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2022-07-25 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0510
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.2%
in alpha space · 6.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.7212-5.86%3.877-22.69%0.2813✓0.96584k2022-08-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.912685-4.29%1.0779+13.04%0.0792✗0.998,9622022-08-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7817.1063-3.79%19.2+7.99%0.0377✓0.882.1M2022-08-01
HIVEHivenative0.5190.501417-3.39%0.7745+49.23%0.3297✗1.191.4M2022-08-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.763032-3.29%0.831+5.32%0.0506✓1.544,1662022-08-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.192-3.19%6.53+50.81%0.3900✗0.60694k2022-08-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.1645-3.18%0.1925+13.30%0.0588✓2.451,1272022-08-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5519.9139-3.10%28.44+38.39%0.2220✗1.53440k2022-08-01
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.769889-3.04%1.512+90.43%0.5181✗1.781.1M2022-08-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000089575-2.86%0.00010479+13.64%0.0103✓1.90735k2022-08-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.803005-2.76%1.1398+38.02%0.2082✗1.61214k2022-08-01
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8302-2.65%2.39+27.13%0.1719✗1.08157k2022-08-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.266856-2.64%0.3059+11.60%0.0300✗1.21335k2022-08-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.891272-2.59%0.955+4.37%0.0883✓1.79591k2022-08-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.9743-2.59%5.07+24.26%0.1774✗0.75597k2022-08-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.491018-2.58%0.519+2.98%0.0485✓1.1811k2022-08-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.418503-2.40%0.471+9.84%0.0137✓1.50208k2022-08-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.018277-2.40%0.019998+6.79%0.0479✗0.48163k2022-08-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.143747-2.35%0.172+16.85%0.0664✗1.28379k2022-08-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.066233-2.34%0.08419+24.14%0.1262✗1.2928k2022-08-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.962386-2.33%1.1991+21.69%0.1203✗1.138,4242022-08-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.8895-2.30%2.416+24.92%0.1183✗1.45132k2022-08-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.020029-2.20%0.023621+15.34%0.0773✗1.006,1832022-08-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.6249-2.16%4.919+32.77%0.2568✗0.552.1M2022-08-01
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.043752-2.13%0.051446+15.08%0.0561✗1.2021k2022-08-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3802-2.12%1.56+10.64%0.1021✗0.23319k2022-08-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.043164-1.97%0.05169+17.40%0.0988✗0.9315k2022-08-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0913.0302-1.97%3.849+24.52%0.1841✗0.631.5M2022-08-01
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.396149-1.96%0.48714+20.56%0.1404✗0.7551k2022-08-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.024008-1.93%0.0368+50.33%0.2866✗1.6013.4M2022-08-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.18066-1.92%0.207+12.38%0.0123✓1.411,0652022-08-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.398932-1.91%0.4128+1.50%0.0954✓1.47602k2022-08-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.8076-1.91%9.85+41.93%0.3273✗0.48670k2022-08-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.412117-1.88%0.5401+28.60%0.1825✗1.00234k2022-08-01
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.3633-1.86%–pending––1.273902022-08-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1545-1.86%1.3062+11.04%0.0066✓1.484.9M2022-08-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.170791-1.84%0.2106+21.03%0.0838✗1.431,7562022-08-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.047223-1.82%0.0532+10.60%0.0122✓1.22263k2022-08-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2522.8322-1.80%35.02+50.62%0.3143✗1.291.3M2022-08-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1525-1.79%3.33+3.74%0.0082✓0.5382k2022-08-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.9155-1.77%3.605+21.46%0.0633✗1.693.7M2022-08-01
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.8899-1.77%6.644+10.81%0.0310✓1.7211.9M2022-08-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.0936-1.76%3.2852+54.16%0.3713✗0.90971k2022-08-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.256493-1.73%0.2618+0.31%0.0193✗0.0135k2022-08-01
