022-08-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4837.8368-4.16%37.8-4.26%0.0407✓1.412.8M2022-08-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.0635-4.29%1.1084-0.26%0.0718✗1.0313k2022-08-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2011,153.70-5.25%11,723.93-0.41%0.0909✗1.394.0M2022-08-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0330.1988-5.72%31.73-0.94%0.0903✗1.38563k2022-08-06
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.6782-7.23%1.901+5.09%0.1830✗1.971.3M2022-08-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.