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2022-07-26 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0924
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.8%
in alpha space · 7.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RADRadworksEthereum2.652.4997-5.67%2.46-7.17%0.1016✓1.10157k2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.904410.86842-3.98%1.0569+16.86%0.1187✗0.9910k2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism0.8260.799102-3.26%1.635+97.94%0.5765✗1.781.1M2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.614.4618-3.21%6.51+41.21%0.3315✗0.59713k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.115.602-3.09%21.17+31.49%0.2355✗0.892.2M2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.7821.117-3.04%27.79+27.59%0.1548✗1.53454k2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7520.729827-2.95%0.816+8.51%0.0089✓1.543,6872022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162440.157706-2.91%0.18917+16.46%0.0097✓2.451,1272022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81220.790491-2.67%1.0822+33.24%0.1876✗1.62209k2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092060.000089608-2.66%0.00010013+8.77%0.0361✓1.88715k2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9113.807-2.66%3.951+1.02%0.0373✓0.95638k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.29010.282439-2.64%0.3039+4.76%0.0212✓1.21337k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201520.019628-2.60%0.024372+20.94%0.1385✗1.006,9032022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.50060.487615-2.59%0.5942+18.70%0.1046✗1.191.5M2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9010.878435-2.50%0.908+0.78%0.1066✓1.79551k2022-08-02
FISStafiEthereum0.45780.446535-2.46%0.381-16.78%0.2569✓1.263902022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14870.145102-2.42%0.1596+7.33%0.0053✓1.29379k2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044310.043252-2.39%0.04946+11.62%0.0615✗0.9315k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4720.460728-2.39%0.519+9.96%0.0267✗1.1811k2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0772.0281-2.36%2.285+10.01%0.0057✓1.45132k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.964640.942304-2.32%1.126+16.73%0.0895✗1.139,1202022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0186060.018176-2.31%0.021484+15.47%0.1294✗0.48163k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06580.064299-2.28%0.08676+31.85%0.1987✗1.2927k2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1624.5925-2.26%36.59+45.43%0.2960✗1.301.3M2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0445030.043506-2.24%0.048695+9.42%0.0187✓1.2022k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.033.945-2.11%5.05+25.31%0.1903✗0.73612k2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025070.024557-2.04%0.03854+53.73%0.3263✗1.5912.6M2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41540.406917-2.04%0.4462+7.41%0.0253✓1.50220k2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3715-2.04%1.55+10.71%0.1039✗0.24319k2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.181251-2.03%0.225+21.62%0.1041✗1.431,6202022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.68813.6134-2.02%3.9681+7.59%0.0096✓1.0826k2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1783.1141-2.01%3.883+22.18%0.1731✗0.611.5M2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.177.0267-2.00%9.54+33.05%0.2692✗0.47704k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6913.6174-1.99%5.16+39.80%0.3135✗0.531.9M2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18020.176728-1.93%0.202+12.10%0.0238✗1.411,0652022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42250.414365-1.93%0.5474+29.56%0.2003✗1.00224k2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.398220.390566-1.92%0.45527+14.33%0.0940✗0.7651k2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.834994-1.88%1.218+43.13%0.3190✗0.751.1M2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403990.396468-1.86%0.3926-2.82%0.1256✓1.48592k2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,861.886,737.71-1.81%10,752.27+56.70%0.3611✗1.364.0M2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1131-1.79%3.18+0.32%0.0201✓0.5377k2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.972.917-1.78%3.801+27.98%0.1328✗1.693.7M2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.046469-1.76%0.0531+12.26%0.0375✗1.23256k2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum27.7627.2744-1.75%33.21+19.63%0.1188✗1.00164k2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16861.1483-1.74%1.3359+14.32%0.0359✗1.485.1M2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.5782-1.73%14.94+16.72%0.0616✗1.411.3M2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26932.2303-1.72%2.7482+21.10%0.0860✗1.579,1162022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.14280.140347-1.72%0.1716+20.17%0.1000✗1.292.8M2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11282.0766-1.72%3.3336+57.78%0.4036✗0.89971k2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.257328-1.71%0.2618+0.00%0.0162✓0.0131k2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.292850.28788-1.70%0.34832+18.94%0.0852✗1.359,6072022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.84890.83451-1.70%0.9992+17.71%0.0856✗1.211.2M2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94950.933569-1.68%0.9732+2.50%0.0326✓0.953.5M2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09040.088893-1.67%0.08996-0.49%0.0662✓1.00722k2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7585.6626-1.66%6.638+15.28%0.0249✗1.7111.5M2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2077-1.63%3.985+22.20%0.1629✗0.69488k2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.607290.5977-1.58%0.65971+8.63%0.0238✓1.5780k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7513.6921-1.57%4.526+20.66%0.1564✗0.601.1M2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum92.9691.5064-1.56%103.43+11.26%0.0418✗1.033.7M2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.95.8079-1.56%8.1+37.29%0.2296✗1.32248k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