8=======>

2022-09-04 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0466
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.7%
in alpha space · 21.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000240878-5.08%0.00043138+69.99%0.5149✗0.78640k2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-78.83e-7-4.48%7.30e-7-21.06%0.2660✓0.861.7M2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53912.9371-4.45%12.594-6.98%0.0733✓0.5315.8M2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44227.1481-3.95%7.6094+2.25%0.0318✓0.357.6M2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.5189-3.25%4.6789+0.18%0.0174✓0.604.7M2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.268.9622-3.22%8.98-3.02%0.0413✓0.502.0M2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.499,143.08-3.12%10,194.93+8.03%0.0137✓1.405.6M2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1386-3.02%1.402+19.42%0.0604✗1.693.0M2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.952646-2.99%1.024+4.28%0.0401✗0.372.9M2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.8103-2.96%7.1468+1.84%0.0283✓0.236.5M2022-09-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13624.9857-2.93%4.847-5.63%0.1156✓1.00141k2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2656.0897-2.80%6.417+2.43%0.0222✓0.857.6M2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.207544-2.74%0.2083-2.39%0.0698✓0.843.1M2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0533.9426-2.72%4.501+11.05%0.0475✗0.97259k2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.307411-2.63%0.2929-7.22%0.1440✓1.0999k2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.2562-2.61%2.3057-0.47%0.0773✓1.1313k2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.025007-2.60%0.023973-6.63%0.0524✓0.12315k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001481-2.59%0.001636+7.63%0.0397✗0.698,3412022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007726-2.57%0.00844+6.43%0.0107✓1.13428k2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.6356-2.56%6.73-1.17%0.0275✓0.482.1M2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0382.9604-2.56%3.278+7.90%0.0558✗0.53650k2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.413166-2.56%0.513+20.99%0.1259✗1.048,1172022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.050295-2.53%0.052+0.78%0.0473✓0.92204k2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.142518-2.52%0.1545+5.68%0.0119✓1.06409k2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.1936-2.52%14.56+0.00%0.0706✓1.101.0M2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.118293-2.48%0.1254+3.38%0.0028✓0.70208k2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000043246-2.42%0.00004562+2.93%0.0199✓0.841.8M2022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.7308-2.42%15.699+20.34%0.1111✗1.1312.3M2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.2545-2.40%2.33+0.87%0.0685✓1.16217k2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3916.9757-2.38%18.93+8.86%0.0490✗0.69503k2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.6622-2.38%5.43-6.38%0.0814✓0.452.3M2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.3055-2.37%4.405-0.11%0.0183✓0.472.3M2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.5705-2.37%6.57-2.38%0.0406✓0.462.2M2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.657063-2.37%0.686+1.93%0.0322✓0.86199k2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5358-2.37%1.648+4.77%0.0329✓1.1856k2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.8648-2.36%1.9241+0.75%0.0639✓1.0927k2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative1.951.9043-2.35%2.116+8.51%0.0138✓1.361.3M2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.3055-2.29%1.369+2.47%0.0562✓1.19449k2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.492947-2.25%0.5157+2.26%0.0220✓0.77496k2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.164-2.25%3.3066+2.16%0.0444✓1.0119k2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.28273-2.22%0.29146+0.80%0.0614✓1.0512k2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.035058-2.21%0.03781+5.47%0.0131✓1.0151k2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.076426-2.19%0.07414-5.12%0.0348✓0.05397k2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1556.9983-2.19%8.03+12.23%0.0457✗1.0517.4M2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.359413-2.17%0.3619-1.50%0.0852✓1.0575k2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.5732-2.15%7.63-1.42%0.0881✓1.09317k2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.305975-2.15%0.3264+4.38%0.0136✓0.905.8M2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.830263-2.15%0.8885+4.71%0.0628✓1.49116k2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003935-2.11%0.00419+4.23%0.0236✓0.99127k2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.5453-2.10%7.173+7.28%0.0181✓0.844.4M2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4516.1089-2.07%16.47+0.12%0.0750✓1.11107k2022-09-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,413.09-2.06%1,656.91+14.84%0.0718✗1.003.3M2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.493249-2.04%0.5101+1.31%0.0473✓0.9339.1M2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.342049-2.03%0.35169+0.73%0.0584✓0.9940k2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.3226-2.03%1.46+8.15%0.0185✓0.9295k2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2632-2.02%2.63+13.85%0.0837✗0.76262k2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.135748-2.00%0.14382+3.83%0.0481✓1.21183k2022-09-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010649-1.99%0.011314+4.12%0.0269✓1.005602022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4604-1.99%1.42-4.70%0.0163✓-0.13128k2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.5311-1.98%6.139-7.86%0.1005✓0.444.4M2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.4495-1.97%15.7+14.43%0.0642✗1.041.7M2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.043528-1.96%0.0497+11.94%0.0467✗0.98132k2