8=======>

2022-07-11 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1689
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 6.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+12.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010490.000100359-4.33%0.00010626+1.30%0.1671✓1.91744k2022-07-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.7660.738053-3.65%0.9376+22.40%0.0473✗1.63173k2022-07-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165620.159724-3.56%0.18888+14.04%0.1778✓2.948572022-07-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07240.069872-3.49%0.0756+4.42%0.0427✓1.03114k2022-07-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7414.271-3.18%14.75+0.07%0.0881✓1.03527k2022-07-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.27790.269113-3.16%0.2907+4.61%0.0403✓1.00440k2022-07-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7143.5987-3.10%3.852+3.72%0.0042✓0.542.2M2022-07-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4772-2.81%1.6+5.26%0.0526✗0.23614k2022-07-18
QNTQuantEthereum79.0176.908-2.66%103.99+31.62%0.1852✗0.992.5M2022-07-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6330.616462-2.61%0.691+9.16%0.0629✓1.513,0312022-07-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.4614.0844-2.60%17.85+23.44%0.0424✗1.66446k2022-07-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202430.01973-2.53%0.022154+9.44%0.0031✓1.018952022-07-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6585-2.44%1.81+6.47%0.0448✓1.13114k2022-07-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.263.1847-2.31%3.85+18.10%0.1428✗0.4082k2022-07-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096810.09467-2.21%0.08878-8.29%0.1817✓1.00357k2022-07-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017960.017564-2.21%0.017412-3.05%0.0724✓0.54241k2022-07-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7081.6713-2.15%2.094+22.60%0.0493✗1.50109k2022-07-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.966920.946186-2.14%1.0463+8.21%0.0342✓1.152,3312022-07-18
METISMetisEthereum20.2219.7986-2.08%29.68+46.79%0.2874✗1.00110k2022-07-18
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.347663-2.07%0.4483+26.28%0.1368✗1.004912022-07-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.761.7252-1.98%1.949+10.74%0.0345✓1.33915k2022-07-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38560.377975-1.98%0.427+10.74%0.0656✓1.60215k2022-07-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37520.367879-1.95%0.4506+20.10%0.0854✗1.00180k2022-07-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.255969-1.93%0.2617+0.27%0.0953✓1.0045k2022-07-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022690.022258-1.90%0.02637+16.22%0.0267✓1.6721.5M2022-07-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9412.8854-1.89%3.189+8.43%0.0262✗0.632.3M2022-07-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.8310.815326-1.89%1.129+35.86%0.1111✗1.83620k2022-07-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.690.676996-1.88%0.96529+39.90%0.2536✗0.862702022-07-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04530.044456-1.86%0.0507+11.92%0.0133✓1.23264k2022-07-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16710.163988-1.86%0.2055+22.98%0.0425✗1.562,7942022-07-18
OPTIMOptimism0.4820.473053-1.86%0.817+69.50%0.3452✗1.711.4M2022-07-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.035042-1.84%0.0392+9.80%0.0376✓1.28105k2022-07-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13360.131137-1.84%0.1331-0.37%0.1434✓1.3534k2022-07-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.4821.4548-1.84%1.594+7.56%0.0261✓1.00180k2022-07-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85920.843995-1.77%0.9815+14.23%0.0036✓1.25325k2022-07-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374050.367461-1.76%0.41424+10.74%0.0276✓1.26155k2022-07-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08520.083706-1.75%0.0882+3.52%0.0984✓1.28179k2022-07-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.5369-1.75%4.13+14.72%0.0823✗0.62726k2022-07-18
