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2022-09-12 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0962
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.2%
in alpha space · 93.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.78%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.380618-7.01%0.2908-28.95%0.1580✓0.8189k2022-09-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.1035-6.90%5.478-16.44%0.0243✓0.976.2M2022-09-19
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.1926-5.87%0.955-24.63%0.0094✓1.692.7M2022-09-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.0666-5.64%1.88-14.16%0.0796✗1.27227k2022-09-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.204284-5.60%0.1327-38.68%0.3291✓0.7526k2022-09-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.181714-5.16%0.1112-41.96%0.4721✓0.1483k2022-09-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.4832-5.11%1.258-19.51%0.0028✓1.2343k2022-09-19
FLOWFlownative2.1021.9973-4.98%1.696-19.31%0.0303✓1.42967k2022-09-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.283104-4.87%0.2802-5.85%0.1373✗1.0874k2022-09-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,278.70-4.85%8,481.63-13.02%0.1039✗1.424.1M2022-09-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000285463-4.85%0.00031125+3.75%0.1233✗0.272.3M2022-09-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3411.7494-4.79%12.487+1.19%0.1122✗0.3816.0M2022-09-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.2971-4.74%5.92-22.72%0.1749✓0.2511.9M2022-09-19
METISMetisEthereum29.9328.5149-4.73%24.04-19.68%0.0569✗1.66159k2022-09-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-77.14e-7-4.70%5.57e-7-25.56%0.1280✓0.872.3M2022-09-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.061748-4.62%0.05812-10.23%0.1101✗1.251.2M2022-09-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.639917-4.49%0.598-10.75%0.0779✗1.07111k2022-09-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.123064-4.30%0.1014-21.15%0.0224✓1.252.5M2022-09-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.021854-4.15%0.0223-2.19%0.1659✗1.0710.3M2022-09-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.545575-4.12%0.473-16.87%0.0138✓1.1466k2022-09-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.049204-4.09%0.0433-15.59%0.0312✓1.16178k2022-09-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.6466-4.03%12.27-13.71%0.0558✗1.19925k2022-09-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.3558-4.02%6.385-16.69%0.0181✓1.1710.0M2022-09-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.064-3.95%1.8797-12.52%0.0606✗1.1313k2022-09-19
STXStacksnative0.38790.372632-3.94%0.3301-14.90%0.0250✓1.07314k2022-09-19
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.2992-3.91%1.167-13.68%0.0672✗1.28323k2022-09-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3552-3.88%1.19-15.60%0.0149✓1.0668k2022-09-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.282961-3.85%0.25224-14.29%0.0086✓0.9015k2022-09-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3444-3.81%1.1772-15.77%0.0151✓1.08922k2022-09-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.1383-3.80%6.52-12.13%0.0592✗1.10224k2022-09-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.00299-3.75%0.002524-18.74%0.0445✓0.911.2M2022-09-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.831813-3.70%0.7721-10.62%0.0861✗1.17946k2022-09-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.148978-3.70%0.1384-10.54%0.0646✗1.01336k2022-09-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.972759-3.69%0.893-11.58%0.0297✓0.412.7M2022-09-19
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.4158-3.65%5.479-17.72%0.0342✓1.406.9M2022-09-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4537.0494-3.64%30.44-20.83%0.0188✓1.5810.6M2022-09-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.477-3.62%7.3-5.90%0.1310✗1.1318.0M2022-09-19
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011575-3.58%0.011007-8.31%0.0864✗1.006492022-09-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.339265-3.45%0.3113-11.41%0.0740✗1.1772k2022-09-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.110464-3.44%0.0903-21.07%0.1197✓0.60188k2022-09-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.4061-3.43%3.5781-21.58%0.1243✓0.618.1M2022-09-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2317.6081-3.41%15.52-14.87%0.0533✓0.53396k2022-09-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.825971-3.31%0.77846-8.88%0.0486✗0.7913k2022-09-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.3744-3.31%4.135-8.60%0.0725✗0.94273k2022-09-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008058-3.26%0.0074-11.16%0.0755✗1.18428k2022-09-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.6599-3.24%8-10.61%0.0013✓0.592.4M2022-09-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.7823-3.18%5.54-20.91%0.1886✓0.109.1M2022-09-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.8507-3.14%2.506-14.85%0.0831✗1.552.9M2022-09-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.038669-3.09%0.0357-10.53%0.0415✗0.899,1922022-09-19
