8=======>

2022-07-18 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0913
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.1%
in alpha space · 56.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.97%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.28544.3621+1.79%3.9696-7.37%0.0579✗0.72930k2022-07-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08410.085407+1.55%0.0785-6.66%0.0219✗1.226,7832022-07-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52960.537625+1.52%0.4888-7.70%0.0368✗1.15311k2022-07-25
XMRMoneroMonero147.68149.6616+1.34%144.12-2.41%0.0198✓1.131.3M2022-07-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6570.665522+1.30%0.681+3.65%0.0844✓1.21858k2022-07-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.68e-7+1.23%3.57e-7-1.79%0.0206✓1.00316k2022-07-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059220.005995+1.22%0.005629-4.95%0.0167✗0.912,9222022-07-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.21122.5709+1.12%118.03-2.62%0.0198✓1.134.0M2022-07-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.690.697162+1.04%0.663-3.91%0.0266✓1.51108k2022-07-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,427.5622,624.07+0.88%21,313.41-4.97%0.0087✓1.00398.7M2022-07-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26320.265429+0.85%0.2757+4.75%0.0959✓1.1442k2022-07-25
ZECZcashZcash65.5766.1138+0.83%54.2-17.34%0.1317✗1.321.5M2022-07-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04410.044464+0.83%0.0414-6.12%0.0031✓1.347,2812022-07-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.067540.068097+0.83%0.06193-8.31%0.0333✗1.212.0M2022-07-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,641.5021,816.04+0.81%21,619.20-0.10%0.0401✓0.9729k2022-07-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.009260.009331+0.77%0.00845-8.75%0.0527✗0.911.2M2022-07-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.8549.9237+0.71%9.46-4.00%0.0088✓1.112.2M2022-07-25
XVGVergenative0.003830.003855+0.65%0.00345-9.92%0.0419✗1.36635k2022-07-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11010.110812+0.65%0.0957-13.08%0.0772✗1.362.4M2022-07-25
SCSiacoinnative0.004280.004307+0.64%0.00397-7.24%0.0134✗1.34127k2022-07-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.003023+0.62%0.003099+3.16%0.0779✓1.041.2M2022-07-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.720.724258+0.59%0.623-13.47%0.1010✗0.97443k2022-07-25
TRXTRONTron0.0690930.069494+0.58%0.063663-7.86%0.0472✗0.79405k2022-07-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.15120.152053+0.56%0.1316-12.96%0.0809✗1.2587k2022-07-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.10740.107963+0.52%0.0928-13.59%0.0838✗1.33526k2022-07-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.05610.05639+0.52%0.0476-15.15%0.0943✗1.48108k2022-07-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129810.013047+0.51%0.01345+3.61%0.0725✓0.831.2M2022-07-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.11851.1241+0.50%1.0526-5.89%0.0109✗1.0848k2022-07-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.7372.75+0.47%2.629-3.95%0.0112✓1.10704k2022-07-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.830.833848+0.46%0.798-3.86%0.0041✓0.781.1M2022-07-25
NANOnanopayBase0.9790620.983559+0.46%0.913715-6.67%0.0214✗1.0363k2022-07-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.5858.8458+0.45%54.02-7.78%0.0268✗1.1514.8M2022-07-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08820.088583+0.43%0.0816-7.48%0.0194✗1.23176k2022-07-25
STXStacksnative0.42560.42735+0.41%0.4007-5.85%0.0001✓1.26381k2022-07-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22550.226383+0.39%0.2157-4.35%0.0274✓1.49117k2022-07-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0920.092358+0.39%0.0855-7.07%0.0370✗0.79144k2022-07-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11310.113538+0.39%0.1145+1.24%0.0576✓0.966,1432022-07-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007070.007097+0.39%0.006689-5.39%0.0300✗0.5765k2022-07-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009540.009576+0.38%0.00843-11.64%0.0776✗0.984.9M2022-07-25
FLOWFlownative1.6881.694+0.36%1.627-3.61%0.0211✓1.21287k2022-07-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4270.428518+0.36%0.4288+0.42%0.0799✓1.55191k2022-07-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.619.6435+0.35%8.44-12.17%0.0740✗1.16288k2022-07-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92811.9338+0.30%1.8387-4.64%0.0119✓1.2227k2022-07-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31152.3183+0.29%2.2439-2.92%0.0081✓0.80947k2022-07-25