DIADIAEthereum0.374050.367553-1.74%0.44826+19.84%0.1106✗0.7554k2022-07-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5673.5056-1.72%3.951+10.77%0.0454✗0.631.8M2022-07-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025940.025496-1.71%0.02896+11.64%0.0630✓1.622,0152022-07-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3830.376497-1.70%0.53+38.38%0.2101✗1.1210k2022-07-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.224173-1.68%0.22-3.51%0.2009✓1.551.0M2022-07-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444980.43752-1.68%0.47782+7.38%0.0950✓1.561.3M2022-07-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067030.065913-1.67%0.07699+14.86%0.0606✗0.812,1062022-07-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.283380.278661-1.67%0.30487+7.58%0.0717✓1.383,1392022-07-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23570.231875-1.62%0.2476+5.05%0.0843✓1.28220k2022-07-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043190.042494-1.61%0.04751+10.00%0.0027✓0.935,7282022-07-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.644730.634377-1.61%0.6986+8.36%0.0973✓1.65120k2022-07-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.8480.834933-1.54%0.8258-2.62%0.1277✓0.994.0M2022-07-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2776.1831-1.50%7.533+20.01%0.0402✗1.345.5M2022-07-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0941.0776-1.49%1.389+26.97%0.1159✗1.171.7M2022-07-18
HIVEHivenative0.43510.42861-1.49%0.4706+8.16%0.0562✓1.271.3M2022-07-18
STEEMSteemnative0.21280.209681-1.47%0.22+3.38%0.0944✓1.21695k2022-07-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.75641.7309-1.45%2.1493+22.37%0.1152✗0.86937k2022-07-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.073.0259-1.44%3.88+26.38%0.1656✗0.71693k2022-07-18
XEMNEMnative0.0378760.037335-1.43%0.044928+18.62%0.0481✗1.1714k2022-07-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85690.845019-1.39%1.0287+20.05%0.0268✗1.451.8M2022-07-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.158177-1.39%0.2011+25.37%0.0743✗1.413,0332022-07-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.1638.0505-1.38%9.579+17.35%0.0171✗1.3412.9M2022-07-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45390.447771-1.35%0.5225+15.11%0.0225✗1.1260k2022-07-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.945.86-1.35%7+17.85%0.1201✗0.49750k2022-07-18
DODODODOEthereum0.12410.122433-1.34%0.1628+31.18%0.1342✗1.282.8M2022-07-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08222.0543-1.34%2.3115+11.01%0.0247✗0.791.0M2022-07-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.88690.875024-1.34%1.3413+51.23%0.2643✗1.394.3M2022-07-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0510020.050321-1.33%0.053178+4.27%0.0198✓0.6415k2022-07-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.40115.3291-1.33%5.4359+0.64%0.0029✓0.19335k2022-07-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017960.017724-1.31%0.01948+8.46%0.0016✓0.79414k2022-07-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.137775-1.31%0.1709+22.42%0.0587✗1.33349k2022-07-18
ADACardanoCardano0.43440.428742-1.30%0.49+12.80%0.0162✓1.2846.5M2022-07-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.10630.104922-1.30%0.1146+7.81%0.0407✓1.10551k2022-07-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.769037-1.28%0.817+4.88%0.1623✓1.908.7M2022-07-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009740.009618-1.26%0.00954-2.05%0.1316✓1.055.3M2022-07-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7710.76133-1.25%0.83+7.65%0.0078✓0.801.6M2022-07-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010183-1.24%0.00001196+16.00%0.0157✗1.241.3M2022-07-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.873.8222-1.23%4.43+14.47%0.0723✗0.64629k2022-07-18
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5647.9632-1.23%57.66+18.74%0.0194✗1.4027k2022-07-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4042.3745-1.23%2.536+5.49%0.0409✓0.91127k2022-07-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.4722.442-1.21%2.737+10.72%0.0215✓1.15969k2022-07-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065280.006449-1.21%0.00707+8.30%0.0240✗0.5897k2022-07-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7615-1.20%3.316+18.64%0.0940✗0.76530k2022-07-18
ZENHorizenBase15.0414.8611-1.19%17.74+17.95%0.0100✓1.4281k2022-07-18
FTTFTXEthereum24.9824.6859-1.18%29.86+19.54%0.0809✗0.9311.6M2022-07-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,496.415,432.02-1.17%6,611.88+20.29%0.0398✗1.344.5M2022-07-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4133-1.17%1.62+13.29%0.0350✓1.46214k2022-07-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.355.2876-1.17%6.23+16.45%0.0078✓1.33264k2022-07-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2062.1806-1.15%2.6883+21.86%0.0158✗1.654,8022022-07-18