XVGVergenative0.003570.00346-3.08%0.00326-8.68%0.0757✗0.99483k2022-09-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.047689-3.07%0.0393-20.12%0.0327✓1.18546k2022-09-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.1928-3.05%2.9221-11.27%0.0534✗1.0419k2022-09-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.167308-3.04%0.15899-7.86%0.0531✗0.765152022-09-19
FTTFTXEthereum28.4627.6084-2.99%24.19-15.00%0.0067✓1.026.8M2022-09-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7494-2.97%1.496-17.03%0.0175✓1.02627k2022-09-19
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.017945-2.94%0.0155-16.17%0.0098✓1.009912022-09-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.195488-2.94%0.2531+25.67%0.3928✗0.983.2M2022-09-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.063482-2.93%0.0563-13.91%0.0463✗1.22563k2022-09-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9049-2.91%1.7159-12.55%0.0490✗1.1223k2022-09-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.497993-2.91%0.4508-12.11%0.0175✓0.86396k2022-09-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.467055-2.90%0.437-9.15%0.0761✗1.047,9852022-09-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.267116-2.87%0.256-6.91%0.0629✗0.77563k2022-09-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1096-2.83%1.845-15.02%0.0401✗1.2732k2022-09-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8805-2.81%1.699-12.20%0.1326✗1.7160k2022-09-19
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000044692-2.78%0.0000394-14.29%0.0057✓0.883.0M2022-09-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.3395-2.78%5.865+6.79%0.2850✗1.406.4M2022-09-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021407-2.77%0.020248-8.04%0.0290✗0.6212k2022-09-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.870337-2.73%0.8509-4.91%0.1916✗1.5789k2022-09-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.32562-2.68%0.3026-9.56%0.0690✗1.0482k2022-09-19
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.35303-2.67%0.3044-16.07%0.0039✓1.061,1592022-09-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.047987-2.66%0.0432-12.37%0.0112✓0.85145k2022-09-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.7336-2.66%5.2403+7.76%0.3058✗1.49122k2022-09-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.345067-2.62%0.30629-13.57%0.0282✗1.0833k2022-09-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006048-2.62%0.00502-19.16%0.0995✓0.63911k2022-09-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.7456-2.60%6.057-12.55%0.0289✗1.004.3M2022-09-19
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.9606-2.60%4.057-20.34%0.0644✓1.001.4M2022-09-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.8145-2.60%17.28-19.14%0.0021✓1.3818.0M2022-09-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.1607-2.60%2.975-8.32%0.0097✓0.37676k2022-09-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.631226-2.59%0.596-8.02%0.0823✗1.02178k2022-09-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5315.1281-2.59%15.618+0.57%0.2070✗1.2819.6M2022-09-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.22853-2.59%0.1992-15.09%0.0147✓0.9057k2022-09-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2464-2.55%1.092-14.62%0.0046✓0.931.1M2022-09-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.723003-2.55%0.6251-15.74%0.0650✗1.54210k2022-09-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.495-2.54%1.365-11.02%0.0629✗1.1371k2022-09-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.774037-2.54%0.72902-8.21%0.0944✗1.13624k2022-09-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.315541-2.52%0.3172-2.01%0.1396✗0.986.0M2022-09-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2376-2.51%1.0665-15.99%0.0072✓1.141.1M2022-09-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008823-2.51%0.00746-17.57%0.0388✓0.943.3M2022-09-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.023432-2.51%0.027182+13.09%0.1607✗0.09465k2022-09-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.147998-2.50%0.1312-13.57%0.0160✓1.00119k2022-09-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.75-2.45%13.68-9.52%0.0615✗1.001.8M2022-09-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001291-2.45%0.0011-16.90%0.0473✓0.832.2M2022-09-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.036398-2.42%0.03126-16.19%0.0072✓1.0635k2022-09-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.131476-2.39%0.1151-14.55%0.0151✓1.082.7M2022-09-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1157-2.39%0.9829-14.01%0.0844✗1.544.4M2022-09-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.5497-2.39%6.05-9.84%0.0119✓0.492.1M2022-09-19
