8=======>

2022-07-03 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1412
179 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.9%
in alpha space · 17.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000129950.000120035-7.63%0.00011091-14.65%0.2217✓1.83951k2022-07-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1816.2211-5.58%15.71-8.56%0.1138✓1.05238k2022-07-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.05571.0122-4.12%0.9372-11.22%0.1833✓1.37224k2022-07-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.651.5979-3.16%1.56-5.45%0.0527✓0.37648k2022-07-10
XEMNEMnative0.0426770.041455-2.86%0.040415-5.30%0.1223✓1.2515k2022-07-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6620.643526-2.79%0.706+6.65%0.0279✓1.552,8402022-07-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021870.021277-2.71%0.01992-8.92%0.1286✓0.81417k2022-07-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3090.301551-2.41%0.266-13.92%0.2574✓1.701.1M2022-07-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400020.390941-2.27%0.40809+2.02%0.0595✓1.32150k2022-07-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.8441.8027-2.24%1.901+3.09%0.0513✓1.34997k2022-07-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.142120.139069-2.15%0.17302+21.74%0.1407✗1.008392022-07-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03760.0368-2.13%0.0395+5.05%0.0319✓1.32168k2022-07-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023420.022923-2.12%0.02608+11.36%0.0078✓1.7625.4M2022-07-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2253.1574-2.10%3.453+7.07%0.0416✗0.622.9M2022-07-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5581.5254-2.09%2.05+31.58%0.1806✗1.4893k2022-07-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.256541-2.01%0.2614-0.15%0.0590✓1.0068k2022-07-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04250.041649-2.00%–pending––1.073,4202022-07-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04530.044399-1.99%0.0467+3.09%0.0524✓1.32253k2022-07-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17990.176433-1.93%0.192+6.73%0.0068✓1.003,1472022-07-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09060.088861-1.92%0.0923+1.88%0.0720✓1.42166k2022-07-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6583.5905-1.85%3.776+3.23%0.0025✓0.682.3M2022-07-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.3931.3688-1.74%1.53+9.83%0.0336✗1.00175k2022-07-10
OPTIMOptimism0.520.511323-1.67%0.534+2.69%0.0906✓1.722.2M2022-07-10
HIVEHivenative0.44730.440067-1.62%0.4644+3.82%0.0504✓1.341.2M2022-07-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.593.532-1.62%3.74+4.18%0.0070✓0.651.1M2022-07-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.89530.881004-1.60%0.9127+1.94%0.0851✓1.552.6M2022-07-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9512.9043-1.58%2.995+1.49%0.0212✓0.674.8M2022-07-10
FISStafiEthereum0.27930.274891-1.58%0.355+27.10%0.1780✗1.008122022-07-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37660.370682-1.57%0.3916+3.98%0.0784✓1.71202k2022-07-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.72975.6408-1.55%5.6377-1.61%0.0174✓0.22285k2022-07-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.6572.6159-1.55%2.615-1.58%0.0976✓1.25907k2022-07-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.610.4362-1.55%14.56+37.36%0.2069✗1.62448k2022-07-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16360.1611-1.53%0.1745+6.66%0.0260✓1.363,4882022-07-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.532.4917-1.51%2.41-4.74%0.1620✓1.66301k2022-07-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063290.062361-1.47%0.06842+8.11%0.0302✗0.802,1062022-07-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.8090.797227-1.46%0.952+17.68%0.0360✗1.82813k2022-07-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3750.369622-1.43%0.417+11.20%0.0313✗1.1511k2022-07-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0827.9662-1.43%8.771+8.53%0.0093✓1.3615.0M2022-07-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54762.5113-1.43%2.3894-6.21%0.1855✓1.759,9282022-07-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74191.7171-1.43%1.8251+4.78%0.0056✓0.861.3M2022-07-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023880.023542-1.42%0.02678+12.14%0.0511✗1.002,1122022-07-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.649760.640675-1.40%0.68167+4.91%0.0682✓1.6799k2022-07-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0411.0266-1.39%1.161+11.53%0.0350✗1.131.6M2022-07-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8410.829447-1.37%0.832-1.07%0.1552✓2.0418.4M2022-07-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,833.855,754.09-1.37%6,033.03+3.41%0.0550✓1.324.1M2022-07-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.788372-1.33%0.806+0.88%0.0467✓0.881.6M2022-07-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0513020.050635-1.30%0.051898+1.16%0.0270✓0.6625k2022-07-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.09492.0677-1.30%2.1805+4.09%0.0130✓0.851.8M2022-07-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.028.9029-1.30%9.4+4.21%0.0624✓1.501.1M2022-07-10