07880.077578-1.55%0.0857+8.76%0.0029✓1.24162k2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.5451.5211-1.55%1.796+16.25%0.1161✗0.64223k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.2944-1.51%5.73+31.42%0.2408✗0.61555k2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.366150.360641-1.50%0.39795+8.68%0.0019✓1.24113k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum27.0726.6655-1.49%29.4+8.61%0.0233✗0.9510.5M2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.58553.7714-1.49%60.953+11.67%0.0596✗0.84369k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14440.142249-1.49%0.1626+12.60%0.0099✓1.58176k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.002959-1.49%0.003157+5.09%0.0147✓1.021.0M2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028020.027607-1.47%0.0314+12.06%0.0226✗1.361,2882022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2279.0913-1.47%9.92+7.51%0.0197✓1.3713.2M2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.23350.230093-1.46%0.2502+7.15%0.0077✓1.17768k2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0524420.051678-1.46%0.05605+6.88%0.0327✗0.6218k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.5876.4916-1.45%8+21.45%0.1087✗1.285.3M2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068940.006794-1.45%0.006716-2.58%0.0554✓0.5642k2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3446.2523-1.44%7.179+13.16%0.0384✗1.2816.2M2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03940.038834-1.44%0.044+11.68%0.0482✗0.981,9372022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.46830.461578-1.44%0.4966+6.04%0.0264✓1.2741.4M2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5530.545267-1.40%0.608+9.95%0.0036✓1.4483k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1831.1666-1.39%1.27+7.35%0.0122✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.19862.1685-1.37%3.0467+38.57%0.2794✗0.78884k2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.58e-7-1.33%0.00000101+16.09%0.0844✗1.0025k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068690.067793-1.31%0.0777+13.12%0.0793✗0.731,5492022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06210.061292-1.30%0.068+9.50%0.0263✗0.99156k2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.4081.39-1.28%1.635+16.12%0.0487✗1.45303k2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03310.032679-1.27%0.0396+19.64%0.0956✗1.2368k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.5811.561-1.27%1.966+24.35%0.1302✗1.29619k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1514.9635-1.23%17.22+13.66%0.0323✗1.381.3M2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.628246-1.22%0.744+16.98%0.0934✗0.97360k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2327-1.21%2.72+20.35%0.0789✗1.52184k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.5952.5637-1.21%2.934+13.06%0.0473✗1.12597k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2569-1.19%1.364+7.23%0.0213✓1.322.4M2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53720.530811-1.19%0.6132+14.15%0.0510✗1.19642k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.94.8419-1.19%6.03+23.06%0.1686✗0.65514k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.000010741-1.18%0.00001175+8.10%0.0092✓1.271.0M2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.194673-1.18%0.212+7.61%0.0360✓1.55834k2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3741-1.15%1.57+12.95%0.0223✗1.42122k2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1055780.104375-1.14%0.115136+9.05%0.0193✗1.016.7M2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017410.017212-1.14%0.01794+3.04%0.0185✓0.77324k2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration58.1357.4775-1.12%60.95+4.85%0.0356✓1.21231k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.111336-1.12%0.1238+9.95%0.0272✗1.015,4502022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.23690.23427-1.11%0.2636+11.27%0.0310✗1.1162k2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.2559-1.11%1.36+7.09%0.0341✓1.46912k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.43e-73.39e-7-1.11%3.39e-7-1.10%0.0769✓0.99229k2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum48.1447.6094-1.10%56.33+17.01%0.0600✗1.3932k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2042.1799-1.09%2.716+23.23%0.1090✗1.4237k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana36.2935.8945-1.09%39.81+9.70%0.0031✓1.3781.1M2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003917-1.08%0.00462+16.67%0.0599✗1.35106k2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43510.430391-1.08%0.4841+11.26%0.0301✗1.1242k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero151.3149.6793-1.07%156.99+3.76%0.0396✓1.121.2M2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81580.807112-1.07%1.0451+28.11%0.1459✗1.441.4M2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008680.008589-1.05%0.00965+11.18%0.0391✗0.994.2M2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3110.307774-1.04%0.3267+5.05%0.0327✓1.187.5M2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.106504-1.02%0.1155+7.34%0.0044✓1.09362k2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35121.3375-1.02%1.4894+10.23%0.0058✓1.45540k2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27980.277007-1.00%0.318+13.65%0.0478✗1.1570k2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.655611-0.97%0.774+16.92%0.0681✗1.25149k2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.09465.0458-0.96%5.0698-0.49%0.0107✓0.20219k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019890.0197-0.95%0.02154+8.30%0.0067✓1.06136k2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6556.5918-0.95%8.248+23.94%0.1187✗1.355.7M2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.7120.5136-0.95%22.85+10.33%0.0174✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.190512.0757-0.94%14.5774+19.58%0.0945✗1.2073k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3012.2794-0.94%2.419+5.13%0.0127✓0.92105k2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.878770.870573-0.93%0.95943+9.18%0.0091✓1.36392k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