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2022-09-08 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1300
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
85.8%
in alpha space · 80.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000516290.000459873-10.93%0.00025952-49.73%0.5862✓0.721.2M2022-09-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.30120.285578-5.19%0.3312+9.96%0.1294✗0.9683k2022-09-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16240.154282-5.00%0.1738+7.02%0.0986✗1.0524k2022-09-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.68227.383-3.89%6.1741-19.63%0.1859✓0.369.9M2022-09-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7224.5399-3.86%4.046-14.32%0.1346✓0.99298k2022-09-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.41611.9494-3.76%11.656-6.12%0.0357✓0.5516.0M2022-09-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.62.508-3.54%2.24-13.85%0.1280✓0.77262k2022-09-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09260.089641-3.20%0.0912-1.51%0.0020✓0.9811k2022-09-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.3555-3.18%1.27-9.29%0.0840✓0.9681k2022-09-15
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176190.017074-3.09%0.016546-6.09%0.0510✓1.001512022-09-15
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1424-3.02%1.131-3.99%0.0422✓1.642.8M2022-09-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.48e-77.25e-7-3.01%5.79e-7-22.56%0.2415✓0.842.3M2022-09-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0381.0069-3.00%0.92-11.37%0.0984✓0.422.9M2022-09-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,266.668,993.54-2.95%8,520.47-8.05%0.0819✓1.424.5M2022-09-15
FISStafiEthereum0.32520.315637-2.94%0.3538+8.79%0.0952✗0.976202022-09-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4744.3433-2.92%3.7372-16.47%0.1626✓0.637.3M2022-09-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.136.026-2.89%35.67-3.85%0.0403✓1.5511.8M2022-09-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.5301-2.85%8.14-7.29%0.0569✓0.522.2M2022-09-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.89376.7-2.81%5.7604-16.44%0.1562✓0.268.4M2022-09-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.272.207-2.77%1.94-14.54%0.1537✓1.26232k2022-09-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32731.2911-2.73%1.1128-16.16%0.1725✓1.221.1M2022-09-15
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105630.010275-2.73%0.011568+9.51%0.0990✗1.005382022-09-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.0490.047664-2.73%0.0471-3.88%0.0298✓0.91204k2022-09-15
QTUMQtumQtum3.16923.0828-2.72%2.9863-5.77%0.0520✓1.0319k2022-09-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14910.145125-2.67%0.1496+0.34%0.0087✓1.11469k2022-09-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.130.12656-2.65%0.1102-15.23%0.1539✓0.79203k2022-09-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21291.181-2.63%1.2148+0.16%0.0097✓0.951.3M2022-09-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.88313.5198-2.62%14.912+7.41%0.0758✗1.1414.8M2022-09-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.25442.1968-2.56%1.9299-14.39%0.1531✓1.2013k2022-09-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3816.9401-2.53%16.28-6.33%0.0531✓0.68396k2022-09-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4077.2234-2.48%7.563+2.11%0.0252✗1.0618.0M2022-09-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.279690.272783-2.47%0.25784-7.81%0.0769✓1.0514k2022-09-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8655.7205-2.46%5.726-2.37%0.0161✓0.876.2M2022-09-15
FLOWFlownative1.9561.9085-2.43%1.753-10.38%0.1119✓1.381.1M2022-09-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.05171.0264-2.40%0.977095-7.09%0.0660✓0.8637k2022-09-15
STXStacksnative0.36210.353427-2.40%0.3436-5.11%0.0510✓1.17365k2022-09-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.045397-2.37%0.0441-5.16%0.0480✓0.97138k2022-09-15
BANDBandEthereum1.2731.2433-2.33%1.206-5.26%0.0541✓1.21429k2022-09-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8511.808-2.32%1.7321-6.42%0.0646✓1.1123k2022-09-15
QNTQuantEthereum101.9299.5847-2.29%103.96+2.00%0.0261✗0.873.4M2022-09-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0244250.023867-2.29%0.025135+2.91%0.0497✗0.11465k2022-09-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5010.489694-2.26%0.485-3.19%0.0307✓1.0857k2022-09-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50670.4953-2.25%0.4585-9.51%0.0916✓0.73467k2022-09-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40450.395456-2.24%0.3559-12.01%0.1279✓1.15215k2022-09-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.451.4176-2.23%1.313-9.45%0.0996✓1.1745k2022-09-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7115.3592-2.23%14.21-9.55%0.0974✓1.011.7M2022-09-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.377.2055-2.23%6.64-9.91%0.1038✓1.13276k2022-09-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001486-2.23%0.001455-4.28%0.0342✓0.677,1022022-09-15