QNTQuantEthereum55.6954.9711-1.29%81.43+46.22%0.3173✗0.972.1M2022-07-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044770.044198-1.28%0.04566+1.99%0.0453✓1.008,5732022-07-10
COMPCompoundEthereum49.9749.3409-1.26%53.32+6.70%0.0376✓1.4828k2022-07-10
ADACardanoCardano0.45550.449789-1.25%0.4622+1.47%0.0770✓1.3463.0M2022-07-10
APEApeCoinEthereum4.5644.5068-1.25%4.783+4.80%0.0818✓1.8216.0M2022-07-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.2531-1.25%1.272+0.24%0.0974✓1.453.8M2022-07-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.055.9751-1.24%6.26+3.47%0.0071✓0.511.0M2022-07-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5842.5522-1.23%2.443-5.46%0.1870✓1.843.1M2022-07-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0142320.014058-1.22%0.017406+22.30%0.1719✗0.54383k2022-07-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1090090.107677-1.22%0.107379-1.50%0.0850✓1.069.9M2022-07-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.883.8331-1.21%4.03+3.87%0.0015✓0.661.2M2022-07-10
DIADIAEthereum0.376290.371766-1.20%0.41658+10.71%0.0582✗0.7276k2022-07-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.79540.785904-1.19%0.9522+19.71%0.0831✗1.403.7M2022-07-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30940.305721-1.19%0.3106+0.39%0.0799✓1.2310.0M2022-07-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47560.469951-1.19%0.492+3.45%0.0319✓1.0098k2022-07-10
DODODODOEthereum0.12330.121849-1.18%0.1343+8.92%0.0068✓1.343.0M2022-07-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.009150.009043-1.16%0.00916+0.11%0.0642✓0.991.2M2022-07-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006662-1.16%0.006728-0.18%0.0425✓0.67123k2022-07-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4629-1.16%1.52+2.70%0.0816✓1.54386k2022-07-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73750.729081-1.14%0.7842+6.33%0.0115✓1.094.0M2022-07-10
STEEMSteemnative0.2090.206625-1.14%0.2361+12.97%0.0393✗1.21731k2022-07-10
TRXTRONTron0.0662470.065503-1.12%0.067605+2.05%0.0381✓0.90662k2022-07-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.295670.29236-1.12%0.30438+2.95%0.0712✓1.433,4912022-07-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2032.1786-1.11%2.239+1.63%0.0852✓1.4570k2022-07-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.13.0661-1.09%3.22+3.87%0.0076✓0.731.0M2022-07-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009288-1.09%0.01063+13.21%0.0576✗1.006.2M2022-07-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010030.000009921-1.08%0.0000112+11.67%0.0221✗1.28952k2022-07-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4790.473849-1.08%0.526+9.81%0.0069✓1.4392k2022-07-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.043.0076-1.06%4.26+40.13%0.2704✗1.0088k2022-07-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.424.3731-1.06%4.48+1.36%0.0286✓0.68973k2022-07-10
QTUMQtumQtum2.82752.7976-1.06%2.9428+4.08%0.0401✓1.1732k2022-07-10
ZENHorizenBase13.6813.5354-1.06%17.02+24.42%0.1186✗1.4261k2022-07-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209440.020723-1.06%0.02131+1.75%0.0576✓1.101,5412022-07-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.0464-1.05%5.46+7.06%0.0244✓1.33300k2022-07-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6260.619474-1.04%0.638+1.92%0.0466✓0.98419k2022-07-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8432.8134-1.04%2.9+2.00%0.0334✓0.821.0M2022-07-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73290.725305-1.04%0.8039+9.69%0.0208✗1.0684k2022-07-10
SCSiacoinnative0.003860.00382-1.03%0.00408+5.70%0.0462✓1.44176k2022-07-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.08852.5607-0.99%54.247+2.18%0.0353✓0.86957k2022-07-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1040.102972-0.99%0.1047+0.67%0.0636✓1.037,0862022-07-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.23080.228538-0.98%0.255+10.49%0.0170✗1.1978k2022-07-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.836820.828769-0.96%0.86883+3.83%0.0601✓1.38611k2022-07-10
