8=======>

2022-06-12 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3445
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.9%
in alpha space · 62.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-22.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.5966-5.53%1.88+11.24%0.3617✗0.77153k2022-06-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7231.657-3.83%1.26-26.87%0.1396✗1.615.1M2022-06-19
PROPropyEthereum1.051.0153-3.31%0.89-15.24%0.0542✗0.73183k2022-06-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.131.0948-3.12%0.817-27.70%0.2887✗2.2710.6M2022-06-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2943.2265-2.05%2.999-8.96%0.1615✗0.923.7M2022-06-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6753.6022-1.98%3.514-4.38%0.1841✗0.826.4M2022-06-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20171.1782-1.96%0.77679-35.36%0.2153✓0.799702022-06-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.834161-1.75%0.81-4.59%0.2624✗1.141.7M2022-06-19
TRXTRONTron0.0761310.074811-1.73%0.061275-19.51%0.0331✗0.91682k2022-06-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023080.022681-1.73%0.01665-27.86%0.1510✓0.62637k2022-06-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.211.9901-1.72%10.34-15.25%0.3896✗2.10252k2022-06-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073690.072493-1.62%0.05243-28.85%0.0678✓1.001,6002022-06-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.626.5164-1.57%6.29-4.98%0.1398✗0.682.0M2022-06-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.51145.4261-1.55%5.1793-6.03%0.0321✗0.31235k2022-06-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.833.7756-1.42%3.55-7.31%0.1495✗0.821.9M2022-06-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78991.7648-1.40%1.7552-1.94%0.2947✗1.173.4M2022-06-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.043105-1.36%0.04075-6.75%0.2343✗1.133,6542022-06-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.049983-1.36%0.0462-8.82%0.2228✗1.1815k2022-06-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0262.9854-1.34%2.702-10.71%0.1187✗0.854.3M2022-06-19
XYMSymbolnative0.05250.051818-1.30%0.050701-3.43%0.1869✗0.8157k2022-06-19
DODODODOEthereum0.15040.148552-1.23%0.1199-20.28%0.2198✗1.693.4M2022-06-19
STEEMSteemnative0.2080.205478-1.21%0.2001-3.80%0.3642✗1.52585k2022-06-19
OPTIMOptimism0.6440.63623-1.21%0.508-21.12%0.0312✗1.007.3M2022-06-19
FTTFTXEthereum27.927.5701-1.18%25.06-10.18%0.1486✗0.959.1M2022-06-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.008670.00857-1.16%0.006078-29.90%0.0556✓1.122,4432022-06-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.1521-1.14%4-4.76%0.2012✗0.931.5M2022-06-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.20074-1.11%0.261+28.57%0.7864✗2.041.1M2022-06-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.041836-1.10%0.0354-16.31%0.2294✗1.55383k2022-06-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.9980.987751-1.03%0.86877-12.95%0.2016✗1.296,0082022-06-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.644.5951-0.97%4.29-7.54%0.1630✗0.901.6M2022-06-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7330.725913-0.97%0.778+6.14%0.5816✗2.002.7M2022-06-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1185560.117441-0.94%0.114608-3.33%0.2859✗1.2110.3M2022-06-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.113.0817-0.91%2.88-7.40%0.2165✗1.111.8M2022-06-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.72.6755-0.91%2.476-8.30%0.2021✗1.0963k2022-06-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.049792-0.81%0.0468-6.77%0.4220✗1.8923k2022-06-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.553.5212-0.81%3.01-15.21%0.0938✗0.981.7M2022-06-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053150.052722-0.80%0.0477-10.25%0.4338✗2.081.8M2022-06-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58690.582309-0.78%0.7568+28.95%0.6333✗1.452.8M2022-06-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.0832.0677-0.73%2.1353+2.51%0.3483✗1.233.3M2022-06-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9530.94622-0.71%0.686-28.02%0.0321✓1.131.0M2022-06-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.27347.933-0.70%60.27+24.85%0.5072✗1.091.1M2022-06-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15630.1552-0.70%0.1219-22.01%0.0153✗1.00268