8=======>

2022-09-14 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0795
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 93.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.73%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9283.4328-0.58%71.58-14.70%0.0213✓1.446.2M2022-09-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.623141-0.77%0.542-13.69%0.0437✓1.053.2M2022-09-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.020247-0.85%0.01932-5.39%0.0042✓0.56173k2022-09-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.438936-0.92%0.35-20.99%0.1184✓1.184,5592022-09-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.792-1.00%2.02+11.60%0.1615✗0.4656k2022-09-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.012246-1.00%0.01042-15.76%0.1062✓0.61233k2022-09-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.01206-1.01%0.011185-8.19%0.0041✓0.87851k2022-09-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.195395-1.07%0.1706-13.62%0.0487✓0.95130k2022-09-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.509012-1.07%0.44504-13.50%0.0024✓1.5039k2022-09-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,621.38-1.08%1,245.65-24.01%0.1456✓1.29569.9M2022-09-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.070114-1.11%0.06177-12.88%0.0388✓0.9625k2022-09-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.20742-1.18%0.172-18.06%0.1366✓0.5666k2022-09-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.259.4689-1.21%51.08-15.15%0.0663✓0.9414.4M2022-09-21
GTGateEthereum4.30854.2554-1.23%4.1321-4.09%0.0338✗0.69696k2022-09-21
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.6108-1.27%4.4-5.78%0.0277✗0.82808k2022-09-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01731.0041-1.30%0.8937-12.15%0.0755✓0.452.8M2022-09-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.022928-1.34%0.02131-8.30%0.0243✗1.072,9142022-09-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.3689.2411-1.35%8.775-6.33%0.0256✗0.851.2M2022-09-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.057411-1.36%0.0524-9.97%0.0211✓0.7782k2022-09-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.904504-1.36%0.871-5.02%0.0601✗1.071.5M2022-09-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1217.8729-1.36%13.34-26.38%0.2253✓0.741.4M2022-09-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.6605-1.37%4.929-14.11%0.0921✓0.513.1M2022-09-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.128689-1.39%0.1218-6.67%0.0074✓0.5283k2022-09-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99118.2759-1.43%108.98-9.18%0.0194✗1.114.3M2022-09-21
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.060762-1.43%0.059212-3.95%0.0133✓0.43129k2022-09-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0019,968.10-1.44%18,203.70-10.15%0.0095✓0.9113k2022-09-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3895-1.45%1.39-1.42%0.0169✓-0.19113k2022-09-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.8505-1.46%16.54-13.54%0.0089✓1.3317.5M2022-09-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.267878-1.48%0.2516-7.47%0.0262✗0.972.7M2022-09-21
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.216193-1.51%0.208-5.24%0.0433✗0.90504k2022-09-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001532-1.51%0.001531-1.61%0.0672✗0.75340k2022-09-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6777-1.52%2.286-15.92%0.0206✓1.512.9M2022-09-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.31789-1.52%0.38128+18.11%0.2522✗0.77326k2022-09-21
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.67e-7-1.53%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0550✓0.691.7M2022-09-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.065721-1.53%0.06031-9.63%0.0004✓0.958692022-09-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9517-1.53%3.59-10.54%0.0648✓0.342.0M2022-09-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.208619-1.55%0.1888-10.90%0.0163✓0.9257k2022-09-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.093819-1.55%0.09-5.56%0.0279✗0.762,9132022-09-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.66e-7-1.55%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0415✓0.7015k2022-09-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.036029-1.56%0.0323-11.75%0.0178✓1.0093k2022-09-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005882-1.56%0.004956-17.06%0.1160✓0.611,9622022-09-21
ZECZcashZcash61.9660.9898-1.57%53.54-13.59%0.0328✓1.071.1M2022-09-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7719,910.02-1.57%18,462.64-8.73%0.0158✓1.00480.9M2022-09-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.3107-1.58%4.2-4.11%0.0208✗0.511.4M2022-09-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.8408-1.59%8.8-12.00%0.0061✓1.29288k2022-09-21
