8=======>

2022-06-24 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 178 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1893
178 of 178 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.6%
in alpha space · 82.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (178 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
STORJStorjEthereum0.980850.925029-5.69%0.65455-33.27%0.1841✓1.6680k2022-07-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.553.3856-4.63%3.173-10.62%0.0074✓0.593.8M2022-07-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04040.038595-4.47%0.0387-4.21%0.1314✗1.32192k2022-07-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.450.432435-3.90%0.3997-11.18%0.0827✗1.66212k2022-07-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.2250.217412-3.37%0.1616-28.18%0.1662✓1.344,0222022-07-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.439950.42592-3.19%0.39987-9.11%0.0650✗1.31138k2022-07-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.71.6495-2.97%1.45-14.71%0.0900✓0.40614k2022-07-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22210.215526-2.96%0.1806-18.69%0.0793✓1.003,7762022-07-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5330.517926-2.83%0.744+39.59%0.5119✗1.543,0312022-07-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,085.936,885.82-2.82%5,458.52-22.97%0.1025✓1.333.9M2022-07-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.028710.02796-2.61%0.0226-21.28%0.0417✓1.7636.8M2022-07-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0292.9587-2.32%2.227-26.48%0.1052✓1.843.0M2022-07-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9280.907255-2.24%0.843-9.16%0.1215✗2.0033.4M2022-07-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7262.6673-2.15%2.222-18.49%0.0403✓1.4686k2022-07-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4861.4551-2.08%1.232-17.09%0.0290✓1.414.3M2022-07-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.7141.6786-2.07%1.857+8.34%0.2311✗1.34953k2022-07-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2763.2096-2.03%2.958-9.71%0.0170✓0.665.2M2022-07-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.7112.4584-1.98%10-21.32%0.0625✓1.61441k2022-07-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.561.5292-1.97%1.344-13.85%0.0148✓1.4888k2022-07-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7550.740506-1.92%0.649-14.04%0.0335✓1.01398k2022-07-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.8332.7789-1.91%2.506-11.54%0.0177✓1.24969k2022-07-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83615.7264-1.88%5.7902-0.79%0.0345✗0.24233k2022-07-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14990.147091-1.87%0.1095-26.95%0.1956✓1.023.8M2022-07-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8263.7544-1.87%3.475-9.17%0.0124✓0.674.1M2022-07-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.933.8565-1.87%3.56-9.41%0.0182✓0.631.7M2022-07-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.041534-1.81%0.0454+7.33%0.2263✗1.41274k2022-07-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7212.6723-1.79%2.6694-1.90%0.1665✗1.7215k2022-07-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2610.256336-1.79%0.243-6.90%0.1070✗1.651.3M2022-07-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.042925-1.77%0.0395-9.61%0.0199✗1.063,4202022-07-01
OPTIMOptimism0.5890.578589-1.77%0.529-10.19%0.0079✓1.004.2M2022-07-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010820.000010635-1.71%0.00001-7.58%0.0607✗1.25928k2022-07-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.11.0812-1.71%1.068-2.91%0.0852✗1.001.5M2022-07-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027060.026603-1.69%0.02439-9.87%0.0106✓1.003,7142022-07-01
STEEMSteemnative0.23080.226914-1.68%0.2149-6.89%0.0651✗1.23701k2022-07-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV64.27863.2043-1.67%51.952-19.18%0.1131✓0.851.3M2022-07-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.06250.061468-1.65%0.0516-17.44%0.0275✓1.51139k2022-07-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5110.3372-1.64%8.39-20.17%0.0894✓1.22398k2022-07-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.82.7547-1.62%2.61-6.79%0.1047✗1.63301k2022-07-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.3060.301062-1.61%0.2701-11.73%0.0111✓1.001.2M2022-07-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.86890.855225-1.57%0.7298-16.01%0.0544✓1.073.3M2022-07-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.031064-1.57%0.02703-14.35%0.0095✓1.3323k2022-07-