k2022-06-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.307120.304997-0.69%0.33708+9.76%0.4807✗1.49105k2022-06-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.329.2559-0.69%8.05-13.63%0.1501✗1.13281k2022-06-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.4119-0.69%2.3176-4.57%0.5059✗2.1313k2022-06-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.314450.31235-0.67%0.29105-7.44%0.3332✗1.5814k2022-06-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008180.008125-0.67%0.006456-21.08%0.0117✓0.85153k2022-06-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2975760.295619-0.66%0.264085-11.25%0.2947✗1.592.3M2022-06-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.09211.0851-0.64%0.993799-9.00%0.2531✗1.3348k2022-06-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.1896-0.64%2.57-19.94%0.0830✗1.17722k2022-06-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.322599-0.62%0.3142-3.20%0.3466✗1.4614.4M2022-06-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2292.2153-0.61%1.769-20.64%0.2248✗1.7697k2022-06-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18870.187582-0.59%0.1515-19.71%0.1925✗1.58751k2022-06-19
XMRMoneroMonero159.28158.3394-0.59%114.45-28.15%0.0335✓1.141.7M2022-06-19
HIVEHivenative0.43250.430015-0.57%0.3732-13.71%0.2519✗1.541.1M2022-06-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.370969-0.54%0.334-10.46%0.2383✗1.3415k2022-06-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.08713.0705-0.54%2.7295-11.58%0.2284✗1.3533k2022-06-19
ADACardanoCardano0.48990.487351-0.52%0.484-1.20%0.4313✗1.7149.8M2022-06-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003680.003661-0.51%0.002766-24.84%0.0682✗1.364,6932022-06-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009460.009412-0.51%0.00989+4.55%0.4301✗1.4813.3M2022-06-19
BANDBandEthereum1.4171.4098-0.51%1.383-2.40%0.4629✗1.88342k2022-06-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.458.4087-0.49%8.91+5.44%0.5837✗2.052.7M2022-06-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.010070.010021-0.49%0.00894-11.22%0.1887✗1.181.5M2022-06-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02240.0223-0.45%0.021244-5.16%0.2674✗1.2310k2022-06-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.0774-0.44%4.54-10.98%0.3108✗1.65405k2022-06-19
KCSKuCoinnative14.12214.0608-0.43%10.625-24.76%0.0007✓1.105.3M2022-06-19
XEMNEMnative0.0417190.041544-0.42%0.03985-4.48%0.3703✗1.6131k2022-06-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0830.082662-0.41%0.0782-5.78%0.4291✗1.89409k2022-06-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9450.941453-0.38%0.855-9.52%0.1599✗1.001.4M2022-06-19
XECeCashnative0.000041050.000040899-0.37%0.00003759-8.43%0.3256✗1.603.0M2022-06-19
ZECZcashZcash79.3279.0372-0.36%67.41-15.02%0.2120✗1.453.6M2022-06-19
ZENHorizenBase15.1515.1002-0.33%13.88-8.38%0.3626✗1.7465k2022-06-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.062798-0.32%0.0615-2.38%0.3583✗1.48403k2022-06-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35962.3527-0.29%2.453+3.96%0.4109✗1.443.0M2022-06-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum26,697.3026,619.65-0.29%20,529.00-23.10%0.0100✓0.9729k2022-06-19
GTGateEthereum4.85944.8455-0.29%3.9604-18.50%0.0409✓0.632.1M2022-06-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin26,555.2026,480.94-0.28%20,552.44-22.60%0.0028✗1.00538.8M2022-06-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.14742.1415-0.28%1.8101-15.71%0.2195✗1.5155k2022-06-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.710.708054-0.27%0.68-4.23%0.4174✗1.79198k2022-06-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.150430.150035-0.26%0.1545+2.71%0.5176✗1.91260k2022-06-19
DIADIAEthereum0.423270.422312-0.23%0.38209-9.73%0.0749✗0.68249k2022-06-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.450.448982-0.23%0.366-18.67%0.2697✗1.854,3562022-06-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.650.648604-0.21%0.579-10.92%0.2054✗1.24365k2022-06-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.490.488955-0.21%0.439-10.41%0.3357✗1.73116k2022-06-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11350.113277-0.20%0.0807-28.90%0.1242✗1.814,0262022-06-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28160.281071-0.19%0.2732-2.98%0.3513✗1.486.2M2022-06-19