APEApeCoinEthereum4.344.2902-1.15%5.992+38.06%0.1245✗1.7816.0M2022-07-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1013910.100241-1.13%0.114184+12.62%0.0111✓1.018.8M2022-07-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.62.571-1.12%3.27+25.77%0.1105✗1.11544k2022-07-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.222.1956-1.10%2.7+21.62%0.0219✗1.57236k2022-07-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29670.293445-1.10%0.3598+21.27%0.0654✗1.189.2M2022-07-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4780.472843-1.08%0.572+19.67%0.0267✗1.3999k2022-07-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39460.390345-1.08%0.4332+9.78%0.0524✓1.3394k2022-07-18
UNIUniswapEthereum5.5615.5018-1.06%7.327+31.76%0.1263✗1.365.4M2022-07-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.548.4494-1.06%11.39+33.37%0.1274✗1.461.1M2022-07-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026670.002639-1.06%0.003004+12.64%0.0087✓1.031.3M2022-07-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.638217-1.05%0.72+11.63%0.0315✓1.29157k2022-07-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.374.3242-1.05%4.97+13.73%0.0629✗0.65758k2022-07-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3221.3082-1.04%1.512+14.37%0.0255✓1.45400k2022-07-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.23540.232966-1.03%0.2526+7.31%0.0509✓1.1262k2022-07-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.008820.00873-1.02%0.00926+4.99%0.0506✓0.931.2M2022-07-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1911.1788-1.02%1.335+12.09%0.0290✓1.312.8M2022-07-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.0365.9755-1.00%7.038+16.60%0.0145✗1.2720.3M2022-07-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09950.098504-1.00%0.1131+13.67%0.0223✗0.997,0862022-07-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0682.0483-0.95%2.375+14.85%0.0186✓1.4265k2022-07-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.46710.462731-0.94%0.553+18.39%0.0363✗1.21611k2022-07-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.151.1393-0.93%1.5+30.43%0.0975✗1.51784k2022-07-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.20649.7457-0.92%57.553+14.63%0.0465✗0.85456k2022-07-18
XECeCashnative0.000037970.000037626-0.90%0.00004216+11.04%0.0302✓1.232.2M2022-07-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.804610.79734-0.90%0.92106+14.47%0.0140✓1.35493k2022-07-18
QTUMQtumQtum2.70052.6764-0.89%3.2012+18.54%0.0493✗1.1130k2022-07-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.119020.11797-0.88%0.14623+22.86%0.0258✗1.61186k2022-07-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.054810.054329-0.88%0.06313+15.18%0.0136✓1.3927k2022-07-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.100513-0.87%0.1174+15.78%0.0256✗1.10388k2022-07-18
SCSiacoinnative0.003770.003737-0.87%0.00428+13.53%0.0239✓1.36165k2022-07-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5910.585859-0.87%0.72+21.83%0.0975✗0.93419k2022-07-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29022.2705-0.86%2.5947+13.30%0.0156✗1.001.3M2022-07-18
TRXTRONTron0.0645810.064026-0.86%0.069093+6.99%0.0217✓0.83611k2022-07-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.0610.060478-0.86%0.0733+20.16%0.0228✗1.44316k2022-07-18
XTZTezosTezos1.57161.5583-0.85%1.7336+10.31%0.0425✓1.27582k2022-07-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.281580.279203-0.84%0.36013+27.90%0.1076✗1.25464k2022-07-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.814.7694-0.84%5.47+13.72%0.0353✓1.471.3M2022-07-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006490.006435-0.84%0.00698+7.55%0.0366✓1.00403k2022-07-18
SOLSolanaSolana33.4133.1385-0.81%43.55+30.35%0.1188✗1.3290.8M2022-07-18
FLOWFlownative1.5081.4959-0.80%1.688+11.94%0.0209✓1.21297k2022-07-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23511.2253-0.79%1.4467+17.13%0.0043✓1.38684k2022-07-18
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.63e-7-0.78%9.30e-7+6.90%0.0233✓0.835.7M2022-07-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26640.264344-0.77%0.2963+11.22%0.0263✓1.203.1M2022-07-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0480.047634-0.76%0.0561+16.88%0.0119✓1.49111k2022-07-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009430.000935852-0.76%0.001042+10.52%0.0437✓1.292.4M2022-07-18
PROPropyEthereum0.830.823722-0.76%0.8-3.61%0.1139✓0.72129k2022-07-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.258.1879-0.75%9.61+16.48%0.0223✗1.17299k2022-07-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.00460.997242-0.73%1.1185+11.34%0.0144✓1.1065k2022-07-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3072.2904-0.72%2.949+27.83%0.0479✗1.743.4M2022-07-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4713.373-0.72%16.35+21.38%0.0411✗1.361.5M2022-07-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019410.019271-0.71%0.02116+9.02%0.0309✓1.06100k2022-07-18