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.44514.346-2.23%4.4233-0.49%0.0248✓2.17129k2022-09-15
XECeCashnative0.000042190.00004125-2.23%0.00004321+2.42%0.0299✗0.842.5M2022-09-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6520.637587-2.21%0.603-7.52%0.0726✓0.86134k2022-09-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020268-2.21%0.020113-2.96%0.0235✓0.8113k2022-09-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29840.291889-2.18%0.2861-4.12%0.0414✓1.0997k2022-09-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30780.301187-2.15%0.295-4.16%0.0386✓0.915.8M2022-09-15
STEEMSteemnative0.22190.217181-2.13%0.2141-3.52%0.0328✓0.94503k2022-09-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.330340.323337-2.12%0.31479-4.71%0.0463✓1.0035k2022-09-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.376.2354-2.11%6.06-4.87%0.0382✓0.502.1M2022-09-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007274-2.11%0.00782+5.25%0.0506✗1.12389k2022-09-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8513.5629-2.07%12.71-8.23%0.0866✓1.11925k2022-09-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.346.2091-2.07%5.59-11.83%0.1150✓0.512.2M2022-09-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0933.0292-2.06%2.988-3.39%0.0246✓0.56720k2022-09-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3897.237-2.06%6.934-6.16%0.0633✓1.0510.0M2022-09-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10430.102155-2.06%0.1085+4.03%0.0391✗1.082.7M2022-09-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77211.7357-2.06%2.0023+12.99%0.1242✗0.951.2M2022-09-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.381180.373383-2.05%0.40594+6.50%0.0646✗0.97392k2022-09-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1638-2.04%1.126-5.22%0.0516✓0.951.1M2022-09-15
HIVEHivenative0.55180.540604-2.03%0.5477-0.74%0.0028✓0.81867k2022-09-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11090.10865-2.03%0.1042-6.04%0.0589✓0.87169k2022-09-15
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,491.781,461.58-2.02%1,397.26-6.34%0.0646✓1.003.5M2022-09-15
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4347.454-2.02%56.91+17.51%0.1567✗1.289,1802022-09-15
METISMetisEthereum29.1328.5458-2.01%25.7-11.77%0.1408✓1.83186k2022-09-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.7631.728-1.98%1.578-10.49%0.1091✓0.94578k2022-09-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.325.2146-1.98%5.19-2.44%0.0143✓0.492.0M2022-09-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.12791.1057-1.97%1.0528-6.66%0.0793✓1.554.5M2022-09-15
PROPropyEthereum0.730.715623-1.97%0.7-4.11%0.0286✓0.3453k2022-09-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008860.008686-1.97%0.00833-5.98%0.0562✓0.743.5M2022-09-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81840.802336-1.96%0.7977-2.53%0.0262✓1.041.0M2022-09-15
SCSiacoinnative0.003990.003912-1.96%0.00375-6.02%0.0614✓0.98123k2022-09-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83170.815491-1.95%0.8518+2.42%0.0146✓1.4899k2022-09-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037460.036734-1.94%0.03582-4.38%0.0412✓0.822,5652022-09-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0563.9776-1.93%3.752-7.50%0.0682✓0.502.1M2022-09-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.153196-1.92%0.1448-7.30%0.0759✓1.001,2532022-09-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06180.06063-1.89%0.0585-5.34%0.0606✓1.27617k2022-09-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.037479-1.89%0.0355-7.07%0.0725✓0.9466k2022-09-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013350.00131-1.89%0.00116-13.13%0.1373✓0.802.5M2022-09-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34260.336147-1.88%0.3228-5.78%0.0613✓1.0671k2022-09-15
MOVRMoonriverBase12.798512.5575-1.88%11.3056-11.66%0.1243✓0.9925k2022-09-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.626-1.88%0.591-7.37%0.0768✓0.99178k2022-09-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157780.154814-1.88%0.15985+1.31%0.0076✓2.022952022-09-15
XEMNEMnative0.0443210.043488-1.88%0.040879-7.77%0.0783✓0.8429k2022-09-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136630.134065-1.88%0.12968-5.09%0.0567✓1.20167k2022-09-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.410162-1.88%0.453+8.37%0.0789✗1.057,7812022-09-15
XMRMoneroMonero152.39149.5345-1.87%145.86-4.29%0.0454✓1.051.3M2022-09-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1043550.1024-1.87%0.102273-2.00%0.0176✓0.836.5M2022-09-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061910.006075-1.87%0.006336+2.34%0.0332✗0.4538k2022-09-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.3578-1.86%6.13-5.37%0.0530✓0.854.4M2022-09-15
