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2022-07-20 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0260
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.1%
in alpha space · 46.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010080.00009638-4.38%0.00009892-1.87%0.0481✗1.93715k2022-07-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.989020.946732-4.28%1.0309+4.23%0.0961✗0.961,6652022-07-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7910.758337-4.13%0.815+3.03%0.0897✗1.545,0122022-07-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172710.166367-3.67%0.1755+1.62%0.0816✗2.461,0532022-07-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9810.945027-3.67%0.9749-0.62%0.0494✗1.60214k2022-07-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4292.3464-3.40%2.286-5.89%0.0097✓1.43128k2022-07-27
OPTIMOptimism0.6860.663976-3.21%1.051+53.21%0.4797✗1.781.1M2022-07-27
CBKCobakEthereum1.06881.0349-3.17%1.019-4.66%0.0026✓1.125,8422022-07-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7263.6152-2.97%3.913+5.02%0.0856✗0.562.2M2022-07-27
METISMetisEthereum3029.109-2.97%33.64+12.13%0.1561✗1.00130k2022-07-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.2814.8344-2.92%21.26+39.14%0.3776✗1.55431k2022-07-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0219530.021313-2.91%0.021274-3.09%0.0094✓0.981,5692022-07-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0780.075729-2.91%0.0689-11.67%0.0827✓1.03209k2022-07-27
STEEMSteemnative0.25430.246968-2.88%0.2449-3.70%0.0050✓1.17703k2022-07-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0173590.016882-2.75%0.014597-15.91%0.1348✓0.921.2M2022-07-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.9790.952264-2.73%0.967-1.23%0.0360✗1.80574k2022-07-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.3813.9977-2.66%16.85+17.18%0.1963✗0.951.9M2022-07-27
QNTQuantEthereum96.6494.0789-2.65%97.1+0.48%0.0431✗1.002.7M2022-07-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450760.438945-2.62%0.40309-10.58%0.0685✓1.46791k2022-07-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.3422.7328-2.60%32.94+41.13%0.3854✗1.271.2M2022-07-27
XEMNEMnative0.048110.046859-2.60%0.048196+0.18%0.0419✗1.2017k2022-07-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4830.470623-2.56%0.488+1.04%0.0497✗1.1811k2022-07-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.29720.290028-2.41%0.2994+0.74%0.0466✗1.29409k2022-07-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.83.7148-2.24%4.18+10.00%0.1267✗0.76597k2022-07-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.541.5057-2.23%1.355-12.01%0.0906✓1.302.8M2022-07-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.045611-2.21%0.04622-0.90%0.0237✗0.918,1912022-07-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.308830.302033-2.20%0.3082-0.20%0.0355✗1.345,5012022-07-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16290.159332-2.19%0.1577-3.19%0.0043✓1.28354k2022-07-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.113.0428-2.16%3.31+6.43%0.0913✗0.621.7M2022-07-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5068-2.16%1.42-7.79%0.0566✓0.24426k2022-07-27
DIADIAEthereum0.423320.414355-2.12%0.43281+2.24%0.0520✗0.7352k2022-07-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93180.912177-2.11%0.8888-4.61%0.0122✓1.201.2M2022-07-27
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.8895-2.10%3.04+57.51%0.4882✗1.10150k2022-07-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20780.203587-2.03%0.1896-8.76%0.0550✓1.412,6032022-07-27
FISStafiEthereum0.3670.359672-2.00%0.3958+7.85%0.1072✗1.004752022-07-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.463.3932-1.93%3.1-10.40%0.0848✓0.4986k2022-07-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40110.393547-1.88%0.4491+11.97%0.1495✗1.53208k2022-07-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7610.746739-1.87%0.728-4.34%0.0053✓1.766.3M2022-07-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.7494-1.85%5.13+34.29%0.3207✗0.63715k2022-07-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024630.024175-1.85%0.0269+9.22%0.1252✗1.6114.6M2022-07-27
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8576.7312-1.84%8.035+17.18%0.1925✗1.355.7M2022-07-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.8011.768-1.84%1.753-2.67%0.0060✓1.27637k2022-07-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392260.385076-1.83%0.39357+0.33%0.0359✗1.23128k2022-07-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07080.069506-1.83%0.0654-7.63%0.0496✓0.98229k2022-07-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15851.1374-1.82%1.3251+14.38%0.1695✗1.464.7M2022-07-27