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.28e-7-0.18%7.90e-7-15.05%0.0738✗0.925.5M2022-06-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.514390.513475-0.18%0.5202+1.13%0.6057✗2.313.1M2022-06-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10720.107018-0.17%0.1014-5.41%0.2777✗1.296,7702022-06-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.7173-0.16%1.51-12.21%0.2255✗1.38270k2022-06-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018150.018128-0.12%0.02708+49.20%1.0308✗2.4632.1M2022-06-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.23160.231337-0.11%0.2211-4.53%0.2838✗1.28100k2022-06-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05730.057237-0.11%0.0563-1.75%0.5274✗2.12141k2022-06-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.011.009-0.10%0.51-49.50%0.3759✓1.2068k2022-06-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.285550.285277-0.10%0.25495-10.72%0.2861✗1.55453k2022-06-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06570.065648-0.08%0.0527-19.79%0.1306✗1.37153k2022-06-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127240.012719-0.04%0.014782+16.17%0.3290✗0.70324k2022-06-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4841.4837-0.02%1.242-16.31%0.3132✗1.92236k2022-06-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23170.231657-0.02%0.2089-9.84%0.2845✗1.51432k2022-06-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003180.003179-0.02%0.0027-15.09%0.1714✗1.312.1M2022-06-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1298-0.02%1.05-7.08%0.3821✗1.781.1M2022-06-19
XTZTezosTezos1.63561.6356+0.00%1.3878-15.15%0.2039✓1.44894k2022-06-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10.100015+0.01%0.0892-10.80%0.3539✓1.831.1M2022-06-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9111030.911239+0.01%0.78229-14.14%0.2090✓1.41120k2022-06-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.660.660117+0.02%0.42-36.36%0.1301✗1.2663k2022-06-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004050.004052+0.04%0.0037-8.64%0.3662✓1.78213k2022-06-19
DASHDashDash46.0546.0765+0.06%44.24-3.93%0.3003✓1.33837k2022-06-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.2962.2978+0.08%2.474+7.75%0.4523✓1.481.1M2022-06-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.422.422+0.08%2.37-2.07%0.5139✓2.09294k2022-06-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,433.191,434.42+0.09%1,126.90-21.37%0.0505✓1.14340.5M2022-06-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634820.063538+0.09%0.060316-4.99%0.2876✓1.331.3M2022-06-19
QNTQuantEthereum49.5749.6312+0.12%53.73+8.39%0.4039✓1.272.0M2022-06-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051875+0.15%0.0509-1.74%0.4622✓1.881.6M2022-06-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.266.2693+0.15%6.592+5.30%0.4576✓1.5932.8M2022-06-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.369.3755+0.17%7.59-18.91%0.1229✓1.30502k2022-06-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.078937+0.17%0.0547-30.58%0.1866✗0.70274k2022-06-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.09720.09737+0.17%0.0934-3.91%0.3505✓1.53795k2022-06-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.788920.790346+0.18%0.82638+4.75%0.5233✓1.87789k2022-06-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.9790.980772+0.18%0.654-33.20%0.1391✓2.12319k2022-06-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10950.109703+0.19%0.1167+6.58%0.5114✓1.753.2M2022-06-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1892.1931+0.19%2.209+0.91%0.4622✓1.78139k2022-06-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.1851.1873+0.20%1.398+17.97%0.6258✓1.80826k2022-06-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.14430.144588+0.20%0.133-7.83%0.3292✓1.61169k2022-06-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.030.03006+0.20%0.0281-6.33%0.3651✓1.69221k2022-06-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6725.6837+0.21%5.48-3.39%0.3793✓1.622.5M2022-06-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023080.023135+0.24%0.01957-15.21%0.1134✓1.10151k2022-06-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5916.6298+0.24%15.35-7.47%0.2828✓1.422.3M2022-06-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.067.0774+0.25%6.765-4.18%0.3544✓1.5615.2M2022-06-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