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2022-09-01 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0139
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
26.7%
in alpha space · 59.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4722.3325+4.02%15.9-25.94%0.3106✗0.711.6M2022-09-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3460.349677+1.06%0.4045+16.91%0.1968✓1.24166k2022-09-08
GTGateEthereum4.30834.3338+0.59%4.0459-6.09%0.0368✗0.78766k2022-09-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0580.058331+0.57%0.0599+3.28%0.0621✓0.86101k2022-09-08
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4286.8906+0.54%88.29+2.16%0.0785✓1.525.6M2022-09-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9752+0.27%1.84-6.60%0.0502✗0.5093k2022-09-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.006160.006169+0.14%0.00567-7.95%0.0581✗0.641.0M2022-09-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001490.001492+0.11%0.001463-1.81%0.0204✓0.97417k2022-09-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028790.002882+0.11%0.002728-5.24%0.0172✗0.921.1M2022-09-08
DODODODOEthereum0.12720.127333+0.10%0.1249-1.81%0.0232✓1.031.7M2022-09-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.780270.781061+0.10%0.77284-0.95%0.0252✓0.87509k2022-09-08
SOLSolanaSolana31.6231.6448+0.08%33.62+6.33%0.1081✓1.1665.9M2022-09-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09250.09252+0.02%0.0972+5.08%0.0887✓0.96376k2022-09-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0427110.042697-0.03%0.040974-4.07%0.0200✓0.5226k2022-09-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074490.074457-0.04%0.07073-5.05%0.0034✓1.1626k2022-09-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.21870.218531-0.08%0.1397-36.12%0.4478✓-0.0193k2022-09-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.68270.682143-0.08%0.6533-4.31%0.0139✗1.39214k2022-09-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23090.230682-0.09%0.2268-1.78%0.0201✗0.9071k2022-09-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.099499-0.10%0.0993-0.30%0.0274✗0.722,5272022-09-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21050.210252-0.12%0.2135+1.43%0.0573✗1.0257k2022-09-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.1490.148819-0.12%0.1562+4.83%0.0941✗1.111,6102022-09-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.548720.547777-0.17%0.52967-3.47%0.0203✗1.3137k2022-09-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340210.339612-0.18%0.33034-2.90%0.0128✗0.9844k2022-09-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.29082.2866-0.18%2.2544-1.59%0.0319✗1.1213k2022-09-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.27537-0.23%0.263-4.71%0.0163✓0.72660k2022-09-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020630.02058-0.24%0.0209+1.31%0.0493✗0.8210.9M2022-09-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.03661-0.24%0.0351-4.36%0.0100✓0.788,1752022-09-08
DIADIAEthereum0.375050.374081-0.26%0.37908+1.07%0.0529✗0.9637k2022-09-08
CBKCobakEthereum0.87990.877621-0.26%0.85429-2.91%0.0144✗1.0013k2022-09-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6680.666265-0.26%0.638-4.49%0.0035✓0.97207k2022-09-08
XMRMoneroMonero154.26153.8532-0.26%152.39-1.21%0.0323✗1.021.3M2022-09-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29360.292785-0.28%0.3078+4.84%0.0870✗0.905.9M2022-09-08
ZECZcashZcash58.9858.8115-0.29%61.13+3.65%0.0863✗1.161.7M2022-09-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013250.013205-0.34%0.01167-11.92%0.0960✓0.67223k2022-09-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,133.6520,063.39-0.35%19,321.87-4.03%0.0035✗1.00504.7M2022-09-08
TRXTRONTron0.0632870.063062-0.36%0.061193-3.31%0.0052✓0.60142k2022-09-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4611.4557-0.36%1.415-3.15%0.0195✗1.16108k2022-09-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0133150.013266-0.37%0.012974-2.56%0.0038✗0.63932k2022-09-08
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7644.7457-0.38%4.5-5.54%0.0017✓1.338.0M2022-09-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.412348-0.40%0.418+0.97%0.0555✗1.028,1172022-09-08
XEMNEMnative0.0440860.043905-0.41%0.044321+0.53%0.0441✗0.8429k2022-09-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30740.306134-0.41%0.2984-2.93%0.0185✗1.07103k2022-09-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3156.2886-0.42%6.173-2.25%0.0349✗1.308.1M2022-09-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.043916-0.42%0.0465+5.44%0.0968✗0.96145k2022-09-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5331.5266-0.42%1.45-5.41%0.0033✓1.1766k2022-09-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.44752.224-0.43%53.27+1.57%0.0507✗0.75287k2022-09-08