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.12291-1.59%0.1199-4.00%0.0756✗1.101.4M2022-09-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.4425-1.60%1.311-10.57%0.0060✓1.1168k2022-09-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.7848-1.61%1.583-12.73%0.0270✗1.6160k2022-09-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.7998-1.62%4.3216-11.42%0.0953✓0.11135k2022-09-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.093457-1.62%0.0964+1.47%0.1214✗0.99319k2022-09-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.185803-1.64%0.169-10.53%0.0015✓1.0286k2022-09-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36651.5067-1.64%47.682-8.94%0.0006✓0.85221k2022-09-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.060119-1.65%0.057369-6.14%0.0380✗0.931.1M2022-09-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.883638-1.67%0.8154-9.26%0.0286✗1.19874k2022-09-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.731902-1.67%0.68363-8.15%0.0284✗1.06584k2022-09-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.160939-1.69%0.1377-15.88%0.0549✓1.111,5602022-09-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005515-1.70%0.00487-13.19%0.0674✓0.62911k2022-09-21
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057111.8518-1.70%10.5504-12.50%0.0312✓0.9321k2022-09-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.479929-1.71%0.4173-14.54%0.0484✓1.00366k2022-09-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.105735-1.73%0.098-8.92%0.0004✓0.83188k2022-09-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.04235-1.74%0.03911-9.26%0.0085✓0.7814k2022-09-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.12302-1.74%0.1083-13.50%0.0330✓1.032.6M2022-09-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000011977-1.75%0.00001039-14.77%0.0547✓0.96951k2022-09-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.035674-1.75%0.03345-7.88%0.0007✓0.712,2982022-09-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.160612-1.75%0.13996-14.39%0.0444✓1.02262k2022-09-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1826.0731-1.76%5.338-13.65%0.0070✓1.346.9M2022-09-21
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.373319-1.77%0.37235-2.02%0.0844✗0.9529k2022-09-21
KSMKusamaHydration47.5846.7394-1.77%40.18-15.55%0.0641✓0.95363k2022-09-21
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.5819-1.77%1.4095-12.48%0.0233✓1.01236k2022-09-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.059611-1.79%0.0569-6.26%0.0506✗1.0677k2022-09-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.288588-1.80%0.260294-11.42%0.0097✓1.02430k2022-09-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.042224-1.80%0.0371-13.72%0.0243✓1.15546k2022-09-21
ZENHorizenBase15.114.8245-1.82%13.3-11.92%0.0023✓1.1675k2022-09-21
SOLSolanaSolana34.1233.4938-1.84%30.68-10.08%0.0198✗1.1852.2M2022-09-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1093.0515-1.85%2.88-7.37%0.0288✓0.32676k2022-09-21
XMRMoneroMonero149.8147.0175-1.86%135.48-9.56%0.0080✓0.981.5M2022-09-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0507-1.86%0.8625-19.44%0.0629✓1.474.5M2022-09-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.033779-1.86%0.02917-15.25%0.0499✓1.0629k2022-09-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.498492-1.87%0.455-10.43%0.0161✓1.1870k2022-09-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.067466-1.88%0.0672-2.27%0.0142✓0.20351k2022-09-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.01710.997937-1.89%0.916656-9.88%0.0119✓0.8039k2022-09-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.1905-1.91%5.909-6.37%0.0396✗0.944.3M2022-09-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.133712-1.91%0.12-11.97%0.0049✓1.13146k2022-09-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1661-1.92%1.0124-14.85%0.0447✓1.061.2M2022-09-21
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.041893-1.92%0.038758-9.26%0.0046✓0.9028k2022-09-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.600222-1.92%0.563-8.01%0.0278✗1.01178k2022-09-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001201-1.94%0.001013-17.27%0.0998✓0.772.1M2022-09-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.5062-1.94%1.458-5.08%0.0308✗0.6929k2022-09-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.661896-1.96%0.598-11.42%0.0359✗1.50194k2022-09-21
DASHDashDash45.5844.6812-1.97%39.84-12.59%0.0193✓1.04299k2022-09-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.039656-1.98%0.036939-8.69%0.0182✓0.5824k2022-09-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.370131-1.98%0.3067-18.78%0.1002✓0.96202k2022-09-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.054206-1.98%0.0454-17.90%0.1132✓0.70234k2022-09-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.398139-1.98%0.3588-11.67%0.0003✓1.1466k2022-09-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.1438-1.99%1.03-11.74%0.0229✓0.901.1M2022-09-21
