8=======>

2022-07-07 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1582
181 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.4%
in alpha space · 84.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.2010.186013-7.46%0.17485-13.01%0.0127✓1.008432022-07-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.00011260.00010502-6.73%0.0000921-18.21%0.0352✓1.95822k2022-07-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84030.79758-5.08%0.7889-6.12%0.0694✗1.63127k2022-07-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0820.078102-4.75%0.069-15.85%0.0703✓1.0994k2022-07-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6515.9192-4.39%14.59-12.37%0.0368✓1.03409k2022-07-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7270.700533-3.64%0.647-11.00%0.0060✓1.493,0312022-07-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.1814.6388-3.57%17.16+13.04%0.2411✗1.67463k2022-07-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025310.024495-3.22%0.01974-22.01%0.1626✓1.0894k2022-07-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5043.3913-3.22%3.458-1.31%0.0485✗0.592.3M2022-07-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9321.8713-3.14%2.036+5.38%0.1567✗1.47117k2022-07-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01050.979397-3.08%0.9309-7.88%0.0108✓1.25252k2022-07-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.805640.78085-3.08%0.65046-19.26%0.1010✓1.66104k2022-07-14
API3Api3Ethereum2.1022.0398-2.96%1.817-13.56%0.0491✓1.351.1M2022-07-14
OPTIMOptimism0.5770.560348-2.89%0.491-14.90%0.0485✓1.701.5M2022-07-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0532.9684-2.77%2.891-5.31%0.0048✓0.643.6M2022-07-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10080.09802-2.76%0.0862-14.48%0.0636✓1.32171k2022-07-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.452680.440581-2.67%0.38756-14.39%0.0665✓1.26155k2022-07-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42580.414572-2.64%0.4047-4.96%0.0562✗1.63205k2022-07-14
GMTGMTEthereum1.0140.987477-2.62%0.942-7.10%0.0421✗1.81718k2022-07-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02520.024557-2.55%0.02364-6.19%0.0455✗1.7019.6M2022-07-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.038514-2.50%0.0362-8.35%0.0005✓1.27168k2022-07-14
METISMetisEthereum21.7721.2433-2.42%22.33+2.57%0.0991✗1.0086k2022-07-14
FISStafiEthereum0.35790.349308-2.40%0.3735+4.36%0.1162✗1.006002022-07-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04950.04832-2.38%0.0465-6.06%0.0226✓1.24255k2022-07-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029070.028382-2.37%0.02601-10.53%0.0381✓1.002,1122022-07-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4353-2.36%1.49+1.36%0.0515✗0.29637k2022-07-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19150.187075-2.31%0.1749-8.67%0.0181✓1.002,7992022-07-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.855216-2.26%0.781-10.74%0.0033✓1.9114.7M2022-07-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05051.0268-2.26%1.168+11.19%0.1975✗1.394.5M2022-07-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071420.069868-2.17%0.07424+3.95%0.1000✗0.802,5182022-07-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2750.269152-2.13%0.211-23.27%0.1657✓1.581.1M2022-07-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7733.6932-2.11%3.698-1.99%0.0333✗0.652.0M2022-07-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.24580.240721-2.07%0.25+1.71%0.0870✗1.00649k2022-07-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.853.7713-2.05%3.64-5.45%0.0046✓0.63930k2022-07-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11170.109419-2.04%0.1077-3.58%0.0339✗1.016,6852022-07-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.456820.447514-2.04%0.45-1.49%0.0829✗1.571.6M2022-07-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.256755-2.00%0.2616-0.15%0.0679✗1.0065k2022-07-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.572.5199-1.95%2.26-12.06%0.0310✓1.58282k2022-07-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011310.000011091-1.93%0.0000106-6.28%0.0169✓1.261.1M2022-07-14
DIADIAEthereum0.415540.407512-1.93%0.40703-2.05%0.0339✗0.7156k2022-07-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2831.2584-1.92%1.205-6.08%0.0140✓1.171.8M2022-07-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.561.5302-1.91%1.458-6.54%0.0008✓1.00172k2022-07-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.243.1793-1.87%3.14-3.09%0.0216✗0.69812k2022-07-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08910.087433-1.87%0.09536+7.03%0.1360✗1.00297k2022-07-14