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero155.77152.7145-1.96%159.22+2.21%0.0490✓1.041.4M2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0713-1.94%1.183+8.28%0.0348✓1.534.4M2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008747-1.94%0.00944+5.83%0.0112✓0.744.7M2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum95.2993.4421-1.94%108.82+14.20%0.0776✗0.863.5M2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.037017-1.92%0.0396+4.93%0.0042✓0.822,6312022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.347065-1.91%0.45678+29.10%0.1914✗0.95392k2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.829188-1.91%0.8663+2.48%0.0467✓1.041.4M2022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.152228-1.90%0.17414+12.22%0.0428✓2.033442022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.02032-1.90%0.021887+5.66%0.0033✓0.8112k2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.061316-1.89%0.0662+5.92%0.0355✓1.28713k2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.0809-1.89%2.202+3.82%0.0443✓1.1538k2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum30.1129.5411-1.89%31.98+6.21%0.0851✓1.88241k2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012598-1.88%0.00001299+1.17%0.0533✓0.96861k2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146112.8992-1.88%12.8866-1.97%0.0876✓0.9932k2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.043306-1.87%0.046785+6.01%0.0036✓0.8429k2022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.104334-1.87%0.114387+7.58%0.0195✗0.836.8M2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.36780.360925-1.87%0.3903+6.12%0.0231✓1.16335k2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3757.2378-1.86%7.702+4.43%0.0293✓1.0510.0M2022-09-11
DASHDashDash47.5946.7057-1.86%48.35+1.60%0.0506✓0.98419k2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.7893-1.86%4.64-4.92%0.0787✓0.541.3M2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006335-1.86%0.006309-2.26%0.0429✓0.4444k2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.6552-1.86%2.0077+19.05%0.1074✗0.981.1M2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.174911-1.85%0.183+2.69%0.0753✓1.382,0092022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.102575-1.84%0.1167+11.67%0.0343✗1.082.8M2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.1027-1.83%1.3145+17.02%0.0976✗0.891.1M2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.7299-1.82%1.655-6.07%0.1235✓0.91108k2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.7206-1.82%2.782+0.40%0.0550✓0.88682k2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.658823-1.81%0.649-3.28%0.1003✓0.98196k2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001315-1.81%0.001367+2.11%0.0310✓0.802.4M2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0397-1.81%1.0863+2.59%0.0309✓0.8641k2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.524352-1.81%0.543+1.69%0.0649✓1.1476k2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.049687-1.80%0.0501-0.99%0.0792✓1.00739k2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.518535-1.79%0.595+12.69%0.0443✗1.0768k2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.136117-1.79%0.1378-0.58%0.0327✓0.513.4M2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.9277-1.79%2.963-0.60%0.1220✓1.533.6M2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.101076-1.77%0.1027-0.19%0.0477✓0.732,7842022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.54390.534282-1.77%0.5792+6.49%0.0079✓0.83953k2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum26.425.935-1.76%27.89+5.64%0.0122✓0.976.8M2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.354431-1.76%0.33139-8.14%0.1371✓0.80332k2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1379-1.75%1.3029+12.49%0.0293✗1.21949k2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.5169-1.74%4.354-5.29%0.0578✓0.242.4M2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.1649-1.73%5.0627-3.68%0.0287✓0.10115k2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005876-1.73%0.006537+9.32%0.0457✗0.702,1662022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4631.8996-1.73%38.56+18.79%0.0560✗1.539.5M2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003110.003057-1.72%0.00381+22.51%0.1310✗1.02486k2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.35086-1.72%0.4255+19.19%0.0824✗1.26194k2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001536-1.71%0.001558-0.32%0.0674✓0.93413k2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.730.717593-1.70%0.72-1.37%0.0257✓0.3369k2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.201136-1.69%0.2106+2.93%0.0690✓1.32111k2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.885392-1.69%0.927788+3.02%0.0264✓0.8454k2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.427588-1.68%0.4445+2.21%0.0615✓1.1591k2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.056743-1.66%0.0611+5.89%0.0083✓0.9497k2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.380472-1.63%0.40526+4.78%0.0225✓0.9834k2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0451.028-1.63%0.974-6.79%0.1646✓1.271.5M2022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.041501-1.62%0.042322+0.32%0.0247✓0.5125k2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.130.127891-1.62%0.1333+2.54%0.0495✓1.041.5M2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.10163-1.62%0.1156+11.91%0.0535✗0.86150k2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.855165-1.60%0.8518-1.98%0.0919✓1.0113k2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.044095-1.60%0.04664+4.08%0.0083✓0.7415k2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.3722-1.59%11.23+6.55%0.0293✓1.24277k2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.149889-1.58%0.168+10.31%0.0227✗1.051,4472022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.7221-1.58%5.682+18.42%0.0677✗1.346.8M2022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.264764-1.57%0.285+5.95%0.0080✓0.75627k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration50.6149.8179-1.57%51.9+2.55%0.0452