METISMetisEthereum30.5730.439-0.43%29.13-4.71%0.0340✗1.89288k2022-09-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035147-0.43%0.0382+8.22%0.1208✗0.9184k2022-09-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211110.021019-0.44%0.020726-1.82%0.0192✗0.8113k2022-09-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05570.055448-0.45%0.0517-7.18%0.0238✓1.12249k2022-09-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.486787-0.45%0.469-4.09%0.0121✗1.202,7102022-09-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06120.060915-0.47%0.0618+0.98%0.0670✗1.28897k2022-09-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94240.937919-0.48%0.9148-2.93%0.0245✗1.20846k2022-09-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.05661-0.51%0.0555-2.46%0.0185✗0.9397k2022-09-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.916-0.51%2.931+0.00%0.0678✗1.523.7M2022-09-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.0471.0416-0.52%1.0517+0.45%0.0448✗0.8540k2022-09-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95740.952403-0.52%0.9741+1.74%0.0426✗0.493.5M2022-09-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.319.1954-0.54%19.14-0.83%0.0501✗1.2921.2M2022-09-08
KSMKusamaHydration47.4347.1699-0.55%50.26+5.97%0.1037✗0.98459k2022-09-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058080.005776-0.55%0.005905+1.68%0.0502✗0.682,1822022-09-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623470.062001-0.55%0.060978-2.20%0.0268✗1.061.4M2022-09-08
HIVEHivenative0.54860.545516-0.56%0.5518+0.58%0.0456✗0.831.0M2022-09-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.123302-0.56%0.1624+30.97%0.3181✗1.0423k2022-09-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1981.1911-0.58%1.188-0.83%0.0382✗0.991.5M2022-09-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.240993-0.58%0.3012+24.26%0.2616✗0.9475k2022-09-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04540.045136-0.58%0.04438-2.25%0.0129✗0.7215k2022-09-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.301950.300179-0.59%0.27969-7.37%0.0279✓1.0412k2022-09-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.6931.683-0.59%1.763+4.13%0.0842✗0.92579k2022-09-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18090.179831-0.59%0.1767-2.32%0.0391✗1.382,2912022-09-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10490.104269-0.60%0.1043-0.57%0.0444✗1.072.9M2022-09-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.116.997-0.60%17.38+1.64%0.0504✗0.68685k2022-09-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.282461-0.61%0.2794-1.69%0.0281✗0.953.0M2022-09-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.5657.205-0.62%57.99+0.75%0.0541✗0.9812.6M2022-09-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008636-0.62%0.00886+1.96%0.0556✗0.735.5M2022-09-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1410.140111-0.63%0.1491+5.74%0.1043✗1.02489k2022-09-08
COMPCompoundEthereum48.0347.7178-0.65%48.43+0.83%0.0664✗1.259,4572022-09-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.315610.313545-0.65%0.32661+3.49%0.0739✗0.80332k2022-09-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,192.4020,059.37-0.66%19,295.10-4.44%0.0001✓0.9415k2022-09-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7352.7169-0.66%2.656-2.89%0.0131✗0.87682k2022-09-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.73115.9577-0.66%126.62+8.47%0.1349✗1.144.6M2022-09-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1050770.104379-0.66%0.104355-0.69%0.0333✗0.826.9M2022-09-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137570.13664-0.68%0.13663-0.68%0.0489✗1.19190k2022-09-08
BANDBandEthereum1.2921.2832-0.68%1.273-1.47%0.0408✗1.19460k2022-09-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35340.350908-0.71%0.3426-3.06%0.0199✗1.07116k2022-09-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.522939-0.77%0.501-4.93%0.0002✓1.0574k2022-09-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.081454-0.79%0.0926+12.79%0.1666✗0.9310k2022-09-08
FTTFTXEthereum26.9126.6976-0.79%26.05-3.20%0.0153✗0.977.2M2022-09-08
STXStacksnative0.36280.359917-0.79%0.3621-0.19%0.0535✗1.15361k2022-09-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.627.5588-0.80%7.37-3.28%0.0191✗1.08409k2022-09-08
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.8705-0.80%4.8-2.24%0.0199✗0.841.5M2022-09-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.061.0515-0.81%1.3273+25.22%0.2828✗1.21996k2022-09-08
