8=======>

2022-09-24 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 193 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0128
192 of 193 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.1%
in alpha space · 62.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (193 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain17.38416.556-4.76%17.482+0.56%0.0473✓0.3514.5M2022-10-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.7386.5009-3.52%6.7286-0.14%0.0288✓0.2711.2M2022-10-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.26530.257023-3.12%0.2387-10.03%0.0934✓0.953.1M2022-10-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.27575.1243-2.87%6.109+15.80%0.1500✗1.26100k2022-10-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.38530.37429-2.86%0.355-7.86%0.0725✓0.966.4M2022-10-01
QNTQuantEthereum114.65111.8155-2.47%136.85+19.36%0.1837✗0.893.6M2022-10-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.686.5184-2.42%6.53-2.25%0.0087✓0.511.5M2022-10-01
FISStafiEthereum0.28070.273973-2.40%0.31+10.44%0.1055✗0.886202022-10-01
AURORAAuroraEthereum1.1491.1215-2.40%0.974-15.23%0.1615✓1.0060k2022-10-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.93775.7965-2.38%5.8259-1.88%0.0034✓0.088.6M2022-10-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064170.006266-2.36%0.00631-1.67%0.0018✓0.2624k2022-10-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.1731.1455-2.34%1.1976+2.10%0.0250✗0.95423k2022-10-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5755.4461-2.31%5.519-1.00%0.0073✓1.015.1M2022-10-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.077670.075879-2.31%0.07315-5.82%0.0411✓0.22296k2022-10-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9063.816-2.30%3.865-1.05%0.0084✓1.03138k2022-10-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.061070.059676-2.28%0.06052-0.90%0.0113✓1.24754k2022-10-01
BANDBandEthereum1.191.163-2.27%1.242+4.37%0.0400✗1.26246k2022-10-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0260130.025431-2.24%0.026262+0.96%0.0347✗-0.12480k2022-10-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.4161.3845-2.22%1.462+3.25%0.0413✗0.6426k2022-10-01
CVXConvex FinanceEthereum4.7374.6336-2.18%4.788+1.08%0.0123✓1.00125k2022-10-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6257.4607-2.15%7.396-3.00%0.0307✓1.0719.0M2022-10-01
XLMStellarStellar0.118140.115603-2.15%0.121387+2.75%0.0299✗0.927.5M2022-10-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,220.838,044.53-2.14%8,075.27-1.77%0.0242✓1.363.5M2022-10-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.114.7775-2.14%14.71-2.58%0.0150✓0.51280k2022-10-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.04140.040516-2.13%0.0402-2.90%0.0304✓1.10117k2022-10-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9173.8336-2.13%3.867-1.28%0.0032✓0.581.6M2022-10-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.338.1527-2.13%8.4+0.84%0.0177✓0.602.2M2022-10-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.13590.133024-2.12%–pending––1.017772022-10-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.546.4017-2.11%6.62+1.22%0.0106✓1.1290k2022-10-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2371.211-2.10%1.244+0.57%0.0021✓1.2121k2022-10-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1390.136081-2.10%0.1402+0.86%0.0104✓0.95261k2022-10-01
COMPCompoundEthereum60.659.3332-2.09%60.92+0.53%0.0058✓1.006,9422022-10-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.64083.5649-2.08%3.8724+6.36%0.0680✗0.725.6M2022-10-01
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4255.312-2.08%5.247-3.28%0.0379✓1.256.8M2022-10-01
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0107990.010574-2.08%0.010642-1.45%0.0141✓1.001,5092022-10-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015150.001484-2.07%0.00145-4.29%0.0395✓0.804,1352022-10-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.12.0567-2.06%2-4.76%0.0396✓0.57100k2022-10-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.181.1558-2.05%1.15-2.54%0.0269✓1.0738k2022-10-01
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0153120.014999-2.05%0.015062-1.63%0.0163✓1.001,0232022-10-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.325.2116-2.04%5.08-4.51%0.0343✓0.431.9M2022-10-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022750.022287-2.03%0.0223-1.98%0.0214✓1.079.2M2022-10-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.163990.160659-2.03%0.17002+3.68%0.0423✗0.703402022-10-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.158617-2.03%0.1528-5.62%0.0595✓1.089402022-10-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.10640.104244-2.03%0.1075+1.03%0.0111✓0.96353k2022-10-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.308950.3027-2.02%0.29933-3.11%0.0317✓1.0034k2022-10-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.9087-2.01%6.01-0.33%0.0044✓0.621.7M2022-10-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.72981.6959-1.96%1.7125-1.00%0.0138✓1.1532k2022-10-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.379420.372001-1.96%0.39655+4.51%0.0515✗0.61340k2022-10-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8740.857119-1.93%0.865-1.03%0.0017✓0.532.2M2022-10-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.63813.3756-1.92%12.681-7.02%0.0794✓1.2721.7M2022-10-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.034920.034249-1.92%0.03621+3.69%0.0405✗0.741,7012022-10-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.811.7754-1.91%1.83+1.10%0.0045✓1.26165k2022-10-01