DODODODOEthereum0.14860.145898-1.82%0.1526+2.69%0.0597✗1.292.9M2022-07-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.20340.199762-1.79%0.1847-9.19%0.0624✓1.402,1172022-07-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08860.087051-1.75%0.0823-7.11%0.0419✓1.24188k2022-07-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.51392.4704-1.73%2.5415+1.10%0.0463✗1.567,1792022-07-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04880.047966-1.71%0.0502+2.87%0.0592✗1.20282k2022-07-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090530.088996-1.69%0.09551+5.50%0.0821✗1.00589k2022-07-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173670.017073-1.69%0.019996+15.14%0.1635✗0.48171k2022-07-27
FLOWFlownative1.8591.8277-1.68%1.776-4.46%0.0145✓1.24332k2022-07-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.036577-1.67%0.0357-4.03%0.0102✓1.2395k2022-07-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42580.418686-1.67%0.3958-7.05%0.0409✓1.3396k2022-07-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.061730.06072-1.64%0.07649+23.91%0.2459✗1.3125k2022-07-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1633.1118-1.62%3.73+17.93%0.1936✗1.08555k2022-07-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12050.118552-1.62%0.1197-0.66%0.0208✗0.985,8712022-07-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.44420.437085-1.60%0.456+2.66%0.0538✗1.00258k2022-07-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.09492.0614-1.60%2.2453+7.18%0.0958✗0.90890k2022-07-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.596.4847-1.60%7.99+21.24%0.2143✗0.49670k2022-07-27
APEApeCoinEthereum5.8745.7803-1.60%6.826+16.21%0.1861✗1.7311.7M2022-07-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,493.436,393.44-1.54%7,170.14+10.42%0.1299✗1.334.4M2022-07-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.257492-1.53%0.2616+0.04%0.0273✗1.0046k2022-07-27
FTTFTXEthereum28.7728.3341-1.52%29.43+2.29%0.0488✗0.9511.0M2022-07-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.3059-1.51%1.316-0.75%0.0217✗1.221.7M2022-07-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8523.7937-1.51%3.909+1.48%0.0371✗0.621.4M2022-07-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.715996-1.51%0.719-1.10%0.0187✗1.26139k2022-07-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.311.129-1.51%15.48+36.99%0.3468✗1.471.1M2022-07-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2143.1657-1.50%3.422+6.47%0.0866✗0.77488k2022-07-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.6331.6085-1.50%1.593-2.45%0.0018✓1.00181k2022-07-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.209844-1.48%0.207-2.82%0.0041✓1.55881k2022-07-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49960.492211-1.48%0.4706-5.80%0.0323✓1.1049k2022-07-27
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3455.5138-1.47%54.92-2.52%0.0049✓1.3733k2022-07-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.6819.5395-1.46%10.316+6.56%0.0937✗1.3512.9M2022-07-27
HIVEHivenative0.45370.447093-1.46%0.5342+17.74%0.1923✗1.251.3M2022-07-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.666950.657303-1.45%0.65033-2.49%0.0071✓1.56104k2022-07-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0545280.053744-1.44%0.054158-0.68%0.0148✗0.6214k2022-07-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071380.070359-1.43%0.07332+2.72%0.0496✗0.731,5492022-07-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8612.8203-1.42%3.75+31.07%0.3042✗1.683.8M2022-07-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,318.4022,994.21-1.39%22,891.50-1.83%0.0067✓0.9829k2022-07-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001190.000011736-1.37%0.00001154-3.03%0.0026✓1.251.3M2022-07-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.8891-1.35%6.27+5.03%0.0777✗1.31256k2022-07-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.275-1.34%23.4-0.81%0.0233✗1.5627.0M2022-07-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7336.6433-1.33%7.151+6.21%0.0882✗1.275.5M2022-07-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97570.962712-1.33%0.8899-8.79%0.0623✓1.421.4M2022-07-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.52.467-1.32%2.55+2.00%0.0503✗1.51216k2022-07-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027250.026892-1.31%0.02999+10.06%0.1246✗1.361,4722022-07-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5960.58824-1.30%0.595-0.17%0.0277✗1.4284k2022-07-27