AAVEAaveEthereum96.2396.5107+0.29%81.4-15.41%0.0857✗1.6610.8M2022-07-25
BANDBandEthereum1.5121.516+0.27%1.4-7.41%0.0063✗1.44382k2022-07-25
PROPropyEthereum0.80.802061+0.26%0.79-1.25%0.0212✓0.71111k2022-07-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.923416+0.26%0.87347-5.17%0.0125✓1.34399k2022-07-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29630.297058+0.26%0.2748-7.26%0.0174✗1.192.9M2022-07-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana77.0171+0.24%6.94-0.86%0.0140✓0.49670k2022-07-25
DASHDashDash48.8648.9757+0.24%44.88-8.15%0.0315✗1.10616k2022-07-25
XECeCashnative0.000042160.000042253+0.22%0.00003829-9.18%0.0379✗1.191.9M2022-07-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.146230.146531+0.21%0.14017-4.14%0.0379✓1.62176k2022-07-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.253088+0.19%0.2321-8.12%0.0309✗1.0960k2022-07-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13220.132439+0.18%0.1232-6.81%0.0199✗1.033.3M2022-07-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029260.029301+0.14%0.02675-8.58%0.0269✗1.2623k2022-07-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3130.313403+0.13%0.281-10.22%0.0552✗1.06599k2022-07-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.20123.2054+0.13%3.2836+2.57%0.0799✓1.1026k2022-07-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006980.006989+0.12%0.00655-6.16%0.0135✗1.01390k2022-07-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.114315+0.12%0.105988-7.18%0.0246✗1.007.2M2022-07-25
ZENHorizenBase17.7417.7572+0.10%15.25-14.04%0.0809✗1.4081k2022-07-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43320.433616+0.10%0.3624-16.34%0.1111✗1.3482k2022-07-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.414240.414627+0.09%0.359-13.34%0.0813✗1.23128k2022-07-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5530.553404+0.07%0.5256-4.95%0.0104✓1.22456k2022-07-25
MOVRMoonriverBase14.335414.3434+0.06%12.6773-11.57%0.0621✗1.20238k2022-07-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.720348+0.05%0.674-6.39%0.0027✗1.25127k2022-07-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3209430.321066+0.04%0.281447-12.31%0.0675✗1.261.4M2022-07-25
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.30e-7+0.03%8.80e-7-5.38%0.0130✗0.845.8M2022-07-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59472.5951+0.02%2.298-11.43%0.0712✗0.991.1M2022-07-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24760.247602+0.00%0.2221-10.30%0.0451✗1.25139k2022-07-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.054684-0.03%0.0476-12.98%0.0704✓1.34817k2022-07-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6195-0.03%1.37-15.43%0.0931✓1.46142k2022-07-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.236.2279-0.03%5.96-4.33%0.0242✗1.34263k2022-07-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35980.359661-0.04%0.3116-13.40%0.0839✓1.178.2M2022-07-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011960.000011954-0.05%0.00001069-10.62%0.0477✓1.261.2M2022-07-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44671.4459-0.06%1.3096-9.48%0.0271✓1.41684k2022-07-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.063130.063089-0.06%0.06782+7.43%0.1403✗1.3325k2022-07-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6547.6468-0.09%6.757-11.72%0.0605✓1.249.0M2022-07-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3351.3337-0.10%1.248-6.52%0.0002✓1.312.6M2022-07-25
HIVEHivenative0.47060.470131-0.10%0.519+10.28%0.1627✗1.251.2M2022-07-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0531780.053124-0.10%0.053405+0.43%0.0371✗0.6214k2022-07-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019480.01946-0.10%0.01792-8.01%0.0434✓0.77354k2022-07-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.43595.4297-0.11%5.0862-6.43%0.0549✓0.20335k2022-07-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.571127-0.15%0.53-7.34%0.0028✓1.4184k2022-07-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.360130.359556-0.16%0.34443-4.36%0.0213✗1.26411k2022-07-25
SOLSolanaSolana43.5543.48-0.16%36.64-15.87%0.1029✓1.3481.1M2022-07-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010420.00104-0.18%0.0009901-5.00%0.0152✗1.271.7M2022-07-25
KSMKusamaHydration63.8263.6855-0.21%58.49-8.35%0.0226✓1.23235k2022-07-25
XEMNEMnative0.0449280.044831-0.22%0.044703-0.50%0.0565✗1.1616k2022-07-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3752.3695-0.23%2.177-8.34%0.0127✓1.4143k2022-07-25