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7353.4242-2.39%52.16-4.70%0.1499✗1.278,6412022-09-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.433029-2.38%0.3928-11.45%0.0634✗1.1875k2022-09-19
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.045598-2.38%0.040881-12.48%0.0128✓0.8928k2022-09-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.529098-2.38%0.485-10.52%0.0797✗1.2277k2022-09-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.041659-2.38%0.039404-7.66%0.0173✓0.5323k2022-09-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.173107-2.37%0.145-18.22%0.0294✓1.08271k2022-09-19
QNTQuantEthereum106.65104.1288-2.36%107.75+1.03%0.1619✗0.933.5M2022-09-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.8627-2.36%4.59-7.83%0.0606✗0.87839k2022-09-19
SOLSolanaSolana37.4636.5781-2.35%32.65-12.84%0.0536✗1.2254.5M2022-09-19
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.489615-2.35%0.4526-9.73%0.0588✗1.0138.3M2022-09-19
DASHDashDash47.1746.0688-2.33%40.74-13.63%0.0233✓1.07312k2022-09-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8682-2.31%1.4112-26.20%0.1649✓0.851.4M2022-09-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.065166-2.30%0.0609-8.70%0.0756✗1.0579k2022-09-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4039-2.28%2.07-15.85%0.0664✓0.61261k2022-09-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.111262-2.28%0.111743-1.86%0.1257✗0.896.5M2022-09-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87125.9625-2.26%112.05-13.05%0.0437✗1.184.4M2022-09-19
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.6192-2.25%1.4887-10.13%0.0608✗1.06241k2022-09-19
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004106-2.23%0.00357-15.00%0.0112✓0.94103k2022-09-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.6944-2.23%2.425-12.01%0.0082✓0.83523k2022-09-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.072348-2.23%0.0621-16.08%0.1344✓0.13378k2022-09-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.313282-2.23%0.271513-15.27%0.0084✓0.99471k2022-09-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.39891-2.23%0.3256-20.20%0.0544✓1.09202k2022-09-19
XMRMoneroMonero163.77160.1328-2.22%140.37-14.29%0.0004✓0.971.4M2022-09-19
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.0558-2.21%40.04-23.31%0.1025✓1.03363k2022-09-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.100435-2.21%0.0944-8.08%0.0767✗1.01336k2022-09-19
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,580.06-2.18%1,331.44-17.57%0.0345✓1.003.3M2022-09-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.43071-2.17%0.4068-7.60%0.0771✗0.98379k2022-09-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.938283-2.17%0.8565-10.70%0.0818✗1.27899k2022-09-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0677-2.14%0.962594-11.77%0.0017✓0.7736k2022-09-19
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.129-2.13%13.84-16.02%0.0182✓1.2579k2022-09-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.2445-2.12%5.75-9.87%0.0108✓0.522.1M2022-09-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.139108-2.11%0.12606-11.29%0.0669✗1.21151k2022-09-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001616-2.10%0.001428-13.51%0.0310✓0.685,8832022-09-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.099171-2.10%0.0949-6.32%0.0600✗0.762,7302022-09-19
PROPropyEthereum0.730.714867-2.07%0.66-9.59%0.0470✓0.2444k2022-09-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.062633-2.07%0.05866-8.28%0.0725✗1.011.2M2022-09-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.111743-2.07%0.1003-12.09%0.0121✓0.88188k2022-09-19
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.129181-2.06%0.1251-5.16%0.1289✗1.181.4M2022-09-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001593-2.06%0.001532-5.78%0.0687✗0.79374k2022-09-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.2212-2.04%5.15-3.38%0.0744✗0.642.0M2022-09-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039185-2.04%0.03487-12.83%0.0213✓0.702,2982022-09-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.160863-2.03%0.1389-15.41%0.0325✗1.319132022-09-19
HIVEHivenative0.58020.568448-2.03%0.5271-9.15%0.0088✓0.62836k2022-09-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.1532-2.00%3.746-11.61%0.0319✓0.522.3M2022-09-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.20122-1.99%0.1786-13.01%0.0341✗1.12108k2022-09-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7121,963.91-1.96%19,540.38-12.78%0.0198✓1.00480.9M2022-09-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.896334-1.96%0.816606-10.68%0.0244✗0.8649k2022-09-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.286023-1.95%0.2595-11.04%0.0414✗1.022.7M2022-09-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.2016-1.95%3.728-13.00%0.0694✓0.372.2M2022-09-19