ADACardanoCardano0.49110.484715-1.30%0.5113+4.11%0.0679✗1.2743.9M2022-07-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24512.216-1.30%2.3441+4.41%0.0653✗0.80947k2022-07-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.003008-1.27%0.003099+1.71%0.0417✗1.051.1M2022-07-27
BANDBandEthereum1.5011.4822-1.25%1.523+1.47%0.0436✗1.44385k2022-07-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8696.7834-1.25%6.864-0.07%0.0262✗1.2617.9M2022-07-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4462.4158-1.24%2.549+4.21%0.0697✗1.4043k2022-07-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.234.1777-1.24%4.6+8.75%0.1036✗0.63579k2022-07-27
SOLSolanaSolana42.0541.5381-1.22%40.24-4.30%0.0165✓1.3381.1M2022-07-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4331.4157-1.21%1.4426+0.67%0.0350✗1.42684k2022-07-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.99e-7-1.20%9.20e-7+1.10%0.0345✗1.0028k2022-07-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80880.799509-1.15%0.9751+20.56%0.2099✗0.993.5M2022-07-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34480.340855-1.14%0.3287-4.67%0.0230✓1.168.2M2022-07-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5652.5358-1.14%2.441-4.83%0.0278✓0.9098k2022-07-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.24570.242922-1.13%0.2485+1.14%0.0351✗1.0861k2022-07-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.744.6871-1.12%5.05+6.54%0.0822✗0.67574k2022-07-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019270.019057-1.10%0.01805-6.33%0.0457✓0.75354k2022-07-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6292.6001-1.10%2.727+3.73%0.0676✗1.7484k2022-07-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.6632.6338-1.10%2.741+2.93%0.0525✗1.10673k2022-07-27
SCSiacoinnative0.004410.004362-1.09%0.00426-3.40%0.0084✓1.33127k2022-07-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.133237-1.09%0.126-6.46%0.0408✓1.3144k2022-07-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.349190.345422-1.08%0.33765-3.30%0.0086✓1.24411k2022-07-27
ZENHorizenBase16.7716.5909-1.07%16.08-4.11%0.0154✓1.3996k2022-07-27
KSMKusamaHydration60.359.6669-1.05%62.3+3.32%0.0570✗1.20235k2022-07-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.110332-1.05%0.1138+2.06%0.0433✗1.08398k2022-07-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.331.3162-1.04%1.38+3.76%0.0642✗1.47910k2022-07-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4848-1.01%1.5+0.00%0.0266✗1.43142k2022-07-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05320.052662-1.01%0.0521-2.07%0.0045✓1.33817k2022-07-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24240.240008-0.99%0.2375-2.02%0.0037✓1.24147k2022-07-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.296057-0.98%0.294-1.67%0.0051✓1.05664k2022-07-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069740.006906-0.98%0.006764-3.01%0.0140✓0.5851k2022-07-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.07160.070899-0.98%0.0633-11.59%0.0975✓1.39312k2022-07-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.24145.1911-0.96%5.1981-0.83%0.0036✓0.20335k2022-07-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.62655.1005-0.94%57.973+4.22%0.0604✗0.83387k2022-07-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5681.5534-0.93%1.639+4.53%0.0703✗1.45203k2022-07-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.375.32-0.93%5.31-1.12%0.0142✗1.401.2M2022-07-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1120570.111017-0.93%0.112668+0.55%0.0262✗1.007.2M2022-07-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28420.281573-0.92%0.3134+10.27%0.1199✗1.1242k2022-07-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.009350.009265-0.91%0.00854-8.66%0.0709✓0.921.3M2022-07-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5845.5335-0.90%5.655+1.27%0.0343✗1.101.9M2022-07-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.920020.911706-0.90%0.956+3.91%0.0628✗1.35423k2022-07-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010750.001065-0.90%0.001066-0.77%0.0160✗1.291.7M2022-07-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.05453.0271-0.90%4.1269+35.11%0.3223✗1.0827k2022-07-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055910.055417-0.88%0.05302-5.17%0.0275✓1.46773k2022-07-27
