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2022-09-01 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0829
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
24.6%
in alpha space · 60.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000276060.000250579-9.23%0.00051629+87.02%0.7537✗0.75442k2022-09-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-78.42e-7-6.18%7.48e-7-16.66%0.0846✓0.821.4M2022-09-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.82257.388-5.55%7.6822-1.79%0.0535✓0.357.3M2022-09-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.92712.3322-4.60%12.416-3.95%0.0284✓0.5312.5M2022-09-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.549.1493-4.10%8.78-7.97%0.0210✓0.491.9M2022-09-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.70536.4676-3.54%6.8937+2.81%0.0730✗0.225.4M2022-09-08
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000044506-3.54%0.00004219-8.56%0.0179✓0.861.7M2022-09-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269030.025971-3.46%0.024425-9.21%0.0564✓0.12280k2022-09-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9740.943075-3.18%1.038+6.57%0.1113✗0.373.8M2022-09-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89710.868679-3.17%0.8317-7.29%0.0164✓1.46167k2022-09-08
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.87824.7308-3.02%4.4451-8.88%0.0211✓1.00147k2022-09-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.14524.0206-3.01%4.474+7.93%0.1315✗0.604.2M2022-09-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.916.7092-2.91%6.37-7.81%0.0321✓0.481.7M2022-09-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.795.6281-2.80%5.32-8.12%0.0376✓0.452.0M2022-09-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.21430.208444-2.73%0.187-12.74%0.0741✓0.842.9M2022-09-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.684-2.71%6.34-7.71%0.0323✓0.502.1M2022-09-08
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1464-2.68%1.178+0.00%0.0972✗1.703.1M2022-09-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007950.007739-2.66%0.00743-6.54%0.0054✓1.12477k2022-09-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.7312.4078-2.53%13.883+9.06%0.1581✗1.1111.4M2022-09-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,216.458,986.40-2.50%9,266.66+0.54%0.0875✗1.385.9M2022-09-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015340.001497-2.42%0.00152-0.91%0.0442✗0.709,0932022-09-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.242.1881-2.32%2.6+16.07%0.2039✗0.76287k2022-09-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1170.114311-2.30%0.13+11.11%0.1575✗0.70203k2022-09-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.2119-2.28%4.056-5.89%0.0181✓0.482.0M2022-09-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15411.128-2.26%1.1279-2.27%0.0627✗1.524.5M2022-09-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8533.7663-2.25%4.722+22.55%0.2658✗0.96259k2022-09-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05060.049469-2.23%0.049-3.16%0.0305✗0.97216k2022-09-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.080.078235-2.21%0.06787-15.16%0.1401✓0.05418k2022-09-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4966-2.18%1.42-7.19%0.0579✓-0.13128k2022-09-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.301950.295384-2.17%0.27969-7.37%0.0118✓1.0412k2022-09-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50230.491425-2.17%0.5067+0.88%0.0614✗0.75514k2022-09-08
FLOWFlownative2.0472.0027-2.16%1.956-4.45%0.0318✗1.351.3M2022-09-08
XVGVergenative0.003180.003114-2.09%0.00316-0.63%0.0558✗1.00486k2022-09-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.34550.338286-2.09%0.38118+10.33%0.1578✗0.93369k2022-09-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.116.7436-2.08%17.38+1.64%0.0654✗0.68685k2022-09-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.18193.1163-2.06%3.1692-0.40%0.0583✗1.0124k2022-09-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156940.153715-2.05%0.15778+0.54%0.1098✗2.035152022-09-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.405719-2.00%0.418+0.97%0.0717✗1.028,1172022-09-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78011.7445-2.00%1.7721-0.45%0.0553✗0.961.1M2022-09-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.4513.1823-1.99%15.71+16.80%0.2190✗1.061.9M2022-09-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003941-1.97%0.00399-0.75%0.0529✗0.98136k2022-09-08
FISStafiEthereum0.36280.355673-1.96%0.3252-10.36%0.0520✓0.915072022-09-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18090.177351-1.96%0.1767-2.32%0.0530✗1.382,2912022-09-08