ZECZcashZcash62.9261.7059-1.93%55.26-12.17%0.0490✗1.171.1M2022-09-19
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.431-1.85%11.4637-9.49%0.0584✗1.0221k2022-09-19
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.83e-7-1.84%8.00e-7-11.11%0.0018✓0.741.7M2022-09-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012643-1.84%0.00001097-14.83%0.0035✓1.011.0M2022-09-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.5922-1.84%1.485-8.45%0.0306✗0.7329k2022-09-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.067881-1.84%0.06161-10.90%0.0305✗0.938202022-09-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.046602-1.83%0.04122-13.17%0.0340✓0.6514k2022-09-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.4675-1.81%4.26-6.37%0.0356✗0.611.4M2022-09-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8021,920.17-1.79%19,581.40-12.27%0.0127✓0.9213k2022-09-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60953.6305-1.79%49.657-9.07%0.0440✗0.88264k2022-09-19
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.392657-1.78%0.38968-2.52%0.1309✗1.0131k2022-09-19
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.231319-1.78%0.2188-7.09%0.0636✗0.87527k2022-09-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006127-1.72%0.006367+2.13%0.0891✗0.3730k2022-09-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.089949-1.69%0.0828-9.51%0.0517✗0.9814k2022-09-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012932-1.69%0.011897-9.56%0.0309✗0.84882k2022-09-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.834-1.69%9.08-17.60%0.0072✓1.34288k2022-09-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.180798-1.69%0.1539-16.31%0.0038✓1.151,7442022-09-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.039034-1.68%0.034-14.36%0.0010✓1.0289k2022-09-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.31095-1.67%0.38357+21.29%0.3045✗0.69326k2022-09-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.852-1.61%5.296-10.96%0.0120✓0.643.1M2022-09-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059064-1.56%0.0547-8.83%0.0391✗0.8590k2022-09-19
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.5644-1.55%9.098-6.35%0.0679✗0.861.2M2022-09-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006259-1.53%0.005618-11.61%0.0207✓0.641,9622022-09-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4089-1.48%1.44+0.70%0.0031✓-0.14124k2022-09-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.050848-1.46%0.0498-3.49%0.1103✗0.96234k2022-09-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.487606-1.45%0.4467-9.72%0.0705✗1.16384k2022-09-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4160.5233-1.44%52.89-13.87%0.0078✓1.0414.0M2022-09-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.222444-1.44%0.1798-20.34%0.1090✓0.7667k2022-09-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.956129-1.43%0.902-7.01%0.1041✗1.191.5M2022-09-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.97e-7-1.42%8.10e-7-10.99%0.0005✓0.7415k2022-09-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04524.9738-1.41%4.6593-7.65%0.0566✓0.06119k2022-09-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024539-1.37%0.02205-11.37%0.0409✗1.082,9582022-09-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.555552-1.32%0.47873-14.97%0.0339✗1.3439k2022-09-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.071063-1.29%0.06261-13.03%0.0101✓1.0025k2022-09-19
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3283-1.27%4.2119-3.92%0.0739✗0.74688k2022-09-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.476932-1.26%0.391-19.05%0.0331✓1.214,2692022-09-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.991897-1.25%0.9446-5.96%0.0291✗0.572.6M2022-09-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.203789-1.22%0.1842-10.71%0.0477✗1.09135k2022-09-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,696.36-1.19%1,376.17-19.84%0.0237✓1.36569.9M2022-09-19
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.06314-1.16%0.060295-5.62%0.0176✗0.47123k2022-09-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.664389-1.13%0.572-14.88%0.0058✓1.143.3M2022-09-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8218-0.99%2.28+23.91%0.2885✗0.4758k2022-09-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.4216-0.96%14.77-10.92%0.0008✓0.781.5M2022-09-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.02084-0.85%0.01974-6.09%0.0285✗0.61191k2022-09-19
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9990.2233-0.84%76.38-16.06%0.0425✗1.536.0M2022-09-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012831-0.84%0.01128-12.83%0.0394✓0.65233k2022-09-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.