✓0.99459k2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.066036-1.56%0.07307+8.93%0.0217✗0.917702022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.7022-1.55%1.838+6.30%0.0043✓0.93540k2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.696141-1.55%0.7351+3.96%0.0675✓1.40210k2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.141474-1.55%0.1518+5.64%0.0182✓1.0199k2022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.121001-1.55%0.2611+112.45%0.6777✗1.0525k2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.021238-1.54%0.02332+8.11%0.0269✗0.769.8M2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.171323-1.54%0.17789+2.24%0.0481✓0.98268k2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.294439-1.53%0.313787+4.94%0.0311✓1.08514k2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1482-1.53%1.251+7.29%0.0010✓0.971.3M2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.236261-1.52%0.3308+37.89%0.2530✗0.9681k2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.794336-1.52%0.80376-0.35%0.0646✓0.87519k2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.545491-1.52%0.55506+0.21%0.0980✓1.3239k2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4747.7382-1.51%55.25+13.99%0.0347✗1.279,0502022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.081559-1.50%0.0941+13.65%0.0605✗0.9410k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.221759-1.48%0.235+4.40%0.0238✓0.94468k2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002899-1.48%0.002904-1.33%0.0788✓0.921.1M2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27352.4864-1.48%54.454+2.22%0.0293✓0.76302k2022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.06261-1.47%0.06419+1.01%0.0289✓0.62123k2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.286545-1.46%0.2923+0.52%0.0634✓0.952.8M2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5334-1.46%1.6855+8.32%0.0036✓1.12253k2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.77e-7-1.45%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0328✓0.8015k2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.308029-1.43%0.3328+6.50%0.0245✓1.17111k2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.67e-7-1.42%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0229✓0.811.7M2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.208003-1.42%0.2303+9.15%0.0146✗1.0058k2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035983-1.42%0.0393+7.67%0.0076✓0.9266k2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.958847-1.41%0.9748+0.23%0.0897✓1.22841k2022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.024671-1.40%0.0255+1.92%0.0785✓1.283,2982022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.005995-1.39%0.00661+8.72%0.0423✗0.63977k2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.094468-1.39%0.0997+4.07%0.0305✓0.97375k2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.463048-1.37%0.512+9.05%0.0001✓1.15384k2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.3993-1.37%6.491+0.05%0.1001✓1.316.9M2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4776-1.36%1.517+1.27%0.0763✓1.1784k2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.035913-1.34%0.0372+2.20%0.0325✓0.788,1752022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana32.1731.7394-1.34%35.01+8.83%0.0017✓1.1461.7M2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.063878-1.32%0.06521+0.74%0.0741✓1.081.9M2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,742.34-1.31%21,831.72+9.13%0.0132✗1.00480.9M2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash63.862.9728-1.30%64.27+0.74%0.0813✓1.161.3M2022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.229598-1.25%0.2312-0.56%0.0717✓0.9067k2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9360.173-1.24%62.18+2.05%0.0540✓0.9912.7M2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.3949.2799-1.21%9.755+3.84%0.0345✓0.971.2M2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.072866-1.21%0.07546+2.30%0.0674✓1.1725k2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,625.43-1.21%21,663.60+9.05%0.0169✗0.9413k2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.056317-1.20%0.0508-10.88%0.2013✓1.12220k2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9378-1.13%1.99+1.53%0.1212✓1.6974k2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.967516-1.13%1.0275+5.00%0.0166✗0.503.1M2022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.022015-1.10%0.0213-4.31%0.1045✓0.82459k2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.055582-1.10%0.0645+14.77%0.0721✗0.8891k2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012719-1.09%0.01293+0.54%0.0404✓0.65220k2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,562.21-1.07%1,766.95+11.90%0.0013✓1.39628.3M2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.062559-1.04%0.063703+0.77%0.0754✓1.071.3M2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.495066-0.99%0.515+3.00%0.0668✓1.223,8602022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36117.2026-0.98%130.35+10.13%0.0058✓1.154.2M2022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.202122-0.97%0.2141+4.90%0.0597✓1.34140k2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum4.21214.1723-0.94%4.3301+2.80%0.0313✓0.78724k2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.013048-0.94%0.013193+0.16%0.0457✓0.65929k2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8588.0639-0.88%91.63+3.13%0.0955✓1.555.2M2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.8619-0.78%20.69+8.84%0.0193✓1.2820.1M2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.681925-0.74%0.676-1.60%0.1147✓1.214.0M2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9658-0.72%1.9-4.04%0.0784✓0.5175k2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.179256-0.58%0.127-29.56%0.3456✓0.0193k2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.8827-0.56%5.1+3.87%0.0312✓0.851.3M2022-09-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9219.4024+2.55%16.58-12.37%0.2188✗0.711.7M2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.