XMRMoneroMonero154.26151.2381-1.96%152.39-1.21%0.0495✗1.021.3M2022-09-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6690.656007-1.94%0.652-2.54%0.0293✗0.86228k2022-09-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0213.7499-1.93%13.85-1.21%0.0524✗1.10959k2022-09-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53175.4255-1.92%4.9672-10.20%0.0842✓0.10115k2022-09-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137570.13493-1.92%0.13663-0.68%0.0615✗1.19190k2022-09-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.6983-1.91%4.54-5.22%0.0122✓0.541.1M2022-09-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.04326-1.91%0.0465+5.44%0.1119✗0.96145k2022-09-08
QNTQuantEthereum95.0293.2527-1.86%101.92+7.26%0.1239✗0.853.5M2022-09-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037737-1.85%0.03746-2.57%0.0260✗0.812,6082022-09-08
XEMNEMnative0.0440860.043278-1.83%0.044321+0.53%0.0585✗0.8429k2022-09-08
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0591.0396-1.83%0.894-15.58%0.0993✓1.251.5M2022-09-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13980.137274-1.81%0.131-6.29%0.0253✓0.523.5M2022-09-08
FTTFTXEthereum26.9126.4289-1.79%26.05-3.20%0.0254✗0.977.2M2022-09-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064010.006288-1.77%0.006191-3.28%0.0016✓0.4256k2022-09-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9276.8045-1.77%7.407+6.93%0.1281✗1.0517.4M2022-09-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7891.7576-1.76%1.685-5.81%0.0048✓0.91121k2022-09-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067370.066188-1.75%0.06606-1.94%0.0347✗0.899142022-09-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001322-1.75%0.001335-0.82%0.0420✗0.792.4M2022-09-08
BANDBandEthereum1.2921.2697-1.73%1.273-1.47%0.0514✗1.19460k2022-09-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340210.334354-1.72%0.33034-2.90%0.0285✗0.9844k2022-09-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.2408-1.72%2.27-0.44%0.0603✗1.15229k2022-09-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5331.5067-1.72%1.45-5.41%0.0098✓1.1766k2022-09-08
HIVEHivenative0.54860.539183-1.72%0.5518+0.58%0.0573✗0.831.0M2022-09-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1050770.103295-1.70%0.104355-0.69%0.0438✗0.826.9M2022-09-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29360.288707-1.67%0.3078+4.84%0.1011✗0.905.9M2022-09-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034970.03439-1.66%0.03515+0.51%0.0631✗1.0040k2022-09-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008547-1.65%0.00886+1.96%0.0660✗0.735.5M2022-09-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7352.6902-1.64%2.656-2.89%0.0230✗0.87682k2022-09-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9462.8978-1.64%3.093+4.99%0.0857✗0.50650k2022-09-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.14391.1252-1.64%1.2129+6.03%0.1111✗0.881.3M2022-09-08
ADACardanoCardano0.45760.45013-1.63%0.479+4.68%0.1006✗0.9335.8M2022-09-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3136.2102-1.63%6.478+2.61%0.0764✗0.834.8M2022-09-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42670.419805-1.62%0.3993-6.42%0.0027✓1.15100k2022-09-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4854.4127-1.61%4.29-4.35%0.0174✓0.262.3M2022-09-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30740.302465-1.61%0.2984-2.93%0.0305✗1.07103k2022-09-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82990.816617-1.60%0.8184-1.39%0.0449✗1.041.7M2022-09-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.055993-1.59%0.0555-2.46%0.0295✗0.9397k2022-09-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.000012095-1.59%0.00001223-0.49%0.0500✗0.94828k2022-09-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1410.138777-1.58%0.1491+5.74%0.1139✗1.02489k2022-09-08
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20380.200588-1.58%0.1992-2.26%0.0472✗1.32116k2022-09-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.29082.2548-1.57%2.2544-1.59%0.0459✗1.1213k2022-09-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5140.505987-1.56%0.525+2.14%0.0835✗1.1383k2022-09-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6680.657631-1.55%0.638-4.49%0.0095✓0.97207k2022-09-08
ZENHorizenBase15.8715.6241-1.55%15.53-2.14%0.0396✗1.11107k2022-09-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.627.5022-1.55%7.37-3.28%0.0266✗1.08409k2022-09-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211110.020785-1.54%0.020726-1.82%0.0304✗0.8113k2022-09-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1981.1796-1.54%1.188-0.83%0.0478✗0.991.5M2022-09-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.122101-1.53%0.1624+30.97%0.3279✗1.0423k2022-09-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.271782-1.53%0.263-4.71%0.0032✓0.72660k2022-09-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2999-1.52%1.4+6.06%0.1113✗0.90109k2022-09-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8031.7757-1.52%1.851+2.66%0.0858✗1.0828k2022-09-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.8871-1.50%2.931+0.00%0.0778✗1.523.7M2022-09-08
