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2022-06-10 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1636
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
17.4%
in alpha space · 89.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-29.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6781.6044-4.39%1.34-20.14%0.4079✗1.675.0M2022-06-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.7815.0899-4.37%11.01-30.23%0.3806✗1.98252k2022-06-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2421.1899-4.20%0.888-28.50%0.5029✗2.266.0M2022-06-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.38611.3357-3.63%0.85035-38.65%0.1835✓0.762,8352022-06-17
OPTIMOptimism0.880.84977-3.44%0.518-41.14%0.1434✓1.007.9M2022-06-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0593.9224-3.37%2.849-29.81%0.1001✓0.623.8M2022-06-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4694.3385-2.92%3.619-19.02%0.0862✗0.766.4M2022-06-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7863.6765-2.89%3.133-17.25%0.1382✗0.852.1M2022-06-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075590.073537-2.72%0.05612-25.76%0.0813✗1.001,6002022-06-17
STEEMSteemnative0.24970.243019-2.68%0.2011-19.46%0.3357✗1.49585k2022-06-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.4473.3573-2.60%2.4165-29.90%0.4054✗2.0915k2022-06-17
PROPropyEthereum0.990.965488-2.48%0.9-9.09%0.2036✗0.78183k2022-06-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.817.6207-2.42%6.25-19.97%0.0216✓0.632.0M2022-06-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.53.4188-2.32%2.36-32.57%0.3434✗2.03294k2022-06-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.584.4759-2.27%3.68-19.65%0.0814✗0.791.9M2022-06-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.16741.1412-2.24%0.87046-25.44%0.1697✗1.256,1812022-06-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1971.1707-2.20%0.857-28.40%0.0397✗1.001.3M2022-06-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2460.240676-2.16%0.24-2.44%0.7071✗2.021.2M2022-06-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.655870.642092-2.10%0.55352-15.61%0.6361✗2.233.0M2022-06-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.057740.056535-2.09%0.04657-19.35%0.2162✗1.1715k2022-06-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.29422.2477-2.02%1.741-24.11%0.1176✗1.063.5M2022-06-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.048708-2.00%0.0357-28.17%0.2195✗1.51425k2022-06-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.944.8435-1.95%3.96-19.84%0.1026✗0.861.2M2022-06-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.050.049028-1.94%0.0401-19.80%0.1850✗1.104,5412022-06-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77321.74-1.87%1.3769-22.35%0.2421✗1.352.0M2022-06-17
BANDBandEthereum1.8751.84-1.87%1.372-26.83%0.3283✗1.77342k2022-06-17
FLOWFlownative2.2852.2432-1.83%1.392-39.08%0.1256✓1.00592k2022-06-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3601920.353663-1.81%0.267879-25.63%0.2683✗1.552.3M2022-06-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6552.6076-1.79%1.727-34.95%0.2197✗1.80105k2022-06-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.321.297-1.75%1.49+12.88%0.5029✗1.04153k2022-06-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8473.78-1.74%2.92-24.10%0.0870✗0.981.8M2022-06-17
TRXTRONTron0.0787320.077365-1.74%0.0598-24.05%0.0654✗0.92682k2022-06-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8890.873681-1.72%0.759-14.62%0.5503✗1.972.7M2022-06-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.214.1386-1.70%3.12-25.89%0.0481✗0.941.7M2022-06-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.00970.009538-1.67%0.006055-37.57%0.0575✓1.132,4432022-06-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062350.061326-1.64%0.04779-23.35%0.5047✗2.142.0M2022-06-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.3329-1.61%4.11-24.17%0.0334✗0.841.6M2022-06-17
