8=======>

2022-09-02 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1101
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.1%
in alpha space · 26.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.3420.221+4.56%17.28-10.65%0.2059✗0.711.7M2022-09-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34890.352684+1.08%0.4155+19.09%0.0790✓1.24176k2022-09-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0570.057418+0.73%0.0636+11.58%0.0431✓0.8799k2022-09-09
GTGateEthereum4.26554.2964+0.72%4.3137+1.13%0.0489✗0.78766k2022-09-09
AAVEAaveEthereum88.3988.8765+0.55%91.14+3.11%0.0787✗1.525.6M2022-09-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19720.198131+0.47%0.1358-31.14%0.3782✗0.0198k2022-09-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.006020.006036+0.27%0.00584-2.99%0.0764✗0.641.0M2022-09-09
DODODODOEthereum0.12320.123527+0.27%0.1353+9.82%0.0206✓1.031.6M2022-09-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.776220.777909+0.22%0.80804+4.10%0.0215✗0.87519k2022-09-09
SOLSolanaSolana31.2431.2994+0.19%34.69+11.04%0.0240✓1.1664.4M2022-09-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9836+0.18%1.85-6.57%0.1041✗0.5089k2022-09-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071820.071937+0.16%0.07407+3.13%0.0505✗1.1725k2022-09-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09310.09316+0.06%0.0985+5.80%0.0096✗0.96375k2022-09-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.67220.672489+0.04%0.7844+16.69%0.0589✓1.39214k2022-09-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.20742.2072-0.01%2.3273+5.43%0.0234✓1.1213k2022-09-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334130.333922-0.06%0.35417+6.00%0.0084✓0.9944k2022-09-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20880.208668-0.06%0.2217+6.18%0.0091✓1.0258k2022-09-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016030.001602-0.07%0.001551-3.24%0.0974✓0.95406k2022-09-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10.099912-0.09%0.1034+3.40%0.0144✓0.712,5272022-09-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.270.269738-0.10%0.277+2.59%0.0226✓0.72658k2022-09-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0432040.043151-0.12%0.042569-1.47%0.0488✓0.5227k2022-09-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.539720.539038-0.13%0.55787+3.36%0.0554✓1.3133k2022-09-09
XMRMoneroMonero153.67153.4758-0.13%161.29+4.96%0.0200✓1.021.3M2022-09-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020240.020207-0.16%0.02351+16.16%0.0953✗0.8210.5M2022-09-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.23130.230914-0.17%0.2292-0.91%0.0689✓0.9071k2022-09-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.036629-0.19%0.0376+2.45%0.0269✓0.788,1752022-09-09
CBKCobakEthereum0.871220.869463-0.20%0.84654-2.83%0.0954✓1.0113k2022-09-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013240.013211-0.22%0.01236-6.65%0.1105✓0.64220k2022-09-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029890.002982-0.24%0.002899-3.01%0.0904✓0.911.2M2022-09-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,953.7419,902.37-0.26%21,364.50+7.07%0.0026✓1.00490.8M2022-09-09
TRXTRONTron0.0626280.062461-0.27%0.063383+1.21%0.0266✓0.60129k2022-09-09
DIADIAEthereum0.37710.375991-0.29%0.39753+5.42%0.0101✓0.9635k2022-09-09
COMPCompoundEthereum45.8145.671-0.30%51.69+12.84%0.0379✗1.269,1802022-09-09
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7064.6913-0.31%5.047+7.25%0.0180✓1.337.3M2022-09-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.930.926898-0.33%0.9795+5.32%0.0270✓1.20841k2022-09-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.013285-0.34%0.013248-0.62%0.0461✓0.63932k2022-09-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04380.043649-0.34%0.0475+8.45%0.0186✗0.96137k2022-09-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207850.020711-0.36%0.02179+4.84%0.0044✓0.8113k2022-09-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0616620.061438-0.36%0.063921+3.66%0.0325✓1.061.4M2022-09-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0350.034869-0.37%0.0391+11.71%0.0524✗0.9177k2022-09-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30240.301267-0.37%0.3246+7.34%0.0133✗0.905.9M2022-09-09
XEMNEMnative0.0440710.043901-0.39%0.046222+4.88%0.0060✓0.8429k2022-09-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.151809-0.39%0.1641+7.68%0.0023✓1.111,6102022-09-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4881.4819-0.41%1.485-0.20%0.0768✓1.1595k2022-09-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.293760.292538-0.42%0.29001-1.28%0.0798✓1.0412k2022-09-09