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.549880.541388-1.54%0.45108-17.97%0.0230✓1.642.6M2022-07-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.919.7574-1.54%8.4-15.24%0.0032✓1.501.6M2022-07-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.790.7779-1.53%1.327+67.97%0.6758✗1.45207k2022-07-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.856.7456-1.52%5.97-12.85%0.0732✓0.501.4M2022-07-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153670.151352-1.51%0.13699-10.85%0.0022✓1.008552022-07-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8750.861884-1.50%0.8969+2.50%0.1921✗1.562.9M2022-07-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8580.845142-1.50%0.796-7.23%0.0249✗0.871.7M2022-07-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34990.344716-1.48%0.3061-12.52%0.0015✓1.2012.5M2022-07-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1277320.12589-1.44%0.109884-13.97%0.0328✓1.0611.7M2022-07-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.88581.8589-1.43%1.6935-10.20%0.0090✓0.862.2M2022-07-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54370.536013-1.41%0.4613-15.16%0.0526✓1.00126k2022-07-01
QNTQuantEthereum58.5157.689-1.40%52.59-10.12%0.0009✓0.962.1M2022-07-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.63.5502-1.38%3.35-6.94%0.0394✗1.00169k2022-07-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.258.1378-1.36%8.074-2.13%0.1239✗1.3515.3M2022-07-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.754.6854-1.36%4.37-8.00%0.0029✓0.691.4M2022-07-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0160050.015789-1.35%0.014373-10.20%0.0401✓0.55501k2022-07-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0560.055246-1.35%0.0515-8.04%0.0058✓0.6635k2022-07-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1216.898-1.30%14.02-18.11%0.0533✓1.371.7M2022-07-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.535972-1.29%0.478-11.97%0.0224✗1.40117k2022-07-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.10493.0654-1.27%2.7326-11.99%0.0025✓1.1542k2022-07-01
ZENHorizenBase15.6515.4545-1.25%13.27-15.21%0.0144✓1.4265k2022-07-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.062390.061631-1.22%0.06323+1.35%0.1231✗1.001,5062022-07-01
XECeCashnative0.000042990.000042474-1.20%0.0000375-12.77%0.0011✓1.292.6M2022-07-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.1743.1365-1.18%2.806-11.59%0.0343✓0.791.2M2022-07-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6352.6043-1.17%2.29-13.09%0.0356✓0.95128k2022-07-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.00630.994614-1.17%0.90067-10.50%0.0178✗1.205,8422022-07-01
XEMNEMnative0.04310.042605-1.15%0.038066-11.68%0.0101✓1.2626k2022-07-01
DASHDashDash51.6151.0177-1.15%41.74-19.12%0.0908✓1.13767k2022-07-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.144.0932-1.13%3.79-8.45%0.0135✓0.651.2M2022-07-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.10371.0913-1.12%1.0163-7.92%0.0413✗1.1551k2022-07-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.281.2656-1.12%0.97-24.22%0.1134✓1.57936k2022-07-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.937210.926707-1.12%0.83384-11.03%0.0252✗1.34713k2022-07-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.317560.314009-1.12%0.30204-4.89%0.0980✗1.407,9102022-07-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.23522.2102-1.12%2.0691-7.43%0.0168✗0.852.2M2022-07-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.25370.250876-1.11%0.2313-8.83%0.0342✗1.1895k2022-07-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.4834.434-1.09%4.521+0.85%0.1946✗1.8015.8M2022-07-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.149.0418-1.07%20.56+124.95%0.9196✗1.01238k2022-07-01
SOLSolanaSolana41.8841.4311-1.07%32.82-21.63%0.1030✓1.33104.7M2022-07-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048890.04837-1.06%0.04378-10.45%0.0043✓0.9811k2022-07-01
ADACardanoCardano0.49790.492638-1.06%0.4479-10.04%0.0344✗1.3376.9M2022-07-01
TRXTRONTron0.0657760.065088-1.05%0.064879-1.36%0.0833✗0.89990k2022-07-01
BANDBandEthereum1.5051.4893-1.04%1.272-15.48%0.0119✓1.50503k2022-07-01
UNIUniswapEthereum5.4675.4101-1.04%4.855-11.19%0.0249✗1.374.7M2022-07-01
COMPCompoundEthereum46.8946.4084-1.03%47.39+1.07%0.1654✗1.4828k2022-07-01