FLOWFlownative1.6781.6461-1.90%1.684+0.36%0.0051✓1.361.1M2022-10-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04180.041006-1.90%0.0419+0.24%0.0049✓0.82121k2022-10-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5910.579912-1.88%0.583-1.35%0.0147✓0.9891k2022-10-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.27690.271714-1.87%0.2774+0.18%0.0028✓0.8788k2022-10-01
SCSiacoinnative0.003560.003494-1.86%0.00346-2.81%0.0287✓0.9380k2022-10-01
QTUMQtumQtum2.8492.7964-1.84%2.8428-0.22%0.0048✓1.0422k2022-10-01
XVGVergenative0.003210.003151-1.84%0.00327+1.87%0.0187✗0.90413k2022-10-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3980.390707-1.83%0.435+9.30%0.0871✗0.996,9542022-10-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0631760.062031-1.81%0.060608-4.06%0.0413✓0.88988k2022-10-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03920.03849-1.81%0.0367-6.38%0.0648✓0.849,9472022-10-01
DIADIAEthereum0.377510.370675-1.81%0.38259+1.35%0.0123✓0.9431k2022-10-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.63620.624688-1.81%0.641+0.75%0.0038✓1.44161k2022-10-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.3982.3546-1.81%2.304-3.92%0.0385✓0.82330k2022-10-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29030.285054-1.81%0.2573-11.37%0.1247✓1.0950k2022-10-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.74050.727126-1.81%0.7596+2.58%0.0216✗1.08632k2022-10-01
METISMetisEthereum24.6624.2164-1.80%23.78-3.57%0.0494✓1.52120k2022-10-01
NANOnanopayBase0.7960.781688-1.80%0.756668-4.94%0.0510✓0.9044k2022-10-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85160.836381-1.79%0.8487-0.34%0.0186✓1.6275k2022-10-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10060.098824-1.77%0.0975-3.08%0.0427✓1.431.9M2022-10-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4510.443149-1.74%0.47+4.21%0.0361✗1.1176k2022-10-01
PROPropyEthereum0.60.589573-1.74%0.62+3.33%0.0465✗0.1933k2022-10-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.13010.127853-1.73%0.1274-2.08%0.0243✓1.0187k2022-10-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0196850.019345-1.73%0.019244-2.24%0.0205✓0.7412k2022-10-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum12.712.4815-1.72%12.55-1.18%0.0171✓1.10773k2022-10-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.7391.7094-1.70%1.71-1.67%0.0245✓1.2119k2022-10-01
STXStacksnative0.33170.326116-1.68%0.3236-2.44%0.0290✓1.03203k2022-10-01
SOLSolanaSolana33.3832.8224-1.67%32.44-2.82%0.0378✓1.2737.4M2022-10-01
STEEMSteemnative0.22680.223027-1.66%0.2184-3.70%0.0390✓0.88543k2022-10-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.147040.144595-1.66%0.14707+0.02%0.0044✓1.04282k2022-10-01
HIVEHivenative0.50080.492486-1.66%0.4885-2.46%0.0197✓0.57772k2022-10-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124330.122274-1.65%0.12837+3.25%0.0280✗1.01110k2022-10-01
DODODODOEthereum0.12780.125689-1.65%0.1299+1.64%0.0100✓1.121.1M2022-10-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08240.081053-1.63%0.0814-1.21%0.0139✓0.899,4762022-10-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6070.597083-1.63%0.575-5.27%0.0599✓1.09166k2022-10-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.246020.242003-1.63%0.2342-4.80%0.0508✓0.8821k2022-10-01
LSKLiskEthereum0.9485520.933275-1.61%0.950166+0.17%0.0011✓0.8230k2022-10-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011240.00001106-1.61%0.00001117-0.62%0.0094✓0.94683k2022-10-01
XECeCashnative0.000039740.000039103-1.60%0.00004093+2.99%0.0283✗0.854.2M2022-10-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007080.006967-1.59%0.00694-1.98%0.0277✓1.16374k2022-10-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.081.0629-1.58%1.053-2.50%0.0296✓0.991.1M2022-10-01
DASHDashDash41.640.9453-1.57%41.74+0.34%0.0028✓1.08233k2022-10-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.5781.5532-1.57%1.65+4.56%0.0379✗1.10378k2022-10-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.41530.408826-1.56%0.4123-0.72%0.0092✓0.86392k2022-10-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.88760.873801-1.55%0.8364-5.77%0.0694✓1.25868k2022-10-01