5211.507-0.92%2.017+32.61%0.1782✗1.45212k2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0653390.064747-0.91%0.06831+4.55%0.0088✓0.80382k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase15.1715.0351-0.89%17.17+13.18%0.0243✗1.3997k2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046192-0.88%0.0581+24.68%0.1247✗1.34765k2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08310.082377-0.87%0.073-12.15%0.1876✓0.85148k2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6780.672124-0.87%0.823+21.39%0.0648✗1.765.2M2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.10350.10263-0.84%0.1359+31.30%0.1949✗1.10617k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8970470.889601-0.83%1.0235+14.10%0.0635✗0.9857k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3152.2959-0.83%2.8083+21.31%0.1238✗0.99806k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8473-0.83%2.1689+16.44%0.0644✗1.2324k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.288.2117-0.83%11.02+33.09%0.2039✗1.15241k2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.00003920.000038877-0.82%0.00004282+9.23%0.0038✓1.191.8M2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006239-0.81%0.00928+47.54%0.3180✗1.01352k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.119531-0.80%0.1435+19.09%0.1041✗1.013.1M2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative1.5961.5832-0.80%1.874+17.42%0.0700✗1.26379k2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.941-0.78%6.57+31.93%0.1727✗1.44939k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash43.9943.6469-0.78%48.53+10.32%0.0195✗1.11517k2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097250.00096495-0.78%0.001085+11.56%0.0153✗1.301.7M2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008305-0.77%0.00839+0.24%0.0625✓0.931.4M2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22450.222769-0.77%0.2502+11.45%0.0174✗1.26119k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09720.096452-0.77%0.1168+20.16%0.0850✗1.362.4M2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6490.644018-0.77%0.742+14.33%0.0470✗1.21758k2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27630.274215-0.75%0.3198+15.74%0.0598✗1.202.7M2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11950.118612-0.74%0.1378+15.31%0.0461✗1.3354k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2894490.287301-0.74%0.34061+17.68%0.0688✗1.301.0M2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.317390.315102-0.72%0.30205-4.83%0.1371✓1.21400k2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3215.2839-0.70%8.196+54.03%0.3521✗1.111.9M2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.05691.0496-0.69%1.163+10.05%0.0169✗1.1045k2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36680.364284-0.69%0.4029+9.84%0.0053✓1.3673k2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3292.3131-0.68%2.6+11.64%0.0197✓1.7592k2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06530.064859-0.68%0.0745+14.09%0.0540✗1.08264k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.64e-7-0.67%9.70e-7+11.49%0.0498✗0.845.9M2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5457-0.67%1.7139+10.14%0.0031✓1.28492k2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.04770.047381-0.67%0.0595+24.74%0.1121✗1.48109k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058670.005829-0.66%0.006204+5.75%0.0085✓0.913,1552022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003420.003398-0.63%0.00371+8.48%0.0175✓1.35539k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.760.755181-0.63%0.76+0.00%0.0407✓0.6083k2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0625680.062176-0.63%0.066529+6.33%0.0229✓1.161.8M2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.094307-0.63%0.1134+19.49%0.0798✗1.34491k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049050.048746-0.62%0.08648+76.31%0.4590✗1.46747k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040349-0.62%0.0463+14.04%0.0305✗1.377,5232022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,133.3021,009.94-0.58%23,023.60+8.94%0.0153✗0.9819k2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.274393-0.58%0.328+18.84%0.0959✗1.06620k2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.6649.6105-0.55%9.938+2.84%0.0538✓1.122.1M2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,449.631,441.67-0.55%1,631.28+12.53%0.0262✗1.25354.3M2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05860.058293-0.52%0.0612+4.44%0.0642✓1.44342k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash55.7555.4611-0.52%61.49+10.30%0.0026✓1.291.4M2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,261.5721,167.57-0.44%22,989.40+8.13%0.0044✗1.00395.4M2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026830.026712-0.44%0.03144+17.18%0.0636✗1.2715k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6510.648261-0.42%0.709+8.91%0.0297✓1.5372k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20850.207633-0.42%0.2308+10.70%0.0117✓1.5099k2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141890.014131-0.41%0.015628+10.14%0.0301✗0.901.2M2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7826.7581-0.35%7.928+16.90%0.0622✗1.258.7M2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.39480.39357-0.31%0.4398+11.40%0.0110✗1.28606k2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.13440.133988-0.31%0.1674+24.55%0.1237✗1.2784k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014320.001429-0.24%0.001664+16.20%0.0702✗1.0520k2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.953.7945-0.20%58.09+7.77%0.0132✓1.1513.5M2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum81.2681.1152-0.18%93.42+14.96%0.0117✗1.668.1M2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07630.076312+0.02%0.0936+22.67%0.1084✓1.236,3652022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.01664.0204+0.09%4.3491+8.28%0.0222✓0.72919k2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48870.490114+0.29%0.5396+10.42%0.0068✓1.14350k2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.94119.3702+0.36%133.77+12.47%0.0234✓1.164.0M2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.