DASHDashDash44.7944.4268-0.81%46.28+3.33%0.0806✗0.97419k2022-09-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064010.006349-0.81%0.006191-3.28%0.0081✓0.4256k2022-09-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31840.315804-0.82%0.3149-1.10%0.0451✗1.16132k2022-09-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.100473-0.82%0.1109+9.48%0.1338✗0.85169k2022-09-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13980.13865-0.82%0.131-6.29%0.0352✓0.523.5M2022-09-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6690.663496-0.82%0.652-2.54%0.0180✗0.86228k2022-09-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8031.7881-0.83%1.851+2.66%0.0788✗1.0828k2022-09-08
QNTQuantEthereum95.0294.2317-0.83%101.92+7.26%0.1135✗0.853.5M2022-09-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.14350.14231-0.83%0.1402-2.30%0.0271✗1.02129k2022-09-08
STEEMSteemnative0.22580.223874-0.85%0.2219-1.73%0.0280✗0.90475k2022-09-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015340.001521-0.87%0.00152-0.91%0.0285✗0.709,0932022-09-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.000012181-0.88%0.00001223-0.49%0.0429✗0.94828k2022-09-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46850.464352-0.89%0.4736+1.09%0.0667✗1.14384k2022-09-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0002-0.89%9.92-1.68%0.0424✗1.23305k2022-09-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5140.509409-0.89%0.525+2.14%0.0768✗1.1383k2022-09-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.1439.0604-0.90%9.277+1.47%0.0627✗0.951.3M2022-09-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.048152-0.92%0.0483-0.62%0.0437✗0.99781k2022-09-08
ADACardanoCardano0.45760.453368-0.92%0.479+4.68%0.0934✗0.9335.8M2022-09-08
ZENHorizenBase15.8715.72-0.95%15.53-2.14%0.0334✗1.11107k2022-09-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.052.0305-0.95%2.072+1.07%0.0670✗1.1438k2022-09-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.038082-0.96%0.03746-2.57%0.0169✗0.812,6082022-09-08
XVGVergenative0.003180.003149-0.96%0.00316-0.63%0.0444✗1.00486k2022-09-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.169356-0.96%0.17034-0.39%0.0457✗0.97310k2022-09-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.7439-0.96%4.54-5.22%0.0219✓0.541.1M2022-09-08
NANOnanopayBase0.90010.891183-0.99%0.875349-2.75%0.0161✗0.8360k2022-09-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15411.1425-1.00%1.1279-2.27%0.0499✗1.524.5M2022-09-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9276.857-1.01%7.407+6.93%0.1204✗1.0517.4M2022-09-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.71e-7-1.01%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0542✗0.7915k2022-09-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3136.2489-1.02%6.478+2.61%0.0701✗0.834.8M2022-09-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6740.667078-1.03%0.643-4.60%0.0158✗1.284.1M2022-09-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9462.9153-1.04%3.093+4.99%0.0797✗0.50650k2022-09-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2974610.294335-1.05%0.305298+2.63%0.0811✗1.08545k2022-09-08
FLOWFlownative2.0472.0253-1.06%1.956-4.45%0.0206✗1.351.3M2022-09-08
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.81e-7-1.06%8.80e-7-1.12%0.0321✗0.791.9M2022-09-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003977-1.06%0.00399-0.75%0.0437✗0.98136k2022-09-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,586.231,569.33-1.07%1,635.73+3.12%0.0981✗1.38660.9M2022-09-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5137-1.07%1.42-7.19%0.0692✓-0.13128k2022-09-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.934-1.07%1.843-5.73%0.0209✗1.6890k2022-09-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.775.7079-1.08%5.865+1.65%0.0623✗0.858.5M2022-09-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53175.4714-1.09%4.9672-10.20%0.0926✓0.10115k2022-09-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42670.42205-1.09%0.3993-6.42%0.0080✓1.15100k2022-09-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064270.063569-1.09%0.06043-5.97%0.0067✓1.072.0M2022-09-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82990.820667-1.11%0.8184-1.39%0.0400✗1.041.7M2022-09-08
MOVRMoonriverBase12.157312.0214-1.12%12.7985+5.27%0.1023✗0.9630k2022-09-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3052-1.12%1.4+6.06%0.1073✗0.90109k2022-09-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024630.024353-1.13%0.02409-2.19%0.0417✗1.283,4352022-09-08
XTZTezosTezos1.53981.5221-1.15%1.5877+3.11%0.0884✗1.12279k2022-09-08
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20380.201425-1.17%0.1992-2.26%0.0431✗1.32116k2022-09-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05060.050006-1.17%0.049-3.16%0.0197✗0.97216k2022-09-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.18193.1444-1.18%3.1692-0.40%0.0493✗1.0124k2022-09-08