11990.120211+0.26%0.1109-7.51%0.3226✓1.5749k2022-06-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.421730.422875+0.27%0.52879+25.39%0.6764✓1.7761k2022-06-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2162.222+0.27%2.092-5.60%0.4643✓2.052.9M2022-06-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.250.250702+0.28%0.2426-2.96%0.3499✓1.4931k2022-06-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,006.746,025.52+0.31%4,740.28-21.08%0.0992✓1.323.6M2022-06-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09740.097732+0.34%0.0932-4.31%0.3152✓1.42733k2022-06-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3447+0.35%1.41+5.22%0.5692✓2.04580k2022-06-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40540.406823+0.35%0.366-9.72%0.3633✓1.83146k2022-06-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4890.491381+0.49%0.54+10.43%0.5586✓1.81886k2022-06-19
STXStacksnative0.41890.420975+0.50%0.3545-15.37%0.1906✓1.41165k2022-06-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11140.111976+0.52%0.1028-7.72%0.3751✓1.805.4M2022-06-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2461.2526+0.53%1.256+0.80%0.4563✓1.7773k2022-06-19
FLOWFlownative1.7941.8035+0.53%1.374-23.41%0.0158✗1.00623k2022-06-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029290.029463+0.59%0.02774-5.29%0.3469✓1.5917k2022-06-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6365.6716+0.63%5.48-2.77%0.4206✓1.7810.6M2022-06-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.11830.11905+0.63%0.1704+44.04%0.7942✓1.701,7522022-06-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008590.000008646+0.65%0.0000082-4.54%0.3339✓1.51850k2022-06-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.294.3182+0.66%4.32+0.70%0.5115✓1.991.5M2022-06-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057920.058313+0.68%0.0468-19.20%0.1283✓1.3649k2022-06-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4391.4493+0.72%1.3145-8.65%0.2502✓1.361.7M2022-06-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.630.634532+0.72%0.626-0.63%0.4681✓1.88578k2022-06-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8640.870456+0.75%0.645-25.35%0.0796✓1.485.1M2022-06-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4314.5472+0.81%13.78-4.50%0.3944✓1.752.3M2022-06-19
MOVRMoonriverBase15.580915.7075+0.81%11.3502-27.15%0.0944✓1.64222k2022-06-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006870.006928+0.85%0.00666-3.06%0.2796✓1.25607k2022-06-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.279405+0.87%0.267-3.61%0.2856✓1.29847k2022-06-19
UNIUniswapEthereum4.0544.0904+0.90%4.184+3.21%0.4145✓1.532.6M2022-06-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3937.4597+0.90%7.521+1.73%0.4136✓1.5813.5M2022-06-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20370.205723+0.99%0.1721-15.51%0.2118✓1.52196k2022-06-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008250.000833565+1.04%0.000747-9.45%0.3483✓1.791.8M2022-06-19
SOLSolanaSolana30.5630.9031+1.12%34.15+11.75%0.5267✓1.67103.2M2022-06-19
KSMKusamaHydration50.7851.3505+1.12%50.87+0.18%0.3494✓1.401.0M2022-06-19
COMPCompoundEthereum41.241.7133+1.25%31.8-22.82%0.1465✓1.6330k2022-06-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.340.344381+1.29%0.297-12.65%0.3602✓1.98530k2022-06-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.97147.8906+1.32%120.39-17.52%0.1238✓1.294.4M2022-06-19
XVGVergenative0.003420.003465+1.32%0.00279-18.42%0.2089✓1.66628k2022-06-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.8648.5126+1.36%54.25+13.35%0.4610✓1.3617.5M2022-06-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.07e-7+1.40%3.28e-7-18.23%0.0263✓0.941.0M2022-06-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.6640.673824+1.48%0.749+12.80%0.6933✓2.291.8M2022-06-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122880.012497+1.70%0.012325+0.30%0.3082✓1.262.0M2022-06-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.2717.5801+1.80%16.15-6.49%0.3716✓1.7847.8M2022-06-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000069460.000070775+1.89%0.0000611-12.04%0.6542✓3.132.0M2022-06-19
AAVEAaveEthereum70.371.7619+2.08%53.97-23.23%0.2027✓1.907.4M2022-06-19
APEApeCoinEthereum3.8853.9888+2.67%4.125+6.18%0.6159✓2.2717.0M2022-06-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.