FTTFTXEthereum29.8629.791-0.23%27.01-9.54%0.0486✓0.9710.7M2022-07-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,611.886,596.53-0.23%6,273.72-5.11%0.0180✗1.344.4M2022-07-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,581.341,577.61-0.24%1,440.75-8.89%0.0270✓1.25326.5M2022-07-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6571.6526-0.26%1.545-6.76%0.0073✗1.46194k2022-07-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.5799.5521-0.28%8.973-6.33%0.0056✗1.3412.5M2022-07-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021160.021098-0.29%0.01937-8.46%0.0313✓1.06123k2022-07-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.974.9554-0.29%4.76-4.23%0.0060✓0.67574k2022-07-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13310.132648-0.34%0.1194-10.29%0.0380✓1.3234k2022-07-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5362.5273-0.34%2.417-4.69%0.0015✓0.9188k2022-07-25
ADACardanoCardano0.490.488267-0.35%0.4749-3.08%0.0369✗1.2743.9M2022-07-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.056850.056648-0.35%0.04794-15.67%0.0924✓1.46773k2022-07-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02871.0249-0.36%0.8249-19.81%0.1435✓1.441.4M2022-07-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9395.917-0.37%5.238-11.80%0.0655✓1.111.9M2022-07-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.55357.3343-0.38%54.13-5.95%0.0145✓0.84387k2022-07-25
XTZTezosTezos1.73361.7266-0.41%1.5084-12.99%0.0701✓1.27519k2022-07-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05070.050477-0.44%0.0481-5.13%0.0133✗1.21276k2022-07-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0387.0069-0.44%6.421-8.77%0.0227✓1.2717.9M2022-07-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11740.116872-0.45%0.1078-8.18%0.0253✓1.09380k2022-07-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.11460.114036-0.49%0.1014-11.52%0.0609✓1.11560k2022-07-25
STEEMSteemnative0.220.218875-0.51%0.2309+4.95%0.1137✗1.18705k2022-07-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.434.4061-0.54%4.26-3.84%0.0011✓0.64579k2022-07-25
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9925.9596-0.54%5.996+0.07%0.0963✗1.7711.7M2022-07-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.98150.97569-0.59%0.8396-14.46%0.0885✓1.211.1M2022-07-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.3516.2526-0.60%15.35-6.12%0.0127✗1.371.3M2022-07-25
COMPCompoundEthereum57.6657.2937-0.64%50.24-12.87%0.0615✓1.3732k2022-07-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17090.169806-0.64%0.1472-13.87%0.0773✓1.29349k2022-07-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.072828-0.64%0.059-19.51%0.1389✓1.41312k2022-07-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047510.047202-0.65%0.04403-7.32%0.0231✓0.916,5622022-07-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.14932.1351-0.66%2.131-0.85%0.0443✗0.91857k2022-07-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6612.6432-0.67%2.366-11.09%0.0219✓1.7484k2022-07-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3911.3104-0.70%12.51+9.83%0.1774✗1.501.1M2022-07-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.304870.302463-0.79%0.29306-3.87%0.0365✗1.343,2792022-07-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.220.218238-0.80%0.193-12.27%0.0436✓1.56881k2022-07-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03920.038879-0.82%0.0337-14.03%0.0794✓1.2595k2022-07-25
DIADIAEthereum0.448260.444371-0.87%0.40407-9.86%0.0573✓0.7453k2022-07-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.2414-0.87%5.015+53.36%0.4924✗1.10552k2022-07-25
XVSVenusEthereum5.475.4221-0.88%5.08-7.13%0.0073✓1.421.2M2022-07-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4867-0.89%1.36-9.33%0.0120✓1.51856k2022-07-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.134.0928-0.90%4.33+4.84%0.0889✗0.64694k2022-07-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.9723.7403-0.96%20.91-12.77%0.0468✓1.5725.2M2022-07-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0942.0739-0.96%1.934-7.64%0.0041✓1.45123k2022-07-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174120.017242-0.97%0.018726+7.55%0.1076✗0.49175k2022-07-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9513.9124-0.98%3.781-4.30%0.0021✓0.631.5M2022-07-25
DODODODOEthereum0.16280.161204-0.98%0.1417-12.96%0.0627✓1.302.8M2022-07-25