METISMetisEthereum30.5730.1127-1.50%29.13-4.71%0.0448✗1.89288k2022-09-08
NANOnanopayBase0.90010.886636-1.50%0.875349-2.75%0.0212✗0.8360k2022-09-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35340.348128-1.49%0.3426-3.06%0.0279✗1.07116k2022-09-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10490.10334-1.49%0.1043-0.57%0.0534✗1.072.9M2022-09-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46850.461536-1.49%0.4736+1.09%0.0728✗1.14384k2022-09-08
TRXTRONTron0.0632870.062353-1.48%0.061193-3.31%0.0061✓0.60142k2022-09-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06120.060302-1.47%0.0618+0.98%0.0771✗1.28897k2022-09-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.67e-7-1.46%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0587✗0.7915k2022-09-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9232.442-1.45%37.1+12.70%0.1962✗1.5112.4M2022-09-08
DASHDashDash44.7944.1398-1.45%46.28+3.33%0.0871✗0.97419k2022-09-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1847.0807-1.44%7.389+2.85%0.0851✗1.0310.5M2022-09-08
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.77e-7-1.43%8.80e-7-1.12%0.0358✗0.791.9M2022-09-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.168566-1.42%0.17034-0.39%0.0504✗0.97310k2022-09-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.0471.0321-1.42%1.0517+0.45%0.0539✗0.8540k2022-09-08
STEEMSteemnative0.22580.222591-1.42%0.2219-1.73%0.0338✗0.90475k2022-09-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.9472-1.42%9.92-1.68%0.0477✗1.23305k2022-09-08
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7644.6967-1.41%4.5-5.54%0.0121✓1.338.0M2022-09-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.238981-1.41%0.3012+24.26%0.2700✗0.9475k2022-09-08
MOVRMoonriverBase12.157311.9895-1.38%12.7985+5.27%0.1050✗0.9630k2022-09-08
PROPropyEthereum0.710.700209-1.38%0.73+2.82%0.0534✗0.2974k2022-09-08
COMPCompoundEthereum48.0347.3683-1.38%48.43+0.83%0.0738✗1.259,4572022-09-08
DODODODOEthereum0.12720.125455-1.37%0.1249-1.81%0.0380✗1.031.7M2022-09-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.052.022-1.37%2.072+1.07%0.0712✗1.1438k2022-09-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058080.005729-1.36%0.005905+1.68%0.0584✗0.682,1822022-09-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04540.044781-1.36%0.04438-2.25%0.0208✗0.7215k2022-09-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.44751.7322-1.36%53.27+1.57%0.0602✗0.75287k2022-09-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2974610.293422-1.36%0.305298+2.63%0.0842✗1.08545k2022-09-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.548720.541291-1.35%0.52967-3.47%0.0322✗1.3137k2022-09-08
STXStacksnative0.36280.357889-1.35%0.3621-0.19%0.0592✗1.15361k2022-09-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0427110.042134-1.35%0.040974-4.07%0.0067✓0.5226k2022-09-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.519965-1.33%0.501-4.93%0.0059✓1.0574k2022-09-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.047954-1.33%0.0483-0.62%0.0478✗0.99781k2022-09-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3460.341459-1.31%0.4045+16.91%0.2206✗1.24166k2022-09-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,192.4019,929.03-1.30%19,295.10-4.44%0.0064✓0.9415k2022-09-08
DIADIAEthereum0.375050.370266-1.28%0.37908+1.07%0.0632✗0.9637k2022-09-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024630.02432-1.26%0.02409-2.19%0.0431✗1.283,4352022-09-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21050.207879-1.25%0.2135+1.43%0.0686✗1.0257k2022-09-08
XTZTezosTezos1.53981.5207-1.24%1.5877+3.11%0.0893✗1.12279k2022-09-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.6931.6721-1.23%1.763+4.13%0.0907✗0.92579k2022-09-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0876.0122-1.23%6.112+0.41%0.0365✗0.494.4M2022-09-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.14350.141737-1.23%0.1402-2.30%0.0311✗1.02129k2022-09-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22650.223719-1.23%0.2042-9.85%0.0374✓1.31139k2022-09-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.21870.216047-1.21%0.1397-36.12%0.4363✓-0.0193k2022-09-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.006160.006085-1.21%0.00567-7.95%0.0445✓0.641.0M2022-09-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,133.6519,890.11-1.21%19,321.87-4.03%0.0122✗1.00504.7M2022-09-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013250.01309-1.21%0.01