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2022-07-28 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0683
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
18.5%
in alpha space · 42.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.29644.3162+0.46%4.55+5.90%0.0910✓0.72968k2022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.54861+0.37%0.5454-0.22%0.0542✓1.14350k2022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.085167+0.31%0.0975+14.84%0.1993✓1.216,3652022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001528+0.26%0.001657+8.73%0.1347✓1.0120k2022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062863-0.06%0.0616-2.07%0.0540✗1.41337k2022-08-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7023,831.76-0.08%22,623.94-5.15%0.0008✓1.00429.5M2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.43440.433939-0.11%0.4737+9.05%0.1541✗1.26606k2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8567.8475-0.11%8.092+3.00%0.0971✗1.269.4M2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.80.799014-0.12%0.74-7.50%0.0443✓0.6179k2022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4363.3397-0.14%59.65-5.96%0.0013✓1.1613.5M2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.325174-0.16%0.31338-3.78%0.0252✗1.18407k2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.105706-0.28%0.1096+3.40%0.1057✗1.32491k2022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003690.00368-0.28%0.00377+2.17%0.0936✗1.31505k2022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.149375-0.28%0.1561+4.21%0.1100✗1.2587k2022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.746725-0.30%0.727-2.94%0.0528✗1.5180k2022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015374-0.35%0.015595+1.08%0.0615✗0.891.2M2022-08-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006156-0.37%0.006146-0.54%0.0452✗0.894,8812022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.7099-0.39%1.8249+6.31%0.1316✗1.26492k2022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.3014-0.40%10.035-2.98%0.0316✗1.092.4M2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69154.9776-0.46%134.34-13.71%0.0799✓1.193.9M2022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.052952-0.47%0.0593+11.47%0.1902✗1.46109k2022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1301-0.48%1.1502+1.28%0.0744✗1.0743k2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash63.6463.3301-0.49%64.38+1.16%0.0838✗1.271.5M2022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.239402-0.50%0.2263-5.94%0.0225✗1.4999k2022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.719272-0.52%0.738+2.07%0.0894✗1.21806k2022-08-04
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.45e-7-0.55%9.60e-7+1.05%0.0602✗0.845.9M2022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum100.4199.8337-0.57%96.34-4.05%0.0526✗1.679.0M2022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.029753-0.59%0.03231+7.95%0.1487✗1.2514k2022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.020861-0.61%0.02113+0.67%0.0673✗1.03136k2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.044025-0.62%0.0482+8.80%0.1614✗1.347,1312022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.334179-0.63%0.3361-0.06%0.0663✗1.157.7M2022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.008892-0.65%0.00822-8.16%0.0301✓0.921.6M2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,713.95-0.65%1,608.16-6.78%0.0028✓1.26383.0M2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.935.8911-0.66%8.092+36.46%0.3757✗1.102.0M2022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.068646-0.66%0.067353-2.53%0.0419✗1.151.7M2022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.242559-0.67%0.2485+1.76%0.0896✗1.24110k2022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.134973-0.68%0.1392+2.43%0.0841✗1.013.2M2022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.301918-0.69%0.333+9.54%0.1530✗1.04681k2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.2861-0.69%5-6.07%0.0447✓0.21214k2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.069275-0.70%0.068981-1.12%0.0373✗0.79376k2022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.00109-0.72%0.001089-0.82%0.0676✗1.301.6M2022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.082981-0.74%0.0731-12.56%0.0832✓0.83155k2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.311268-0.74%0.3306+5.42%0.1233✗1.192.7M2022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.069575-0.75%0.0733+4.56%0.1085✗1.07299k2022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.4833-0.75%2.9175+16.60%0.2131✗0.98863k2022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.054287-0.76%0.063+15.17%0.2181✗1.31765k2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000043935-0.78%0.00004294-3.03%0.0392✗1.181.7M2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero162.51161.2255-0.79%159.25-2.01%0.0457✗1.101.3M2022-08-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.52e-7-0.83%9.50e-7-1.04%0.0507✗1.0024k2022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.129505-0.84%0.1347+3.14%0.1078✗1.3049k2022-08-04
DASHDashDash52.4852.035-0.85%49.4-5.87%0.0073✓1.12594k2022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.6116-0.85%2.415-8.31%0.0294✓0.93105k2022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3023,672.21-0.85%22,495.20-5.78%0.0007✓0.9819k2022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.328132-0.86%0.340211+2.79%0.1043✗1.291.0M2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.00915-0.87%0.00979+6.07%0.1188✗0.974.7M2022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5499-0.89%6.43+14.82%0.2218✗1.41959k2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.115619-0.92%0.113921-2.37%0.0380✗1.006.8M2022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.508145-0.93%0.4997-2.57%0.0495✗1.2543.2M2022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.115909-0.93%0.1168-0.17%0.0643✗1.07357k2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.151-0.96%7.364+1.99%0.0963✗1.2716