RADRadworksEthereum1.561.545-0.96%1.71+9.62%0.0115✗1.16177k2022-07-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14750.146101-0.95%0.1533+3.93%0.0622✓1.42574k2022-07-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3382.3159-0.94%2.439+4.32%0.0247✓0.98157k2022-07-10
BANDBandEthereum1.2911.2788-0.94%1.436+11.23%0.0010✓1.50453k2022-07-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.0525-0.94%0.053+0.00%0.1103✓1.54134k2022-07-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44482.422-0.93%2.4109-1.39%0.0906✓1.111.7M2022-07-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22250.220436-0.93%0.263+18.20%0.0720✗1.34236k2022-07-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.03251.0231-0.91%1.0736+3.98%0.0417✓1.1659k2022-07-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.09850.097605-0.91%0.1052+6.80%0.0174✓1.19583k2022-07-10
FTTFTXEthereum24.3924.1698-0.90%25.88+6.11%0.0049✓0.9412.2M2022-07-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.101778-0.90%0.1083+5.45%0.0274✓1.15478k2022-07-10
FLOWFlownative1.5471.5332-0.89%1.641+6.08%0.0274✓1.23312k2022-07-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.25190.249706-0.87%0.2502-0.67%0.0758✓1.00739k2022-07-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.216.1561-0.87%6.191-0.31%0.0968✓1.3229.0M2022-07-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00096520.000956849-0.87%0.00101+4.62%0.0513✓1.353.0M2022-07-10
XECeCashnative0.000038210.000037885-0.85%0.00004035+5.60%0.0373✓1.292.5M2022-07-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.12190.120893-0.83%0.12453+2.16%0.0993✓1.66181k2022-07-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026370.002616-0.79%0.002839+7.66%0.0022✓1.081.4M2022-07-10
SOLSolanaSolana33.3633.0987-0.78%36.69+9.98%0.0012✓1.3492.9M2022-07-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2962750.293973-0.78%0.312585+5.51%0.0420✓1.332.5M2022-07-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.422920.419636-0.78%0.48008+13.52%0.0081✗1.632.0M2022-07-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.913160.906121-0.77%1.0275+12.52%0.0319✗1.212,6312022-07-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.006738-0.77%0.00683+0.59%0.0664✓1.03412k2022-07-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056490.056057-0.77%0.05771+2.16%0.0795✓1.4032k2022-07-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672160.066706-0.76%0.067208-0.01%0.0907✓1.262.0M2022-07-10
PROPropyEthereum0.850.843611-0.75%0.85+0.00%0.0499✓0.74159k2022-07-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26980.26782-0.73%0.2971+10.12%0.0068✓1.253.1M2022-07-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05910.058668-0.73%0.0631+6.77%0.0435✓1.50367k2022-07-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.198.1304-0.73%9.15+11.72%0.0239✗1.21374k2022-07-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.744610.739195-0.73%0.78602+5.56%0.0036✓0.842912022-07-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.542.5218-0.72%2.74+7.87%0.0057✓1.14605k2022-07-10
DASHDashDash42.6742.3654-0.71%45.16+5.84%0.0243✓1.13739k2022-07-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1614.0597-0.71%14.41+1.77%0.0850✓1.411.5M2022-07-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38050.377815-0.71%0.3914+2.86%0.0763✓1.4495k2022-07-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47720.473849-0.70%0.4933+3.37%0.0590✓1.28662k2022-07-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3015.264-0.70%5.484+3.45%0.0524✓1.202.3M2022-07-10
XVSVenusEthereum4.724.6874-0.69%5.1+8.05%0.0348✓1.531.4M2022-07-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.2385.2021-0.68%6.385+21.90%0.1006✗1.346.7M2022-07-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6190.614834-0.67%0.67+8.24%0.0170✓1.32169k2022-07-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048070.047749-0.67%0.05109+6.28%0.0495✓1.511.1M2022-07-10
NANOnanopayBase0.8144970.8092-0.65%0.880054+8.05%0.0005✓1.0797k2022-07-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81061.7992-0.63%1.8627+2.88%0.0670✓1.3162k2022-07-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.138333-0.62%0.1497+7.54%0.0258✓1.35124k2022-07-10
UNIUniswapEthereum4.9124.8816-0.62%6.234+26.91%0.1375✗1.385.5M2022-07-10
