8=======>

2022-07-21 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0946
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.1%
in alpha space · 33.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.2518.0408-6.28%17.43-9.45%0.0627✓0.952.0M2022-07-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5590.528615-5.44%0.5-10.55%0.0906✓1.1811k2022-07-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05341.0009-4.98%1.1173+6.07%0.0816✗0.961,6652022-07-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010370.000099522-4.03%0.00010026-3.32%0.0505✓1.95735k2022-07-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8770.842442-3.94%0.846-3.53%0.0417✓1.556,1452022-07-28
OPTIMOptimism0.7770.747697-3.77%1.448+86.36%0.6079✗1.791.1M2022-07-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.180440.174144-3.49%0.18356+1.73%0.0205✓2.461,0532022-07-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4222.3444-3.20%2.407-0.62%0.0163✓1.44132k2022-07-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.07551.0411-3.20%1.044-2.93%0.0306✓1.127,2992022-07-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.3425.5028-3.18%40.83+55.01%0.4327✗1.281.2M2022-07-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93910.909563-3.15%0.9764+3.97%0.0235✓1.60214k2022-07-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.075426-3.05%0.0701-9.90%0.1039✓1.03209k2022-07-28
METISMetisEthereum33.0532.0508-3.02%36.3+9.83%0.0948✗1.00131k2022-07-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5916.0969-2.97%18.56+11.87%0.0963✗1.55431k2022-07-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40311.3621-2.92%1.5448+10.10%0.0820✗1.484.7M2022-07-28
FISStafiEthereum0.44510.432126-2.91%0.4352-2.22%0.0226✓1.004752022-07-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9940.965951-2.82%1.012+1.81%0.0070✓1.80561k2022-07-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8383.7297-2.82%4.116+7.24%0.0819✗0.562.2M2022-07-28
QNTQuantEthereum102.8499.9483-2.81%103.78+0.91%0.0078✓1.002.7M2022-07-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222810.021699-2.61%0.021876-1.82%0.0212✓0.991,5692022-07-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.464420.452337-2.60%0.42547-8.39%0.1047✓1.47733k2022-07-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320190.312161-2.51%0.31751-0.84%0.0229✓1.347,0062022-07-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.30090.293581-2.43%0.2951-1.93%0.0331✓1.29395k2022-07-28
XEMNEMnative0.0490110.047819-2.43%0.049289+0.57%0.0053✓1.2018k2022-07-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.9912.6807-2.38%15.1+16.24%0.1309✗1.471.1M2022-07-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.943.8462-2.38%4.3+9.14%0.0888✗0.77597k2022-07-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22592.1731-2.37%2.3202+4.24%0.0388✗0.90890k2022-07-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4967-2.18%1.58+3.27%0.0472✗0.24419k2022-07-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16610.162531-2.15%0.1645-0.96%0.0260✓1.28354k2022-07-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94510.925104-2.12%0.9416-0.37%0.0181✓1.211.2M2022-07-28
DIADIAEthereum0.431230.422159-2.10%0.44641+3.52%0.0341✗0.7351k2022-07-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.21810.213535-2.09%0.1986-8.94%0.1141✓1.402,0152022-07-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2233.1556-2.09%3.357+4.16%0.0433✗0.631.7M2022-07-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047830.046831-2.09%0.04744-0.82%0.0142✓0.919,2922022-07-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2833.2158-2.05%4.135+25.95%0.2015✗1.683.8M2022-07-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3343.2661-2.04%3.498+4.92%0.0458✗0.77488k2022-07-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.04710.8251-2.01%10.858-1.71%0.0371✓1.3513.0M2022-07-28
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2227.0791-1.98%9.275+28.43%0.2300✗1.355.7M2022-07-28
DODODODOEthereum0.15230.149369-1.92%0.1638+7.55%0.0539✗1.292.8M2022-07-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.973.8937-1.92%5.27+32.75%0.2840✗0.63723k2022-07-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42160.413494-1.92%0.4654+10.39%0.0729✗1.53208k2022-07-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.831.795-1.91%1.828-0.11%0.0195✓1.27626k2022-07-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.243.1783-1.90%3.27+0.93%0.0141✓0.4886k2022-07-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.4226.2999-1.90%6.924+7.82%0.0427✗1.7411.7M2022-07-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025980.025489-1.89%0.0273+5.08%0.0207✗1.6114.2M2022-07-28