.2M2022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.1477-0.97%14.6359+2.45%0.0970✗1.1970k2022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.8761.8576-0.98%2.6+38.59%0.4036✗1.27413k2022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018644-0.99%0.01758-6.64%0.0186✓0.76263k2022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2323.9865-1.00%23.37-3.55%0.0587✗1.6027.5M2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3601-1.01%1.399+1.82%0.0962✗1.292.4M2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9965430.986395-1.02%1.0151+1.87%0.0804✗0.9857k2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.4847-1.02%1.502+0.13%0.0873✗1.43561k2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.113606-1.04%0.1202+4.70%0.1296✗1.382.5M2022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.745126-1.05%0.782+3.85%0.1141✗1.25178k2022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.60e-7-1.05%3.56e-7-2.07%0.0401✗0.96195k2022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.970102-1.05%0.99245+1.23%0.0936✗1.34399k2022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011726-1.05%0.00001185+0.00%0.0763✗1.25986k2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.29823-1.05%0.329+9.16%0.1587✗1.1575k2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana42.9342.4759-1.06%38.82-9.57%0.0176✓1.3781.8M2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.006827-1.07%0.0067-2.91%0.0096✓0.5440k2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004372-1.08%0.00454+2.71%0.1076✗1.32106k2022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.247748-1.10%0.2522+0.68%0.0791✗1.16643k2022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration65.4464.7187-1.10%61.12-6.60%0.0058✓1.19244k2022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.119369-1.10%0.1447+19.88%0.2512✗1.11617k2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8316-1.13%2.982+4.12%0.1101✗1.10597k2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.8252-1.15%2.596-9.17%0.0082✓1.7692k2022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.6894-1.15%1.814+6.14%0.1054✗0.65223k2022-08-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.477357-1.15%0.5776+19.61%0.2435✗1.00224k2022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.2477-1.15%17.32-6.18%0.0208✗1.38100k2022-08-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.093255-1.15%0.08541-9.47%0.0740✓0.26859k2022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.5716-1.15%1.7+6.92%0.1517✗1.38114k2022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.493582-1.16%0.5677+13.68%0.1992✗1.1242k2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.569598-1.18%0.5965+3.49%0.1080✗1.17624k2022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.12016-1.18%0.1269+4.36%0.1072✗1.005,8712022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.258823-1.21%0.2611-0.34%0.0093✓0.0131k2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum30.2429.871-1.22%29.14-3.64%0.0256✗0.9510.8M2022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.940962-1.24%1.1273+18.31%0.2562✗1.431.4M2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.873006-1.24%1.214+37.33%0.3674✗0.711.2M2022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.965418-1.29%1.1853+21.20%0.2535✗0.913.9M2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1362.3103-1.30%60.269-4.53%0.0117✓0.85386k2022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.2904-1.30%5.82+8.58%0.1307✗0.67514k2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.662528-1.32%0.66591-0.81%0.0858✗1.5379k2022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.169-1.32%7.98+9.84%0.1740✗1.265.5M2022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.074335-1.33%0.07693+2.11%0.0732✗0.741,3772022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.213081-1.35%0.218+0.93%0.1026✗1.51786k2022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.8278-1.36%1.967+6.15%0.1495✗1.44217k2022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3384-1.37%1.297-4.42%0.0341✗1.241.2M2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003064-1.38%0.003069-1.22%0.0544✗1.001.0M2022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.7041-1.38%5.54+16.14%0.1963✗0.62587k2022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4493-1.39%3.83+9.49%0.1420✗0.71497k2022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.8021-1.42%2.223+21.61%0.2779✗1.29626k2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.251078-1.42%0.2606+2.32%0.0946✗1.0963k2022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.3946-1.44%3.1416+29.31%0.3128✗0.78884k2022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.054245-1.45%0.054264-1.41%0.0327✗0.6120k2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.9324-1.47%4.616+15.66%0.1919✗0.601.1M2022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.602995-1.47%0.686+12.09%0.2036✗1.4184k2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.402748-1.49%0.40433-1.11%0.0685✗1.22118k2022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.1576-1.51%0.16-0.01%0.0968✗1.55205k2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.064488-1.55%0.0667+1.83%0.0844✗0.96183k2022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.424298-1.56%0.4162-3.43%0.0522✗1.35104k2022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.3046-1.56%3.844+14.51%0.1830✗0.601.5M2022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.6653-1.58%3.982+6.93%0.1293✗0.88754k2022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.686-1.58%10.359-4.60%0.0415✗1.3714.4M2022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1816.9056-1.60%17.75+3.32%0.1212✗1.371.3M2022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9757.0422-1.60%56-3.40%0.0551✗1.3932k2022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.042497-1.60%0.04386+1.55%0.0828✗0.971,9372022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5434-1.69%1.47-6.37%0.0281✗1.451.0M2022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.2809-1.69%3.3721