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.139254-1.73%0.1776+25.34%0.1294✗1.292.8M2022-08-01
METISMetisEthereum27.3726.8982-1.72%33.62+22.84%0.1351✗1.00151k2022-08-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.28801-1.72%0.34549+17.89%0.0639✗1.349,2162022-08-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.0917-1.70%0.09236-1.00%0.0808✓1.00706k2022-08-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.825334-1.70%1.0315+22.86%0.1169✗1.211.2M2022-08-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.2998-1.68%14.18+13.35%0.0135✓1.461.2M2022-08-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.8617-1.65%8+34.23%0.1954✗1.31248k2022-08-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.080267-1.63%0.0858+5.15%0.0407✓1.22172k2022-08-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.1756-1.62%3.934+21.87%0.1463✗0.77488k2022-08-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.00305-1.59%0.003256+5.07%0.0237✓1.011.0M2022-08-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.887404-1.59%0.9388+4.11%0.0267✓0.943.5M2022-08-01
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0476.9353-1.58%8.365+18.70%0.0690✗1.355.6M2022-08-01
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.5837-1.58%30.75+13.85%0.0620✗0.9510.6M2022-08-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.5325-1.58%1.795+15.29%0.1018✗0.64223k2022-08-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.7222-1.55%4.364+15.42%0.1048✗0.621.2M2022-08-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.785699-1.54%1.08+35.34%0.2518✗0.751.1M2022-08-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.588842-1.53%0.71157+19.00%0.0517✗1.5686k2022-08-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.052593-1.52%0.057234+7.17%0.0301✗0.6218k2022-08-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,178.62-1.52%11,611.32+85.08%0.5119✗1.354.0M2022-08-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.2302-1.52%2.859+26.25%0.1101✗1.579,0562022-08-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.1828-1.51%1.323+10.16%0.0025✓1.241.3M2022-08-01
QNTQuantEthereum87.8786.5445-1.51%103.46+17.74%0.0884✗1.023.2M2022-08-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.3243-1.51%7.574+17.96%0.0680✗1.2816.7M2022-08-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.353621-1.50%0.41938+16.82%0.0623✗1.23113k2022-08-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.069941-1.49%0.07898+11.24%0.0571✗0.731,6422022-08-01
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.467935-1.47%0.5128+7.98%0.0201✓1.2741.4M2022-08-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.2356-1.46%4.1461+26.27%0.1539✗1.0725k2022-08-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.8421-1.46%10.399+15.89%0.0416✗1.3713.0M2022-08-01
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.227541-1.45%0.2657+15.07%0.0483✗1.21701k2022-08-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.1986-1.44%5.81+36.38%0.2699✗0.62504k2022-08-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.573-1.44%2.022+26.69%0.1380✗1.29606k2022-08-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1353.3582-1.43%60.676+12.09%0.0547✗0.84369k2022-08-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039432-1.42%0.04618+15.45%0.0712✗0.992,0302022-08-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3409-1.41%1.42+4.41%0.0706✓1.45856k2022-08-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.2126-1.40%2.9451+31.25%0.2167✗0.79895k2022-08-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.138216-1.39%0.16541+18.01%0.0404✗1.58176k2022-08-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.033238-1.37%0.0413+22.55%0.1084✗1.2472k2022-08-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006599-1.34%0.00665-0.58%0.0409✓0.5546k2022-08-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2036.1198-1.34%8.34+34.45%0.1971✗1.285.3M2022-08-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.025365-1.34%0.03001+16.73%0.0490✗1.351,3002022-08-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.88e-7-1.30%9.60e-7+6.67%0.0104✓1.0025k2022-08-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.53e-7-1.28%3.29e-7-7.87%0.1558✓0.99234k2022-08-01
BANDBandEthereum1.41.3821-1.28%1.718+22.71%0.0896✗1.45317k2022-08-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.3864-1.26%2.435+0.74%0.0604✓0.92105k2022-08-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.1565-1.26%17.88+16.48%0.0442✗1.381.3M2022-08-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.523412-1.24%0.646+21.89%0.0842✗1.4384k2022-08-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.059752-1.24%0.0674+11.40%0.0340✗0.98156k2022-08-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.5965-1.24%2.96+12.59%0.0326✗1.12619k2022-08-01
