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2022-09-13 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2066
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.4%
in alpha space · 89.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000335703-6.24%0.00030158-15.77%0.1008✓0.102.4M2022-09-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.186446-5.02%0.1266-35.51%0.3362✓0.7730k2022-09-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.6338-4.04%5.315-9.47%0.0062✓0.976.2M2022-09-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.330504-4.03%0.2776-19.40%0.1151✓0.8989k2022-09-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.9569-3.84%5.691-21.34%0.1817✓0.2912.2M2022-09-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09211.6309-3.81%12.095+0.02%0.0636✗0.3715.8M2022-09-20
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1384-3.69%0.919-22.25%0.1076✓1.602.8M2022-09-20
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016599-3.56%0.014956-13.10%0.0377✓1.001,0292022-09-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,718.01-3.32%8,456.46-6.22%0.0592✗1.354.1M2022-09-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.589774-3.32%0.573-6.07%0.0405✗1.04114k2022-09-20
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8354.0023-3.27%55.12-1.27%0.0959✗1.138,6412022-09-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.2027-3.24%1.202-3.29%0.0719✗1.09922k2022-09-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.9653-3.19%1.82-10.34%0.0038✓1.21227k2022-09-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.4742-3.15%7.69-12.11%0.0600✓0.562.4M2022-09-20
FISStafiEthereum0.350.338967-3.15%0.3049-12.89%0.0423✓0.961,1592022-09-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.046412-3.11%0.0414-13.57%0.0410✓1.10177k2022-09-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.74e-7-3.10%5.21e-7-25.17%0.2012✓0.862.2M2022-09-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.139941-3.09%0.1355-6.16%0.0325✗0.97336k2022-09-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2124.0821-3.08%3.942-6.41%0.0262✓0.92245k2022-09-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13214.0064-3.04%3.4018-17.67%0.1200✓0.667.3M2022-09-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.2609-3.01%1.16-10.77%0.0157✓1.0258k2022-09-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.893319-3.01%0.882-4.23%0.0178✓0.462.7M2022-09-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.3677-3.00%1.234-12.48%0.0235✓1.1943k2022-09-20
FLOWFlownative1.8641.8082-2.99%1.681-9.82%0.0196✓1.39967k2022-09-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.10502-2.94%0.0967-10.63%0.0029✓1.282.5M2022-09-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.5519-2.94%4.91-14.16%0.0882✓0.522.0M2022-09-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.50508-2.87%0.457-12.12%0.0263✓1.1166k2022-09-20
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.2083-2.87%1.141-8.28%0.0237✓1.22323k2022-09-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.289505-2.85%0.274-8.05%0.0092✓0.9774k2022-09-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.03916-2.83%0.0361-10.42%0.0291✓0.799,5132022-09-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.3943-2.82%5.3237-19.09%0.1724✓0.169.1M2022-09-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.259564-2.76%0.24603-7.83%0.0052✓0.8815k2022-09-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.816.3441-2.71%15.28-9.05%0.0297✓0.57396k2022-09-20
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000042758-2.71%0.00003816-13.17%0.0585✓0.833.0M2022-09-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2934.3374-2.70%29.12-17.48%0.0648✓1.5010.6M2022-09-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.107444-2.68%0.0859-22.19%0.1863✓0.56182k2022-09-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002752-2.65%0.002359-16.55%0.0939✓0.901.2M2022-09-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.18828-2.65%0.2401+24.15%0.3045✗0.923.2M2022-09-20
METISMetisEthereum27.927.1622-2.64%23.56-15.56%0.0401✓1.54159k2022-09-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.7397-2.63%1.6911-5.35%0.0445✗1.1025k2022-09-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.8404-2.63%6.884-2.01%0.0798✗1.1118.0M2022-09-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.024045-2.62%0.0273+10.56%0.1298✗0.04471k2022-09-20