XTZTezosTezos1.58771.5582-1.86%1.5204-4.24%0.0466✓1.12247k2022-09-15
NANOnanopayBase0.8753490.859219-1.84%0.788148-9.96%0.1026✓0.8352k2022-09-15
ADACardanoCardano0.4790.470208-1.84%0.466-2.71%0.0273✓0.9438.4M2022-09-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035150.034505-1.84%0.03257-7.34%0.0775✓1.0159k2022-09-15
CBKCobakEthereum0.854290.838667-1.83%0.80867-5.34%0.0560✓1.0014k2022-09-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.067870.06665-1.80%0.06724-0.93%0.0078✓0.05389k2022-09-15
XVGVergenative0.003160.003103-1.79%0.00326+3.16%0.0293✗1.02483k2022-09-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052980.299838-1.79%0.28088-8.00%0.0867✓1.09514k2022-09-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0409740.040243-1.78%0.039421-3.79%0.0306✓0.5125k2022-09-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5250.515641-1.78%0.489-6.86%0.0759✓1.1774k2022-09-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.258369-1.76%0.259-1.52%0.0125✓0.76581k2022-09-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.14020.137743-1.75%0.1336-4.71%0.0503✓1.01128k2022-09-15
FTTFTXEthereum26.0525.5937-1.75%24.08-7.56%0.0800✓0.976.8M2022-09-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21350.209769-1.75%0.2063-3.37%0.0365✓1.0157k2022-09-15
DASHDashDash46.2845.4713-1.75%43.87-5.21%0.0554✓1.00338k2022-09-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17670.173615-1.75%0.1557-11.88%0.1355✓1.361,5202022-09-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.1870.18374-1.74%0.1909+2.09%0.0213✗0.863.1M2022-09-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0722.0359-1.74%1.962-5.31%0.0599✓1.1734k2022-09-15
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6558-1.73%1.509-10.45%0.1098✓0.8759k2022-09-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96724.8818-1.72%4.8786-1.78%0.0026✓0.10115k2022-09-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.6562.6104-1.72%2.546-4.14%0.0423✓0.88671k2022-09-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04830.047472-1.71%0.0408-15.53%0.1712✓1.01620k2022-09-15
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.2656-1.70%14.5-6.63%0.0734✓1.1287k2022-09-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.095597-1.65%0.0903-7.10%0.0763✓0.99368k2022-09-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31490.309736-1.64%0.3195+1.46%0.0089✓1.1387k2022-09-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044380.043658-1.63%0.04198-5.41%0.0538✓0.7514k2022-09-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027280.002684-1.62%0.002756+1.03%0.0085✓0.921.2M2022-09-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47360.465932-1.62%0.4691-0.95%0.0157✓1.15384k2022-09-15
DIADIAEthereum0.379080.372981-1.61%0.36772-3.00%0.0334✓0.9832k2022-09-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170340.167614-1.60%0.15592-8.47%0.0918✓1.00268k2022-09-15
KSMKusamaHydration50.2649.458-1.60%44.46-11.54%0.1261✓1.00409k2022-09-15
SOLSolanaSolana33.6233.085-1.59%33.07-1.64%0.0227✓1.1461.7M2022-09-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19920.196057-1.58%0.1907-4.27%0.0538✓1.33111k2022-09-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3976-1.57%1.41-0.70%0.0132✓-0.22124k2022-09-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012230.000012038-1.57%0.00001167-4.58%0.0498✓0.96898k2022-09-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09930.097751-1.56%0.0978-1.51%0.0139✓0.742,7842022-09-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1310.128974-1.55%0.1206-7.94%0.0773✓0.523.2M2022-09-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.76e-7-1.55%8.30e-7-6.74%0.0694✓0.7815k2022-09-15
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.122982-1.54%0.1202-3.76%0.0436✓1.061.4M2022-09-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05990.058983-1.53%0.0665+11.02%0.1037✗0.8382k2022-09-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059050.005816-1.51%0.005941+0.61%0.0074✓0.712,0942022-09-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.929.7707-1.51%9.29-6.35%0.0755✓1.28281k2022-09-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.772840.761217-1.50%0.71924-6.94%0.0737✓0.87537k2022-09-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03510.034572-1.50%0.0367+4.56%0.0454✗0.736,2432022-09-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.2752.4705-1.50%51.746-2.86%0.0294✓0.79287k2022-09-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.544.472-1.50%4.21-7.27%0.0717✓0.581.3M2022-09-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066060.065082-1.48%0.06518-1.33%0.0171✓0.956022022-09-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.22680.223446-1.48%0.2059-9.22%0.0980✓0.8366k2022-09-15