PROPropyEthereum0.710.701588-1.18%0.73+2.82%0.0514✗0.2974k2022-09-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.252-1.23%2.27-0.44%0.0553✗1.15229k2022-09-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22650.223694-1.24%0.2042-9.85%0.0373✓1.31139k2022-09-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1847.0904-1.30%7.389+2.85%0.0837✗1.0310.5M2022-09-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7891.7653-1.33%1.685-5.81%0.0092✓0.91121k2022-09-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.4513.271-1.33%15.71+16.80%0.2123✗1.061.9M2022-09-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.549.4102-1.36%8.78-7.97%0.0491✓0.491.9M2022-09-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156940.154745-1.40%0.15778+0.54%0.1031✗2.035152022-09-08
FISStafiEthereum0.36280.357457-1.47%0.3252-10.36%0.0570✓0.915072022-09-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0875.9943-1.52%6.112+0.41%0.0395✗0.494.4M2022-09-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022810.022455-1.56%0.02088-8.46%0.0396✓0.80459k2022-09-08
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1594-1.58%1.178+0.00%0.0860✗1.703.1M2022-09-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50230.494195-1.61%0.5067+0.88%0.0557✗0.75514k2022-09-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.34550.339858-1.63%0.38118+10.33%0.1531✗0.93369k2022-09-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.080.078686-1.64%0.06787-15.16%0.1459✓0.05418k2022-09-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.239-1.65%4.056-5.89%0.0245✓0.482.0M2022-09-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9740.957788-1.66%1.038+6.57%0.0958✗0.373.8M2022-09-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.14391.1245-1.69%1.2129+6.03%0.1117✗0.881.3M2022-09-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.7312.5106-1.72%13.883+9.06%0.1498✗1.1111.4M2022-09-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9232.3475-1.74%37.1+12.70%0.1991✗1.5112.4M2022-09-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0213.7706-1.78%13.85-1.21%0.0509✗1.10959k2022-09-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007950.007808-1.79%0.00743-6.54%0.0035✓1.12477k2022-09-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067370.066142-1.82%0.06606-1.94%0.0354✗0.899142022-09-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.795.6841-1.83%5.32-8.12%0.0475✓0.452.0M2022-09-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.242.1984-1.86%2.6+16.07%0.1992✗0.76287k2022-09-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,216.459,040.26-1.91%9,266.66+0.54%0.0815✗1.385.9M2022-09-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78011.7459-1.92%1.7721-0.45%0.0545✗0.961.1M2022-09-08
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0591.0385-1.94%0.894-15.58%0.0982✓1.251.5M2022-09-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.916.7704-2.02%6.37-7.81%0.0411✓0.481.7M2022-09-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4854.3884-2.15%4.29-4.35%0.0119✓0.262.3M2022-09-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034970.034214-2.16%0.03515+0.51%0.0683✗1.0040k2022-09-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269030.026303-2.23%0.024425-9.21%0.0690✓0.12280k2022-09-08
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000045097-2.26%0.00004219-8.56%0.0311✓0.861.7M2022-09-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001314-2.34%0.001335-0.82%0.0479✗0.792.4M2022-09-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.14524.0473-2.36%4.474+7.93%0.1249✗0.604.2M2022-09-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89710.874649-2.50%0.8317-7.29%0.0096✓1.46167k2022-09-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.6959-2.53%6.34-7.71%0.0341✓0.502.1M2022-09-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8533.7484-2.71%4.722+22.55%0.2706✗0.96259k2022-09-08
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.87824.7417-2.80%4.4451-8.88%0.0234✓1.00147k2022-09-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1170.113523-2.97%0.13+11.11%0.1644✗0.70203k2022-09-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.21430.207195-3.32%0.187-12.74%0.0681✓0.842.9M2022-09-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.70536.3771-4.89%6.8937+2.81%0.0871✗0.225.4M2022-09-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.82257.3583-5.93%7.6822-1.79%0.0575✓0.357.3M2022-09-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-78.36e-7-6.79%7.48e-7-16.66%0.0782✓0.821.4M2022-09-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.92711.999-7.18%12.416-3.95%0.0558✓0.5312.5M2022-09-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000276060.000253842-8.05%0.00051629+87.02%0.7408✗0.75442k2022-09-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.