167-11.92%0.0872✓0.67223k2022-09-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.280801-1.20%0.2794-1.69%0.0340✗0.953.0M2022-09-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001490.001472-1.19%0.001463-1.81%0.0335✗0.97417k2022-09-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.1490.14724-1.18%0.1562+4.83%0.1047✗1.111,6102022-09-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.061.0476-1.17%1.3273+25.22%0.2865✗1.21996k2022-09-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.780270.771179-1.17%0.77284-0.95%0.0380✗0.87509k2022-09-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.081144-1.16%0.0926+12.79%0.1704✗0.9310k2022-09-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0580.057326-1.16%0.0599+3.28%0.0795✗0.86101k2022-09-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09250.091428-1.16%0.0972+5.08%0.1006✗0.96376k2022-09-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31840.314714-1.16%0.3149-1.10%0.0485✗1.16132k2022-09-08
KSMKusamaHydration47.4346.8874-1.14%50.26+5.97%0.1098✗0.98459k2022-09-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034897-1.14%0.0382+8.22%0.1279✗0.9184k2022-09-08
SOLSolanaSolana31.6231.2607-1.14%33.62+6.33%0.1203✗1.1665.9M2022-09-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.100167-1.12%0.1109+9.48%0.1369✗0.85169k2022-09-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074490.07366-1.11%0.07073-5.05%0.0073✓1.1626k2022-09-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022810.022559-1.10%0.02088-8.46%0.0443✓0.80459k2022-09-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94240.932062-1.10%0.9148-2.93%0.0308✗1.20846k2022-09-08
CBKCobakEthereum0.87990.870247-1.10%0.85429-2.91%0.0229✗1.0013k2022-09-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.68270.675266-1.09%0.6533-4.31%0.0241✗1.39214k2022-09-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.1439.0436-1.09%9.277+1.47%0.0645✗0.951.3M2022-09-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.098529-1.08%0.0993-0.30%0.0372✗0.722,5272022-09-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.036306-1.07%0.0351-4.36%0.0017✓0.788,1752022-09-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.5656.9429-1.07%57.99+0.75%0.0586✗0.9812.6M2022-09-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.315610.312348-1.03%0.32661+3.49%0.0777✗0.80332k2022-09-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23090.2286-1.00%0.2268-1.78%0.0292✗0.9071k2022-09-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.484268-0.97%0.469-4.09%0.0173✗1.202,7102022-09-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95740.948181-0.96%0.9741+1.74%0.0470✗0.493.5M2022-09-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4611.4473-0.93%1.415-3.15%0.0252✗1.16108k2022-09-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,586.231,571.47-0.93%1,635.73+3.12%0.0967✗1.38660.9M2022-09-08
GTGateEthereum4.30834.2688-0.92%4.0459-6.09%0.0217✓0.78766k2022-09-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.9377-0.89%1.843-5.73%0.0191✗1.6890k2022-09-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.775.7204-0.86%5.865+1.65%0.0601✗0.858.5M2022-09-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0133150.013202-0.85%0.012974-2.56%0.0086✗0.63932k2022-09-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020630.020456-0.85%0.0209+1.31%0.0553✗0.8210.9M2022-09-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05570.055241-0.82%0.0517-7.18%0.0200✓1.12249k2022-09-08
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4285.7241-0.81%88.29+2.16%0.0921✗1.525.6M2022-09-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623470.061872-0.76%0.060978-2.20%0.0289✗1.061.4M2022-09-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.73115.843-0.76%126.62+8.47%0.1359✗1.144.6M2022-09-08
ZECZcashZcash58.9858.5571-0.72%61.13+3.65%0.0907✗1.161.7M2022-09-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064270.063844-0.66%0.06043-5.97%0.0110✓1.072.0M2022-09-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3156.2736-0.66%6.173-2.25%0.0373✗1.308.1M2022-09-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028790.002862-0.57%0.002728-5.24%0.0103✓0.921.1M2022-09-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.319.1933-0.55%19.14-0.83%0.0502✗1.2921.2M2022-09-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6740.670655-0.50%0.643-4.60%0.0104✗1.284.1M2022-09-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9635-0.33%1.84-6.60%0.0442✓0.5093k2022-09-08
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.902-0.16%4.8-2.24%0.0135✗0.841.5M2022-09-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4722.2061+3.43%15.9-25.94%0.3049✗0.711.6M2022-09-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.