SOLSolanaSolana36.6436.2046-1.19%41.67+13.73%0.0207✗1.3680.3M2022-08-01
KSMKusamaHydration58.4957.7975-1.18%64.23+9.81%0.0004✓1.20227k2022-08-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.113155-1.17%0.1255+9.61%0.0148✗1.015,8712022-08-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010565-1.17%0.00001197+11.97%0.0139✗1.261.1M2022-08-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017714-1.15%0.0179-0.11%0.0571✓0.77354k2022-08-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2241-1.15%2.86+27.11%0.1180✗1.52205k2022-08-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.190789-1.15%0.221+14.51%0.0102✓1.55881k2022-08-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.104787-1.13%0.118304+11.62%0.0328✗1.016.7M2022-08-01
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2449.6717-1.13%58.9+17.24%0.0488✗1.3832k2022-08-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.430503-1.12%0.4966+14.06%0.0443✗1.1241k2022-08-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.340565-1.12%0.30912-10.25%0.2027✓1.20400k2022-08-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.519751-1.11%0.6196+17.88%0.0700✗1.20642k2022-08-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2341-1.11%1.423+14.02%0.0259✗1.322.4M2022-08-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.815738-1.11%1.0789+30.79%0.1531✗1.441.4M2022-08-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.355-1.10%1.63+18.98%0.0584✗1.44127k2022-08-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.7082-1.09%6.1+28.15%0.2009✗0.66514k2022-08-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.616265-1.08%0.772+23.92%0.1401✗0.97387k2022-08-01
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003927-1.07%0.00478+20.40%0.0784✗1.34106k2022-08-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.5412-1.07%15.1343+19.38%0.0824✗1.2078k2022-08-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.666768-1.07%0.793+17.66%0.0630✗1.25149k2022-08-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.308281-1.07%0.3424+9.88%0.0011✓1.187.5M2022-08-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.106669-1.05%0.1207+11.97%0.0277✗1.09380k2022-08-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.6937-1.03%23.59+12.82%0.0096✓1.6027.0M2022-08-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.674026-1.02%0.727+6.75%0.0310✓1.21758k2022-08-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.0356-0.99%5.19+2.04%0.0131✗0.19214k2022-08-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.229796-0.99%0.277+19.35%0.0894✗1.1161k2022-08-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.686187-0.98%0.861+24.24%0.0721✗1.765.3M2022-08-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008348-0.98%0.01021+21.12%0.1146✗0.994.5M2022-08-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.1558-0.97%2.947+35.37%0.1879✗1.4237k2022-08-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.5303-0.95%1.89+22.33%0.0837✗1.45212k2022-08-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.2972-0.95%1.5747+20.24%0.0658✗1.46561k2022-08-01
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.905138-0.94%1.0185+11.47%0.0319✗0.9851k2022-08-01
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.1098-0.92%18.16+19.08%0.0618✗1.3997k2022-08-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.00649-0.92%0.00938+43.21%0.2794✗1.01355k2022-08-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047168-0.91%0.0612+28.57%0.1429✗1.34787k2022-08-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.085.0339-0.91%6.51+28.15%0.1315✗1.43947k2022-08-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.084736-0.89%0.0641-25.03%0.3527✓0.84148k2022-08-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.865682-0.89%1.0163+16.35%0.0411✗1.36423k2022-08-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.273257-0.89%0.3238+17.45%0.0691✗1.1465k2022-08-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.3669-0.87%11.25+33.29%0.1940✗1.16243k2022-08-01
FLOWFlownative1.6271.613-0.86%2.025+24.46%0.1164✗1.26332k2022-08-01
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.063124-0.85%0.069972+9.91%0.0330✗0.80373k2022-08-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.8231-0.84%2.2681+23.36%0.1105✗1.2324k2022-08-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.122162-0.84%0.1541+25.08%0.1434✗1.013.1M2022-08-01
DASHDashDash44.8844.5039-0.84%49.75+10.85%0.0141✗1.11498k2022-08-01
