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2022-07-27 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1250
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
21.2%
in alpha space · 23.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011090.010302-7.10%0.00868-21.73%0.1637✓1.27352k2022-08-03
RADRadworksEthereum3.042.8625-5.84%2.47-18.75%0.1407✓1.12175k2022-08-03
OPTIMOptimism1.0510.99472-5.35%1.993+89.63%0.7062✗1.871.1M2022-08-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9431.1986-5.29%36.06+9.47%0.1531✗1.391.3M2022-08-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03090.979121-5.02%1.0372+0.61%0.0638✗1.0211k2022-08-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.134.9223-4.05%6.43+25.34%0.2710✗0.63713k2022-08-03
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97490.93973-3.61%1.0027+2.85%0.0748✗1.65209k2022-08-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212740.020574-3.29%0.023056+8.38%0.1198✗0.997,5982022-08-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17550.169727-3.29%0.18804+7.15%0.1165✗2.341,1272022-08-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.8516.3082-3.22%21.98+30.45%0.3038✗0.882.4M2022-08-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8150.788945-3.20%0.78-4.29%0.0023✓1.513,1392022-08-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.0190.986705-3.16%1.1056+8.51%0.1205✗1.129,1202022-08-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098920.000095811-3.14%0.00009997+1.06%0.0539✗1.90692k2022-08-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.997.7577-2.91%9.55+19.52%0.2109✗0.51808k2022-08-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.939254-2.87%0.905-6.41%0.0266✓1.75551k2022-08-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046220.044935-2.78%0.04834+4.59%0.0785✗0.9115k2022-08-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2620.6755-2.75%27.64+30.01%0.2991✗1.46482k2022-08-03
METISMetisEthereum33.6432.7166-2.75%35.3+4.93%0.0820✗1.00172k2022-08-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15770.153417-2.72%0.1588+0.70%0.0421✗1.27395k2022-08-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2862.2243-2.70%2.246-1.75%0.0183✓1.44144k2022-08-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.753.6499-2.67%3.71-1.07%0.0269✓1.753.8M2022-08-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076490.074507-2.59%0.08771+14.67%0.1711✗1.3227k2022-08-03
XEMNEMnative0.0481960.046961-2.56%0.049291+2.27%0.0556✗1.1926k2022-08-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.29940.291889-2.51%0.3183+6.31%0.0936✗1.16331k2022-08-03
QTUMQtumQtum4.12694.0273-2.41%3.8986-5.53%0.0259✓1.0926k2022-08-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4880.476277-2.40%0.517+5.94%0.0890✗1.1612k2022-08-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4815.1158-2.35%16.44+6.20%0.0927✗1.461.4M2022-08-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02690.026302-2.22%0.03749+39.37%0.3638✗1.5611.5M2022-08-03
HIVEHivenative0.53420.522547-2.18%0.596+11.57%0.1386✗1.171.5M2022-08-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44910.439433-2.15%0.4399-2.05%0.0100✓1.48220k2022-08-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9133.8291-2.14%4.981+27.29%0.2663✗0.552.0M2022-08-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403090.394596-2.11%0.40592+0.70%0.0368✗1.42592k2022-08-03
DIADIAEthereum0.432810.4237-2.10%0.46564+7.59%0.0990✗0.7752k2022-08-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.184.0921-2.10%5.08+21.53%0.2206✗0.72612k2022-08-03
APEApeCoinEthereum6.8266.6825-2.10%7.168+5.01%0.0804✗1.7111.5M2022-08-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54152.4888-2.08%2.7381+7.74%0.1049✗1.579,9702022-08-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32511.2976-2.07%1.334+0.67%0.0366✗1.495.2M2022-08-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199960.019585-2.05%0.019949-0.24%0.0214✗0.51163k2022-08-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.0357.873-2.02%8.907+10.85%0.1318✗1.396.2M2022-08-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3915-2.00%1.52+7.04%0.0898✗0.24283k2022-08-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.30820.302085-1.98%0.34922+13.31%0.1530✗1.3210k2022-08-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18960.185875-1.96%0.1999+5.43%0.0809✗1.351,0652022-08-03
FISStafiEthereum0.39580.388149-1.93%–pending––0.863902022-08-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.313.2468-1.91%3.826+15.59%0.1678✗0.611.5M2022-08-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.733.6603-1.87%3.905+4.69%0.0700✗0.89711k2022-08-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.049275-1.84%0.0546+8.76%0.1099✗1.21256k2022-08-03