DODODODOEthereum0.16440.161763-1.60%0.1244-24.33%0.3452✗1.732.9M2022-06-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.23060.227005-1.56%0.1486-35.56%0.1228✗1.55696k2022-06-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.57512.5353-1.55%2.1459-16.67%0.2174✗1.093.5M2022-06-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9070.893129-1.53%0.616-32.08%0.4255✗2.272.0M2022-06-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.369440.363884-1.50%0.29309-20.67%0.3367✗1.5716k2022-06-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4560.449261-1.48%0.346-24.12%0.1980✗1.3115k2022-06-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.546.4443-1.46%4.78-26.91%0.2580✗1.58420k2022-06-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.07680.075684-1.45%0.0613-20.18%0.2576✗1.33396k2022-06-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.14510.143014-1.44%0.0799-44.93%0.0320✗1.753,5392022-06-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010840.010686-1.42%0.00913-15.77%0.4363✗1.6914.1M2022-06-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.26556.458-1.41%54.432-4.95%0.3277✗1.041.1M2022-06-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.50995.4338-1.38%5.055-8.26%0.0398✗0.32253k2022-06-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0543760.053627-1.38%0.050499-7.13%0.2318✗0.8367k2022-06-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.858286-1.35%0.64-26.44%0.3274✗1.77212k2022-06-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05420.053477-1.33%0.0462-14.76%0.5194✗1.8923k2022-06-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.410.2622-1.33%8.24-20.77%0.5004✗2.052.8M2022-06-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0256320.025299-1.30%0.019788-22.80%0.1805✗1.2111k2022-06-17
XMRMoneroMonero174.19171.9667-1.28%114.16-34.46%0.0044✓1.152.1M2022-06-17
NEXONEXOEthereum1.1731.158-1.27%0.646-44.93%0.2052✓1.081.0M2022-06-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.022580.022296-1.26%0.01777-21.30%0.0050✓0.66608k2022-06-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1329610.131295-1.25%0.111803-15.91%0.2628✗1.2010.3M2022-06-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0152670.015085-1.19%0.015393+0.83%0.3014✗0.80273k2022-06-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004330.004279-1.17%0.002904-32.93%0.0814✗1.335,7382022-06-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.052.0266-1.14%1.55-24.39%0.1949✗1.32268k2022-06-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.519077-1.13%0.385-26.67%0.3333✗1.804,3562022-06-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum10.9110.7876-1.12%8.03-26.40%0.0866✗1.09289k2022-06-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.6743.6334-1.10%2.744-25.31%0.1870✗1.3333k2022-06-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94322.9111-1.09%2.4336-17.31%0.3399✗1.483.4M2022-06-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.4541.4383-1.08%1.276-12.24%0.4981✗1.76826k2022-06-17
ADACardanoCardano0.57370.567544-1.07%0.4868-15.15%0.4297✗1.6649.8M2022-06-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36880.364948-1.04%0.31-15.94%0.3460✗1.4514.6M2022-06-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1780.176161-1.03%0.1304-26.74%0.0469✗0.99278k2022-06-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7511.7332-1.02%1.283-26.73%0.3775✗1.93264k2022-06-17
HIVEHivenative0.50510.499971-1.02%0.3627-28.19%0.2053✗1.501.4M2022-06-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7820.774176-1.00%0.761-2.69%0.4277✗1.271.8M2022-06-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.362980.359354-1.00%0.33827-6.81%0.4590✗1.48111k2022-06-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.65830.651745-1.00%0.7237+9.93%0.6129✗1.452.9M2022-06-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0780.077228-0.99%0.0615-21.15%0.2316✗1.31153k2022-06-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09650.095545-0.99%0.08-17.10%0.4985✗1.92436k2022-06-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.643.6041-0.99%2.71-25.55%0.1037✗1.11686k2022-06-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.922.8919-0.96%2.413-17.36%0.2060✗1.1072k2022-06-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.27120.268643-0.94%0.2207-18.62%0.2768✗1.35105k2022-06-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28420.281522-0.94%0.2132-24.98%0.2382✗1.47330k2022-06-17
ZENHorizenBase17.7917.6291-0.90%14.08-20.85%0.3876✗1.7465k2022-06-17
DIADIAEthereum0.495560.491142-0.89%0.38556-22.20%0.0055✓0.67249k2022-06-17
XECeCashnative0.000047860.000047437-0.88%0.00003796-20.69%0.3280✗1.573.2M2022-06-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.48852.4666-0.88%1.8611-25.21%0.2454✗1.5068k2022-06-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7570.750593-0.85%0.59-22.06%0.1879✗1.22372k2022-06-17