RADRadworksEthereum1.871.8347-1.89%2.79+49.20%0.3865✗1.10150k2022-07-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24890.244309-1.84%0.2505+0.64%0.0098✓1.17733k2022-07-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064080.062901-1.84%0.08406+31.18%0.2509✗1.3225k2022-07-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12970.127335-1.82%0.1216-6.25%0.0752✓0.985,8712022-07-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.760.746219-1.81%0.845+11.18%0.0719✗1.765.8M2022-07-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.049295-1.80%0.0524+4.38%0.0254✗1.20282k2022-07-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.092277-1.80%0.09434+0.39%0.0076✓1.00626k2022-07-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43060.422865-1.80%0.431+0.09%0.0208✓1.34104k2022-07-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401070.393941-1.78%0.40886+1.94%0.0007✓1.23123k2022-07-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.088796-1.77%0.0846-6.42%0.0853✓1.24202k2022-07-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19790.194417-1.76%0.2192+10.76%0.0781✗1.412,4852022-07-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174540.017153-1.73%0.020938+19.96%0.1850✗0.48167k2022-07-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.06782-1.71%0.0655-5.07%0.0640✓0.98183k2022-07-28
FTTFTXEthereum29.4828.9837-1.68%30.24+2.58%0.0143✓0.9510.6M2022-07-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.48132.4396-1.68%2.8436+14.60%0.1068✗1.567,1792022-07-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3821.3588-1.68%1.357-1.81%0.0376✓1.221.6M2022-07-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016150.01588-1.67%0.015429-4.46%0.0561✓0.921.2M2022-07-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072940.071722-1.67%0.07534+3.29%0.0274✗0.731,5492022-07-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03690.036288-1.66%0.0387+4.88%0.0277✗1.2385k2022-07-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4741.4496-1.66%1.374-6.78%0.0921✓1.302.8M2022-07-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6872.6425-1.65%2.634-1.97%0.0299✓0.90105k2022-07-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.46280.455155-1.65%0.4829+4.34%0.0295✗1.00258k2022-07-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.216.1079-1.64%8.22+32.37%0.2580✗1.31263k2022-07-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,719.996,610.74-1.63%9,140.60+36.02%0.2845✗1.334.2M2022-07-28
HIVEHivenative0.47010.462512-1.61%0.5527+17.57%0.1410✗1.251.3M2022-07-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.786.6712-1.60%9.02+33.04%0.2871✗0.49670k2022-07-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2233.1724-1.57%3.724+15.54%0.1282✗1.08562k2022-07-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.0857.1878-1.54%57.97-0.19%0.0270✓1.3733k2022-07-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9253.8649-1.53%3.991+1.68%0.0137✓0.621.4M2022-07-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.257313-1.53%0.262+0.27%0.0116✓1.0048k2022-07-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.0124.6351-1.50%24.23-3.12%0.0631✓1.5727.5M2022-07-28
FLOWFlownative1.8771.8491-1.49%1.876-0.05%0.0224✓1.24332k2022-07-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9482.9041-1.49%2.858-3.05%0.0677✓1.7484k2022-07-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.670.660226-1.46%0.67138+0.21%0.0295✓1.56104k2022-07-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31142.2779-1.45%2.4295+5.11%0.0407✗0.80947k2022-07-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.96.801-1.44%7.265+5.29%0.0283✗1.275.2M2022-07-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.6041.5812-1.42%1.709+6.55%0.0480✗1.00182k2022-07-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.211964-1.41%0.216+0.47%0.0271✓1.55881k2022-07-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49590.488916-1.41%0.4994+0.71%0.0114✓1.1049k2022-07-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12080.119123-1.39%0.117-3.15%0.0501✓1.08398k2022-07-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6150.606494-1.38%0.612-0.49%0.0332✓1.4284k2022-07-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011824-1.38%0.00001185-1.17%0.0350✓1.251.3M2022-07-28
SOLSolanaSolana43.142.5107-1.37%42.93-0.39%0.0298✓1.3381.1M2022-07-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.3021-1.33%4.77+9.40%0.0844✗0.64579k2022-07-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9956.9021-1.33%7.22+3.22%0.0075✓1.2617.9M2022-07-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.003007-1.32%0.003107+1.97%0.0017✓1.051.1M2022-07-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7340.72436-1.31%0.753+2.59%0.0011✓1.27139k2022-07-28