ZECZcashZcash60.3660.1052-0.42%66.01+9.36%0.0146✗1.161.7M2022-09-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.79-0.42%20.4+8.11%0.0055✓1.2820.7M2022-09-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06190.061629-0.44%0.064+3.39%0.0495✓1.28851k2022-09-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.055555-0.44%0.0531-4.84%0.1217✓1.12238k2022-09-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057670.005741-0.45%0.006215+7.77%0.0331✗0.682,1662022-09-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.03931.0346-0.45%1.0805+3.96%0.0150✓0.8540k2022-09-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17680.175993-0.46%0.1851+4.69%0.0437✓1.382,2552022-09-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4066.3764-0.46%6.51+1.62%0.0680✓1.307.6M2022-09-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1811.1755-0.47%1.234+4.49%0.0191✓0.991.4M2022-09-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.74153.481-0.48%55.512+3.30%0.0138✓0.75302k2022-09-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4790.476672-0.49%0.497+3.76%0.0401✓1.203,4962022-09-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12180.121206-0.49%0.1389+14.04%0.0653✗1.0423k2022-09-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30310.301622-0.49%0.3091+1.98%0.0488✓1.07101k2022-09-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.102496-0.49%0.1126+9.32%0.0213✗1.062.8M2022-09-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.24090.239719-0.49%0.2765+14.78%0.0783✗0.9481k2022-09-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044760.04454-0.49%0.04619+3.19%0.0131✓0.7215k2022-09-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5341.5264-0.49%1.545+0.72%0.0678✓1.1762k2022-09-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,019.3019,919.82-0.50%21,371.80+6.76%0.0060✗0.9413k2022-09-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13810.137412-0.50%0.1548+12.09%0.0488✗1.03489k2022-09-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.7011.6921-0.52%1.845+8.47%0.0237✗0.92574k2022-09-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2810.2795-0.53%0.2922+3.99%0.0203✓0.952.9M2022-09-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4230.42074-0.53%0.444+4.96%0.0158✓1.028,3142022-09-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05680.056492-0.54%0.0602+5.99%0.0006✓0.9290k2022-09-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7130.709115-0.54%0.659-7.57%0.1393✓0.97207k2022-09-09
HIVEHivenative0.55410.551061-0.55%0.5768+4.10%0.0111✓0.831.0M2022-09-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96790.96257-0.55%1.0469+8.16%0.0506✗0.493.3M2022-09-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.7432.7275-0.57%2.75+0.26%0.0511✓0.87682k2022-09-09
KSMKusamaHydration47.8347.558-0.57%52.65+10.08%0.0349✗0.98459k2022-09-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.134421-0.58%0.1374+1.63%0.0138✓0.523.4M2022-09-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137220.136421-0.58%0.14129+2.97%0.0460✓1.19190k2022-09-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1045960.103959-0.61%0.114404+9.38%0.0399✗0.826.8M2022-09-09
FTTFTXEthereum26.3126.1491-0.61%27.21+3.42%0.0265✓0.976.9M2022-09-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.4115.6855-0.61%132.9+14.18%0.0609✗1.144.6M2022-09-09
QNTQuantEthereum92.7892.2087-0.62%103.35+11.39%0.0558✗0.853.5M2022-09-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.0816.9747-0.62%18.09+5.91%0.0171✗0.68580k2022-09-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008750.008696-0.62%0.00972+11.09%0.0616✗0.735.2M2022-09-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0283.0077-0.67%2.999-0.96%0.1070✓1.523.7M2022-09-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.1410.140016-0.70%0.1499+6.31%0.0015✓1.02113k2022-09-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35350.35103-0.70%0.3721+5.26%0.0146✓1.07116k2022-09-09
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8259-0.70%5.02+3.29%0.0177✓0.841.4M2022-09-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09391.0862-0.71%1.2042+10.08%0.0012✓1.534.5M2022-09-09
BANDBandEthereum1.311.3004-0.73%1.38+5.34%0.0215✓1.18460k2022-09-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.7881.7748-0.74%1.936+8.28%0.0136✗1.0728k2022-09-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.504198-0.75%0.548+7.87%0.0060✓1.1380k2022-09-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.081472-0.77%0.0939+14.37%0.0783✗0.9311k2022-09-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4660.46243-0.77%0.4993+7.15%0.0011✓1.14384k2022-09-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10070.099928-0.77%0.1144+13.60%0.0771✗0.85150k2022-09-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.0260.5494-0.77%61.15+0.21%0.0570✓0.9812.7M2022-09-09