XMRMoneroMonero151.47150.1439-0.88%161.72+6.77%0.0870✗1.121.3M2022-07-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,522.121,508.82-0.87%1,636.40+7.51%0.0952✗1.23326.5M2022-07-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.1090.108066-0.86%0.1142+4.77%0.0678✗1.10560k2022-07-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6850.679131-0.86%0.708+3.36%0.0557✗1.23858k2022-07-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.5215.3884-0.85%16.79+8.18%0.1028✗1.361.3M2022-07-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134620.133483-0.84%0.15339+13.94%0.1573✗1.60158k2022-07-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009154-0.83%0.0091-1.41%0.0053✓0.984.9M2022-07-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.45872.4385-0.82%2.4306-1.14%0.0082✓1.001.1M2022-07-27
MOVRMoonriverBase13.094612.9875-0.82%13.2156+0.92%0.0310✗1.19194k2022-07-27
DASHDashDash47.1246.7359-0.82%48.06+1.99%0.0404✗1.09616k2022-07-27
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.03e-7-0.81%9.20e-7+1.10%0.0285✗0.825.8M2022-07-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.070030.069465-0.81%0.067138-4.13%0.0203✓1.202.0M2022-07-27
XECeCashnative0.000040810.000040481-0.81%0.0000419+2.67%0.0480✗1.191.9M2022-07-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006840.006785-0.80%0.01109+62.13%0.5028✗1.01387k2022-07-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.05370.053276-0.79%0.0514-4.28%0.0190✓1.47115k2022-07-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.089588-0.79%0.0856-5.20%0.0364✓0.80150k2022-07-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.131469-0.78%0.1293-2.42%0.0050✓1.023.5M2022-07-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.766004-0.78%0.835+8.16%0.0951✗0.771.1M2022-07-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020830.020672-0.76%0.02029-2.59%0.0066✓1.05134k2022-07-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6740.669061-0.73%0.695+3.12%0.0491✗0.97443k2022-07-27
XTZTezosTezos1.61811.6065-0.72%1.6434+1.56%0.0371✗1.26499k2022-07-27
NANOnanopayBase0.9176340.91105-0.72%0.963744+5.02%0.0678✗1.0163k2022-07-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52370.520028-0.70%0.5756+9.91%0.1153✗1.20491k2022-07-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.12581.1181-0.68%1.1075-1.63%0.0027✓1.0745k2022-07-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23250.230962-0.66%0.2257-2.92%0.0062✓1.47117k2022-07-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.018.9515-0.65%8.8-2.33%0.0037✓1.17288k2022-07-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29240.290552-0.63%0.2981+1.95%0.0392✗1.192.9M2022-07-27
STXStacksnative0.4140.411458-0.61%0.4135-0.12%0.0194✗1.26414k2022-07-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.10530.10466-0.61%0.1029-2.28%0.0019✓1.32526k2022-07-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04240.042148-0.59%0.0433+2.12%0.0424✗1.347,6872022-07-27
TRXTRONTron0.0675750.067175-0.59%0.068748+1.74%0.0322✗0.80373k2022-07-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.89641.8852-0.59%2.0057+5.77%0.0760✗1.2227k2022-07-27
XVGVergenative0.003670.003649-0.58%0.00356-3.00%0.0093✓1.34649k2022-07-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08460.084113-0.58%0.0809-4.37%0.0249✓1.236,8122022-07-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.029869-0.57%0.02867-4.56%0.0264✓1.2723k2022-07-27
PROPropyEthereum0.810.805405-0.57%0.78-3.70%0.0240✓0.71111k2022-07-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10470.104112-0.56%0.1112+6.21%0.0814✗1.362.5M2022-07-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,226.9923,096.93-0.56%22,962.59-1.14%0.0056✓1.00398.7M2022-07-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3138160.312182-0.52%0.307853-1.90%0.0002✓1.231.4M2022-07-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.14580.145101-0.48%0.1445-0.89%0.0100✗1.2487k2022-07-27
AAVEAaveEthereum90.8890.453-0.47%94.7+4.20%0.0646✗1.6311.3M2022-07-27
ZECZcashZcash62.0661.7759-0.46%61.75-0.50%0.0145✗1.301.5M2022-07-27
KCSKuCoinnative10.27710.2367-0.39%10.224-0.52%0.0115✗1.112.2M2022-07-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7070.704249-0.39%0.712+0.71%0.0284✗1.52108k2022-07-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.71e-73.69e-7-0.33%3.55e-7-4.21%0.0282✓1.00268k2022-07-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2257.1043-0.20%59.04+3.18%0.0463✗1.1314.8M2022-07-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058690.005858-0.19%0.005933+1.08%0.0231✗0.912,9222022-07-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4697.4641-0.07%7.687+2.92%0.0435✗1.239.0M2022-07-27
GTGateEthereum4.15454.1546+0.00%4.1939+0.95%0.0175✓0.70930k2022-07-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50580.508111+0.46%0.5154+1.90%0.0272✓1.14333k2022-07-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.82122.5814+0.63%127.39+4.57%0.0514✓1.134.0M2022-07-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.