8=======>

2022-06-11 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2621
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
18.6%
in alpha space · 83.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-33.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.17e-73.31e-7+4.39%2.94e-7-7.15%0.3290✓1.10961k2022-06-18
AAVEAaveEthereum77.0277.739+0.93%49.52-35.71%0.3115✓1.897.4M2022-06-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash156.57157.8102+0.79%115.22-26.41%0.2042✓1.284.4M2022-06-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.1352.4262+0.57%47.13-9.59%0.4410✓1.3517.5M2022-06-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.038.0697+0.49%7.044-12.28%0.5002✓1.5713.5M2022-06-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.8919.9848+0.48%14.8-25.59%0.4017✓1.7447.8M2022-06-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00006950.000069816+0.45%0.0000554-20.29%1.1421✓3.402.1M2022-06-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131570.013212+0.42%0.011617-11.70%0.3766✓1.252.0M2022-06-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.464.4779+0.40%4.07-8.74%0.7202✓2.021.5M2022-06-18
XVGVergenative0.003750.003764+0.38%0.00273-27.20%0.3473✓1.65645k2022-06-18
UNIUniswapEthereum4.3794.3951+0.37%3.637-16.94%0.4274✓1.532.6M2022-06-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2970.298011+0.34%0.259-12.79%0.3803✓1.29890k2022-06-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009320.00000935+0.33%0.00000771-17.27%0.4134✓1.50850k2022-06-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062370.062571+0.32%0.04148-33.49%0.1330✓1.3544k2022-06-18
COMPCompoundEthereum45.2845.4115+0.29%28.98-36.00%0.1997✓1.6130k2022-06-18
SOLSolanaSolana33.9134.0046+0.28%32.01-5.60%0.6056✓1.65104.0M2022-06-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031830.031851+0.07%0.02514-21.02%0.4022✓1.5817k2022-06-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9665.968+0.03%5.133-13.96%0.5725✓1.7910.6M2022-06-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024020.024024+0.02%0.01934-19.48%0.2224✓1.09154k2022-06-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.12880.128816+0.01%0.1378+6.99%0.7426✓1.671,7522022-06-18
KSMKusamaHydration57.0157.0148+0.01%48.42-15.07%0.3885✓1.371.1M2022-06-18
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7364.7355-0.01%3.615-23.67%0.6352✗2.2417.0M2022-06-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.2916.2881-0.01%12.93-20.63%0.4724✗1.742.4M2022-06-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007790.007788-0.03%0.00624-19.90%0.2614✗1.19625k2022-06-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,353.676,350.00-0.06%4,369.27-31.23%0.1648✗1.333.7M2022-06-18
STXStacksnative0.46760.467307-0.06%0.3371-27.91%0.2394✗1.40165k2022-06-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.9080.907236-0.08%0.583-35.79%0.1586✗1.495.1M2022-06-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12320.123068-0.11%0.0987-19.89%0.5143✗1.825.6M2022-06-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08430.084206-0.11%0.0528-37.37%0.1815✓0.71274k2022-06-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11590.11575-0.13%0.1102-4.92%0.6725✗1.793.2M2022-06-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.10450.104357-0.14%0.0868-16.94%0.4284✗1.52795k2022-06-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.3824-0.15%2.038-14.59%0.5585✗1.77166k2022-06-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44080.440102-0.16%0.3417-22.48%0.4810✗1.82159k2022-06-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81640.815071-0.16%0.77754-4.76%0.7191✗1.90789k2022-06-18
MOVRMoonriverBase17.821717.791-0.17%10.6122-40.45%0.1318✗1.60222k2022-06-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25990.259378-0.20%0.2227-14.31%0.4753✗1.5531k2022-06-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13320.132923-0.21%0.1042-21.77%0.3986✗1.5951k2022-06-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.10880.108573-0.21%0.0832-23.53%0.4637✗1.811.1M2022-06-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.471610.4706-0.21%0.43006-8.81%0.6087✗1.7363k2022-06-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.718269-0.24%0.578-19.72%0.5270✗1.84578k2022-06-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.032817-0.25%0.0267-18.84%0.4733✗1.68247k2022-06-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.11.0972-0.25%0.49-55.45%0.3262✓1.1968k2022-06-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.0661.0632-0.26%0.611-42.68%0.3088✗2.13339k2022-06-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4761-0.26%1.33-10.14%0.7095✗2.01575k2022-06-18