ADACardanoCardano0.49960.493054-1.31%0.5129+2.66%0.0018✓1.2743.9M2022-07-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4014-1.31%1.57+10.56%0.0696✗1.48910k2022-07-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98440.97161-1.30%0.9528-3.21%0.0618✓1.421.4M2022-07-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.89714.7039-1.30%14.2863-4.10%0.0642✓1.19165k2022-07-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.02697-1.28%0.03057+11.90%0.0848✗1.361,3802022-07-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5272.4949-1.27%2.783+10.13%0.0675✗1.4143k2022-07-28
XYMSymbolnative0.054150.053463-1.27%0.055041+1.65%0.0106✓0.6214k2022-07-28
BANDBandEthereum1.5171.4981-1.25%1.756+15.75%0.1161✗1.44382k2022-07-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.83190.821839-1.21%0.978+17.56%0.1445✗0.993.5M2022-07-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4503-1.20%2.87+15.73%0.1133✗1.51205k2022-07-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.46941.452-1.18%1.5+2.08%0.0097✓1.42651k2022-07-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34940.345303-1.17%0.3363-3.75%0.0610✓1.178.0M2022-07-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.7142.6831-1.14%2.864+5.53%0.0325✗1.10621k2022-07-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.894.8347-1.13%5.36+9.61%0.0833✗0.67574k2022-07-28
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.8186-1.13%18.46+8.52%0.0519✗1.39100k2022-07-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.248812-1.11%0.2547+1.23%0.0089✓1.0961k2022-07-28
KSMKusamaHydration61.1860.5116-1.09%65.44+6.96%0.0426✗1.20231k2022-07-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019070.018863-1.09%0.01883-1.26%0.0239✓0.75354k2022-07-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05560.054998-1.08%0.0547-1.62%0.0450✓1.33802k2022-07-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.30e-7-1.08%9.60e-7+2.13%0.0022✓1.0026k2022-07-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6461.6284-1.07%1.853+12.58%0.0860✗1.45203k2022-07-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.84356.2498-1.04%63.13+11.06%0.0907✗0.83387k2022-07-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069070.006836-1.03%0.006901-0.09%0.0079✓0.5950k2022-07-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4847-1.02%1.59+6.00%0.0258✗1.44134k2022-07-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38785.3328-1.02%5.3229-1.20%0.0076✓0.19274k2022-07-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004360.004317-1.00%0.00442+1.38%0.0160✓1.34122k2022-07-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,097.6022,870.31-0.98%23,875.30+3.37%0.0140✗0.9826k2022-07-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139750.138375-0.98%0.16001+14.50%0.0979✗1.60155k2022-07-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.345310.341916-0.98%0.32569-5.68%0.0853✓1.24411k2022-07-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.465.4069-0.97%5.6+2.56%0.0068✓1.411.1M2022-07-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.133605-0.96%0.1306-3.19%0.0619✓1.3244k2022-07-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1135920.112526-0.94%0.116688+2.73%0.0066✓1.007.2M2022-07-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001110.0011-0.94%0.001098-1.13%0.0404✓1.291.7M2022-07-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24480.242509-0.94%0.2442-0.25%0.0301✓1.25129k2022-07-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7815.6326-0.93%17.18+8.87%0.0538✗1.371.3M2022-07-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.10443.0756-0.93%4.4845+44.45%0.3448✗1.0926k2022-07-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.940430.931773-0.92%0.98039+4.25%0.0108✗1.35423k2022-07-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52252.4995-0.91%2.5021-0.81%0.0282✓0.991.1M2022-07-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13950.138229-0.91%0.1359-2.58%0.0474✓1.023.3M2022-07-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.681,561.34-0.91%1,725.19+9.49%0.0633✗1.23326.5M2022-07-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6215.5711-0.89%5.93+5.50%0.0297✗1.101.9M2022-07-28