RADRadworksEthereum1.811.7919-1.00%1.88+3.87%0.1045✗1.11133k2022-07-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3891.3749-1.02%1.201-13.53%0.0722✓1.241.4M2022-07-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52250.517092-1.03%0.4354-16.67%0.1162✓1.0949k2022-07-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6719-1.04%2.25-16.67%0.0938✓1.53205k2022-07-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07560.074808-1.05%0.0605-19.97%0.1616✓1.00229k2022-07-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9492.9181-1.05%2.968+0.64%0.1043✗1.723.8M2022-07-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.82580.816999-1.07%0.9017+9.19%0.1498✗1.003.5M2022-07-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.5337.4503-1.10%6.203-17.66%0.1174✓1.295.5M2022-07-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.9491.9267-1.14%1.596-18.11%0.1224✓1.29668k2022-07-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.20110.198738-1.17%0.174-13.48%0.0616✓1.402,2022022-07-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68832.6565-1.18%2.2645-15.76%0.0790✓1.585,9882022-07-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.69860.690119-1.21%0.59797-14.40%0.0631✓1.57104k2022-07-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.34131.3249-1.22%1.1763-12.30%0.0421✓1.514.3M2022-07-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.258474-1.23%0.261-0.27%0.0607✗1.0045k2022-07-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3163.2745-1.25%3.228-2.65%0.0249✗0.77488k2022-07-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.5941.5731-1.31%1.557-2.32%0.0407✗1.00178k2022-07-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026370.02601-1.37%0.02448-7.17%0.0230✗1.6414.6M2022-07-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20550.202654-1.39%0.1842-10.36%0.0226✓1.432,7232022-07-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7514.5406-1.42%17.78+20.54%0.2500✗0.961.8M2022-07-25
GMTGMTEthereum1.1291.1122-1.49%0.915-18.95%0.1009✓1.85574k2022-07-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028960.028522-1.51%0.02571-11.22%0.0327✓1.401,4722022-07-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.26e-7-1.54%9.00e-7-4.26%0.0230✗1.0025k2022-07-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.477820.470356-1.56%0.40671-14.88%0.0697✓1.49808k2022-07-25
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3277.2119-1.57%7.047-3.82%0.0468✗1.375.7M2022-07-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.883.8167-1.63%4.08+5.15%0.1056✗0.76597k2022-07-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088780.087239-1.74%0.09329+5.08%0.1180✗1.00456k2022-07-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8523.784-1.77%3.705-3.82%0.0077✓0.572.2M2022-07-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221540.021762-1.77%0.020479-7.56%0.0106✓0.991,5692022-07-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076990.075621-1.78%0.071-7.78%0.0249✓0.751,9712022-07-25
CBKCobakEthereum1.04631.0268-1.86%0.98539-5.82%0.0160✓1.124,7592022-07-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6910.677682-1.93%0.789+14.18%0.2281✗1.493,6872022-07-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1893.1255-1.99%3.091-3.07%0.0212✗0.631.9M2022-07-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5677-2.02%1.41-11.88%0.0935✓0.25485k2022-07-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.530.519255-2.03%0.504-4.91%0.0311✗1.1911k2022-07-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.853.7695-2.09%3.21-16.62%0.1346✓0.5182k2022-07-25
METISMetisEthereum29.6829.0223-2.22%27.37-7.78%0.0077✓1.00128k2022-07-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45060.44018-2.31%0.42-6.79%0.0040✓1.00257k2022-07-25
QNTQuantEthereum103.99101.4326-2.46%87.87-15.50%0.0922✓1.012.7M2022-07-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000106260.000103612-2.49%0.00009221-13.22%0.0198✓1.90692k2022-07-25
FISStafiEthereum0.44830.437117-2.49%0.3702-17.42%0.1152✓1.004752022-07-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.324.6656-2.51%23.25-8.10%0.0067✓1.291.2M2022-07-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93760.913823-2.54%0.8258-11.92%0.0208✓1.58214k2022-07-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8517.3582-2.76%20.55+15.13%0.2499✗1.59427k2022-07-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8170.794236-2.79%0.693-15.18%0.0452✓1.796.5M2022-07-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.965290.937837-2.84%0.95357-1.21%0.0652✗0.954662022-07-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188880.183111-3.05%0.1699-10.05%0.0538✗2.538962022-07-25
OPTIMOptimism0.8170.790309-3.27%0.794-2.82%0.1012✗1.891.1M2022-07-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.29070.281096-3.30%0.2741-5.71%0.0412✗1.30435k2022-07-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09930.09409-5.25%0.0642-35.35%0.3268✓1.09209k2022-07-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.