DODODODOEthereum0.15260.1498-1.84%0.1708+11.93%0.1389✗1.282.8M2022-08-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.0433-1.83%3.17+2.26%0.0437✗0.4877k2022-08-03
QNTQuantEthereum97.195.3364-1.82%105.18+8.32%0.1044✗1.014.0M2022-08-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.88880.873018-1.78%1.0178+14.51%0.1606✗1.191.2M2022-08-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06540.064253-1.75%0.0682+4.28%0.0655✗0.98183k2022-08-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.24532.2064-1.73%3.3577+49.54%0.4252✗0.89971k2022-08-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029990.029472-1.73%0.0308+2.70%0.0520✗1.321,3002022-08-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08230.080886-1.72%0.0861+4.62%0.0698✗1.22157k2022-08-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,170.147,051.26-1.66%10,725.04+49.58%0.4274✗1.334.0M2022-08-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.18470.181667-1.64%0.207+12.07%0.1388✗1.381,5612022-08-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4223.3659-1.64%3.978+16.25%0.1713✗0.70488k2022-08-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.276.1679-1.63%10.73+71.13%0.5615✗1.30248k2022-08-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.31610.1498-1.61%10.165-1.46%0.0098✓1.3813.7M2022-08-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7280.716399-1.59%0.816+12.09%0.1405✗1.735.2M2022-08-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.393570.387318-1.59%0.39422+0.17%0.0250✗1.23118k2022-08-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.153390.150959-1.59%0.16304+6.29%0.0864✗1.56191k2022-08-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.64.5282-1.56%5.82+26.52%0.2547✗0.62579k2022-08-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4560.448887-1.56%0.5411+18.66%0.1928✗1.00222k2022-08-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5492.5099-1.53%2.695+5.73%0.0798✗1.4343k2022-08-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9093.8497-1.52%4.478+14.56%0.1548✗0.611.1M2022-08-03
API3Api3Ethereum1.7531.7267-1.50%1.997+13.92%0.1532✗1.29626k2022-08-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.035168-1.49%0.0413+15.69%0.1681✗1.2368k2022-08-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3161.2965-1.48%1.259-4.33%0.0218✓1.251.2M2022-08-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1517.0455-1.48%7.861+9.93%0.1172✗1.285.5M2022-08-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.7916.5438-1.47%17.17+2.26%0.0455✗1.391.3M2022-08-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.24850.24486-1.46%0.2598+4.55%0.0658✗1.0962k2022-08-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97510.960872-1.46%1.0343+6.07%0.0792✗0.923.6M2022-08-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06890.067895-1.46%0.0773+12.19%0.1362✗1.07284k2022-08-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041010.040412-1.46%0.04345+5.95%0.0783✗0.971,9372022-08-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5950.586366-1.45%0.633+6.39%0.0851✗1.4283k2022-08-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003054-1.45%0.003141+1.36%0.0341✗1.001.0M2022-08-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.25781-1.45%0.2612-0.15%0.0131✓0.0131k2022-08-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34412.3103-1.44%3.2654+39.30%0.3507✗0.78884k2022-08-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.650330.640959-1.44%0.64899-0.21%0.0217✗1.5479k2022-08-03
FTTFTXEthereum29.4329.0059-1.44%29.1-1.12%0.0090✓0.9610.5M2022-08-03
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9254.136-1.43%55.76+1.53%0.0380✗1.4032k2022-08-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095510.094189-1.38%0.08801-7.85%0.0618✓1.00785k2022-08-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0541580.053421-1.36%0.055731+2.90%0.0460✗0.6220k2022-08-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.685625-1.35%0.767+10.36%0.1180✗0.98360k2022-08-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.552.5157-1.34%2.81+10.20%0.1198✗1.52192k2022-08-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073320.072339-1.34%0.07828+6.76%0.0834✗0.741,4882022-08-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.5931.5718-1.33%1.799+12.93%0.1387✗0.60229k2022-08-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31340.309224-1.33%0.3182+1.53%0.0357✗1.1773k2022-08-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2070.204333-1.29%0.213+2.90%0.0507✗1.52803k2022-08-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.97357.2485-1.25%60.311+4.03%0.0572✗0.84369k2022-08-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067640.00668-1.25%0.006698-0.98%0.0060✓0.5442k2022-08-03