DASHDashDash48.9548.8214-0.26%41.55-15.12%0.3812✗1.34837k2022-06-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,531.091,526.88-0.27%993.64-35.10%0.0284✗1.13340.5M2022-06-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010130.00101-0.28%0.0007-30.90%0.3347✗1.741.8M2022-06-18
NANOnanopayBase10.997124-0.29%0.758897-24.11%0.2920✗1.40122k2022-06-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.16110.160636-0.29%0.1231-23.59%0.3777✗1.59176k2022-06-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3940.392864-0.29%0.271-31.22%0.4103✗1.93567k2022-06-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3332.3261-0.29%1.554-33.39%0.4270✗2.053.0M2022-06-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.557.5278-0.29%6.069-19.62%0.4168✗1.5615.2M2022-06-18
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.47e-7-0.32%7.40e-7-22.11%0.1279✗0.935.7M2022-06-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25440.253593-0.32%0.1531-39.82%0.0543✗1.38196k2022-06-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11080.110448-0.32%0.0999-9.84%0.4314✗1.327,6092022-06-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0367.0136-0.32%5.918-15.89%0.4656✗1.5732.1M2022-06-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0986.0781-0.33%5.103-16.32%0.4787✗1.622.5M2022-06-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.740.737505-0.34%0.48-35.14%0.0561✗1.2063k2022-06-18
XTZTezosTezos1.79481.7887-0.34%1.2889-28.19%0.2455✗1.42914k2022-06-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.2310.1939-0.35%7.08-30.79%0.1616✗1.30508k2022-06-18
DIADIAEthereum0.437270.435703-0.36%0.35701-18.35%0.0806✗0.69249k2022-06-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11140.11098-0.38%0.0869-21.99%0.3147✗1.38781k2022-06-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30040.299248-0.38%0.2512-16.38%0.4292✗1.496.2M2022-06-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05780.057566-0.41%0.0485-16.09%0.5829✗1.871.7M2022-06-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5410.538804-0.41%0.503-7.02%0.6664✗1.82886k2022-06-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.2318.1537-0.42%13.68-24.96%0.2785✗1.392.6M2022-06-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.632.6187-0.43%2.17-17.49%0.6576✗2.09294k2022-06-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004480.00446-0.44%0.00339-24.33%0.4448✗1.78228k2022-06-18
ZECZcashZcash79.5879.2163-0.46%59.26-25.53%0.2976✗1.453.6M2022-06-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.06260.0623-0.48%0.0534-14.70%0.6997✗2.11142k2022-06-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4091.4022-0.48%1.063-24.56%0.4286✗1.7576k2022-06-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.017810.01772-0.50%0.02407+35.15%1.3305✗2.5332.1M2022-06-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.21.1939-0.51%0.93-22.50%0.4759✗1.801.2M2022-06-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27572.2637-0.53%1.728-24.07%0.3429✗1.5258k2022-06-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697290.069347-0.55%0.052785-24.30%0.2524✗1.301.3M2022-06-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.257125-0.57%0.1978-23.51%0.3369✗1.48384k2022-06-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0131590.013083-0.58%0.014203+7.93%0.4289✗0.86291k2022-06-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.322320.320464-0.58%0.235-27.09%0.3082✗1.53455k2022-06-18
QNTQuantEthereum5554.6818-0.58%48.77-11.33%0.3837✗1.232.0M2022-06-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008190.008142-0.58%0.006281-23.31%0.0977✗0.88164k2022-06-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,488.7028,320.56-0.59%19,116.80-32.90%0.0002✓0.9729k2022-06-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163330.162362-0.59%0.12089-25.98%0.4704✗1.89276k2022-06-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.010460.010395-0.62%0.00847-19.02%0.2767✗1.191.5M2022-06-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,388.6328,209.98-0.63%18,948.89-33.25%0.0063✗1.00582.4M2022-06-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5350.53161-0.63%0.412-22.99%0.4400✗1.72116k2022-06-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.7980.792921-0.64%0.601-24.69%0.6450✗2.281.9M2022-06-18