XTZTezosTezos1.44641.4376-0.61%1.6258+12.40%0.0210✗1.31654k2022-07-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7914.6999-0.61%15.13+2.30%0.0676✓1.242.0M2022-07-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.021.0138-0.60%1.32+29.41%0.1426✗1.56749k2022-07-10
KSMKusamaHydration49.4649.1672-0.59%49.94+0.97%0.0777✓1.20526k2022-07-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.251280.249819-0.58%0.28255+12.44%0.0230✗1.29480k2022-07-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05040.050108-0.58%0.0717+42.26%0.2683✗1.1696k2022-07-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04250.042261-0.56%0.0432+1.65%0.0876✓1.4112k2022-07-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.272459-0.56%0.274+0.00%0.0760✓1.05713k2022-07-10
BTTCBTTC8.00e-77.96e-7-0.56%8.90e-7+11.25%0.0468✗0.845.3M2022-07-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.281.273-0.54%1.359+6.17%0.0531✓1.52170k2022-07-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11350.112883-0.54%0.1194+5.20%0.0231✓1.024.0M2022-07-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9315-0.54%2.301+18.49%0.0448✗1.68101k2022-07-10
MOVRMoonriverBase11.810111.7465-0.54%12.0425+1.97%0.0727✓1.26316k2022-07-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25440.253076-0.52%0.2589+1.77%0.0713✓1.2127k2022-07-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11510.114507-0.52%0.1569+36.32%0.2065✗1.4032k2022-07-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2351.2287-0.51%1.315+6.48%0.0327✓1.29767k2022-07-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09060.090137-0.51%0.0972+7.28%0.0368✓1.44762k2022-07-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5830.580232-0.47%0.622+6.69%0.0244✓1.21952k2022-07-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058030.005781-0.37%0.005663-2.41%0.1012✓1.043,8612022-07-10
STXStacksnative0.38470.383362-0.35%0.4056+5.43%0.0462✓1.32318k2022-07-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019230.019166-0.34%0.02012+4.63%0.0301✓1.0198k2022-07-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,072.881,069.30-0.33%1,167.68+8.84%0.0027✓1.17342.2M2022-07-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09450.094207-0.31%0.0999+5.71%0.0494✓1.393.3M2022-07-10
ZECZcashZcash54.4654.306-0.28%59.63+9.49%0.0116✓1.352.0M2022-07-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027620.027542-0.28%0.02852+3.26%0.0715✓1.3726k2022-07-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18430.183848-0.25%0.1986+7.76%0.0364✓1.46155k2022-07-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10040.100156-0.24%0.0989-1.49%0.0797✓0.86188k2022-07-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0450.044907-0.21%0.0466+3.56%0.0729✓1.411.1M2022-07-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,291.3319,251.74-0.21%20,850.65+8.08%0.0021✗1.00500.8M2022-07-10
GTGateEthereum4.10994.1018-0.20%3.9189-4.65%0.1049✓0.761.2M2022-07-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.6316.598-0.19%19.16+15.21%0.0250✗1.5330.5M2022-07-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6730.671942-0.16%0.649-3.57%0.1652✓1.68242k2022-07-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.31e-73.30e-7-0.11%3.80e-7+14.87%0.0610✗1.01603k2022-07-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120610.01205-0.09%0.012513+3.75%0.0288✓0.861.6M2022-07-10
XMRMoneroMonero116.22116.1187-0.09%129.44+11.37%0.0178✗1.171.2M2022-07-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.8650.8478-0.02%52.09+2.42%0.0702✓1.2118.7M2022-07-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8446.8427-0.02%6.849+0.07%0.0982✓1.2813.1M2022-07-10
XVGVergenative0.002960.002959-0.02%0.00338+14.19%0.0249✗1.39664k2022-07-10
KCSKuCoinnative8.3048.3078+0.05%9.27+11.63%0.0215✓1.133.1M2022-07-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07660.076709+0.14%0.0787+2.74%0.0736✗1.287,1822022-07-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48860.490136+0.31%0.4825-1.25%0.1053✗1.15173k2022-07-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,258.8019,328.36+0.36%20,768.90+7.84%0.0046✗0.9843k2022-07-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.04870.048914+0.44%0.0518+6.37%0.0033✓0.78222k2022-07-10
AAVEAaveEthereum57.5757.8707+0.52%77.73+35.02%0.1666✓1.657.7M2022-07-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash105.93106.9899+1.00%106.77+0.79%0.0926✗1.166.0M2022-07-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017720.001798+1.49%–pending––1.078,9762022-07-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.