FLOWFlownative1.7011.6838-1.01%1.453-14.58%0.0301✓1.20388k2022-07-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010270.010167-1.01%0.00916-10.81%0.0114✓0.958.0M2022-07-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1096.0485-0.99%5.342-12.56%0.0018✓1.292.6M2022-07-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.642.6146-0.96%2.3996-9.11%0.0180✗1.072.4M2022-07-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.561.5455-0.93%1.68+7.69%0.2323✗1.53499k2022-07-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2912.2699-0.92%1.802-21.34%0.0693✓1.6697k2022-07-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.325.2714-0.91%5.15-3.20%0.1046✗1.31400k2022-07-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016970.016817-0.90%0.01895+11.67%0.1981✗0.81369k2022-07-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.05520.054702-0.90%0.04899-11.25%0.0385✗1.531.4M2022-07-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.29660.29394-0.90%0.25771-13.11%0.0047✓1.30478k2022-07-01
FTTFTXEthereum26.7226.4806-0.90%24.59-7.97%0.0177✗0.9410.5M2022-07-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004230.004192-0.89%0.00367-13.24%0.0106✗1.47248k2022-07-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8410.833523-0.89%0.7454-11.37%0.0288✗1.443.8M2022-07-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.8340.826591-0.89%0.827-0.84%0.1759✗1.801.3M2022-07-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.146330.145034-0.89%0.12129-17.11%0.0185✓1.64226k2022-07-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.343.3106-0.88%3.02-9.58%0.0208✓0.731.4M2022-07-01
HIVEHivenative0.41570.412068-0.87%0.4754+14.36%0.2753✗1.361.1M2022-07-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30520.302541-0.87%0.2636-13.63%0.0167✓1.244.5M2022-07-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42510.421537-0.84%0.3786-10.94%0.0330✗1.44117k2022-07-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10870.107799-0.83%0.1051-3.31%0.0757✗1.046,3732022-07-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2567.1979-0.80%6.069-16.36%0.0431✓1.3141.5M2022-07-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.560.555542-0.80%0.714+27.50%0.3521✗1.0462k2022-07-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.175.129-0.79%4.68-9.48%0.0600✗1.561.5M2022-07-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0490.048612-0.79%0.0421-14.08%0.0043✓1.4312k2022-07-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5580.553768-0.76%0.4913-11.95%0.0054✓1.28662k2022-07-01
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.130024-0.74%0.1191-9.08%0.0474✗1.394.1M2022-07-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3590.356358-0.74%0.389+8.36%0.2041✗1.2014k2022-07-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0668620.066383-0.72%0.066339-0.78%0.1233✗1.271.8M2022-07-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4621.452-0.69%1.2358-15.47%0.0375✓1.271.1M2022-07-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222910.022139-0.68%0.020523-7.93%0.0312✗1.105,4422022-07-01
KSMKusamaHydration57.3656.9709-0.68%48.36-15.69%0.0479✓1.19898k2022-07-01
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.74e-7-0.67%8.10e-7-7.95%0.0094✗0.885.5M2022-07-01
DIADIAEthereum0.406220.403481-0.67%0.36885-9.20%0.0206✓0.71165k2022-07-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.009410.009347-0.67%0.00943+0.21%0.1044✗0.981.4M2022-07-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06520.064769-0.66%0.0578-11.35%0.0281✗1.46409k2022-07-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07910.078601-0.63%0.0887+12.14%0.2616✗1.44179k2022-07-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3017560.299894-0.62%0.305237+1.15%0.1520✗1.382.4M2022-07-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21360.212296-0.61%0.1856-13.11%0.0077✗1.46184k2022-07-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.059937-0.60%0.0491-18.57%0.0827✓1.20130k2022-07-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.0172.0054-0.58%1.8073-10.40%0.0230✗1.3069k2022-07-01
PROPropyEthereum0.870.86505-0.57%0.83-4.60%0.0318✗0.75165k2022-07-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070330.006996-0.53%0.00653-7.15%0.0015✓0.72134k2022-07-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4620.3527-0.52%16.09-21.36%0.0901✓1.4940.5M2022-07-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.10120.100672-0.52%0.0949-6.23%0.0585✗1.21608k2022-07-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05730.057006-0.51%0.0457-20.24%0.0841✓1.411.4M2022-07-01