GTGateEthereum5.28735.2532-0.64%3.6059-31.80%0.1371✓0.592.5M2022-06-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.689494-0.65%0.552-20.46%0.2774✗1.24365k2022-06-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003620.003596-0.65%0.002612-27.85%0.1917✗1.272.1M2022-06-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.3051.2961-0.68%1.425+9.20%0.8121✗1.77826k2022-06-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.25240.250677-0.68%0.2039-19.22%0.3290✗1.32103k2022-06-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.14261.1347-0.69%0.93123-18.50%0.3408✗1.3348k2022-06-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.06870.068215-0.71%0.0572-16.74%0.3924✗1.41396k2022-06-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5971.5856-0.71%1.168-26.86%0.4731✗1.93242k2022-06-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.5582.5397-0.71%2.376-7.11%0.5227✗1.461.2M2022-06-18
XECeCashnative0.000045240.000044904-0.74%0.00003566-21.18%0.4088✗1.583.0M2022-06-18
KCSKuCoinnative15.0214.9058-0.76%9.571-36.28%0.0046✓1.085.8M2022-06-18
XEMNEMnative0.04460.044261-0.76%0.037989-14.82%0.4998✗1.6132k2022-06-18
ZENHorizenBase16.516.3721-0.78%13.17-20.18%0.4911✗1.7565k2022-06-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.16080.159515-0.80%0.1228-23.63%0.1477✗1.01277k2022-06-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003910.003879-0.80%0.002641-32.46%0.1639✗1.365,7382022-06-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08830.087581-0.81%0.0691-21.74%0.5425✗1.93422k2022-06-18
FTTFTXEthereum27.4727.2417-0.83%22.79-17.04%0.2267✗1.009.1M2022-06-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07360.072975-0.85%0.0517-29.76%0.1863✗1.31153k2022-06-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.332970.330081-0.87%0.31116-6.55%0.5479✗1.50105k2022-06-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.91.8834-0.87%1.46-23.16%0.2876✗1.34268k2022-06-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6240.61839-0.90%0.7155+14.66%0.7286✗1.442.9M2022-06-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.36173.3302-0.94%2.5838-23.14%0.2878✗1.3433k2022-06-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7772.7503-0.96%2.377-14.40%0.3029✗1.1172k2022-06-18
HIVEHivenative0.48540.480675-0.97%0.3505-27.79%0.2892✗1.501.2M2022-06-18
ADACardanoCardano0.55350.548028-0.99%0.4544-17.90%0.4869✗1.6749.8M2022-06-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.790.782171-0.99%0.61-22.78%0.4722✗1.78209k2022-06-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35040.346872-1.01%0.2955-15.67%0.4271✗1.4514.6M2022-06-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.68452.6574-1.01%2.3544-12.30%0.4641✗1.453.2M2022-06-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.592.5638-1.01%2.144-17.22%0.6889✗2.1513k2022-06-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7630.755239-1.02%0.795+4.19%0.5615✗1.261.7M2022-06-18
XMRMoneroMonero166.23164.4747-1.06%104.18-37.33%0.0093✓1.151.9M2022-06-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum10.2910.1797-1.07%7.81-24.10%0.1783✗1.10283k2022-06-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.21.1871-1.07%2.06+71.67%0.9768✗1.05153k2022-06-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.743.6998-1.08%2.46-34.22%0.0356✗1.10717k2022-06-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0245910.024323-1.09%0.02049-16.68%0.3194✗1.2110k2022-06-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05090.050339-1.10%0.0455-10.61%0.6681✗1.9023k2022-06-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.89952.3116-1.11%55.298+4.54%0.4786✗1.051.1M2022-06-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.29.0966-1.12%8.89-3.37%0.8099✗2.062.8M2022-06-18
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0881.0755-1.15%0.612-43.75%0.1245✓1.091.0M2022-06-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1252130.123776-1.15%0.107534-14.12%0.3473✗1.2110.3M2022-06-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021210.020965-1.15%0.01535-27.63%0.0461✓0.66608k2022-06-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.409013-1.20%0.297-28.26%0.2127✗1.3214k2022-06-18