+45.34%0.4386✗0.90979k2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.083154-1.71%0.0854+0.95%0.0900✗1.20155k2022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.160972-1.73%0.1729+5.56%0.1392✗1.282.8M2022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030037-1.74%0.03038-0.62%0.0804✗1.311,3002022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.038019-1.76%0.0421+8.79%0.1670✗1.2368k2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020564-1.79%0.020525-1.97%0.0249✗0.51165k2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7239-1.83%1.755-0.06%0.0948✗1.46316k2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2094-1.85%3.09-5.50%0.0115✓0.5082k2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.194882-1.87%0.2175+9.52%0.1823✗1.371,5612022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.758034-1.94%0.799+3.36%0.1054✗1.00360k2022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.2166-1.94%4.83+12.33%0.1738✗0.72685k2022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.05138-1.95%0.0537+2.48%0.1076✗1.20263k2022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.923271-1.95%1.0339+9.80%0.1756✗1.181.2M2022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1164.0356-1.95%5.156+25.27%0.2741✗0.552.0M2022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.55270.541714-1.99%0.5813+5.17%0.1321✗1.161.5M2022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.264-1.99%2.1899-5.20%0.0326✗1.2524k2022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.7854-2.00%7.437+7.41%0.1804✗1.6811.5M2022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.437414-2.02%0.45707+2.39%0.0849✗0.7853k2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.455888-2.04%0.4388-5.72%0.0399✗1.48220k2022-08-04
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.426282-2.05%–pending––0.912142022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum103.78101.6295-2.07%103.74-0.04%0.0742✗1.014.1M2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5471-2.08%1.58+0.00%0.0349✗0.26283k2022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.310878-2.09%0.36281+14.27%0.2239✗1.3111k2022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.114.7841-2.09%15.86+5.03%0.1451✗1.421.5M2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.416567-2.09%0.41954-1.39%0.0817✗1.41592k2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.026716-2.14%0.03497+28.10%0.3509✗1.5411.5M2022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.8059-2.23%3.12+8.71%0.1873✗1.54192k2022-08-04
METISMetisEthereum36.335.4599-2.31%46.01+26.75%0.3628✗1.94181k2022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.28821-2.33%0.302+2.34%0.1067✗1.13323k2022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.487519-2.50%0.558+11.60%0.1955✗1.1413k2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7132-2.51%2.728-1.98%0.0816✗1.4443k2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.04804-2.53%0.05021+1.87%0.1068✗1.1832k2022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.160216-2.60%0.1642-0.18%0.0912✗1.26411k2022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5618.0631-2.68%27.99+50.81%0.5115✗1.39534k2022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.7672-2.69%3.1854+12.02%0.2245✗1.5810k2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.3421-2.70%2.252-6.44%0.0364✗1.43160k2022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.046132-2.76%0.0491+3.50%0.1103✗0.9115k2022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.983485-2.82%0.909-10.18%0.0148✓1.77551k2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.501-2.84%1.3286-14.00%0.0422✓1.515.6M2022-08-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.947958-2.91%1.0192+4.38%0.1589✗1.64209k2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2758.9991-2.97%8.819-4.92%0.0543✗1.416.7M2022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.212652-2.99%0.1995-8.99%0.0097✓1.391,1792022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.3498-3.00%3.9592-11.71%0.0359✓1.1028k2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.819556-3.01%0.846+0.12%0.1235✗1.745.2M2022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.1091-3.05%5.59+6.07%0.1229✗0.62786k2022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0121-3.06%1.1129+6.60%0.1536✗1.119,1202022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000097133-3.12%0.00009925-1.01%0.1246✗1.95662k2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.081429-3.13%0.08615+2.49%0.1270✗1.3428k2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.177749-3.17%0.18887+2.89%0.1833✗2.321,1272022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.818927-3.20%0.786-7.09%0.0382✗1.503,1392022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1354.0026-3.20%3.777-8.66%0.0343✗1.753.8M2022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.069792-3.21%0.0809+12.19%0.2279✗1.52768k2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.7277-3.24%8.75-2.99%0.0308✓0.53918k2022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4316.8612-3.26%21.62+24.04%0.2949✗0.882.4M2022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.021148-3.33%0.022448+2.61%0.1117✗0.988,3682022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.608,825.85-3.44%10,646.82+16.48%0.2606✗1.384.0M2022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.5957-3.45%11.07-7.83%0.0180✓1.22241k2022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.6682-4.37%2.48-11.11%0.0161✓1.08175k2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.0615-5.00%1.0505-5.98%0.0443✓1.0312k2022-08-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.227.7946-5.17%9.2+11.92%0.2378✗1.36256k2022-08-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.010779-5.94%0.009-21.47%0.1133✓1.27352k2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8338.1-6.69%34.8-14.77%0.0154✓1.421.3M2022-08-04
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.3295-8.18%1.918+32.46%0.4706✗1.971.1M2022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.