ZECZcashZcash69.1468.7859-0.51%53.47-22.66%0.1217✓1.342.6M2022-07-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.1166.085-0.51%5.224-14.58%0.0194✓1.3711.0M2022-07-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.4216.3372-0.50%14.61-11.02%0.0077✗1.232.1M2022-07-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.666638-0.50%0.607-9.40%0.0362✗1.33352k2022-07-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16710.166272-0.50%0.1481-11.37%0.0211✗1.40818k2022-07-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.942.9255-0.49%2.54-13.61%0.0326✓1.12600k2022-07-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.821612.761-0.47%11.9157-7.07%0.0597✗1.32222k2022-07-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11570.115174-0.45%0.0921-20.40%0.0889✓1.383.9M2022-07-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1030.102542-0.44%0.1011-1.84%0.1002✗1.17575k2022-07-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22950.228498-0.44%0.2312+0.74%0.1435✗1.35289k2022-07-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.14630.145685-0.42%0.1357-7.25%0.0602✗1.35151k2022-07-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.10010.099698-0.40%0.0926-7.49%0.0684✗1.46953k2022-07-01
XTZTezosTezos1.53271.5266-0.40%1.3775-10.13%0.0244✗1.30702k2022-07-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064580.006433-0.39%0.00559-13.45%0.0403✓1.033,8152022-07-01
NANOnanopayBase0.8709630.867572-0.39%0.812926-6.66%0.0398✗1.08115k2022-07-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6860.683761-0.33%0.562-18.08%0.0803✓1.191.0M2022-07-01
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6448-0.32%1.61-2.42%0.0919✗1.16242k2022-07-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1828.1596-0.27%6.743-17.59%0.0660✓1.2814.3M2022-07-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,224.471,221.15-0.27%1,057.57-13.63%0.0294✓1.17370.0M2022-07-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26320.262501-0.27%0.2384-9.42%0.0260✗1.2531k2022-07-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.85990.858028-0.22%0.76202-11.38%0.0378✓0.839712022-07-01
STXStacksnative0.41190.411032-0.21%0.3884-5.71%0.0729✗1.33238k2022-07-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007010.006999-0.16%0.00657-6.28%0.0347✗1.00430k2022-07-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002790.002786-0.15%0.002578-7.60%0.0272✗1.072.1M2022-07-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08980.089667-0.15%0.0761-15.26%0.0383✓1.296,7422022-07-01
KCSKuCoinnative10.92810.9142-0.13%8.797-19.50%0.1061✓1.123.9M2022-07-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.002910.002906-0.13%0.001956-32.78%0.2904✓1.085,8812022-07-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12220.122077-0.10%0.1119-8.43%0.0476✗1.3846k2022-07-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7955.7367-0.10%51.13-8.35%0.0298✗1.1918.4M2022-07-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058990.000058941-0.08%0.00013124+122.48%0.9999✗2.051.2M2022-07-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2870.286776-0.08%0.271-5.57%0.0424✗1.02792k2022-07-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.05660.056558-0.07%0.05579-1.43%0.1209✗1.3870k2022-07-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11490.114815-0.07%0.105-8.62%0.0022✓0.89228k2022-07-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3521.3511-0.06%1.241-8.21%0.0635✗1.52170k2022-07-01
GTGateEthereum4.28424.282-0.05%4.0293-5.95%0.0127✗0.751.4M2022-07-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,223.7221,229.51+0.03%19,252.76-9.29%0.0003✓1.00546.7M2022-07-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,181.8021,195.11+0.06%19,383.00-8.49%0.0064✓0.9843k2022-07-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008410.00084189+0.11%0.000932+10.82%0.2363✓1.382.3M2022-07-01
AAVEAaveEthereum71.0271.1386+0.17%56.18-20.90%0.0712✗1.698.7M2022-07-01
XMRMoneroMonero126.48126.6956+0.17%115.07-9.02%0.0184✓1.181.7M2022-07-01
XVGVergenative0.003320.003327+0.23%0.00278-16.27%0.0430✗1.40705k2022-07-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020050.020107+0.29%0.01951-2.69%0.0688✓1.02123k2022-07-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.58e-7+0.41%3.27e-7-8.34%0.0057✓0.99756k2022-07-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121190.012181+0.51%0.012076-0.35%0.0750✓0.861.8M2022-07-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.689953+0.58%0.644-6.12%0.0969✓1.70305k2022-07-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.540.545517+1.02%0.4743-12.17%0.0276✗1.1592k2022-07-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05480.055368+1.04%0.0494-9.85%0.0365✗0.80267k2022-07-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.43116.025+1.39%101.28-11.49%0.0248✗1.145.7M2022-07-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.