ADACardanoCardano0.45110.444089-1.55%0.4302-4.63%0.0519✓0.9833.8M2022-10-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0580.057108-1.54%0.0618+6.55%0.0602✗0.9161k2022-10-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6313.4212-1.53%14.94+9.61%0.0859✗1.042.1M2022-10-01
OPTIMOptimism0.9190.904951-1.53%0.895-2.61%0.0429✓1.552.4M2022-10-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum18,988.8018,698.99-1.53%19,312.20+1.70%0.0134✓0.9211k2022-10-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2724840.268343-1.52%0.267716-1.75%0.0241✓1.06378k2022-10-01
ZENHorizenBase14.0913.8763-1.52%13.91-1.28%0.0226✓1.2260k2022-10-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.0575.9652-1.52%6.115+0.96%0.0059✓0.923.3M2022-10-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001534-1.52%0.001553-0.32%0.0002✓0.60330k2022-10-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.3810.37525-1.51%0.33018-13.34%0.1468✓0.92392k2022-10-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.470.462915-1.51%0.45-4.26%0.0530✓1.2163k2022-10-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.006970.006866-1.50%0.00692-0.72%0.0117✓0.962.9M2022-10-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.29990.295406-1.50%0.2852-4.90%0.0560✓1.0259k2022-10-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.29670.292272-1.49%0.294-0.91%0.0164✓1.0946k2022-10-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0374610.036907-1.48%0.037831+0.99%0.0119✓0.6224k2022-10-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0232.9784-1.48%3.01-0.43%0.0056✓0.24886k2022-10-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0022110.002178-1.48%0.001984-10.27%0.1141✓1.011.8M2022-10-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.941.9116-1.46%2.22+14.43%0.1369✗0.6259k2022-10-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13180.129892-1.45%0.1265-4.02%0.0429✓0.80173k2022-10-01
MOVRMoonriverBase10.810410.6545-1.44%10.8134+0.03%0.0043✓0.9318k2022-10-01
XEMNEMnative0.040640.040058-1.43%0.040211-1.06%0.0162✓0.9823k2022-10-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.11880.117108-1.42%0.1166-1.85%0.0139✓0.4793k2022-10-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.26954.209-1.42%4.1099-3.74%0.0285✓0.23215k2022-10-01
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,270.061,252.27-1.40%1,277.85+0.61%0.0027✓1.123.4M2022-10-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2520.248472-1.40%0.251-0.40%0.0060✓0.79404k2022-10-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20520.202327-1.40%0.1932-5.85%0.0652✓0.9350k2022-10-01
XTZTezosTezos1.47841.4578-1.39%1.4096-4.65%0.0546✓1.02186k2022-10-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08640.0852-1.39%0.0709-17.94%0.1950✓0.55164k2022-10-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04060.040036-1.39%0.04021-0.96%0.0129✓0.8415k2022-10-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.6628.2643-1.38%27.56-3.84%0.0587✓1.639.4M2022-10-01
FTTFTXEthereum23.6823.3548-1.37%24.28+2.53%0.0185✗0.997.6M2022-10-01
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR3.6983.6473-1.37%3.555-3.87%0.0462✓1.00910k2022-10-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.379.2421-1.37%9.03-3.63%0.0505✓1.33168k2022-10-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.30748.6357-1.36%48.352-1.94%0.0246✓0.92204k2022-10-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06390.063041-1.34%0.06222-2.63%0.0281✓0.731,0282022-10-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3681.3497-1.34%1.495+9.28%0.0796✗1.1047k2022-10-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27880.27508-1.33%0.2929+5.06%0.0423✗1.003.1M2022-10-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03350.033054-1.33%0.0337+0.60%0.0007✓0.9884k2022-10-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9233.871-1.33%3.844-2.01%0.0146✓0.371.3M2022-10-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.16970.167451-1.33%0.1584-6.66%0.0763✓1.0161k2022-10-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.454.3911-1.32%4.59+3.15%0.0319✗0.601.0M2022-10-01
TRXTRONTron0.0599220.059133-1.32%0.060458+0.89%0.0120✓0.50129k2022-10-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.30e-78.19e-7-1.31%7.80e-7-6.02%0.0634✓0.7115k2022-10-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10010.098793-1.31%0.0988-1.30%0.0160✓0.79250k2022-10-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05530.054582-1.30%0.0574+3.80%0.0240✗1.28470k2022-10-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9310.918996-1.29%0.918-1.40%0.0229✓1.061.4M2022-10-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.31970.315593-1.28%0.3179-0.56%0.0079✓0.74157k2022-10-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09080.089638-1.28%0.0889-2.09%0.0240✓0.772,6232022-10-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.276.1906-1.27%6.27+0.00%0.0101✓1.119.4M2022-10-