XEMNEMnative0.0466790.046284-0.85%0.039899-14.52%0.4167✗1.6139k2022-06-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004080.004046-0.83%0.00275-32.60%0.0509✗1.242.1M2022-06-17
KCSKuCoinnative15.53815.4099-0.82%11.096-28.59%0.0514✗1.086.2M2022-06-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.7672.7443-0.82%2.649-4.26%0.4756✗1.451.2M2022-06-17
QNTQuantEthereum61.1660.6678-0.80%46.56-23.87%0.1630✗1.222.0M2022-06-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.23361.2238-0.80%0.98783-19.92%0.2517✗1.3248k2022-06-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1685.1274-0.79%3.741-27.61%0.4692✗2.2317.0M2022-06-17
FTTFTXEthereum27.627.3845-0.78%24.35-11.78%0.2364✗1.019.2M2022-06-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0752880.074703-0.78%0.056877-24.45%0.1803✗1.291.3M2022-06-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6220.617212-0.77%0.505-18.81%0.4296✗1.79886k2022-06-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5810.576673-0.74%0.441-24.10%0.3302✗1.70120k2022-06-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0337.9736-0.74%6.356-20.88%0.3182✗1.5532.1M2022-06-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.352020.349518-0.71%0.26334-25.19%0.2510✗1.52480k2022-06-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.3702-0.71%1.01-26.81%0.3187✗1.771.2M2022-06-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020130.01999-0.70%0.02196+9.09%0.9743✗2.5037.4M2022-06-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,063.1128,865.81-0.68%20,447.86-29.64%0.0068✗1.00602.3M2022-06-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5971.5862-0.68%1.166-26.99%0.3000✗1.7376k2022-06-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177240.176055-0.67%0.12862-27.43%0.3460✗1.88276k2022-06-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9919.8587-0.66%14.37-28.11%0.1603✗1.382.6M2022-06-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008560.008504-0.65%0.006945-18.87%0.1072✗0.88180k2022-06-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.010940.010869-0.65%0.00897-18.01%0.2240✗1.181.5M2022-06-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,029.0028,843.51-0.64%20,457.00-29.53%0.0006✓0.9836k2022-06-17
GTGateEthereum5.36415.3302-0.63%3.9598-26.18%0.0878✓0.603.2M2022-06-17
ZECZcashZcash88.8588.2942-0.63%62.52-29.63%0.1552✗1.423.8M2022-06-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06510.064695-0.62%0.052-20.12%0.4292✗1.841.7M2022-06-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30780.305916-0.61%0.2378-22.74%0.2841✗1.5231k2022-06-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03550.035289-0.59%0.0282-20.56%0.3641✗1.67257k2022-06-17
SCSiacoinnative0.00490.004871-0.59%0.00354-27.76%0.3033✗1.77239k2022-06-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.06910.068692-0.59%0.0568-17.80%0.5427✗2.08142k2022-06-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000070280.000069869-0.58%0.00005853-16.72%1.0117✗3.382.2M2022-06-17
XTZTezosTezos1.96441.9533-0.57%1.3879-29.35%0.1525✗1.41928k2022-06-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.12075-0.54%0.0924-23.89%0.2089✗1.36828k2022-06-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.0271.0217-0.52%0.66-35.74%0.0783✗1.475.1M2022-06-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.8166.7808-0.52%5.333-21.76%0.3212✗1.602.5M2022-06-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.810.806061-0.49%0.49-39.51%0.0820✓1.1869k2022-06-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11930.118726-0.48%0.1066-10.65%0.3501✗1.308,4042022-06-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011050.0011-0.47%0.000777-29.68%0.2587✗1.721.8M2022-06-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.452.4388-0.46%1.715-30.00%0.3712✗2.063.0M2022-06-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.11970.119164-0.45%0.0892-25.48%0.3369✗1.781.1M2022-06-17