ADACardanoCardano0.51130.50493-1.25%0.5009-2.03%0.0004✓1.2743.2M2022-08-03
STEEMSteemnative0.24490.241888-1.23%0.2495+1.88%0.0380✗1.17701k2022-08-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8646.7803-1.22%7.285+6.13%0.0794✗1.2716.2M2022-08-03
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8350.824829-1.22%1.125+34.73%0.3146✗0.711.2M2022-08-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.054.989-1.21%5.99+18.61%0.1867✗0.65514k2022-08-03
BANDBandEthereum1.5231.5046-1.21%1.689+10.90%0.1242✗1.44316k2022-08-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57560.568681-1.20%0.6036+4.86%0.0667✗1.19624k2022-08-03
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88990.879219-1.20%1.0834+21.74%0.2174✗1.431.4M2022-08-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011540.000011402-1.20%0.00001183+2.51%0.0444✗1.25986k2022-08-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7272.6946-1.19%2.672-2.02%0.0022✓1.7692k2022-08-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47060.465009-1.19%0.4744+0.81%0.0267✗1.1142k2022-08-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11970.118283-1.18%0.1288+7.60%0.0912✗1.015,4502022-08-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.7412.7089-1.17%2.964+8.14%0.0966✗1.11597k2022-08-03
SOLSolanaSolana40.2439.7754-1.15%38.55-4.20%0.0231✓1.3781.8M2022-08-03
KSMKusamaHydration62.361.5834-1.15%61.31-1.59%0.0027✓1.20244k2022-08-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.423.132-1.15%23.04-1.54%0.0057✓1.6127.5M2022-08-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4828-1.14%1.6+6.67%0.0844✗1.39114k2022-08-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3551.3395-1.14%1.359+0.30%0.0222✗1.302.4M2022-08-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.3644-1.13%1.43+3.62%0.0556✗1.44966k2022-08-03
SCSiacoinnative0.004260.004214-1.08%0.00456+7.04%0.0869✗1.33106k2022-08-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-79.10e-7-1.08%9.80e-7+6.52%0.0800✗1.0025k2022-08-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11380.112583-1.07%0.116+1.93%0.0364✗1.08362k2022-08-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7190.71143-1.05%0.79+9.87%0.1123✗1.25149k2022-08-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.9560.946126-1.03%0.96+0.42%0.0227✗1.35392k2022-08-03
XMRMoneroMonero161.72160.0631-1.02%157.11-2.85%0.0120✓1.111.3M2022-08-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1126680.111524-1.02%0.114184+1.35%0.0296✗1.006.8M2022-08-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11120.110081-1.01%0.118+6.12%0.0778✗1.392.5M2022-08-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018050.01787-0.99%0.01768-2.05%0.0062✓0.76284k2022-08-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44261.4283-0.99%1.4589+1.13%0.0298✗1.43561k2022-08-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.55e-73.52e-7-0.98%3.49e-7-1.70%0.0015✓0.95212k2022-08-03
FLOWFlownative1.7761.7589-0.96%1.84+3.60%0.0527✗1.27413k2022-08-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.11420.113104-0.96%0.1338+17.16%0.1747✗1.11617k2022-08-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009014-0.95%0.00976+7.25%0.0855✗0.984.4M2022-08-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6391.6237-0.93%2.024+23.49%0.2289✗1.42212k2022-08-03
XVSVenusEthereum5.315.2615-0.91%6.43+21.09%0.2090✗1.41939k2022-08-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05210.051637-0.89%0.0585+12.28%0.1327✗1.33765k2022-08-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39580.39232-0.88%0.4022+1.62%0.0330✗1.3586k2022-08-03
ZENHorizenBase16.0815.9387-0.88%17.15+6.65%0.0814✗1.3697k2022-08-03
MOVRMoonriverBase13.215613.1015-0.86%14.6221+10.64%0.1170✗1.1970k2022-08-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32870.325883-0.86%0.3267-0.61%0.0095✗1.167.7M2022-08-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43062.4098-0.85%2.8485+17.19%0.1732✗0.99806k2022-08-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010660.001058-0.81%0.001087+1.89%0.0347✗1.311.6M2022-08-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08560.084914-0.80%0.062-27.57%0.3094✓0.85153k2022-08-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.19815.157-0.79%5.0151-3.52%0.0267✓0.20214k2022-08-03
NANOnanopayBase0.9637440.956175-0.79%1.0243+6.28%0.0747✗0.9851k2022-08-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.125017-0.78%0.1349+7.06%0.0839✗1.3054k2022-08-03