XVGVergenative0.003130.003106-0.77%0.00328+4.79%0.0136✓1.00486k2022-09-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31860.316107-0.78%0.332+4.21%0.0304✓1.16132k2022-09-09
STEEMSteemnative0.22330.22153-0.79%0.2297+2.87%0.0251✓0.90475k2022-09-09
FLOWFlownative1.9651.9494-0.80%2.111+7.43%0.0123✓1.351.4M2022-09-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015280.001516-0.80%0.001624+6.28%0.0211✗0.708,3412022-09-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6570.651679-0.81%0.685+4.26%0.0090✓0.86222k2022-09-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.166636-0.81%0.17882+6.44%0.0044✓0.97307k2022-09-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5380.533595-0.82%0.561+4.28%0.0212✓1.0474k2022-09-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.00001208-0.82%0.00001292+6.08%0.0027✓0.95828k2022-09-09
STXStacksnative0.36350.360509-0.82%0.3813+4.90%0.0228✓1.16360k2022-09-09
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.4016-0.83%16.88+8.69%0.0159✗1.11107k2022-09-09
NANOnanopayBase0.8764120.869128-0.83%0.927032+5.78%0.0081✓0.8363k2022-09-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.597.5263-0.84%7.92+4.35%0.0226✓1.08384k2022-09-09
ADACardanoCardano0.45440.450557-0.85%0.5022+10.52%0.0448✗0.9335.8M2022-09-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064680.006413-0.85%0.006311-2.43%0.0445✓0.4253k2022-09-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.1619.0821-0.86%9.611+4.91%0.0083✓0.951.3M2022-09-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.1810.0918-0.87%10.69+5.01%0.0259✓1.22298k2022-09-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8991.8825-0.87%2.01+5.85%0.0489✓1.6883k2022-09-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.048166-0.89%0.0518+6.58%0.0057✓0.98781k2022-09-09
DASHDashDash45.6945.2794-0.90%49.01+7.27%0.0133✗0.96419k2022-09-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.481.4666-0.91%1.43-3.38%0.0164✓-0.13128k2022-09-09
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003924-0.91%0.00416+5.05%0.0089✓0.98136k2022-09-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038090.037741-0.92%0.03896+2.28%0.0233✓0.812,6082022-09-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2926.2334-0.93%7.1+12.84%0.0734✗0.834.6M2022-09-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1692-0.95%2.35+7.31%0.0015✓1.15229k2022-09-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.962.9319-0.95%3.24+9.46%0.0659✗0.50653k2022-09-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.936.8636-0.96%7.744+11.75%0.0493✗1.0417.9M2022-09-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0342.0144-0.96%2.192+7.77%0.0072✓1.1342k2022-09-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6680.661539-0.97%0.691+3.44%0.0450✓1.304.1M2022-09-09
XTZTezosTezos1.49071.4762-0.97%1.6453+10.37%0.0317✗1.12265k2022-09-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2926160.289752-0.98%0.313944+7.29%0.0062✓1.08542k2022-09-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.81e-7-0.98%9.50e-7+6.74%0.0210✗0.7915k2022-09-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.11311.102-0.99%1.3263+19.15%0.1027✗1.21996k2022-09-09
METISMetisEthereum31.731.3834-1.00%32.42+2.27%0.0964✓1.89271k2022-09-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.13773.1059-1.01%3.3109+5.52%0.0049✓1.0123k2022-09-09
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.81e-7-1.02%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0219✓0.791.9M2022-09-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8290.820502-1.03%0.881+6.27%0.0001✓1.041.6M2022-09-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.4025.3466-1.03%4.9689-8.02%0.0800✓0.10115k2022-09-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353460.349815-1.03%0.33379-5.56%0.1012✓0.79332k2022-09-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.691,559.43-1.03%1,719.21+9.11%0.0035✓1.38660.9M2022-09-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.04990.049382-1.04%0.052+4.21%0.0148✓0.97226k2022-09-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4360.431319-1.07%0.4513+3.51%0.0333✓1.15100k2022-09-09
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19860.196449-1.08%0.2125+7.00%0.0115✓1.32112k2022-09-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.219477-1.09%0.2145-3.33%0.1125✓1.31139k2022-09-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.024331-1.09%0.026+5.69%0.0209✓1.283,3752022-09-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.8956-1.10%4.61-6.87%0.0964✓0.531.1M2022-09-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.2951-1.14%1.48+12.98%0.0718✗0.90109k2022-09-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.761.7391-1.19%1.685-4.26%0.0937✓0.91121k2022-09-09