NANOnanopayBase0.8431570.837155-0.71%0.979062+16.12%0.0364✗1.0290k2022-07-18
MOVRMoonriverBase11.595511.5168-0.68%14.3354+23.63%0.0802✗1.18316k2022-07-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.1935.1578-0.68%5.939+14.37%0.0073✗1.142.1M2022-07-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.68e-73.65e-7-0.66%3.64e-7-1.05%0.1338✓1.11513k2022-07-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.046640.046335-0.65%0.05685+21.89%0.0295✗1.49821k2022-07-18
DASHDashDash41.4941.221-0.65%48.86+17.76%0.0408✗1.10693k2022-07-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.13570.134829-0.64%0.1512+11.42%0.0353✓1.2898k2022-07-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6040.600215-0.63%0.657+8.77%0.0520✓1.21936k2022-07-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2941.2859-0.63%1.657+28.05%0.0810✗1.47170k2022-07-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11110.110413-0.62%0.1322+18.99%0.0635✗0.994.0M2022-07-18
KSMKusamaHydration46.6646.3769-0.61%63.82+36.78%0.1807✗1.18270k2022-07-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0617270.061354-0.60%0.06754+9.42%0.0464✓1.212.3M2022-07-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09340.092837-0.60%0.092-1.50%0.1053✓0.82157k2022-07-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055430.00551-0.60%0.005922+6.84%0.0395✓0.953,1492022-07-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03980.039563-0.59%0.0441+10.80%0.0516✓1.369,6482022-07-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.214.1207-0.56%25.3+78.17%0.4448✗1.181.5M2022-07-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0242.0128-0.55%2.661+31.47%0.0791✗1.7090k2022-07-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2832240.281689-0.54%0.320943+13.32%0.0190✓1.272.2M2022-07-18
ZECZcashZcash55.6555.3542-0.53%65.57+17.83%0.0142✗1.321.7M2022-07-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09150.091033-0.51%0.1101+20.33%0.0325✗1.342.7M2022-07-18
XMRMoneroMonero126.93126.2971-0.50%147.68+16.35%0.0223✗1.141.3M2022-07-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,942.4319,849.64-0.47%22,427.56+12.46%0.0047✗1.00472.7M2022-07-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2650.263837-0.44%0.313+18.11%0.0515✗1.02575k2022-07-18
KCSKuCoinnative8.8678.8282-0.44%9.854+11.13%0.0217✓1.123.0M2022-07-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.08730.086943-0.41%0.1074+23.02%0.0531✗1.35644k2022-07-18
XVGVergenative0.003220.003207-0.41%0.00383+18.94%0.0196✗1.35664k2022-07-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,095.561,091.13-0.40%1,581.34+44.34%0.2333✗1.17326.5M2022-07-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.70521.6983-0.40%1.9281+13.07%0.0193✓1.2434k2022-07-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19180.191035-0.40%0.2255+17.57%0.0057✓1.46145k2022-07-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.3117.242-0.39%23.97+38.47%0.1501✗1.5326.1M2022-07-18
STXStacksnative0.37480.373391-0.38%0.4256+13.55%0.0185✓1.27364k2022-07-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24360.2427-0.37%0.2632+8.05%0.0528✓1.1433k2022-07-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.042642-0.37%0.0547+27.80%0.0895✗1.36879k2022-07-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0117530.01172-0.28%0.012981+10.45%0.0033✗0.841.4M2022-07-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,940.9019,892.07-0.24%21,641.50+8.53%0.0316✓0.9948k2022-07-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.598843-0.19%0.69+15.00%0.0413✓1.56186k2022-07-18
GTGateEthereum3.89333.8877-0.14%4.2854+10.07%0.0143✗0.711.2M2022-07-18
AAVEAaveEthereum69.8269.7425-0.11%96.23+37.83%0.1280✗1.659.9M2022-07-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026329-0.08%0.02926+11.04%0.0457✓1.2924k2022-07-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05010.05008-0.04%0.0993+98.20%0.5935✗0.78209k2022-07-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.5216.5185-0.04%7.654+17.37%0.0155✗1.2310.8M2022-07-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0750.074976-0.03%0.0841+12.13%0.0323✓1.256,9982022-07-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin48.6748.6642-0.01%58.58+20.36%0.0466✗1.1818.4M2022-07-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45290.454763+0.41%0.5296+16.94%0.0209✓1.12289k2022-07-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash99.0499.8844+0.85%121.21+22.38%0.0598✓1.145.3M2022-07-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.