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.471446-1.99%0.4389-8.75%0.0151✓0.9536.8M2022-09-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.303-2.00%1.92-18.30%0.1275✓0.60200k2022-09-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6914.3963-2.00%13.46-8.37%0.0118✓0.871.9M2022-09-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.7521-2.01%5.55-5.45%0.0107✓0.512.1M2022-09-21
QNTQuantEthereum99.0597.0543-2.01%100.7+1.67%0.1169✗0.883.5M2022-09-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.8586-2.01%3.588-8.89%0.0275✓0.492.1M2022-09-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.145703-2.02%0.13-12.58%0.0118✓1.128922022-09-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.103088-2.02%0.110695+5.21%0.1493✗0.866.5M2022-09-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001499-2.03%0.001377-10.00%0.0141✓0.785,8832022-09-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.262523-2.04%0.246-8.21%0.0037✓0.75512k2022-09-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.404493-2.05%0.3965-3.99%0.0698✗0.98379k2022-09-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.795105-2.05%0.75889-6.51%0.0229✗0.7613k2022-09-21
HIVEHivenative0.55510.543712-2.05%0.4905-11.64%0.0513✓0.57836k2022-09-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.089512-2.07%0.0794-13.13%0.0439✓0.8310k2022-09-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1024.9964-2.07%5.793+13.54%0.2599✗1.236.4M2022-09-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.332356-2.08%0.2884-15.03%0.0508✓1.0079k2022-09-21
FTTFTXEthereum25.524.9703-2.08%22.71-10.94%0.0031✓1.016.8M2022-09-21
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,514.65-2.09%1,207.28-21.96%0.1355✓1.003.3M2022-09-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.020167-2.10%0.02112+2.52%0.1310✗0.939.2M2022-09-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0291.9859-2.12%1.682-17.10%0.0625✓1.1327k2022-09-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.5584-2.13%2.296-12.17%0.0320✓0.83464k2022-09-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02441.9809-2.15%1.7738-12.38%0.0100✓1.1013k2022-09-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.421721-2.15%0.397-7.89%0.0381✗1.087,9852022-09-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.296652-2.16%0.3352+10.55%0.2074✗0.935.9M2022-09-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.008316-2.16%0.00682-19.76%0.1170✓0.893.3M2022-09-21
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003805-2.18%0.00342-12.08%0.0226✓0.9289k2022-09-21
PROPropyEthereum0.720.704253-2.19%0.63-12.50%0.0917✓0.2242k2022-09-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.058778-2.20%0.055-8.49%0.0451✗1.22608k2022-09-21
XVGVergenative0.003370.003296-2.21%0.00321-4.75%0.0544✗0.88483k2022-09-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.832675-2.21%0.8507-0.09%0.1461✗1.3789k2022-09-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.26.0629-2.21%5.89-5.00%0.0105✓0.432.1M2022-09-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.006185-2.22%0.006319-0.09%0.0510✗0.3229k2022-09-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.038229-2.23%0.035-10.49%0.0218✓0.739,5132022-09-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.045461-2.23%0.0411-11.61%0.0247✓0.83142k2022-09-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.6268-2.24%1.487-10.64%0.0105✓0.87578k2022-09-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.136759-2.25%0.1248-10.79%0.0006✓1.00119k2022-09-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.3826-2.28%5.3357+18.97%0.3168✗1.31118k2022-09-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.2048-2.35%4.93-7.50%0.0123✓0.462.4M2022-09-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.318379-2.37%0.28908-11.36%0.0033✓1.0233k2022-09-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.6425-2.37%13.395-4.14%0.0932✗1.2220.3M2022-09-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.7657-2.38%1.6506-8.75%0.0317✗1.0928k2022-09-21
STXStacksnative0.35220.343814-2.38%0.3221-8.55%0.0313✗1.06298k2022-09-21
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.4101-2.39%3.64-19.43%0.1006✓1.001.4M2022-09-21
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.849697-2.41%0.785702-9.76%0.0027✓0.8347k2022-09-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.086.9083-2.43%6.28-11.30%0.0001✓1.04210k2022-09-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.328408-2.43%0.2926-13.07%0.0162✓1.0972k2022-09-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.473417-2.45%0.4207-13.31%0.0450✓0.80396k2022-09-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.09633.0197-2.47%2.7487-11.23%0.0025✓1.0019k2022-09-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.8899-2.48%1.216-37.25%0.3796✓0.671.5M2022-09-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.058991-2.48%0.05474-9.51%0.0333✗1.181.1M2022-09-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.802988-2.48%0.7438-9.67%0.0229✓1.09920k2022-09-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3112.9772-2.50%11.82-11.19%0.0062✓1.09874k2022-09-21