PROPropyEthereum0.720.710837-1.27%0.73+1.39%0.0072✓0.2874k2022-09-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159050.157001-1.29%0.17041+7.14%0.0569✓2.034042022-09-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.589.4541-1.31%8.88-7.31%0.0961✓0.492.0M2022-09-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.834212.6651-1.32%12.9714+1.07%0.0418✓0.9632k2022-09-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7613.5757-1.34%15.48+12.50%0.0590✗1.061.8M2022-09-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.37.1996-1.38%7.759+6.29%0.0044✓1.0310.2M2022-09-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8315.7497-1.39%6.379+9.40%0.0457✗0.857.8M2022-09-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3620.356926-1.40%0.382+5.52%0.0056✓0.912732022-09-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.10471.0888-1.44%1.3501+22.21%0.1550✗0.881.1M2022-09-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49790.490506-1.49%0.5324+6.93%0.0308✗0.75501k2022-09-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064970.064-1.49%0.06971+7.30%0.0126✓1.071.9M2022-09-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022480.022136-1.53%0.02126-5.43%0.0953✓0.80459k2022-09-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.343520.338133-1.57%0.4161+21.13%0.1436✗0.93392k2022-09-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08010.078811-1.61%0.07205-10.05%0.0929✓0.05403k2022-09-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.61412.4081-1.63%16.126+27.84%0.1861✗1.1112.3M2022-09-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3656.2608-1.64%6.12-3.85%0.0558✓0.484.4M2022-09-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.424.3457-1.68%4.223-4.46%0.0608✓0.472.1M2022-09-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.2111-1.73%2.58+14.67%0.1020✗0.77287k2022-09-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0313.7847-1.75%14.71+4.85%0.0098✓1.09959k2022-09-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4531.8745-1.77%39.19+20.77%0.1036✗1.5111.8M2022-09-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0080.989998-1.79%1.04+3.17%0.0239✗0.373.4M2022-09-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.007993-1.81%0.00784-3.69%0.0959✓1.12456k2022-09-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06710.065874-1.83%0.06733+0.34%0.0389✓0.897702022-09-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.7981.764-1.89%1.8421+2.45%0.0226✓0.961.1M2022-09-09
OPTIMOptimism1.2341.2096-1.98%1.411+14.34%0.0380✗1.703.1M2022-09-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0257790.025264-2.00%0.02424-5.97%0.0499✓0.13287k2022-09-09
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0841.0622-2.01%0.962-11.25%0.1846✓1.251.5M2022-09-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.995.8693-2.01%5.39-10.02%0.1158✓0.452.3M2022-09-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.116.9639-2.05%6.47-9.00%0.1062✓0.481.9M2022-09-09
XECeCashnative0.000046220.000045268-2.06%0.00004454-3.63%0.0752✓0.861.7M2022-09-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034370.033648-2.10%0.03907+13.67%0.0808✗1.0040k2022-09-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.8890.869378-2.21%0.8564-3.67%0.1147✓1.46128k2022-09-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.6124.5087-2.24%4.322-6.29%0.0591✓0.252.3M2022-09-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013550.001324-2.26%0.001388+2.43%0.0070✓0.792.4M2022-09-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,076.209,828.62-2.46%10,439.05+3.60%0.0338✓1.385.9M2022-09-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.916.7357-2.52%6.39-7.53%0.0865✓0.492.1M2022-09-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.823.7212-2.59%4.674+22.36%0.1619✗0.97259k2022-09-09
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.04274.902-2.79%4.5671-9.43%0.1391✓1.00145k2022-09-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11960.116001-3.01%0.1242+3.85%0.0206✓0.70203k2022-09-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.21870.211465-3.31%0.2053-6.13%0.0865✓0.833.1M2022-09-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.15744.9684-3.66%4.4753-13.23%0.1448✓0.594.7M2022-09-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000241480.000229325-5.03%0.00043064+78.33%0.5783✗0.76546k2022-09-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.54777.1465-5.32%6.9482-7.94%0.0432✓0.225.8M2022-09-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.95847.4837-5.96%7.5152-5.57%0.0196✓0.357.5M2022-09-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.64e-78.09e-7-6.34%7.32e-7-15.33%0.1572✓0.821.5M2022-09-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.87513.6994-7.90%12.387-16.73%0.1364✓0.5215.2M2022-09-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.