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.803860.793693-1.26%0.79092-1.61%0.0191✓0.7614k2022-10-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.707940.699087-1.25%0.6934-2.05%0.0302✓1.08519k2022-10-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.4024-1.24%1.51+6.34%0.0705✗0.1770k2022-10-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.92130.909945-1.23%0.8922-3.16%0.0496✓1.463.5M2022-10-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.021710.021443-1.23%0.02421+11.52%0.1044✗0.832,7972022-10-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.004930.00487-1.23%0.00488-1.01%0.0119✓0.68878k2022-10-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.0691.0559-1.22%1.0737+0.44%0.0053✓1.071.2M2022-10-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36260.358179-1.22%0.3601-0.69%0.0200✓1.2445k2022-10-01
BTTCBTTC7.90e-77.80e-7-1.22%7.70e-7-2.53%0.0279✓0.711.7M2022-10-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010570.001044-1.21%0.001017-3.79%0.0435✓0.831.3M2022-10-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.004970.004911-1.19%0.005185+4.32%0.0413✗0.631,5952022-10-01
XMRMoneroMonero141.98140.3045-1.18%141.19-0.56%0.0123✓0.911.3M2022-10-01
ZECZcashZcash55.6454.9852-1.18%55.29-0.63%0.0166✓1.081.1M2022-10-01
KSMKusamaHydration41.1440.6599-1.17%42.05+2.21%0.0123✗1.04318k2022-10-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.6521.6329-1.16%1.551-6.11%0.0827✓1.5245k2022-10-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43690.431914-1.14%0.4257-2.56%0.0351✓1.01302k2022-10-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.4795.4169-1.13%5.348-2.39%0.0238✓0.542.2M2022-10-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.465990.460837-1.11%0.44961-3.52%0.0488✓1.1824k2022-10-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05440.053804-1.09%0.0511-6.07%0.0653✓0.6772k2022-10-01
GITCOINGITCOIN1.81741.7977-1.08%1.8481+1.69%0.0056✓1.0814k2022-10-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,923.2018,722.30-1.06%19,315.27+2.07%0.0107✗1.00493.0M2022-10-01
KCSKuCoinnative8.9098.8146-1.06%9.104+2.19%0.0172✗0.741.2M2022-10-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11320.112017-1.04%0.1192+5.30%0.0405✗1.062.2M2022-10-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.6221-1.03%4.94+5.78%0.0488✗0.86710k2022-10-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.03790.037514-1.02%0.039+2.90%0.0142✗1.20529k2022-10-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030060.029754-1.02%0.03043+1.23%0.0007✓1.1316k2022-10-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.91690.907577-1.02%0.8901-2.92%0.0292✓0.471.9M2022-10-01
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7945.7366-0.99%6.395+10.37%0.0811✗1.346.4M2022-10-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.9514.8059-0.96%15.64+4.62%0.0370✗0.871.3M2022-10-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.010370.010276-0.91%0.00985-5.01%0.0525✓0.50173k2022-10-01
GTGateEthereum4.24794.2102-0.89%4.2897+0.98%0.0061✓0.61677k2022-10-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.617.4441-0.89%16.96-3.64%0.0555✓1.3315.3M2022-10-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.04640.045992-0.88%0.0469+1.08%0.0051✓0.70219k2022-10-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.26116.3645-0.76%117.14-0.10%0.0179✓1.203.4M2022-10-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17520.17391-0.74%0.1692-3.42%0.0462✓0.9195k2022-10-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019240.019111-0.67%0.01863-3.17%0.0371✓0.57124k2022-10-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062770.062362-0.65%0.05979-4.75%0.0598✓0.8626k2022-10-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,317.251,309.22-0.61%1,311.76-0.42%0.0248✓1.30536.5M2022-10-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0117960.011725-0.60%0.011796+0.00%0.0120✓0.88793k2022-10-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3870.384738-0.58%0.37-4.39%0.0648✓1.262,6282022-10-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.4353.118-0.58%52.93-0.94%0.0230✓0.9515.7M2022-10-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5640.560897-0.55%0.576+2.13%0.0062✗0.992.5M2022-10-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.16350.162708-0.48%0.136-16.82%0.1854✓0.3056k2022-10-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.412.4-0.41%2.32-3.73%0.0634✓1.442.1M2022-10-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000225730.000224997-0.32%0.00033439+48.14%0.3952✗0.054.2M2022-10-01
AAVEAaveEthereum74.9474.7288-0.28%74.55-0.52%0.0320✓1.445.0M2022-10-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.04e-75.02e-7-0.27%5.86e-7+16.35%0.1388✗0.751.2M2022-10-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.19611.195-0.09%1.1718-2.03%0.0340✓0.701.2M2022-10-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.