METISMetisEthereum27.5826.8865-2.51%23.03-16.50%0.0145✓1.54155k2022-09-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.007846-2.54%0.00702-12.80%0.0077✓1.13463k2022-09-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.4029-2.54%5.2376-5.52%0.0222✓0.109.6M2022-09-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.277664-2.57%0.2521-11.54%0.0040✓1.0172k2022-09-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.187431-2.58%0.2287+18.87%0.2812✗0.903.1M2022-09-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2087.0207-2.60%6.125-15.02%0.0412✓1.049.9M2022-09-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.020148-2.63%0.019175-7.34%0.0099✓0.6512k2022-09-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-76.41e-7-2.64%5.15e-7-21.67%0.1451✓0.792.1M2022-09-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.261772-2.69%0.23945-10.99%0.0121✓0.8415k2022-09-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9816.5216-2.70%15.17-10.66%0.0355✓0.55384k2022-09-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.110703-2.72%0.0951-16.43%0.1092✓0.47182k2022-09-21
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.312161-2.72%0.3328+3.71%0.1512✗0.957782022-09-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.498915-2.75%0.445-13.26%0.0123✓1.1266k2022-09-21
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011409-2.75%0.010823-7.74%0.0386✗1.007452022-09-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.2486-2.81%6.682-10.40%0.0169✓1.0818.0M2022-09-21
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0958.3991-2.81%58.27-3.03%0.0965✗1.088,4972022-09-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.300861-2.82%0.273-11.82%0.0133✓0.9289k2022-09-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.025224-2.82%0.026042+0.33%0.0278✓-0.04485k2022-09-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.8304-2.83%5.7947-3.42%0.0169✓0.2512.5M2022-09-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002789-2.89%0.002142-25.42%0.1807✓0.911.2M2022-09-21
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.2205-2.90%1.098-12.65%0.0031✓1.19303k2022-09-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.7219-2.91%3.3008-13.90%0.0637✓0.626.3M2022-09-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.109477-2.95%0.0932-17.38%0.0446✓1.272.4M2022-09-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.1707-2.96%7.72-8.31%0.0084✓0.532.4M2022-09-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3738.1959-2.98%27.69-29.67%0.1838✓1.5110.6M2022-09-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.3456-2.99%1.186-14.49%0.0203✓1.1643k2022-09-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.900296-2.99%0.868-6.47%0.0062✓0.472.5M2022-09-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.143736-3.01%0.1316-11.20%0.0025✓0.94322k2022-09-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2889-3.09%1.14-14.29%0.0336✓0.9856k2022-09-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.34.1662-3.11%3.91-9.07%0.0205✓0.92223k2022-09-21
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000044722-3.12%0.00003771-18.31%0.0949✓0.833.5M2022-09-21
FLOWFlownative1.8681.8094-3.14%1.622-13.17%0.0136✓1.35967k2022-09-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.1899-3.15%1.2073-1.73%0.1098✗1.04844k2022-09-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.041.9745-3.21%1.8-11.76%0.0242✓1.28226k2022-09-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17210.811-3.23%12.016+7.55%0.1378✗0.3515.8M2022-09-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.611471-3.25%0.573-9.34%0.0262✓1.00114k2022-09-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.047082-3.32%0.0405-16.84%0.0551✓1.05177k2022-09-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.008,887.65-3.33%7,985.43-13.15%0.0143✓1.334.0M2022-09-21
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.016534-3.57%0.01435-16.31%0.0504✓1.001,0682022-09-21
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.17-3.78%0.892-26.64%0.1282✓1.572.7M2022-09-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.7132-4.06%5.248-11.87%0.0032✓0.975.9M2022-09-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000287687-4.24%0.0002847-5.23%0.0091✓0.012.4M2022-09-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.1934-5.43%0.1289-36.97%0.3353✓0.7730k2022-09-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.