XEMNEMnative0.0416320.040854-1.87%0.039902-4.16%0.0344✗1.1814k2022-07-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,584.146,462.12-1.85%6,010.90-8.71%0.0074✓1.324.5M2022-07-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.185024-1.84%0.1866-1.01%0.0756✗1.373,2472022-07-14
ZENHorizenBase16.8616.5533-1.82%15.41-8.60%0.0015✓1.4269k2022-07-14
QNTQuantEthereum64.3663.1901-1.82%97.54+51.55%0.4820✗0.972.2M2022-07-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4030.395744-1.80%0.408+1.24%0.0849✗1.1111k2022-07-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.53982.4943-1.79%2.2614-10.96%0.0168✓1.654,8022022-07-14
FTTFTXEthereum27.4326.9495-1.75%25.89-5.61%0.0062✓0.9412.9M2022-07-14
HIVEHivenative0.46590.457862-1.73%0.4244-8.91%0.0130✓1.281.1M2022-07-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8920.876698-1.72%0.799-10.43%0.0523✓0.821.7M2022-07-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.848410.833967-1.70%0.79254-6.59%0.0090✓0.852472022-07-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.369.2009-1.70%8.981-4.05%0.0421✗1.3516.0M2022-07-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5190.510191-1.70%0.4625-10.89%0.0441✓1.1088k2022-07-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.00440.987393-1.69%0.9164-8.76%0.0017✓1.482.1M2022-07-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041370.040672-1.69%–pending––0.982,9412022-07-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.970430.954087-1.68%0.97016-0.03%0.0740✗1.161,9162022-07-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01110.010914-1.67%0.00948-14.59%0.0885✓1.075.9M2022-07-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.8519-1.65%5.72-3.87%0.0425✗1.33300k2022-07-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.143.0884-1.64%3.12-0.64%0.0594✗1.0078k2022-07-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15720.15462-1.64%0.1515-3.63%0.0457✗1.34363k2022-07-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7845.6902-1.62%5.3999-6.64%0.0420✓0.21291k2022-07-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.286.179-1.61%6.2-1.27%0.0279✗0.50883k2022-07-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4262.387-1.61%2.178-10.22%0.0221✓1.4168k2022-07-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18512.1503-1.59%2.125-2.75%0.0291✗0.831.4M2022-07-14
DODODODOEthereum0.13560.133446-1.59%0.1478+9.00%0.1651✗1.282.9M2022-07-14
ADACardanoCardano0.47740.46986-1.58%0.4414-7.54%0.0010✓1.2957.5M2022-07-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020470.020147-1.58%0.01788-12.65%0.0821✓0.76414k2022-07-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0156670.015423-1.56%0.017379+10.93%0.1465✗0.55345k2022-07-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6662.625-1.54%2.709+1.61%0.1185✗1.773.4M2022-07-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.05710.056226-1.53%0.0496-13.13%0.0514✓1.50136k2022-07-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.6941-1.51%1.65-4.07%0.0299✗1.14125k2022-07-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.30560.301064-1.48%0.28803-5.75%0.0233✗1.372,9402022-07-14
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1055.0298-1.47%4.685-8.23%0.0163✗1.7716.6M2022-07-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6952.6553-1.47%2.576-4.42%0.0281✗1.191.0M2022-07-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.8421.8149-1.47%1.7856-3.06%0.0251✗0.841.0M2022-07-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5560.547839-1.47%0.501-9.89%0.0203✓1.4099k2022-07-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80890.797393-1.42%0.8049-0.49%0.0613✗1.064.5M2022-07-14
XECeCashnative0.000043040.000042439-1.40%0.00003899-9.41%0.0235✓1.252.6M2022-07-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211680.020873-1.39%0.020526-3.03%0.0343✗1.048952022-07-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.058940.058119-1.39%0.05693-3.41%0.0469✗1.3728k2022-07-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2456.1583-1.39%6.832+9.40%0.1697✗1.345.5M2022-07-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0533730.052632-1.39%0.050899-4.64%0.0016✓0.6517k2022-07-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.4310.2854-1.39%9.18-11.98%0.0423✓1.451.2M2022-07-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.134.0736-1.36%3.99-3.39%0.0110✓0.65742k2022-07-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3321.3139-1.36%1.226-7.96%0.0014✓1.383.3M2022-07-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069630.006869-1.35%0.006757-2.96%0.0136✓0.61105k2022-07-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132750.130963-1.35%0.12964-2.34%0.0699✗1.63169k2022-07-14