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.01071-2.62%0.010289-6.45%0.0264✓1.006682022-09-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.9073-2.62%1.3011-33.57%0.3343✓0.721.5M2022-09-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.8872-2.59%6.287-11.07%0.0176✓1.1110.0M2022-09-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007755-2.57%0.00712-10.55%0.0122✓1.10463k2022-09-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.9467-2.53%2.8783-4.80%0.0437✗1.0120k2022-09-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019682-2.52%0.019648-2.69%0.0401✗0.6312k2022-09-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.322496-2.51%0.3-9.31%0.0010✓1.1072k2022-09-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.786699-2.47%0.76-5.78%0.0394✗1.11946k2022-09-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.8554-2.46%12.43-5.69%0.0411✗1.12925k2022-09-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.474557-2.45%0.4262-12.39%0.0534✓0.81422k2022-09-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.163341-2.41%0.15884-5.10%0.0186✓0.703542022-09-20
XVGVergenative0.003370.003289-2.40%0.00324-3.86%0.0472✗0.94483k2022-09-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6398-2.39%1.498-10.83%0.0277✓0.94627k2022-09-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.3153-2.39%5.9-8.81%0.0358✓0.482.1M2022-09-20
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.3127-2.38%3.821-13.51%0.0546✓1.001.4M2022-09-20
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.4942-2.36%4.9996+8.62%0.1944✗1.32118k2022-09-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.5695-2.36%13.903+0.04%0.1073✗1.2520.3M2022-09-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.058108-2.36%0.05683-4.50%0.0576✗1.201.2M2022-09-20
STXStacksnative0.34970.3415-2.34%0.336-3.92%0.0540✗1.06313k2022-09-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.8067-2.34%6.32-9.33%0.0042✓1.05224k2022-09-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.391525-2.31%0.3108-22.46%0.1648✓0.99202k2022-09-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.313962-2.31%0.29941-6.84%0.0211✓1.0333k2022-09-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.152535-2.28%0.1359-12.94%0.0371✓1.189132022-09-20
HIVEHivenative0.55040.537916-2.27%0.5094-7.45%0.0144✓0.60871k2022-09-20
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.3033-2.27%23.34-9.85%0.0144✓1.006.8M2022-09-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9876-2.23%1.8224-10.35%0.0162✓1.0613k2022-09-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.42433-2.23%0.422-2.76%0.0637✗1.047,9852022-09-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.827621-2.21%0.8513+0.59%0.1264✗1.4894k2022-09-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.136137-2.20%0.1288-7.47%0.0096✓0.98128k2022-09-20
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1365.0241-2.18%5.729+11.55%0.2183✗1.316.4M2022-09-20
PROPropyEthereum0.710.694532-2.18%0.63-11.27%0.0812✓0.2442k2022-09-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.006081-2.18%0.006298+1.32%0.0572✗0.3330k2022-09-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.044222-2.16%0.0414-8.41%0.0093✓0.85142k2022-09-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008326-2.16%0.00707-16.92%0.1036✓0.903.3M2022-09-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.290215-2.15%0.3295+11.09%0.1904✗0.956.0M2022-09-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.9886-2.15%5.52-9.80%0.0471✓0.522.1M2022-09-20
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.807112-2.14%0.77688-5.80%0.0106✓0.7313k2022-09-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.5622-2.13%2.331-10.96%0.0412✓0.80523k2022-09-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.9952-2.13%3.631-11.05%0.0617✓0.512.3M2022-09-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.411082-2.13%0.39427-6.13%0.0204✓0.93392k2022-09-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.057763-2.10%0.0554-6.10%0.0379✗1.20568k2022-09-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9797-2.09%1.779-12.02%0.0275✓1.1930k2022-09-20
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,440.63-2.09%1,283.51-12.77%0.0490✓1.003.4M2022-09-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001499-2.08%0.001404-8.30%0.0208✓0.676,5532022-09-20
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003731-2.07%0.00348-8.66%0.0075✓0.9495k2022-09-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.257567-2.07%0.252-4.18%0.0270✗0.74534k2022-09-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1285-2.04%1.066-7.47%0.0051✓0.931.1M2022-09-20
QNTQuantEthereum97.8795.8828-2.03%101.37+3.58%0.1172✗0.933.5M2022-09-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.2353-2.03%13.44-7.50%0.0042✓0.931.8M2022-09-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.102538-2.02%0.117297+12.08%0.1923✗0.876.5M2022-09-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.020022-2.00%0.02253+10.28%0.1863✗1.039.7M2022-09-20