DASHDashDash53.8653.6199-0.45%43.53-19.18%0.2603✗1.33837k2022-06-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2111.1614-0.43%7.72-31.13%0.0841✗1.29524k2022-06-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27080.269633-0.43%0.1644-39.29%0.0120✓1.37230k2022-06-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,660.781,653.72-0.43%1,085.76-34.62%0.0273✓1.12340.5M2022-06-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0978.0628-0.42%6.373-21.29%0.3116✗1.5615.2M2022-06-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32190.320578-0.41%0.266-17.37%0.3353✗1.486.3M2022-06-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.161.1554-0.39%0.697-39.91%0.2421✗2.13356k2022-06-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001006-0.39%7.60e-7-24.75%0.0422✗0.926.0M2022-06-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.420.418411-0.38%0.291-30.71%0.3150✗1.93609k2022-06-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47860.476794-0.38%0.376-21.44%0.3948✗1.80159k2022-06-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.21.1956-0.37%0.56-53.33%0.3453✓1.1871k2022-06-17
NANOnanopayBase1.05631.0525-0.36%0.808399-23.47%0.2269✗1.40129k2022-06-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.11360.11319-0.36%0.0943-16.99%0.3460✗1.50844k2022-06-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6341-0.36%1.31-20.12%0.4791✗1.99580k2022-06-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.507690.505908-0.35%0.47267-6.90%0.5363✗1.7263k2022-06-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16740.166819-0.35%0.131-21.74%0.3185✗1.59183k2022-06-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1330.132539-0.35%0.1214-8.72%0.5303✗1.763.3M2022-06-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14240.141916-0.34%0.1118-21.49%0.3204✗1.5951k2022-06-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.14820.147698-0.34%0.1492+0.67%0.5872✗1.641,7522022-06-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.88840.885524-0.32%0.83828-5.64%0.6063✗1.88789k2022-06-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034780.034677-0.30%0.02675-23.09%0.2934✗1.5718k2022-06-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6482.6403-0.29%2.038-23.04%0.3588✗1.76187k2022-06-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7630.761019-0.26%0.611-19.92%0.4265✗1.84578k2022-06-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0217.9737-0.26%13.84-23.20%0.3446✗1.722.5M2022-06-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08740.087201-0.23%0.0586-32.95%0.1507✓0.70299k2022-06-17
MOVRMoonriverBase18.441218.4005-0.22%11.6249-36.96%0.1076✗1.61229k2022-06-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,054.397,039.08-0.22%4,789.56-32.11%0.0766✗1.313.7M2022-06-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1370.136715-0.21%0.0984-28.18%0.2973✗1.785.9M2022-06-17
STXStacksnative0.49560.494603-0.20%0.3817-22.98%0.2348✗1.40165k2022-06-17
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6651.5865-0.14%32.83-36.45%0.1048✗1.5828k2022-06-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025920.025898-0.09%0.0204-21.30%0.1400✗1.08156k2022-06-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3360.335754-0.07%0.266-20.83%0.2129✗1.27890k2022-06-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008110.008104-0.07%0.00671-17.26%0.2316✗1.20637k2022-06-17
KSMKusamaHydration58.5558.5092-0.07%48.97-16.36%0.3036✗1.371.1M2022-06-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.0936.0924-0.01%5.437-10.77%0.5143✗1.7910.6M2022-06-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.066060.066121+0.09%0.04599-30.38%0.1074✓1.3455k2022-06-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014250.014265+0.10%0.012048-15.45%0.2647✓1.232.1M2022-06-17
SOLSolanaSolana37.1337.1719+0.11%30.69-17.34%0.3829✓1.63107.6M2022-06-17
UNIUniswapEthereum4.8084.814+0.13%3.931-18.24%0.3286✓1.512.6M2022-06-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010120.000010139+0.19%0.00000816-19.37%0.3056✓1.49850k2022-06-17
XVGVergenative0.0040.004008+0.21%0.00291-27.25%0.2630✓1.66705k2022-06-17
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.6828+0.27%4.16-10.92%0.5897✓2.011.6M2022-06-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.0522.1222+0.33%15.98-27.53%0.2804✓1.7250.1M2022-06-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6256.8264+0.36%47.55-16.02%0.2943✓1.3417.5M2022-06-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6528.6869+0.40%7.269-15.98%0.3731✓1.5713.5M2022-06-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.20e-74.22e-7+0.40%3.34e-7-20.45%0.1272✓1.02877k2022-06-17
AAVEAaveEthereum87.9588.3867+0.50%57.31-34.84%0.2226✓1.877.5M2022-06-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash167.29168.3702+0.65%121.36-27.46%0.1215✓1.284.4M2022-06-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.