APEApeCoinEthereum4.54.4343-1.46%4.909+9.09%0.0756✗1.336.4M2022-09-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.8883-1.46%2.583-11.87%0.1416✓1.533.3M2022-09-15
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.67e-7-1.44%8.30e-7-5.68%0.0596✓0.801.8M2022-09-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.294.2285-1.43%3.815-11.07%0.1097✓0.352.2M2022-09-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02090.020601-1.43%0.01964-6.03%0.0632✓0.799.2M2022-09-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.62124.8157-1.42%117.54-7.17%0.0831✓1.184.4M2022-09-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05550.054724-1.40%0.0557+0.36%0.0003✓0.9280k2022-09-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1126.027-1.39%5.586-8.61%0.0866✓0.543.9M2022-09-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27940.275632-1.35%0.2622-6.16%0.0690✓0.972.7M2022-09-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.91480.902492-1.35%0.8579-6.22%0.0745✓1.22908k2022-09-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.005670.005595-1.33%0.00541-4.59%0.0463✓0.65951k2022-09-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024090.023771-1.32%0.02264-6.02%0.0741✓1.292,9142022-09-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8940.882257-1.31%0.883-1.23%0.0244✓1.291.5M2022-09-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0014630.001444-1.31%0.0022+50.38%0.4058✗0.78397k2022-09-15
TRXTRONTron0.0611930.0604-1.30%0.061091-0.17%0.0007✓0.62123k2022-09-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.326610.322412-1.29%0.3001-8.12%0.0877✓0.82327k2022-09-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.39930.394189-1.28%0.3922-1.78%0.0279✓1.1775k2022-09-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.65330.644984-1.27%0.6666+2.04%0.0056✓1.40210k2022-09-15
ZECZcashZcash61.1360.3564-1.27%58.33-4.58%0.0574✓1.191.2M2022-09-15
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1736.0983-1.21%5.884-4.68%0.0616✓1.326.9M2022-09-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,321.8719,089.67-1.20%19,703.67+1.98%0.0121✓1.00480.9M2022-09-15
KCSKuCoinnative9.2779.1658-1.20%9.109-1.81%0.0251✓0.961.2M2022-09-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4151.3983-1.18%1.388-1.91%0.0302✓1.1771k2022-09-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.529670.523434-1.18%0.48387-8.65%0.1044✓1.3241k2022-09-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060430.059737-1.15%0.05919-2.05%0.0306✓1.101.5M2022-09-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97410.963303-1.11%0.9834+0.95%0.0104✓0.532.8M2022-09-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8431.8226-1.11%1.72-6.67%0.0910✓1.6965k2022-09-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,635.731,617.79-1.10%1,472.68-9.97%0.1209✓1.38660.9M2022-09-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4690.46415-1.03%0.421-10.23%0.1219✓1.244,4682022-09-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0609780.060349-1.03%0.058603-3.90%0.0504✓1.071.3M2022-09-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.9957.3922-1.03%56.34-2.85%0.0383✓1.0113.1M2022-09-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1418.9445-1.02%18.2-4.91%0.0650✓1.2719.2M2022-09-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070730.070013-1.01%0.06499-8.12%0.0976✓1.1825k2022-09-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,295.1019,100.72-1.01%19,833.10+2.79%0.0193✗0.9412k2022-09-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20420.202175-0.99%0.1903-6.81%0.0862✓1.31139k2022-09-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.05170.051199-0.97%0.0505-2.32%0.0350✓1.09234k2022-09-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129740.012853-0.93%0.012048-7.14%0.0779✓0.68929k2022-09-15
GTGateEthereum4.04594.0115-0.85%4.1854+3.45%0.0272✗0.78724k2022-09-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011670.011574-0.82%0.01216+4.20%0.0366✗0.66228k2022-09-15
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2987.5793-0.80%78.51-11.08%0.1395✓1.546.0M2022-09-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020880.020727-0.73%0.02027-2.92%0.0378✓0.79241k2022-09-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6430.638963-0.63%0.593-7.78%0.0974✓1.163.9M2022-09-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.7709-0.61%4.47-6.88%0.0817✓0.85943k2022-09-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.829-0.60%1.79-2.72%0.0308✓0.4868k2022-09-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13970.141411+1.22%0.1245-10.88%0.1282✗0.0490k2022-09-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.916.2143+1.98%15.76-0.88%0.0439✗0.791.6M2022-09-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.