DODODODOEthereum0.1480.14619-1.22%0.1123-24.12%0.4418✗1.752.9M2022-06-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.995.9167-1.22%4.4-26.54%0.3486✗1.60411k2022-06-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64541.6253-1.22%1.2522-23.90%0.2879✗1.361.9M2022-06-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5330.526397-1.24%0.338-36.59%0.2757✗1.784,3562022-06-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010270.010143-1.24%0.00909-11.49%0.5729✗1.6913.6M2022-06-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0523860.051709-1.29%0.0493-5.89%0.2900✗0.8459k2022-06-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.13550.133714-1.32%0.0752-44.50%0.1333✗1.754,0262022-06-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3992.3672-1.33%2.0842-13.12%0.3178✗1.103.5M2022-06-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.93.848-1.33%2.97-23.85%0.1379✗0.981.7M2022-06-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.463.4137-1.34%2.82-18.50%0.2233✗1.031.8M2022-06-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.350940.346209-1.35%0.28073-20.01%0.4271✗1.5815k2022-06-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4222.3893-1.35%1.56-35.59%0.3047✗1.8199k2022-06-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21950.216535-1.35%0.1405-35.99%0.2018✗1.57696k2022-06-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057640.056854-1.36%0.04472-22.41%0.6284✗2.151.9M2022-06-18
FLOWFlownative2.0562.0279-1.36%1.264-38.52%0.0685✓1.00608k2022-06-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.50035.4229-1.41%5.06-8.01%0.0596✗0.32243k2022-06-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.009180.00905-1.41%0.005876-35.99%0.0265✗1.132,4432022-06-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7940.78204-1.51%0.712-10.33%0.7021✗1.972.7M2022-06-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.074.9927-1.53%4.18-17.55%0.1652✗0.851.6M2022-06-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.574.4976-1.58%3.86-15.54%0.2048✗0.881.3M2022-06-18
BANDBandEthereum1.7721.7437-1.60%1.287-27.37%0.4151✗1.78342k2022-06-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3321520.326801-1.61%0.247565-25.47%0.3538✗1.562.3M2022-06-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.594230.584263-1.68%0.50803-14.51%0.7702✗2.253.1M2022-06-18
TRXTRONTron0.0757580.074486-1.68%0.060855-19.67%0.1724✗0.93682k2022-06-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047310.046505-1.70%0.03819-19.28%0.2513✗1.113,6542022-06-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0460.045211-1.71%0.0333-27.61%0.3107✗1.52403k2022-06-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1623.1077-1.72%2.936-7.15%0.3216✗0.942.9M2022-06-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05270.051786-1.73%0.04483-14.93%0.3333✗1.1815k2022-06-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.164.086-1.78%3.39-18.51%0.1410✗0.811.9M2022-06-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.217046-1.79%0.233+5.43%0.9268✗2.121.1M2022-06-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.03071.9921-1.90%1.6728-17.62%0.2606✗1.083.5M2022-06-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.0931.0721-1.91%0.80868-26.01%0.2282✗1.266,0082022-06-18
PROPropyEthereum0.920.901477-2.01%0.85-7.61%0.2648✗0.80183k2022-06-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0731.0513-2.02%0.798-25.63%0.1285✗1.001.3M2022-06-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.069539-2.06%0.04811-32.24%0.0359✗1.001,7292022-06-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.3014-2.07%2.618-22.34%0.0729✗0.754.1M2022-06-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.197.0393-2.10%6.1-15.16%0.1153✗0.642.0M2022-06-18
STEEMSteemnative0.24050.234495-2.50%0.1826-24.07%0.3532✗1.49585k2022-06-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.073.9617-2.66%3.423-15.90%0.1528✗0.746.4M2022-06-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22051.1876-2.70%0.75523-38.12%0.1317✓0.791,0842022-06-18
OPTIMOptimism0.7610.733403-3.63%0.451-40.74%0.0820✓1.007.8M2022-06-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.2515.6171-3.89%9.79-39.75%0.3308✗1.97252k2022-06-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7141.6431-4.14%1.218-28.94%0.3710✗1.665.0M2022-06-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2171.162-4.52%0.788-35.25%0.5250✗2.268.8M2022-06-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.