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2737-1.99%1.93-16.81%0.1234✓0.61247k2022-09-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.043224-1.99%0.0372-15.65%0.0730✓1.16546k2022-09-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1474-1.95%1.0353-11.54%0.0301✓1.091.1M2022-09-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001212-1.95%0.001057-14.48%0.0831✓0.812.2M2022-09-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.132136-1.95%0.12096-10.24%0.0125✓1.14151k2022-09-20
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.039097-1.94%0.0384-3.69%0.0181✓0.5423k2022-09-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.393617-1.94%0.3721-7.30%0.0199✗1.1467k2022-09-20
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.041347-1.94%0.039923-5.31%0.0247✗0.9028k2022-09-20
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.373782-1.94%0.38944+2.17%0.1044✗0.9531k2022-09-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.2768-1.93%5.923-7.45%0.0063✓0.974.3M2022-09-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.067816-1.90%0.0637-7.85%0.0494✓0.20354k2022-09-20
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.454892-1.90%0.4423-4.62%0.0361✗0.9738.3M2022-09-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.583735-1.89%0.6+0.84%0.0937✗1.00178k2022-09-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.9973-1.89%2.911-4.71%0.0033✓0.39759k2022-09-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.648226-1.87%0.6151-6.89%0.0467✗1.49210k2022-09-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.984022-1.87%0.951207-5.14%0.0173✓0.7741k2022-09-20
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.830508-1.86%0.776851-8.20%0.0109✓0.8446k2022-09-20
DASHDashDash43.7742.9551-1.86%40.65-7.13%0.0133✓1.03312k2022-09-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035803-1.85%0.03363-7.81%0.0154✓0.712,2982022-09-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.159841-1.84%0.14425-11.42%0.0337✓1.04271k2022-09-20
XMRMoneroMonero145.44142.7839-1.83%142.45-2.06%0.0635✗0.991.4M2022-09-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.033055-1.83%0.03003-10.81%0.0263✓1.0532k2022-09-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0334-1.82%0.9445-10.26%0.0080✓1.474.5M2022-09-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.083264-1.81%0.0826-2.59%0.0562✗0.9711k2022-09-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.48408-1.81%0.473-4.06%0.0556✗1.1877k2022-09-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.284181-1.80%0.268268-7.30%0.0072✓0.97487k2022-09-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.134053-1.79%0.1242-9.01%0.0416✓0.5283k2022-09-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.105695-1.77%0.0976-9.29%0.0235✓0.84188k2022-09-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.5258-1.75%1.469-5.41%0.0082✓0.6929k2022-09-20
SOLSolanaSolana33.0132.4329-1.75%31.42-4.82%0.0480✗1.2054.5M2022-09-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011879-1.75%0.00001052-12.99%0.0571✓0.971.0M2022-09-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005532-1.74%0.00487-13.50%0.0836✓0.66911k2022-09-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.3051-1.74%0.297-4.35%0.0392✗0.9982k2022-09-20
KSMKusamaHydration46.3845.5752-1.74%40.05-13.65%0.0616✓1.02363k2022-09-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1346.0277-1.73%5.025-18.08%0.1447✓0.563.1M2022-09-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.058371-1.73%0.0581-2.19%0.0653✗1.0578k2022-09-20
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.5836-1.73%13.69-7.75%0.0177✗1.2275k2022-09-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.041993-1.72%0.0401-6.15%0.0006✓0.6814k2022-09-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.4233-1.70%4.18-7.11%0.0189✓0.571.4M2022-09-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.162201-1.70%0.1444-12.48%0.0413✓1.131,7442022-09-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.122192-1.70%0.1115-10.30%0.0215✓1.052.6M2022-09-20
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.7326-1.69%10.937-8.35%0.0051✓0.9821k2022-09-20
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.509-1.68%1.465-4.55%0.0385✗1.02246k2022-09-20
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.9332-1.67%5.294-12.26%0.0245✓1.356.9M2022-09-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.095186-1.67%0.0914-5.58%0.0070✓0.722,9132022-09-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.4308-1.67%1.333-8.38%0.0004✓1.0771k2022-09-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7553-1.66%1.612-9.69%0.0223✗1.6265k2022-09-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.20507-1.64%0.1922-7.82%0.0043✓0.9159k2022-09-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.8889-1.63%4.7663-4.10%0.0197✓0.09119k2022-09-20