DASHDashDash48.1747.7508-0.87%52.48+8.95%0.0620✗1.09606k2022-07-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055850.055367-0.87%0.07211+29.11%0.2208✗1.46773k2022-07-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009260.00918-0.86%0.00923-0.32%0.0237✓0.984.9M2022-07-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00680.006741-0.86%0.01146+68.53%0.5008✗1.01376k2022-07-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.11020.109258-0.85%0.1207+9.53%0.0668✗1.10560k2022-07-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9532040.945115-0.85%0.996543+4.55%0.0230✗1.0159k2022-07-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.778351-0.85%0.884+12.61%0.1042✗0.781.1M2022-07-28
XMRMoneroMonero151.18149.8996-0.85%162.51+7.49%0.0477✗1.111.3M2022-07-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06790.067331-0.84%0.0629-7.36%0.1094✓1.39316k2022-07-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7070.701076-0.84%0.723+2.26%0.0058✓1.23807k2022-07-28
STXStacksnative0.43060.427011-0.83%0.4344+0.88%0.0204✓1.27414k2022-07-28
XTZTezosTezos1.68111.6672-0.83%1.7166+2.11%0.0083✓1.26494k2022-07-28
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.12e-7-0.82%9.50e-7+3.26%0.0158✗0.836.2M2022-07-28
XECeCashnative0.000040990.000040653-0.82%0.00004428+8.03%0.0502✗1.191.9M2022-07-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.009230.009155-0.81%0.00895-3.03%0.0497✓0.911.3M2022-07-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08590.085214-0.80%0.0836-2.68%0.0426✓0.79157k2022-07-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.296656-0.78%0.304+1.67%0.0068✓1.05673k2022-07-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.682612-0.78%0.773+12.35%0.0956✗0.97434k2022-07-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27860.276428-0.78%0.3014+8.18%0.0531✗1.1342k2022-07-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021080.020921-0.75%0.02099-0.43%0.0281✓1.06127k2022-07-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52960.525644-0.75%0.5764+8.84%0.0564✗1.20470k2022-07-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0699520.06943-0.75%0.069104-1.21%0.0404✓1.202.0M2022-07-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.0538-0.74%0.0532-1.85%0.0550✓1.47119k2022-07-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.239.1629-0.73%12.01+30.12%0.2359✗1.17282k2022-07-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044178-0.72%0.0443-0.45%0.0372✓1.357,6872022-07-28
XVGVergenative0.003730.003703-0.72%0.00369-1.07%0.0434✓1.34612k2022-07-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.1281.1202-0.70%1.1356+0.67%0.0185✓1.0845k2022-07-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29940.297333-0.69%0.3136+4.74%0.0180✗1.192.8M2022-07-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3594.7119-0.67%100.41+5.31%0.0099✗1.6410.8M2022-07-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10750.106783-0.67%0.106-1.40%0.0465✓1.32526k2022-07-28
TRXTRONTron0.0680150.067562-0.67%0.069762+2.57%0.0086✗0.79369k2022-07-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91951.9072-0.64%2.3099+20.34%0.1552✗1.2326k2022-07-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1070.10634-0.62%0.1148+7.29%0.0361✗1.362.5M2022-07-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3213450.319393-0.61%0.330968+2.99%0.0009✓1.231.3M2022-07-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,153.9623,035.36-0.51%23,851.70+3.01%0.0051✗1.00398.7M2022-07-28
PROPropyEthereum0.780.776106-0.50%0.8+2.56%0.0094✗0.71107k2022-07-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.227362-0.50%0.2406+5.30%0.0127✗1.48117k2022-07-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08580.085392-0.48%0.0849-1.05%0.0422✓1.236,9982022-07-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.029899-0.47%0.02993-0.37%0.0367✓1.2722k2022-07-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7290.725739-0.45%0.749+2.74%0.0137✓1.52108k2022-07-28
ZECZcashZcash61.8661.5896-0.44%63.64+2.88%0.0059✓1.301.5M2022-07-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14540.144799-0.41%0.1498+3.03%0.0029✓1.2487k2022-07-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.005960.005935-0.41%0.006179+3.68%0.0131✗0.913,1552022-07-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.16210.1234-0.38%10.343+1.78%0.0115✓1.112.2M2022-07-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.55e-7-0.33%3.64e-7+1.97%0.0069✓1.00244k2022-07-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0357.8886-0.24%63.43+9.31%0.0578✗1.1314.6M2022-07-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5317.5203-0.14%7.856+4.32%0.0071✗1.239.0M2022-07-28
GTGateEthereum4.12464.1267+0.05%4.2964+4.17%0.0194✓0.70930k2022-07-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51490.517016+0.41%0.5466+6.16%0.0218✓1.14333k2022-07-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.12123.8301+0.58%155.69+26.45%0.1952✓1.144.0M2022-07-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.