XLMStellarStellar0.113640.112111-1.35%0.107137-5.72%0.0045✓1.019.3M2022-07-14
BANDBandEthereum1.4221.4031-1.33%1.354-4.78%0.0361✗1.46453k2022-07-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.551.5295-1.32%1.43-7.74%0.0056✓1.48374k2022-07-14
UNIUniswapEthereum5.735.6545-1.32%7.013+22.39%0.2819✗1.355.4M2022-07-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32240.318157-1.32%0.3297+2.26%0.0943✗1.199.6M2022-07-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045610.04502-1.29%0.04502-1.29%0.0465✗0.956,4892022-07-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.245.1722-1.29%5.19-0.95%0.0769✗1.491.5M2022-07-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6366.5508-1.28%6.27-5.52%0.0195✗1.2925.4M2022-07-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7110.701999-1.27%0.668-6.05%0.0151✗1.32169k2022-07-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.24780.244721-1.24%0.235-5.17%0.0157✗1.1465k2022-07-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.86155.168-1.24%52.204-6.55%0.0140✓0.84627k2022-07-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3922.3625-1.23%2.216-7.36%0.0187✓0.92154k2022-07-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.822.7855-1.22%2.683-4.86%0.0171✗1.11567k2022-07-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.935170.923794-1.22%0.83504-10.71%0.0343✓1.36557k2022-07-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41920.414111-1.21%0.3837-8.47%0.0083✓1.3896k2022-07-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4481.4307-1.20%1.442-0.41%0.0807✗1.48170k2022-07-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009320.009209-1.20%0.00899-3.54%0.0231✗0.961.2M2022-07-14
COMPCompoundEthereum48.6548.0749-1.18%54.97+12.99%0.2036✗1.4127k2022-07-14
SOLSolanaSolana38.4337.9851-1.16%37.12-3.41%0.0420✗1.3290.8M2022-07-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6430.635606-1.15%0.615-4.35%0.0126✗0.93396k2022-07-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.99662.9623-1.14%2.733-8.80%0.0257✓1.1232k2022-07-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.574.518-1.14%4.43-3.06%0.0127✗0.66880k2022-07-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.217012-1.13%0.2025-7.74%0.0109✓1.18682k2022-07-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0706190.069833-1.11%0.062392-11.65%0.0529✓1.222.2M2022-07-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.08691.075-1.09%1.0253-5.66%0.0071✓1.1159k2022-07-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.1843-1.08%13.96-9.06%0.0170✓1.361.5M2022-07-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9112.8797-1.08%2.795-3.98%0.0087✓0.78663k2022-07-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51630.510745-1.08%0.5071-1.78%0.0535✗1.23634k2022-07-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22990.227466-1.06%0.2286-0.57%0.0686✗1.29220k2022-07-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42171.4067-1.05%1.3201-7.15%0.0014✓1.32728k2022-07-14
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.20e-7-1.05%8.60e-7-7.53%0.0256✓0.865.6M2022-07-14
NANOnanopayBase0.9147280.905157-1.05%0.88517-3.23%0.0292✗1.05100k2022-07-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.10370.102615-1.05%0.105+1.25%0.0790✗1.14551k2022-07-14
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.003959-1.03%0.00388-3.00%0.0476✗1.37167k2022-07-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006850.00678-1.02%0.00641-6.42%0.0067✓1.00417k2022-07-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.7374-1.01%5.354-7.63%0.0116✓1.172.3M2022-07-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3812.3571-1.00%2.232-6.26%0.0281✗1.6897k2022-07-14
DASHDashDash46.0945.6305-1.00%43.62-5.36%0.0091✓1.10698k2022-07-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.129596-1.00%0.1256-4.05%0.0358✗1.3632k2022-07-14
FLOWFlownative1.6661.6494-1.00%1.562-6.24%0.0044✓1.20297k2022-07-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10730.106241-0.99%0.1067-0.56%0.0588✗1.11401k2022-07-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.181.1684-0.98%1.39+17.80%0.2484✗1.52749k2022-07-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061190.006059-0.98%0.005687-7.06%0.0140✓1.003,9102022-07-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12560.124375-0.98%0.114-9.24%0.0381✓1.004.0M2022-07-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.291450.28864-0.96%0.28941-0.70%0.0656✗1.28465k2022-07-14