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.12326-1.63%0.1211-3.35%0.0562✗1.111.4M2022-09-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.719599-1.62%0.70726-3.31%0.0544✗1.08624k2022-09-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.090902-1.62%0.0956+3.46%0.1177✗1.01336k2022-09-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1424.075-1.62%3.561-14.03%0.1104✓0.372.0M2022-09-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1019,914.43-1.59%18,902.70-6.59%0.0090✓0.9215k2022-09-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005805-1.59%0.005383-8.74%0.0330✓0.641,9622022-09-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.865581-1.59%0.8421-4.26%0.0531✗1.21899k2022-09-20
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.186793-1.58%0.1738-8.43%0.0042✓1.02101k2022-09-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56650.7506-1.58%48.664-5.63%0.0146✓0.85246k2022-09-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.5772-1.57%8.99-7.61%0.0251✗1.33288k2022-09-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,860.61-1.56%18,876.91-6.43%0.0157✗1.00480.9M2022-09-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.677-1.55%2.358-13.28%0.0288✓1.482.9M2022-09-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.058717-1.54%0.058378-2.11%0.0580✗0.961.2M2022-09-20
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.47e-7-1.50%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0354✓0.711.7M2022-09-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.035559-1.50%0.0334-7.48%0.0042✓1.0190k2022-09-20
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.212875-1.49%0.2133-1.30%0.0598✗0.87527k2022-09-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3891-1.48%1.39-1.42%0.0065✓-0.11113k2022-09-20
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001497-1.47%0.00153+0.72%0.0715✗0.74353k2022-09-20
ZECZcashZcash58.9258.0526-1.47%53.44-9.30%0.0093✓1.101.1M2022-09-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.5949-1.46%16.66-11.71%0.0203✓1.3518.0M2022-09-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02231.0075-1.45%0.9058-11.40%0.0740✓0.492.8M2022-09-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.264024-1.45%0.2618-2.28%0.0572✗0.992.7M2022-09-20
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.059832-1.40%0.059529-1.90%0.0247✗0.45123k2022-09-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.58e-7-1.39%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0362✓0.6915k2022-09-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.056412-1.38%0.053-7.34%0.0089✓0.8090k2022-09-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.900432-1.38%0.879-3.72%0.0508✗1.131.5M2022-09-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.456156-1.37%0.4282-7.42%0.0112✓1.12366k2022-09-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.305444-1.36%0.41753+34.83%0.3551✗0.64326k2022-09-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6116.0026-1.36%112.79-4.09%0.0483✗1.154.4M2022-09-20
KCSKuCoinnative9.2549.1288-1.35%8.92-3.61%0.0318✗0.831.2M2022-09-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.063809-1.35%0.06189-4.31%0.0284✗0.897802022-09-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022859-1.34%0.02122-8.42%0.0068✓1.022,9582022-09-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.048992-1.22%0.0492-0.81%0.0616✗0.86234k2022-09-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.207738-1.22%0.1835-12.74%0.0749✓0.7467k2022-09-20
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6034-1.21%4.5-3.43%0.0328✗0.83839k2022-09-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.158.3862-1.21%52.34-11.44%0.0450✓0.9714.4M2022-09-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.196788-1.11%0.1814-8.84%0.0141✓1.01132k2022-09-20
GTGateEthereum4.14324.0979-1.09%4.1513+0.20%0.0612✗0.72696k2022-09-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.502573-1.06%0.45604-10.22%0.0108✓1.3041k2022-09-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,558.53-1.03%1,322.80-16.00%0.0769✓1.31616.7M2022-09-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.444408-1.02%0.371-17.37%0.1034✓1.164,5592022-09-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.067217-1.01%0.06198-8.72%0.0175✓0.9625k2022-09-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012395-1.00%0.01085-13.34%0.0919✓0.62233k2022-09-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.012031-1.00%0.011385-6.31%0.0001✓0.83882k2022-09-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7926-0.96%2.18+20.44%0.2264✗0.4656k2022-09-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019918-0.76%0.01975-1.59%0.0306✗0.59173k2022-09-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.617356-0.75%0.555-10.77%0.0339✓1.093.2M2022-09-20
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9782.4801-0.59%74.07-10.73%0.0102✓1.466.2M2022-09-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.2064+0.04%14.09-7.30%0.0241✗0.781.4M2022-09-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.