XMRMoneroMonero144.12142.9147-0.84%160.69+11.50%0.0199✗1.111.1M2022-08-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.279-0.83%2.7968+21.71%0.1166✗1.00863k2022-08-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000981977-0.82%0.001096+10.71%0.0049✓1.311.7M2022-08-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008382-0.81%0.00842-0.36%0.0772✓0.931.3M2022-08-01
PROPropyEthereum0.790.783707-0.80%0.78-1.27%0.0655✓0.6983k2022-08-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,452.70-0.77%23,172.70+7.19%0.0088✓0.9820k2022-08-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.100624-0.77%0.1494+47.34%0.2979✗1.11617k2022-08-01
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000037997-0.76%0.00004514+17.89%0.0678✗1.191.9M2022-08-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.278868-0.76%0.335+19.22%0.0912✗1.05673k2022-08-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3483-0.75%2.565+8.41%0.0657✓1.7587k2022-08-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.272756-0.74%0.336+22.27%0.1028✗1.202.7M2022-08-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.118519-0.74%0.1438+20.44%0.0758✗1.3447k2022-08-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.063732-0.73%0.0705+9.81%0.0061✓1.08239k2022-08-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.359762-0.73%0.4239+16.97%0.0445✗1.3670k2022-08-01
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.74e-7-0.72%9.70e-7+10.23%0.0309✗0.845.9M2022-08-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.220525-0.71%0.2631+18.46%0.0656✗1.26119k2022-08-01
XVGVergenative0.003450.003426-0.70%0.00375+8.70%0.0278✓1.34566k2022-08-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.041113-0.69%0.0483+16.67%0.0419✗1.357,5232022-08-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019236-0.69%0.02156+11.31%0.0212✗1.06129k2022-08-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.202-0.69%8.776+67.54%0.4253✗1.111.9M2022-08-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.095045-0.68%0.1236+29.15%0.1418✗1.372.4M2022-08-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.0456-0.66%1.246+18.37%0.0785✗1.1045k2022-08-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.061528-0.65%0.068721+10.96%0.0089✗1.151.8M2022-08-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.047291-0.65%0.0648+36.13%0.1845✗1.48119k2022-08-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.279662-0.63%0.362765+28.89%0.1457✗1.301.1M2022-08-01
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.4992-0.61%1.8199+20.65%0.0811✗1.28492k2022-08-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,432.08-0.60%1,630.82+13.19%0.0205✗1.24344.6M2022-08-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.058656-0.58%0.0602+2.03%0.1000✓1.43328k2022-08-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.047663-0.58%0.0805+67.92%0.3955✗1.46712k2022-08-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.092288-0.55%0.1162+25.22%0.1125✗1.34502k2022-08-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,203.80-0.51%23,273.86+9.20%0.0052✓1.00374.5M2022-08-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.4132-0.49%9.963+5.32%0.0411✓1.112.1M2022-08-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.214635-0.49%0.2307+6.95%0.0593✓1.4999k2022-08-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.659873-0.47%0.731+10.26%0.0307✓1.5179k2022-08-01
STXStacksnative0.40070.398921-0.44%0.4613+15.12%0.0328✗1.28606k2022-08-01
ZECZcashZcash54.253.9647-0.43%62.87+16.00%0.0398✗1.281.4M2022-08-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.02665-0.37%0.03204+19.78%0.0720✗1.2718k2022-08-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.7331-0.35%8.18+21.06%0.0853✗1.248.6M2022-08-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005612-0.30%0.006321+12.30%0.0386✗0.912,9222022-08-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.131226-0.28%0.1647+25.15%0.1162✗1.2681k2022-08-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013412-0.28%0.015017+11.65%0.0329✗0.911.2M2022-08-01
AAVEAaveEthereum81.481.1979-0.25%96.58+18.65%0.0274✗1.668.1M2022-08-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0253.8976-0.23%59.47+10.09%0.0028✓1.1513.6M2022-08-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001476-0.21%0.001697+14.74%0.0467✗1.0620k2022-08-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.078436-0.08%0.0951+21.15%0.0847✗1.236,7862022-08-01
GTGateEthereum3.96963.974+0.11%4.4164+11.26%0.0425✓0.72919k2022-08-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.490095+0.26%0.5574+14.03%0.0279✓1.15350k2022-08-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03118.4565+0.36%137.87+16.81%0.0498✓1.164.2M2022-08-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.