STXStacksnative0.41060.406713-0.95%0.3802-7.40%0.0046✓1.28317k2022-07-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010010.000991249-0.94%0.0009545-4.62%0.0270✗1.322.7M2022-07-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.044873-0.94%0.0423-6.62%0.0098✗1.4011k2022-07-14
TRXTRONTron0.0686330.067987-0.94%0.066934-2.48%0.0258✗0.84531k2022-07-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002720.002695-0.93%0.002749+1.07%0.0712✗1.041.4M2022-07-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.145644-0.92%0.1368-6.94%0.0006✓1.29106k2022-07-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91781.9003-0.92%1.7704-7.69%0.0090✓1.2659k2022-07-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum98.9194-0.90%8.33-7.44%0.0106✓1.17353k2022-07-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.47232.4503-0.89%2.3359-5.52%0.0041✓1.061.4M2022-07-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.06250.061947-0.88%0.0661+5.76%0.1363✗1.45325k2022-07-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.05260.052149-0.86%0.04956-5.78%0.0222✗1.49976k2022-07-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28760.285135-0.86%0.2688-6.54%0.0003✓1.213.0M2022-07-14
XTZTezosTezos1.57191.5585-0.85%1.5601-0.75%0.0636✗1.27628k2022-07-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,662.9021,486.09-0.82%20,493.50-5.40%0.0014✓0.9946k2022-07-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.598412.4957-0.82%12.3534-1.94%0.0479✗1.21316k2022-07-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.287669-0.80%0.284-2.07%0.0383✗1.04639k2022-07-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.1820.018-0.80%19.74-2.18%0.0607✗1.5229.4M2022-07-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3149840.312477-0.80%0.290712-7.71%0.0098✓1.272.2M2022-07-14
KSMKusamaHydration52.6852.2791-0.76%51.51-2.22%0.0436✗1.19444k2022-07-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.9115.7896-0.76%14.74-7.35%0.0106✓1.181.8M2022-07-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029610.029387-0.75%0.02709-8.51%0.0170✓1.3123k2022-07-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.101846-0.74%0.0961-6.34%0.0082✗1.352.9M2022-07-14
PROPropyEthereum0.850.843835-0.73%0.82-3.53%0.0066✓0.72150k2022-07-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6670.662478-0.68%0.611-8.40%0.0212✓1.21952k2022-07-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25830.256629-0.65%0.2569-0.54%0.0587✗1.1729k2022-07-14
XVGVergenative0.003310.003289-0.62%0.00349+5.44%0.1267✗1.37708k2022-07-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,614.6021,481.63-0.62%20,577.02-4.80%0.0062✓1.00493.8M2022-07-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.049197-0.61%0.0443-10.51%0.0379✓1.36950k2022-07-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.09470.094128-0.60%0.0919-2.96%0.0440✗1.38746k2022-07-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-73.99e-7-0.57%3.70e-7-7.62%0.0193✓1.10590k2022-07-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10020.099631-0.57%0.0888-11.38%0.0752✓0.81180k2022-07-14
ZECZcashZcash59.8359.5032-0.55%57.59-3.74%0.0332✗1.341.8M2022-07-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,237.131,230.49-0.54%1,192.70-3.59%0.0264✗1.17339.3M2022-07-14
XMRMoneroMonero130.4129.8481-0.42%133.62+2.47%0.0857✗1.161.3M2022-07-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01240.012348-0.42%0.012052-2.81%0.0167✗0.831.4M2022-07-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20250.201735-0.38%0.1891-6.62%0.0082✗1.48155k2022-07-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.37.274-0.36%6.722-7.92%0.0175✓1.2512.5M2022-07-14
KCSKuCoinnative8.9448.9122-0.36%9.1+1.74%0.0757✗1.113.1M2022-07-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.686706-0.33%0.609-11.61%0.0416✓1.59242k2022-07-14
AAVEAaveEthereum71.1270.9062-0.30%91.22+28.26%0.3326✗1.647.7M2022-07-14
GTGateEthereum4.03254.0225-0.25%4.0091-0.58%0.0321✗0.721.2M2022-07-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.1152.0048-0.20%51.32-1.52%0.0446✗1.1818.8M2022-07-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05370.053644-0.10%0.0519-3.35%0.0054✗0.78209k2022-07-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08020.080196-0.00%0.0769-4.11%0.0199✗1.267,2862022-07-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50720.507893+0.14%0.467-7.93%0.0283✗1.13212k2022-07-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001590.001594+0.28%–pending––1.0212k2022-07-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.48112.2608+0.70%102.99-7.62%0.0302✗1.145.7M2022-07-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.