TRXTRONTron0.0687480.068219-0.77%0.067799-1.38%0.0014✓0.79376k2022-08-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12930.128306-0.77%0.1448+11.99%0.1270✗1.013.1M2022-08-03
DASHDashDash48.0647.6954-0.76%48.77+1.48%0.0290✗1.11570k2022-08-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29810.295862-0.75%0.32+7.35%0.0856✗1.202.7M2022-08-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2940.2918-0.75%0.332+12.93%0.1354✗1.05620k2022-08-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020290.020138-0.75%0.0213+4.98%0.0623✗1.03136k2022-08-03
XECeCashnative0.00004190.000041588-0.74%0.00004244+1.29%0.0274✗1.181.7M2022-08-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078530.305585-0.74%0.335893+9.11%0.1023✗1.291.0M2022-08-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23750.235766-0.73%0.2461+3.62%0.0504✗1.24117k2022-08-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.88.736-0.73%10.82+22.95%0.2208✗1.14241k2022-08-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0671380.066672-0.69%0.0662-1.40%0.0002✓1.151.7M2022-08-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,891.5022,732.95-0.69%22,844.10-0.21%0.0108✗0.9819k2022-08-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.4244-0.68%2.475+1.39%0.0262✗0.9293k2022-08-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.00571.9922-0.68%2.1759+8.49%0.0956✗1.2222k2022-08-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,636.401,625.51-0.67%1,618.82-1.07%0.0034✓1.26371.8M2022-08-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7080.703301-0.66%0.744+5.08%0.0635✗1.21776k2022-08-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.008540.008484-0.66%0.00819-4.10%0.0298✓0.911.6M2022-08-03
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.14e-7-0.64%9.60e-7+4.35%0.0540✗0.845.9M2022-08-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6555.6198-0.62%8.087+43.01%0.3706✗1.101.9M2022-08-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053020.052702-0.60%0.08121+53.17%0.4411✗1.45766k2022-08-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05140.051106-0.57%0.0583+13.42%0.1405✗1.47109k2022-08-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.337650.33573-0.57%0.30931-8.39%0.0747✓1.20407k2022-08-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.10751.1013-0.56%1.1385+2.80%0.0397✗1.0843k2022-08-03
ZECZcashZcash61.7561.42-0.53%61.85+0.16%0.0148✗1.291.4M2022-08-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04330.043069-0.53%0.0458+5.77%0.0696✗1.357,1312022-08-03
XTZTezosTezos1.64341.6351-0.50%1.7204+4.69%0.0584✗1.26492k2022-08-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028670.028527-0.50%0.03127+9.07%0.0994✗1.2614k2022-08-03
KCSKuCoinnative10.22410.1729-0.50%10.028-1.92%0.0077✓1.102.1M2022-08-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.10290.102387-0.50%0.1109+7.77%0.0878✗1.33491k2022-08-03
AAVEAaveEthereum94.794.2283-0.50%94.97+0.29%0.0179✗1.678.3M2022-08-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059330.005905-0.46%0.006208+4.64%0.0553✗0.883,8542022-08-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06330.063031-0.43%0.0587-7.27%0.0626✓1.43337k2022-08-03
XVGVergenative0.003560.003545-0.42%0.00373+4.78%0.0588✗1.32505k2022-08-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22570.224872-0.37%0.2311+2.39%0.0363✗1.4999k2022-08-03
PROPropyEthereum0.780.77728-0.35%0.74-5.13%0.0454✓0.6279k2022-08-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145970.014548-0.34%0.015785+8.14%0.0869✗0.891.2M2022-08-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6877.6625-0.32%8.003+4.11%0.0511✗1.279.0M2022-08-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.144042-0.32%0.1552+7.40%0.0821✗1.2587k2022-08-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7120.709777-0.31%0.686-3.65%0.0250✓1.5280k2022-08-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,962.5922,895.55-0.29%22,825.00-0.60%0.0029✗1.00414.2M2022-08-03
STXStacksnative0.41350.412783-0.17%0.4663+12.77%0.1295✗1.26606k2022-08-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.0458.9469-0.16%57.78-2.13%0.0131✓1.1513.5M2022-08-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001489+0.19%0.001704+14.67%0.1412✓1.0420k2022-08-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08090.081077+0.22%0.0972+20.15%0.1886✓1.215,6912022-08-03
GTGateEthereum4.19394.2061+0.29%4.5094+7.52%0.0739✓0.72930k2022-08-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51540.517626+0.43%0.5453+5.80%0.0589✓1.13350k2022-08-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.39128.0398+0.51%133.7+4.95%0.0502✓1.153.9M2022-08-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.